BULLETIN OF MARINE SCIENCE, 69(1): 133–149, 2001 CHANGES IN REEF COMMUNITY STRUCTURE AFTER FIFTEEN YEARS OF NATURAL DISTURBANCES IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC (COSTA RICA) Héctor M. Guzmán and Jorge Cortés ABSTRACT Eastern Pacific coral reefs have been severely disturbed by natural events during the past two decades. We have monitored changes in reef structure and reef recovery after ENSO 1982–83 (starting in 1984), at sixteen permanent plots in four different habitats at Caño Island, Costa Rica. Reefs were also severely affected by dinoflagellate blooms in 1985, and by warming events in 1987, 1990–95 and 1997–98. The 1982–83 event caused approximately 100% coral mortality in shallow reef zones at Caño Island, particularly of pocilloporid species. Coral recruitment may have coincided with putative larval pulses during the various ENSO events or shortly after, as deduced by the presence of sexual recruits during 1987–88 and widespread sexual recruitment in 1993–94. Mortality of juvenile and adult colonies during the 1997–98 ENSO warming was low (5%), suggesting that populations of massive and branching corals may have been more tolerant of elevated thermal stress than during previous events. Supporting this notion are the Reynolds SST comparative plots for 1982–83 and 1997–98, which indicate similar warming trends and temperature maxima at this locality. Reefs at Caño Island are recovering, with significant increases in the number of new sexual recruits. Although 1984 levels of coral cover have not yet been attained island-wide, 70% cover occurs in reef areas on the north side of the island. Other disturbances, such as phytoplankton blooms that affected Pocillopora spp. in all habitats, may have retarded reef regeneration, complicating the course of recovery after the 1982–83 ENSO warming disturbance. Eastern Pacific coral reefs have been impacted by many pronounced natural disturbances during the last two decades. The most severe were the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) warming events in 1982–83 (Glynn, 1984, 1992) and 1997–98 (this issue). The latter, considered the most severe on record (McPhaden, 1999; Wilkinson et al., 1999), caused coral bleaching in many regions of the world. Other documented natural disturbances have affected local areas of the eastern Pacific, for example, coral mortality due to phytoplankton blooms in Panama and Costa Rica (Guzmán et al., 1990), and low tidal exposures in Panama (Eakin and Glynn, 1996). Recovery from severe disturbances is predicted to be low in the eastern Pacific due to lack of sexual recruitment (Glynn et al., 1991, 1994, 1996), almost no recruitment (Cortés, 1997), and continuous predation by corallivores (Glynn 1985a, Guzmán and Cortés, 1992). However, recent observations at Caño Island, Costa Rica (Guzmán and Cortés, 1989a), indicate an increase in sexual recruitment after 1994, before the 1997–98 ENSO coral bleaching event. High survival rates of recruits and adult colonies of scleractinian corals followed the 1997–98 ENSO. At Caño Island, coral populations were drastically reduced during the 1982–83 El Niño– Southern Oscillation (ENSO), causing 50% mortality of coral cover overall (Guzmán et al., 1987; Glynn et al., 1988). Even so, a high Pocillopora spp. and Porites lobata coral cover (average ca 32%) remained in several areas, particularly in shallow water habitats. In this paper, we describe the impacts of several El Niño events and other types of disturbances from 1984 to the present in the context of long-term coral population dynamics and changes in community structure at Caño Island, Costa Rica. 133 134 BULLETIN OF MARINE SCIENCE, VOL. 69, NO. 1, 2001 MATERIALS AND METHODS Caño Island Biological Reserve (8∞43'N, 83∞52'W) is located off the south Pacific coast of Costa Rica, approximately 15 km from the mainland Osa Peninsula (Fig. 1). The island is covered by tropical rainforest and is 300 ha in area with a maximum altitude of 90 m. Coral reefs are well developed on the north and east sides of the island. Reefs are built mainly by Pocillopora damicornis, Pocillopora elegans and microatolls of P. lobata in shallow waters or on reef flats, and by massive colonies of P. lobata from the reef-slope to the reef base (Guzmán and Cortés, 1989a). There are 15 coral species reported from Caño Island (Cortés and Murillo, 1985), but recent changes in the taxonomy of some groups have increased the species count to 22 (see Cortés and