Engineering that moves the world Results for the year ended 31 December 2013 Nigel Stein, Chief Executive | 25 February 2014 2013 full year overview Strong performance delivers a good year for GKN Sales Management PBT Earnings per share Dividend per share 10% 17% 9% 10% GKN Aerospace GKN Driveline GKN Powder Metallurgy GKN Land Systems Record profit, Engine Systems making strong contribution Above-market growth in organic sales Margin strengthened with good growth Strong operational discipline in tough markets RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 1 Financial metrics Growth above market Automotive Aerospace Land Systems Target margin 8% to 10% Moving up the range Business Performance ROIC >20% Making progress Increasing cash flow, EPS and dividends RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 2 Strategic progress HEADLINE EXAMPLES Lead in chosen markets ― Number two in aero engine components Leverage global footprint ― Driveline’s global footprint powers growth Technology driving margin ― ‘Design for powder metallurgy’ drives margins Operational excellence ― Priority in all divisions Sustain above market growth ― Automotive ahead ― Aerospace in line ― Land Systems below RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 3 GKN Aerospace Record profit Change (%) 2013 Sales (£m) 2,243 1,775 26 (1) 266 1701 56 9 11.9% 9.6%1 Trading profit (£m) Trading margin A350 maiden flight June 2013 Selected to manufacture Advanced Technology 2012 Headline Organic Winglet for the new Boeing 737 MAX 1Included £22 million restructuring and acquisition related charges Excellent contribution from GKN Aerospace Engine Systems Core commercial sales increased, military declined − Airbus supply chain contract taken back in house RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 4 GKN Aerospace Record profit Airbus and Boeing record Selected to manufacture the B737 MAX Advanced Technology Winglet − Delivered 1274 single-aisle/wide-bodied aircraft Commercial sales growth − Driven by B787 and A320 − A350 progressing; £11m start-up costs Reduced military sales − Lower rates for C-130J GKN Aerospace sales by market segment, 2013 − C-17 ends in late 2014 GKN orders won in 2013 exceed $1bn Military 27% Share of CTAL sold to Rolls-Royce Commercial 73% RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 5 GKN Aerospace Engine Systems Excellent first year High quality talent, skills and culture Synergies: Top end of anticipated range GKN Aerospace Engine Systems, Trollhattan, Sweden − Margin reached 14% − Purchasing and support costs reduced − Headcount reduced by 13% − Lower restructuring costs Better placed to win business − Won low pressure turbine cases for Snecma business jet engines Spares sales soft; some pickup in Q4 Looking forward − Integrating other GKN Aerospace engine component businesses into Engine Systems RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 6 GKN Driveline Above-market growth Change (%) 2013 Sales (£m) Trading profit (£m) Trading margin A350 maiden flight June 2013 Selected to manufacture Advanced Technology 2012 Headline Organic Winglet for the new Boeing 737 MAX 3,416 3,236 6 7 246 235 5 5 7.2% 7.3% Sales strongly ahead Profit includes £16m restructuring charges − Underlying margin improvement to 7.7% Geographic activity broadly even between Europe, Americas and Asia RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 7 GKN Driveline Above-market growth Global market up 4%, GKN Driveline organic sales increased 7% BMW chose GKN front Final Drive Units (FDUs) for BMW X-Series vehicles. − Strong demand in China and North America − Europe now stabilised and new business programmes launched Benefitting from new programme wins − Good AWD wins such as FDUs for BMW 20 Expanded scope for China JV 15 GKN and market growth rates: 2013 % 18 GKN Driveline sales growth 15 − Includes AWD/eDrive products 11 Demand for GKN side shafts strong − Investing in Mexico Market (units production) 10 5 9 7 6 5 4 3 − Production in Russia starting 2015 4 1 (1) (5) North America Europe RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 China (4) Japan Brazil (4) India Global Source: IHS Automotive 8 GKN Powder Metallurgy Margin strengthens Change (%) A350 maiden flight June 2013 Selected to manufacture Advanced Technology 2012 Headline Organic Winglet for the new Boeing 737 MAX 2013 Sales (£m) Trading profit (£m) Trading margin 932 874 7 6 94 87 8 7 10.1% 10.0% Organic sales increased 6% - ahead of market Margin of 10.1% includes restructuring charge of £5m 80% of customers in automotive sector − Growth rate above global light vehicle market RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 9 GKN Powder Metallurgy Margin strengthens Aluminium cam caps Asian growth plan Ford’s EcoBoostTM engine uses GKN PM parts − Second sinter plant in Yizheng, China onstream Targeting Asian customers in N. America Focusing on ‘Design for powder metallurgy’ Main bearing cap − Feature benefits for customers − Margin increase New business wins: £144m annualised sales GKN Powder Metallurgy sales by origin, 2013 Supplier awards Asia Pacific 8% − Schaeffler, Bosch and Chrysler Europe 37% Americas 55% RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 10 GKN Land Systems Tough markets Change (%) A350 maiden flight June 2013 Selected to manufacture Advanced Technology 2012 Headline Organic Winglet for the new Boeing 737 MAX 2013 Sales (£m) Trading profit (£m) Trading margin 899 933 (4) (6) 75 88 (15) (16) 8.3% 9.4% Agricultural market stable; construction and industrial down Sales reduced £25m by end of long-term chassis contracts RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 11 GKN Land Systems Tough markets New wide-angle power take off drive shaft – selected by Claas Power management business developing in line with strategy Strengthened engineering, sales and commercial teams to increase content per vehicle China growth − Localised tractor shaft manufacture GKN Land Systems sales by market segment, 2013 − Established new wheels venture Specialised vehicle market initiative − EVO Electric and Williams Hybrid Power bus project Construction & Mining 13% Industrial 23% Agriculture 45% Automotive 19% RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 12 Engineering that moves the world Results for the year ended 31 December 2013 Bill Seeger, Finance Director | 25 February 2014 Results summary 1 2013 £m 2012 Change £m £m 7,594 6,904 690 10 3% organic growth Trading profit 661 553 108 20 4% organic growth Trading margin (%) 8.7 8.0 70bps Profit before tax 578 493 85 17 Earnings per share (p) 28.7 26.3 2.4 9 Dividend per share (p) 7.9 7.2 0.7 10 Sales 1 Change % EPS up 9% DPS up 10% 2012 results have been restated for the impact of IAS 19 (revised) – see appendix page 41 RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 14 Group sales Organic growth 3% £216m £m 8,000 7,750 Aero Engine Systems £472 7,500 217 6,904 7,594 Other 2013 6% (6)% 7% 7,000 16 (57) 469 (12) 7,250 52 5 6,750 Commercial + 11% Military -10% Supply chain contract -£65m 6,500 6,250 6,000 2012 FX Acq/Div Aerospace Driveline Powder Land Metallurgy Systems RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 15 Group profit Conversion 23% £50m £m 700 Aero Engine Systems Trading £58m Reorg costs £22m 650 11 28 8 661 Other 2013 (12) 79 15 600 (25) 553 4 2012 1 FX Driveline Powder Metallurgy Land Systems Other Businesses 550 500 1 Acq/ Div Restructuring Aerospace £(16)m £(5)m £(3)m £(1)m Driveline Powder Metallurgy Land Systems 2012 results have been restated for the impact of IAS 19 (revised) – see appendix page 41 RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 16 Margin Margin 2013 Reported % 2012 % Target Range % 11.9 11.2 11-13 Base 11.0 11.2 Engine Systems 14.0 - 2013 Adjusted Margin2 7.2 7.3 7.7 8-10 10.1 10.0 10.6 9-11 Land Systems 8.3 9.4 8.7 8-11 Group1 8.7 8.0 9.0 8-10 Aerospace - Driveline Powder Metallurgy 1 2 2012 results have been restated for the impact of IAS 19 (revised) – see appendix page 41 Margin pre-restructuring charges RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 17 Return on invested capital ROIC% before tax 20% FY 2013 FY 1,2 2012 661 560 3,818 3,113 17.3% 18.0% FY 2013 FY 2012 Aerospace2 17.8% 23.0% Driveline 17.0% 16.0% Powder Metallurgy 21.1% 19.8% Land Systems 18.3% 21.3% Acquisitions Group Target > 20% Trading Profit (£m) Av. Invested Capital3 (£m) ROIC % 15% Group ROIC Group WACC - 12% 10% 1 5% FY 2010 1 2 3 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 2012 results have been restated for the impact of IAS 19 (revised) – see appendix page 41 2012 excludes Engine Systems impact 2013 Average Invested Capital includes £676m impact of Engine Systems RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 18 Net financing costs 1 2013 £m 2012 £m Net interest payable (73) (52) Other net financing charges (55) (42) (128) (94) Net financing costs Increased net interest payable driven by acquisition funding of Engine Systems in 2012 − Net interest guidance for 2014 - in line with 2013 Other net financing charges impacted by: 1 − UK pension partnership change − Other net financing charge guidance for 2014 - in line with 2013 2012 results have been restated for the impact of IAS 19 (revised) – see appendix page 41 RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 19 Tax update 2013 2012 Book tax % 20 16 Cash tax % 10 12 Unrecognised Deferred Tax Assets, Book and Cash Tax Rates % £m Guidance for 2014 500 − Book tax rate c.22% 450 − Cash tax rate c.12% 350 25 £469m £393m 400 20 300 Unrecognised deferred tax assets − £137m: down £67m in 2013 − Balance focused in US and UK 15 250 £204m 200 10 £137m 150 100 5 50 0 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 Unrecognised deferred tax assets Book tax rate Cash tax rate RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 20 Cash flow summary 2013 £m 20121 £m EBITDA 866 739 Working capital (47) (36) (349) (334) Engine Systems factoring/pension - (139) Other - (23) 470 207 41 39 (117) (130) US Pension deficit settlement (17) - UK Pension deficit funding (30) (30) (1) - 346 86 (121) (101) Engine Systems acquisition (62) (309) Other flows (24) (9) Movement in Net Debt 139 (333) Capital expenditure Operating cash flow Dividends (net) Interest & tax Other Free cash flow Dividends 1 EBITDA £866m up 17% c.80% trading profit conversion Working capital c.8% of sales Capex 5% of sales Interest flat; tax lower due to deferred tax utilisation US Pension deficit payment finalised FCF £346m up 54% – excluding Engine Systems 2012 settlements Net debt £732m includes final deferred Engine Systems payment of £62m Net debt (£m) FY 2013 FY 2012 732 871 2012 results have been restated for the impact of IAS 19 (revised) – see appendix page 41 RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 21 Capital investment Tangible reinvestment ratio 2013 £m 2012 £m Total tangible capex 273 271 Depreciation 237 218 Ratio (times) 1.2x 1.2x Intangible 2013 £m 2012 £m Total intangible capex 76 63 Amortisation 32 17 349 334 Tangible 1.5x 1.2x 1.2x 1.0x 0.7x 1.2x 1.2x 0.8x 0.5x 0.0x 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Capex ratio 1.2x depreciation 2013 investment focus Driveline capacity expansion in Mexico and Europe; Aerospace new programmes 2014 guidance − − Total expenditure 1.2x depreciation +£60m one time spend in the automotive businesses Intangible investment at similar level to 2013 RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 22 Group post-employment accounting deficit £m (446) (703) (400) (800) (763) (532) (537) (508) 115 (1,200) (262) (1,600) (978) Net Deficit Dec 2012 (1,240) First half movement Net Deficit June 2013 Funded (34) (112) Assumption changes Asset returns Interest and other (1,271) Net Deficit Dec 2013 Unfunded UK update UK triennial valuation agreed with Trustees £10m increase in deficit funding from 2014 Discount rate method, longer recovery period, revised mortality assumptions De-risking: £123m UK bulk annuity buy-in completed in early 2014 RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 23 Dividends 2013 2012 Interim dividend per share 2.6p 2.4p Final dividend per share 5.3p 4.8p Total dividend per share 7.9p 7.2p EPS increase of 9% - dividend up 10% Free Cash Flow (FCF) pay-out 38% Progressive dividend policy driven by: − − EPS growth FCF generation RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 24 Key financial metrics 8,000 7,000 Growth CAGR 12% 6,000 5,000 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 Growth 9% Margin 8-10% Target 8% 7% FY 2010 Financial Metrics FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 20% ROIC Margin 18% ROIC 20% Target 16% 14% FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 Cash Flow 400 Free Cash Flow 200 Conversion Improving 0 FY 2010 FY 2011 RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 FY 2012 FY 2013 25 Engineering that moves the world Strategy and outlook for 2014 Nigel Stein, Chief Executive | 25 February 2014 Moving the strategy forward Lead in chosen markets Leverage global footprint Technology driving margin Operational