Nordic Society Oikos Population Biology of Checkerspot Butterflies and the Preservation of Global Biodiversity Author(s): Paul R. Ehrlich Source: Oikos, Vol. 63, Fasc. 1 (Feb., 1992), pp. 6-12 Published by: Wiley on behalf of Nordic Society Oikos Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/3545510 . Accessed: 19/11/2014 10:03 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org. . Wiley and Nordic Society Oikos are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Oikos. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 149.119.156.187 on Wed, 19 Nov 2014 10:03:50 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions 1992 OIKOS 63: 6-12. Copenhagen and thepreservation butterflies biologyofcheckerspot Population ofglobalbiodiversity Paul R. Ehrlich and the preservaEhrlich,P. R. 1992. Populationbiologyof checkerspotbutterflies - Oikos 63: 6-12. tion of global biodiversity. Long-termresearchon Euphydryaspopulationshas yielded much insightinto the It also, however,has shownthattoo much forconservinginvertebrates. requirements timeis requiredto obtain such insightsspecies by species to preserveglobal biodiversity.Instead, quick samplingmethodsmustbe devised to take inventoriesof the biota in prospectivereserves,planninguse patternsin thosereserves,and monitoring the results.Conservationbiologistshave about a decade to develop and deploysuch role in preventing theloss of morethanhalfof systemsiftheyare to playa significant terrestrialbiodiversity. P. R. Ehrlich, Centerfor ConservationBiology, Dept of Biological Sci., Stanford Univ., Stanford,CA 94305, USA. This paper addresses a series of points that have emergedfromthecombinedworkofour researchgroup in two seeminglydisparate areas: long-termfield and laboratoryresearchon thepopulationbiologyof butterflies,especially of the checkerspotEuphydryaseditha (Nymphalidae: Nymphalinae),and policy researchon and the maintenanceof thepreservationof biodiversity theecosystemservicesthatdepend upon it (Ehrlichand Ehrlich1981). Here I discusssome of the conclusionsI have drawnfrommore than threedecades of work in these two fields.My most importantconclusionis distressing.The sortof intensive,species-focusedresearch that I and my colleagues have carriedout on Euphydryasappears to have a verylimitedfuturein conservationbiology.Instead,ifa substantialportionof remaining biodiversityis to be conserved,detailed studiesof singlespecies mustbe replaced with"quick and dirty" methodsof evaluatingentireecosystems,designingreservesto protectthem,and determining whetherthose reservesare working. The speciesapproach to biodiversity In the public mind,the biodiversity crisisis one of loss of species. This view is embodied in the lists of endangeredspecies producedby both governmentalbodies and nongovernmental organizations,in the United States' Endangered Species Act, and in the publicity givento species on the brinkof extinctionsuch as the black rhinoand Californiacondor.This approachis also rootedin the scientific literature,wherethe traditionof focusingon species diversityas the measure of biodiversityis well entrenched(e.g., MacArthur1972; but see Hendricksonand Ehrlich1971). As usefulas a species-basedapproachto biodiversity has been, it suffersfromnumerousdrawbacks.While it is clear thatby farthe largestnumberof animalspecies live in terrestrialhabitats,especiallyin tropicalmoist forests(Wilson 1989), it is equally evidentthatproportionatelymuchgreaterdiversityof phyla and classes is foundin the relativelyspecies-pooroceans (May 1989). I'll say no more about this aspect of diversityhere, except to point out that fromthe perspectiveof biologists,theworldwould be a muchpoorerplace without Accepted13 November 1990 (D OIKOS 6 OIKOS 63:1 (1992) This content downloaded from 149.119.156.187 on Wed, 19 Nov 2014 10:03:50 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions cephalopods, loriciferans,pycnogonids, ophiuroids, and the like. Whetheror not theycan provideus with economic benefitsor play crucial roles in ecosystems, unusualorganismsare fascinatingand help us to understand the possible avenues thatcan be taken by evolution. The importanceof populationdiversity Toward the other end of the scale, the importanceof is oftenoverlooked.Firstof all, the populationdiversity genetic and ecological diversityamong populations helps bufferspecies againstextinction.Geographically circumscribedspecies withlittlepopulationdiversityespecially island species - have proven highlyextinction-prone.Population diversityis also extremelyimportantto the abilityof