Guzmán, 1998). Temperature data and ENSO indices were used to correlate field observations with estimated geographic temperature anomalies. Monthly mean sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies from 1982 to 1999 were obtained from the Integrated Global Ocean Services System (IGOSS; http:// ingrid.ldgo.columbia.edu/SOURCES/.IGOSS/.nmc/.weekly/.dataset_documentation.html) (Fig. 2A). Temperature measurements were blended from ship, buoy, and bias-corrected satellite data (see Reynolds and Smith, 1994). Reynolds SSTs (∞C) are presented to compare temperature measure- Figure 1. Caño Island and the location of the four reefs where permanent 20 m2 plots were established in 1984 and monitored until 1999, southwest coast of Costa Rica. During the 1990–95 warming event, coral colonies were counted at reefs 2–4 and the coral reef denoted by an asterisk. Inset shows the locations of Caño Island and the Osa Peninsula. GUZMÁN AND CORTÉS: CHANGES IN REEF STRUCTURE IN PACIFIC COSTA RICA 135 Figure 2. (A) Monthly sea surface temperature anomalies from January 1982 to April 1999 centered at 8∞50'N, 83∞50'W; (B) the Japanese JMA El Niño–Southern Oscillation Index; and (C) the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) standardized for the same period. Vertical lines are monthly mean values and curves are 5-mo moving averages. ments of the 1982–83 and 1997–98 ENSO events (Fig. 3). The SST-based El Niño/La Niña prediction index created by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) was also consulted (http:// www.coaps.fsu.edu/~legler/jma_index1.shtml) (Fig. 2B). This index is constructed from monthly SST anomalies averaged for the area 4∞N to 4∞S and 150∞W to 90∞W and applies a 5-mo running mean to smooth out possible intra-seasonal variations (see Meyers et al., 1999). The standardized Southern Oscillation Index (SOI; http://www.nic.fb4.noaa.gov:pub/cac/cddb/indices) was obtained 136 BULLETIN OF MARINE SCIENCE, VOL. 69, NO. 1, 2001 Figure 3. Mean weekly Reynolds SST records near Isla del Caño during the 1982-83 and 1997–98 ENSO events. Data grid (1 ¥ 1∞) centered at 8∞30'N, 83∞30'W. from NOAA’s Climate Analysis Center (CAC) and is based on differences between Tahiti and Darwin sea level pressures (SLP) (Fig. 2C). Sixteen permanent plots were established in January 1984 within representative reef habitats at Caño Island (Guzmán and Cortés, 1989a). The selected habitats were: reef platform, between 0–3 m (Reef 1); upper reef slope, between >3–5 m (Reef 2); mid-slope, between >5–9 m (Reef 3); and reef base, between >9–14 m (Reef 4) (Fig. 1). Repeated visual inspection was employed for monitoring 20 m2 plots/habitat (4 replicate plots of 5 m2 per habitat ¥ 4 habitats = 80 m2). The following parameters were determined by using a 1 m2 quadrat divided into 100 cells of 100 cm2 each: live coral cover, coral diversity, and the number of new colonies appearing between sampling intervals. New colonies were identified as sexual or asexual recruits when possible. Asexual propagation in massive coral colonies commonly resulted from partial mortality, and in branching colonies from fragmentation. The reefs were surveyed in January and July 1984 (following the 1982–83 ENSO), January and August 1985 (before and after massive dinoflagellate blooms), August 1987 (during the 1987 ENSO), February 1989, June 1992 (during the 1990–95 ENSO), December 1996, May 1998 (near the end of the 1997 ENSO) and in February 1999. Additionally, the number of colonies that bleached and/or died during the 1992 warming event were haphazardly counted at the four reef sites (Fig. 1). Changes in percent cover and number of colonies between the first and last censuses (January 1985 and February 1999) were evaluated by Repeated Measures Analysis of Variance using Sigma Stat® statistical software. This design was necessary due to repeated sampling of the same reef plots (Underwood, 1981). Abundance estimates of coral colonies in the study areas were indicated as: R (rare), seldom encountered; U (uncommon), sometimes present; C (common), usually present; and A (abundant), large numbers present. GUZMÁN AND CORTÉS: CHANGES IN REEF STRUCTURE IN PACIFIC COSTA RICA 137 RESULTS OCEANOGRAPHIC CONDITIONS: 1982–1999.