qr. Increasing Patient Throughput in the MGH Cancer = Center Infusion Unit by Wendi Rieb S.B., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2008 M.Eng., Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2009 Submitted to the Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science and the Sloan School of Management in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degrees of Master of Science in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science and Master of Business Administration in conjunction with the Leaders for Global Operations Program at the MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY June 2015 @ Wendi Rieb, MMXV. All rights reserved. The author hereby grants to MIT permission to reproduce and to distribute publicly paper and electronic copies of this thesis document in whole or in part in any medium now known or hereafter created. redacted Author....................Signature Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science and the Sloan School of Management May 8, 2015 Certified by. 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Increasing Patient Throughput in the MGH Cancer Center Infusion Unit by Wendi Rieb Submitted to the Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science and the Sloan School of Management on May 8, 2015, in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degrees of Master of Science in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science and Master of Business Administration Abstract This thesis proposes an appointment scheduling algorithm with associated supporting process changes that increases the effective capacity of the Massachusetts General Hospital Cancer Center Infusion Unit. Currently, chair and bed utilization in the Infusion Unit is concentrated between 10am-2pm, Monday through Friday, but remains underutilized during other operating hours. This uneven use of resources has resulted in highly strained staff and physical resources during rush hour, causing the perception of insufficient capacity. Moreover, when the environment is highly congested, patients experience long wait times and are more exposed to quality and safety problems. This study will recover unrealized capacity by smoothing the intra-day utilization of physical resources in the Infusion Unit. The scheduling algorithm is derived employing a retrospective integer program and validated using prospective simulation modeling. Implementation of these scheduling guidelines demonstrates the potential to recover 20 chairs, or 33% of capacity, at the average peak of each day, while smoothing throughput throughout the day. The proposed state can be achieved with minimal adjustments to staffing in the infusion unit and pharmacy, and no adjustment to staffing in the Oncology Practice. The algorithm also respects the existing primary nursing model, and treatment specific limitations. Thesis Supervisor: Charles Sodini Title: LeBel Professor, Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Thesis Supervisor: Retsef Levi Title: J. Spencer Standish Professor, Sloan School of Management 2 Acknowledgments This thesis would not have been possible without the generous advising and support of many. Thank you to exceptional academic advisors Professor Retsef Levi of the Sloan School of Management and Professor Charles Sodini of the Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science; the incredibly enjoyable to work with team from MGH Cancer Center Mara Bloom, Inga Lennes, M.D., Elizabeth Souza, Erika Rosato, Mimi Bartholomay, Katie Lafleur, and Michael Duk; the MGH champions of the collaboration with MIT Peter Dunn, M.D., Bethany Daily, and Cecilia Zenteno. I would especially like to thank Cecilia Zenteno and Ainara Arcelus for significant contribution to model formulation and creation. Thank you to my loving family, my husband Karl Rieb, mother Yanling Zhao, and parents-in-law Charles and Rocio Rieb who give me the my strength and purpose in life. Finally, I give thanks to the Lord for all his blessings and for guiding me through this difficult to navigate world. 3 Contents 1 Introduction 1.1 .11 2 3 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1.1 Massachusetts General Hospital . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 1.1.2 MGH Cancer Center . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 1.2 Project Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 1.3 Thesis Organization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 17 Literature Review 2.1 Successful Implementation of Resource Management and Scheduling Redesign 17 2.2 Optimization Models and Integer Programming as a Tool . . . . . . . . . . . 18 2.3 Simulation as a Tool . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Patient Flow in the Cancer Center 3.1 3.2 4 Background 11 23 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 3.1.1 P ractice . . .... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 3.1.2 Infusion Unit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 3.1.3 Governance of the Practice and Infusion Unit Cancer Center Structure . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 Appointment Types and Patient Flow . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 3.2.1 Infusion Appointments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 3.2.2 Other Relevant Appointment Types in the Practice . . . . . . . . . . 28 3.2.3 Scheduling Practices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 Current State Analysis 30 4 ..... 30 Shadowing and Interviewing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 4.1.2 IT, Databases, and Data Aggregation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 . . . . . . . . . . 34 . . 4.1.1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Current State Description 4.2.1 Summary of Problems . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 4.2.2 Patient Arrival Scheduling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 4.2.3 Variation from Scheduled Patient Stay Times . . . . . . . . . . 37 Solution Approach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 5.2 Evaluation Method . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 5.3 Retrospective Optimization Model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 5.3.1 Integer Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47 5.3.2 Retrospective Model Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 Prospective Real-Time Algorithm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 5.4.1 Scheduling Algorithm Description . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57 5.4.2 Prospective Model Performance Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 5.4.3 Incorporating Patients Choices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 Complementary Feasibility Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 5.5.1 Primary Nursing Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69 5.5.2 Pharmacy Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 5.5.3 Nursing Load Study . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.5 . Objective and Overview . 46 5.1 5.4 80 6.1 Operational Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 6.1.1 Scheduling Recommendations 80 6.1.2 Process Change Recommendations . . . . . 80 6.1.3 Staffing Recommendations . . . . . . . . . . 81 6.2 Future W ork . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82 6.3 Conclusions 84 . Recommendations, Future Work, & Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 . . ... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 ...................... . 4.2 Data Sources ..... . 4.1 5 A Stay Variation Analysis: Detailed Explanation 86 B Supplemental Current State Plot 91 C Holidays in CY2013 92 D Alternative to Max(Max-Min) Method 93 E Other options to give the patient two scheduling options 95 F Pharmacy Staffing Study - Complete Description 99 6 List of Figures 1-1 Infusion Unit utilization each hour: average 1 standard deviation for 243 days in 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 3-1 Full Patient Flow Diagram . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 4-1 Total wait time as a percentage of total infusion time for all infusions in 2012 and 2013..... .. .. ... .. ................ .. . . . . . ... .. 35 4-2 Current state patient/nurse ratio throughout the day . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 4-3 Boxplot of scheduled durations of all infusions in 2012 and 2013 . . . . . . . 37 4-4 Distribution of infusion appointments and total occupied chair hours in Infusion Unit by appointment hours of scheduled duration . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 4-5 Current State: Distribution of infusion start times throughout operational hours 38 4-6 Current State: Distribution of PTC Practice appointment start times throughout operational hours . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4-7 39 Proportion of total capacity impacted by stay variation at different hours of the day . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . ................41 4-8 Proportion of total capacity impacted by stay variation at different hours of the day...... 4-9 .. .. ... .. ............. ... . . . ..... .. . .. 44 Distribution of same-day cancellations throughout the hours of the day . 45 4-10 Breakdown of add-on treatment types . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 5-1 Retrospective Model Results: daily utilization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 5-2 Retrospective Model Results: distribution of daily peak utilization . . . . . . 53 5-3 Retrospective Model Results: Infusion-Only Start Times 54 7 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5-4 Retrospective Model Results: Infusion-Only cumulative start time by appointment duration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 5-5 Retrospective Model Results: PTC infusion start times . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 5-6 Retrospective Model Results: PTC cumulative start time by appointment duration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5-7 56 Representative Example of Prospective Algorithm Step 3: Max(Max-Min) Method, with given parameters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61 5-8 Prospective Model daily utilization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62 5-9 Prospective Model distribution of daily peak utilization . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 . 66 5-11 Comparison of Daily Peaks for Giving the Patient 1 Option vs. 2 Options . . 67 5-10 Comparison of Utilization for Giving the Patient 1 Option vs. 2 Options . 5-12 Time difference [hours] between first and second appointment option offered to patients . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 . . . . . . . . 70 5-14 Current State: Pharmacy Throughput by Staffing Region . . . . . . . . . . . 73 5-13 Results: Proposed State adherence to Primary Nursing Model 5-15 Proposed state pharmacy load assuming no additional process improvements or algorithm tweaks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 5-16 Pharmacy throughput by staffing region including conservative premix for 8am and 9am appointments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5-17 Current State: Number of nurses on staff by time of day 5-18 Current State: Patient/Nurse Ratio by time of day . . . . . . . . . . . 76 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 5-19 Patient/Nurse Ratio proposed state with existing nursing staffing A-1 75 . . . . . . 79 Histogram of stay variation, differentiating add-ons, cancellations & no-shows, and operational variation, for 63 days in 2013 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87 A-2 Histogram of daily stay variation, overstay, and understay for 63 days in 2013 88 A-3 Proportion of total capacity impacted by stay variation at different hours of the day. ........ .. ............ . . . ............ ..... 90 B-1 Scheduled duration for all infusions in 2012 and 2013 by hour of first appointment segment start time . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8 91 D-1 Distribution of daily peaks for Last method, alternative to Max(Max-Min) method E-1 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Giving the patient options: daily utilization assuming patient bias towards 10am-2pm period: distribution of daily peak utilization . . . . . . . . . . . . E-2 94 97 Giving the patient options assuming patient bias towards 10am-2pm period: distribution of daily peak utilization. From left to right: Prospective base model, Giving the patient one morning option and one afternoon option, Giving the patient two options at least two hours apart, Giving the patient two options maximizing the time between the options while favoring operations . F-1 98 Proposed state pharmacy load assuming no additional process improvements or algorithm tweaks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 F-2 Pharmacy throughput proposed state: 8am Cap=35 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 F-3 Pharmacy throughput proposed state: 8am Cap=25 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 F-4 Pharmacy throughput proposed state: 8am Cap=15 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103 9 List of Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 4.1 Infusion appointment scheduled duration categories 4.2 Stay Variation Statistics 5.1 Pharmacy Staffing Regions: Current State A.1 Stay Variation Statistics C.1 Specific dates in CY2013 excluded from modeling . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 Chapter 1 Introduction 1.1 1.1.1 Background Massachusetts General Hospital Massachusetts General Hospital (MGH) is the largest and oldest hospital in New England, and is consistently ranked as one of the top hospitals in the country. The hospital is an integrated patient care facility and research powerhouse, with an annual research budget approaching $800 million. Patient volume numbers approximately 48,000 inpatient admissions and 1.5 million outpatient visits annually, including more than 100,000 emergency room visits, 42,000 operations, and 3,600 delivered babies [1]. Since 2011, MGH has maintained a collaboration with MIT Sloan and Leaders for Global Operations [2], resulting in several successful projects [5][9][17][21][22][18][16] during this time. In this thesis we describe the first project that the MGH/MIT Collaboration has with the Cancer Center. 1.1.2 MGH Cancer Center The MGH Cancer Center is a leading cancer research and care establishment, consistently ranked among the top 10 Cancer Centers in the United States [15], and regularly cares for patients from around the globe. Treatment programs are divided into 24 Disease Centers, and patients receive treatment in one or more Disease Centers depending on the type of cancer diagnosis. Patient volume has been growing at a rate of 4% annually over the three 11 year period 2011-2014 [6]. The fully integrated Cancer Center is made up of several functional units, including the Practice, the Infusion Unit, Radiation Oncology, and Surgical Oncology. The Prac- tice employs approximately 100 medical oncologists (equivalently referred to as clinicians, physicians, or oncologists) and 60 medical oncology nurse practitioners (NPs). Physicians see cancer patients in the Practice, and assign treatment to the other treatment facilities of the Cancer Center. The Practice also operates a four bed Short Stay Unit, where nonchemotherapy infusions such as hydrations and antibiotics can be administered on short notice. The Infusion Unit offers infusion treatments including but not limited to chemotherapy, blood transfusions, iron infusions, infused antibiotics, and hydrations. A selection of injectable and ingestible treatments in conjunction with chemotherapy are also offered. Nursing in the clinic follows the Primary Nursing Model, a system whereby a single nurse is assigned to oversee the full infusion course of treatment of each patient. Schedulers prioritize scheduling the patient to their Primary Nurse whenever possible. The Infusion Unit contains 60 beds and chairs that are used to deliver infusion treatments. It currently sees approximately 40,000 patient encounters annually, growing at an annual rate of approximately 2.5% [6]. Operational hours are 7:00am to 8:00pm Monday through Fridays, and 8:00am to 5:00pm on Saturdays. Radiation Oncology is the unit patients visit for radiation therapy. Surgical Oncology is the unit patients visit to receive cancer related surgeries. Radiation and Surgical Oncology are not affected by this study. This study addresses the problem of smoothing the intra-day utilization of resources in the Infusion Unit, and its interaction with the Practice. 1.2 Project Overview The MGH Cancer Center Infusion Unit currently experiences extremely high volume between 10am and 2pm and is underutilized otherwise (see Figure 1-1). In particular, the average chair utilization throughout the day (7am-8pm) is 55%, but the midday (11am-2pm) congestion is very severe, and causes the perception of insufficient capacity. In addition to preventing patient volume growth, the non-smooth utilization in Figure 1-1 has several con- 12 Utilization Each Hour Mean t 1SD Error bars for 243 days in 2013 ~70 S40 0 30 60 z 0 Time (hour) Figure 1-1: Infusion Unit utilization each hour: average + 1 standard deviation for 243 days in 2013 sequences: (i) long wait times for patients during high utilization hours; (ii) low utilization of expensive resources during low utilization hours; (iii) higher potential for patient safety concerns during congested hours. Several additional challenges make the redesign of patient flow difficult: 1. Multi-resource scheduling. All visits require blood draws prior to treatment. The results of the blood test confirms whether the patient could have the inftusion treatment and could also cancel or alter the appointment type. Additionally, 75% of the infusion visits are coupled with an appointment in the Practice, where the patient is assessed before receiving chemotherapy. This implies that effective scheduling has to be done in an integrated way across different resources. 