species to provide goods and services needed by humanity.Substantialgenetic diversityis required,forinstance,in potentialcrop plants and theirrelativesin order to permitthemfirstto be developed intosatisfactory cropsand thento keep up in the coevolutionaryraces theyrun withtheirpredators and parasites. And if the population of Engelmann spruce trees (Picea engelmannii)in a watershedis destroyed,withit will go the flood-controlserviceof the subalpineecosystem.It will thenbe of littlecomfortto those drowned downstreamthat the species is in no dangerof extinction. Our work with Euphydryasbutterflieshas shown clearlythe significanceof populationdiversityto problems of conservation(Singer 1971, Gilbertand Singer 1973, Ehrlichet al. 1975, McKechnie et al. 1975, Ehrlich and Murphy1987, Murphyand Weiss 1991a). Populationsof Euphydryaseditha,forexample,differfrom one anotherin genotypes,phenotypes,phenologies,use of resources, and flightbehavior (Singer 1971, 1972, White and Singer 1974, Ehrlich et al. 1975). If this species of herbivorousinsectis to be conserved,knowledge of the biology of individualpopulationswill be essential - since phenomena that threatenone populationwill not necessarilythreatenanother.This was clearlydemonstratedby the variedresponsesof groups of E. editha populationsto the Californiadroughtof 1975-77 (Ehrlich et al. 1980). It should also be noted that the sort of population diversitypresentedby E. edithacan be of considerablesignificancein questions related to deliveryof ecosystemservices, control of pests, and harvestingof economicallyimportantspecies. It is clear fromour work,forinstance,thatwithina singlespecies some populationsmay have the capacity to be more effectivecrop pollinators(Murphy1984) or more dangerouscrop pests, and thatsustainableyields may varygreatlybetweenpopulations. Second, withtrivialexceptions,theprocessof species extinctionis actuallya complex process of progressive populationextinction(Shaffer1981, Gilpin and Souls 1986, Murphyet al. 1990, Thomas et al. 1990). If populationsare conserved,thenspecies are conserved(but not necessarilyvice versa). Our group's long-termresearchon checkerspotbutterflies (Euphydryas)has provided considerableinsightinto the causes and consequences of populationextinction,and thereforeinto a wide arrayof global conservationissues. The need to conserveplantsand invertebrates BeforediscussingEuphydryasin moredetail,I'd like to emphasize the great need to shiftthe emphasisin the conservationcommunity fromthe protectionof "charismaticmegavertebrates" to the protectionof smalleror less spectacularorganisms.Everyone concerned with conservationwantsto see the panda survive,but from the viewpointof both pandas and people the preservation of more obscure organismsis crucial.Maintaining thediversity of plantsis, of course,the keyto theentire enterpriseof securingthe futureof the restof organic and of humansociety.Withoutbamboos there diversity wouldbe no pandas; withoutthreekindsofgrasses,Zea mays,Oryza sativa,and Triticum spp. (whichhave been developed intomaize, rice,and wheat), therewould be no civilizationas we know it. Insectsand otherterrestrial arthropodsare also crucial componentsof the entireweb of life(Gilbert1980, Wilson 1987). Withoutinsectsand theirrelatives,the livingworldwould be unrecognizable.Loss of the pollinationand seed dispersalservicesperformedby insects and the absence of insectherbivorywould dramatically alter (and pauperize) plant communitiesin ways that are difficultto imagine. The absence of insects and mites,whichalong withthe nematodescould comprise more than95% of species diversity(May 1989), would reverberatethroughfood webs, changingsoil faunas and fertility, most species of birds and exterminating muchof the remainderof Earth's terrestrial vertebrate faunaas well as manyfreshwater fishes.The loss of ants alone would completelyunraveltropical-rainforest ecosystems(in whichants are key herbivoresand predators) and cause untoldhavoc in mostotherecosystems (Gilbert1980, Holldobblerand Wilson 1990). Insects and other terrestrialarthropods,after all, comprisethevastmajorityof organicdiversity, withthe possible additionof the stillpoorly-knownnematodes (May 1989). Indeed, in termsofspeciesdiversity, all the restcould almostbe considereda side issue. Also, most insectsare herbivorous(Erwin 1982); one could thereforeview Euphydryasas representing the verycore of biodiversity. 