—Beginning in September 1982, SSTs near Caño Island (Fig. 2A) showed a 15 mo anomaly above +0.5∞C, reaching a maximum of +1.5∞C between May and June 1983. These data coincided with predictions of El Niño activity by JMA and SOI indices (Fig. 2B,C). This event that devastated coral reefs in the eastern Pacific is considered one of the most intense ENSOs of the century (Quinn et al., 1987; Hansen, 1990). Coral mortality at Caño Island was about 50% overall (Guzmán et al., 1987; Glynn et al.,1988). Since that time, four major natural disturbances have affected Caño Island: phytoplankton blooms (severe), apparently related to La Niña cooling in 1985 (Guzmán et al., 1990), and warming events in 1987 (moderate), 1990–95 (long-term) and 1997–98 (very strong). The phytoplankton blooms of 1985 are considered the most severe in Costa Rica since the early 1970s (Guzmán et al., 1990). They occurred during intense upwelling in the Bay of Panama and at a time of notable cooling in the eastern Pacific (Glynn, 1990). This cooling episode caused severe damage to coral reefs in Costa Rica (see next section; Guzmán et al., 1990). Before the occurrence of these blooms in the study area, temperature anomalies of -0.5∞C were detected around Caño Island between February and May 1985 (Fig. 2A). Sustained negative anomalies were also indicated by the JMA Index, signifying La Niña activity (Fig. 2B). A pronounced surface water cooling was also detected by the JMA Index in 1988, indicating a possible La Niña event (Fig. 2B), however, no unusually dense and widespread phytoplankton blooms were observed in the eastern Pacific at that time. A moderate El Niño occurred in 1987, associated with an unusual increase in SST anomalies around the study area between June and the end of the year (Fig. 2A). The JMA and SOI indices also indicated anomalies during this time (Fig. 2B,C). Bleaching and coral mortality occurred during this period (see next section), which coincided with other effects observed in the eastern Pacific (Reyes Bonilla, 1993; Glynn et al., 1996) and also in the Caribbean region (Williams et al., 1987). Several positive SST anomalies, of varied intensity, were recorded between 1989 and 1996. In 1990, an ENSO event of moderate and sustained intensity began, as indicated by SST anomalies and ENSO indices (Fig. 2A–C). Positive anomalies persisted, some as high as 0.7∞C from 1990 through 1995 (ENSO 1990–1995, see Trenberth and Hoar, 1996). Coral bleaching occurred at Caño Island during this period (1992). However, bleaching was not observed again until 1998, during the very strong 1997–98 ENSO event. This warming disturbance was generally similar to the 1982–83 ENSO, but attained higher and more frequent SST maxima (~31∞C) than in 1982–83 (30.5∞C) (Fig. 3). Also, the 2yr weekly mean SST was slightly higher during the 1997–98 event (29.2∞C, SD = 0.77, n = 105) as compared to 1982–83 (29.0∞C, SD = 0.65, n = 104). The 1997–98 ENSO is considered to be one of the two strongest El Niño events of the century (McPhaden, 1999; Wilkinson et al., 1999; Enfield, this issue). At Caño Island, the highest SSTs were observed between the middle and end of 1997, with an SST anomaly of +1.6∞C, in agreement with the JMA Index (Fig. 2A,B). By May–June 1998, anomalies greater than +1∞C were still observed and coral bleaching was intense, affecting all reefs and species present (see next section). CHANGES IN COMMUNITY STRUCTURE.—Table 1 summarizes the current (as of February 1999) relative abundances of 18 widespread eastern Pacific reef corals at Caño Island, 138 BULLETIN OF MARINE SCIENCE, VOL. 69, NO. 1, 2001 Table 1. Current status (as of February 1999) of relative abundance estimates of zooxanthellate scleractinian corals at Caño Island, Costa Rica. Qualitative abundance measures are based on species contributions to reef frameworks and/or number of colonies in coral communities: R-rare, U-uncommon, C-common and A-abundant. Coral Species Pocillopora damicornis (Linnaeus) Pocillopora elegans Dana Pocillopora eydouxi Milne-Edwards and Haime Pocillopora capitata Verrill Pocillopora meandrina Dana Pocillopora inflata Glynn Porites lobata Dana (Smooth Morph) Porites lobata Dana (Knobby Morph) Porites panamensis Verrill Pavona clavus (Dana) Pavona gigantea Verrill Pavona varians Verrill Pavona maldivensis (Gardiner) Pavona frondifera (Lamarck) Gardineroseris planulata (Dana) Psammocora obtusangulata (Lamarck) Psammocora superficialis Gardiner Psammocora stellata (Verrill) Category A A U R U R A A A A A A C U C U C A based on several qualitative and haphazard surveys carried out since 1998. Nine coral species are considered abundant, with numerous colonies present in most habitats. Only two pocilloporid species (Pocillopora capitata, Pocillopora inflata) are rare. Large colonies of Pavona maldivensis (>1 m maximum dimension) are commonly found as encrusting sheets on the sides of rocks at various depths around the island. This species was formerly identified as Pavona gigantea and has only recently been reported from Panama (Holst and Guzmán, 1993) and Costa Rica (Cortés and Guzmán, 1998). Gardineroseris planulata, considered to be an endangered species at several localities in the eastern Pacific (Glynn, 1997), is common. It builds small frameworks, consisting of 5–80 cm diameter colonies, on the eastern and northern sides of the island. CORAL COVER.