Restructured & Resilient Sir Kevin Smith – Chief Executive

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Restructured & Resilient
Sir Kevin Smith – Chief Executive
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Restructured and Resilient
Group revenues (excluding currency translation) up 9%
Driveline – up 7%
OffHighway – up 17%
Aerospace – up 23%
Powder Metallurgy – up 1%
Continuing success in winning substantial new business
Driveshafts secures 64% of available volume
Aerospace major wins - over $1billion of new business
Building for the future
Negotiations with Airbus on Filton continue – conclusion imminent
Joint venture in engine composites with Rolls-Royce
New plants open in China, India and Argentina
2
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Results summary
Sales (subsidiaries and JVs)
Trading profit (subsidiaries and JVs)
Trading margin (subsidiaries and JVs)
Profit before tax
First half
2008
First half
2007
£2,402m
£2,056m
17%
£161m
£153m
5%
6.7%
7.4%
Increase/
(decrease)
(70 basis pts)
£131m
£125m
5%
Operating cash flow
£60m
£16m
£44m
Earnings per share
15.6p
17.2p
(9%)
Earnings per share (cash tax rate)
15.5p
14.9p
4%
4.5p
4.3p
5%
Dividend per share
3
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Global trends – Light vehicle production
Europe
Americas
Emerging Asia*
14.0
14.0
14.0
12.0
12.0
12.0
10.0
10.0
10.0
8.0
8.0
8.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
1st Half
2nd Half
2007 actual – 17.68m
2008 forecast – 16.27m
0.0
1st Half
2nd Half
2007 actual – 22.28m
2008 forecast – 22.76m
1st Half
2nd Half
2007 actual - 11.67m
2008 forecast - 13.23m
* India, Thailand, China &
Malaysia
2007
2008
Source: Global Insight / GKN Estimates
4
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Driveline
Subsidiaries & JVs (constant currency)
Sales
Trading profit
First half 2008
£m
First half 2007
£m
1,218
81
1,135
91
Change
%
7
(11)
Driveshafts
Driveshafts deliver 6% increase in sales revenues
Americas up 11% - North American increase 12%
Europe up 4% - good growth Eastern Europe
Asia Pacific up 13% - China remains particularly strong
Small improvement in headline profits - Underlying down 12%
Translational currency benefit more than offset by unrecovered
material costs and transactional currency
New arrangements on material recovery – operational actions for
weaker markets
80% material recovery 2nd half and beyond
5
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Driveshafts
North American shift to smaller vehicles – positive trend for
Driveline
Rigid axles move to independent suspension – growth in all wheel
drive
8% sideshaft demand growth – major model mix changes
Speed and scope of change impacts short term profitability
Operational disruption and increased support from Europe
Readjustment of operations to restore expected efficiency
High win rate – 64% of available business – supports continued
market share gains
6
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Driveline
Torque Technology
Torque Technology delivers 12% increase in revenues and small profit
improvement
Investment in global expansion and new product development
New plant opens in China
Torque vectoring debut on BMW X6
Development of stronger European and North American torque presence –
priority for GKN Group
BMW X6
7
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
GKN won award from
Nissan for work on GTR
Driveline – positioning for 2nd half and beyond
Strong order books and global positioning support healthy
revenues
26%
16%
16%
Driveline sales by Region
of Origin – 1st half
North America
South America & Eastern Europe
42%
Western Europe
Asia
Material recovery and operational actions protect bottom line
Expect resilient 2nd half performance from Driveline
8
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Other Automotive
Subsidiaries & JVs (constant currency)
First half 2008
£m
Sales
Trading profit
First half 2007
£m
102
3
Autostructures
Sales down 5% and profits off £4m
Non repeat of commercial settlement
Restructuring to address weak markets
Emitec
Slow retrofit market impacts sales and profits
Cylinder Liners
China operation performs well
Good sales growth and improved profitability