2. Real-time scheduling. The coupled-appointment system requires the Cancer Center to make scheduling decisions as the appointment needs are revealed. Each patient is assigned both the dates and the times of her appointments at the same time, without knowledge of all other appointments that will be scheduled on the same dates as hers. 3. Operational and clinical constraints. Not only does the schedule need to respect 13 the Infusion Unit constraints (e.g., nurse staffing levels), but also the clinic times in the Oncology Practice, and pharmacy capacity. 4. Patient-centered culture. Scheduling focus is on an 'optimal' decision for each patient, which ultimately leads to suboptimal system performance that subsequently negatively impacts the patient. 5. Schedule variability. The actual length of each patient visit often does not match the scheduled duration for that appointment. Sources in variation in the schedule includes previously unknown treatments that are added to the schedule on the same day, same-day cancellations due to the patients' clinical conditions (such as the patient being clinically unsuitable to receive treatment), and the presence of patients that are part of clinical trials, for which the treatment is highly non-standardized. Initial analysis identified scheduling practices as one of the primary root-causes of the uneven use of resources. The current scheduling processes fail to take into account the overall utilization of the various resources (chairs, nurses, MDs, etc). In addition, there are other operational and cultural issues that generate unpredictability in the schedule and negatively impact patient satisfaction, staff morale, and efficient use of resources. Cancer Center Administration is pressured to find ways to utilize more capacity in the Infusion Unit. Patient volume in the Infusion Unit is growing. Additionally, the Cancer Center is moving to consolidate its Leukemia and associated Bone Marrow Transplant (BMT) practices, currently housed in a separate building, into the main Practice and Infusion Unit facilities. The Cancer Center must explore concepts and strategies from Operations Research to absorb the growth with the same availability of resources. To address the issues outlined above, we employed a two-phase optimization approach. In the first phase, we developed a retrospective integer programming (IP) model that assumed all appointments on a given day are known in advance. The model respected all the physical, operational and clinical constraints and created an 'ideal' schedule that smoothed the scheduled utilization. This model provided acumen in the structure of the optimal smooth schedule. However, the model did not lend itself directly to devise improved scheduling 14 policies sine in practice, appointments are scheduled gradually over time without he retrospective view. Thus, we leveraged the insights from the retrospective model to design a practical prospective algorithm that schedules the appointments as they are revealed over time. To understand the performance of the prospective algorithm, we tested the perfor- mance of the algorithm over historical appointment data from 2013, in which the proposed prospective algorithm was applied to schedule the appointments in each business day assuming all appointments take place on the same day as originally scheduled. The resulting utilization scenarios (Actual, Retrospective Model, Prospective Algorithm) were compared by simulating them using the actual appointment durations draw from the patient tracking system the Cancer Center keeps. The projected results are impressive. Assuming the current volume stays the same, the proposed scheduling algorithm will reduce the peak daily utilization from a median of 59 chairs to 39 chairs, a recovery of 33% of capacity. The standard deviation of the peak utilization across all studied days decreases from 7.6 chairs to 4.9, demonstrating decreased schedule variation across different operating days. The 97.5th percentile of the peak daily utilization is reduced from 69 chairs to 49 chairs, a similar recovery of 33% of capacity. The benefits of smoother utilization are twofold: 1. Capacity Recovery. Existing but unrealized capacity can be recovered and utilized. This will provide available capacity to meet future growth in demand, and enable initiatives in the Cancer Center, such as the transition of the Leukemia and associated BMT infusion programs into the Infusion Unit, without the capital intensive need to build new facilities. Additionally, reduction of peak load can lead to reduced staffing levels and thus additional cost reduction. 2. More Predictable Operations. Smoother utilization relieves the staff from the midday strain, making the workload per staff member more manageable. More predictable operations also reduces patient wait times, improving the patient visit experience. 3. Staffing Impact. Reduction of the peak load of each day potentially enables the reduction of infusion nursing staffing. Nurses are currently staffed to accommodate the peak patient load of each day, so if the peak is lower, fewer nurses should be 15 needed throughout the day. The potential to consolidate the Practice and the Infusion Unit scheduling teams into one unified team may also reduce redundant headcount. Additionally, several studies were conducted to look at the impact of the new patient load on nursing and pharmacy staffing requirements. This study analytically demonstrates that the improved state can be achieved with relatively minimal changes to staffing shifts and no additional headcount in the Infusion Unit and Pharmacy. Process changes that incorporate treatment premixing are proposed for the pharmacy in order to maintain the current headcount. The study assumes no adjustment to staffing in the Oncology Practice. The Cancer Center Administration, recognizing the importance and potential impact of such changes in its daily operations, is currently pursuing implementation of proposed scheduling guidelines by contracting with an IT consulting company to build a custom IT scheduling tool. The custom IT is currently under development and expected to come online within months of the publication of this thesis. 1.3 Thesis Organization This thesis is organized as follows. Chapter 2 provides a review of prior work. Chapter 3 moves onto a description of the patient flow in the Cancer Center. The current state is described in Chapter 4. Establishment of patient flow and current state informs necessary variables and constraints to be built into the optimization model. Chapter 5 includes all methods and results of both the optimization and simulation models, along with a description of the scheduling guidelines central to the problem solution. Chapters 6 proposes concrete operational recommendations rising from this study, and summarizes the impact of the work. 16 Chapter 2 Literature Review The problems of congestion and need for improved resource utilization has been explored in other cancer treatment facilities. Scheduling redesign has been identified in several works as an important process improvement tool. Optimization and simulation modeling have also been used widely to identify and measure the potential impact of scheduling and other process changes. The following overviews prior works addressing problems related to this study. 2.1 Successful Implementation of Resource Management and Scheduling Redesign Resource utilization and scheduling improvement studies have been explored to address similar congestion and uneven workload problems in other cancer care facilities. We present several related works that have seen successful implementation, demonstrating the effectiveness of improved scheduling practices and appointment management systems in improving operations in cancer infusion treatment facilities. Chabot et al. [7] identified the problem of inefficient use of nursing time in the Infu- sion Center of the Tower Hematology Oncology Medical Group in Los, Angeles, CA. Their solution was to schedule patients based on a classification system. In the implementation of the solution, treatments were classified based on the number of premedications, type of 17 drug or infusion and administration details, special observations related to administration, and acuity. Nurses were assigned loads that were balanced and spread out according to the classification system. Double bookings were eliminated and nurses were given lunch periods. Three years after implementation, results are very positive. The same size staff has been able to treat 10% more patients, and surveys have shown improvement in nurse and patient satisfaction in the Infusion Center. This relates to our study as we also consider double and triple bookings a barrier to an efficient schedule. While we do not balance nursing workload as a part of this study, we consider overall utilization which directly impacts nursing workload. Gruber et al. [13] tackled the problem of improving efficiency and customer satisfaction, and decreasing costs in the Chemotherapy and Infusion Center (CIC) of the Roswell Park Cancer Institute in Buffalo, NY. Department administrators pursued changes by describing a 'Perfect Day' for patients and staff, leading to elimination of the 10 hour nurse shift, changing staff start times, cross-training RNs to administer chemotherapy and infusion treatments, establishing scheduling procedures, altering hospital aide assignments to include non-nurse tasks, planning work zones and patient care assignments, revising the patient appointment schedule, and working with physicians to change prescribing practices. Implementation of the changes has led to an increase in the number of treatments starting on time from 11% to 94%, and an increase in patient volume of over 20% was enabled without additional resources. This relates to our study as it presents another example of successful implementation of scheduling heuristics that resulted in increased patient throughput without additional resources. 2.2 Optimization Models and Integer Programming as a Tool We have also identified several recent studies that use optimization programs to solve resource utilization problems in healthcare settings. An optimization program consists of a set of decision variables for an objective function subject to a set of constraints. A particular type of optimization program is the integer program (IP). In an IP, some or all of the decision 18 variables are restricted to be integers, and in special cases are restricted to be binary (0 or 1). Integer programming has been employed on several instances to describe optimal states of cancer treatment facilities. Turkcan et al. [24] tackled the problem of reducing treatment delays in chemotherapy administration facilities. Integer programming assigns patients to appointment times and nurses optimizing to minimize treatment delays due to insufficient resources. Treatment delay in the proposed state compared to current practice reduced on average from 4 days to 3.1 days. The standard deviation of delay also decreased from 7.7 days to 4.1 days, demonstrating the capability of Operations Research methods to reduce patient visit variation. At the time of publication, this study outlined several additional analyses that must conducted before implementation could be considered. This relates to our study in that it demon- strates the value of an IP in identifying ideal appointment times to reduce patient delay, an important goal of our study. Chen et al. [8] consider the interesting problem of optimizing scheduling while taking into account same day call-in patients. They model the problem as a stochastic integer program and take into account random and heterogeneous service times, no-show rates, ancillary physician tasks and appointment delay costs. Their optimization program yielded the optimal sequence of patients, and resulted in the Routine-Block policy whereby all routinely booked patients are seek in one block, perhaps preceded by same-day patients. Their study also found that the optimal sequence was largely independent of parameters such as service time variability, patient waiting costs, and overtime surcharges. This is relevant to our study as the MGH Infusion Unit also must see same-day add-on patients in addition to regularly booked patients. Condotta et al. [10], in conjunction with the UK National Chemotherapy Advisory Group and Department of Health, considered the problem of optimally scheduling patients that have multiple appointments that must be booked in a specified multi-day pattern. Integer programming is employed to first fix the appointment date for all patients, and then create the intra-day schedule. The objective in this study is to minimize patient wait times and the peak nurse workload. In the solution, patients are scheduled based on how the requirements of their treatment matches a template schedule, with the running schedule 19 further improved through rescheduling. The optimization demonstrated the potential to reduce patient waiting days from an average of 14 days down to as low as 4.7 days, and the potential to treat an additional 89 patients monthly in addition to the 476 current patient average. This study is relevant to ours in that our study also considers appointments that are scheduled in a specific pattern. Our study uses integer programming as a tool to guide the creation of a scheduling algorithm. Conforti et al. [11 approached the problem of increasing the throughput in a cancer radiotherapy clinic. The study uses integer programming to schedule oncology patients for radiotherapy treatments. The objective is to maximize the number of scheduled patients in each day while taking into account patient priority, the number of treatment sessions of each patient, the number of weeks a patient must be treated, and treatment specific limitations such as the need to carry out particular treatments in consecutive days. The optimized schedule potentially reduces wait times and shortens wait lists for radiotherapy treatment, although has not been implemented in a real clinical setting at the time of publication. This study relates to ours by demonstrating another application of integer programming in identifying optimal scheduling patterns. 2.3 Simulation as a Tool Our study will simulate scheduling using different scheduling guidelines to iteratively arrive at a prospective scheduling algorithm. Simulation generates a virtual environment mimicking real clinical settings. Several recent studies demonstrate simulation as a useful tool to quickly explore potential outcomes of imposing different process changes. In his masters thesis, Frank van Rest [25] explored the problem of booking chemotherapy in a way that would match capacity to demand in the BC Cancer Agency of Vancouver, Canada. The study considers the options of either adding minimal capacity, or employ- ing a tolerance whereby patients are booked within a certain number of days to the target appointment date, in order to minimize slack capacity and the need to postpone appointments. Using simulation as the primary tool, the most promising results were obtained by not increasing capacity and asserting a tolerance of one day, meaning patients are booked 20 to the least busy day within one day of the target appointment date. In this scenario, slack capacity was reduced by 42%, and the need to postpone appointments due to insufficient capacity was reduced by 76% from the baseline. This study is relevant to ours as it showed how scenarios can be easily tested through simulation to achieve target results. The Vancouver Centre (VC) of the British Columbia Cancer Agency (BCCA) used simulation as an important tool to demonstrate the simultaneous impact of operations, scheduling, and resource allocation on patient wait time, clinic overtime, and resource utilization. That study demonstrated the potential to achieve a reduction of up to 70% in patient wait times and 25% in physical space requirements, while maintaining throughput. Maintaining throughput is achieved by not altering historic patient volume when inputting data for simulation. This way of defining maintained throughput will be applicable for this thesis as well. The BCCA conducted its project in the Ambulatory Care Unit (ACU) to address the issue of resources shortages during peak hours of the day, a problem similar to the one described in Section 1.2. During those hours, the ACU experienced shortages of physician office space, clerical support, and examination rooms. Results of simulation identified, amongst other things, the need for improved patient scheduling in order to achieve desired outcomes. The ACU study relies on simulation to suggest, amongst other non-scheduling recommendations, an increase in booked time for patient appointments by 30% and the accommodation of same day add-ons at the end of the each day. At the time of publication, the ACU study was still being evaluated for implementation by senior management. [20] Santibiinez et al [12], together with Gocgun and Puterman [19] conducted a 17-month study at the BCCA to tackle excessive wait listing, late appointment notifications, pharmacy congestion, and unbalanced workload between nurses. The authors employ both optimization and simulation modeling to tackle both, inter and intra-day chemotherapy scheduling. The study is broken down, respectively. In the first part, randomly arriving patients are assigned to future appointment dates within clinically established windows of time. In the second part, patients assigned to particular dates are then assigned specific appointment times. A computer-based scheduling tool was built, which simultaneously determines appointment times, balances workload and complexity across and within nursing shifts, levels pharmacy workload throughout the day, and accommodates patient time requirements and 21 preferences. Scheduling redesign reduced by 57% the median percentage of appointments exceeding appointment notification lead time target one week. Additionally, median waitlist size decreased by 83%. Implementation of scheduling process redesign has proven successful, as demonstrated by aforementioned metrics along with increased patient satisfaction and reduced staff stress levels shown through survey results. This study shows the direct benefit of simulation for scheduling redesign and in testing proposed scheduling processes. Finally, Liang et al. (14] show with discrete event simulation that delays due to inefficient care delivery can be eliminated with improved scheduling practices and better planning and coordination. A mathematical programming model is developed to generate, given a fixed number of appointments to be booked, appointment distribution guidelines that aim to balance the visit schedule in both the practice and the infusion unit. The authors evaluate the effectiveness of their scheduling strategy by running a system wide simulation that emulates the patient flow of the Lahey Hospital and Medical Center Department of Hematology and Oncology. Performance is assessed by measuring patient waiting times, total time in system, the total clinic working hours, and chair utilization. This is very similar to the process to be used in our study, where first we will use optimization programming to gain insights into scheduling, then use simulation to test possible scheduling processes in order to generate a final proposed set of scheduling rules. 