—After the 1982–83 ENSO, live coral cover at the Caño Island Biological Reserve in January 1984 was about 40% (Pocillopora spp.) on the shallow reef flats (0–5 m). Relatively low Pocillopora spp. cover (about 2–8%) occurred at the reef base (>9–14 m) (Fig. 4). The massive coral, P. lobata, growing as microatolls and encrusting colonies, covered about 2% of the substrate at approximately 0–3 m, increasing to about 35% on the mid-reef slope (>5–9 m). P. lobata cover decreased to about 12% at the reef base (>9–14 m), where large massive colonies occurred. Pavona spp. and Psammocora spp. were rare in shallow habitats. In deeper habitats, however, Pavona clavus contributed up to 4% of the substrate. After January 1984, Pavona spp. cover, mainly P. clavus, was reduced by 50% due to predation by Acanthaster planci. During June–August 1985, severe and recurrent phytoplankton blooms affected the eastern Pacific for about 40 d, causing coral death of up to 100% on shallow reef areas in Costa Rica and 13% in Panama (Guzmán et al., 1990). P. lobata cover declined slightly GUZMÁN AND CORTÉS: CHANGES IN REEF STRUCTURE IN PACIFIC COSTA RICA 139 Figure 4. Variations in mean percent cover m–2 (and SE) over a 15 yr period (1984–99) for the four most abundant reef-building coral taxa at Caño Island. Species identities are Pocillopora damicornis, P. elegans, Pavona clavus, P. gigantea, P. varians, Psammocora superficialis and P. stellata. Only Pocillopora spp. and Porites lobata were present at all four depths. The survey in August 1985 was conducted at the end of dinoflagellate blooms and surveys in June 1992 and May 1998 were performed during ENSO bleaching events. 140 BULLETIN OF MARINE SCIENCE, VOL. 69, NO. 1, 2001 Figure 5. Variations in total number of colonies over a 15 yr period (1984–1999) per 20 m2 for the four most abundant coral taxa at Caño Island. Explanatory notes as in Figure 4. GUZMÁN AND CORTÉS: CHANGES IN REEF STRUCTURE IN PACIFIC COSTA RICA 141 (<5%) in all habitats down to 14 m, while Pavona spp. (P. clavus) showed a slight increase in cover at >9–14 m (Fig. 4). The brief bleaching event in 1987 affected mostly P. lobata at >5–9 m, resulting in a loss of 70% cover (Fig. 4). The live cover of most other corals at all depths remained relatively stable or increased, as did species of Psammocora. The reef community changed relatively little between 1987 and 1992. No coral mortality was observed and no net change in coral cover occurred during this event. In 1996, a small increase in coral cover was observed in shallow environments (Pocillopora spp. and P. lobata) and also in deeper (>9–14 m) habitats (P. clavus and Psammocora spp.). In mid-depth habitats, no notable change was observed in these coral taxa (Fig. 4). All coral colonies (100%) bleached at all reef sites during the early months of 1998. This extensive bleaching event coincided with a notable increase in SSTs of ~30∞ to 30.5∞C (Fig. 3). Even though SSTs were greatly elevated, slightly higher than during a comparable period in 1983, mortality was only about 2% in Pocillopora spp. (P. damicornis and P. elegans) at >3–5 m and >9–14 m, about 5% in P. lobata (>5–9 m) and 1% in Psammocora spp. (P. superficialis and P. stellata) at >9–14 m (Fig. 4). NUMBERS OF COLONIES.