TRADE-RELATED AGENDA, DEVELOPMENT AND EQUITY (T.R.A.D.E.) WORKING PAPERS 4 ELECTRONIC COMMERCE: ISSUES FOR THE SOUTH This working paper was written by A. Didar Singh, a senior civil servant and international trade expert from India who is a guest consultant at the South Centre. SOUTH CENTRE OCTOBER 1999 THE SOUTH CENTRE In August 1995, the South Centre became a permanent intergovernmental organization of developing countries. In pursuing its objectives of promoting South solidarity, South-South co-operation, and co-ordinated participation by developing countries in international forums, the South Centre has full intellectual independence. It prepares, publishes and distributes information, strategic analyses and recommendations on international economic, social and political matters of concern to the South. The South Centre enjoys support and co-operation from the governments of the countries of the South and is in regular working contact with the NonAligned Movement and the Group of 77. Its studies and position papers are prepared by drawing on the technical and intellectual capacities existing within South governments and institutions and among individuals of the South. Through working group sessions and wide consultations which involve experts from different parts of the South, and sometimes from the North, common problems of the South are studied and experience and knowledge are shared. CONTENTS List of Abbreviations Foreword Executive Summary I. II. Introduction .............................................................................................. 1 I.1 ECommerce today and tomorrow ................................................................. I.2 A policy perspective for developing countries .............................................. I.3 Summary of main points................................................................................... 1 6 10 ECommerce in the South.......................................................................... 11 II.1 II.2 II.3 II.4 Internet: the infrastructure for eCommerce ................................................ Potential and dangers for business (especially SMEs) in the South ......... The role of government .................................................................................. Summary of main points................................................................................. 11 17 19 21 III. Important Issues of ECommerce for developing countries ..................... 22 III.1 III.2 III.3 III.4 IV. Global framework proposals and their implications................................. Technological developments and standards .............................................. Legal and financial framework...................................................................... Summary of main points ............................................................................... 22 24 26 28 Issues Related to the WTO....................................................................... 30 IV.1 IV.2 IV.3 IV.4 IV.5 V. Taxation issues................................................................................................. Market access issues........................................................................................ Characterization and classification issues .................................................... Issues concerning intellectual property rights ............................................ Summary of main points ............................................................................... 30 31 34 35 37 Towards a Strategy for the South.............................................................. 38 Selected Bibliography ................................................................................... 42 PREFACE The South Centre, with funding support from UNDP TCDC Unit, has established a pilot project to monitor and analyse the work of WTO from the perspective of developing countries. Recognizing the limited human and financial resources available to the project, it focuses on selected issues in the WTO identified by a number of developing countries as deserving priority attention. It is hoped that the project will lead to more systematic and longer term activities by the South Centre on WTO issues. An important objective of the project is to respond, to the extent possible within the limited resources, to the needs of developing country negotiators in the WTO for concise and timely analytical inputs on selected key issues under negotiation in that organization. The publication of analytical cum policy papers under the T.R.A.D.E. working paper series is an attempt to achieve this objective. These working papers will comprise brief analyses of chosen topics from the perspective of developing countries rather than exhaustive treatises on each and every aspect of the issue. It is hoped that the T.R.A.D.E. working paper series will be found useful by developing country officials involved in WTO discussions and negotiations, in Geneva as well as in the capitals. The text of these working papers may be reproduced without prior permission. However, clear indication of the South Centre’s copyright is required. South Centre, October 1999 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS B2B B2C B2G CPC DCs eBusiness eCommerce eTrade EDI GATS GATT GII HRD IP IPRs ISPs IT LDCs PC QRs SMEs TCP TRIPs VAT WWW Business-to-Business Business-to-Consumer Business-to-Government Central Products Classification Developing Countries Electronic Business Electronic Commerce Electronic Trade Electronic Data Interchange General Agreement on Trade in Services General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade Global Information Infrastructure Human Resource Development Internet Protocol Intellectual Property Rights Internet Service Providers Information Technology Least-developed countries Personal Computer Quantitative Restrictions Small and Medium Enterprises Transmission Control Protocol Trade-related Intellectual Property Rights Value Added Tax World Wide Web Organizations APEC ASM EC EU FNC ICANN IFC ITC ITU NAM OECD UN UNCITRAL UNCTAD UNDP UNESCAP Pacific WIPO WTO Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation Asian Sources Media Group European Communities European Union Federal Networking Council Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers International Finance Corporation International Trade Centre International Telecommunications Union Non-Aligned Movement Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development United Nations United Nations Commission on International Trade Law United Nations Conference on Trade and Development United Nations Development Programme United Nations Economic & Social Commission for Asia and the World Intellectual Property Organization World Trade Organization FOREWORD Electronic commerce, or eCommerce, has become an issue in international trade policy discussions. Largely on the initiative of the United States, efforts are being made to place this subject on the multilateral negotiating agenda and accepted as part of the remit of the World Trade Organization (WTO). The immediate practical concern of the US is to achieve a permanent global ban on tariffs on products and services which can be delivered electronically via the Internet. As on other issues brought up in the WTO, the countries of the South find themselves in an uncomfortable, although not altogether unfamiliar, situation. They are confronted with strong precipitate pressures to engage immediately in a process of rulemaking and to assume commitments in an area which is still ill-defined. Moreover, most developing countries have little or no national experience, expertise, or technical capacity in the field of eCommerce, and they have not fully analysed the many possible, and often unpredictable, implications of its development either for their economies or their societies. They are thus being expected to agree to enter into negotiations and, possibly, into binding commitments without a full grasp of the multi-faceted development implications of such action. Developing countries are being subjected to a combination of pressures and promises of major qualitative and quantitative development breakthroughs on the wings of eCommerce. Many in the South, understandably enthusiastic about the potential of eCommerce, have tended to accept uncritically the claims and prescriptions of those in the developed countries, eager to build up further their own capacities in and through eCommerce. As in the case of other sectors or activities, the complex and multifaceted issues associated with eCommerce are being dealt with in a fragmented and dissociated manner. Apart from proposed discussion in the WTO on the economic issues associated with eCommerce, a wide range of multilateral institutions are now engaged in activities which affect eCommerce in one manner or another. Owing to their lack of experience and technical expertise, developing countries once again find themselves unable to participate in discussions and decision-making in an informed way on highly complex technical and legal processes and developments. In effect, therefore, a handful of countries and major corporations from the North are able to set rules, technical standards and other matters, while ignoring the development implications for countries of the South. Moreover, these technical and economic negotiations take place in the absence of a broader more integrated framework which takes account of the needs of and possibilities for developing countries with respect to eCommerce and the information and communications technologies which facilitate it. This is highly prejudicial to the developing countries. It is thus not surprising that most of them adopt a defensive stance and are reluctant to engage in a process which could lead to commitments and foreclose their options, when the broader picture is quite unclear, the costs and benefits are difficult x South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers to determine and assess, and there is no clear idea as to how this new capability and mode of interaction can best be oriented to promote development. Without a broader perspective, and a well informed strategy and coordination between them, developing countries are at a clear disadvantage vis-à-vis the countries of the North. The advanced countries are customarily well prepared, having a clear perception of their national and group interests, especially when it comes to dealing with the South, and a grasp of the whole. Their positions are often well coordinated through various institutional mechanisms, such that they often have an overarching strategy. Meaningful discussion of eCommerce issues is also hindered by the lack of clarity and precision: the term itself has become a “catch-all” term referring to a number of quite different matters. It has often been used to embrace matters having to do with Internet, with which it is closely intertwined. In sum, in approaching the discussion of eCommerce developing countries are confronted by a number of problems, namely: • a general lack of clarity surrounding most discussions on eCommerce issues in the multilateral arena; • major implications for the traditional role of governments, for national sovereignty and for the societies and economies of developing countries, including not only their balance of payments, but also possibly their financial policy, among other things. • pressures to include eCommerce as a new item on the agenda for negotiations in the WTO in the post-Seattle period and the US drive to keep eCommerce free from the imposition of taxes and tariffs. It is therefore of crucial importance that a fuller and comprehensive appreciation of the issues, challenges and potential related to electronic commerce -- and Internet -- informs the position and approaches of developing countries, as they engage in discussions, study and negotiations in the UN and the WTO to devise a multilateral framework to channel and regulate eCommerce in its multiple forms. Among other things, there will be a need to address important issues concerning the new technological potential, including encryption technologies and the monitoring of global information flows, and abuses such as transnational crime, dubious financial cross-border transactions, and globalized fraud in general, as well as consumer protection. To leave these matters which are vital for the future of the humankind to the socalled spontaneous forces of market, would be to virtually abandon the development of this domain to a handful of powerful interests in the North, thus creating new forms of dependency and dominion for the 21st century. Carefully handled at a national and international level, Internet and electronic commerce could become means to help overcome global gaps in development, technology and knowledge, rather than deepening these and exacerbating existing economic and social inequalities, thereby increasing exploitation, marginalization and tensions within and between countries. Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South xi In view of the importance for developing countries of considering eCommerce both in a broader context as it relates to development and also within the appropriate technological framework, the South Centre is providing this background paper written by A. Didar Singh, as an initial cognitive map with a view to helping developing countries in their efforts to deal with the subject of eCommerce, including in the context of the ongoing WTO process. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The double face of Electronic Commerce, one promising and the other threatening, is certain to become a part of the economic life of all developing countries as humanity finds itself catapulted into the world of global electronic networks. Since the achievement and maintenance of equitable economic growth is an integral part of the development strategies of these countries, the impact of eCommerce, both positive and negative, is a key policy issue. Developing countries need to understand, assess, assimilate and use this technology to their gain, while protecting their basic interests and guarding against the possible ills. As eCommerce growth becomes more and more significant, developing countries will need not just to understand, but in fact to engage in it. Not only for realizing its potential of growth for their trade and industry but also as a means of survival in the new world of eCommerce-based trade and business. Their ability to do so will depend on several factors, most important of which will be their infrastructure, both physical (the telecommunication network), as well as the financial and legal framework, including a business and trade environment conducive to eCommerce. It will also depend on the availability and price of hardware (computers, routers, switches etc.) and software, as well as the human resource and education standards of the country. ECommerce is a useful tool for the transfer of information as well as for commercial transactions. These two main functions raise several different issues of pricing, taxation, quality and standards. This paper seeks to address several of the important implications from the perspective of the South. Developing countries also need to prepare themselves for the future multilateral trade agenda, in particular the so-called new issues on which the Second Ministerial Conference of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in May 1998 asked the WTO General Council to formulate recommendations. One such issue is eCommerce which is presently under study. Not only is eCommerce a new technology and a new frontier for global business and trade, it is still evolving, and that too at an incredible pace. Developing countries therefore need to understand, and assess carefully from their perspective, the pros and cons of the different proposals and issues in this connection that could emerge at the WTO. They need to appreciate the possible impact of this new phenomenon on their economies and work out appropriate strategies and responses to it. Therefore, unlike most other trade-related agenda items before the WTO, this is an area that is not just new but where many of the implications are as yet unclear. This paper therefore, while focusing on the WTO issues and possible negotiating positions, also attempts to address some of the core questions concerning eCommerce and place them in perspective for developing countries attempting to develop their strategies. Section I seeks to set the stage by explaining the main concepts and importance of the Internet and eCommerce. It describes eCommerce today and the trends for the future, while advocating a three level policy perspective for developing countries namely, global, national and that for business enterprises. National strategies for eCommerce sometimes may not be the same as the international negotiation stance, though experience and xiv South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers expertise at home would obviously strengthen positions at the multilateral and bilateral level and national agendas be attempted to be aligned with international objectives. Section II outlines the present status of eCommerce development and usage in the South, detailing the large chasm between the developing and the developed world. Though innovative initiatives are being undertaken in the South, particularly in Asia, the gap will only widen if governments and international agencies do not address and redress some of the problems. Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in the developing world have been identified as one of the main possible beneficiaries of the new opportunities emerging with eCommerce. A matrix indicating the potential and the challenges is attempted here to summarise the main issues and questions. Building up capacities will be the need of the future for the South, and governments must play an active role in these and related initiatives. While describing the growth of the Internet infrastructure, it is pointed out that it is neither truly global nor participative. Developing countries lag far behind and will need to adopt proactive policies to generate investments into the communications backbone on the one hand while examining intermediate solutions and models to facilitate access to strategic areas and sectors to accelerate immediate opportunities for business on the other. The questions of technology transfer and standards are raised in Section III, with the recommendation that developing countries be provided representation and assisted in capacity and expertise building and be involved in the answers and solutions that are being worked out at the global level. As the Internet and eCommerce become more and more important for the world, all countries, including those of the South, will need to align their domestic and international legal and financial framework and procedures to the emerging realities of digital transactions. UNCITRAL1 Model Law (1996) on eCommerce is a standard framework that needs to be considered for implementation, as also the adapting of existing legal and financial systems to the eCommerce environment. The issues before the WTO are dealt with in Section IV. These mainly relate to tariffs, market access, characterization and intellectual property rights (IPRs). These are viewed from the perspective of developing countries and it is suggested that many of the proposals and options need more detailed examination by developing countries before they are in a position to finalize their stance. Simultaneously the developed world must address the limitations and problems that the developing countries face in matters of infrastructure, investment, IT development and training and education. Only with assistance in these areas can the South have a chance to realize the potential of eCommerce and thus use it to achieve the appropriate integration with the world trading system and as a tool for development. In conclusion it is emphasized that a joint/common strategy for the South perforce must be developed not just to share experiences and models but because a common stand before the WTO will reap much higher dividends for the South as a whole, and for the individual countries. Bilateral agenda to match the stand would be easier to set and national policies, special for each country, more focused in content and objective. Today learning, assessing and assimilating is the need. As experience grows and expertise United Nations Commission on International Trade Law, which is the core legal body of the United Nations system in the field of international trade law. 1 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South xv develops, developing countries need to utilize this new eCommerce or eTrade paradigm to advantage for which national and global strategies must be planned and pursued. I. INTRODUCTION I.1 ECommerce today and tomorrow Throughout history, international trade has been facilitated by all manner of technical advances -- from the discovery of paper and the minting of coins, to the development of the shipping industry and the invention of powered flight. In this century, perhaps the most significant of these influences has been the telecommunications revolution, from telephone and fax to now the Internet (see Box 1) and its offshoot -- electronic commerce, or as it is referred to, ‘eCommerce’(see Box 2), which is expected to have a major impact on trade in the coming years. The emergence of these new and powerful communication technologies has been of major significance for humankind -- for society, the economy and the state. Considered to be as, if not more, important than the industrial revolution for the world, they herald what is commonly referred to as the ‘Information Age’. These are the technologies of computers, hardware and software, and the new and powerful modes of communication that are being linked up world-wide in ever faster and easier ways. The Internet The Internet has transformed the computer, communications, and the information technology world like nothing before and brought about a remarkable integration of the capabilities of each of these technologies. The Internet is at once a world-wide broadcasting capability, a mechanism for information dissemination, and a medium for collaboration and interaction between individuals with and via their computers without regard for geographic location. Its history is complex and its influence extends not only to the technical fields of computer communications but throughout society with the increasing use of online2 tools to accomplish electronic commerce, the acquisition of information, and community operations (both social and public).3 On a global scale, Internet growth has been remarkable. While it took the telephone close to 75 years to reach 50 million users, it has taken the World Wide Web4 (WWW) only four years to reach the same number. The Internet network has increased from 213 computers and a few thousand users in August 1981 to more than 43 million Internet linked computers by January 1999 supporting an estimated 150 million Internet users.5 Early next century it is estimated that the number of persons connecting to the Internet could well surpass 300 million, closing the gap with the 700 million or so connected today to the telephone.6 From just over 20 countries connected to the global network in 1990, there were more than 200 nations connected by July 1998. Available on the network or World Wide Web/ Internet. Leiner, 1997. 4 The most prominent and popular of the networks on the Internet. 5 ITU, 1999. 6 Cairncross, 1997. 2 3 2 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers Despite these seemingly impressive figures of growth, major portions of the globe and millions of people remain ignorant of and untouched by this phenomenon. As is usual with virtually all new technological advances, the majority of these ‘have-nots’ are in the developing and low income countries, essentially those regions of the world that have traditionally had only limited access to information and communication technologies. Box 1 : Definition of the Internet There are several definitions used for the Internet, that of the US Federal Networking Council (FNC) in 1995, was as follows: " ‘Internet’ refers to the global information system that -- (i) is logically linked together by a globally unique address space based on the Internet Protocol (IP) or its subsequent extensions/follow-ons; (ii) is able to support communications using the Transmission Control Protocol/Internet Protocol (TCP/IP) suite or its subsequent extensions/follow-ons, and/or other IP-compatible protocols; and (iii) provides, uses or makes accessible, either publicly or privately, high level services layered on the communications and related infrastructure described herein.” Basically the Internet is a vast and ever increasing network of computers across the globe that are interconnected over existing telecommunication networks. Simply described, it is a, or the, network of networks.7 The Internet per se can be considered a major breakthrough in human civilization for the following reasons: • • • • 7 It has the potential to link the whole of humankind in an interactive network, that provides instantaneous communication and is cost-effective and low-cost to the user; It is based on neural communication, rather than point-to-point communication on which telecommunications were based so far, which makes potentially possible the simultaneous involvement of millions in diffusion or exchange of messages and information; It supersedes the passive role of a recipient of communication, or the active role of a sender of communication, by making possible the active and interactive search for information and data bases world wide; It provides a new way of accessing information with its ability to draw on complex data bases and information, and to process these and adapt them to the user’s specific needs; WIPO Report, 1999. Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South • 3 It facilitates interactive voice and video-communication, on the same basis that written information is transmitted today, which will provide a further quantitative and qualitative leap forward, with the potential of democratizing international relations and bringing people closer together in what amounts to direct visual and verbal contact and communication. The Internet thus has multiple functions, being essentially a means for improved communication and for accessing and exchanging information world-wide. One of these functions has to do with economic and financial transactions and trade, grouped under the generic name of “electronic commerce” or eCommerce. ECommerce Electronic commerce has been perceived both as a dream and as a nightmare. The past few years, however, have shown that it is neither. From the world of hype and fantasy it has moved to that of reality8. Electronic commerce looms large on the horizons of tomorrow, and it promises to transform trade and industry in ways not yet imagined or comprehended. Its impact of course is expected to go far beyond commerce to affect the lives of millions of Internet users and purveyors. In some manner it is similar to the impact of printing on the then trade and commerce9, transforming it from the simplistic mode of mostly barter through direct exchange and verbal promises into formalized, organized and contracted, trade and commerce. Subsequently to involve the use of printed currency, it changed the very basis of finance and banking services that emerged as a result. ECommerce (and digital cash10 that today stands in the sidelights) may also prove to have a similar impact. Basically electronic commerce • • • • speeds up and simplifies communications and transactions, between parties involved, in goods, services and financial/monetary dealings; makes information accessible world-wide, including on the variety and pricing of goods and services, thus making possible “shopping” world-wide, with little effort and in a time/cost effective manner; makes it possible to diffuse and make accessible one’s own information to those potentially interested, including advertising; makes possible direct despatch and delivery of certain services and products which can be transmitted in digitized form via the Internet. Gurunlian, 1999. A comparison borrowed from B. L. Das, South Centre, Geneva, discussions March 1999. 10 This refers to electronic value units that could be used to pay for services and goods ordered over the Internet. Several (mostly US based) companies started operations in this area but have been largely unsuccessful as payments continue to be made mostly through existing instruments including credit cards. This idea could become important in developing countries where credit cards are not common. 8 9 4 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers The telecommunications revolution and its convergence with the other leading edge technologies (such as Electronic Data Interchange (EDI), ‘smart’ phones11, digital video and audio, on-line chat, Internet telephony, interactive TV etc.) is leading to a fundamental transformation of international trade. The ability of the Internet to bring together distant parts of the world in a global electronic market place and information exchange can have a far-reaching and potentially beneficial impact on both the developing and industrialized economies alike. It can also raise fears and apprehensions that stem as much from the uncertainties of its future development as well as from the complex technological, economic and financial issues that it raises. Box 2: Definition of Electronic Commerce In the World Trade Organization Work Programme on Electronic Commerce, it is understood to mean the production, distribution, marketing, sale or delivery of goods and services by electronic means. A commercial transaction can be divided into three main stages: the advertising and searching stage, the ordering and payment stage and the delivery stage. Any or all of these may be carried out electronically and may therefore be covered by the concept of ‘electronic commerce’. Broadly defined, electronic commerce encompasses all kinds of commercial transactions that are concluded over an electronic medium or network, mostly the Internet. Ecommerce covers both business-to-consumer (B2C) and business-to-business (B2B) transactions, and is not limited to the purchase of a product. It includes all information or services that a company may offer to its customers over the Net, from pre-purchase information to after-sale service and support.12 APEC13 adopts a relatively wide definition of eCommerce, that includes all business activity conducted by using a combination of electronic communications and information processing technology. UNESCAP14 also has defined it as ‘the process of using electronic methods and procedures to conduct all forms of business activity.’ It encompasses the production, advertising, sale and distribution of products via telecommunication networks. From a business perspective, the objectives of electronic commerce and Internet commerce (sometimes referred to as eBusiness15) are the same: to improve effectiveness, efficiency, timeliness, quality, and accuracy of interactions between businesses and their trading partners or customers.16 ‘Intelligent’ phones -- usually cellular -- that would accept Internet based communication and be able to give set responses when programmed. 12 Dufour, A, Que Sais-je, quoted in International Trade Forum, 1/99, ITC, Geneva. 13 Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation. 14 United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific. 15 The concept of eBusiness goes beyond that of eCommerce in that it implies introducing IT and electronic modes of communication into business not just for convenience and corporate speed but for a transformation in the way business should be conceived and done in this new information age. This could involve several new management techniques such as Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), Model Stock Replacement (MSR), Material Resource Planning (MRP), Just-in-time (JIT) etc. and calls for a fully integrated process of business and management that requires process re-engineering to adopt best practices for the industry and its eCommerce business. 16 www.unescap.org 11 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 5 Though eCommerce provides a new mode of conducting commercial transactions in a much more efficient mode it is by no means a magic wand that can create unlimited growth and progress. From a business point of view, there are essentially two major uses of eCommerce. The first (and easier and more common application) is to use it to reduce transaction costs by increasing efficiency in the use of time and lowering costs17. The other is to use it both as a marketing tool to increase sales (and customer services) as well as to create new business through it -- for example, IT enabled business18, call-centres19, software and maintenance services etc. as well as ‘digital commerce’20. It is thus a tool for both existing businesses as well as an opportunity for new business, both for existing companies as well as for new entrants. Though the future of eCommerce is still unpredictable, it is important to note that, in possibly a short span of time, all businesses will need to know how to make use of it -- much as most businesses had to learn to adapt to the phone and fax, only more so if trade transaction and supply chains become digital and on-line21. Developing countries, their governments and business must therefore address these developments and prepare for them. Statistics show that the number of websites22 developed by commercial enterprises has grown from just 30 at the end of 1993, to 325,000 at the end of 1996 and to 12 million today23. The overall level of electronic commerce, or business transactions conducted via the Internet and private commercial networks, was estimated at US$ 8 to 9 billion in 1997. Researchers have forecast that this figure could rise to as much as US$ 400 billion by 2002, as businesses and consumers throughout the world expand their online commercial activities24. Growth is not expected to be confined to the developed world alone and is predicted to be particularly high for developing countries in Asia where the projections for 2001 are: for China - $850m; for India - $160m; for Malaysia - $1000m; for Singapore $800m; for Philippines - $200m and for Indonesia - $200m. Whether these figures are just hype or based on real data, and whether they consist of existing business and trade or are additional to it are key issues. Unfortunately, it is not possible to predict accurately the future growth and percent of world trade that will be conducted through eCommerce. It is, however, possible to say that it will be an important and growing component of trade and figures and estimates cited above, though speculative, illustrate the trend towards the growing importance and potential of eCommerce. In the next few years the main sectors to gain from eCommerce are expected to be computer hardware and software, advertising and marketing, media, publishing and information services, finance, banking, insurance, brokerage and Internet services, travel This ranges from the use of email and instant chat on the net to EDI (Electronic Data Interchange)and automated supply chains. EDI has a role here both at the level of business to business as well as by governments in providing quicker and smoother trade transaction efficiencies for business by using EDI for customs clearance, trade procedures, etc.. 18 Business that is based on information technology and linked through a network for digital transmission and exchange. 