© 2008 International Monetary Fund October 2008 IMF Country Report No. 08/330 St. Lucia: Statistical Appendix This Statistical Appendix for St. Lucia was prepared by a staff team of the International Monetary Fund as background documentation for the periodic consultation with the member country. It is based on the information available at the time it was completed on July 10, 2008. The views expressed in this document are those of the staff team and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Government of St. Lucia or the Executive Board of the IMF. The policy of publication of staff reports and other documents by the IMF allows for the deletion of market-sensitive information. Copies of this report are available to the public from International Monetary Fund ● Publication Services 700 19th Street, N.W. ● Washington, D.C. 20431 Telephone: (202) 623-7430 ● Telefax: (202) 623-7201 E-mail: publications@imf.org ● Internet: http://www.imf.org Price: $18.00 a copy International Monetary Fund Washington, D.C. INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND ST. LUCIA Statistical Appendix Prepared by a staff team consisting of Paul Cashin, Koffie Nassar, and Yan Sun (all WHD) Approved by Western Hemisphere Department July 10, 2008 Contents Page Basic Data .....................................................................................................................................2 Tables 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. GDP by Economic Activity at Constant Factor Cost ............................................................4 GDP by Economic Activity at Current Factor Cost ..............................................................5 Expenditure on GDP at Current Prices..................................................................................6 Saving and Investment ..........................................................................................................7 Selected Data on the Banana Industry...................................................................................8 Selected Industrial Production...............................................................................................9 Consumer Price Index .........................................................................................................10 Operations of the Central Government ...............................................................................11 Operations of the Central Government (in percent of GDP)...............................................12 Monetary Survey .................................................................................................................13 Summary Operations of the Eastern Caribbean Central Bank ............................................14 Consolidated Accounts of the Commercial Banks..............................................................15 Distribution of Commercial Bank Loans and Advances.....................................................16 Summary Balance of Payments...........................................................................................17 Value, Volume, and Unit Value of Major Exports..............................................................18 Merchandise Imports by SITC Category.............................................................................19 Imports and Prices of Petroleum Products ..........................................................................20 Merchandise Trade Volumes, Unit Values and Terms of Trade.........................................21 Direction of Trade ...............................................................................................................22 Selected Tourism