—At Caño Island, 100% of the Pocillopora spp. colonies died on the reef flat and shallow forereef (down to 5 m), due to the phytoplankton blooms of 1985, while those at >9–14 m remained unchanged (Fig. 4). Guzmán et al. (1990) attributed this coral mortality mainly to smothering by mucus and oxygen reduction due to high phytoplankton population densities. This was reflected in the plots of colony numbers (Fig. 5). Between August 1985 and August 1987, the number of P. lobata colonies increased due to sexual recruitment in shallow water (>3–5 m) and to partial mortality of surviving colonies at depths of >5–14 m (Fig. 5). However, after 1987 P. lobata was repeatedly damaged by the damselfish Stegastes acapulcoensis, producing a pattern of live and dead patches on large colonies, and thereby increasing colony numbers, especially at >5–9 m. During this period, the number of colonies of all other species also increased. A pulse of sexual recruitment of Pocillopora spp. (dominantly P. elegans) was observed with a larger increase in colony numbers at >9–14 m than at >3–9 m. Pocillopora spp. (notably P. damicornis) showed a slight increase in colony abundance at very shallow depths (0–3 m) only. Similarly, an increase in the number of colonies of Psammocora spp. at >9–14 m was a result of sexual recruitment (Fig. 5). P. clavus numbers increased at >9–14 m due to partial mortality, and a few sexual recruits of Pavona varians colonized substrates at >5– 9 m. During the 1990–1995 warming event, 34–92% of the colonies in seven coral taxa were bleached (Table 2). Pavona gigantea and P. varians were most affected, with 91.6 and 81.8% of their colonies bleached, respectively. Small colonies of P. lobata, resulting from partial mortality, were affected at >5–9 m as were sexual recruits of Psammocora spp. and P. elegans in deeper waters (Fig. 5). During the 1996 survey, many similar-sized sexual recruits of both P. damicornis and P. elegans (6–8 cm in diameter) were observed on all shallow reef substrates as well as in deeper habitats. Numerous sexual recruits of Pocillopora spp. (mainly P. elegans) and Psammocora spp. were present at >9–14 m (Fig. 5). Judging by the size of these recruits (<10 cm in diameter) and their growth rates (Guzmán and Cortés, 1989b), it is possible that a recruitment pulse occurred between 1993 and 1994. The abundances of sexual 142 BULLETIN OF MARINE SCIENCE, VOL. 69, NO. 1, 2001 Table 2. Percent number of colonies bleached (total number of colonies assessed in parentheses) in seven coral taxa during the 1992 warming event at four reefs, Caño Island, Costa Rica. Total percent summary column shows the overall mean ± 1 SE, and the numbers of colonies (in parentheses) affected at all four sites. NP denotes species not present. See Figure 1 for location of reef sites. Reef* denotes a coral reef located at the NW corner of the island. Coral Species Porites lobata Psammocora spp. Pocillopora spp. Gardineroseris planulata Pavona varians Pavona clavus Pavona gigantea Reef* 60.0 (90) 45.6 (57) 19.3 (57) 91.3 (23) 90.0 (20) 90.5 (21) 91.6 (24) Reef 2 41.1 (158) 38.5 (39) 39.8 (173) 62.5 (8) NP 38.9 (59) NP Reef 3 44.2 (138) 35.0 (60) 39.6 (134) 76.9 (13) 73.7 (19) 34.2 (38) NP Reef 4 25.5 (51) NP 39.1 (69) NP NP 13.5 (37) NP Total percent 42.7 ± 6.1 (437) 39.7 ± 2.0 (156) 34.4 ± 4.3 (433) 76.9 ± 6.8 (44) 81.8 ± 5.7 (39) 44.3 ± 14.2 (155) 91.6 ± 0.0 (24) recruits of P. lobata also showed slight increases at intermediate (>3–5 m) and deep (>9– 14 m) habitats. The great increase in colony abundance of P. lobata at >5–9 m was due to partial mortality caused by damselfish. Although an increase in cover was observed in Psammocora spp., the number of colonies was greatly reduced (<25) at deeper sites after 1996. During the first months of 1998, the number of colonies increased slightly in all species except for Psammocora spp. and P. varians, which declined through the last survey (Fig. 5). STATISTICAL SYNTHESIS.—Changes in coral community structure over the course of this study (all species in each depth range, and all habitats pooled) are summarized in Figure 6. Coral cover was reduced by 95% in shallow reef areas (0–5 m) by late 1985. No significant recovery in total coral cover was evident between January 1984 (first survey after ENSO 1982–83) and February 1999 (most recent survey, after ENSO 1997–98) in shallow habitats (0–3 m, >3–5 m) (one-way repeated measures ANOVA; F = 67.8, P = 0.004 and F = 276.1, P < 0.001, respectively). However, there was a significant increase during this same period and at the same depth ranges in the number of new colonies due to sexual recruitment (F = 98.2, P < 0.01; F = 9.5, P = 0.05, respectively). No significant changes in coral cover occurred in the lower reef slope (>5–9 m) (F = 4.4, P = 0.12), however, there was a significant increase in the number of asexual recruits due to partial mortality of the dominant species, P. lobata (F =169.2, P < 0.01). In terms of live cover, deep (>9–14 m) reef zones remained relatively stable between 1984 and 1999 (F = 0.08, P = 0.786), even though there were significant changes in the number of colonies (F = 38.6, P < 0.01). When corals present at all depths are pooled, coral cover in 1999 was significantly lower than in 1984, demonstrating that recovery had not attained 1984 levels (F = 24.2, P < 0.001). However, recruitment is occurring since significantly high numbers of sexual recruits (F = 20.4, P < 0.001) have been identified within the 20 m2 plots (excluding Reef 3): 45 (Pocillopora spp.), 15 (Pavona spp.) and 50 (Psammocora spp.) colonies. DISCUSSION CORAL REEF RECOVERY.