19 Network linked service centres that customers can access through the Internet for information, guidance, maintenance and services such as bookings, reservations, software support etc. 20 Digital commerce is the term used to describe goods, services and digitised transactions that are completed and supplied on-line. 21 Term referring to transactions and communication on a network and in real-time (i.e. connected together with little or no loss of transaction time). 22 Information pages or sites/addresses on the Internet. 23 ITC, 1999. 24 UNCTAD, 1998. 17 6 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers and tourism, and entertainment services. All these sectors are today dominated by multinationals and other enterprises from the North, as is international trade. However, there are several emerging opportunities that businesses in the South can look at and even create. As it is estimated that 80 per cent of the growth in eCommerce will come from Business-to-Business (B2B)25 transactions, opportunities are emerging in global supply chains, which enterprises of the South can attempt to become part of. In being able to achieve greater growth and trade, the South could use eCommerce as a tool for development. I.2 A policy perspective for developing countries Due to the existing development gap and differences between the North and South, developing countries face a distinct challenge in order to realize the promises inherent in this new technological development. Here two basic tasks loom, namely how to equip the developing countries to benefit from and use the Internet as a tool for development, and secondly, how to ensure and manage the growth and development of the Internet as a public good and utility that would also promote development. The former is a developmental challenge and requires investments in the infrastructure of telecommunications, in Information Technology (IT) industry to ensure the easy and affordable availability of computers and software, and in training and Internet literacy. The latter is more of a global regime challenge which involves the growth and regulation of the Internet and its facilities on a universal scale. This is a serious issue, in view of the potential importance of the Internet for all spheres of life, everywhere, and because of the trend for the facility to be increasingly dominated by a few countries and private companies26. As eCommerce will be a hard fact of economic life in future, the World Trade Organization (WTO), like several other international organisations, is addressing the issue, in the context of international trade and the agreements that exist and which may need to be further negotiated. Developing countries therefore need to prioritize their policies and responses both from a domestic and external point of view. For developing countries it is important to distinguish between the general issues of telecommunication, the Internet and eCommerce and those specific aspects that directly affect them and their development and are therefore of particular concern. It is also important to differentiate between the specific issues related to the Internet and eCommerce, even though they are highly interrelated. This paper focuses on the implications of eCommerce for developing countries and their trade and business, for both producers and consumers, in order to place the major issues in a perspective that could be used for both national strategic planning, as well as multilateral negotiations. The paper outlines issues concerning infrastructure and The other being B2C (Business to Consumer) and B2G (Business to Government). B2C or retail eCommerce is the one where all the hype has come from as it is novel and touched people directly. Its success however has been rather marginal and even big and popular sites like amazon.com (books)and CDNOW.com (CD sales) are actually losing money. B2G is being considered a major possibility in the future once government procurement turns digital. 26 With Internet traffic having overtaken world telephone traffic, the world’s 13 biggest Internet access providers are all American, with British Telecom, Europe’s biggest, bringing up the rear in 14th place.(Data Communications, Paris, No. 1., October 1998, quoted in Riches on the Information Highway, Le Monde Diplomatique, May, 1999). 25 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 7 technology, legal and financial frameworks, duties and taxes and the WTO trade issues of intellectual property rights, market access and classification which will be discussed in later sections of this paper. A strategy and policy perspective for developing countries is recommended to be addressed at three levels. • • • International; National; Business community level. International issues Although the vision of an emerging global electronic market-place (for goods, services and money) has several appealing and potential features, there are other aspects that are clearly problematic. Apart from network and data security, the new global electronic commerce networks raise many fundamental concerns about the regulation of international commerce, whether it involves trade in goods, services, currencies, information or ideas, and the impact of these developments on national sovereignty, political institutions, administration, financial and trade policy and the way of life. While these matters are of relevance to both developed and developing countries, some are of particular concern to developing countries. Interestingly this is one technology and step in human development especially regarding communication and trade with neighbours, that is common in time and content for both the North and the South. Today technological advances in communication can make available the same Internet access (and therefore raise the similar issues, of course with different implications) for Internet and eCommerce, whether it be New York or New Delhi - or practically any major city across the globe. Whether, it can be utilized and benefited from at the same level is of course a different issue. Countries of the South must therefore take this factor into account, in developing both their national strategies as well as the strategies to be adopted in international debates and negotiations. The most important international issues for eCommerce and trade in relation to developing countries concern two areas: a) standards and technology issues; b) trade policy issues and responses at the WTO -- mainly those of market access, trade logistics and tariffs. Today the South is virtually excluded from standard setting and technological development by virtue of not being in the business of high-tech information and communication technology, and lacking expertise because of that. Standards and technology are both growing and changing so rapidly that keeping pace with them is an issue in itself. One possibility is that developing countries, being late in the race, may benefit from accessing more advanced and developed technologies after they have been tried and tested in the North. The other is that they may therefore have to pay a high price or be saddled with 8 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers out-moded (cheaper) versions. Developing countries may benefit by the market and International bodies/associations (The Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICCAN), for example) setting and formulating standards. But the obvious danger is that if they have no say on these matters, they will be unable to try to avert the possible adverse implications of the resulting standards for their economies27. These issues will be addressed in more detail in Section III. Formulating negotiating positions at the WTO is becoming increasingly urgent and important in view of the May 1998 WTO Ministerial declaration on global electronic commerce and the on-going WTO work programme on eCommerce.28 Section IV elaborates on these matters. National issues These are perceived as three: a) ECommerce policy and strategy for each country: This would include both legal and taxation issues that all governments need to address as well as the implications of eCommerce for economic and financial policy, and vice versa. Such policy setting is important as each country must address this important issue at the highest level of government in order to be sure that it is accorded the necessary importance that it deserves. It is also important here to distinguish between national strategies and priorities and international strategies and negotiating positions. A strong national experience and infrastructure provides the strength (and expertise) to perform at the international level. b) Infrastructure and technology issues for the country, as well as the administrative framework for its application: Again, this is largely a matter of historical background and the road ahead as chosen by each country, especially in the area of telecommunications. Bringing in competition and attracting investment (often foreign) into this crucial capital and technology-intensive area has contributed significantly to improved services and lowering of costs. c) Responses and initiatives of governments to promote eCommerce, both in government as well as with the private sector: This would range from a hands-off attitude, with basic fiscal and legal framework provided, to actual promotion through several initiatives ranging from EDI for improving trade logistics, to education and training, setting up Websites, Internet Cafés/Centres, Electronic public procurement etc., for both trade and industry, as well as the citizenry. Promoting use of IT and “electronic governance”, i.e. the use of IT in government to bring in efficiencies and transparency and use it for Issues such as domain names, address management and certification authorities would affect trade and commerce. 28 The Ministerial declaration of 20 May 1999 directed the General Council to establish a comprehensive work programme to examine all trade-related issues relating to global electronic commerce and report to the third session of the Ministerial Meeting. It also asked all members to continue their current practice of not imposing customs duties on electronic transmissions at least until the next Ministerial meeting. 27 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 9 its citizens to access information and services is another important initiative that should develop alongside eCommerce in developing countries. This would not only promote its use (and therefore efficiencies and transparency) within government, but help to popularize it and make it useful for all of society. Business community issues These issues relate to the various trade and commerce issues faced by business enterprises in developing countries. as for example those concerning access, trust, security, fraud, digital contracts and guarantees. There are options of advertising and setting up of data bases, virtual shopping-malls29, common platforms30 and supply chains. Should these be addressed as individual companies or as associations? What if any should be the role of government and what types of partnerships should emerge? All these are issues that not only governments in the South but international agencies with the mandate to promote SMEs31 and international trade and commerce need to address. Several countries and agencies are in fact already doing this, not only because it is a necessity but also because of the emerging view that SMEs are one of the target groups that could benefit most from the opportunities emerging32. Since it is predicted that 80 per cent of the growth in eCommerce will come from business to business transactions33 (as opposed to business to consumer or business to government), it is here that SMEs and businesses in the South must find their opportunity and future. Though there cannot be ‘one-stop’ solutions or even standardized models, there are several initiatives that can be undertaken. These could include: • • • • • • creating eWareness34 and publicizing the benefits and challenges of eCommerce; training and capacity building in IT and eCommerce; promoting the sharing of experiences between SMEs of the South regarding eCommerce; helping SMEs access supply chains and public procurement supply possibilities; promoting business and government co-operation; creating directories and data banks etc. Sites on the Internet set up to buy and sell goods and services usually of several enterprises, as in a real shopping complex. 30 Linked computers in a common network based on common standards or compatible software. 31 Small and medium enterprises. Their size and type of course would vary, between the North and South as well as between regions. 32 Time alone will prove whether this is in fact the case. Later part of this paper will seek to list the pros and cons of this view. 33 A view generally held by most researchers and speakers on the subject. 34 ‘eWareness’ as a concept is used here to mean both eLiteracy (i.e. the ability to use electronic media) as well as the awareness of the potential of eCommerce for business. 29 10 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers 1.3 Summary of main points • • • • • The Internet is a major breakthrough in technology and has tremendous potential for all humankind. The recent growth of the Internet has been quite phenomenal in terms of the persons and countries now connected. However, large parts of the globe, particularly in developing countries, currently lack access to this potential tool for development. ECommerce is the economic or commercial part of the Internet and is being projected to register growth at the level of several billions of dollars in the near future. However, the major beneficiaries will be in the North. Developing countries face two major challenges: a) to ensure that developing countries benefit from this new technology; and b) to use eCommerce in a way that promotes development. Developing countries therefore need to understand the importance and implications of eCommerce and work out national and international strategies. Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 11 II. ECOMMERCE IN THE SOUTH The reality of eCommerce for developing countries is both fact and vision: fact in that international trade and business are moving in this direction, and vision because developing country strategies in this new area should match their aspirations for development. Most developing countries are unfortunately far behind and unsure of the path forward. To appreciate the issues involved, this section will highlight the present situation regarding the development of eCommerce in the South and some of the pros and cons in setting national policy in this area. II.1 Internet: the infrastructure for eCommerce The global reach of the Internet The Internet is a social and economic fabric, ostensibly meant for human communication and interaction. It is supposed to allow for more interactive and innovative ways for people to do what they do in ‘real life’. Thus the Internet is seen as, “the most precise mirror of people as a whole that we’ve yet had” (Lanier, 1998). However, while the perception of the Internet as a mirror may be accurate, it is still not a mirror of the world’s population as a whole. The fact that only an estimated 5-10 per cent of the content on the Internet is of non-western origin while the developing world population represents close to 80 per cent of the world’s population indicates how far the Internet is from true participation and global diversity. Even amongst those countries and regions connected, both in the developed and developing countries, its usage remains largely with the “haves”, that is, those who can afford the hardware, software and the cost of connecting to Internet. Though meant to be a medium of global reach, the Internet’s U.S. origin is evident in the dominant language of the Net as well as in the genesis of most existing sites. Approximately 80 per cent of on-line content is currently in English35. Similarly, eCommerce today remains mostly a US36 and Western based activity, though connectivity has significantly improved in many parts of the developing world -- for example, nearly every capital city in Africa enjoys some level of Internet access today. However, there are still significant disparities in the level of Internet penetration across regions, which can have profound implications for an individual country’s ability to participate in the global electronic market place. Internet Society, http://www.isoc.org US domination of the world economy and its new technological revolution - that of communications, is now a predictable scenario. Several factors explain this advantage. They range from its long history of multichannel television, low phone line costs, strong intellectual-property industry (movies, music, software), English language and the experience with long-distance mail-order business (Cairncross, 1997). 