LETTERS ET COMMENTS LETTRES ET COMMENTAIRES Phosphorus and Nitrogen Limitation of Phytoplankton Growth in Oligotrophic Lakes: Comment on McCauley et al. (1989) It has proved difficult to make assessments of algal nutrient limitation in lakes based on bioassay enrichment studies (Dodds and Priscu 1990; Elser et al. 1990). Therefore, it was a valuable effort by McCauley et al. (1989) to collect a large data base on summer average chlorophyll (Chi a), total phosphorus (TP), and total nitrogen (TN) observations from 266 lakes and to fit a generalized linear model (sensus McCullagh and Nelder 1989) in both TP and TN to their data. Unfortunately, I think their conclusion regarding the relative role of TP and TN in limiting algal growth is an artifact of their method. They found that logTP, (logTP)2, (logTP)3, and the product (logTP)- (log TN) had highly significant partial effects on the logarithm of chlorophyll concentration. The curves log Chi a = ./(log TP, log TN) are represented in a log Chi a/log TP graph by a family of sigmoid curves that converged at low phosphorus concen trations. This is in contrast with results by Smith (1982), who found a family of parallel lines. The authors claim that the con vergence has two implications for lake management: at low concentrations of TP (<30 mg-ncT3, e.g. in oligotrophic and mesotrophic lakes, OECD (1982) definitions of trophy) the chlorophyll concentration is little affected by TN; high con centrations of TP (>1000 mg-m"3) have little or no effect on chlorophyll concentrations. However, based on their equations, small changes in TN and TP of the same numerical value will give about the same change in Chi a concentration for oligo trophic lakes. Typical changes, ATP, between years in such lakes are 3-10 mg-m"3 (Seipet al. 1990). More important, fig. 2D in McCauley et al.'s paper, which also is the basis for their conclusion, shows a striking feature. The curve Chi a = /(TP) for TN = 5-TP shows that Chi a decreases with increasing TP log Chi a 25:1 5:1 m 2.50 B 2.00 CO 1 1.50 O) H 1 .oo Z 1■ D) O 0.50 0.00 -0.50 LO o o in o o o CNJ in C\j O LO CO CO — -1.00 -1 .50 logTP,mg-m"3 ^ -2.00 Fig. 1. Response surface showing summer epilimnetic Chi a concentration as a function of summer epilimnetic TP and TN concentrations in 266 lakes. The surface corresponds to the regression log Chi a = -0.83 log TP + 0.34 (log TP)2 -0.12 (log TP)3 + 0.43 (log TP)-(log TN) + 0.03, n = 875, found by McCauley et al. (1989). Lines show TN:TP ratio equal to 5:1 and 25:1 (by mass). The lines end approximately at lowest observed value of TN. Lowest and highest observed values of TP are 1 and 14 095 mg-m"3 and of TN are 61 and 10 740 mg-m"3. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci., Vol. 48, 1991 2551 in the regions 1 mg-m 3 < TP < 3 mg-rn 3 and TP > 600 mg-m"3. Their calibration region for TP is 1-14 093 mg-m"3 and forTN is 61-10 740 mg-m"3. To explore this feature further, I depicted the response sur face for Chi a to changes in both TP and TN (Fig. 1) corre sponding to McCauley et al.'s equation for the version "com bined model" (literature data as source). The response surface underscores the nonsigmoid particularities of the curves shown by McCauley et al. Since the author's management advice with regard to TP and TN depends upon the characteristics of Ihe log Chi a = /{log TP, log TN) curves close to an apparently anomalous domain, one should probably either give a theoret ical justification for the anomaly or examine if the anomalies are artifacts of the method. It is difficult to explain that for (1989) evaluated the relative role of the two nutrients by exam ining their empirical relationship with chlorophyll concentra tion among lakes throughout the Northern Hemisphere, thereby extending the initial work of Smith (1979). Seip has questioned one of the conclusions presented in McCauley et al, regarding the asymmetrical effect of phosphorus and nitrogen in lakes of different trophic status. McCauley et al. concluded that the effect of these nutrients varies depending on the level of phos phorus in the lake. This conclusion was drawn from two sets of analyses; (1) a model-free inspection of the data showing that the phosphorus-chlorophyll relationship is sigmoidal (a