7 OIKOS 63:1 (1992) This content downloaded from 149.119.156.187 on Wed, 19 Nov 2014 10:03:50 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Euphydryasand the tacticsof conservation Perhaps the single most importanttacticalconclusion that can be drawn fromour longfor conservationists is thatthe preservatermresearchon these butterflies will requirea verydifferent tion of small invertebrates approach fromthat developed on the basis of megavertebrates.Think of the kinds of issues that pervade the conservationof, say, rhinos,cheetahs,or condors. Whatis the minimumviable censussize thatwillsustain a populationof cheetahs?Are survivingindividualstoo inbred? How much habitat is required to provide space fora populationof black rhinos? enoughterritory Should ex situconservationbe attemptedforCalifornia condors? How can deliberate killingof elephants by humanbeingsbe prevented? kindsof questionsin inThese are rarelyfirst-order vertebrateconservation.For example, while establishing a minimumviable population size (MVP) (Soul6, 1987) - or, more likely,a minimumviable metapopulation(MVM) (Ehrlichand Murphy1987) - can be an norand usefulexercisewithinvertebrates, interesting mallyendangermentis patentlong beforesuch a size is even approached. The subspecies Euphydryaseditha bayensisin the San FranciscoBay area is clearlyimperiled (and has been listedas "threatened"undertheU.S. EndangeredSpecies Act). Neverthelessthe largereservoir populationof the southernBay area metapopulation (Ehrlichand Murphy1987) always numbersmore than 104adultsand oftenexceeds 10' individuals(Murphyand Weiss 1988a). Indeed, a populationof 105E. edithamay existon a conditionsare fewdozen hectareswhen environmental optimal.In contrast,it is possible thattherehave never been 105 grizzlybears at one time in the coterminous UnitedStates. Few, ifany,vertebrateswouldbe considered endangered with populations of 104 adults. But thenfewvertebratepopulations(and no populationsof large vertebrates)typicallygo through2-5 fold annual size fluctuations, as E. edithadoes often(Ehrlichet al. 1975, Murphyand Weiss 1988a). For mostvertebrates, again unlikeE. editha,populationextinctionsare not a normalpartof theirpopulationdynamics(Ehrlichet al. 1975, 1980). Endangeredinvertebratepopulationsdo not ordinarilypersistwithonlya handfulof individualsover many generations(Murphyet al. 1990). Inbreedingdepression, therefore,has not oftenbeen a serious concern. The standardthatpopulationsshould be maintainedat several hundredindividualsor more over manygenerations to avoid inbreeding(Lande and Barrowclough 1987) is rarelyviolated. Small demographicunitsin E. editha metapopulationsappear to receive immigrants (Murenough to preventgeneticdifficulties frequently phy et al. 1990), and that may be typical of insect even in Euphydryaspopulations species. Furthermore, that appear vulnerableto inbreedingeffects,those effectshave notyetbeen detected.A transplantedcolony of E. gillettii(Holdren and Ehrlich1981) has persisted withan Ne apparentlyless than 50 individualsforthirteen generations;it may eventuallyprovide important on inbreedingresistanceor susceptibility information in Euphydryas. Terrestrialinvertebratesnormallydo not have large home ranges or territories.Individualsof some trapliningspecies in tropicalforests,such as euglossinebees and heliconiinebutterflies(Ehrlich and Gilbert1973), may requiremanyhectaresof habitatto supportthem because of the dispersionof theirfood resources.But measuredin square kilometers,seen areal requirements in organismssuch as Californiacondors,grizzlybears, and Sumatran rhinos (Hutchinson and Ripley 1954) have rarelybeen ascertainedin insects,and individuals of even medium-sizebutterfliesoften are quite sitetenacious and largelyconfinetheiractivitiesto a few hectares(Daily et al. 1991). Indeed forEuphydryas,and many(ifnotmost)other insectherbivores,the detailed qualityof the habitatis much more importantthan its extent. Relativelyrestrictedareas of the mostsuitableenvironment can supportreservoirpopulationsthatsupplythe long-distance dispersersthatmaintaina species' metapopulationin a largearea. Given enoughspace, grizzlybears,withtheir greatmobilityand catholicdiets,can findfood. Furthermore, theyare able to persistin a wide range of climates, fromarctic tundra to semi-desert.Almost all "generalist"insects,however,are specialistswhencompared to vertebrates.If the appropriate oviposition plantor plantsfora populationof a Euphydryasspecies disappearsfroma reserve,the butterfly willnot persist, no matterhow largethe reserve.Furthermore, the densityof the food plant usuallymustbe highenough to permitlarvaeto move to a newplantwhenone has been