35 36 12 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers Growth of the Internet infrastructure The number of computers in the world directly connected to the Internet has grown from less than a million in 1992 to over 45 million by July 1999, with the number of users of the Internet estimated to be about 180 million.37. This growth, however, is geographically unevenly distributed. North America has by far the largest number of Internet users, estimated at 102 million or 56 per cent, Europe at 43 million or 24 pre cent and only 20 pre cent in the rest of the world. Today about 70 per cent of the Internet websites are located in the United States.38 The geographical concentration is even more pronounced in terms of the business transactions as more than 85 per cent of Internet commerce revenue in 1996/97 was generated in the United States. This disparity between low and high income regions is evident from the chart below39. Figure I *Latin America and Caribbean Internet and eCommerce in developing countries The success of this eCommerce revolution from the point of view of the developing countries is dependent on several key preconditions. The first (though obvious) is the widespread availability of the Internet. For developing countries, access to modern telecommunication systems is therefore perhaps the defining element of electronic commerce. A well functioning, modern telecommunication infrastructure and a satisfactory distribution of electricity, along with access to computer hardware, software ITC, 1999. ITU, 1998, and WTO, Special Studies. 39 ITU, 1999. 37 38 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 13 and servers are the three basic requirements for electronic transactions and therefore eCommerce. Developing countries (and their SMEs) lag far behind developed country markets in the availability of the technical pre-requisites for conducting electronic commerce. The gaps in the two main requirements for Internet i.e. telephone and computer availability highlight the difference. For example, 65 per cent of households in the world have no telephone, whereas 90 per cent of households in high income countries have a telephone.40 The personal computer ratio per 100 inhabitants is 18 for high-income countries, 2.3 for medium-income and just 0.1 for low-income41. Developed countries today have 312 ISPs (Internet Service Providers) per 10,000 people compared to just six ISPs per 10,000 people in developing countries.42 In the United States, roughly one in three persons uses the Internet, compared to only one in every 10,000 in South Asia. Teledensity (main lines per 100 inhabitants) is 48 for developed countries, 10 for middle income and 1.5 for least developed (LDCs). Furthernore, in developing countries telecommunications services are often unreliable, high cost or both. There are also enormous differences in access to telecommunications both between and within developing countries. For instance, while in developing countries a considerable proportion and sometimes the majority of the population lives in rural areas, over 80 per cent of the main telephone lines are located in urban areas. Relative cost of connecting The cost of using the Internet depends on several factors, including the price of routers and other computing facilities and to a lesser degree on the wages of operators. Such charges may be significantly higher in developing than in developed countries, reflecting the high cost of capital as well as possible inefficiency and monopoly profits43 of telecommunications. Thus, the average cost of a subscription to a dial-up Internet connection in Africa is quoted by ITU as US$ 75 per month compared to US$ 10 in the United States and US$ 15 in the United Kingdom. In real terms this is significantly higher once the much lower incomes are taken into account (Figure II below)44. Further, the cost of local or long-distance telephone calls giving access to the Internet are significantly higher in developing countries, while, for example, in the United States local calls are generally free.45 The hardware required by individuals (PC and modem) to set up a connection requires a minimum investment of between US$1,000 to 2,500 (depending on the tax structure in different countries) hence it is likely to be a long time before the Internet can become as accessible as say the radio or even television in poor countries. Access to telecommunication is often measured by "teledensity" which gives the number of main telephone lines per 100 inhabitants. About a quarter of the world's countries have a teledensity of less than one and another 47 countries only have between 1.4 to 8.6 main telephone lines per 100 inhabitants. This should be compared with a teledensity of between 27.8 and 68.3 for a group of 46 countries with the highest number of main telephone lines per 100 inhabitants (Source, www.itu.org). 41 Source: WTO, Geneva. 42 Source: ITU, Geneva. 43 Many state monopolies tend to charge high rentals/prices for telecom services. 44 ITU, 1999. 45 NUA Internet Surveys, 1998. 40 14 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers Figure II Monthly Internet access prices for the OECD, August 1996 and Africa July 1998, US$ Mexico Turkey Japan Finland USA Australia OECD, Internet monthly access charge, US$ 94 65 50 33 29 24 As % of GDP per capita 14.8 12.8 2.6 2.2 1.2 1.5 Uganda Guinea Sierra Leone Ethiopia Mozambique Senegal Africa, Internet monthly access charge, US$ 92 65 50 32 29 24 As % of GDP per capita 107 45.3 118 76.8 69.6 17.6 Source: ITU, 1999. ECommerce usage A recent study by the International Finance Corporation (IFC) on the use of Internet for business by corporations in developing countries shows that, within developing country companies using the Internet, fewer people in each company have access to the Internet than in developed country companies.46 The primary benefit of the Internet mentioned by developing country companies is the use of E-mail, used for communications both within the company and externally. Other uses such as financial and credit transactions are relatively less frequent, thereby reflecting the state of the commercial infrastructure, its financial regulation, company law and other general business legislation or practices in the countries concerned. Investments in telecommunications infrastructure In view of the large gaps in infrastructure and access between the North and the South, development of communications (and energy) infrastructure internally will remain particularly important and a major issue for the developing countries, especially the least developed.47 Since the key to this is a wide-spread and reliable telecommunication network of the countries concerned, proactive and supportive policies are essential to reap the benefits of this emerging opportunity. Despite the attraction of low production costs, communications and distance can discourage foreign companies from establishing in developing countries. ECommerce may lessen these physical constraints. Active promotion of electronic commerce might make the private sector more interested in investing in a Daly, 1998. As an example, according to the World Bank US$ 50 billion would be required to bring the average level of African teledensity (main lines per 100 inhabitants) to that of Southern Europe. Such levels of funding are just not available.(Egypt Working Paper, 1998). 46 47 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 15 variety of areas, including telecommunications, IT industry, Internet service provision, and professional services. Intermediate strategies for development Many developing countries may not be able to generate or attract the large investments needed for the telecom infrastructure in their entire country. Perhaps, therefore, a more strategic option would be to formulate and implement appropriate policies by concentrating on the areas in which electronic commerce is most likely to bring the highest benefits to their respective national economies; business-to-business, business-toconsumer and business-to-government transactions. This can be both geographic as well as sectoral. If developing countries wait to take initiatives in the area of eCommerce until a complete country-wide modern communications infrastructure for electronic commerce is in place, the gap with the developed world may grow even wider. What is important to bear in mind is that massive investments and flawless technological solutions are not always necessary or possible. Even existing networks can be reengineered and global services for the Internet and eCommerce sites can be utilized, especially in urban concentrations, where the maximum potential for trade and commerce presently exists. Several developing countries have followed this strategy of providing Internet access initially to only important commercial centres, especially where there is a concentration of export-intensive industry48. Others have set up Business centres in far flung places, linked to a common network and service that assists not only in access but also business promotion49. Such models provide an immediate and workable solution that can be emulated by other developing countries. Present initiatives in the South In America, the first groups to adopt the Internet were universities and consumer-services companies and, in Europe, it was students and a few enterprising publishers. In commercial Asia, especially East-Asia, it is the small enterprises, the key-chain and plastictoy makers that have led the way. Too small to have better ways of reaching the outside world, they were able to adopt a new communications technology without the bureaucratic delays of larger firms. Today obscure and often to be missed sites from these countries are constantly appearing on the Internet. Small companies in Asia are demonstrating that the advantages of the Internet as a cheap communications tool are even more compelling than in the more wired West50. Such entrepreneurship is finding itself replicated in several developing countries across the globe. India is one example where satellite earth stations were set up for providing 24 hour guaranteed access to software companies for export activities, much before Internet was available on the existing telecom channels. 49 Experiments in this regard have been quite successful from Sri Lanka to Brazil and even in Africa. 50 One example of this is the Asian Sources Media Group ( ASM ), a publishing company based in Hong Kong. The firm’s Web site serves as a shopfront for more than 7,000 Asian suppliers, mostly small-tomedium-sized factories in Hong Kong, China, Taiwan and Korea, selling everything from cheap plastic toys to multimedia electronics. Before their inclusion in the ASM website many of these factories did not even have a personal computer, let alone an Internet connection. ASM provided what they needed, trained them in how to use it, and included them in its on-line catalogue of nearly 200,000 products. Within a year, the ASM site was generating more than 50,000 inquires a quarter, and is now running at a pace nearly double 48 16 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers ‘Chinaonline.com’, is a site run by six people in Hong Kong and another six in Chicago which now has some 150,000 subscribers at $120 a month for the news and access they provide with China. There are similar examples of success today in India51, Bangladesh, Brazil and also Africa, where Africaonline.com52 has emerged as a very popular site.53 Unfortunately however though there are success stories in several regions of the South, these are few and far between. Attempts in the South to develop eCommerce are underway in nearly every country, but eCommerce is still not considered a significant market driving force. Those currently involved are either entrepreneurial risk-takers or larger corporate entities able to perceive it as a long-term investment. ECommerce is still at the periphery of business and governmental initiatives. The general population remains by and large unaware and unaffected by it. The general situation is one of limited and unreliable connectivity and one in which the whole business and financial environment is not yet geared for this new technology, seriously hampering growth of eCommerce. To mainstream it both for business and social development is a significant task that stands before the South. ECommerce and its impact on all business For developing country governments to address this issue, it is important to distinguish between IT policy and promotion, and eCommerce strategies. Many state initiatives seem to blur and confuse this issue. Whereas promotion of the Information Technology industry fundamentally entails developing the hardware and software IT industry, it is important to note that eCommerce is by no means limited to only that industry. ECommerce, besides IT and digital commerce, in fact can (and may over time) encompasses all trade and commerce and therefore it has an impact on the entire economy. This is important to bear in mind when formulating plans for eCommerce in developing countries. Of course the externally focused businesses will be first affected and small local enterprises may not have the desire or need to get connected. However, as eCommerce extends across the global economy, it will become more and more necessary for existing industry and trade to switch to and use the potential of this medium not only to grow but even to survive. Today this may not seem to be the case as total eCommerce transactions still account for only a small percentage of worldwide trade and commerce, but the message for the future is clear. that. Since the inquiries go straight to the suppliers, and subsequent negotiations take place directly between buyer and supplier, it is difficult to calculate the volume of business generated, but customers have suddenly emerged in South America or Eastern Europe for Asian firms that previously had little or no means of selling to those markets. (Asian electronic commerce, July 1997, Economist, London). 51 India is one of the biggest software success stories of the developing world. In 1997-1998, 158 of Fortune 500 top companies out-sourced their software needs to India. 52 Africa Online started in 1994 in Boston, USA and Nairobi, Kenya to provide expatriate Africans with news of home. It currently employs some 250 people and has spread to several African countries. It receives 10 million hits per month, and has approximately 150,000 subscribers, comprised mostly of businesses. 53 Source, ECommerce presentation at ITC, Geneva, March 1999 and WTO Seminar on eCommerce and Development, February 1999. Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 17 II. 2 Potential and dangers for business (especially SMEs) in the South Along with the potential or possible benefits of eCommerce lurk several dangers that must be taken into account as challenges to be addressed in the policy and strategies that each country must design for itself. These particularly apply to SMEs in developing countries as they have been identified by several economists as well as international development agencies54 as ones that could benefit most from this new technology and opportunity. Figure III lists some of the positive and negative implications that developing countries need to be aware of if appropriate strategies are to be put in place. Figure III ECommerce: Benefits and Challenges for Developing Countries(DCs) (and their SMEs) Potential/Benefits Challenges/Dangers Exponential growth in eCommerce trade leading The developed and presently wired world will to overall increases in world trade. benefit mostly but DCs could use the opportunity to leap-frog industrialization/ development. 80 percent of eCommerce growth will be Existing supply chains could be destroyed and business to business. Therefore potential dependence on large trans-nationals may grow. opportunity for businesses, especially SMEs in DCs to link to supply chains. Could lead to faster transfer of technology and IT multinationals may alone benefit if local growth of IT industry in developing countries. industry is weak. Giant corporations will emerge but so will small For developing countries this will mean great enterprises, able to offer similar services at lower opportunities but also greater threats from cost. multinationals. Access to more information regarding markets, Would preclude those without access from opportunities and supply chains. benefiting. Can assist in overcoming the drawback of Same technology will be used by multinationals distance from developed markets. for accessing local markets in developing countries. Exporting SMEs can set up ‘virtual shops’ at Maintenance, upgrading and marketing costs much cheaper cost than actual stores abroad. are high. Also issues of security, payments and assured supply need to be addressed. Could reduce the role of middlemen, Infomediaries55 may emerge as the new powerintermediaries, agents etc. brokers. Can generate new business by expanding into Many SMEs/developing countries may not ‘digital commerce’. have expertise in doing this. UNCTAD, ITC, WTO, ITU etc. are all working on programmes to use the Internet and eCommerce for development and to assist especially SMEs. 55 Lanvin,1999. The concept entails a power shift from the intermediaries of today to the new power brokers on the Internet tomorrow, where the Internet Service Providers (ISPs) or Portals (search engines and major sites for information that serve as a gateway for users) providing information and links will begin to provide other services too. Users will be compelled to use such services to sift and find the ‘right information’ which such ‘infomediaries’ would provide at a cost and a possible bias for their own preferred sites/services. 