#17 - Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 Required Reading BCB 444/544 (before lecture) Mon Oct 1 - Lecture 17 Lecture 17 Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction • Chp 7 - pp 85-96 Finish HMMs Wed Oct 3 - Lecture 18 Protein Structure: The Basics (Note chg in lecture Schedule!) • Chp 12 - pp173-186 Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction Thurs Oct 4 - Lab 6 Protein Structure: Databases & Visualization #17_Oct01 Fri Oct 5 - Lecture 19 Protein Structure: Classification & Comparison • Chp 13 - pp187-199 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 1 Assignments & Announcements BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 2 BCB 544 - Extra Required Reading Mon Sept 24 • HW544Extra #1 Due: Task 1.1 - Mon Oct 1 (today) by noon Task 1.2 & Task 2 - Mon Oct 8 by 5 PM BCB 544 Extra Required Reading Assignment: • Pollard KS, Salama SR, Lambert N, Lambot MA, Coppens S, Pedersen JS, Katzman S, King B, Onodera C, Siepel A, Kern AD, Dehay C, Igel H, Ares M Jr, Vanderhaeghen P, Haussler D. (2006) An RNA gene expressed during cortical development evolved rapidly in humans. Nature 443: 167-172. • http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v443/n7108/abs/nature05113.html doi:10.1038/nature05113 • HomeWork #3 - posted online Due: Mon Oct 8 by 5 PM • PDF available on class website - under Required Reading Link BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 3 A few Online Resources for: Cell & Molecular Biology BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction Statistical Inference (Hardcover) George Casella, Roger L. Berger • NCBI Science Primer: What is a genome? StatWeb: A Guide to Basic Statistics for Biologists • http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/About/primer/genetics_cell.html http://www.dur.ac.uk/stat.web/ • http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/About/primer/genetics_genome.html Basic Statistics: http://www.statsoft.com/textbook/stbasic.html (correlations, tests, frequencies, etc.) • BioTech’s Life Science Dictionary • http://biotech.icmb.utexas.edu/search/dict-search.html Electronic Statistics Textbook: StatSoft http://www.statsoft.com/textbook/stathome.html (from basic statistics to ANOVA to discriminant analysis, clustering, regression, data mining, machine learning, etc.) • NCBI Bookshelf • http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sites/entrez?db=books BCB 444/544 Fall 07 Dobbs 4 Statistics References • NCBI Science Primer: What is a cell? BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 10/1/07 5 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 6 1 #17 - Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 Extra Credit Questions #2-#6: Extra Credit Questions #7 & #8: 2. What is the size of the dystrophin gene (in kb)? Is it still the largest known human protein? 3. What is the largest protein encoded in human genome (i.e., longest single polypeptide chain)? 4. What is the largest protein complex for which a structure is known (for any organism)? 5. What is the most abundant protein (naturally occurring) on earth? 6. Which state in the US has the largest number of mobile genetic elements (transposons) in its living population? Given that each male attending our BCB 444/544 class on a typical day is healthy (let's assume MH=7), and is generating sperm at a rate equal to the average normal rate for reproductively competent males (dSp /dT = ? per minute): 7a. How many rounds of meiosis will occur during our 50 minute class period? 7b. How many total sperm will be produced by our BCB 444/544 class during that class period? 8. How many rounds of meiosis will occur in the reproductively competent females in our class? (assume FH=5) For 1 pt total (0.2 pt each): Answer all questions correctly For 0.6 pts total (0.2 pt each): Answer all questions correctly For 2 pts total: Prepare a PPT slide with all correct answers For 1 pts total: Prepare a PPT slide with all correct answers • Choose one option - you can't earn 3 pts! • Choose one option - you can't earn more than 1 pt for this! & submit by to terrible@iastate.edu & submit by to terrible@iastate.edu & submit to ddobbs@iastate.edu before 9 AM on Mon Oct 1 & submit to ddobbs@iastate.edu before 9 AM on Mon Oct 1 • Partial credit for incorrect answers? only if they are truly amusing! BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 • Partial credit for incorrect answers? only if they are truly amusing! 