9
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
109
9
Change
%
(6)
(67)
Powder Metallurgy
Subsidiaries & JVs (constant currency)
First half 2008
£m
Sales
Trading profit
First half 2007
£m
333
11
Change
%
329
16
1
(31)
Sinter Metals in Europe performs strongly
Sales up 5%, profits up by £4m, double digit margins
Investments in Global development continues - £2m
impact to profits
Capability transfer to India
Production build up begins in China
New plant opens in Argentina
La Presidenta of Argentina
opens our new plant
10 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Powder Metallurgy
North American environment extremely challenging
Overall market down 12% - GM down 25%
American Axle strike idles two plants for 6 weeks
Scrap steel increases progressively to over $700 per ton
Sinter North America revenues down 11% and profits reduce by
£7 million
Strong action to improve second half and beyond
Over 400 people released including two small plant closures
Sinter market related pricing and surcharging secures material cost
recovery of over 80%
Hoeganaes monthly surcharging implemented reducing volatility
New business wins continue to support growth for Powder
Metallurgy
11 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
OffHighway
Subsidiaries & JVs (currency adjusted)
Sales
Trading profit
First half 2008
£m
First half 2007
£m
282
25
Change
%
241
21
Solid end markets support excellent performance –
17% organic revenue growth
Wheels and DLS both perform strongly
Revenue increases in Europe up 16%
and North America up 21%
Small Chinese operations make first
contribution to profits
Profits up 19% and margin improves to 8.9%
12 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
17
19
OffHighway
Successful introduction of Hydromech gearbox and “Powerlock”
attachment system
Powerlock
Hydromech
gearbox
Outlook for offhighway markets remains
positive
European agriculture buoyant and
construction softening
North American mining and agriculture
solid and light construction soft
Second half well set with strong order books and stable operations
13 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Aerospace market grows strongly in 2008
Continued high US
defence expenditure
Record new civil aircraft orders
600
Net
orders
2007 net
orders
Backlog
at
Dec 07
H1 08
net
orders
Backlog
at
June 08
Airbus
1,341
3,421
487
3,663
Boeing
1,413
3,427
475
3,661
Total
2,754
6,848
962
7,324
500
400
300
Source: Flight International
200
100
0
$bn
2007
Key:
2008
2009
Base budget (excluding supplementals)
Source: US DoD
14 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Aerospace
Subsidiaries & JVs (constant currency)
First half 2008
£m
Sales
Trading profit
First half 2007
£m
467
47
Change
%
379
38
23
24
Aerospace continues on strong growth path
12% underlying sales growth and excellent contribution from Teleflex
Boeing 787 delays dampen growth
Major programme wins provide over $1bn of new business
Business jet nacelle programmes for Honeywell HTF7000 engines
Multi-year buy on C-130J – 5 year extension from US Government
Technology joint venture with Rolls-Royce on engine composites
15 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
GKN Aerospace – An exceptional position
in Aerostructures and Engine composites
Engine Composites
F35-All composite engine
Integrated Front Frame and
Ice Protection System
Aerostructures Composites
A380- Composite Wing
Trailing Edge
A400M –Full composite
Primary wing spar
RR- Composite Fan
Blade development JVh
F22- Composite Sine
Wave Wing Spar
GENX- All composite
Engine fan case
16 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
JUCAS- Composite wing
and fuselage structure
Market trends
Aerostructures market development
Facing up to market
softening – resilience from
Balance of civil and
defence
$billion
60
Composite
Titanium
50
Metallic
40
New programme positions
Diversity of product
segments
30
20
Composite/titanium focus
Plans in place to address
areas of vulnerability
10
0
2007
2011
2017
Increasing use of light weight materials
Composite/titanium CAGR – 12.4%
17 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Aerospace
Filton acquisition and A350 package – major step for