—Reef recovery after severe disturbances is affected by complex physical and biological processes, e.g., the regenerative capability of surviving colonies, the presence of healthy nearby source populations, larval dispersal capabilities and GUZMÁN AND CORTÉS: CHANGES IN REEF STRUCTURE IN PACIFIC COSTA RICA 143 reproductive ecologies (e.g. sexuality, dispersal mode, seasonality) (Pearson, 1981; Colgan, 1987; Richmond and Hunter, 1990; Roberts, 1997; Hughes et al., 1999). The term ‘recovery’ can be defined in several ways. For example, recovery of original coral cover, species abundances or diversity can be distinguished from recovery of the reef framework structure itself, especially if erosion is substantial. Therefore, recovery of reef frameworks may take from decades to centuries to occur (Pearson, 1981; Colgan, 1990; Guzmán and Cortés, 1992; Reaka-Kudla et al., 1996, but see Eakin, 1996). Biogeographic differences are also important in reef recovery. For example, some reefs in the Indian Ocean have attained 50% of their original cover only 5 yrs after the 1982–83 ENSO (Brown and Suharsono, 1990), while others on the Great Barrier Reef have demonstrated no signs of recovery after a decade (Done,1992). Recovery of live coral cover on eastern Pacific reefs after the 1982–83 ENSO has been limited at best (see review by Guzmán and Cortés, 1993). This has been due to: (1) the extreme conditions characteristic of eastern Pacific coral reef environments (Glynn, 1977; Guzmán and Cortés, 1993; Cortés, 1997); (2) the high coral mortality experienced in this region after the 1982–83 ENSO (50–100%) (Glynn 1984, 1985b; Guzmán et al., 1987; Glynn et al., 1988); (3) the intense herbivory by concentrations of sea urchins that have caused high rates of reef bioerosion (Glynn, 1988, 1990; Colgan, 1990; Eakin, 1996; Reaka-Kudla et al., 1996); (4) the low abundances of sexual recruits of reef-building coral species, even though sexually mature colonies exist nearby on most reefs (Glynn et al., 1991, 1994, 1996); and (5) possibly the diminished potential of recruitment success due to the low abundance of crustose coralline red algae. The abundance of crustose coralline red algae has been shown to be associated with enhanced settlement in a Caribbean coral species (Morse, 1990). Eastern Pacific reefs have been reported to lack an abundance of coralline algal cover (Glynn and Ault, 2000; but see Guzmán and Cortés, 1989a). Not all of these factors are important to coral recruitment on Caño Island reefs. Although the reefs at Caño Island and at other locations in the eastern equatorial Pacific were exposed to several types of natural disturbances during the past 15 yrs (disturbance frequency, every 2–5 yrs), evidence presented here indicates that coral populations in southern Costa Rica were not affected so severely as elsewhere. First, coral mortality was greater in Panama (Gulf of Chiriquí) and Ecuador (Galápagos Islands and mainland Ecuador) than in Costa Rica after the two strongest ENSO events of the century (Glynn et al., this issue). Coral mortality at Caño Island was about 52% after the 1982–83 ENSO (Guzmán et al., 1987) and only about 5% after the 1997–98 event (Fig. 6). A more gradual warming occurred around Caño Island during 1982–83, which was of lower intensity than at other reef sites in the equatorial eastern Pacific, such as the Galápagos Islands (Glynn et al., 1988; this study). This is also supported by proxy stable isotopic analyses (d18O), which indicate relatively low SSTs during skeletogenesis at Caño in 1982–83 (Carriquiry et al.,1994). Second, population densities of the sea urchins Diadema mexicanum and Eucidaris thouarsii are low at Caño Island as compared with other reefal regions (Guzmán, 1988; Guzmán and Cortés, 1993), therefore, bioerosion of the reef structure from this source is not great. Third, sexual recruitment is occurring at Caño Island, which has harbored relatively stable, deep water (9–14 m) coral populations over the last 15 yrs. These deep water corals are a likely source of new recruits to shallow reef zones. Fourth, SSTs are more stable off southwestern Costa Rica than at other EEP locales, and the reproductive seasonality of corals is longer (Glynn et al., 1994, 1996, 2000). 