22 Chapter 3 Patient Flow in the Cancer Center 3.1 Cancer Center Structure The Cancer Center is a fully integrated cancer treatment establishment, offering patients a full recovery solution from treatment clinics, such as the Infusion Unit, Radiation Oncology, and Surgical Oncology, to supportive clinics, such as Pallative Care, Psychiatric Oncology, Oncology Chaplaincy, and the Images Boutique, which features wigs, relaxation tapes, and cosmetic services [3]. On a given day, a patient may have appointments in any number of these clinics, making scheduling a challenging and requiring the collaboration between several different care facilities. This study is specifically focused on patient flow throughout the Infusion Unit, including its immediate inputs and outputs, such as the Practice. Operations of other Cancer Center facilities will remain unaffected by the recommendations of this study. 3.1.1 Practice Patients see their medical oncologist in the Practice. This is where patients are initially diagnosed, scan results are reviewed, and treatments are assigned, referring the patient to other facilities of the Cancer Center. Like other clinicians in Academic Medical Centers, the Cancer Center physicians divide their time between clinic sessions, research, teaching, and other administrative duties. As a result, clinicians are available to see patients only during 23 specific fixed four-hour blocks that are scheduled throughout the week. Appointments to see existing patients are scheduled for 20 minutes. New patients in the Practice are assigned longer appointments, during block periods of time known as New Patient Multiclinic (NPM). NPM hours differ for each Disease Center. Clinicians taking new patients exclusively see new patients during NPM, further reducing the possible times during the week when they are available to see existing patients that go through chemotherapy. The Practice also operates the Short Stay Unit. Short Stay is a four bed facility located within the Practce that is able to administer non-chemotherapy infusions such as hydrations, antibiotics, and symptom treatments such as anti-nausea medications. The unit is staffed from 9am-5pm. At 5pm, patients still being treated in Short Stay are relocated into the Infusion Unit, which is open until 8pm. Short Stay takes very few appointments, and is primarily used for same-day treatment needs. 3.1.2 Infusion Unit Patients receive chemotherapy and other infusion treatments in the Infusion Unit. Chemotherapy may be administered as an infusion, an injectible, or as an ingestible. Other non- chemotherapy infusion treatments administered in the Infusion Unit are treatments necessary to support chemotherapy and chemotherapy symptom management. These include iron transfusions, blood transfusions, hydrations, antibiotics, and anti-nausea treatments. Infusions and associated care are provided by the self-contained Infusion Unit staff of nurses and nursing assistants. Patient care in the Infusion Unit follows the Primary Nursing model. In this care model, each patient is assigned a Primary and an Associate Nurse. Schedulers prioritize booking patients with their Primary Nurse. Should the Primary Nurse be unable to care for the patient during their visit, scheduling and triage then prioritize assigning that patient to their Associate Nurse. The goal of the Primary Nursing Model is for one nurse to be fully familiar with the treatment progress and specific needs of each patient, in order to deliver higher quality, more personalized care. Nurse availability is affected by a number of factors, including assigned shift times, vacation days, emergency leaves of absences, and last minute unavailability due to high nurse load. 24 3.1.3 Governance of the Practice and Infusion Unit The Practice is managed by Cancer Center Administration, which reports up one of the physician management structures to Senior Vice President Ann Prestipino. Cancer Center Administration manages in entirety the operations of the Practice and all physicians in the facility. Additionally, Cancer Center Administration oversees the collaboration across all Cancer Center treatment facilities. The Infusion Unit is managed by Patient Care Services. Patient Care Services is the official name of the Department of Nursing of Massachusetts General Hospital, managing over 4000 nurses across the hospital. The nursing arm of the hospital is separate in management structure from all physician management structures, and reports to Senior Vice President Jeanette Ives Erickson. All SVPs of MGH report directly to the President of the General Hospital and MGH Corporation. The separate management hierarchies of the Practice and Infusion Unit complicates decision making and requires the alignment and balance of different organizational, operational, and clinical perspectives. It also contributes to somewhat siloed operations and duplicate of functions such as scheduling teams. 3.2 Appointment Types and Patient Flow The full patient flow diagram of patients moving through the Practice, Infusion Unit, and Radiation Oncology is shown in Figure 3-1. While the overall flow is quite complex, this study addresses only those that lead to the Infusion Unit. 3.2.1 Infusion Appointments There are two appointment paths to infusion: (i) Patient to Chemotherapy (PTC); and (ii) Infusion-Only. For PTC appointments, patients first see their oncologist in the Practice prior to arrival in the Infusion Unit. For Infusion-Only appointments, patients arrive directly to the Infusion Unit for infusion treatment. PTC appointments are scheduled for three segments per visit: 1. Blood draw in the Practice 25 vita is . ... . cho ck im ....... ....... M9 Mood Draw 171i Ch C* In Figure 3-1: Full Patient Flow Diagram 2. Medical oncology visit in the Practice to review check in with physician, and review scans and blood work 3. Infusion in the Infusion Unit Infusion-Only patients are scheduled for two segments per visit: 1. Blood draw in the Infusion Unit 2. Infusion in the Infusion Unit once blood work is reviewed by Infusion Nursing All segments must be scheduled 1-2 hours apart from any other segment. This constraint balances the need to leave enough time to process blood results and not prolonging patient wait time beyond what is necessary. Upon arrival in the Infusion Unit, either from the Practice or directly, patients are greeted at the Front Desk for check-in. Front Desk staff mark the patient as arrived in the patient tracking software application. This places the patient on a queue to be assigned an infusion bed or chair by staff at the Central Pod. The patient waits in the waiting room until they are called by nursing assistants. When both chair and the designated nurse are ready, a nursing assistant calls that patient and takes vitals in a dedicated vitals space. The patient is then 26 taken to either to blood draw or their assigned bed or chair, depending on the appointment type of the patient. Blood draws scheduled in the Infusion Unit are completed in the Triage room, which has two chairs separate from the 60 infusion chairs. Results are processed in the centralized phlebotomy lab one floor away from the Infusion Unit, and reviewed by infusion nursing or medical oncology. Successful review of blood work confirms chemotherapy can be administered and enables nursing to initiate the order to mix the treatment. For stable patients with a history of successful blood work, nurses have the discretion of ordering pharmacy mixing ahead of blood draw results. Unsuccessful blood work results can be overridden by the patient's oncologist, or chemotherapy will be postponed until a later date, when the patient condition improves. Between blood draw and infusion start, the patient returns to the waiting room. Once blood work is verified and pharmacy mixing is complete, the nursing assistant escorts the patient to their assigned bed or chair. The assigned nurse for the visit meets the patient at the chair to perform the seating process, including verifying the patient's charts, hanging the infusion treatments, and initiating the infusion. The nurse will also converse with the patient about social updates, and evaluate the patient's condition based on their knowledge of that patient's charts and history. A second nurse always verifies the patient's demographic information and the infusion treatment mix before infusion is initiated. Once infusion has begun, the nurse leaves to attend to other patients, returning in regular intervals to check up on the patient. Nursing assistants bring the patient magazines, pillows, and other items to aid in comfort during the infusion. Hospital volunteers circle around the beds and chairs passing out lunch, drinks, ice cream, and other snacks. The patient has an emergency call button that notifies the Central Pod to page the nurse should immediate attention be needed. Immediate attention is needed for a variety of potential complications, such as the infusion needle losing the artery, or averse allergic reactions to the treatment. In the scenario when a complication becomes too advanced for infusion nursing to treat, the patient is admitted into the MGH inpatient facilities for advanced care. Should a patient require admission to inpatient care, he or she must occupy an Infusion Unit chair until a bed becomes available 27 in the inpatient care facility, which is generally not until late afternoon hours. Upon completion of the infusion, the assigned nurse removes the infusion needle from the patient, verbally and visually confirms the patient is well, then allows the patient to find their way out of the Infusion Unit. 3.2.2 Other Relevant Appointment Types in the Practice While there are over 100 types of appointments in the Practice, most fall into one of three categories: PTC, Follow-ups (FOL), and New Patients (NEW). PTC, as described above, are appointments in the Practice for patients that are receiving chemotherapy on the same day. FOL appointments are scheduled for patients that are in remission from cancer. Patients in remission have regular (once, twice, or three times a year) follow-up visits with their provider to detect cancer recurrence. These appointments are relevant because they are scheduled during the same blocks of provider availability as PTC appointments. Each FOL appointment is scheduled at the conclusion of the previous one, and as such are scheduled 1, 1/2, or 1/3 years in advance, in contrast to PTC appointments which are scheduled at most 6 weeks in advance. This means FOL appointments generally receive first pick priority for spots in each provider's schedule. FOL appointments also outnumber PTC appointments 3.3 to 1. NEW appointments are appointments scheduled for new patients that are seeking diagnosis or are newly diagnosed with cancer. NEW appointments are scheduled during dedicated New Patient Multiclinic (NPM) hours. Since NPM hours are reserved specifically for NEW appointments, PTC appointments cannot be scheduled during these times. 3.2.3 Scheduling Practices The Practice and Infusion Unit operate separate, in-house scheduling teams. When a physician orders chemotherapy or other chemotherapy-related infusion for a patient, that patient sits down face-to-face with a scheduler in Practice Scheduling. As a result, Practice schedulers are likely to form a relationship with patients they are scheduling. The Practice scheduler checks the order sheet for the target date of chemotherapy start, and asks the patient for their preferences on time of day. The Practice scheduler then calls Infusion Scheduling. 28 Over the phone and looking at two separate scheduling software applications, the Practice scheduler and Infusion scheduler schedule the patient for their blood draw, infusion, and in the event the visit type is PTC, their Practice appointment as well. Add-ons in the Infusion Unit are not scheduled through the regular scheduling process. These are appointments where physicians determine same-day that a patient needs treatment in the Infusion Unit. Patients arrive in the Practice for a non-chemotherapy visit, and can be sent as a same-day add-on to the Infusion Unit to receive treatments such as hydrations and other symptom treatment infusions. In these scenarios, the physician calls the Triage desk of the Infusion Unit and arranges for the arrival of the patient same-day. Triage nursing assigns the patient to a chair and a nurse, prioritizing the patient's Primary or Associate nurse if available. A common practice in scheduling is double and triple booking. This is where two or three patients are booked to a single provider or infusion nurse in the same time slot. This practice exists because there are no constraints in the scheduling software being used to prevent this, so schedulers are able to schedule a patient to their provider during their preferred appointment time, regardless if the provider is already seeing another patient in that time. Double and triple booking results in long delays on the appointment date as the provider or nurse must see two or three times the number of patients assigned to one period of time. Any delays generated in the Practice ripple down to infusion appointments, making the infusion schedule more unpredictable. 29 Chapter 4 Current State Analysis This chapter describes the symptoms surrounding the uneven utilization shown in Figure 1-1, and then identifies policies and processes in and around the Infusion Unit that have resulted in the uneven utilization. First we describe the methods and data sources used in the current state analysis, then presents the results of the analysis. 4.1 Data Sources 4.1.1 Shadowing and Interviewing Shadowing and interviewing key stakeholders revealed important insights into the operations, patient flow, and cultural underpinnings of the Cancer Center. Key stakeholders shadowed include: o Practice oncologists of several Disease Centers o Practice nurses of several Disease Centers o Infusion nurses of several Disease Centers o Infusion Central Pod Control desk where patient room assignment are made and patient tracking information is entered 30 " Infusion triage nurses Nurses who receive same day add-on requests, manage nursing schedules, make last minute patient nursing reassignments, and manage nursing operations " Pharmacy " Phlebotomy lab " Practice scheduling * Infusion scheduling. Key stakeholders interviewed include: * Executive Director of the Cancer Center " Operations Manager of the Cancer Center " Operations Manager of the Practice " Operations Manager of Infusion * Director of Clinical Services: director of nursing in the Practice " Infusion Nursing Director " Infusion head of nursing " Physician Administrator in the Practice In addition to information presented in Chapter 3, other key cultural and political takeaways from this phase are summarized below: " All stakeholders see quality of patient care as their primary motivator to drive change in the Infusion Unit. * All stakeholders agree that smoothing the daily utilization curve of the Infusion Unit is central to the solution to observed problems. 31 " The separate management structure of the Practice and the Infusion Unit significantly complicates any process to drive change. " All stakeholders agree that scheduling processes can be improved, but question the longevity of implemented improvements. The congestion problem has been tackled in several occasions in the past without permanent results. Past initiatives include mandating all Infusion-Only appointments arrive at 7am, increasing the presence of nurse practitioners in the Infusion Unit to facilitate patient condition sign offs and pharmacy orders, and encouraging patients to do blood draw in advance of the appointment at Cancer Center satellite locations. A central problem that reoccurs is the bending of scheduling processes to the preferences of patients. It has become standard to allow patients to choose their appointment times, and stakeholders see this as a major cultural barrier to change. " Very limited (if any) number of data-driven approaches have been used in the past to address utilization problems observed in the Infusion Unit. Stakeholders are eager for data to validate stated observations about the operations of the Infusion Unit. * The Pharmacy has over the years adopted many best practices of operations management, and overall functions very efficiently. Capacity problems in the pharmacy are generated by the non-uniform inflow of patients, not vice versa. 