Sigmoid Relationships between Phosphorus, Algal Biomass, and Algal Community Structure Susan Watson and Edward McCauley Ecology Division, Department of Biological Sciences, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alta. T2N 1N4, Canada and John A. Downing Department de sciences biologiques, University de Montreal, Montreal (Quebec) H3C 3}7, Canada Watson, S E.. McCauley, and J. A. Downing. 1992. Sigmoid relationships between phosphorus, algal biomass and algal community structure. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 49: 2605-2610. o.omass, It has long been recognized that there is a positive relationship between total phytoplankton biomass and eutroph.cat.on. Recent independent studies demonstrated that algal biomass (chlorophyll) actually responds in a non linear, s.gmoidal fash.on w.th increasing phosphorus levels among lakes. Chlorophyll has been considered (bv some authors) as an inconsistent estimate of algal biomass. Using a wide range of published data we first dem onstrate that the s.gmoidal nature of the phosphorus-biomass relationship is quite robust, anc1 noUimply gen erated by a systematic variation in the relationship between algal chlorophyll to cell volume ratio and nutrient levels We show that the s.gmoid relationship with total phosphorus persists whether algal biomass is meaured by chlorophyll or b.ovolume We hypothesize that this nonlinearity actually reflects an underlymg systeS variation m one or more of the components of total phytoplankton biomass. In this paper, we examine two functional size groups and show that the large inedible fraction exhibits a strong, nonlinear response to increasing nutrient levels, while the small ed.be algae do not vary systematically with phosphorus. We hypothesize that this discontinuous shift in the ratio of edible to inedible phytoplankton should be accompanied by concomi an shifts in the structure of the herbivore community. On sait depuis longtemps qu'il existe un rapport positif entre la biomasse phytoplanctonique totale et I'eutroph.sat.on. Des etudes independantes r<§centes confirmed que la biomasse algale (chlorophylle) re"aeit en fait selon une courbe non lin^aire sigmoVdale a ('augmentation du taux de phosphore dans les lacs. Certains auteurs cons.derent la mesure de la chlorophylle comme etant une evaluation peu coherente de la biomasse aleale D apres un large eventail de donnas publiees, nous demontrons d'abord que la nature sigmoidale de la relation phosphore-b.omasse est tres marquee et n'est pas simplement le r&ultat d'une variation systematique dans le rapport entre la chlorophylle algale et le volume cellulaire ainsi que la teneur en elements nutritifs Nous demon trons que le rapport sigrnoTdal avec le phosphore total subsiste, que la biomasse algale ait ete mesuree d'apres la chlorophylle ou le volume des bio-elements. Notre hypothese est la suivante : cette relation non lineaire reflete en n§alite une variation systematique sous-jacente d'un ou de plusieurs elements de la biomasse phytonlancto nique totale. Dans le present rapport, nous etudions deux groupes de taille fonctionnels, et montrons aue la grande fraction non comestible presente une forte reaction non lineaire a I'augmentation des taux d'ei^ments nutr.t.fs, tand.s que la petite fraction d'algues comestibles ne varie pas de facon systematique par rapport au phosphore. Nous pensons que cette variation discontinue dans le rapport phytoplancton comestible - phyto- plancton non comestible doit etre accompagnee par des variations concomittantes dans la structure de la commu- naute herbivore. Received January 30, 1992 Accepted June 25, 1992 (JB390) The observation that phytoplankton biomass rises with phosphorus concentrations in lake water has been a staple component of limnological theory for three decades (e.g. Sakamoto 1966; Dillon and Rigler 1974; Jones and Bachmann 1976; Schindler 1977, 1978; Nicholls and Dillon 1978; Smith 1982; Canfield 1983; McCauley et al. 1989). The theoretical idea that algal growth is limited by phosphorus availability has led to the belief that the relationship should be a power function with constant exponent. When power functions of chlorophyll to total phosphorus are fitted for different geographical areas or for different suites of data, exponents are not always equiv alent (e.g. Nicholls and Dillon 1978; Janus and Vollenweider 1981; Straskraba 1986; McCauley et al. 1989; Prairie et al. 1989). Recent studies have shown, however, that variation Can. J. Fixh. Aquat. Sci., VoL 49, 1992 Recu le 30 Janvier 1992 Accept le 25 juin 1992 among lakes in chlorophyll a (Chi a) with total phosphorus (TP) can be better described by a sigmoidal relationship than by sim ple linear models (McCauley et al. 1989; Prairie et al. 1989) This observation is significant in terms of lake management and might account for discrepancies among the linear models derived from geographically discreet of relatively small data sets (e.g. Nicholls and Dillon 1978; Paloheimo and Zimmer man 1983; Bierhuizen and Prepas 