result independently established by Prairie et al. (1989)) and constant TN, chlorophyll may decrease with increasing TP (cf. Fig. 1 at low TN:TP ratios; the ratio between the largest TN and TP values in the data set is 0.8). However, contrary to (2) a multivariate regression analysis of the influence of nitro gen and phosphorus on chlorophyll levels throughout a broad collection of lakes. Based on the parametric regression anal ysis, McCauley et al. found that "the effect of nitrogen is much logistic expressions, third-order polynomials have an upper and a lower maximum and thereby negative derivatives. Further greater at high TP concentration than at low" and that "the phosphorus-chlorophyll relationship is a family of sigmoid more, since the independent variables TP and TN probably are partly colinear, the coefficients of the polynomial expression curves that converge at low phosphorus concentration." These conclusions differ considerably from the original interpretation may be inflated (Reckhow et al. 1987). Thus, based on a visual assessment of the response surface in Fig. 1, and the arguments above, 1 feel that the analysis of McCauley et al. does not prove 3.8 that "variation in TN concentration in oligotrophic systems has little, if any, consequence to algal biomass" — Knut L. Seip, Senter for industriforskning (Center for Industrial Research), Forskningsvn 1, P.O.Box 124 Blindern, N-0134 Oslo 3, Norway. 3.4 - 3.0 - 2-6 - 2.2 - (JB003) References O Dodds.W. K.,andJ. C.Priscu. 1990. A comparison of methods for assess ment of nutrient deficiency of phyloplanklon in alargeoligolrophic kike. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 47: 2328-2338. J. J., E. R Marzolf, and C. R. Goldman. 1990. Phosphorus and nitrogen limitation of phytoplankcon growth in the freshwaters of North America: a review and critique of experimental enrichments. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 47: 1468-1477. l 1.0 ., J. A. Downing, and S.Watson. 1989. Sigmoid relationships between nutrients and chlorophyll among lakes. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 46: 1171-1175. McCullagh, P., andJ. A. NfcLDiiR. 1989. Generalized linear models. Chap 3.8 - 3.4 - 3.0 - 2.6 - 1 I I I I man and Hall, London. 511 p. OECD. 1982. Eutrophication of waters. Monitoring assessment and control. OECD, Paris. Rl:ckiiow,K. H.,R. W.Black,T. B. Stockton,Jr.,J. D.Vogt.andJ. G. Wood. 1987. Empirical models of fish response to lake acidification. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 44: 1432-1442. Seip, K. L., H. Sas, and S. Vermij. 1990. The short term response to eutro phication abatement. Aquat. Sci. 52: 199-220. Smith, V. 1982. The niirogen ;ind phosphorus dependence of algal biomass in lakes: a theoretical and empirical analysis. Limnol. Oceanogr. 27: I 101- o CD o 1112. Different Effects of Phosphorus and Nitrogen on Chlorophyll Concentration in Oligotrophic and Eutrophic Lakes: Reply to Seip Establishing the role(s) of the many nutrients that might affect the observed biomass and production of phytoplankton throughout the natural domain of lakes is a daunting task. Results from manipulation experiments along with evidence gathered from natural variation in levels of nutrients and chlo rophyll provide key pieces of the puzzle. While Elser et al. (1990) synthesized and criticized experimental results on phos 2.2 1.8 0,0 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.8 Log10 [Total 3.2 3.6 P] 4.0 Fig. 1. (A) Predicted lo«10 chlorophyll concentrations from McCauley et al.'s combined model, where predictions were made only within the range of TP, TN, and chlorophyll a observed in world lakes (cf. Seip's fig. 1). (B) Contours of observed logH) chlorophyll concentra tions in world lakes determined using an inverse squared distance tech nique followed by cubic-spline smoothing. All concentrations arc phorus (TP) and nitrogen (TN) limitation. McCauley et al. 2552 Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci., Vol. 48, 1991 of Smith (1979) that the relationships consist of a parallel series of lines. Seip questions only the validity of the interpretation of the parametric model presented by McCauley et al. for oligotrophic lakes and suggests that we failed to replicate Smith's