4.1.2 IT, Databases, and Data Aggregation To establish the current state analytically, information for approximately 75,000 patient visits across calendar years 2012 (CY2012) and 2013 (CY013) was aggregated and analyzed. The Cancer Center manages several databases of patient and provider information that can be used for analysis and modeling input. Each patient has a unique patient Medical Record Number (MRN) that can be used to cross reference patient visits across data sources. A recent hospital wide initiative is moving scheduling IT systems to a single integrated service called EPIC. Rollout of EPIC in the Cancer Center commenced in August of 2014, and as such several of the systems described below are not used moving forward. Regardless, these 32 systems have been used in this study to extract historical patient visit information, which are consistent regardless of the IT system used to store the data. A summary of IT systems and data sources are below: " Spectrasoft. Spectrasoft is the scheduling software used by the Infusion Unit. This system is used to schedule patients to appointment times and nurses. Changes to each appointment (such as treatment changes, time changes, and cancellations) are also completed in Spectrasoft. Each time a change is made, the system notes the time and date of the change, but does not preserve information about the appointment prior to the change. The system also tracks essential demographic and treatment information about each patient. " IDX. IDX is the scheduling software used by the Practice. This software is used to schedule all patient visits in the Practice. IDX also tracks changes to appointments, and essential patient demographic and treatment information. " Billing. The Billing database stores the treatments and services billed for each patient visit. " Patient Tracking. Patient Tracking is used by the Infusion Unit to track the location of a patient after arrival. The patient is tracked in a number of locations: waiting room, triage room, or infusion chair or bed (including the exact chair or bed number). Patient Tracking time stamps arrival and departure from each location. It is important to note that Patient Tracking is a manually entered tracking tool. This means that human error is a significant source of data inaccuracies. For example, sometimes a patient completes infusion and leaves the Infusion Unit, but the Central Pod is not notified and does not mark the patient departed in Patient Tracking at the moment the patient leaves the facility. " Add-ons. The add-ons database is a manually kept database of add-ons and conversions. This database exists as large, physical binders kept by Triage Nursing. Each day, Triage Nursing hand-writes a page of add-on and conversion information and adds the page to a binder. In addition to inherent human error, not all add-ons and conversions 33 are reported to Triage Nursing. As such, this data source is considered a reference, not a reliable source. Add-ons were identified for input into the model and other data analysis by selecting for arrived patient visits that were not previously scheduled, identified by looking at the latest appointment change date stored in Spectrasoft. 9 Provider Schedules. Provider working schedules are manually collected by the practice administrators and show physician clinic hours available for chemotherapy patient visits as of June 2014. This data source spans all physicians who see chemotherapy patients across all Disease Centers. 4.2 Current State Description 4.2.1 Summary of Problems The uneven utilization of bed and chairs in the Infusion Unit, and resulting congestion during peak hours, has the following daily symptoms: 1. Prolonged patient wait times. Patient wait times as a percentage of their total appointment cycle time is shown in Figure 4-1. The median wait time as a percentage of cycle time increases each hour in the morning, peaking at noon during the peak of congestion before decreasing again. From 10am-2pm, the 75th percentile of patients are waiting for 20% of their appointment duration. 2. Overloaded nurse workload. Nurse workload is measured by the patient/nurse ratio metric. In the Infusion Unit, nurse workload should not exceed 2:1 at any time. Figure 4-2 shows the patient/nurse ratio in the Infusion Unit throughout the day. Before 10am and after 5pm each day, on average nurses are highly underutilized, demonstrating a waste of expensive nursing resources. From 11am to 3pm, in the mean plus one standard deviation case across all days analyzed, the patient/nurse ratio exceeds the safe guideline of 2. This creates the potential for nurse overload and patient safety concerns. Shortages of nursing resources during these hours also contributes to long waiting times for patients waiting to be seated by their assigned nurse. 34 3. Inability to accept add-on patients. Add-on patients are individually accepted into the Infusion Unit when the patient's physician phones in the request to Infusion Triage Nursing. During peak hours, the congestion at times is so high that Triage Nursing rejects additional add-on patients. This is an important problem as some add-ons need rather urgent treatment. While this phenomenon is not reflected in data, both triage nursing and physicians in the Practice state that this is a regular occurrence in the Infusion Unit that can occur several times weekly. Total Wait Time/Total Cycle Time ,100 80 60 N40 20 0 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Appointment Start Time Figure 4-1:. Total wait time as a percentage of total infusion time for all infusions in 2012 and 2013 The nonuniform utilization is the result of current scheduling practices and high variation of actual patient stay from scheduled stay, which will be explored in the following sections. 4.2.2 Patient Arrival Scheduling A central cause of the nonuniform utilization of resources in the Infusion Unit is non-smooth scheduled patient arrivals. The scheduled arrival of patients in the Infusion Unit actually approximately mimics the observed utilization behavior. Scheduled duration of infusions vary depending on the treatment, ranging from 30 mintime utes to over seven hours, in half-hour increments. The Cancer Center buckets length of of an infusion in order to simplify how they consider appointments of different lengths. The buckets are defined as follows: 35 Current State: Patient/Nurse Ratio Average Ave+1SD ++ 2.5 2.0 .... S1.5 0.0 r- oc0 C) 00ci ~ p~~, 0 Time Figure 4-2: Current state patient/nurse ratio throughout the day Table 4.1: Infusion appointment scheduled duration categories Category Scheduled duration Brief Short Medium 1 hour or less (1, 3] hours (3, 5] hours Long (5,7] hours Extended over 7 hours For all appointments in 2012 and 2013, Figure 4-3 shows the boxplots of scheduled durations. On average across all appointments, patient visits are scheduled for 2.1 hours. Approximately 75% of all appointments are scheduled for 0.5 to 3 hours. We can next break down the appointments to see the composition of appointments by scheduled duration. This composition is shown in Figure 4-4. Figure 4-4 also shows the composition of total time, across the aggregate number of hours all 60 beds and chairs were occupied in the Infusion Unit, allocated for each different appointment duration. While brief and short appointments make up 75% of all appointments, they account for approximately 50% of all occupied chair hours. These plots also show that the composition of appointments by scheduled duration tends to remain steady year over year. It is important to study appointment information across the different hours of the day to 36 Scheduled Durations of All Infusions 6 5 4 0 Year Mean N CY2012 2.14 39,529 CY2013 2.13 37,156 Figure 4-3: Boxplot of scheduled durations of all infusions in 2012 and 2013 identify causes of congestion at certain hours of the day. Figure 4-5 shows which half hour of the day both PTC and Infusion-Only patients are scheduled to arrive for treatment. The current schedule is heavily biased towards the beginning of the day. Approximately 80% of all PTC appointments are scheduled to begin before 1pm, which is only 6 hours into the 13 hour operational day (46% of the day). Similarly, approximately 80% of Infusion-Only appointments are scheduled before 2:30pm, 58% into the day. Figure 4-6 shows the Practice appointment start times for PTC appointments. Practice PTC start times are also heavily biased towards the first half of the day, with 80% of the daily volume of PTC appointments starting before noon. The start of PTC Practice appointments directly affects the start times of PTC infusion appointments, as the blue curve of Figure 4-5 approximately lags the blue curve of Figure 4-6 by one hour. 4.2.3 Variation from Scheduled Patient Stay Times In addition to non-smooth scheduled arrival of patients, actual duration of patient stay can also vary greatly from scheduled duration. This stay variation contributes to operational unpredictability and delays. We first quantify the impact of stay variation on the schedule in the Infusion Unit, then look at sources of variation. Patient stay deviation from expected (scheduled) duration is identified as any difference 37 Distribution of Infusion Appointments Distribution of Total Chair Hours by Hours of Scheduled Duration by Hours of Scheduled Duration 40,000 90,000 35,000 30,000 80,000 m12 N1 .9 - 70,000 MES11 - 60,000 050000 25000 2 20,000 +-- 06 to*40000 .5 6 30,000 u4 - - - - 15,000 E10,000 .7 .3 20,000 5,000 10,000 2012 0 2013 2 2012 Year Mar 2012 2.4h N 39,529 m 0.5 2013 2013 2.13,h 37,156 Figure 4-4: Distribution of infusion appointments and total occupied chair hours in Infusion Unit by appointment hours of scheduled duration Infusion Appointment Start Times FY14QI 100% 1 ,000 . E CL 8su0 10Mwft a0 0% U 600 60% 2 400 40% U- 200 20% oi, % 0 7 8 9 10 1112 13 14 15161718 19 0 Hour of Day % MInf Only =PTCT -PTCT Cumu lative % -nf Only Cumulative Figure 4-5: Current State: Distribution of infusion start times throughout operational hours 38 Practice PTC Visits by Time of Day 100% 1,200 0 01,000 80% E 5 800 0 600 60% oU. 40% I 400 i 200 h~i-z 20% E U no/. n MVisits -Cumulative freq. (%) Figure 4-6: Current State: Distribution of PTC Practice appointment start times throughout operational hours between the appointment's scheduled duration and the actual time patients occupy a bed or chair during their treatment. Three concepts have been defined to conduct this analysis: " Stay variation is defined as the difference between actual appointment duration and scheduled duration. " Overstay is any stay variation that is positive - that is, the actual appointment duration was longer than the scheduled duration. " Understay is any stay variation that is negative - that is, the actual appointment duration was shorter than the scheduled duration. In order to quantify stay variation, we study three months (Oct - Dec 2013) of appointment data. An important distinction between overstay and understay is that overstay must be accommodated, whereas understay cannot necessarily be recovered. Overstay usually represents a patient, who has arrived and must receive treatment. Understay represents last minute unexpected resource availability, which may or may not be reallocated. 39 Thus the net stay variation represents the minimum number of unscheduled chair hours that must be accommodated in the Infusion Unit, assuming that all understay is perfectly reallocated to be used by overstay. Overstay represents the maximum number of unscheduled chair hours that must be accommodated, assuming no understay can be repurposed to be used for overstay. (Complete details and results of the analysis method are given in Appendix A.) Figure 4-7 shows the average overstay and the net stay variation (overstay - understay) by time of day, as a percentage of the available capacity (60 chairs). The results are staggering. On average, each day the Infusion Unit sees a total of 97 hours (12% capacity) of overstay (std. dev. 17.5 hours). When understay is taken into account, the Infusion Unit accommodates, on average, a total net stay variation of an additional 65 hours (std. dev. 20 hours). We observe that the overstay begins to increase sharply at 10am, remains high to absorb the consequences of the congestion, and tapers off again at the end of the day when far fewer patients are arriving. While the overstay is canceled out by the understay throughout the morning (on average), at noon it quickly surpasses any freed up capacity, and overtakes the afternoon by using up to 27% of the capacity. There are many reasons patients stay longer or shorter than the scheduled duration of the appointment. We highlight several main sources of variability in the Infusion Unit's patient flow: 1. Operational variation. This consists of any unplanned change to the length of the infusion visit due to disruptions in the regular operations. Examples include delays due to a nurse being busy, pharmacy backlog in mixing treatments, delay in blood draw processing, a patient reacting to treatment, changes in a patient's regimen after the pre-treatment clinical evaluation, and unexpected hospitalizations that require patients to wait in the Infusion Unit until a bed becomes available in the inpatient units. We note that the operational variation could increase or decrease the appointment's duration significantly, sometimes by several hours. Figure 4-8 shows how much of all observed stay variation can be attributed to cancellations and no-shows, add-ons, and operational variation. Statistics for Figure 4-8 are given in Table 4.2. Operational variation accounts for the vast majority of stay variation. There are sources of operational variation we expect will decrease naturally with more uniform utilization. These 40 % of Total Chair Capacity Utilized by Overstay &Stay Variance -Stay Variance/Capacity -Overstay/Capacity 30% 25% 20% t 15% U 10% +0 5% 0% -5% . .C. .0 <. 0.< .. a. to a Qr4 N r N m (0t a 00 Time (hour) Figure 4-7: Proportion of total capacity impacted by stay variation at different hours of the day 41 include delays due to nurse being busy and pharmacy backlog in mixing treatments. Some sources can in part be preventable. Blood draw can be performed in many cases up to 36 hours in advance, so implementing a system where patients draw blood the day before their infusion appointment can eliminate blood draw delays for that patient. Many other sources are due to clinical situations as they evolve and cannot be predicted for or prevented. These include patient reactions to treatment, changes to the patient's regimen, and unexpected hospitalizations. Excess capacity should be kept available in the schedule to absorb unavoidable and unpreventable sources of patient stay variation. 2. Cancellations and No-Shows. the former are appointments that could be canceled either by the patient's initiative or by the provider's recommendation after assessing the patient before receiving treatment. No-shows correspond to patients that did not arrive to a previously booked appointment. Both represent same day freeing up of capacity that may or may not be reallocated for other patients. Cancellations and no-shows as a proportion of all stay variation is shown in Figure 4-8, with statistics given in Table 4.2. The distribution of cancellations throughout the day is shown in Figure 4-9. More cancellations occur during the more congested hours of the day, contributing to greater schedule uncertainty at that time. Same day cancellations can often not be avoided as they generally occur as a result of clinical issues discovered same day. No-show rates can possibly be reduced with a more active appointment reminder system. 3. Same-day add-ons. These are previously unscheduled patients who need to be treated on that same day, usually following recommendation of the patient's oncologist in the Practice. The Infusion Unit accommodates them subject to chair and bed availability. Add-ons as a proportion of all stay variation is shown in Figure 4-8, with statistics given in Table 4.2. The breakdown of add-on appointment types is shown in Figure 4-10. Of all add-ons, 27.7% are hydrations. The number of add-on hydrations can likely be reduced through initiatives that more actively promote patient self-hydration at home between visits to the Cancer Center. Such initiatives have 42 great potential to reduce the number of add-ons, making Infusion Unit operations more predictable. 4. Extended Stays. Some patients are assigned by their physician to receive treat- ment(s) in addition to the ones already scheduled for them, after they arrive for their appointment. This usually happens after evaluation by the physician during a PTC visit. Extended stays can increase the time the patient occupies a chair greatly beyond their scheduled appointment duration. 43 Histogram: Stay Variation * Addons * Cancellations & No Shows * Operational Variation 25005 2000 C 1 L500 1000 E - 500 00 v-4 r m ,t In %. Stay Variation (Minutes) Figure 4-8: Proportion of total capacity impacted by stay variation at different hours of the day Table 4.2: Stay Variation Statistics Source of Variation Mean [minutes] Standard Deviation [minutes] Stay Variation Operational Variation Add-ons Cancellations and No-Shows 8.1 26.6 144.2 -162.7 111.7 80.2 107.9 -102.1 44 Distribution of PTC visits where infusion was canceled same-day =% -Overall 10.0% -- - - 1. % 14.6%- - -- - - 5 8.6% 8.0% % .... 5 - 6.0% -- - -18.0% 16.0% 14.0% ~1.41.% 12.0% ~10.5% . 