devoured (few host plantsare large enough to support the dozens of larvae froman egg mass fromhatch to diapause) (Singer1972). Grizzlybears can move tensof kilometersin search of food, larvae at most tens of meters. Also unlikemostvertebrates,Euphydryasare heavily dependenton appropriatemicroclimatesfortheirsurvival. In themostintensively studiedpopulations,those of E. edithabayensis,the eggs are laid in March and April, and the newlyhatchedlarvae immediatelyfind themselvesin a race withthe senescence of theirfood plants(Singer1972). If theyfailto reach theinstarthat can diapause throughthe dry summermonthsbefore theplantssenesce,theywillnotsurvive.Whetheror not thelarvae can wintherace dependson a complexphase relationshipbetween the phenologyof the host plant and the insectpopulations(Singer and Ehrlich 1979). That relationship,in turn,dependsheavilyon theinteractionsbetweentopographyof the habitatand itsmacroclimate that create diverse thermal microenviron- 8 OIKOS 63:1 (1992) This content downloaded from 149.119.156.187 on Wed, 19 Nov 2014 10:03:50 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions ments or "topoclimates." (Geiger 1965, Murphyand Weiss 1988b, Weiss et al. 1988, 1990). In habitatswitha singleexposure(say a gentlesouthfacingslope) sequences ofyearsmayoccurwithweather that makes the plant-Euphydryas phenologies incompatiblein the singleavailable topoclimate,and thepopulation will be drivento extinction.But if the habitat containsa varietyof exposures,itwillpossess areas with at least some favorabletopoclimatesunder nearlyall weather conditionsconceivable in the macroclimate, and thepopulationwillprobablypersisteven ifthe area of habitatis relativelysmall. The Californiadroughtof 1975-77 caused numerous extinctionsof component populationsof the Santa Clara CountyE. e. bayensis metapopulationbecause of the veryearlysenescenceof the host plants(Singer and Ehrlich1979, Ehrlichet al. 1980, Ehrlichand Murphy1987, Harrisonet al. 1988). Larvae simplyhad too littletimeto growto the size at which they can enter diapause. The heavy rains that accompaniedthe 1982-83El Nifioalso resultedin large population declines, in this case because a paucityof wintersunshinedelayed adult flight(and oviposition) longer than it delayed host plant senescence, again shorteningthe timeavailable forlarvalgrowth(Dobkin et al. 1987). Environmental-quality factors,especiallythose connected withweather(Ehrlich et al. 1972) and humancaused disturbanceof habitats,also seem to governthe persistenceof other temperate-zonebutterfly populations(see summariesin Ehrlich1984 and Murphyet al. 1990). I suspectthe extinctiondynamicsof manyother invertebrate groupsare similarlycontrolledby thecombined effectsof habitatfragmentation and environment tal extremes(drought,deluge, wildfire,etc.) in temperate areas, while otherfactorssuch as demographicstochasticity and overexploitation are much more importantforvertebrates. Almost nothing,unfortunately, is known about the factorsinfluencingpopulation persistenceof invertebrates in tropicalecosystems,althoughit is those systems that are most endangered. Certainlyhost-plant relationshipsare criticalfor butterflies(Ehrlich 1984) and other herbivorousinsects, and for at least some adultpollen sourcesare crucialas well (Ehrbutterflies, lich and Gilbert1973). Herbivoresin generalare probably more specialized in the tropics;thus the massive destructionof tropicalforestvegetationnow occurring (Myers 1989) is certainlyleading to losses of populations and species of invertebratesunprecedentedat least since the last ice age and possiblyin the 65 million years since the extinctionsat the K-T boundary. A special problemin the tropicsis the conversionof low elevation habitat with warm exposures to agriculture and otherformsof development.This removesan array of niches withparticularinsolation,temperature,and precipitationregimes along with the biota associated withthem(Murphyand Weiss 1991a, b). Overall, the best tactic for conservationmay be to establishtheextentof reserveswithan eye on thehome ranges and resource needs of charismaticmegavertebrates, the areal requirementsof "big thingsthat run the world" (Terborgh1988), but to locate the reserves withattentionto habitatdiversity requiredbythe "little thingsthatrun the world" (Wilson 1987). Euphydryasand strategiesfor conservation I believe thatthe most importantconclusionfromour group's work on Euphydryasis strategicratherthan tactical.Our researchhas made it crystalclear thatthe sortsof detailed ecological and evolutionaryinformation