7 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction Answers? 10/1/07 8 Chp 6 - Profiles & Hidden Markov Models SECTION II SEQUENCE ALIGNMENT Xiong: Chp 6 Profiles & HMMs • √ Position Specific Scoring Matrices (PSSMs) • √ PSI-BLAST TODAY: • Profiles • Markov Models & Hidden Markov Models BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 9 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction Statistical Models for Representing Biological Sequences 10/1/07 10 Sequence Motifs (Patterns) Types of representations: 3 types of probabilistic models, all of which: •√ •√ •√ •√ • Are based on MSA • Capture both observed frequencies & predicted frequencies of unobserved characters In order of "sensitivity": 1.PSSM - scoring table derived from an ungapped MSA; stores frequencies (log odds scores) for each amino acid in each position of a protein sequence, Consensus Sequences Sequence Logos PSSMs - Position-Specific Scoring Matrices Profiles HMMs - Hidden Markov Models 2.Profile - A PSSM with gaps: based on gapped MSA with penalties for insertions & delations 3.HMM - hidden Markov Model - more complex mathematical model (than PSSMs or Profiles) because it also differentiates between insertions and deletions BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction BCB 444/544 Fall 07 Dobbs 10/1/07 11 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 12 2 #17 - Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 CpG Islands HMM example: CpG Islands Written CpG to distinguish from a C G base pair) Nucleotide frequencies in human genome: A C T G 20.4 29.5 20.5 29.6 • CpG dinucleotides are rarer than would be expected from independent probabilities of C and G (given the background frequencies in human genome) • High CpG frequency is sometimes biologically significant; e.g., sometimes associated with promoter regions (“start sites”for genes) • CpG island - a region where CpG dinucleotides are much more abundant than elsewhere How can we represent or model CpG islands? BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 13 Hidden Markov Models - HMMs BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 14 Different Types of Markov Models Goal: Find most likely explanation for observed variables Zero-order Markov Model: probability of current state is independent of previous state(s) Components: • Observed variables • Hidden variables • Emitted symbols First-order MM: probability of current state is determined by the previous state e.g., random sequence, each residue with equal frequency e.g., frequencies of two linked residues (dimer) occurring simultaneously • Emission probabilities • Transition probabilities Second-order MM: describes situation in which probability of current state is determined by the previous two states • Graphical representation to illustrate relationships among these e.g., frequencies of thee linked residues (trimers) occurring simultaneously, as in a codon Higher orders? Also possible, later… BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 15 But, What is a Markov Model? 16 Hidden Markov Model (HMM) - a more sophisticated model in which some of states are hidden - some "unobserved" factors influence the state transition probabilities For biological sequences: - MM which: combines 2 or more Markov chains: • only 1 chain is made up of observed states • other chains are made up of unobserved or "hidden" states • each letter = state • linked together by transition probabilities BCB 444/544 Fall 07 Dobbs 10/1/07 So, What is a hidden Markov Model? Markov Model (or Markov chain) = mathematical model used to describe a sequence of events that occur one after another in a chain = a process that moves in one direction from one state to the next with a certain transition probability BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 17 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 18 3 #17 - Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 HMMs for Biological Sequences? Hidden Markov Models - HMMs Goal: Find most likely explanation for observed variables • HMMs originally developed for speech recognition • Now widely used in bioinformatics • Many