Statistics .................................................................................................23 Stayover Tourist Arrivals by Country of Origin .................................................................24 Structure of Public Debt ......................................................................................................25 Structure of Public Debt (in percent of GDP) .....................................................................26 Effective Exchange Rate Indices.........................................................................................27 2 St. Lucia: Basic Data I. Social and Demographic Indicators Area (sq. km.) Arable land (percent of land area) 616 4.9 Population (2007) Total (thousands) Annual rate of growth (percent a year) Density (per sq. km.) GDP per capita (US$), 2007 171.2 1.4 317.6 5,606 Population characteristics (2007) Infant mortality (per thousand live births) 23.5 Distribution of labor force (in percent, 2006) Agriculture Industry and mining Services 14.5 22.0 63.5 Health (2005) Life expectancy at birth (males) Hospital beds (per 10,000 population) 74.0 28.0 Access to safe water (2004) Percent of population Urban Rural 98.0 98.0 Education (2006) Enrollment percentage Primary Secondary 98.6 75.8 Gross domestic product GDP (2007) (in millions of EC$) (in millions of US$) 2,592 960 II. Economic Indicators, 2003–07 2003 2004 2005 2006 Prel. 2007 5.5 17.7 76.9 4.2 19.0 76.8 4.1 20.0 75.9 4.2 18.9 77.0 (In percent of GDP) Origin of GDP Agriculture and mining Manufacturing, construction and utilities Services 5.4 17.3 77.3 (Annual percentage changes, unless otherwise indicated) National accounts and prices Real GDP Real GDP per capita GDP deflator Consumer price index (period average) Consumer price index (end of period) Unemployment rate (in percent) 3.5 2.6 1.3 3.8 2.6 2.5 4.4 2.9 3.1 4.9 3.6 2.3 1.7 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.5 22.3 1.5 3.5 21.0 3.9 5.2 18.7 3.6 0.7 16.6 2.8 6.8 14.0 26.2 29.8 25.5 29.2 25.6 31.6 26.9 32.8 28.2 30.9 2.8 1.8 -0.8 -3.6 56.4 3.0 3.8 -0.7 -3.8 61.9 3.0 4.0 -3.0 -6.0 63.7 3.3 4.9 -2.6 -5.9 63.5 3.5 5.9 0.8 -2.7 64.0 (Ratios to GDP) Public finances 1/ Central government Total revenue 2/ Total expenditure Of which Interest Savings Primary balance 3/ Overall balance 3/ Central government debt (12-month percentage changes, unless otherwise indicated) Money and credit 4/ Liabilities to private sector Of which Money Quasi money Net domestic assets of the banking system Of which Credit to the public sector (net) Credit to the private sector Liabilities to private sector, in percent of GDP 7.6 10.1 13.4 20.1 6.2 4.4 3.3 -10.1 10.1 0.0 11.3 4.4 9.1 27.9 0.8 19.3 19.1 3.8 2.4 14.2 -2.8 -4.3 63.3 -2.5 11.1 65.2 3.2 17.7 67.6 1.7 27.4 76.6 1.0 34.2 79.3 3 St. Lucia: Basic Data 2003 2004 2005 2006 Prel. 2007 (In millions of U.S. dollars, unless otherwise indicated) Balance of payments Current account Trade balance (goods) Exports, f.o.b. Imports, f.o.b. Services and transfers (net) Of which Tourism receipts Interest (public sector) Capital and financial account 5/ Capital transfers Official borrowing (net) Private capital 5/ Change in net international reserves (increase -) 6/ Exports (in percent of GDP) Imports (in percent of GDP) Current account (in percent of GDP) Goods exports (in US$, annual percentage change) Goods imports (in US$, annual percentage change) Terms of trade (annual percentage change) 7/ Real effective exchange rate (12-month percentage change) International reserve position and external debt Gross official reserves of the ECCB Net official reserves (central bank, imputed) Net reserves of the banking system Outstanding external