thatone would ideallylike to have beforerecommendingconservationprogramsforinvertebrate species will almost never be available. Research on the Euphydryassystemhas provided a great many tactical lessons about single-speciesconservationfor invertebrates- thatis, how to accomplishthe preservationof a givenspecies. It has shownthe importanceof identifyingdemographicunits,ofdifferentiating migrationfrom gene flow, of recognizingsubtle key habitat quality factorssuch as slope and exposure,and so on (Ehrlich and Murphy1987). But thosetacticalsuccesseshave shownus how to win battleswhilelosingthewar. More thanthreedecades of researchbydozens of investigators has been requiredto gain a reasonableunderstanding of the populationbiologyofEuphydryaseditha,to providesome notionofthe geographic scale upon which conservationplanning must proceed and the phenomena that must be addressed, and to be able to make sound recommendationsforthe conservationof the best-knownmetapopulations. That work has shown that lessons learned workingon one suiteof populationsof E. edithaare not necessarilyapplicable to co-occurringclose relatives such as E. chalcedona (Brown and Ehrlich1980, Murphy et al. 1986) or to distantpopulationsof E. editha itself(Ehrlichet al. 1975, 1980). The amountof effort thatwould be requiredto advance understanding of the biologyof just the 600 or so species of butterflies that live in NorthAmerica to the level of E. edithatodayis it mightbe done in a decade withthoumind-boggling; sands of investigators workingat it - if those investigatorscould be trainedinstantly. And yet the fate of a substantialportionof Earth's terrestrialfauna, invertebratesas well as vertebrates, willbe determinedin the nextdecade or two (Vitousek et al. 1986, Myers 1989, Wilson 1989, Ehrlichand Wilson 1991). Conceivably,10 to 25 millionspecies could go extinct,and withthemcould go muchoftheabilityof Earth's ecosystemsto supply humanitywith essential services(Ehrlichand Ehrlich1981, 1990). The destruction of tropicalforests,forexample, is alreadygreatly adding to the atmosphericbuild-up of greenhouse 9 OIKOS 63:1 (1992) This content downloaded from 149.119.156.187 on Wed, 19 Nov 2014 10:03:50 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions gases, worseninga problemwiththe potentialto bring down civilization. In short,thereis not remotelythe time,the personnel, nor the financialsupport available to study the biologyof most of the populationsthat must be preis to servedifthemajorityof Earth'sbiologicaldiversity be saved - and along withit the crucialfunctioning of ecosystems.Indeed, it has longbeen evidentthateven a rough catalogue of species diversityis unlikelyto be completedbeforemostof thatdiversity is gone (Ehrlich 1964). In some cases, conservationbiologistswill be able to use theirgrowingunderstandingof population viabilityanalysis (PVA) in aid of the preservationof targetpopulations and species. But most populations and species almostcertainlywill go extinctbeforethey are even discovered,let alone investigated.The sortof intensiveshort-term effortthat has recentlybeen expended on understandingthe conservationbiology of the northernspottedowl (Strixoccidentaliscaurina) in the United States (Thomas et al. 1990) could serveas a model forresearchon the conservationbiologyof vertebrates, as the work on Euphydryascan for invertebrates.But togetherthese techniquesare likelyto be applied to less than1/10000 of all species, and less than 1/1000000 of all geneticallydistinctpopulationsor subspecies. A new strategyis requiredforthe overall goal of savingecosystems,not species one at a time. A new approach forconservationbiology So conservationbiologistsmusttake anotherapproach, even as theycontinuehoningtheirPVA skillsforthose rare occasions when theycan be put to good use. They mustdevelop cookbook responsesforthe preservation of endangeredspecies to serve in the absence of extensive autecologicaldata. They mustlearnto do rapidand roughinventoriesof the biodiversityin entireecosystems,plan the preservationand managementof those ecosystems,and develop techniquesformonitoring success in preservingthebiota of thosesystems.This inevitably means using samples, both systematicand geographic,to representthe entire taxonomicrange of organismsand theentireextentof theecosystems.Such roughsamplingis bound to lead to some seriouserrors that could resultin the loss of some populationsand species, but this circumstancemust now be accepted. Withoutsuch "quick and dirty"inventory,planning, and monitoring procedures,futurelosses