Aerospace
Successful conclusion imminent – completion before
year end
Aerospace to enter a new period of consolidation
focus on value delivery and new programme implementation
£1.5 billion in revenues with double digit margins in 2010
18 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Restructured and Resilient
Strengths from market positions, end market diversity
and global spread
High technology products deliver new business and
support growing market shares
Market positions strengthened in Aerospace and
Automotive
Actions taken and plans in place to secure future
performance in turbulent times
In uncertain markets a resilient GKN
will continue to develop and grow
19 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Restructured & Resilient
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Restructured & Resilient
Bill Seeger – Finance Director
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Overview
Sales up year on year
Subsidiaries +18% overall … 8% organic
Teleflex acquisition
Translation gains
Trading Profit up 7%
Benefit from higher sales
Material cost increases
Translation gains … transaction losses
Operating cash flow £60 million
A Resilient H1 Performance
22 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Results Summary
First half
2008
£m
First half
2007
£m
Increase/
(decrease)
2,270
1,931
18%
Trading profit (subsidiaries)
146
137
7%
Profit before tax1
131
125
5%
15.6p
17.2p
(1.6)p
16%
3%
-
Sales (subsidiaries)
Earnings per share1
Book Tax Rate1
(¹) See note on ‘Income Statement – alternative presentation’ slide for definition
23 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Income Statement
First half
2008
£m
First half
2007
£m
2,270
1,931
146
137
Restructuring and impairment charges
(4)
(13)
Amortisation of non-operating intangibles arising on business
combinations
(5)
(3)
-
(7)
(4)
(1)
133
113
12
12
(26)
(23)
(1)
(1)
Net financing costs
(27)
(24)
Profit before tax
118
101
Sales of subsidiaries
Trading profit
Profits and losses on sale or closures of businesses
Changes in fair value of derivative financial instruments
Operating profit
Post-tax JV earnings
Interest (net)
Other financing charges
24 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Income Statement
First half
2008
£m
First half
2007
£m
2,270
1,931
Trading profit
146
137
Operating profit1
146
137
12
12
(26)
(23)
(1)
(1)
Net financing costs
(27)
(24)
Profit before tax1
131
125
Alternative presentation showing
performance
Sales of subsidiaries
Post-tax JV earnings
Interest (net)
Other financing charges
(¹) Before restructuring and impairment charges, amortisation of non-operating intangible assets arising on business combinations, profits and losses on sale or closures of
businesses and changes in fair value of derivative financial instruments
25 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Sales – Subsidiaries
£m
2,400
2,300
2,270
157
2,200
43
139
2,100
2,000
1,931
1,900
8% underlying
increase
1,800
1,700
1,600
1,500
F
t
irs
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ha
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rre
Cu
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tio
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Ac
iti
uis
on
s
26 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
d
Un
n
lyi
er
g
Fi
t
rs
lf
ha
08
20
Trading Profit – Subsidiaries
£m 170
6
(11)
14
146
150
137
130
110
Includes £(7)m
transactional
currency
90
7% underlying
decrease
70
50
F
th
irs
al
7
00
2
f
rre
Cu
yT
nc
io
lat
s
n
ra
n
q
Ac
iti
uis
s
on
27 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
d
Un
n
lyi
er
g
F
th
irs
al
8
00
2
f
Raw Material Costs
Approximate spend by type –
2007 ~£800m
Scrap &
Surcharges
£75m
Other Metals
& Alloys
£65m
Scrap Steel
($US per ton)
825
$900
$800
$700
654
$600
$500
$400
$300
393
293
$200
$100
Steel – base
price
£220m
Steel based
components
£420m
$0
2007 H1
2008 Q1
2008 Q2
July Spot
Scrap steel prices averaged
$524/ton in H1’08 vs $293/ton in
H1’07
Material escalation in Auto & PM
– recovery from customers on
increases from H2 forward
Automotive, Powder Metallurgy and OffHighway
28 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Impact of Currency