applications (motif/domain detection, sequence alignment, phylogenetic Components: • States - composed of a number of elements or "symbols" (e.g., A,C,G,T) • Observed variables - sequence (or outcome) we can "see" • Hidden variables - insertions/deletions/transition probabilities that can't be "seen" • Emission probability - probability value associated with each "symbol" in each state • Transition probability - probability of going from one state to another HMMs are "machine learning" algorithms - must be "trained" to obtain optimal statistical parameters • For Biological sequences: • each character of a sequence is considered a state in a Markov process BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 • Special graphical representation used to illustrate relationships 19 HMM example from Eddy HMM paper: Toy HMM for Splice Site Prediction BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 20 The Occasionally Dishonest Casino A casino uses a fair die most of the time, but occasionally switches to a "loaded" one • Fair die: Prob(1) = Prob(2) = . . . = Prob(6) = 1/6 • Loaded die: Prob(1) = Prob(2) = . . . = Prob(5) = 1/10, Prob(6) = ½ • These are emission probabilities Transition probabilities • Prob(Fair → Loaded) = 0.01 • Prob(Loaded → Fair) = 0.2 • Transitions between states obey a Markov process a linear chain of events linked by probability values such that the occurrence of one event (state) depends on the occurrence of previous event(s) or state(s) BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 21 An HMM for Occasionally Dishonest Casino BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 22 10/1/07 24 The Occasionally Dishonest Casino • Known: • Structure of the model • Transition probabilities • Hidden: What casino actually did • FFFFFLLLLLLLFFFF... • Observable: Series of die tosses • 3415256664666153... • What we must infer: Transition probabilities • Prob(Fair → Loaded) = 0.01 • Prob(Loaded → Fair) = 0.2 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction BCB 444/544 Fall 07 Dobbs • When was a fair die used? • When was a loaded one used? • Answer is a sequence FFFFFFFLLLLLLFFF... 10/1/07 23 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 4 #17 - Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 HMM: Making the Inference HMM Notation • Model assigns a probability to each explanation for the observation, e.g.: • x = sequence of symbols emitted by model • xi = symbol emitted at time i • π = path, a sequence of states P(326|FFL) = P(3|F) · P(F→F) · P(2|F) · P(F→L) · P(6|L) = 1/6 · 0.99 · 1/6 · 0.01 · ½ • i-th state in π is πi • akr = transition probability, for making a transition from state k to state r • Maximum Likelihood: Determine which explanation is most likely akr = Pr(" i = r | " i !1 = k ) • Find path most likely to have produced observed sequence • ek ( b ) = • Total Probability: Determine probability that observed sequence BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 ek (b ) = Pr(xi = b | ! i = k ) 25 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction Calculating Different Paths to an Observed Sequence ! (1 ) ! * = arg max Pr(x , ! ) ! To find π*, consider all possible ways the last "symbol" of x could have been emitted Let Pr(x , " (2) ) = a0 LeL (6)aLLeL (2)aLLeL (6) ! (2) = LLL = 0.5 ! 0.5 ! 0.8 ! 0.1 ! 0.8 ! 0.5 ! ! (3) = LFL v k (i ) = Prob. of path ! 1 , L, ! i most likely = 0.008 Pr(x , # ( 3) ) = a0 LeL (6)aLF eF (2)aFLeL (6)aL 0 Then 1 = 0.5 " 0.5 " 0.2 " " 0.01 " 0.5 6 ! 0.0000417 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 10/1/07 28 Viterbi for Most Probable Path: Example x How: one way = Viterbi Algorithm • Initialization (i = 0) v 0 (0) = 1, v k (0) = 0 for k > 0 π For each state k v k (i ) = ek (xi ) max(v r (i ! 1)ark ) r • Termination: Pr(x , ! * ) = max(v k (L)ak 0 ) k 10/1/07 ε 6 2 B 1 0 0 6 F 0 (1/6)×(1/2) = 1/12 (1/6)×max{(1/12)×0.99, (1/4)×0.2} = 0.01375 (1/6)×max{0.01375×0.99, 0.02×0.2} = 0.00226875 L 0 (1/2)×(1/2) = 1/4 (1/10)×max{(1/12)×0.01, (1/4)×0.8} = 0.02 (1/2)×max{0.01375×0.01, 0.02×0.8} = 0.08 0 v k (i ) = ek (xi ) max(v r (i ! 1)ark ) r To find π*, use trace-back, as in dynamic programming BCB 444/544 Fall 07 Dobbs v k (i ) = ek (xi ) max(v r (i ! 