54 18 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers Companies will locate their digital services Cheaper skilled labour force in some DCs could wherever they have access to competitive skills. benefit but many DCs where this is not the case would stand to lose. Comparative advantage for DCs in providing Need English and computing skills, as well as eServices (back-office, call centres, data strategy to move up the value chain in the processing etc.) as labour costs are lower. software industry. ECommerce enables new suppliers to enter Danger of cutting out existing suppliers in markets abroad and integrate with global supply developing country markets. chains. Consumers in developing countries may be able Local producers in developing countries may to get lower priced items. lose existing local customers. Producers in developing countries could access May further marginalize local suppliers. cheaper imports Reduced delivery costs would benefit developing Existing multinational delivery companies could countries more as such costs are a greater share monopolize delivery services, especially courier of total cost of product than in developed services supplying small items. countries Would lead to growth and modernization of Foreign banks and multinational credit card financial structures and processes such as companies may be the major beneficiaries. electronic fund transfers etc. Would help reduce some of the constraints to May make companies more vulnerable in not export such as maintaining expensive offices being able to follow up with export supplies abroad and possible disputes abroad. Provides increased publicity and advertising Cost of effective advertising on the Internet possibilities may be out of reach for SMEs in DCs. Increased efficiencies and transparencies in Inefficient and corrupt politic systems and public procurement could bring competition and existing bureaucratic procedures may be improvements in public sector. obstacles to such opportunities in some countries. Potential possibilities for availing public Compulsory eCommerce-based supply procurement opportunities in developing and requirements may preclude existing suppliers developed countries without such access. Movement of natural persons (skilled IT Additional opportunities to move up the value professionals seeking better employment chain in the digital commerce chain may suffer. opportunities) would also decline as access to network becomes locally available, thus reducing ‘brain-drain’56 from DCs. Could provide scope for local cultures (and their Western cultural predominance could swamp Intellectual Property) to flourish local cultures. Potential growth areas As the traditional models of industrialization become less relevant, eCommerce can provide opportunities for new models of growth. In the area of trade in goods, basically the existing manufacturing industry will benefit and SMEs in developing countries stand to Term used to define the immigration and loss of talented persons from poor countries to developed world, seeking better job opportunities. 56 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 19 gain by becoming part of global supply chains in business to business (B2B) transactions. Customs and duty structures are not a major issue here as existing provisions would apply. The danger for SMEs is that the multinationals would predominate. They therefore need to organize themselves and possibly set up their own supply networks. The area of trade in services is expected to be the dynamic area of growth in trade in the future and it presents an area of great potential for developing countries. Already several services can be promoted and undertaken via the Internet and others are likely to develop in this way. As this area expands, enterprises in developing countries need to seize the opportunity to develop expertise and offer competitive prices. Moreover this sector is environment-friendly and does not usually require massive (comparatively) initial investments. The third area is the undefined area of digital commerce (i.e. where all or most parts of the transaction are digital and the final product is also delivered digitally). This type of transaction is not entirely covered by the existing definitions and rules of international trade, governing the earlier two. This is a newly emerging area and it is therefore difficult to make projections or predictions. Presently most digital commerce involves information, music, video and films, where the North has the advantage of an early start. It also includes software, back-end services and IT-enabled services that the developing countries could take part in developing and offering. India, Singapore and Malaysia among others are already doing excellent business in these fields. II.3 The role of government Whether as a tool for development and governance domestically, or to promote and increase export growth and international trade, the governments of developing countries need to adopt a proactive role. They need to ensure that the benefits of eCommerce accrue to those trying to overcome economic marginalization due to geographic, financial, technological or educational handicaps. Indeed, the need to close the gap between those with abundant information at hand and the "information poor" provides a strong rationale for the development of eCommerce. Development objectives Developing countries face a special challenge and responsibility to create a conducive policy environment that on the one hand allows for the development of eCommerce and on the other ensures the social objective of providing access and benefits for those that cannot afford it. Electronic governance, public Internet terminals, rural access at subsidized cost, eWareness etc. are some of the initiatives that must be considered and promoted. Some of the steps that governments should consider in this regard are: • • the creation of a legal and financial environment conducive to eCommerce transactions; introducing open and competitive telecommunications policies, as these best serve the eCommerce goals of developing economies; 20 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers • • • • regulatory approaches should be transparent, harmonized and independent of specific technologies as these are necessary in order to attract the investment needed for telecom and eCommerce promotion; allowing communications options for consumers that offer innovative ways of doing business; promoting increased scope, options and reach of communication and hence service delivery;57 using the Internet as a tool for ‘electronic governance’, namely, the use of IT in government to increase efficiency and transparency in the provision of public information and services. By doing so, the environment for eCommerce would be furthered and strengthened. The premise here is that in promoting business on-line, governments will facilitate the delivery of information, goods and services. This will then deliver more traffic across data networks which, in turn, will serve to provide the revenues and investment rationale needed to encourage further infrastructure development. Capacity building issues If developing countries are to benefit from this new technological and economic boom that the growth of eCommerce represents, they would need to have in place the single most important ingredient in the whole stratagem, namely, the human resources. The IT Revolution depends vitally on intellectual capital, which some developing countries have in abundance. On the other hand there are many countries that are far behind in this area and therefore need very proactive policies and investments in this field to realize the potential. Required skills As eCommerce develops and the more advanced stages of commercial exchange are carried out electronically, more specific skills are going to be required. Even for surfing the Internet for a product, basic computer knowledge and familiarity with the Internet is needed. Moreover, extensive language knowledge (especially English) may be an additional requirement if foreign Internet sites are to be browsed. From Website designing, to electronic credit management and software and hardware maintenance -- all require skills that may not be so easily available in several developing countries. Capacity-building in the field of information technology, in the knowledge of the existence of a global market for such skills, is therefore crucial. The development of electronic commerce therefore puts a premium on the development of education and training policies, to ensure that training institutions' curricula meet with the needs of industry. In turn, the Internet and electronic commerce itself can contribute to the educational process, through distance learning and educational links between universities, specialized services offering HRD training and between developing countries themselves. Both these points will have a bearing on the telecommunication policy and the continued existence of public/state monopolies in this sector. 57 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 21 Human resource development is, however, far more than just training. It is a continuous learning process. For developing countries it would begin with sensitizing and going through to actual web designing and commercial applications. Since governments have to take the initial initiatives but must pass it on to its citizens and especially the private sector to benefit from the opportunities, this is one area where the state could pursue its efforts in building partnerships with community organizations, associations etc., to offer proper training tools in the area of electronic commerce. Similarly the international organizations such as UNCTAD, ITC, UNDP, WTO etc. also have a responsibility to assist the developing countries in this crucial area of advocacy and human resource development for this new technology. Several of these organizations are in fact working towards this and therefore collaboration and common programmes with the South would be beneficial not only for developing countries but for the world economy as a whole. II.4 Summary of main points • • • • • • • Vast stretches of the world, mostly in the South, continue to be woefully under-served by the growing Internet and eCommerce networks. Several innovative and successful initiatives in the area of eCommerce are taking place in the South, especially in Asia, but overall eCommerce remains on the periphery of business and governmental activity. This is both a result of poor infrastructure and the relatively high cost of connectivity in the South. A number of developing countries may not be able to afford or attract the required investment in the telecom infrastructure therefore they should consider intermediate strategies for development by concentrating on strategic sectors and areas. ECommerce is not just about IT and software and eventually may involve and affect all business and all sectors. For developing countries the greatest potential in the field of eCommerce may lie in the area of trade in services, especially those that can be exported digitally. Governments in the South need to adopt a proactive role in promoting eCommerce as well as in capacity building, training etc. 22 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers III. IMPORTANT ISSUES OF ECOMMERCE FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES III. 1 Global framework proposals and their implications Global information infrastructure For eCommerce to be a truly global tool for trade and development, a ‘global information infrastructure’ (GII) which makes possible the electronic exchange of information about products and services, buy and sell orders and financial transactions is a necessary prerequisite. Besides others, the International Telecommunications Union (ITU), in Geneva is working towards developing standards for such a Global Information Infrastructure (GII). GII access is a necessary but not sufficient condition for the development of electronic commerce. For it to be operational world-wide, it is essential to create a policy and regulatory environment that favours the development of eCommerce and harmonizes national approaches in diverse areas including telecommunications, trade procedures, intellectual property, privacy and security. There is therefore a need to promote the development, expansion and operation of telecommunication networks and services in developing countries, as they lack such an infrastructure. The ITU is undertaking some initiatives on these matters such as bringing various partners together to undertake pilot projects in developing countries to demonstrate the benefits of electronic commerce to the user communities of these nations. Such initiatives need to be replicated by several other international bodies that deal with trade, industry and development. Involvement of the developing countries and assistance to them for improving their expertise and infrastructure are some of the key requirements of the future. Global framework: proposals from the North A number of individual Governments and intergovernmental organizations have taken steps to address the policy issues relating to the establishment of a global framework for electronic commerce. The United States, the European Union, Japan and the OECD (all from the North) have made the main four proposals. Though these four proposals were not developed under common terms of reference, in general a strong consensus emerges that the private sector should take the lead role in the development of the Internet and electronic commerce - both standards and framework. The first three have put forward policy proposals concerning electronic commerce in areas such as customs and taxation, development of the legal framework, and market access issues. The OECD is conducting extensive research into a number of policy issues relating to electronic commerce and has published a number of policy guidelines. It is argued that there is need for a simple, transparent and predictable legal environment for electronic commerce on a national and international level and that governments should avoid placing ‘undue restrictions’ on electronic commerce in order to avoid competitive distortions. According to these proposals, co-operation among governments, using established venues for negotiation Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 23 such as WTO, WIPO and UNCITRAL, should be actively pursued in order to ensure participation by governments in establishing the necessary agreements and model legislation to buttress the overall framework. The proposals include a recommendation that the private sector should have a say in how the present legal environment should be adapted to meet the new imperatives posed by electronic commerce. Changes to the legal and institutional framework relating to electronic commerce should be technology-neutral to avoid discrimination and encourage inter-operability. The various policy papers published by the four actors mentioned above set out a number of financial proposals (e.g. on customs, taxation, electronic payments), legal proposals (e.g. on a commercial code, intellectual property, copyright and trademark, privacy and security) and market access proposals (e.g. on telecommunications infrastructure, information technology, content and technical standards). They also address issues related to human resources and small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). These proposals contain little on the role of developing countries in designing, establishing and implementing such a framework58. This is contrary to the very concept of democratic global governance of a global network and lack of developing country involvement would represent a collective loss to the objective of a global economy. Implications Important from the developing countries point of view is the stance of all these proposals with respect to trade and tariffs. Across the four proposals, there is agreement that the present tariff-free environment for goods and services delivered by the Internet and other electronic channels should be made permanent, but this does not extend to physical goods purchased through the Internet and delivered by traditional methods, where it is suggested that existing tariff rules should continue to apply. The taxation of electronic commerce, in “virtual goods”, such as information and services, and physical goods is a complex issue. The position of the United States is that no new taxes should be imposed on electronic commerce, and that taxing jurisdictions should co-ordinate their activities to ensure that taxation systems are simple to administer and do not hinder or distort commerce. The European Union has traditionally levied VAT on virtual as well as physical goods but is evaluating the definition of the current tax systems (both direct and indirect) within member States on issues of definition, control and enforceability. All four actors share the position that fairness in the taxation of electronic goods as compared with that of physical goods (i.e. “tax neutrality”) is essential, and that the OECD (and the European Union for European countries) should be a key forum for the discussion of policy issues relating to international taxation. The OECD has already begun a programme of policy research on taxation issues in electronic commerce. The developing countries also need to start a process of discussions and negotiations between themselves to come up with their considered stand on this issue, as well as on the related issues of standards and infrastructure development 58 Egypt Working Paper, 1998. 