1985; Dillon et al. 1988). Furthermore, it suggests that explanations for the phosphorus- chlorophyll relationship may be incomplete. Although the measurement of chlorophyll is one of the most convenient and widely applied methods used to estimate algal biomass, there has been some debate concerning its validity as a measure of phytoplankton biomass (e.g. Tolstoy 1979; Can2605 field 1983; Lampou el al. 1982; White et al. 1988). In partic ular, the relationship between Chi a and algal biovolume is thought to be highly variable and generally unpredictable (e.g. Saraceni et al. 1978; Dillon et al. 1988; Aleya and Amblard 1989). This has been attributed to species- or size-specific dif ferences in cell chlorophyll content and/or to the influence of environmental factors, such as light (e.g. SteeleandBaird 1965; Ruggiu et al. 1979; Desortova 1981; White et al. 1988; Pridmore el al. 1989) and nutrient levels (e.g. Steele and Baird 1965; Ahlgren 1970; Nicholls and Dillon 1978; Saraceni et al. 1978; White et al. 1988) on the ratio of chlorophyll to cell volume. The existence of a sigmoid relationship of chlorophyll with TP raises two important possibilities: (1) the relationship between phytoplankton biomass and phosphorus is really lin ear, but chlorophyll is an inconsistent measure of plant bio mass, or (2) chlorophyll is a good measure of plant biomass but our theoretical explanation for the form of the relationship between plant biomass and phosphorus in lakes is overly sim plistic. We therefore begin this paper by presenting evidence to show that the curviltnearity in the Chi a - TP relationship is not an artefact of the lack of consistency in the chlorophyll to biovolume ratio of cells. We do this by comparing the relation ship between algal biovolume and TP among lakes with pre vious results on the Chi a - TP relationship. The sigmoidal nature of the algal-TP relationship suggests that there are several important features of the nutrient-algal relationship which have yet to be explained. For example, why does the rate of change of algal biomass per change in total phosphorus increase at very low nutrient levels and then decline at very high nutrient levels? Many hypotheses could be advanced to explain both of these features. One explanation might be that the nonlinearities can be accounted for by sys tematic variation in the biomass of functional algal groups. Another possibility is that systematic variation in average growth or loss rates of algae with TP might yield nonlinear algal-nutrient relationships (McCauley et al. 1989). Much emphasis has been placed recently on how properties of planktonic food webs might influence algal biomass (e.g. Kerfool and DcMott 1980; Carpenter et al. 1985, 1987; Kcrfoot et al. 1985; Dorazio et al. 1987; Kerfoot 1987; Vanni 1987; McCauley et al. 1989; Vanni and Temte 1990; Elser and Gold man 1991) either via direct or indirect interactions, and a fur ther explanation for nonlinear plant biomass - phosphorus rela tionships might be related to differential responses of algal groups that are either susceptible or insusceptible to grazing by planktonic herbivores. This study tests the hypothesis thai nonlinearities in the algal-phosphorus relationship are consistent with changes in growth or loss rates of functional algal groups mediated by shifts in the trophic structure of lakes of differing Downing 1985; Leibold 1989). These two groups have been labelled "edible" and "inedible", respectively. They not only display different short-term responses to manipulation of her bivores, but they appear to respond differently to variation among lakes in TP (Watson and McCauley 1988). Ecological theory also predicts very different responses for [he two groups with enrichment. Classical predator-prey theory (e.g. Rosensweig 1972; Leibold 1989; McCauley et al. 1989) predicts that if the edible group is regulated by herbivores, then enrichment should lead only to an increase in herbivore biomass which subsequently suppresses edible algal density to preenriebment levels. Edible algal biomass should therefore be invariant among lakes differing in enrichment. Other predic tions are made by theory (Fretwell 1977; Oksanen et al. 1981) that takes into account the potential effects of species at other trophic levels (e.g. carnivorous zooplankton, planktivorous or carnivorous fish). For example, Oksanenet al. (1981) predicted that if productivity of algal prey increases with enrichment, then prey biomass should vary as a step function with increasing lake fertility (e.g. Leibold 1989, fig. 1). The discontinuities in the predicted relationship are produced by the development of addi tional trophic levels and their subsequent influence on the plantherbivore interaction. In this paper, we examine differences in algal community structure among lakes to test whether the sigmoidal pattern observed in the biomass-TP relationship can be accounted for by changes in the relative abundance of edible or inedible phytoplankton. fertility. While taxonomic considerations