excellence Good forward momentum Developing technology Growing the business Sustain above market growth RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 27 Developing technology Investing for the long term Increasing R&D Gross spend in 2013 increased by £30m to £229m Additive Manufacture in development at GKN Aerospace’s facility in Filton, UK 3.2% of sales − Step towards 4% target Future technology Future wing design – Aerospace Advanced composites – Aerospace Concept lightweight bracket for aircraft wings eDrive/Hybrid drive – Driveline/Land Systems Hydrogen storage technologies – PM Advanced presses and tooling – PM Additive Manufacture/3D printing – Group RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 28 Growing the business Taking advantage of opportunities Organic growth £60m one-off extra capital expenditure in N. America automotive operations − Driveline: Supports contracts already won − Powder Metallurgy: Increases capability Acquisition priorities Aerospace: Main focus − Create value in capability, technology or customer position Technology bolt-ons RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 29 2013 summary Making good progress GKN Aerospace: Delivered record profit GKN Driveline: Above-market growth GKN Powder Metallurgy: Strengthened margin GKN Land Systems: Good operational discipline GKN has again made good progress in-line with our strategy to grow a market-leading global engineering business RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 30 Outlook for 2014 Another year of continued progress GKN Aerospace sales expected to be slightly higher than in 2013 GKN Driveline and GKN Powder Metallurgy are expected to grow above the market GKN Land Systems sales are expected to be broadly flat before full impact of ending chassis contracts “Overall, 2014 should be another year of continued progress. Whilst adverse currency could provide a significant translational headwind, this should be outweighed by the benefits of the Group’s diverse exposure to global markets, strong customer positions and healthy order books.” RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 31 Appendix Income Statement analysis Sales Trading profit Change in value of derivative & other financial instruments Amortisation of non-operating intangibles 20121 £m 7,136 6,510 597 504 26 126 (75) (37) Pension scheme curtailments - 63 Reversal of inventory fair value adjustment - (37) 12 5 560 624 Post-tax joint venture trading 54 41 Joint venture exceptional and non-trading items (2) (3) Share of post-tax earnings of joint ventures 52 38 Interest (net) (73) (52) Other net financing charges (55) (42) (128) (94) – Statutory 484 568 – Management 578 493 – Statutory 24.2p 29.3p – Management 28.7p 26.3p Gains and losses on changes in Group Structure Operating profit Net financing costs Profit before tax Earnings per share 1 2013 £m 2012 results have been restated for the impact of IAS 19 (revised) – see appendix page 41 RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 33 Trading profile Management Basis H1 H2 FY H1 H2 FY 3,869 3,725 7,594 3,459 3,445 6,904 Aerospace – base 796 791 1,587 770 814 1,584 Aerospace – Engine Systems 327 329 656 - 191 191 1,728 1,688 3,416 1,664 1,572 3,236 Powder Metallurgy 480 452 932 465 409 874 Land Systems 487 412 899 512 421 933 320 341 661 291 262 553 Aerospace – base 81 93 174 86 91 177 Aerospace – Engine Systems (trading) 37 55 92 - 15 15 - - - (4) (18) (22) 117 129 246 121 114 235 Powder Metallurgy 48 46 94 47 40 87 Land Systems 45 30 75 52 36 88 8.3% 9.2% 8.7% 8.4% 7.6% 8.0% 278 300 578 264 229 493 £m Sales Driveline Trading profit Aerospace – Engine Systems (charges) Driveline Margin % Profit before tax 1 20121 2013 2012 results have been restated for the impact of IAS 19 (revised) – see appendix page 41 RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 34 Impact of currency 2013 translational impact on 2012: Effect on FY 2012: Average Rate Change Sales Trading Profit 2013 2012 % £m £m US $ 1.57 1.58 (0.6) 16 2 Euro 1.18 1.23 (4.1) 70 5 Real 3.37 3.09 9.1 (20) (2) 152.53 126.26 20.8 (75) (5) 9.63 9.99 (3.6) 13 2 Indian Rupee 91.41 84.56 8.1 (10) (1) Swedish Krone 10.19 10.73 (5.0) 13 1 (2) 2 5 4 Yen Renminbi Other Impact (subs & JVs) 2014 translational impact on 2013 trading profit: Euro moves 1 point e.g. 1.18 1.19 = £(1)m US $ moves 1 point