1)ark ) BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction probability values for every state at every residue BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction to emit x1 , K, xi such that ! i = k r 27 Calculate optimal path? Construct a matrix of • Recursion (i = 1, . . . , L ): 26 The most likely path π* satisfies: emission probability Pr(x, " (1) ) = a0F eF (6)aFF eF (2)aFF eF (6) 1 1 1 = 0.5 # # 0.99 # # 0.99 # 6 6 6 $ 0.00227 = FFF 10/1/07 Identifying the Most Probable Path? transition probability x = x1 , x 2 , x 3 = 6,2,6 emission probability, that symbol b is emitted when in state k was produced by HMM • Consider all paths that could have produced observed sequence 29 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 30 5 #17 - Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 Total Probability Total Probability: Example x Several different paths can result in observation x ε Probability that our model will emit x is: π Pr(x ) = ! Pr(x , " ) 2 6 B 1 0 0 F 0 (1/6)×(1/2) = 1/12 (1/6)×sum{(1/12)×0.99, (1/4)×0.2} = 0.022083 (1/6)×sum{0.022083×0.99, 0.020083×0.2} = 0.004313 L 0 (1/2)×(1/2) = 1/4 (1/10)×sum{(1/12)×0.01, (1/4)×0.8} = 0.020083 (1/2)×sum{0.022083×0.01, 0.020083×0.8} = 0.008144 " Total Probability 6 Total probability = ! Pr(x, " ) 0 = 0.004313 + 0.008144 = 0.012 " BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 31 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 32 An HMM for CpG Islands? Viterbi gets it right more often than not Emission probabilities are 0 or 1 e.g., eG-(G) = 1, eG-(T) = 0 See Durbin et al., Biological Sequence Analysis, Cambridge, 1998 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 33 Estimating the Probabilities or “Training” the HMM 34 • Used to model a family of related sequences • Derive probable paths for training data using Viterbi algorithm • Re-estimate transition probabilities based on Viterbi path • Iterate until paths stop changing (or motif or domain) • Derived from a MSA of family members • Transition & emission probabilities are position-specific • Other algorithms can be used • Set parameters of model so that total probability peaks at members of family • e.g., "forward" algorithm • (see text - or see Wikipedia re: HMMs) BCB 444/544 Fall 07 Dobbs 10/1/07 Profile HMMs • Viterbi training BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction • Sequences can be tested for family membership using Viterbi algorithm to evaluate match against profile 10/1/07 35 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 36 6 #17 - Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 Pfam: Protein Families An HMM can represent a MSA http://pfam.sanger.ac.uk/ • “A comprehensive collection of protein domains and families, with a range of well-established uses including genome annotation.” • Pfam: clans, web tools and services: R.D. Finn, J. Mistry, B. SchusterBkler, S. Griffiths-Jones, V. Hollich, T. Lassmann, S. Moxon, M. Marshall, A. Khanna, R. Durbin, S.R. Eddy, E.L.L. Sonnhammer and A. Bateman (2006) Nucleic Acids Res Database Issue 34:D247-D5 • Each family is represented by: • 2 MSAs • 2 Hidden Markov Models (profile-HMMs) • cf. Superfamily - from Lab 5 • similar collection of curated MSAs & HMMs, focuses on superfamily level BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 37 Chp 7 - Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction SECTION II 10/1/07 40 Motifs & Domains • e.g., zinc finger motif - in protein • e.g., TATA box - in DNA Identification of Motifs & Domains in MSAs Motif & Domain Databases Using Regular Expressions Motif & Domain Databases Using Statistical Models Protein Family Databases Motif Discovery in Unaligned Sequences √ Sequence Logos BCB 444/544 Fall 07 Dobbs 38 • Associated with distinct function in protein or DNA • Avg = 10 residues (usually 6-20 residues) Protein Motifs and Domain Prediction BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 • Motif - short conserved sequence pattern SEQUENCE ALIGNMENT Xiong: Chp 7 • • • • • • BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 10/1/07 • Domain - "longer" conserved sequence pattern, defined as a independent functional and/or structural unit • Avg = 100 residues (range from 40-700 in proteins) • e.g., kinase domain or transmembrane domain - in protein • Domains may (or may not) include motifs 39 BCB 444/544 F07 ISU Dobbs #17- Protein Motifs & Domain Prediction 7