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Time of Day 14 15 16 17 Figure 4-9: Distribution of same-day cancellations throughout the hours of the day ADDON TREATMENT TYPES N Hydration mOther treatments U Blood transfusion Figure 4-10: Breakdown of add-on treatment types 45 Chapter 5 Solution Approach 5.1 Objective and Overview The goal of the project is to design scheduling rules and guidelines to smooth the chair utilization in the Infusion Unit throughout the day. Specifically, we aim to minimize peak utilization on a daily basis by scheduling patient appointment times accordingly. Note that the project does not aim to change the decisions about the date of the appointment. The development of the scheduling rules were done in three phases: (i) using a retrospective integer programming model, we generated unrealistic but ideally optimized daily schedules in order to gain insights into how scheduling should have been executed; (ii) using the insights from (i), we developed a realistic real-time prospective algorithm; (iii) the prospective algorithm was tested and evaluated based on simulation using actual appointment data from CY2013. The simulation results are conservative in that it maintains all original patient stay durations, including delays that could be eliminated as a result of a smoother utilization. Parallel to the development of scheduling rules, we conducted complementary analysis to asses feasibility of implementing the proposed prospective algorithm, and identify additional process changes that should be implemented to ensure smooth transition to the new scheduling process. These additional studies looked at the effects of new scheduling processes on nursing and pharmacy workload. In the subsequent discussion, we refer to two states that describe the progression of the solution: 46 1. Optimal state. This is the state of the Infusion Unit as identified by the optimization model. 2. Proposed state. This is the state of the Infusion Unit that can be achieved according to simulation by following a set of scheduling guidelines. 5.2 Evaluation Method To assess the smoothness of the daily chair utilization in the Infusion Unit, we analyze the distribution of the peak daily utilization Pd across all calendar days studied in 2013. Peak daily utilization is the highest instantaneous occupation of chairs during one operational day. We measure the success of this study by how much the distribution of peaks under the proposed scheduling algorithm is reduced compared with the current state. Both the Retrospective Model and Prospective Real-Time Algorithm will generate schedules for each day for all booked appointments. Prior to calculation of peaks, same-day addons for each day are inserted into the schedule at the time of their original arrival in the Infusion Unit. This allows the plotting of utilization and calculation of daily peaks to reflect that same day add-ons are not booked in advance, but must be accommodated upon arrival. 5.3 Retrospective Optimization Model The Retrospective Model is an integer program (IP). The model ran on each day separately, assuming that all appointments scheduled on each day must still be scheduled on that same day. The objective function of the integer program solves for the patient arrival schedule that results in the minimum peak Pd utilization each day. 5.3.1 Integer Program We now describe the IP. First, we define some notation: 9 P : set of appointments on the day we are interested in. 47 * T : set of appointment possible start times. The set T is obtained by discretizing the operating hours into 30-minute intervals from 8am to 6pm. To accommodate infusion nursing stated constraints, no infusion will begin past 6pm, however started infusions may continue until the end of operational hours. T := {8, 8.5, ... , 18} o Hit : set of times [t - durationi,t], representing all appointment start times that will cause patient i to occupy a chair at time t. o PTC: subset of P representing all PTC appointments o RST restricted-schedule treatments are a set of appointments identified by infusion nursing that would introduce greater risk if moved to the tails of the day * D : set of oncologists * DrTIMES : oncologist availability by oncologist The decision variables will determine the optimal Infusion and Practice start times, for each patient. Decision variables are defined as follows: * For all patient i E P, with a scheduled treatment duration durations, we define xit to be 1 if patient i is starting treatment at hour t C T of that day; it is 0 otherwise. * Additionally, for all PTC patients, let yi, be 1 if patient i E PTC ; P is scheduled to see the provider at time s, with s restricted to the schedule of the corresponding provider, and 0 otherwise. We now describe the objective function and constraints. The optimization problem is defined below, followed by descriptions of the objective function and each constraint: 48 min S.t., Ut (5.1) z xih < z Vt e T (5.2) iEP hElht z < 60 (5.3) ViCEP xis = (5.4) tET Sxit(t + durationm) < Vi E P 19.5 (5.5) teT E yi, ;> xit Vi E PTC,t E T (5.6) sEDrTIMES:t-2<s<t-1&doctorsched[dri ,s]>0 yis < I Vd E D, s E DrTIMES (5.7) yis = 1 Vi E PTC (5.8) Vi E RST (5.9) iEP:dr[i]=d sEDrTIMES E yi, < 16 tET rxt > 9 Vi c RST (5.10) tcT E {0, 1} Vi, t (5.11) yis C {0, 1} Vi,s (5.12) xit The objective function and constraints are described below: (5.1) Objective function: To minimize the maximum utilization (peak) of the day (5.2) ut is defined as the utilization of the Infusion Unit at time t. This adds the number of people starting treatments at time h < t to the number of people with treatment durations that continue past t. (5.3) Capacity. Chair capacity is 60, thus no more than 60 chairs may be occupied at any time. (5.4) Demand. Demand must be met. Here this means each patient i that is scheduled for infusion that day must be scheduled for one and only one starting time xit. 49 (5.5) End of day. No treatment durations may extend past 7:30pm. The clinic closes doors at 8:00pm. Scheduled durations may not extend past 7:30pm such that 30 minute grace period is given to treatments that extend past scheduled time. (5.6) Providers' Practice Schedule. For this study we will assume no change to provider schedules. This constraint comes from Cancer Center Administration policies. A PTC patient i must see the provider between 1 to 2 hours before the appointment time in the Infusion Unit. The patient's provider d is dri and the provider's schedule is given by doctorsched, indexed by doctor d and times t. A provider dri holds clinic at time i if doctorsched[dri,t] doctorsched[dri,t] = = 1; 0 otherwise. (5.7) Provider Capacity. A provider can only be scheduled to see one patient during each appointment time slot. This is a departure from existing practice, and has been identified as an important constraint to minimize variability and delays during each day. Elimination of double and triple booking still yielded a feasible schedule for all days tested, however non infusion linked appointments may need to be pushed to the beginning and ends of providers' schedules. (5.8) Practice Appointment. Each PTC patient must be scheduled for one and only one appointment with their provider. (5.9) Restricted-schedule treatment end of day. All appointments whose appointment types are identified by RST must start before 4pm. (5.10) Restricted-schedule treatment start of day. All appointments whose appointment types are identified by RST must start before after 9am. The Retrospective Model takes as input information about booked patient visits from 243 operating weekdays in calendar year 2013. Appointments falling on days that have been identified as outliers have been removed from the data set. Outlier days include Saturdays when operational hours are abridged, and holidays as listed in Appendix C. We used CPLEX 11.2.1 and AMPL on a PC with 2.83GHz and 3 GB of RAM to run the Retrospective Model. For each day, the integer program solved for between 2,000 and 2,500 constraints, and between 3,500 and 4,000 binary decision variables. The optimality gap for solutions each day is between 2% and 5%. The average time to solve the integer program 50 for a single day is 0.50 seconds (122 seconds for 243 days). 5.3.2 Retrospective Model Results Figures 5-1 and 5-2 describe the optimized state of the Infusion Unit over CY2013. The distribution of the peak in the optimal state is significantly improved compared to the distribution of the peak in the current state. The utilization plot of Figure 5-1 shows the mean utilization per time of day across CY2013 as a solid line, with one standard deviation error bars. Figure 5-1 shows that with optimized patient arrival times into the Infusion Unit, the average peak daily utilization can be greatly reduced. Additionally, periods of high underutilization in the current state demonstrate increased utilization, resulting in a smoother utilization curve. This behavior is described numerically in Figure 5-2, which is generated by calculating the peak utilization of each of the 243 days, Pd, and analyzing the distribution of the 243 resulting data points. This figure shows that the current state average daily peak can be reduced by 21 chairs, or 35% of total capacity, at the median. This represents a 36% peak reduction. Further, the current state maximum peak daily utilization Pd,ma across 2013 is also reduced by 21 chairs, and the coefficient of variation across days reduces from 13.3 to 11.9. The results also demonstrate a marked reduction in variation across different days of operation. In order to identify scheduling trends that result in the optimal state, results are bucketed and analyzed along three dimensions: (i) Infusion-Only vs. PTC; (ii) appointment start time; and (iii) appointment start time by duration. Analyzing these results shows that InfusionOnly appointments and PTC appointments are scheduled very differently by the optimized retrospective model. We now discuss scheduling insights separately for Infusion-Only and PTC appointments. 51 -Retrospective -Original 70 60 .50 u40 0 30 20 20 0 000 r4 I Wr4 N W4 (0 r-4 mr UN r 4V w r4 r Wy4 W4 00 M' V4 Time (half hour) Figure 5-1: Retrospective Model Results: daily utilization 52 0 N Ariina 0w etrospect 70- 70 65- 65 10 60 _60 5-5- 55 .2 z 30 0 ZU Z a.m Count 10%maximum Count 10.0 fl maximum 0quartile 50%median Womaximum median 50% maximum 02 59 71 5quartile miium Mean Std Dew CV 50 546 569 mium 2 Mean td Dev, CV 572 7.62 133 41 38 50 35 2 3787 4.540 11.9 Figure 5-2: Retrospective Model Results: distribution of daily peak utilization 53 Infusion-Only Start Times. 100% 90% -- 80% - -2 6 0% ---------- ---- --70% Original . - - - - 00% 20% cL 50% -- - - -- - - ... .... - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - - - - - - 100% - U Optimized - - - 90% - 80% . --- ..% 4... 0% ... ..... U C LL.Il 20% 10% 0% 20% 10% -.. - -.. .-.8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 0% 18 Start Time (hour) Figure 5-3: Retrospective Model Results: Infusion-Only Start Times Infusion-Only We analyze the Retrospective Model solution and see several insights regarding Infusion-Only appointments. Figure 5-3 shows the current state and optimal state number of Infusion-Only appointments that start at each time of the day. Figure 5-4 shows the cumulative amount of Infusion-Only appointments that have started throughout the day, where appointments are bucketed by their scheduled duration. The following insights can be inferred from analyzing Figures 5-3 and 5-4: 9 In the Retrospective solution, nearly all (86%) Infusion-Only appointments for all days analyzed in CY2013 are scheduled to start at 8:00am, regardless of duration. The intuition is that PTC appointments cannot begin at 8am because the patient is required to see the physician first. Physician schedules begin as early as 8am, so the first PTC appointments that can arrive in infusion are one hour after that, or 9am. As such, scheduling early Infusion-Only appointments fills the capacity from 8am-9am to reduce underutilization in that period. Infusion-Only appointments not scheduled to 54 Optimized Infusion Only Start Times by Duration 00% a0% -brie 60% F -shor med ium E 40% 20% -exte nded 0% 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Start Time (Half Hour) 16 17 18 Figure 5-4: Retrospective Model Results: Infusion-Only cumulative start time by appointment duration start at 8:00am fall into two categories: - The appointment type is in RST and must begin between 9am-4pm. - The specific day has an abnormally high number of Infusion-Only appointments, such that if all Infusion-Only appointments were to start at 8am, the daily peak would increase. After a certain number of Infusion Appointments have been scheduled at 8am, the rest are scheduled later in the day. * The maximum number of Infusion-Only appointments beginning at 8am across CY2013 is 35. PTC We now discuss insights from Retrospective results regarding PTC appointments. Figure 5-5 shows the current state and optimal state number of PTC appointments that start at each time of day. Figure 5-6 shows the cumulative amount of PTC appointments that have started throughout the day, where appointments are bucketed by their scheduled duration. The following can be inferred from analyzing Figures 5-5 and 5-6: * Except for a larger volume at 9:00am, start times are relatively evenly distributed across all possible start times throughout the day. This is a departure from the Current State, 55 PTC Infusion Start Times 16% - 14% -- 100% - Original U Optimized--- - - 80% 12%.-.-.-.-.- 70% .3: 10% - F- 8% 0 6% -- - -- 60% U 50% .2 40% U 30% 4%20 20% 2% 10% 0 -.-.-.-. -... -.... -... -..-... 16 15 14 13 12 Start Time (hour) % 0% 9 8 10 11 17 18 Figure 5-5: Retrospective Model Results: PTC infusion start times Optimized PTCT Start Times by Duration . ... - 1J ....... 2i(U - .... -brief ............ .... ..... .......... ... ............ .......... ................... ....... .......... 40% . -5 60% - 0 . ......... ............ ......... ...... ............................ 80% -short -medium -long 20% -extended 0% 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Start Time (half hour) 16 17 18 duraFigure 5-6: Retrospective Model Results: PTC cumulative start time by appointment tion 56 where the majority of PTC appointments begin in the morning, and minimal begin after 4:00pm. 9 PTC appointments are typically scheduled, such that they end as close as possible to the end of of operating hours in the Infusion Unit. Figure 5-6 shows that all appointments regardless of duration surge to fully scheduled at the latest hour the appointment can be scheduled, such that the appointment ends before closing time. This is done because the end of the day 6pm-8pm is a period when no appointments are scheduled to begin. As such existing appointments must extend into that period to reduce underutilization. In effect, PTC appointments are scheduled uniformly throughout the day in such a way to fill in periods of underutilization. 5.4 Prospective Real-Time Algorithm The Prospective Model schedules patients in real-time one by one, based only on what is known about appointments already scheduled up to that point. The scheduling algorithm has been refined until a final set of proposed guidelines are arrived at iteratively, which surprisingly results in a utilization curve that closely mimics the utilization curve of the optimized state. We will first describe how the proposed algorithm arrives at a single appointment time for each patient. Then we explain how the algorithm is further developed to incorporate patient desires by giving them two scheduling options to choose from. All constraints set forth in Section 5.3.1 are implemented in the Prospective Model as they were described in the Retrospective Model. In this way, the Prospective Model mimics the environment of the Retrospective Model exactly except for the scheduling algorithm imposed on each appointment. Any variation of utilization results between the Prospective and Retrospective Model can then be directly attributed to the scheduling algorithm, rather than to modeling methods. 5.4.1 Scheduling Algorithm Description The proposed scheduling algorithm treats Infusion-Only and PTC appointments differently. 57 Infusion-Only Appointments Results of the Retrospective Model show that Infusion-Only appointments were scheduled as early as possible, depending on whether it was RST, and that the number of appointments scheduled at 8am never exceeds 35 across 2013. The scheduling guidelines for Infusion-Only appointments are as follows: 1. If the appointment type is not identified as a restricted-schedule treatment, schedule the appointment at 8am 2. If the appointment type is identified as restricted-schedule treatment, schedule the appointment at 9am. 3. If at 8am, 35 appointments are already scheduled, schedule the appointment according to the Max(Max-Min) method described below. 58 PTC Appointments Based on the fact that the optimal PTC infusion starting times in the Retrospective Model results showed an almost perfectly even distribution throughout the day, we designed scheduling rules that are agnostic and, at the same time, assign start times to each incoming appointment in a way that preserves the smoothness of the utilization as much as possible. In essence, the algorithm does the following: 1. Find all feasible appointment slots that minimally affect the peak 2. Within this set, find the slots with the lowest minimum utilization in the time period affected by selecting that slot In detail, when a patient needs to schedule an appointment, the following algorithm is executed using information provided about the patient and appointment to be scheduled: 1. [Step 1] Determine feasible appointment times in the Practice given provider's availability, PracticeTimes. 2. [Step 2] Determine feasible appointment start times in the Infusion Unit based on PracticeTimes, Infusion Unit constraints and whether appointment is a restrictedschedule treatment, InfusionTimes. 