144 BULLETIN OF MARINE SCIENCE, VOL. 69, NO. 1, 2001 Figure 6. Variations in community structure over a 15 yr period (1984–99) for all reef building coral taxa combined, Caño Island. Symbols are sums of mean values of all taxa per m2 of percent coral cover (A) and number of coral colonies (B) at the various sampled depths. Error bars are too large to be shown. Widths of the shaded areas approximate the lengths of disturbances. The 1990–1995 warming period is according to Trenberth and Hoar (1996). And finally, more crustose coralline algal cover is present at Caño Island than at other eastern Pacific reef locales (Glynn and Wellington, 1983; Guzmán and Cortés, 1989a), thus perhaps facilitating larval settlement (Morse, 1990). Crustose coralline algal cover sampled on the reef flat at Caño Island commonly ranged from 80–95%, indicative of relatively high cover for the eastern Pacific. In spite of relatively high coral mortality (~52% overall) in 1982–83, Caño Island reef flats still supported a high cover of mainly pocilloporid corals, between 30–40% at 0–5 m depth (Fig. 4). High coral cover on the reef flat at Caño Island in 1984, at the beginning of this study, suggested previous successful recruitment. Recovery of P. damicornis and P. elegans, the major reef-building corals at Caño, differed among habitats. Deep denuded GUZMÁN AND CORTÉS: CHANGES IN REEF STRUCTURE IN PACIFIC COSTA RICA 145 substrates were recolonized by P. elegans (late 1987), while P. damicornis was not observed in its former shallow water habitat until early1996. The sizes of pocilloporid colonies observed in 1996 suggested a 1993–1994 recruitment pulse, based on an extrapolation from the growth rates of these species at Caño Island (Guzmán and Cortés, 1989b). Sexually derived recruits are now present in the reef flat habitat. The sexual recruitment of almost all species was observed in mid- to deep habitats (>3–14 m), beginning in late 1987. P. lobata was an exception with its abundance increasing at >5–9 m due to partial mortality by damselfish (Figs. 4,5). At other depths, P. lobata colony numbers remained stable. Two possible sources of larvae are proposed: (1) from local populations or (2) from more distant populations within the EEP. The potential for Caño Island reefs to self-seed is supported by reproductive studies, which have demonstrated the presence of reproductively active colonies of the major reef-building species (Glynn et al., 1991, 1994, 1996). However, even though extensive patches of sexually mature populations exist throughout the EEP, with sex ratios approximately 1:1, little or no sexual recruitment has been observed at most monitored sites at Caño Island, in Panama or the Galápagos Islands. Therefore, conditions may favor local and regional populations to self-seed or recruit from greater distances, however, other pre- or post-settlement parameters may result in recruitment failure. At Caño Island, corals were exposed to the environmental disturbances (ENSO) at the same frequency as the rest of the EEP. Perhaps sub-lethal effects within the EEP, due to stressful warming, may have temporarily impaired the reproductive capacity on distant reefs (sensu Szmant and Gassman, 1990). This has been experimentally demonstrated for P. damicornis in Panama (Glynn and D’Croz, 1990). Corals have been shown to be sexually active at Caño more often than at other EEP regions, however, recruitment in most cases is still far lower than that reported for central and western Pacific regions (Harrison and Wallace, 1990, and references therein). Another possible source of larvae is from distant regions, e.g., the central Pacific (Richmond, 1990; Glynn, 1997). This hypothesis is supported by the sporadic occurrence of organisms such as fishes, mollusks and sea urchins within the EEP from other Pacific regions (see Guzmán and Cortés, 1993; Lessios et al., 1996; Cortés, 1997; Glynn, 1997). Recruitment may coincide with putative larval pulses from central oceanic islands of the Pacific (Line Islands or Cocos Island). The Equatorial Countercurrent flow is accelerated during ENSO events, during which the transit time for larvae is reduced by one-half or more (Richmond, 1990; Glynn, 1997; Glynn and Ault, 2000). Coral recruitment was observed at Caño Island during the ENSO years (1987, 1992) or shortly thereafter. To determine the source of coral larvae, whether from local, regional or trans-Pacific areas, population genetic studies could offer insight into this issue. We are currently working on the origin of coral sexual recruits within shallow- and deep-reef habitats at Caño Island. Our preliminary studies in Panama demonstrate that gene flow occurs between local populations of P. damicornis. LONG-TERM CHANGES IN REEF COMMUNITY STRUCTURE.