24 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers III.2 Technological developments and standards New technologies many times faster than existing communication technology, such as cablemodems, digital subscriber lines, and satellite broadcast are available in limited locations now, and will become widely available in the next few years. These technologies present problems, not just in the user's connection, but in maintaining high speed data flow reliably from source to the user. During this period of enormous growth, businesses entering the Internet arena are scrambling to find economic models that work so that eCommerce can become more popular with consumers. Free services supported by advertising have shifted some of the direct costs away from the consumer. In some countries the trend is even to offer free unlimited access to the Internet. Online sales are growing rapidly for such products as books and music CDs, airline tickets, software and computers, but the profit margins are slim when price comparisons are so easy, and public trust in online security is still shaky59. It is services and business to business transactions therefore that continue to record high growth rates. Recent advances in encryption techniques have made it possible to ensure the safe transmission of credit card numbers and other sensitive information needed to facilitate payment electronically. This needs to be backed by Trust and Authentication Services that would help provide some sort of guarantee to the faceless communication of eCommerce.60 For developing countries this may require governmental interventions and initiatives, as traditionally this has been the practice with all quality control and guarantee regimes. It could also mean further dependence on proprietary technology as well as problems for state controlled valuation requirements as for customs duty levy. Transfer of technology Access to technology may be a key issue for the growth of eCommerce in developing countries. It cannot be presumed that development of electronic commerce, by itself, would necessarily lead to transfer of technology from developed to developing countries. This is likely to be a complex process, involving questions of investment, expertise, government policies, market access etc. As electronic commerce develops in a country, it will for example, have spin-off effects on the development of the information technology sector in that country. A developing country which encourages electronic commerce and with a climate conducive to investment is likely to attract foreign investment in sectors related to information technology. In addition, it is possible that developed country companies that see market opportunities in developing countries will transfer some technology in order to be able to explore those market opportunities. So far as the fast emerging technologies and standards for the Internet and eCommerce are concerned, however, developing countries have no say whatsoever today. All of the developments are taking place primarily in the private sector laboratories of the 59 Howe, 1998. Surprisingly, even leading and very popular sites like amazom.com (major supplier of books and now CDs etc.) and cdnow.com (CD supplies) are in fact losing money on the Internet. 60 The ITU has recently signed a Trust Fund partnership agreement with the World Trade Center, Geneva and the World Internet Secure Key (WISeKey SA) to promote the use of digital certificates for both authentication and authorization through more than 300 centres in over 100 countries. (SUNS, #4516, 27th Sep 1999). Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 25 North. Even the ITU (International Telecommunications Union) plays only a marginal role. Box 3: Control of the Internet The question of who controls the Internet is relevant for the world as a whole and developing countries in particular. From its very beginning the Internet has exhibited some particularly unique features. It is a product of the (US) public sector (academia and defence); it was built on a single standard (Internet protocol); it ostensibly has no central command and is predominantly American61 - not only in the number of sites, servers and eCommerce business transacted on it, but also in content, culture and language. Therefore though formally there is no ownership (or responsibility) for the traffic that runs on mainly leased telecommunication lines, there are of course USbased and US scientist-manned bodies, the Internet Society and the Internet Assignment Numbers Authority (IANA), that take the few central decisions concerning protocol or for allocating Internet addresses or “domain names”62. These are important issues with the latter having very strong commercial implications for the Trademarks issue. Due to international pressure, however, such powers are now sought to be shared at an international level by the setting up of the ICANN process since October 98. The Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN) is the new non-profit corporation that was formed to take over responsibility for the IP address space allocation, protocol parameter assignment, domain name system management, and root server system management functions now performed under U.S. Government contract by IANA and other entities. It has international membership. Unfortunately there is no developing country representation in ICANN and the matter demands redressal. The Internet today operates on a telecommunications ramp which has been built on technologies mostly developed in the West. Not only is this structure extremely capital intensive, it is on the technological edge of emerging possibilities that require high-cost research and a strong financial base for long-term and sometimes risky initiatives that may well become redundant and obsolete overnight. Most developing countries have neither the financial nor the human resources to match these requirements. Can they therefore expect or even judge whether the standards and the set-up will be fair and equitable? Will they at least be transparent, and non-trade restrictive? The issues of domain name allocation and address management have a commercial implication that is only now being fully appreciated. Certification authorities and authentication protocols are some of the technologies and standard-setting activities that will emerge. Who is to establish and monitor these are issues that need to be addressed by the international community, and Cairncross, 1997. Domain names are the people-friendly form of Internet addresses (which are actually numbers) designed for computers to recognize the address of a particular site on the network. 61 62 26 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers the developing countries fears on such matters allayed. Setting up bodies like the ICANN are steps in this direction and developing countries must demand to be represented on them. III.3 Legal and financial framework Legal issues Today the Internet weaves its way into society wherever it goes, crossing borders, cultures and legal jurisdictions. Many governments worry about a medium that can bring their citizens effortlessly or even accidentally face to face with pornography, fraud, libel, gambling, racism and sedition. Quite probably, if something is illegal under national law, it is almost certainly available on the Internet. In fact, there are many things that countries might reasonably want to regulate on the Internet. These include not just serious affronts to human values such as child pornography and incitement to racial hatred, but also consumer protection, the defence of intellectual-property rights and taxation. These are all issues on which countries legislate already. The existing rules and laws would and should apply to the Internet and eCommerce. The problem is not whether the Internet should be regulated, but how. This entirely new sort of communication poses several entirely new sorts of problem for regulators. Intrinsic to the Internet is its ability to leap borders at the click of the computermouse, roaming websites from one country to another where different laws and standards may apply. Second, regulation has traditionally distinguished between public and private communication. But the Internet is both a private conduit for messages between individuals, and a public one. To regulate it, countries could use existing laws wherever possible; and, adapt some of the solutions emerging on the Internet itself. One such example is to get over the brand name and Internet address problem63 by assigning numbers much like those of the telephone and using global directories. Similarly, although the Internet may worry governments and copyright holders by making it easier to copy copyrighted material, it compensates by letting copyright holders find and police instances of abuse better than they could before. A comprehensive discussion of the legal and regulatory obstacles to the promotion and expansion of eCommerce is beyond the scope of this paper. However, some of the issues that need to be addressed are listed below: • Bringing about changes in existing laws which are rooted in the paper world, requiring writing, signatures, creation and retention of original documents, documentary evidence in legal proceedings and use of prescribed paper forms. This is turning into a major issue of registered trademarks or brand names vs. Internet site addresses using the same or similar names and therefore leading to trademark infringement disputes. 63 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 27 • • • • • • • • Modification of export and import regulations and formalities to address the regulatory impediments to physical delivery of goods ordered online. Development of digital signature and encryption technology and removing some of the restrictions on its import, export and use (because of national security and law enforcement concerns). Removal of uncertainty as to which national (and state) laws apply in crossborder transactions (issues of jurisdiction). Lack of consumer confidence because of uncertainty as to the effectiveness of consumer protection laws. Addressing the whole issue of exchange controls, both as financial policy as well as the restrictions and problems of international electronic payment mechanisms (e.g. use of credit cards online, or by phone, fax, or e-mail). Development of and regulations governing the issue of stored value cards and other electronic cash devices by financial institutions. Liability of service providers, e-mall operators64 and other intermediaries for the content and conduct of eCommerce sites. Protection for intellectual property, which is particularly relevant to copyright-based businesses that supply software, music, film, video and literary works. National legal framework The main issue that developing countries need to address is to make their legal framework conducive to eCommerce transactions, after of course considering its implications and taking the policy decision to do so, in whatever degree. The UNCITRAL Model Law on electronic commerce is one such standard framework for resolving the contractual issues and obstacles related to eCommerce. Several developing countries are considering adopting it or legislating directly themselves (several already have). The basic principle being followed is that of “equivalence of treatment” between paper and electronic communication. This is easiest and quickest done by adapting the existing legal system to an eCommerce environment. National financial framework Along with changes in contract and company law, eCommerce also requires a financial and banking framework that allows for electronic payments and transfers. This would include requirements for certification of documents, electronic signatures, confidentiality and privacy. Several developing countries will need to put in place both the electronic network (between financial institutions) as well as the legal framework to allow for such transactions. Banking laws and regulations thus need to be adjusted to the new formats and requirements. Already there has been progress in this area in several countries, especially where EDI for trade facilitation is already being introduced. 64 Those that set up and maintain ‘virtual’ electronic shopping-malls/complexes on the Internet. 28 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers Countries will also need to examine their policies vis-à-vis financial services, especially those that would be involved in eCommerce transactions. Besides banking and investment services, this would also involve insurance, brokerage, credit worthiness and guaranteeing services, underwriting and a host of other financial services. This of course raises the question of reform and liberalization of the financial sector. Policies not just at the domestic level but also international level would need to be examined. Currency convertibilty (both on the capital and current account) would be an important issue for the many developing countries where convertibility is presently restricted for macroeconomic reasons and therefore on-line digital eCommerce payments are not possible. Another essential requirement for the ‘Internet boom’ (as seen in the North) in developing countries is the establishment and high growth (both real and in share values) of good Internet companies that not only deal in software and Internet services but would serve as the backbone on which other industry would base its entry into the world of eCommerce. For such start-up companies, easy availability of venture capital is a must. Traditionally in developing countries, financing has come from either banks or stock market listings, neither of which are suitable for young, high-risk Internet companies that have yet to launch commercial operations. To address this requirement, some developing countries are setting up venture capital funds, dedicated to the IT industry, through public financial institutions. These credit and financial policy issues are ones that each country must approach for itself. The emerging requirements of eCommerce are not necessarily the only reason for them to be examined or changed. Moreover, local solutions to manage within existing laws and procedures are being worked out constantly in several countries and by several enterprising companies. Where currency convertibility is not automatic, transactions negotiated on-line are then completed by routine bank transfers. Where the credit card culture does not exist, terminals operated by cashiers are being tried out. Where digital signatures are not acceptable, back-up copies of contracts are sent simultaneously. Where venture capital funds are not the norm, existing banks are working out ways to lend without insisting on personal guarantees and collateral. As economies grow and there is greater experience available in this whole area, the national policy makers will need to take decisions on several financial matters - in some cases even introducing further restrictions or security mechanisms where necessary (for example to raise customs tariff for specific items to prevent excess capital flows externally). III.4 Summary of main points • • • An equitable global information infrastructure is necessary in order to realise the potential of eCommerce. This requires a full world-wide and participatory coverage of telecommunications and Internet networks as well as the standards and legal frameworks necessary to run it. Developing countries will need assistance to establish reliable domestic networks, and also to acquire the expertise necessary for them to play a full part in it. A legal framework conducive to the requirements of eCommerce transactions is a necessity not just to prevent misuse but also to promote its Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 29 • • growth. The UNCITRAL Model Law on electronic commerce is one such standard framework available. Financial policies and banking regulations may need to be adjusted to the requirements of digital transfer of payments and decisions taken regarding the question of allowing and/or regulating the Internet based financial services that are emerging. Developing countries will need to address these basic financial and investment policy issues within their overall response to liberalization and globalization. However, where domestic compulsions prevent changes, innovative solutions for eCommerce growth within existing frameworks are also emerging in several developing countries. 