3. [Step 3] Among options that minimize the peak, determine optimal appointment time(s), OptimalTimes, that fall into the interval with the lowest minimum. This process is referred to as the Max(Max-Min) method, with an illustrative example presented in Figure 5-7: (a) [Step 3.a] For each start time S E InfusionTimes, calculate what would be the new utilization levels U(s)d,t and new p(s)d should the appointment be scheduled at time s (b) [Step 3.b] Update InfusionTimes +- {s* E InfusionTimess* = argmin{p(s)d}}. Update Pd +- p(s*)d. 59 (c) [Step 3.c] For each start time s E InfusionTimes, compute u,(s) = min{u(s)d,tt = s, ... , s + duration}, the minimum utilization within that appointment's duration given start time s. (d) [Step 3.d] For each start time s E InfusionTimes, compute gap(s) = pd -u.(s), the difference between the day's peak utilization and the minimum utilization associated with start time s. (e) [Step 3.e] Compute OptimalTimes <- {s** E InfusionTimess** = argmax{gap(s)}}, the set of starting times that maximize the gap computed in Step 3.c. 4. [Step 4] Select randomly from OptimalTimes as the start time of the appointment. 5. [Step 5] Update the patient's provider availability and the current utilization table to include the corresponding new appointments. 5.4.2 Prospective Model Performance Assessment The proposed real-time algorithm is highly promising. Figures 5-8 and 5-9 show the results of the base Prospective Model, comparing the results to those of the Retrospective Model and Current State. Despite the loss of information between the optimization and simulation models, the utilization curve generated by following the prospective scheduling algorithm closely mimics that produced by integer programming (Figure 5-8). During a large portion of the day, the two utilization curves approximately overlap - the average difference from 9am-lpm of the mean utilization between the results of the Retrospective and Prospective models is only 0.4 chairs. At no instant during the day do the two mean utilization curves differ by more than 4 chairs. Figure 5-9 shows that the median peak across 2013 in the proposed state is 39 chairs. This is only 1 chair more than the median peak in the optimal state, and an improvement of 20 chairs, or 33% of capacity, over the current state. The same improvement is observed for the maximum peak across 2013. The maximum peak utilization generated by the Prospective Model across 243 days of 2013 is 52 chairs. That number is safely below capacity, only 2 60 Goal: To sdiedule PTC appointment with given parameters: 15-5 16116-51 i71 17.5 i18 18.s5 19 .5 IF,115 18I1 .-5 19113.5 1101 1.0-S I 111151121 12-51 131 13.5 114 3 121 2 121 2 131 U 13 3 141 5 1 4 5 4 3 3 1212 2 2 1 1 infusiomTimes = 11.5,14.5, 17-5, 18} Appointment duratiaow 15 hours Step3.a S =11.5 t U(11.5 181 8-S5191:9-.51101 I-10. ILLS.1121121131 13.S1141 14-S 151 :15-S51161 16-5 JI71 17.5113118-519 191 .-51 1 1 4413 1312212212 2 21221313 13 1 45 61I p(115), =6 s =145 151 5.16j 16.5 17j 17.5j1818-S19j 195 t a 8.51919.5110110-511 11 l.51112.5 131 13.5 141 14.51S 2121111 14 122121 14 S 555S41 u(14-5)t21 2223313314 p (145)o = 5 1 s =17.5 1I181515195 Il &S 18591:9.5110110.51I111-1I12112-51131135114114-5IS Ih 15.I6116.5117S 212213 121 a(17-. 1313 13 14 55 51IS14 14131 3 1221213 3 211 I p (17-5), = 5 _____ s =18 t181 U(11 P 1 &51919511011051 Ill11.5112112.51131135114114-SI1151 15.5IJ11665117117-51 I18.5I9nI.I 132121 5 141 4 131 3 121 2 121 2 5 3 131 3 141 5 2212231 (1d)= 5 Step 3.b Infusion7iwes = 1145, 17.5, 181 PIg=5 Step 3.c 14.5, u.(14.5) = 4 s =175, u.(17-5)= 2 s = 8, u.(18)= 2 s = Step 3d s = 14.5, gap 114.5):= 5 - 4 = 1 3 s =17.5, gap (17S)= 5 - 2= s =18, gap (18)= 5 - 2= 3 Step 3.e OptknMlTumes = {17-5, 18} Figure 5-7: Representative Example of Prospective Algorithm Step 3: Method, with given parameters 61 Max(Max-Min) -Retrospective -Original -Prospective 70 60 0 50 0. -c 20 10 0 i -I i4 M- -IMq- q4e--I i 4N Time (half hour) Figure 5-8: Prospective Model daily utilization chairs more than the optimal state, and 19 chairs (32% of capacity) improvement over the current state. The bottom of Figure 5-9 shows the mean, standard deviation, and coefficient of variation of the daily peaks for the current state, Retrospective Model, and Prospective Model. The coefficient of variation in the daily peaks for the current state is 13.3, whereas that for the proposed state is 12.4. The proposed algorithm reduces the variation in the daily peak, suggesting that following the algorithm will generate more predictable utilization of chairs from day to day. 62 ACi 75- 76 70- Ses 70- 6560- 6D- 55- 55 4so 50 50u 5D- 40 40i 40 35- 'b 35 - ~552 _Retrospec - - SOrigkwa isv----- 35 30 301 0 0 10 20 30 40 Count maxiftwm quartite median quartie Mnimum 10 2D 30 40 0 50 -Count 71 69 62 59 53 40 28 7U2 7 .62 33 Aiwd xmum quartile median quartile minimum 5D 46 41 38 35 30 27 3737 4.540 119 10 20 30 40 50 Count maiUnum quartile median quartile mfiwnum 52 49 42 39 36 28 25 393 4M8 12A Figure 5-9: Prospective Model distribution of daily peak utilization 63 The model is built in R and run on a 1.8GHz PC with 4GB RAM. The runtime 243 days is 227 seconds, averaging 0.93 seconds runtime for each day. The Prospective Model must be run, for each appointment at booking. Using an average 135 booked appointments per day, this equates to 0.007 seconds model runtime for each booking. 5.4.3 Incorporating Patients Choices We now describe how the algorithm is amended to give each patient two scheduling options. Stakeholders supporting giving the patient more than one option believe it will smooth the cultural transition for patients and schedulers during implementation. Some patients are very ill or very elderly and thus have strong preferences for appointment time of day. Other patients are generally accustomed to receiving a choice during scheduling, and resist being given only one option. To arrive at the two options to present to the patient, the algorithm sequentially traverses through a series of buckets of increasingly less constrained set of possible appointment times. The traversal terminates at the first bucket that contains at least two options. All buckets still satisfy hard constraints set forth by the Retrospective Model. The hierarchical series of buckets are in the following order: 1. Appointments that fully satisfy Max(Max-Min) 2. Appointments that satisfy either Max(Max-Min) or NextMax(Max-Min), where NextMax(MaxMin) is the calculation of Max(Max-Min) should Max(Max-Min) be removed from the list 3. Any appointment that does not increase the existing peak of the day Pd 4. Any appointment in InfusionTimes Upon termination of bucket traversal, the patient is presented with the earliest and latest options from that bucket as their two options to select from. For example, if OptimalTimes is the list of appointment options, {14, 14.5, 15}, the patient would be offered 2pm and 3pm as options. If however OptimalTimes is the list 64 { 14}, the algorithm would then also consider appointment times that satisfy NextMax(MaxMin). If the new list is {10, 10.5, 11, 14}, the patient would be offered 10am and 2pm as options. Biased patient selection To simulate patient selection between the two options, we make the assumption that the current state of high utilization during the hours of 10am-2pm reflects patient preference to book appointments in this period. The simulation attempts to capture this preference behavior using the following patient selection modeling: 1. If the patient is given two options in the period 10am-2pm, the patient selects randomly between the two options. 2. If the patient is given one option in the period 10am-2pm, and one option outside this period, the patient selects the option within the 10am-2pm period with probability p. In order to demonstrate the worst case scenario, results will be shown for p = 1. 3. If the patient is given two options outside the 10am-2pm period, the patient selects randomly between the two options. Results Figure 5-10 compares the utilization in scenario where the patient is given one scheduling choice with the scenario where the patient is given two choices. Giving the patient two choices, to a small extent, diminishes the smoothness of the utilization curve, with greater non-uniformity observed from 12pm to 3pm. The intuition is that more patients are choosing the 10am-2pm period of time, so the number of patients begins to build around 10am, affecting the time delayed period of 12pm to 3pm. Overall the utilization curve giving the patient two choices is still very smooth compared to the current state. Figure 5-11 compares the daily peaks that would result from giving the patient only 1 option, or giving the patient two options. There is a clear operational tradeoff for giving the patient a second choice, assuming the patient is biased towards the currently congested period. The median 65 -Giving Patient I Option -Giving Patient 2 Options 60 50 'r. 40 030 10 0 00 M~ 0 t-I rq r4 N V4 ME u-4 IV %_4 W in V-I 4 r% u-I a% 00 u-I r4 0 Time (half hour) Figure 5-10: Comparison of Utilization for Giving the Patient 1 Option vs. 2 Options peak across 243 days increases from 39 to 41, and the max peak increases from 52 to 57. The coefficient of variation across days increases from 12.4 to 13.9, representing increased variation and thus less predictable day to day schedule. However, the tradeoff in peak utilization can be justified by a smoother transition to the new scheduling process and respect for patients who need choice due to age or clinical need. 66 GMng Patient I Choice GI ving Patient 2 choices li 70- 70- 65- 65 60- 60 50- 50 45- 45 40- 40 35- 35 30 30 25~ 0 10 20 30 40 50 Count 25 - z. 55~ 55- b 0 10 20 30 40 50 Count 52 10%maximum 49 42 39 57 54 quartie median 36 auartide 45 41 38 28 26 412 5.77 139 28 25 393 428 12A minimum Figure 5-11: Comparison of Daily Peaks for Giving the Patient 1 Option vs. 2 Options 67 Figure 5-12 shows how many hours between the two appointment options were given for all appointments. The options given to patients for the most part do present the patient with the perception of choice. In 60% of cases, the patient was given two options at least two hours apart. In 19% of cases patients are given options only 30 minutes apart. In these cases imposed to the perception of choice is not strong, however limits on patient choice must be maintain the operational advantage of the proposed algorithm. 0 to Figure 5-12: Time difference [hours] between first and second appointment option offered patients Two other methods to give the patient 2 choices were also tested as a part of this study. They are less promising, and available in Appendix E. 5.5 Complementary Feasibility Assessment affect The implementation of the scheduling algorithm changes the patient load, which will and the workload of staff throughout the day. It is important to ensure the staffing of nurses staffing pharmacists can handle the new pattern of patient arrivals. Otherwise shortage of In order will cause delays, reversing the positive outcomes of the scheduling process changes. hurdles to present a complete solution that actively considers and resolves these possible to implementation, additional analyses must be conducted to verify that the scheduling with algorithm can be implemented by current staffing patterns, or can be accommodated minor changes. The following studies were conducted to enable implementation: * Primary Nursing Study: Verifies the new scheduling algorithm respects the Primary 68 Nursing Model currently used in the Infusion Unit " Pharmacy Study: Analyzes the effect of the new scheduling algorithm on pharmacy load, and suggests process improvements in the pharmacy that will accommodate changes in load " Nursing Load Study: Considers current nursing staffing in the Infusion Unit and any necessary changes This chapter will describe how each study was conducted, and the results and conclusions derived from each study. 5.5.1 Primary Nursing Study Methodology As described in Chapter 4, the Primary Nursing Model is considered a crucial aspect of patient care in the Infusion Unit that cannot be compromised. Analysis is conducted to confirm that the scheduling algorithm proposed by this thesis does not negatively impact the Primary Nursing Model. Negative impact here is defined as resulting in fewer patient visits assigned to the patient's primary nurse compared to the current state. The Primary Nursing Study cross references the new schedule of patients produced by the Prospective Model with databases of patient Primary and Associate Nurse assignments and nursing shift assignments to determine how many patient visits can be assigned to the patient's Primary or Associate Nurse. Additional data sets were required to complete this study: * Patient Primary Nurse Assignment: Acquired from patient records held by MGH " Patient Associate Nurse Assignment: Derived from patient scheduling records, where the nurse that the patient saw next most often after the Primary Nurse was defined as the Associate Nurse for that patient " Infusion Unit nursing shift schedules: Acquired from Infusion Unit triage nursing 69 Prospective Model Original Figure 5-13: Results: Proposed State adherence to Primary Nursing Model The left diagram of Figure 5-13 shows the distribution of patients who see their Primary and Associate nurses in the current state during calendar year 2013. In the current state, taking into account all last minute patient nurse reassignments, 69% of patient visits were assigned to the Primary Nurse. Another 19% were assigned to the Associate Nurse. In 12% of all patient visits, both the Primary and Assoicate nurse were not present or otherwise unavailable to take care of the patient during that visit. Using the output of the Prospective Model, for each patient appointment, the study does the following: 1. Look up patient's Primary Nurse 2. Look up the Primary Nurse's availability schedule for the appointment date and time 3. If the Primary Nurse is available (working and does not have another patient scheduled at that time), assign the Primary Nurse to be the nurse for the appointment 4. If the Primary Nurse is unavailable: (a) Look up patient's Associate Nurse (b) Look up the Associate Nurse's availability schedule for the appointment date and time 70 (c) If the Associate Nurse is available (working and does not have another patient scheduled at that time), assign the Associate Nurse to be the nurse for the appointment (d) If the Associate Nurse is unavailable, assign a randomly selected nurse from the same Disease Center to the appointment This method cannot account for any last minute nursing assignment changes. For ex- ample, should a nurse take a last minute leave of absence, that nurse's patients for the day would be reassigned to other nurses on staff for the day. Results should be considered the best case scenario based on nursing staffing. Results Figure 5-13 compares adherence to the Primary Nursing Model in the current state and proposed state. The study confirms that the proposed scheduling algorithm does not negatively impact Primary Nursing. In the proposed state, 84% of patient visits can be assigned to the Primary Nurse, whereas in the current state 69% of appointments did so. Additionally, only 2% of appointments in the proposed state could not see either a Primary or Associate nurse, compared to 12% in the current state. The reason for the projected improved adherence to the Primary Nursing Model could be explained as follows. Nurses, with few exceptions, work 10 or 12 hour shifts. In the current state, each nurse is staffed all day, while seeing most of their patients from 10am-2pm. During this 4 hour period, the Infusion Unit experiences nursing constraints due to high utilization. As a result, patients may be reassigned to other nurses in the event that their Primary Nurse is occupied. In the proposed state, patient arrivals are spread more evenly across operational hours. This disperses the arrival of a nurse's patients throughout the day, resulting in fewer reassignments. Nursing schedules did not turn out to be a significant constraint in the proposed state because nurses that are scheduled to work each day are also scheduled to work nearly all hours in that day. The Primary Nursing Study concludes that adherence to the Primary Nursing Model is not expected to be a barrier to implementation of the proposed scheduling algorithm. 71 5.5.2 Pharmacy Study Pharmacy Work Flow The Infusion Unit has a dedicated, co-located pharmacy that mixes infusion treatments inhouse. The pharmacy operates 7am-8:30pm on weekdays to accommodate all operational hours of the Infusion Unit. Infusion Unit nursing gives the signal to mix a treatment to the pharmacy once the patient has arrived in the waiting room and orders are received from the patient's oncologist. The pharmacy operates as an assembly line with four stations: Processing, Quality Assurance, Mixing, and Checkout. Registered pharmacists (RPh) staff Processing, Quality Assurance and Checkout, and technicians staff Mixing. All pharmacists are cross trained to be flexible to move to any of the RPh-staffed stations at any time. Currently the pharmacy is staffed to accommodate the period of high patient arrivals from 10am-2pm. This means the number of pharmacists working is highest in the middle of the day. With the new patient arrival patterns of the proposed algorithm, the time the highest number of infusions begin is 8am, when currently the pharmacy is minimally staffed. This study will consider what process changes can enable the pharmacy to accommodate the shift in patient load without the need for additional headcount. Methodology Pharmacy staffing level is measured by how many RPh are on staff at any time. Technicians are staffed according to how many RPh are on duty. The pharmacy staffs according to seven different staffing regions. Each staffing region is a unique combination of time of day and number of RPh on staff. The current state staffing regions are structured as shown in Table 5.1. To minimize impact on the pharmacy, we assumed that the shift hours stay as in the current state. Staffing regions defined in Table 5.1 will be preserved, and this study only considers how the number of RPhs needs to be shifted within these regions. This study finds pharmacy process changes that would allow the throughput per region across all regions in the proposed state not to exceed that of current state when fully staffed. Pharmacy throughput is defined on an hourly basis. Hourly throughput is defined as the 72 Table 5.1: Pharmacy Staffing Regions: Current State Staffing Region Region Region Region Region Region Region Region 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Time Period Current state number of RPh on staff 7:00am-8:00am 8:00am-9:00am 9:00am-12:00pm 12:00pm-3:30pm 3:30pm-4:30pm 4:30pm-5:30pm 5:30pm-8:30pm 3 8 11 12 8 4 1 Current State: Pharmacy Throughput by Staffing Region to 0 2a . ........ Regioni Region2 Region3 Region4 Region5 Region6 Region7 Pharmacy Staffing Region Figure 5-14: Current State: Pharmacy Throughput by Staffing Region number of treatments mixed during a period of one hour. Specifically we measure how many treatments are checked out from the pharmacy each hour. The throughput per staffing period is defined as the hourly throughput that represents the highest throughput hour during that staffing region. Figure 5-14 shows the current state maximum hourly throughput per staffing region. When the pharmacy is fully staffed (Region 4), the pharmacy's throughput capacity is on average 17 treatments per hour. At maximum, the pharmacy is capable of an output of 27 treatments per hour, fully staffed. This number serves as the capacity of the pharmacy with no additional headcount. The goal of the Pharmacy Study is to find process changes that will enable all staffing 73 Prospective Model Proposed State: Pharmacy Throughput by Staffing Region ko ... . . . II Region1 . . 0 -s Region2 Regon3 Region4 Regaon5 Regton6 Region7 Pharmacy Staffing Region Figure 5-15: Proposed state pharmacy load assuming no additional process improvements or algorithm tweaks regions in the proposed state not to exceed that of Region 4 of the current state. When that is true, we can conclude that the new pharmacy load can be accommodated in the pharmacy with only staffing shift adjustments and no additional headcount. Results Figure 5-15 shows the proposed state pharmacy throughput by staffing region. This figure shows that the proposed state cannot be sustained in the pharmacy without additional headcount. The throughput required of Region 1 exceeds 17 in the median and exceeds 27 in the maximum. Throughput required of Region 2 also exceeds 27 in the maximum. The Pharmacy Manager provided a conservative list of treatments that can be mixed 24 hours in advance. This list includes treatments that are considered low risk and low cost to premix. We propose that the day before during periods of low demand, the pharmacy premix this conservative list of treatments according to scheduled treatments beginning at 8am and 9am each day. Pharmacy load decreases dramatically after 5:30pm, but is still staffed until 8pm. The period 5:30pm-8pm is a time of spare pharmacy capacity that can be used to premix for the next day. 74 Prospective Model Proposed State: Max Daily Pharmacy Throughput by Staffing Region Conservative Premix 0. 0~ Regioni Region2 Regon3 Region4 Region5 RegionS Regionl Premix Figure 5-16: Pharmacy throughput by staffing region including conservative premix for 8am and 9am appointments Figures 5-16 show the pharmacy throughput by staffing region incorporating conservative premix of 8am and 9am appointments. The maximum throughput in the pharmacy throughout all days and all staffing regions remains below 27, and the median remains well below 17. Implementing premix will allow the pharmacy to accommodate the new patient load without additional headcount. Several other options for the pharmacy were also explored as a part of this study, and results of those options are shown in Appendix F. 5.5.3 Nursing Load Study Methodology The Nursing Load Study seeks to identify potential need for infusion nursing staffing changes in the Infusion Unit. The Finance Department of Patient Care Services budgets nursing staffing assuming patient/nurse ratio of 2:1. This ratio is set in order to maintain patient safety and prevent nurse overwork. Patient/nurse ratio higher than 2:1 is considered un- desirable but is accepted occasionally in the current state. The Infusion Unit is flexible to adjust nursing shifts, however is averse to adding additional staff. The Nursing Load Study seeks to confirm that no additional nursing headcount must be added, and to consider any potential need to adjust nursing shifts for a few nurses. Nursing shifts are scheduled for 10 or 12 hours. Over 30 nurses are scheduled during fully 75 Infusion Unit Nursing Staffing: Current State -Average --.Max -- Min 35 4) 4.20 150 0 q - r4J evl qr uLn r- t,-. co 4m 0 0 oo 0 Time Figure 5-17: Current State: Number of nurses on staff by time of day staffed periods of each day to care for patients in 60 chairs. Due to last minute vacations, nurses family emergencies, injuries, and other leaves of absences, on average the number of working during fully staffed hours is 28 nurses. Figure 5-17 shows the average, minimum, and maximum number of nurses working throughout the day across the one months analysis period of September 22, 2014 to October 17, 2014. = The Nursing Load Study determines patient/nurse ratio according to: Patient/Nurse 5-17. Ut/Nt. Nt is the number of nurses on staff at time t in the current state (Figure Ut is the utilization at time t (Figure 1-1), equivalent to the number of patients receiving treatment at each time of day. The current state mean and mean plus one standard deviation deviation patient/nurse ratio is computed as shown in Figure 5-18. The mean plus 1 standard ratio exceeds 2:1 for four hours of the day, 11am-3pm. For all other times of the day, expensive nurse resources are underutilized. by The Nursing Load Study computes the patient/nurse ratio for the proposed state proposed state replacing ut of the current state with ut of the proposed state to compute the patient/nurse ratio. 76 Current State: Patient/Nurse Ratio Average ..... Ave+1SD 2.5 0 2.0 cr1.5 1.0 Time Figure 5-18: Current State: Patient/Nurse Ratio by time of day 77 Results The results of the Nursing Load Study are shown in Figure 5-19. The study conclusively determines no additional nursing headcount must be added in order to implement the proposed scheduling algorithm. For all hours of the day, at average utilization, the ratio remains below 2:1. For most operating hours 7:00am-6:30pm, average patient/nurse ratio approaches half the target ratio, suggesting the potential to reduce nursing staffing during that period. The mean plus 1 standard deviation patient/nurse ratio also remains below 2 for all but one hour 6:30-7:30pm. In order to fully respect the target ratio, and because there is projected excess of nursing resources from 7:00am-6:30pm, the Infusion Unit should consider changing the nursing shift of one or two nurses to cover the end of the day 6:30pm-8:00pm. The Patient Care Services Finance Department has stated that the shifting of nursing schedules will not be a problem, and will be completed in phases as the proposed algorithm gets rolled out. Finance Department representatives also agree no additional nursing headcount needs to be added to the staff before implementation of the scheduling algorithm. As such, the Nursing Load Study concludes that nursing staffing considerations are not a barrier to implementation of the proposed algorithm. 78 Patient/Nurse Ratio Patient: Average, Average+1SD utilization from Prospective Model Nurse: Average current nurse staffing -Average -- Ave+1SD 3.0 0 m2.5 v 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 r, o q i r4 rI rr to ri ro ri p Time Figure 5-19: Patient/Nurse Ratio proposed state with existing nursing staffing 79 Chapter 6 & Recommendations, Future Work, Conclusions 6.1 6.1.1 Operational Recommendations Scheduling Recommendations Based on the positive results of modeling the proposed state, and the demonstrated potential to recover 33% of capacity at the median peak of the day, the study recommends implementing the proposed scheduling algorithm that gives the patient two scheduling choices. Specifically, the study recommends scheduling Infusion-Only appointments at the beginning of the day (as described by Section 5.4.1, and PTC appointments according to the Max(MaxMin) method (Section 5.4.1). The number of patients beginning infusion at 8am should be set to 35 patients. During implementation, Cancer Center management should evaluate the load the 35 patient cap imposes on the various resources in the Infusion Unit to determine whether a different cap should be considered. 6.1.2 Process Change Recommendations The algorithm should be built into new, custom scheduling IT. There are many benefits. First, it makes the transition smoother for schedulers, as they would not need to learn the algorithm themselves, but simply click buttons in a similar process as they do now. Second, 80 it allows the schedulers to tell patients that the IT does not allow them to book appointments outside of options provided. This provides schedulers a way out when patients object that they used to be able to pick any appointment time they choose. Third, it would reduce the number of ways schedulers and physicians can work around or ignore the algorithm in favor of patient preferences. Scheduling between the Practice and Infusion Unit should be centralized. Recall that in the current state, schedulers sitting in both the Practice and Infusion Unit schedule the same appointment. This has political difficulties as both the Practice and Infusion Unit consider in-house scheduling to be a source of power over patient flow. However, there are no operational justifications for why the existing scheduling structure should be maintained, other than inertia. The pharmacy should implement the process of premixing the conservative list of treatments provided by the Pharmacy Manager. Premixing has been implemented in the past during a pharmacy shutdown period, so the various parties responsible for and affected by premixing have successfully completed the transition before. The premix load of on average 12 treatments should be processed from 5:30pm-8pm. No new pharmacy orders are regularly expected to arrive during this time because all patients have already been scheduled to arrive. The Pharmacy Manager has stated she expects the premix load to be easily completed in that length of time. 6.1.3 Staffing Recommendations There is no projected need for additional headcount in order to implement the proposed scheduling algorithm. Minimal staffing adjustments are recommended: " Practice: No change is recommended in the Practice, as the study took Practice schedules as given. There is potential to study and recommend an optimized physician schedule that would further improve the utilization of the Infusion Unit, but that is outside the scope of this work. " Infusion Nursing: The schedules of one or two nurses should be adjusted to be the later shift ending at 8pm. Triage nursing states that there are many nurses willing to 81 make that adjustment as those times work better in their lives. The Finance Department also plans to monitor staffing as the changes are rolled out to observe times of day when staff reduction might be possible. " Infusion Support Staff: The expected increase in patient load during morning hours might require the addition of one more staff member to the Front Desk and one more to the Central Pod at 7am. The Infusion Unit Operations Manager plans to shift resources from later in the day to early in the day, as the demand on the Front Desk and Central Pod diminish at the end of the day once all patients are checked in and assigned a chair. Support staff management also state their entire staff is cross trained and able to switch between roles as needed. " Pharmacy: With the new proposed process changes in the pharmacy, pharmacy will need one additional pharmacist to begin at 7am. Pharmacy management states there are many existing pharmacists that would prefer the earlier shift and does not see a problem making this adjustment. Pharmacy will adjust staffing iteratively as the process changes are rolled out. " Scheduling Team: The now separate Practice and Infusion Unit scheduling teams should be unified into a single scheduling team. This has the potential to reduce redundant headcount on the scheduling team. 6.2 Future Work During the course of this study, we identified several areas of the MGH Cancer Center that could benefit from further analysis and process improvements: 9 Stay Variation Study Extension The Stay Variation study quantified the high impact of unscheduled chair utilization in the Infusion Unit on daily operation. Patient stays are highly variable depending on the illness level of the patient, reactions they may have to treatments, and operations limitations of the Cancer Center such as pharmacy or phlebotomy lab delays, or staff and physical resource limitation. In addition to stay 82 variation of arrived scheduled patients, there are other unexpected events during the day such as add-ons, conversions, cancellations, and no-shows that create unforeseen variation. The stay variation analysis can be extended to identify sources of variation, quantify their real effect on the operations of the infusion unit, and bucket sources of variation into categories of predictable, preventable, and uncontrollable. The study extension can then suggest methods to predict for predictable sources of variation, mitigate preventable stay variation, and plan for excess capacity in the schedule for uncontrollable sources of variation. " Pharmacy Premix Study Optimization modeling may be able to direct pharmacy premixing in a more systematic process. There may be an optimal set of treatments to premix that depends on patient type, treatment type, illness acuity, and pharmacy capacity. " Pharmacy Ready Study While the pharmacy filling operations run very smoothly, there is often highly variable delay from when treatments are discharged to when the nurse has them in possession. This depends on the delivery method of the treatment to the nurse and nursing availability. There is potential for improvement. " Scheduling Unification Many process changes would need to be put in place should scheduling in the Practice and Infusion Unit be centralized. " Scheduling of Same Day Add-ons Analysis can be performed on how to accommodate same day add-ons. In this study, they are asserted in the schedule as they arrive. However, the schedule can try to anticipate the rate and arrival times of add-ons based on past add-ons data. The schedule can try to reserve capacity for add-ons, or identify if add-ons should be accommodated during specific times of the day. " Patient Seating and Discharge There are often unnecessary delays in seating a patient to begin infusion or disconnecting and discharging patients at the completion of treatment. Process improvements may address this issue. " Practice and Infusion Unit Communication We were approached many times to help resolve the issue of being able to reach people in either the Practice or Infusion Unit 83 from the other facility to submit orders, sign off on patient abnormalities, and general consultation. There may be process improvements that can address this concern. * Practice Scheduling Study In the current state, follow-up (FOL) appointments, which are likely more flexible as they are very infrequent (see Chapter 3), are scheduled earlier than PTC appointments and thus have priority pick of prime appointment times. There is potential for Practice schedule redesign such that FOL and PTC appointments are scheduled in such a way to minimize impact on the Infusion Unit. * Remote Blood Draw Study The MGH Cancer Center has facilities at MGH North in Danvers, MA, and MGH West in Waltham, MA. Operations can be greatly simplified in the Infusion Unit if the Cancer Center can systematically and analytically find ways for patients to have their blood drawn at these satellite facilities a day in advance of their treatments. 6.3 Conclusions This thesis proposes a novel, high impact patient scheduling algorithm for the Massachusetts General Hospital Cancer Center Infusion Unit that has demonstrated the potential to recover 33% of physical capacity on the peak utilization of each day. Rigorous analysis and modeling of both the current state and the proposed state support the immediate implementation of the proposed algorithm. Cancer Center management is actively pursuing implementation and is eager to see the algorithm function within months. The proposed state described by the Prospective Model can be achieved with minimal adjustments to staffing in the infusion unit and pharmacy, and no adjustment to staffing in the Practice. The algorithm also respects existing primary nursing model, and treatment specific limitations. Recovered capacity can be utilized to absorb growth that will lead to higher revenues, relieve existing resource shortages at peak, and to enable the Cancer Center to consolidate infusion operations currently housed in other facilities into the Infusion Unit to generate more operational efficiency. If the entirety of the potential 33% physical capacity recovery could be used to administer additional treatments, 84 the Infusion Unit could see annual increase in patient volume of approximately 10,000 patient visits. Immense positive revenue impact aside, 10,000 additional chemotherapy treatments could be administered with existing facilities to sick cancer patients, a human impact that is unquantifiable. 