are undeniably important ton were defined as cells or colonies <35-5O |xm in maximum linear dimension, while netplankton or inedible algae were Data and Analyses We tested our hypotheses using a wide range of published data on algal biomass, chlorophyll concentrations, and phos phorus concentrations. Mean epilimnetic summer values were used wherever possible, since the inclusion of spring and fall data could affect the relationship beiwecn some algal size frac tions and TP (e.g. Watson and McCauley 1988). These would also represent values which were close to "equilibrium" val ues, and eliminate some of the variation around temporal or short-term fluxes. However, some individual observations were also included (16%), although where these were reported over one or more growing seasons for a particular lake, the mean (summer) values were calculated. Where necessary, values were converted to micrograms per litre. For algal biomass, we used only estimates of wet weight or biovolume that had been arrived at using the Utermohi technique (Vollenweider 1969). Where biovolume was given, it was converted into micrograms wet weight per litre (Vollenweider 1969). A total of 67 different sources of data were used from 362 different lakes over one or more stations or years.1 Nannoplankton or edible phytoplank (e.g. Lampert 1981; Infante and Abella 1985). the general cate defined as cells or colonies >35-50 \L\n. The number of obser gorization of the algal community into functional groups thai vations span taxonomic boundaries is supported by extensive measure (Table I) because complete data for algal community structure ments of zooplankton feeding rates (e.g. Bums 1968; Gliwicz were not available from all studies. used to test each hypothesis varied considerably 1977; Porter 1977; McCauley and Downing 1985; Hawkins and Following the approach used by McCauley el al. (1989), the Lanipert 1989) and field manipulations of herbivorous zoo- shape of each of the curves was examined using two methods: plankton (e.g. Porter 1972; Gliwicz 1975; Briand and McCauley (3) multiple regression analysis (Draper and Smith 1981) with 1978; McCauley and Briand 1979; Leibold 1989; Vanni and variable selection by backward elimination (Mocking 1976) and Temte 1990). Nannoplanklon are typically consumed by her bivorous zooplankton, and netphinkton are relatively insuscep 'A complete set oi tubular data is available at a nominal charge from tible to grazing (e.g. Porter 1972; Gliwicz 1975; Briand and [he Depository of Unpublished Data, National Research Council of McCauley 1978; McCauley and Briand 1979; McCauiey and Canada, Ottawa, Ont. K1A 0S2, Canada. 26G6 Can..!. Fish. Aquat. Sri., Vol. 49. 1992 (2) robust locally weighted sequential smoothing (LOWESS: Cleveland 1979). Logarithmic transformations were used to sta bilize residual variability. The multiple regression analysis was used to examine whether relationships were linear or nonlinear by assessing the pattern of residuals and the significance of higher-order terms of the independent variable (i.e. TP). LOWESS is a nonparametric smoothing technique that yields an unbiased estimate of the form of the relationship between two variables, which is not constrained by assumptions about the form of the relationship (Cleveland 198S). It is an especially powerful tool for studying the dependence of y on x when '*.. .the signal is embedded in noise'' (Cleveland 1985). Because LOWESS fitting is "model free", it has the flexibility to describe many patterns including those with discontinuous derivatives. LOWESS also includes a robust fitting procedure that "guards against deviant points distorting the smooth points" (Cleveland 1979). Because fitted trends are locally weighted, so-called "outliers" have negligible effects on LOWESS fits. All LOWESS analyses were performed with delta = 0 (the smoothing function considers every single data point), n - steps = 2 (number of iterations), and / = 0.5 (weighting factor). The values of «-steps and / were chosen based on the recommendations of Cleveland (1985). Results and Discussion CD E o m "5 *-< o en o 1.5 0.0 2 .5 mass and TP is shown to be robustly sigmoid when either Chi a (3-1000 jig/L; Fig. 1A), both curves show a similar acceler ation phase (Fig. IB). It is important to note that the nonlinear relationship remains significant if the seeming "outliers" at the extreme ends of the data range are removed and the data analCan. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci.. Vol. 49. 