30 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers IV. ISSUES RELATED TO THE WTO Trade related issues are of the utmost importance for developing countries, not only in view of the impending trade negotiations but also because it is in the area of trade and commerce that some of the main potential and risks for eCommerce lie. The main issue that has been raised at the WTO is that concerning tariffs on digital transactions. However in addressing this, several related issues have come up and are being examined. This section will deal with the issues of taxation and tariffs, the technological constraints for imposing and monitoring it, characterization and classification issues and those of intellectual property rights, particularly in the context of the concerns of developing countries. IV.1 Taxation Issues Though domestic taxation and customs tariffs are separate issues, the fact and possibility of levying a charge on a digital eCommerce transaction needs to be looked at first, as the technology as it exists today raises certain problems. Several options are being considered by governments (especially in the North) on how to react to the pressure that electronic commerce puts on tax regimes. Essentially this is a problem when commerce has taken place purely in a digitized format i.e., where all parts of the transaction have been completed ‘on-line’ in digital or computerized format and no goods have directly passed through a recognized customs or domestic tax point. Where eCommerce has been used only to communicate and set up a transaction and the actual delivery is by regular means, the existing tax and duty regulations and procedures continue to apply and can be monitored. For digital supplies the problem for the authorities is to monitor or even be aware that a transaction has taken place. One possible response would be to adjust the tax base to reflect changes in the economy at large -- something that governments have done throughout history. In this case, the adjustment might mean taxing all electronic flows of information. That is the proposal of an independent committee appointed by the European Commission. In April 1998 the committee submitted a report recommending a so-called “bit tax” (i.e., a tax on the “bits” of information zooming around computer networks)65. Many European politicians support such a tax, partly because Europe (with high rates of VAT) stands to lose the most from untaxed electronic sales. In the United States, which does not have a federal sales tax, the idea has not found much favour and the present US administration rejects the idea of any new taxes on the Net. The US Treasury opposed any new taxes on Internet transactions but said existing tax rules should be applied to Internet business exactly like other forms of commerce. This position of the US is however presently restricted to custom tariffs for digital commerce internationally and options for domestic taxation within the US itself are still under study. The basic problem even with a ‘bit tax’ is that it is indiscriminate: it taxes not just on-line transactions but all digital communications. Also the question of valuation would There are many possibilities with this type of situation that governments and international organizations could consider. A possible utilisation of the ‘bit tax’ concept could even be to levy a charge on all digital transactions for creating a global development fund. 65 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 31 be difficult to determine. More important, it is argued that taxation will crush the development of eCommerce and stunt its growth. If implemented in some countries, it would simply drive business off-shore and on-line transactions would take place in a state or country where there is no such tax66. So what other option is there for governments? The unpleasant alternative maybe that, in coming years, governments will probably be forced to shift further their existing tax base or find ways to monitor and tax eCommerce transactions. Besides the issue of possibilities and means of taxation, eCommerce also raises issues of domestic vis-à-vis foreign trade-related taxation provisions. Certain goods and services may not be taxed internally but if traded across frontiers the position could be at variance with the receiving countries’ tax and customs requirements. A country may therefore not be much concerned, if say, it does not tax services internally, but would be very worried if they were being offered from abroad at cheaper rates when similar local-based services were being domestically taxed. Taxation issues have a bearing on the very foundations and growth potential of any economic idea. In the case of eCommerce, the ramifications are global and affect the very concept and development of eCommerce, as well as the policy that each developing country would need to adopt regarding its foreign trade and internal taxation. For most developing countries, domestic taxes and import and export duties continue to be a primary source of revenue. IV.2 Market access issues Despite the many plus points, electronic commerce raises two basic difficulties for international trade. First, in eCommerce transactions the distinction between a good and a service can get blurred. This matters because WTO rules treat goods and services differently. Goods tend to be subject to tariffs; services are not, but trade in services is limited by restrictions on “national treatment”67 or quantitative controls on access to foreign markets. So the rules that will be devised for electronic commerce may affect the choice between physical and digital methods of trade.68 A recent WTO study (Bachetta et al, 1998) suggested that Electronic commerce can be divided into three broad categories for the purpose of policy discussion: i) the searching stage where producers and consumers, or buyers and sellers, first interact over the Internet; ii) the ordering and payment stage once a transaction has been agreed upon; and iii) the delivery stage. The new problem or issue relates to products that can be delivered electronically through the Internet (stage iii) transactions), as this is where the most significant policy questions arise. On-line transactions could of course be between different sites located in different countries, but since it would probably be the suppliers that would be targeted for taxation, they could locate their site in a taxhaven. 67 “National treatment” in this context means the giving of equal treatment to international based service providers compared to domestic. 68 World Trade Survey, 1998. 66 32 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers A compact disc (CD) sent from one country to another is clearly a good, and may incur a tariff as it crosses the border. But if the contents of the disc are sent electronically, say as an attachment even to an email message, from a computer in one country to a computer in another, is it still a good, even though it is no longer in ‘plastic wrap’ or a tangible package? Second, electronic commerce poses a problem for national regulators, especially with regard to service industries such as financial consultancies and medical services where the customers are nowhere near as well informed as the suppliers. It would be near impossible to keep a watch over quacks and fraud financial advisors. Countries could impose trade restrictions, insisting, for example, that financial firms selling on the Internet to residents of their country must also have an office there; or they could work more closely together with officials in the seller’s country monitoring cross-border sales on behalf of regulators in the buyer’s country. But such procedures are not only difficult to put in place and follow through with, but would also take away the fast-growing contacts that the Internet is setting up. All these are issues that need to be addressed. It has been argued by Bacchetta et al (1998) that open international market access is essential to the realization of benefits from electronic commerce, a view shared by many economists and writers in the western media. It is argued that the the WTO already has market access regimes69 in place -- the GATT (the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade which deals with trade in goods) and the GATS (the General Agreement on Trade in Services). The obvious question that arises is whether either (or both) of these regimes provide an adequate framework for dealing with market access vis à vis electronic commerce. Discussion and study on this issue is necessary and has in fact started. Customs tariffs In the WTO the United States presented to the General Council in February 1998 a market access proposal in regard to electronic commerce calling for agreement among WTO Members “to maintain ... current practices not to impose duties on electronic transmissions.” In May 1998 the WTO Ministerial declaration accepted this ‘stand-still’ position till the next ministerial meting by when a more detailed study on the subject was to be made available and discussed70. The US brought the proposal before the WTO to have a zero duty regime for all electronic transactions - basically being digital commerce where all (or most) stages of the transaction are completed on-line and most important, the final ‘product’ is delivered digitally. The argument is that today technology does not exist to distinguish between simple digital transmissions such as e-mail or, say, software. The U.S. stand is rooted in the perception that no government presently treats electronic transmissions as importation for customs duty purposes, and the idea is to consolidate this duty-free status quo. Another initiative that goes in the same direction is an agreement reached in December 1997 between the EU and the United States by which both parties undertake “... to work towards a global understanding, as soon as possible, that: The international agreements on trade that were negotiated and established ostensibly with a view to promote greater (and fair) international trade. 70 At its meeting on 25 September 1998, the General Council of WTO agreed on a work Programme on Electronic Commerce where the study on the subject is being carried out in the Councils for Trade in Services, Trade in Goods, TRIPs and the Committee on Trade and Development. 69 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 33 (i) when goods are ordered electronically and delivered physically, there will be no additional import duties in relation to the use of electronic means; and (ii) in all other cases relating to electronic commerce, the absence of duties on imports should remain.” The basic problem or issue (as earlier mentioned regarding taxation issues) is that it will not always be easy to identify the content of electronic transmission in situations where governments have a fiscal, protection-related or regulatory motivation for doing so. Finding workable solutions will involve international co-operation in addition to developing technical solutions. For developing countries this will also raise questions regarding the best instrument to employ to promote and protect local industry. For example, the objective of finding a margin of commercial advantage for a domestic supplier over a foreign supplier would not be simple.71 The issue of course is both complex and varies for different settings and products, and countries will need to approach them individually. As mentioned earlier, the question as to how to monitor and how to tax are problematical. For developing countries such as India, Singapore, Malaysia, where most of the flows of digital services and software (developed domestically) are outwards to other countries, export duty is not an issue because export flows are not taxed. On the import side, software and information inflows for processing in back-end offices72 and call centres73 are mostly not subject to duties either - a measure to encourage the IT industry and exports. However, this situation may not hold good for financial and other services transactions. Hence the question as to whether or not tariffs should be levied needs to be very carefully considered. Customs duties, as mentioned above, are a very important source of revenue for cash needy governments in poor countries. It is therefore important that the full implications of levying duties or otherwise are studied carefully and time given (for better technologies to emerge that would make duty calculations possible (and enforceable) for digital commerce also) before any final decisions are taken on this matter. Developing countries must be extremely wary of entering into a commitment to accept a zero duty regime before they have considered the full implications of the various options. Quantitative restrictions There is an associated argument that has been raised in some quarters, namely that since digital transactions cannot be monitored, duties cannot and should not be levied. Applying the same argument, it could also be asserted that the quantity and content of a digital transaction also can not be monitored, therefore, in this case too, no quantitative restrictions (QRs) should be applied. In other words, the ‘stand-still’ on tariffs being propounded by some developed countries should also include a ‘stand-still’ on the issue of QRs. No formal view on this perspective has emerged in WTO, but, from the developing country angle, signing an agreement which precludes the option of introducing regulation in the future may not be a very prudent step. Bacchetta, 1998. Service, maintenance and development centres set up in a different location and linked through an Intranet. 73 Centres where customers call or connect via the Internet for services from reservations to queries. 71 72 34 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers IV.3 Characterization and classification issues Another issue that needs to be addressed is that of characterization. Electronic commerce could be characterized as trade in goods, trade in services, or as something different from either of these. In addressing this issue some key differences between the GATT and GATS must be borne in mind as they would affect the policy and distinction between goods and services. The GATT contains a general obligation in respect of national treatment, as opposed to one that depends on what specific commitments have been made at the sectoral level, as in the GATS. Moreover, the GATT embodies a general prohibition on quantitative restrictions (with delineated exceptions), whereas the GATS permits the use of quantitative restrictions in cases where governments wish to maintain limitations on market access. The GATT envisages the use of customs duties on imports where Members have not bound their tariffs at zero, whereas the GATS has little to say about customs duties, or taxes in general, except that any tax regime must be consistent with a Member’s national treatment commitments in its schedule of specific commitments74. Trade in goods The case for treating eCommerce transactions as goods might apply in the case of some of the more popular items presently being traded i.e. books and music. It could be argued that the digital transmission of either is then converted to a physical good – a book or a compact disk (CD) bearing music. However there are cases when this may not happen and the end use may continue to be in digital format. Other examples where the final product may or may not be converted into physical form are pictures, graphics, videos and film. Even if they are, there would be a problem of valuation. Also in the case of customized writings and music, say for a theatre production, they could very well be treated as trade in services. In other words it would be a non-standardized usage or service.75 Trade in services It has been asserted in Bacchetta et al (1998) that a whole range of transactions carried out over the Internet are already covered under the structure and trade liberalization commitments of GATS. These include the provision of Internet services and several other products that can be delivered as digitized information flows. Internet services and other services already traded electronically are cited. It is being argued by some countries that all services are covered by the GATS and it does not matter whether these are delivered electronically or otherwise. Today the great bulk of products delivered electronically, like telecommunications and financial services, are covered in the services classification lists. However would this cover all existing services and all digital transactions? Even for existing services there is no compulsory or universally agreed classification system. In many Ibid. A book or music or software on a CD for mass consumption would be treated as standardised products, whereas customised writings, music, software etc. would be non-standardised products and classified as services. 74 75 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 35 instances the nomenclature used is that based on the provisional Central Products Classification (CPC) of the United Nations. However this classification is not used in a number of sectors, including financial services, telecommunications, air transport and maritime transport. Moreover it must be noted that this classification was last issued in 1989 and therefore today’s technological developments and delivery options could not have been foreseen. Some experts contend that the principle of ‘technological neutrality’76 applies and the mode of delivery does not matter. However even in cases of Central Products Classification (CPC) the description may not be technologically neutral in that it may describe means of delivery without accounting for electronic means. Since this classification does not apply across the board (especially to new services that have, and may emerge) in several cases the practice is often to resort to the description as “other services”77. Such classification is both arbitrary and questionable. Existing agreements Provisions in the existing agreements do not embrace all digitized information flows. The basic limitation of having to be classified and listed precludes so many of the present (and future) innovations of eCommerce, that it would be neither prudent nor practical to consider all eCommerce transactions covered by the existing agreements. Electronic commerce is not something that can be classified and limited by the definition of either a good or service. It may be either or both and yet something more or different. Even today the world is just beginning to glimpse at its potential and usage. It would therefore be inappropriate to define it as trade in either goods or services and limit it by the existing agreements. Its implications are not only international or regional in nature and its impact extends far beyond trade and commerce. The international community must address these issues in a fair and transparent manner and the developing countries must be given adequate opportunity to first understand and then decide on the policy stance that they wish to adopt. IV.4 Issues concerning intellectual property rights Much of the trade today on the Internet and other electronic communications networks involves the selling or licensing of information, cultural products and technology protected by intellectual property rights. The importance of setting up an eCommerce regime that protects and promotes IPRs is crucial to many interests in the North as enormous worldwide ‘rents’ can and will flow to companies and individuals in developed countries who today own over 90 per cent of patents and copyrights in the world. For this reason, there are acute disputes about trademarks and ‘domain names’. For consumers who buy products and services at a distance, it may be increasingly necessary to rely on the reputation attached to trademarks and other distinctive signs. Not only is the question of their protection an issue, but conflicts arise between them and Internet ‘domain names’, which, though designed to serve as addresses, have acquired a further significance as business identifiers.78 Several addresses containing the trademark names of established Concept that in the negotiations concerning the GATS agreement, the services or transactions envisaged were not meant to be dependant on the type of technology used nor the mode of delivery. 