Translational - £ has weakened against most major currencies except
the US Dollar
First half average
2008
2007
Change
%
Effect on
trading profit
£m
US $
1.98
1.97
-
-
Euro
1.30
1.48
12%
10
Yen
208
236
12%
1
Others
Impact on trading profit – subsidiaries
3
14
Transactional - £7m adverse impact for the period
Translational impact on 2007 annual trading profit (including JVs):
1% move in Euro = £1.6m
1% move in USD = £0.7m
29 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Driveline Subsidiaries Sales and Trading Profit
1,200
Sales £m
1,150
First half
Sales - £m
Trading profit - £m
2008
2007
Underlying
change
1,142
969
7%
71
71
(13%)
1,100
76
1,142
Underlying
First half 2008
97
1,050
1,000
969
950
900
Margin
6.2%
7.3%
850
800
Good underlying sales growth in all
regions for Driveshafts. Torque
posted solid gains from its core
business in Japan
750
First half 2007
Translational Currency
90
Trading Profit £m
11
(11)
80
Driveshafts underlying profit down
due to input costs not fully recovered
70
Improved recovery in H2 on material
increases
60
Torque – modest profit improvement
driven by volume
50
71
First half 2007
30 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
71
Translational
Currency
Underlying
First half 2008
Powder Metallurgy Subsidiaries Sales and Trading
Profit
400
Sales £m
350
First half
Sales - £m
2008
333
2007
Underlying
change
309
4
20
333
309
300
1%
250
Trading profit - £m
11
15
(31%)
200
Margin
3.3%
4.9%
150
Continued strong demand in Europe
set against decline in North American
market
100
Reduced North American volumes
compounded by American Axle strike
20
First half 2007
Translational Currency
Underlying
First half 2008
Trading Profit £m
1
(5)
15
15
Rising raw material costs partially
offset by surcharge recoveries
Hoeganaes moved to monthly
surcharging as of June 2008
11
10
5
0
First half 2007
31 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Translational Currency
Underlying
First half 2008
OffHighway Subsidiaries Sales and Trading Profit
350
Sales £m
300
First half
Sales - £m
Trading profit - £m
Margin
2008
2007
Underlying
change
41
280
Underlying
First half 2008
20
250
219
280
219
17%
200
25
19
19%
150
8.9%
8.7%
100
50
Strong demand continues,
particularly in the agricultural markets
0
First half 2007
Translational Currency
35
Sales and profit growth in Driveline
Systems and Wheels
Trading Profit £m
30
4
25
Underlying
First half 2008
25
Raw material cost increases largely
recovered
Margin progression
2
20
19
15
10
5
0
First half 2007
32 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Translational Currency
Aerospace Subsidiaries Sales and Trading Profit
600
Sales £m
550
First half
Sales - £m
2008
467
2007
Underlying
change
500
12%
400
377
45
467
Underlying
First half 2008
43
450
377
2
First half 2007
Currency
350
Trading profit - £m
47
38
10.1%
10.1%
8%
300
250
Margin
200
150
Supportive market conditions
delivered strong underlying sales
growth
Sales slowed by delays in B787
100
60
Trading Profit £m
55
3
50
40
Teleflex acquisition fully integrated;
strong margin delivered
35
Sustained double digit margins
20
47
6
45
Order book remains strong
Acquisitions
38
-
30
25
15
10
First half 2007
33 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Translational
Currency
Acquisitions
Underlying
First half 2008
Joint Ventures
First half
2008
£m
First half
2007
£m
12
12
132
125
15
16
Post-tax profits
Sales
Trading profit
Includes Driveline’s Chinese JVs, Emitec, Chassis Systems and
other smaller JVs
Growth in Driveline Chinese JVs offset by a drop in German
retrofit market at Emitec
Post-tax profits held steady
34 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Trading Profit - Summary
First half
2008
£m
First half
2007
£m
Increase/
(decrease)
£m
Driveline
71
71
-
Other Automotive
(2)
-
(2)
Powder Metallurgy
11
15
(4)
OffHighway
25
19
6
Aerospace
47
38
9
Corporate
(6)
(6)
-
146
137
9
Subsidiaries
Group
35 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Trading Profit Margins – Subsidiaries & JVs
First half
2008
%
First half
2007
%
Target range
%
Driveline
6.7
7.7
8-10
Other Automotive1
2.9
7.7
6-10
Powder Metallurgy
3.3
4.9
8-10
OffHighway
8.9
8.6
7-10
Aerospace
10.1
10.1
10-12
6.7
7.5
8-10
Group1