willinevitably be far greater. It has, afterall, been a decade since publicationof the landmarkreport"Research Priorities in Tropical Biology" (NRC 1980). That reporturged, amongotherthings,establishment of crashprogramsof samplingtropical diversityand greatlyincreased support for systematics.But littlehas been done on the former,and the statusof systematicshas, if anything, deteriorated. One of the firsttasksof the conservationcommunity is to decide on taxonomic groups to be used as indicatorsin inventorying and monitoring,and settleon appropriatetechniquesto be used. I would suggestthat the major effortgo into three already well-known groups:vascularplants,birds,and largebutterflies (Papilionidae, Pieridae, Nymphalidae).The plants,forming the base of most food chains and the basic food resourceforalmostall animals,are an obvious choice. Indeed, withan effortfundedto the level of the cost of two useless B-2 bombers ($1300 million), the task of more or less completinga global surveyof plantscould be completed.Botanists,plant collections,and botanical gardensare crucialto the futureof humanity,and botanical resourcesneed rapid expansion and deploymentto accomplishthe task of understanding and protectingEarth's flora. It is an indicationof misplaced prioritieswithinthe scientific thatrelatively community unimportantexercises such as the sequencing of the human genome can take priorityover the assessment and preservationof Earth's irreplaceable botanical wealth. In theory,plantsalone, because of theirfundamental roles in ecosystems,could formthe basis of most inventorying/ planning/monitoring activity.But the problems of identifying plantsin the field(especiallyin the tropics)can be substantial.Subtlechangesin treefloras will oftenbe signalledby shiftsin recruitment(adult trees may persistfora centuryor more in habitatsno longerable to supporta viablepopulation),and saplings can be especially hard to identify.The shortage of skilled botanical taxonomistsand field workersthereforemakes supplementationwithanimal groupsdesirable. The alpha taxonomyof the roughly9000 birdspecies is largelycomplete,and in mostareas of theworldthere are ornithologists and birdwatcherscapable of identifying most species and trainingothersto do so as well. Birds are indicatorsof vegetationalstructureand, in some situations,ofthepresenceor abundanceofcertain floralcomponents(e.g., manyfruiting treesin tropical forests),and migratory speciescarryinformation on the conditionof distanthabitats.A great deal of work on monitoring techniqueshas alreadybeen done, but more willbe requiredto standardizeand simplify themso that they will be readily used by relativelyinexperienced people. Butterfliesare also well known taxonomically,and people withoutextensivebiologicaltrainingcan quickly learn to identifythe largerones. Butterfliesare more tightlylinked to the taxonomicdiversityof the plant thanare birds,and should providea rather community sensitizeindicatorof the stateof thatcommunity. They are also verysensitiveto pesticides,a major factorin the overall toxification of the planet, and, as our work on Euphydryashas shown,are responsiveto a varietyof other subtle aspects of habitat quality. Appropriate transect,malaise trapping,and baitingtechniqueshave 10 OIKOS 63:1 (1992) This content downloaded from 149.119.156.187 on Wed, 19 Nov 2014 10:03:50 AM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions been worked out for butterfliesand should be easily Conclusions modifiableand standardizedformonitoring. In tropicalareas, monitoring thehealthof ecosystems In sum,we have learneda greatdeal ofvalue to conserfaunas may prove vation in more than three decades of intensivework by samplingthe bird and butterfly to monitorthe floraat all. The withthe Euphydryassystemand otherbutterflies simplerthanattempting (Ehrselectionof aquatic organismsto monitorwill also be lichand Murphy1987). But themostimportantlessonis required, with frogsperhaps being the easiest. Frogs thatEarth's biota cannot now be saved by the sort of also are suffering mysteriousdeclinesin manyareas of laborious dissectionof the biologyof populationsthat the worldand should thereforebe watchedcloselyand we have engagedin. Rather,it is criticalthatconservabe the subjectsof investigations to determinethe cause tion biologists build on what is already understood or causes. Monitoringof streamnutrientsand siltloads about well-knownorganismsto develop tools thatcan could also provide a sensitiveindicatorfor evaluating be used to save biodiversity quicklyand