e.g. 1.57 1.58 = £(2)m RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 35 GKN Aerospace Trading Performance 2013 2012 Sales up 26% (£468m) Sales - £m 2,243 1,775 266 170 Commercial sales grew 11% organically excluding supply chain transfer Margin 11.9% 9.6% Return on invested capital1 17.8% 23.0% Trading profit - £m 1 Military sales declined 10% organically Sales mix: Commercial 73%; Military 27% 2012 excludes Engine Systems Sales by segment Sales by market & origin Military £600m Structures 45% £1,016m Americas 18% Europe 9% £1,113m Engine Products 50% Special Products 5% £114m RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 Americas 20% Europe 53% Commercial £1,643m 36 GKN Driveline Trading Performance 2013 2012 Sales up 6% (£180m); organic growth 7% Sales - £m 3,416 3,236 Strong growth in North America +11%; China +18% 246 235 7.2% 7.3% 17.0% 16.0% Trading profit - £m Margin Return on invested capital Restructuring activities concluded during H1; £16m charge to 2013 trading profit ROIC shows strong improvement through focus on growth related capex investment Sales by region Sales by product £930m £1,280m Asia 27% £1,244m AWD Systems1 37% £1,242m Americas 36% £2,136m CVJ Systems 63% Europe 37% 1 Includes AWD Systems, Trans Axle Solutions and eDrive Systems RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 37 GKN Powder Metallurgy Trading Performance 2013 2012 932 874 94 87 Margin 10.1% 10.0% Return on invested capital 21.1% 19.8% Sales - £m Trading profit - £m Sales up 7% (£58m); organic growth 6% Growth in US business driven by automotive market Margin at double digits, £5m restructuring charges absorbed ROIC shows strong improvement; moved into target range Sales by region Sales by product £188m £78m Asia 8% Industrial 20% Americas 55% £744m £508m £346m Europe 37% Automotive 80% RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 38 GKN Land Systems Trading Performance Sales - £m 2013 2012 899 933 75 88 Trading profit - £m Margin Return on invested capital 8.3% 9.4% 18.3% 21.3% Sales decline 4% (£34m); down 6% organically Cessation of UK auto chassis programmes £25m Weakness in Industrial and Construction & Mining segments Sales by region Sales by market £122m C&M 13% £682m Europe 76% Americas 21% £189m £204m Industrial 23% Asia 3% £28m Agriculture 45% £402m Automotive 19% £171m RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 39 Post-employment obligations: accounting deficit UK £m Americas £m Europe £m ROW £m Total £m 2,275 203 36 18 2,532 (2,973) (253) (38) (31) (3,295) (698) (50) (2) (13) (763) (16) (37) (453) (2) (508) (714) (87) (455) (15) (1,271) 2,522 181 36 20 2,759 (2,846) (282) (39) (38) (3,205) (324) (101) (3) (18) (446) (17) (62) (451) (2) (532) (341) (163) (454) (20) (978) 2013 Full Year Assets Funded Liabilities Funded Deficit Unfunded Liabilities Net Deficit 1 2012 Full Year Assets Funded Liabilities Funded Deficit Unfunded Liabilities Net Deficit 1 Includes impact of pension partnership change (£342m) RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 40 IAS 19 Revised – Adjustment Summary FY 2012 Previous Change Restated Trading profit 557 (4) 553 Trading margin (%) 8.1 (0.1) 8.0 EBITDA (subs) 743 (4) 739 Profit before tax 497 (4) 493 Tax (74) 1 (73) Earnings 420 (3) 417 EPS (pence) 26.5 (0.2) 26.3 ROIC 18.1 (0.1) 18.0 Trading profit 508 (4) 504 Other finance charges (26) (16) (42) Profit before tax 588 (20) 568 Tax (85) 5 (80) Earnings 480 (15) 465 EPS (pence) 30.2 (0.9) 29.3 Management basis Statutory basis RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 41 Disclaimer Cautionary statement This presentation contains forward looking statements which are made in good faith based on the information available to the time of its approval. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable but they may be affected by a number of risks and uncertainties that are inherent in any forward looking statement which could cause actual results to differ materially from those currently anticipated. Nothing in this document should be regarded as a profits forecast. RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 42 Contacts Guy Stainer Investor Relations Tel +44 (0) 20 7463 2382 guy.stainer@gkn.com Chris Fox External Communications Tel +44 (0)1527 533203 chris.fox@gkn.com RESULTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED 31 DECEMBER 2013 43