Construction Engineering 221 Probability and statistics Data description • Random sample- every member of the population has an equal chance of being selected into the sample. Hard to do (unlisted phone #’s, no permanent address) • Can use random number generator • Non-random is OK if biases are known and reported Data description • Data from the sample represent an array (rows and columns) in raw form- how it might look on an Excel spreadsheet • Can organize the data in various ways to simple the array and make it more “readable” – Classification- like letter grades, use class intervals to combine similar scores Data description – Class boundaries separate one class from another – Edges of boundaries are “class limits”, and represent the data where most information is “lost” – Class size, interval, and boundary are arbitrary – Class mark is the midpoint of the class limits Data description • Class frequencies are the number of scores within each class • The list of frequencies forms a distribution that typically assumes one of several standard forms (Normal, Chi Square, Poisson, Binomial) • Cumulative distribution is a representation of number of scores below. When divided by total, the number represents a percentile rank Data description • Histogram is a common graphical representation of a frequency distribution • Frequency polygon connects the midpoints of the histogram class limits and represents data distribution as a line • Ogive- cumulative distributions- normal distribution will have an S-shaped ogive Data description • Common engineering distributions Binomial Power log normal Chi square Poisson Log normal Normal Weibull