—The reefs at Caño Island have not been notably affected in species composition or diversity by several severe impacts experienced during the last 15 yrs. Although recruits of P. varians and Psammocora spp. were not observed until 1985 in the study plots, both species were always present on the reefs. They seem to be opportunistic and are the first to colonize denuded areas, as also observed in Colombia (Guzmán and López, 1991) and at Cocos Island, Costa Rica (Guzmán and Cortés, 1992). While populations of some species have fluctuated greatly in abun- 146 BULLETIN OF MARINE SCIENCE, VOL. 69, NO. 1, 2001 dance (e.g., G. planulata), no species has gone extinct at Caño Island during the study period. In our opinion, no zooxanthellate coral extinctions have occurred in the eastern Pacific as a result of ENSO disturbances as suggested by other workers (Glynn, 2000; Glynn and Ault, 2000). Some coral species with extremely small populations, e.g., Siderastrea glynni (Budd and Guzmán, 1994), might be threatened by ENSO activity or other disturbances. Significant temporal and spatial variations were observed in the abundance of recovering coral species at Caño Island. However, absence from the monitoring plots does not mean that certain species are locally endangered since colonies may be present in other reef habitats (see Table 2). Cortés et al. (1994) have found that coral species abundances change over time, but generally the same suite of species occupy given habitats over millennial-scale periods. Over a time scale of several years, species relative abundances have fluctuated widely in our study plots, but in general the same coral species tend to recolonize the same reef areas. Indeed, we have observed that the reefs at Caño Island continue to be built primarily by the same massive and branching corals, but now seem to be more tolerant or better adapted to marked, positive thermal excursions. Even though higher SST values occurred during the 1997–98 ENSO compared with the 1982–83 event (Fig. 3), adult and juvenile coral mortality was significantly lower more recently, supporting the hypothesis of local selection of more resistant genotypes (sensu Buddemeier and Fautin, 1993). In the future, however, the composition and structure of eastern tropical Pacific coral reefs may change if predictions of increasing intensity and frequency of ENSO disturbances are realized (Timmermann et al., 1999). In summary, recovery to the previous overall level of coral cover (~32%) on Caño Island reefs just after the 1982–83 ENSO event has not yet been attained. Recovery of coral cover to 1984 levels, in our study plots, is also not yet statistically significant. However, reefs on the north side of Caño Island, not represented in our sampling plots, presently contain approximately 70% coral cover. Therefore, we propose that the process of recovery is occurring and is only noticeable in some areas. Natural disturbances, such as phytoplankton blooms that affected Pocillopora spp. in all habitats (Guzmán et al., 1990), has interfered with reef regeneration, thus contributing to multiple disturbance impacts (Glynn, 1990; Guzmán, 1991; Cortés, 1997). ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank the Costa Rican National Conservation Area System for logistical support and permission to work at the Caño Island Biological Reserve, and all resident park rangers for their kindness and constant support during all these years. Thanks are due C. Jiménez, A. León, E. Ruiz and O. Breedy for their help in the field; and R. Steller for providing transportation to the island. We thank P. W. Glynn, S. B. Colley, and two anonymous reviewers for their comments and improvements to the manuscript. This study was partially sponsored by grants from the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute to H. M. 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