1992 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 1 1 1 1——i 1 T —i— 3.5 5.0 B 2 .0 (01 lorphyl - 4.5 - 4.0 - 3.5 - 3.0 CO 1 .5 1 .0 E o S To at sz o o or biovolume is used to measure total algal biomass. In fact, the relationship between phytoplankton biovolume and TP is more markedly sigmoidal than that between chlorophyll and TP (Fig. IB). Over the range of TP where there are the most data 1.0 log10 Total Phosphorus log1 Total algal biomass varies nonlinearly with TP. The para metric analysis and LOWESS fit yield comparable results, showing a sigmoidal relationship between TP and total biomass similar to that exhibited by Chi a (Fig. 1; Table 1). There are, however, slight quantitative differences in the curves derived from parametric and model-free methods. These differences probably arise from constraints inherent in the parametric tech nique (i.e. the use of polynomial equations to fit the data). Below, we first discuss the LOWESS results and then compare them with the parametric models. In very oligotrophic systems (i.e. TP < 5 |xg/L), increases in TP correspond to very little change in total biomass (Fig. 1A); however, once TP exceeds this level, the rate of increase of algal biomass accelerates dramatically with increas ing TP. Over the range of TP from ~6 to 60 jxg/L, algal bio mass appears to increase at a relatively constant rate, and this rate decreases markedly once TP values surpass 65-75 |xg/L. The polynomial fit yields a qualitatively similar pattern, but the level of TP at which the rate of change of algal biomass begins to decrease in eutrophic lakes differs substantially from that described by the LOWESS results (Fig. 1 A). According to the parametric model, the rate of change in algal biomass begins to decline at ~300-500 jxg TP/L. In oligotrophic lakes, the results are virtually identical for the two techniques. It appears, therefore, that the sigmoid relationship between TP and phytoplankton biomass (Chi a) found by McCauley et al. 1989) and Prairie et al. (1989) is not an artefact of those authors' use of chlorophyll to estimate algal biomass. This is demonstrated by the fact that the relationship between algal bio 0.5 0 .5 0.0 ' -0 5 i 0.0 • 0.5 i i t i i 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3 .5 4.0 2.5 4. 5 login Total Phosphorus Fig. I. Relationship between total phosphorus and total algal biomass among lakes. (A) Algal biomass estimated from algal biovolume, showing parametric (dotted curve) and LOWESS (solid curve) fits; (B) LOWESS fits for algal biomass estimated from biovolume (solid curve) and Chi a (dotted curve) (McCauley et al. 1989) versus total phosphorus. All variables in |xg/L. ysis is repeated. In addition, variation in the Chi a to biovolume ratio does not account for observed nonlinearities in the rela tionship between total algal abundance and TP. Inspection of the relationship between the Chi a to biomass ratio and TP shows that this ratio varies in a nonlinear but also nonsystematic fash ion with phosphorus (Fig. 2). In fact, the general trend followed by this curve is actually opposite to that which would be expected if the relationship between TP and algal biomass were primarily influenced by this ratio. Neither this, therefore, nor the large amount of residual variation about the curve could account for the sigmoidal nature of the phosphorus-biomass curves. This nonsystematic variation of the Chi a to biovolume ratio with TP may explain some of the discrepancies among studies (e.g. Tolstoy 1979; Dillon et al. 1988) attempting to find a consistent pattern in the relationship using smaller datasets covering a limited range of nutrient levels. The two algal size categories, designated as edible and in edible algae, respond very differently to variation in TP. Both the parametric and LOWESS analyses show that over the range of TP covered by available data, inedible algal biomass increases nonlinearly with TP by more than 40-fold (Fig. 3; Table 1). Edible algae, on the other hand, do not vary system atically with TP. It appears that the overall shape of the curve of total algal biomass is primarily influenced by changes in 2607 Table I. Partial regression coefficients for the effect of total phosphorus (TP) on log ,„ total, edible, and inedible algal biomass (estimated from biovolume), found using least squares multiple regression analysis. The number of observations (/r). the coefficient of determination (r), and the overall F-value are also given, together with the general shape of the corresponding curve obtained using locally weighted robust sequential smoothing (LOWESS; Cleveland 1979) and the range of TP covered by each dataset. Previous results from a similar analysis of the relationship between TP and total biomass estimated as chlorophyll a (Chi a) (McCauley et al. 1989) are included for comparison. TP, algal biomass (biovolume), and Chi a measured in jig/L. Parametric model Variable dog.o) Total biomass Edible biomass Inedible biomass Total Chi a LTP (LTP)2 (LTP)J Intercept -0.92 -1.44 NS -0.83 1.24 1.82 1.33 0.34 -0.26 -0.54 -0.46 -0.12 2.82 2.92 1.85 0.03 «... 451 101 101 875 LOWESS Prob > F 227 9 39 431 0.60 0.22 0.44 0.71 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 model" TP range *S 1-1300 1-200 1-200 1-14093 S *S (McCauley et al. 1979) *S = sigmoidal, *S = strongly sigmoidal. 0.025 0.020 ) v> v> CD E | 0-012 ■> "§■ 0.008 o s: U 0.004 0.000 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 0.5 3.