en masse. And ecosystemhealth (O'Neill et al. 1977); the techniques it is also criticalthattheybe active politicallyto press for doing so are well developed, and sample analysis forthe resourcesrequiredto allow themto applytheir could be successfullydone in tropical countries.Our tools beforeit is too late. group is currentlysettingup a test inventorying/planning/monitoring systemadjacent to La Amistad Na- Acknowledgements - I thankthemanystudents andcolleagues tionalPark on the Costa Rica - Panama borderwiththe whohaveworkedwithmeoverthepastthreedecadeson the G. C. Daily,A. H. Ehrlich, system. P. H. Raven, collaborationof Latin Americanbiologists.We plan to Euphydryas andP. Vitousekwerekindenoughto criticise themanuscript. evaluate various ideas and techniques and establish Specialappreciation and coworker, goesto myfriend D. D. joint programsfortrainingof para-ecologiststo employ Murphy, forhiscomments on thispaperand forcarrying so muchoftheloadinrecent years.Thisworkhasbeensupported successfultechniqueselsewherein the neotropics. fromtheNationalScienceFoundaSimple, accurate,repeatableinventoryand monitor- bya longseriesofgrants tion,themostrecentofwhichis BSR 87-00102,grantsfrom ingprogramsofcoastal and marinesystemsneed also be theFord,Koret,Hewlett,W. AltonJones,and MacArthur developed. There is some evidence that shorebirds foundations, andbyindividual donors. (waders) (Myerset al. 1987) and pelagicbirds(Boersma 1986) mightprove to be usefulindicatororganismsfor oil pollution. Indeed, shorebirdsand migratoryland birdsare alreadyprovidingcivilizationwitha generalized warningabout the state of Earth's environment References (Terborgh1989, Ehrlich 1990). There is some movementtowarddevelopingsuchprograms,butmoreeffort Boersma, P. D. 1986. Ingestionof petroleumby seabirdscan serveas a monitorofwaterquality.- Science 231: 373-376. (and funding)is clearlyneeded. Brown,I. L. and Ehrlich,P. R. 1980. Populationbiologyof the While developingtechniquesfor samplingbiodivercheckerspotbutterfly, Euphydryaschalcedona:structure of the JasperRidge colony. - Oecologia (Berl.) 47: 239-251. sitymusthave highpriority,so mustdecisionson allocating effortto the understandingof Earth's diverse Daily, G. C., Ehrlich,P. R. and Wheye, D. 1991. Determinantsof spatialdistribution in a populationofthesubalpine ecosystems. A balance of effort clearly must be butterfly Oeneischryxus,witha discussionofterritorial and achieved between establishinginventorying/planning/ lek behavior.Submittedto Behavioral Ecology and Sociobiology. monitoringsystemsfor establishedor prospectivereserves, quick surveysof futureextinctionhotspotsto Dobkin, D., Olivieri,I. and Ehrlich,P. R. 1987. Rainfalland the interactionof microclimatewithlarvalresourcesin the capturesome idea of the diversityabout to be lost (and population dynamicsof checkerspotbutterflies(Euphythusprovidestimulusfortheestablishment ofreserves), dryaseditha) inhabitingserpentinegrassland.- Oecologia (Berl.) 71: 161-176. and in-depthstudiesthat will provide a pictureof the basic structureof diversity.The lattercould rangefrom Ehrlich,P. R. 1964. Some axioms of taxonomy.- Syst.Zool. 13: 109-123. listsof species of all organismsin hectareplots of trop- - 1984. The structureand dynamicsof butterfly populations. ical forests(May 1989) to effortsto catalogue the biota - In: Vane-Wright,R. I. and Ackery, P. R. (eds), The biologyof butterflies. Academic Press,London, pp. 25-40. of an entirenation (as now beingattemptedby INBIO - 1990. People vs. birds.- Am. Birds 44: 193-196. in Costa Rica). I will not deal with the issue of the - and Gilbert,L. E. 1973. Populationstructure and dynamics geographicallocation of effortin depth now, but only of the tropicalbutterfly Heliconiusethilla.- Biotropica5: emphasizethatsensibledecisionson whereto studycan 69-82. - and Ehrlich,A. H. 1981. Extinction:the causes and conseonly be made afterthose on how to studyhave been quences of the disappearanceof species. - Random House, made - and point out that every day the options of New York. whereto studyget fewer.It is hardlypossible to exag- and Murphy,D. D. 1987. Conservationlessonsfromlonggerate the urgencywith which these issues should be term studies of checkerspotbutterflies.- Cons. Biol. 1: 122-131. addressed (NRC 1980, Ehrlichand Ehrlich1981, Ehr- and Ehrlich,A. H. 1990. The populationexplosion. - Silich and Wilson 1991). mon and Schuster,New York. - and Wilson,E. O., 1991. Biodiversitystudies:science and policy.- Science, in press. 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