family of parallel relationships between TP and chlorophyll due to the particular quadratic model that we chose. We disagree with Seip that our original interpretation is incorrect, and we support our original conclusion in two ways: (1) by showing that the asymmetrical effect of nitrogen and phosphorus is pres ent in the contour plot presented by Seip based on our para metric model and (2) by examining the raw data themselves without model fitting to provide evidence that our findings result from the data and not from our choice of statistics. Before proceeding, however, it is important to recognize that the predictions of the regression model must be examined only over the range of the independent variables. Clearly, models can often predict spurious (and often ludicrous) results if applied outside the range of data from which they were derived. There fore in the analyses presented below, we restrict the contour plots to the realistic range of log TP and log TN values. Figure 1A shows the contour plot of predictions of chloro phyll concentration from our combined model when limited to the range of natural variation of log TN and log TP. Once the contour plot is restricted to the range of data present in the original analysis, the asymmetrical effect of phosphorus and nitrogen on chlorophyll is readily apparent from the asymmetry in the isoclines at both low and high phosphorus levels. A nearly identical response to nitrogen and phosphorus is seen in a sim ple contour plot of the data (Fig. IB). To illustrate this asym metry at low phosphorus levels, consider an oligotrophic lake with log TP (micrograms per litre) = 0.5. Lakes with this level predicts an increase in chlorophyll response from the 0-0.5 range to the 0.5-1.0 range whereas a unit change in log TN still predicts chlorophyll levels within the original range of 0-0.5. In both Fig. 1A and IB, isoclines of chlorophyll a con centration are nearly vertical at low phosphorus concentrations, but nearly horizontal at high phosphorus concentrations. Chlo rophyll concentration therefore appears to vary little with TN in oligotrophic lakes but varies greatly with TN in eutrophic lakes. Chlorophyll concentrations are very sensitive to variation in phosphorus concentration in oligotrophic lakes, and insen sitive to variation in phosphorus concentration in eutrophic lakes. These predictions are consistent with the conclusions presented in McCauley et al. and are independent of statistical fitting methods. The polynomial equation presented in McCauley et al. are one of many models that could describe the same result. No matter what model is chosen, the result is the same: TP con centration is correlated differently with chlorophyll at different combinations of phosphorus and nitrogen. Chlorophyll con centration covaries primarily with TP in oligotrophic lakes and primarily with TN in eutrophic lakes — Edward McCauley, Ecology Division, Department of Biological Sciences, Univer sity of Calgary, Calgary Alta. T2N 1N4, Canada, and John Downing, Departement de Sciences Biologiques, Universite de Montreal, Montreal, Quebec H3C 3J7, Canada. (JB105) References Elser, J. J., E. R. Marzolf, and C. R. Goldman. 1990. Phosphorus and nitrogen limitation of phytoplankton growth in the freshwaters of North America: a review and critique of experimental enrichments. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 47: 1468-1477. of phosphorus have an average of 308 fig TN-L"' or log TN = McCauley, E.,J. A. Downing, andS. Watson. 1989. Sigmoidrelationships between nutrients and chlorophyll among lakes. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. 2.48 as determined from our original dataset. If you locate this point on the log TN - log TP surface (Fig. 1) and then ask what effect does a unit change in log TP or log TN have on the esti mate of chlorophyll a, you observe that the change in log TP Prairie, Y. T., C. M. Duarte, and J. Kalff. 1989. Unifying nutrient-chlo rophyll relationships in lakes. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 46: 1176-1182. Smith, V. H. 1979. Nutrient dependence of primary productivity in lakes. Limnol. Oceanogr. 24: 1051-1064. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci., Vol. 48, 1991 Sci. 46: 1171-1175. 2553