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.0 2.5 log10 Total Phosphorus log10 Total Phosphorus Fig. 2. LOWESS fit of the relationship between total phosphorus (jig/L) and Chi a to biomass ratio. large algae that cannot be ingested by zooplankton rather than by edible phytoplankton. Under very oligotrophic conditions (i.e. <5 |xg/L), both inedible and edible algal biomasses are nearly constant or even decline slightly with increasing TP (Fig. 4). From approxi mately 5 to 30 fig TP/L, edible algal biomass appears to increase slightly and then levels off, while inedible phytoplank ton biomass increases rapidly. There is considerable variation in edible or inedible biomass at a given level of TP, and assess ing "significance" of patterns is somewhat problematic. How ever, the LOWESS analysis shows a discontinuous change over this TP range for both edible and inedible algal biomasses which are measured independently, and the data density is high in the region where most change occurs. The markedly different responses to increased nutrient levels exhibited by the two algal size fractions seem to be related to their susceptibility to grazing by herbivores. This indicates that the nonlinearity of the total biomass curve may be attributable to factor(s) other than differential responses to nutrient levels. The discontinuities and shifts in community structure are per haps best illustrated by Fig. 5. Below levels of —8-10 (xg TP/L, total biomass is dominated by edible algae. Above this range, there is a transition zone where both the edible and ine dible biomasses are similar in relative abundance, but the ine dible fraction exhibits a much more pronounced rate of change (Fig. 4). With increasing concentrations of TP (i.e. TP > —30 (xg/L) the inedible algae rapidly become more dominant, 2608 E o 3 p 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 loglo Total Phosphorus Fig. 3. Relationship between total phosphorus and algal size fractions (biomass; estimated from biovolume), showing parametric (dotted curve) and LOWESS (solid curve) fits. (A) Edible algal biomass; (B) inedible algal biomass. All units in |Ag/L. until at TP > —50 |xg/L the phytoplankton biomass consists almost entirely of this larger size fraction (Fig. 5). If the discontinuous change in edible-inedible community structure results from mechanisms proposed by Oksanen et al. (1982), then we should see concomitant changes in the rela tionship between average herbivore biomass and TP. Specifi cally, herbivore biomass should increase with TP among lakes with TP < 5 ng/L. and in the region of 5 < TP < 30 |xg/L, there should be a discontinuous change in herbivore biomass among lakes. Alternatively, the rate of change of zooplankton Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Set., Vol. 49. 1992 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 log1o Total Phosphorus to (0 a E o 3 75 biomass could remain the same, and systematic changes in zooplankton community structure could occur. The discontinuous change in edible algae would occur if the herbivorous zooplankton shifted to species with lower attack rates over this range of TP, thereby yielding a higher "equilibrium" concentration of prey (McCauley et al. 1989). Unfortunately, existing studies of among-lake variation in zooplankton biomass (McCauley and Kalff 1981; Hanson and Peters 1984; Pace 1984) have not 'looked for patterns at this scale of comparison, nor have obser vations been analysed using model-independent techniques such as LOWESS. We are currently investigating these possibilities. We recognize that the division of the phytoplankton com munity into only two functional size groups may limit the potential interpretation of the phosphorus-biomass curve. Analyses based on size and those based on taxonomic divisions may not be mutually exclusive: some of the major taxonomic groups comprise primarily smaller individuals (e.g. Chrysophyta, Cryptophyceae) and others larger algae (e.g. Cyanophyta). Furthermore, as we noted previously, the response of the grazer community to certain dominant taxonomic algal groups could in tum influence the overall shape of the phos phorus-biomass curve. In a subsequent paper, we examine the relationships between major taxonomic groups and phosphorus enrichment and compare them with those of the major size groups that we have described here. Acknowledgements o We thank Sophie Lalonde and Chris Briggs for technical help. This research was supported by NSERC operating grants to E.M. and J. A.D. log10 Total Phosphorus Fig. 4. Relationship between total phosphorus and total (solid curve), edible (broken curve), and inedible (dotted curve) algal biomass. (A) Parametric fits; (B) LOWESS fits. All units in |Ag/L. Note that the calculated intercept for the edible fraction is higher than that of the total biomass simply because the lakes represented in each dataset differ among fractions. References Ahlgren, G. 1970. Limnological studies of Lake Norrviken, a eutrophicated Swedish lake. Schweiz. Z. Hydro!. 32: 353-395. Aleya, L., and C. Amblard. 1989. 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