85 Appendix A Stay Variation Analysis: Detailed Explanation Details of the Stay Variation analysis are presented in this Appendix. First, we aggregate all stay variation for all appointments across this period. The resulting distribution of stay variation minutes is shown in Figure A-1, with the descriptive statistics given in Table A.1. Across all appointments in this time period, average stay variation is an overstay of 8.1 minutes, with high standard deviation of 111.7 minutes. Looking only at operational variation without the effects of add-ons, cancellations, and no-shows, the stay variation is still positive. Each standard, previously scheduled appointment on average exceeds scheduled duration by approximately 25 minutes (standard deviation 80.2 minutes). Table A.1: Stay Variation Statistics Source of Variation Mean [minutes] Standard Deviation [minutes] Stay Variation 8.1 111.7 Operational Variation 26.6 80.2 Add-ons 144.2 107.9 Cancellations and No-Shows -162.7 -102.1 Next, it is informative to understand how stay variation affects each day of operation as a net of all overstay and understay. The distribution from Figure A-1 is aggregated for each day separately to derive the per day stay variation. The histogram and corresponding 86 Histogram: Stay Variation * Addons " Cancellations & No Shows - 25004-0 4, - * Operational Variation 2000 1500 . 0 4, z 0 000 000000 00 0000 00000O 00 O w Stay Variation (Minutes) Figure A-1: Histogram of stay variation, differentiating add-ons, cancellations & no-shows, and operational variation, for 63 days in 2013 87 Daily Stay Variation, Overstay, and Understay Statistics [Hours/Day] Understay Overstay Stay Variation 140 140 140 120 120 120 100 100 40- 40- 40- D 0 20 -20 20.6 5 10 15 Number of Days 0 10 quartile minimUAM Number of Days M323 _____-60 maximurn 14"2 quartile median quartile 144. 106.6 96. 878 1297 quartile median 0 5 10152025 15 Number of Days __ maximum 5 74A 65A 512 2618 179 649 minimum 205 31.6 61.6 9612 97D 175 181 maximum -13.5 quartile median quartile -132 -25.7 -32b -372 -52.9 minimum ~ -9. -32.1 83 -263 Figure A-2: Histogram of daily stay variation, overstay, and understay for 63 days in 2013 statistics of per day stay variation in hours is shown in Figure A-2. Each day, the Infusion Unit accommodates on average total net stay variation of 65 hours, with a standard deviation of 20.5 hours, across all appointments that day. In other words, on average 65 chair hours of utilization is dedicated to unscheduled and unplanned use each day, assuming overstay and understay can cancel each other out directly. An important distinction between overstay and understay is that overstay must be accommodated, whereas understay cannot necessarily be recovered. Overstay usually represents a patient who has arrived and must receive treatment. Understay represents last minute unexpected resource availability, which may or may not be reallocated. Thus the net stay variation represents the minimum number of unscheduled chair hours that must be accom- 88 modated in the Infusion Unit, assuming that all understay is perfectly reallocated to be used by overstay. Overstay represents the maximum number of unscheduled chair hours that must be accommodated, assuming no understay can be repurposed to be used for overstay. Thus, it is important to quantify overstay separately. Overstay is aggregated for each day, and the statistics are also shown in Figure A-2. The results are staggering. On average, each day the Infusion Unit sees 97 hours of overstay, with a standard deviation of 17.5 hours. In other words, in the worst case, on average up to 97 chair hours of utilization per day is dedicated to unscheduled use. To complete the picture of unscheduled chair utilization, stay variation and overstay are analyzed for the exact period of the day they affect. This is necessary to determine whether stay variation affects low utilization periods of the day when they can likely be accommodated, or high utilization periods of the day when they would exacerbate the congestion already observed during those times. We look at when stay variation and overstay are occurring according to time stamped patient tracking data. We consider the time the patient is scheduled to occupy a chair to be the time the patient arrives in a chair plus the number of hours they are scheduled for treatment. Any time the patient does or does not spend in that chair beyond those hours are considered hours of the day attributed to stay variation. We count the total number of chairs attributed to stay variation and overstay each half hour and normalize to the capacity, that is, the total number of chairs available during the period. This provides the proportion of capacity that is used to accommodate unscheduled treatment time for each hour. Results of this analysis are shown in Figure A-3. Since overstay represents the worst case unscheduled time that must be accommodated and stay variation represents the best case unscheduled time that must be accommodated, the space between the two curves of Figure A-3 represents all possible actual variation accommodated by the Infusion Unit. It is fair to say that the variation seen by the Infusion Unit increases when the Infusion Unit begins to become congested (Figure 1-1), remains high to absorb the consequences of the congestion, and tapers off again at the end of the day when far fewer patients are arriving. Reducing the congestion during periods of high utilization should also reduce variation in the schedule, as lower and more uniform use of resources should reduce delays and wait times. Controlling 89 % of Total Chair Capacity Utilized by Overstay & Stay Variance -Overstay/Capacity -Stay Variance/Capacity 30% 25% 20% 15% u U 10% 5% 0% -5% 0%) Time (hour) Figure A-3: Proportion of total capacity impacted by stay variation at different hours of the day patient inflow through systematic scheduling should both smooth the intra-day utilization and reduce variation in the schedule. 90 Appendix B Supplemental Current State Plot Infusion Visit Duration by Scheduled Infusion Start Time 1600 1400 1200 1000 c 800 600 -- 400 -200 - r'j to N- Do N-4 00 Mn 0 r-I - - - - - - MN C4, e qc r4 T- -1 Hour of Day (Number of Appointments) Figure B-1: Scheduled duration for all infusions in 2012 and 2013 by hour of first appointment segment start time 91 Appendix C Holidays in CY2013 Table C.1: Specific dates in CY2013 excluded from modeling Reason Date i 1/1/2013 1/21/2013 2/14/2013 2/18/2013 4/15/2013 4/16/2013 5/27/2013 7/3/2013 7/4/2013 9/2/2013 10/14/2013 10/31/2913 11/11/2013 11/27/2013 11/28/2013 12/24/2013 12/25/2013 12/31/2013 New Years Day Martin Luther King Jr. Day Valentine's Day President's Day Patriot's Day & day of Boston Marathon Bombing Day after Patriot's Day Memorial Day Day before Independence Day Independence Day Labor Day Columbus Day Halloween Veteran's Day Thanksgiving Day after Thanksgiving Christmas Eve Christmas New Year's Eve 92 Appendix D Alternative to Max(Max-Min) Method Several methods to compute OptimalTimes in Step 3 of the prospective algorithm were evaluated. Results for the most promising alternative to the Max(Max-Min) method are presented in this appendix. This method selects the latest appointment start time in InfusionTimes. The 'Last' method demonstrates a significant improvement over the current state, however is not the final recommendation because results are not as promising as the Max(Max-Min) method. 93 ASJOrkna_ 75 Prospective(Las) 75 70 0maimu 65 'ja 65 60 -- _ 60 55 55 45 4.5... 40q- -3 4al 35 35-- 304 30 median 4 59mdin 0 10 26 30 40 50 0 10 2D 30 40 Count Count maximum 71 maximum 73 59 median quafile 43 40 minimum 23 Old!69 hmedian :% quartile 59 5 53 40 GDf minimum (W1 28 Ni Summary Statiseis Smmary Statistks 57.2 7.62 13.3 43.9 7.19 16.3 aie Std N tew Figure D-1: TSN31 Distribution of daily peaks for Last method, alternative to Max(Max-Min) method 94 Appendix E Other options to give the patient two scheduling options This study explored three ways to give the patient two options to choose from during scheduling. The most successful was presented in Chapter 5. The other two, which do not match the chair capacity and are likely to cause serious delays, are presented below. Results of all three methods are compared below as well. Giving the patient 1 AM and one PM option The first expansion gives the patient one appointment option in the morning and one in the afternoon. Morning and afternoon are defined in order to allocate approximately the same number of time slots in the morning and afternoon: " Morning: 8:00am-12:30pm " Afternoon: 1:00pm-6:00pm To determine the two choices to offer the patient, the list of possible infusions InfusionTimes is filtered into two different, mutually exclusive and exhaustive lists, morning and afternoon. The morning and afternoon lists are separately passed to the Max(Max-Min) method. OptimalTimes is calculated separately for the morning and afternoon, and the resulting lists are OptimalTimesAM and OptimalTimespM. One option to present to the patient 95 is selected randomly from OptimalTimesAM, and one option is selected randomly from OptimalTimespM. Giving the patient 2 options at least 2 hours apart The second expansion gives the patient two choices that are at a minimum 2 hours apart. The working group speculates that giving the patient two choices at least two hours apart is sufficient to give the patient the perception of choice. The first option presented to the patient is selected from OptimalTimes, per the original Max(Max-Min) method. The algorithm then subsets InfusionTimes to select for elements e where the difference between that element and the first option is greater than or equal to 2 hours: Ie - Option1 ;> 2. The second option is selected randomly from that subset. Results of giving patients options Giving the patient options requires a tradeoff in operational efficiency. The utilization curves and distribution of daily peaks for the base model and three expansions offering the patient options are shown in Figures E-1 and E-2. These show results assuming that the patient is biased towards choosing options in the period 10am-2pm, as described in Section 5.4.1. Figure E-1 demonstrates that there is indeed a tradeoff between operational considerations and patient preference. All utilization curves for the Prospective Model expanded to give the patient options shows a less smooth curve, with a higher maximum point and a clear bias in utilization towards the middle of the day. To examine this more analytically, we turn to Figure E-2. Figure E-2 shows that the maximum peak across all days exceeds the capacity of 60 chairs for both the method that gives the patient one option in the morning and one in the afternoon, and the method that gives patients two options at least two hours apart. Should the Infusion Unit choose to implement either of these two methods, there would be patients who cannot receive their infusion treatments on the desired date, and must move to a day with more available space in the schedule. Utilization approaching capacity of 60 will also lead to longer wait times in the waiting room, per queuing theory. The time difference maximizing method is a good compromise between patient preference and operations. In this method, the median daily peak across all days increases by 2 from 39 to 41 compared 96 -AMPMBiased -Prospective -2HRBiased - 60- - -MaxTimeDiffBiased 50- 40 130 0 a~o CO O q-4 e-I e-4 N y (V -4 y *| q-4 -4 Uti y D w-t f% -4 e- m vM4 N Time (half hour) towards Figure E-1: Giving the patient options: daily utilization assuming patient bias l0am-2pm period: distribution of daily peak utilization to the base model. The maximum daily peak across all days increases by 5 from 52 to 57 compared to the base model. This tradeoff accommodates patient preference and will facilitate transitioning to this new scheduling process, so the time difference maximizing expansion will be used moving forward. 97 V H-isdSamieifBae spectiftAP-isda 70 70 70 65 65 65 65- 60 60 60 60 55 55 55 55 50 5D 50 50 45 45 45 40 40 40- 40 35 35 35 35 3D 30 30 30 25 -- r-r-0 10 20 30 40 50 25- - Count 25 -T-T 0 20 r 0 10 20 30 40 50 mamm 62 quartie 42 quatile 58. 51 medilan 39 quartile 36 28 median Quartile minimum 25 393 4B58 12A minimum n--r-- 40 - 60 counit COLnt 52 49 rm imumn 45 - maimumn 25 T T-r 0 10 20 30 40 50 Count 69 "Umrn median ile 47 42 32. minamum 21 54 49 quartile 45 45 33.1 quartile M 28 28 minimum 482 7.24 463 655 14.1 57 54 61 quawtile - S 70- 142 26 41.2 5.77 13.9 Figure E-2: Giving the patient options assuming patient bias towards 10am-2pm period: distribution of daily peak utilization. From left to right: Prospective base model, Giving the patient one morning option and one afternoon option, Giving the patient two options at least two hours apart, Giving the patient two options maximizing the time between the options while favoring operations 98 Appendix F Pharmacy Staffing Study - Complete Description There are three process improvement or scheduling algorithm tweak options we explored in order to reach the desired conclusion: 1. 8am Cap In order to reduce the number of treatments that must be mixed before 8am when the influx of Infusion-Only appointments will occur, the maximum number of appointments scheduled at 8am can be adjusted. In the model described in Section 5.4.1, the 8am cap is set at 35 appointments, which is the maximum number of appointments that occurred at 8am per the results of the Retrospective Model. This study will consider the effect on pharmacy load of lowering that cap to 25 and 15 appointments. 2. Premixing Premixing is the practice of mixing treatments early during times when there is spare mixing capacity, in order to lighten the load during busier times. This study will consider whether premixing should be considered as a process improvement in the proposed state, in order to lighten the load during any staffing region that exceeds the current state Region 4 limits. The downside of premixing is that should the patient not arrive, or arrive with unexpected vitals changes or blood work results, the premixed treatment may need to be disposed of, generating waste. Premixing has been demonstrated to work operationally in the pharmacy in the past during a 99 pharmacy renovation period. The practice was then abandoned after the renovation period in order to eliminate waste due to premixing. 3. Premixing Mix Premixing can only be performed for a small subset of treatments. For example, some treatments are volatile and must be administered within a short number of hours after mixing. These treatments would not be feasible to premix and hold in stock until the patient arrives much later. Among treatments that are feasible for premix, the treatment mix that is selected for premix is subjective. For this study, the pharmacy has provided two sets of premix treatment mix: " Conservative premix: A conservative mix of treatments that only selects for feasible premix treatments that have very low chance of waste, as identified by the Pharmacy Manager " All premix: A list of all treatments considered feasible for premix, as identified by the Pharmacy Manager First we must establish what the load on the pharmacy is expected to be in the proposed state, without considering tweaking the 8am cap or premixing. Figure F-1 shows the proposed state pharmacy throughput by staffing region. Clearly this figure demonstrates the proposed state cannot be accommodated in the pharmacy without additional headcount. The throughput required of Region 1 exceeds 17 in the median and exceeds 27 in the maximum. Throughput required of Region 2 also exceeds 27 in the maximum. Results shown in Figure F-1 suggest that premixing for Region 1 and Region 2, and altering the 8am cap should be considered. Figures F-2, F-3, and F-4 show the results of adjusting the 8am cap, premixing, and adjusting the premix mix in various combinations. The desired conclusion of this study is achieved by the conservative premix with 8am cap of 35, shown in Figure F-2. This is a desirable outcome. Not adjusting the 8am appointment cap means close adherence to the proposed scheduling algorithm. Reduction of the 8am cap would require a tradeoff in daily utilization peak reduction, which is undesirable. Additionally, the conservative premix can be chosen over premixing all possible treatments. Premixing only the conservative premix mix will minimize waste generated by the process change, and facilitate implementation of the process change in the pharmacy. Based on these 100 Prospective Model Proposed State: Pharmacy Throughput by Staffing Region -C C-A - C) C. 0 C) . - In 0 - 0 .... ...... RegionI Region2 Region3 Region4 Region5 Region6 Region7 Pharmacy Staffing Region Figure F-1: Proposed state pharmacy load assuming no additional process improvements or algorithm tweaks results, this study recommends implementing a conservative premix of Region 1 and Region 2 treatments, and allowing the 8am appointment cap to remain at 35. 101 Prospective Model Proposed State: 8am Cap = 35 Max Daily Pharmacy Throughput by Staffing Region Conservative Premix 0 4-j 00 All Premix 0 Q Regwln Regqw2 Regwo3 Region5 Reion4 Reg"on Reg"n Prmn-x Figure F-2: Pharmacy throughput proposed state: 8am Cap=35 Prospective Model Proposed State: Sam Cap = 25 Max Daily Pharmacy Throughput by Staffing Region Conservative Premix 0 0 0 0. - All Premix -4 ---- Regioni 0+ 00 Region2 Regio3 Region4 RegionS Region6 Regionl Premix Figure F-3: Pharmacy throughput proposed state: 8am Cap=25 102 Prospective Model Proposed State: Sam Cap = 15 Max Daily Pharmacy Throughput by Staffing Region Conservative Premix Al Premix 0 Regionl Region Region3 Region4 Regonr5 Region Reglon7 Ptrvmix Figure F-4: Pharmacy throughput proposed state: 8am Cap=15 103 Bibliography [1] Hospital overview. http://www.massgeneral.org/about/overview.aspx. 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