77 Bacchetta, 1998. 78 WIPO Report, 1999. 76 36 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers companies have been registered as domain names thus leading to disputes over their usage, as well as to allegations of what is referred to as ‘cyber-squatting’79. The World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) has therefore issued a report on the issue, recommending practices and guidelines intended to prevent disputes in this area. Its recommendations are being looked at by ICANN, which though recently established is still not fully functional and which, as mentioned earlier, has no representation from the South. Developing countries therefore need to raise this issue at WIPO, WTO etc. While examining some of the new challenges posed by global communications networks to the protection and enforcement of intellectual property rights, one should also bear in mind the new opportunities such networks provide to facilitate international trade in subject-matter protected by intellectual property rights. For example, the Internet may give consumers, irrespective of their place of residence, a wider choice of information and cultural products protected by copyright and related rights. For authors, publishers and producers, the Internet may lower the costs of and barriers to entering the global market. Transaction costs and transaction times are likely to fall rapidly. However, this positive scenario requires that governments and the private sector develop and implement an appropriate mix of regulatory, contractual and technological measures, and ensure adequate public awareness of the role of copyright and related rights in the information society. WIPO is preparing to establish a worldwide network infrastructure that makes available to the public, through public networks, intellectual property information, and also provides sufficient telecommunication capacities and security mechanisms to allow intellectual property offices to access information that is useful for grant and registration activities. In this context, WIPO intends to support the deployment of information technology infrastructure in intellectual property offices, with special support to offices in developing countries, assisting the latter in developing the necessary infrastructure and in training for use of the IPR system. It is argued that intellectual property also plays an important role in promoting the development of the infrastructure required for communications networks, that is, software, hardware and other technology that make up information highways. It provides protection for the results of investment in the development of new information and communications technology; thus giving the incentive and the means to finance research and development aimed at improving such technology. It is also argued that a functioning intellectual property regime is meant to facilitate the transfer of information, in this case communications technology, by means of foreign direct investment, joint ventures and licensing. Thus, IPRs are meant to contribute positively to technology transfer and the development of the communications infrastructure in developing countries. As yet, however, there is little empirical evidence of such a transfer and development of the communications infrastructure in developing countries. Moreover the protection of IPRs is only one of the factors which may encourage or hinder the transfer of technology. Given the global nature of the Internet and other digital networks, a related question that arises is whether differences in the way in which new forms of misuse of protected subject-matter in the digital network environment are addressed in national legislation and Practice of obtaining well-known or common terms, brand names and trademark names as Internet addresses with the hope of later selling them at a profit. 79 Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 37 case law result in increased impediments to international trade. In other words, they may be used as non-tariff barriers to limit and restrict market access. For example, laws or regulations may emerge, providing for standards or certification for transactions that may hamper development of services over the Internet. Such standard setting or certification authorities may be private or developed country oriented. Developing countries need to be wary of such possibilities. IV.5 Summary of main points • • • • • • • • One of the main issues concerning eCommerce is whether/or how taxes or duties should be levied on ‘digital transactions’, i.e. where most or all stages of a commercial transaction have been done on-line and the final good or service has been delivered digitally. For governments it is very difficult to value or even be aware of such transactions. One alternative under consideration is that of a ‘bit-tax’, where the volume or total ‘bits’ transmitted could be taxed. This however would not distinguish between types or values of transmission. This issue of tariff on electronic transmissions has been raised in the WTO by the United States who desires that a permanent stand-still on the nonlevying of any tariff on digital commerce be agreed to by all members. Developing countries need to be wary of agreeing to a permanent zero-duty regime without first understanding all the implications of this on their economies. Another issue under consideration before the WTO is that of classification of eCommerce transactions under the two existing agreements of GATT (for goods) and GATS (for services). However the nature of eCommerce is such that it cannot all be covered under either of these existing agreements. ECommerce also raises questions concerning IPRs. Disputes between trademarks and ‘domain names’ (addresses on the Internet) have already broken out. WIPO along with ICANN (the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers), is working on this issue. Developing countries need to be represented in ICANN. IPR infringements could increase with eCommerce and the spread of the Internet, however the Internet will also give IPR owners greater and easier access to the market as well as making it easier to monitor such infringements. Fear of such infringements could also lead to unnecessary barriers and regulations being introduced, with the effect of these becoming non-tariff barriers to trade. These may be monopolized by a few North based certification or standard-setting private agencies. This may be detrimental to the interests of developing countries 38 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers V. TOWARDS A STRATEGY FOR THE SOUTH The Internet per se does not recognize the ‘North’ or the ‘South’. It has no set geographical barriers or boundaries: these are defined by the location of the participants, namely, those who are connected. But, in this sense, the world continues to be divided between the “haves” and the “have-nots”, that is, between those who are connected and those who are not. As with every other technological advance, in the absence of special efforts, the benefits tend to be derived mostly by the affluent, whether countries or individuals. It is therefore crucial that developing country governments address the development of Internet and eCommerce in the context of their development plans and programmes, with a view to increasing access to telecommunications, Internet etc. and to providing an appropriate legal and financial framework. Global eCommerce Global commerce is increasingly being dictated by those who: • • have access to a range of financial, technical and human resources with a speed and depth that only electronic information and trading networks can make possible; and meet customer demand and engage in business negotiations with the flexibility, cost-efficiency, timeliness, reliability and innovation that only the electronic forms of trading allow. Thus, in order to ensure that all members of the community of nations enjoy a competitive standing in the global marketplace, efforts should be made to promote access to Internet and utilization of eCommerce on a local, national, and regional basis. Several UN organizations and many national governments are today addressing these issues. Governments, businesses and individuals have to assess their specific needs and then move forward in a well-informed manner to make use of eCommerce applications. Businesses will gradually increase their use of electronic communications by taking incremental steps within a familiar regulatory environment rather than attempt to automate their entire business communications model in one step. Recognizing this, each developing country economy should evaluate the benefits and applications most relevant to its short-term and long-term needs. A strategy for the South In the foregoing discussion, a distinction has been made between national and international strategies. Some of the issues and actions relevant to domestic policy decisions by developing countries have been outlined in the preceding section. So far as international issues are concerned, the most important are those related to trade and specifically to the WTO negotiations, and developing countries will need to develop policies and actions at the multilateral and bilateral levels and within the South as whole. Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 39 WTO negotiations So far as multilateral action is concerned, the most important and urgent task for developing countries is to determine the stance to be adopted at the WTO. Section IV has outlined the major issues. Though there is little doubt that eCommerce is an important and major issue for world trade, there are several aspects of it that need to be further studied especially from the point of view of their implications for the developing world. There are also several impediments to the availability of and access of this medium in developing countries and unless these are addressed simultaneously, the gap between the North and South and that between the poor and rich will only widen. Therefore, while considering the promotion of eCommerce as part of the world trade agenda, the issues of infrastructure, investment, availability and marginal cost of hardware and software, awareness, education and training need to be also addressed and redressed. Developing countries therefore need to raise and (where necessary) negotiate on these issues, before entering into any agreement. Different options, including that of being accorded ‘special and differential treatment’ with reference to their infrastructural development in this area, need to be considered. Developing countries need to be given adequate time to study thoroughly the implications and the optimal ways of placing the Internet and eCommerce fully in the service of development. This will require analysis and discussion nationally and regionally and also at the level of the global South. Other multilateral actions Several UN and inter-governmental bodies are presently addressing the issues and responses to eCommerce according to their remit and the particular focus of each agency, broadly as follows: UNCTAD ITC WIPO ITU WTO UN/ECE UNCITRAL World Bank UNDP Trade facilitation and development perspective; SMEs and private sector focus; Domain name and IPR issues; Infrastructure and telecommunication issues; Rules and trade agenda; Trade facilitation; Legal framework; Financial aspects and data bases; Development issues. Since many of these agencies will exert an influence on the future of eCommerce, and several are considering undertaking studies and projects to help developing countries and their SMEs benefit from the opportunities emerging in this area, it is important that the initiatives taken in the framework of the United Nations system be co-ordinated and integrated so as to avoid duplication and contradictions. ECommerce is far too important a matter to be left in the hands of a few governments and the private sector. It is in the interest of the whole international community and especially the developing countries that the rules and standards are debated and decided collectively in the organizations based in the United Nations system. An inter-agency working group located in Geneva, where most of the concerned 40 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. Working Papers organizations are based, would be a first step. It is essential that expert representatives from developing country bodies such as the G–77, NAM and other such groupings and institutions participate fully in such a working group. Bilateral agenda In addition to pursuing an joint agenda and platform at the multilateral level, developing countries will also need to establish policies and positions for their bilateral relations, especially with the US, EC as a body and individual European countries, as well as with Japan. Not only is it necessary to explain the developing country perspective and problems to these partners, but also to seek appropriated development assistance and investments to improve access and expertise in this area. Such initiatives could serve to help develop the use of Internet for social development purposes such as telemedicine, distance learning and agricultural extension among other things. South-South co-operation ECommerce is a new area and there are no textbook answers to several policy, business and technology matters. New and innovative initiatives in eCommerce are being taken by several governments in the South. Developing countries therefore stand to learn a lot from sharing their experience and exchanging data and information. Moreover, cooperation and a common stand on issues before the WTO as well as ITU, WIPO, ICANN etc. will not only help individual governments in their consideration of the relevance and implications of each aspect under consideration, but would also lend strength to their position. Agencies and organizations of the South, such as the Group of 77, the South Centre, and regional groupings could contribute to the analysis and discussion of the core issues and options before the developing countries. They could help assess information regarding the extent of the obstacles to eCommerce and how these are being overcome within each developing economy. Such information will be a powerful stimulant for action by and among the member economies, as it will highlight the comparative disadvantages suffered by economies that lag behind with respect to the new technology and its uses, while suggesting solutions for those wishing to catch up. This body of effort could include initiatives to: • • • • examine the various issues before the WTO and suggest options for consideration and negotiation; outline the constraints with regard to infrastructure and technology that need to be addressed; provide a regular forum for discussion and debate on common issues and problems; organize workshops and interactive sessions on eWareness for developing country representatives in Geneva, where several key organizations are located, as well as in the various regions; Electronic Commerce: Issues for the South 41 • • • • • • survey comparative costs of network access and use among the South economies. The survey would monitor progress and issue annual updates; establish an on-line database of South government eCommerce best practices, with live site links and explanatory comment; maintain an eCommerce Legal Guide on the Internet as a means of providing developing countries with a first level of understanding of the legal issues they may encounter in other economies; encourage developing countries to review the legal issues addressed in the UNCITRAL Model Law on eCommerce and to make appropriate changes to their national laws; establish a regional review of fraud and efforts being made to ensure the security and privacy of eCommerce transactions (potentially to include a model law on fraud that could be reviewed by all member economies); demonstrate through government and industry application of eCommerce systems the benefits to be had from the evolving digital forms of commerce. In conclusion ECommerce provides a major opportunity for developing countries in their quest for development for it provides the seeds of opportunity and change. The most developed and expensive technology is not the key; business acumen and entrepreneurship is more important. Weak or inadequate infrastructure is not necessarily an impediment, just as developed infrastructure is not necessarily a sufficient condition for success. The key to success in this area is to act locally and exert influence globally. A strategy for the South must encompass both national and international concerns. It must first concentrate on understanding the various issues and their implications for development and trade and then seek to formulate a co-ordinated approach at the international level and help set guidelines for domestic policies and plans. The crucial initiatives mentioned above can be taken by individual developing countries, by groups of developing countries or by the South as a whole. A central objective is to develop an international regime which is supportive of the development of eCommerce in developing countries while being conducive to their social and economic development and respecting their cultural and political integrity. The international community, but particularly the developing countries themselves, must ensure that the appropriate enabling political and economic environment is established. 42 South Centre T.R.A.D.E. 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