(1) Excludes Sheepbridge UK
36 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Net Financing Costs
Net interest payable
Post-employment financing charges
Net financing costs
First half
2008
£m
First half
2007
£m
(26)
(23)
(1)
(1)
(27)
(24)
Increased borrowings from Teleflex acquisition in 2007
Increased investments in emerging markets (Brazil, India,
China) to support growth opportunities
37 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Tax charge analysed by “Cash Tax”
40%
Weighted average Statutory CT Rate 31%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Poland
UK
RoW
Australia
Mexico
Italy
Germany
Spain
Brazil
France
India
Japan
US
Future rate
effect
H1 ’08 FY ’07
Weighted average of tax rates in major
countries in which we operate
31%
33%
(14)%
(16)%
“Cash tax” rate - 2008 H1 profits
17%
17%
Movement in provision for uncertain
tax positions (2008 and prior years net)
(1)%
2%
Benefits of GKN tax profile – tax losses
and other timing differences
Net Deferred Tax
Book Tax rate – 2008 H1 profits
-
(16)%
16%
3%
38 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Stable within +/- 3% range
Stable ranging from 17 - 20%
Recognition of DT asset
Potential volatility if further
DT assets are recognized
Cash Flow from Operations
First half
2008
£m
First half
2007
£m
146
137
85
74
Change in working capital and provisions
(53)
(91)
Strategic restructuring
(13)
(20)
(6)
(1)
-
(1)
159
98
2
7
Capital expenditure
(101)
(89)
Operating cash flow
60
16
Trading profit
Depreciation and amortisation
Post-employment obligation
Other
Sub Total
Proceeds from sale of fixed assets
39 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Free Cash Flow
First half
2008
£m
First half
2007
£m
Operating cash flow
60
16
Dividends from joint ventures
20
3
Interest
(30)
(25)
Tax
(14)
(14)
Dividends Paid
(65)
(61)
Free cash flow
(29)
(81)
(2)
(70)
8
3
(23)
(148)
Acquisitions
Other (inc. currency)
Net movement in borrowings
Dec 2007
Net Borrowings
40 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
529
574
506
Balance Sheet
June
2008
£m
December
2007
£m
Net operating assets
2,299
2,159
Current and deferred tax (net)
(121)
(121)
Post-employment obligations
(450)
(331)
Net borrowings
(529)
(506)
(35)
(5)
1,164
1,196
15%
15%
Financial instruments at fair value
Net assets
ROIC
41 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Results Summary
First half
2008
£m
First half
2007
£m
Increase/
(decrease)
2,270
1,931
339
Trading profit (subsidiaries)
146
137
9
Profit before tax1
131
125
6
Earnings per share1
15.6p
17.2p
(1.6)p
EPS @ 17% cash tax rate1
15.5p
14.9p
0.6p
Interim dividend per share
4.5p
4.3p
0.2p
Sales (subsidiaries)
A Resilient H1 Performance
(¹) See note on ‘Income Statement – alternative presentation’ slide for definition
42 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Outlook
Sir Kevin Smith – Chief Executive
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Outlook
Economic conditions are uncertain
For GKN, global positioning, end market diversity and
strong order books support above market growth
First half actions will deliver improved second half
performance in Driveline and Powder Metallurgy
Aerospace and OffHighway to perform strongly
44 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Outlook
Automotive markets to soften further
Globally, to decline in second half – full year slightly ahead
Global agriculture, mining and heavy construction
remain strong
Aerospace
US defence procurement supports a solid military sector
Civil growth set to soften - little second half impact
45 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Outlook
First half actions significantly improve raw material
cost recovery
Exchange rates at current levels provide translational
benefit – some offset on transactions
Imminent conclusion to negotiations on Filton
Second half performance will benefit from first
half actions
Full year progress in line with expectations
In uncertain markets a resilient GKN
will continue to develop and grow
46 GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
Restructured & Resilient
GKN HALF YEAR RESULTS – 6 MONTHS ENDED 30 JUNE 2008
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