debt, in percent of GDP Public 8/ Private -110.3 -245.7 109.3 -355.1 135.4 -87.5 -251.8 96.2 -348.0 164.3 -150.1 -329.3 88.8 -418.1 179.2 -277.4 -403.6 117.4 -521.0 126.2 -279.6 -405.9 135.9 -541.8 126.3 282.1 17.0 145.9 17.1 72.4 56.4 -12.8 325.7 18.0 101.0 3.5 24.4 73.2 -25.5 356.0 17.2 139.7 5.3 43.2 91.1 16.0 287.5 19.7 321.8 11.4 21.7 288.7 -18.0 299.4 23.0 303.5 5.8 -8.4 306.1 -19.0 14.6 -47.5 -14.7 57.7 30.6 -9.8 12.0 -43.4 -10.9 -12.0 -2.0 -13.8 10.1 -47.6 -17.1 -7.7 20.1 -6.0 12.6 -55.8 -29.7 32.2 24.6 -7.2 14.2 -56.4 -29.1 15.8 4.0 -10.0 -4.9 -4.6 -0.5 0.1 -3.9 539.9 104.7 19.5 632.4 130.2 -12.2 600.8 114.2 -77.2 696.0 132.2 -88.6 764.1 151.2 -168.9 45.6 45.6 ... 46.1 46.1 ... 47.4 47.4 ... 44.8 44.8 ... 46.0 46.0 ... IMF data (as of June 30, 2008) Membership status: Intervention currency and rate Quota Fund holdings of Eastern Caribbean dollars (As percent of quota) Outstanding purchases and loans SDR department Net cumulative allocation Holdings Sources: St. Lucia authorities; World Development Indicators; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Data for fiscal years beginning April. 2/ Including grants. 3/ After grants. 4/ Change as a percentage of liabilities to the private sector at the beginning of the period. 5/ Includes errors and omissions. 6/ Imputed reserves at the ECCB. 7/ Excluding tourism. 8/ Total public and publicly guaranteed debt. Article VIII U.S. dollar at EC$2.70 per U.S. dollar SDR 15.3 million SDR 15.29 million 99.97 percent None SDR 0.74 million SDR 1.57 million 4 Table 1. St. Lucia: GDP by Economic Activity at Constant Factor Cost 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Prel. 2007 ( In millions of 1990 Eastern Caribbean dollars ) Gross domestic product Primary sector Agriculture Bananas Other crops Livestock Fishing Forestry Mining and quarrying 1,188.5 73.2 67.3 35.8 13.5 6.9 10.0 1.2 5.8 1,230.5 62.6 56.7 22.8 14.3 6.6 11.9 1.2 5.8 1,277.0 60.8 55.1 26.8 11.3 6.8 9.1 1.1 5.7 1,333.1 47.0 41.5 16.8 8.2 6.9 8.5 1.1 5.5 1,398.9 52.1 45.5 18.8 8.9 6.3 10.5 1.1 6.6 1,422.5 53.3 45.9 18.1 9.6 6.4 10.8 1.0 7.5 Secondary sector Manufacturing Construction Electricity, gas, and water 225.7 69.2 94.2 62.3 231.4 72.2 95.7 63.4 231.4 70.1 96.7 64.6 246.2 81.5 108.8 56.0 261.2 87.0 123.2 51.1 256.5 88.4 110.5 57.6 Services Wholesale and retail trade Hotels and restaurants Transport and communications Banking and insurance Real estate and housing Government services Other services 995.2 126.4 138.4 250.3 129.3 149.6 147.0 54.3 1,043.6 136.2 161.4 261.4 131.9 154.6 143.9 54.3 1,095.3 147.7 170.9 274.9 137.7 159.7 149.8 54.6 1,169.3 156.3 181.7 293.7 150.9 168.8 162.3 55.6 1,231.7 170.4 176.7 304.8 183.2 173.2 165.7 57.8 1,274.9 178.2 163.6 314.1 200.5 186.4 172.1 60.1 Less imputed banking charges -108.2 -110.0 -115.2 -123.7 -150.7 -149.7 (Annual percentage change) Gross domestic product 0.6 3.5 3.8 4.4 4.9 1.7 4.2 4.4 59.8 -34.1 -4.7 -24.2 -2.4 1.9 -14.5 -15.7 -36.3 5.7 -3.2 18.6 -3.3 0.2 -2.8 -2.9 17.7 -20.8 2.0 -23.4 -3.4 -1.9 -22.8 -24.7 -37.2 -27.9 2.2 -6.8 -3.6 -3.9 10.9 9.8 11.4 9.7 -9.7 24.1 -2.8 19.8 2.3 0.8 -3.4 7.6 1.8 2.3 -3.8 13.1 Secondary sector Manufacturing Construction Electricity, gas, and water -1.2 5.5 -4.8 -2.5 2.5 4.4 1.6 1.9 0.0 -3.0 1.0 1.9 6.4 16.3 12.5 -13.4 6.1 6.7 13.2 -8.7 -1.8 1.7 -10.3 12.7 Services Wholesale and retail trade Hotels and restaurants Transport and communications Banking and insurance Real estate and housing Government services Other services 0.9 1.2 -0.6 1.7 1.2 2.4 -1.6 1.8 4.9 7.8 16.6 4.4 2.0 3.3 -2.1 0.0 4.9 8.4 5.9 5.2 4.5 3.3 4.1 0.6 6.8 5.8 6.3 6.8 9.6 5.7 8.4 1.9 5.3 9.0 -2.7 3.8 21.4 2.6 2.1 3.9 3.5 4.6 -7.4 3.1 9.4 7.6 3.8 4.0 Less imputed banking charges 1.9 1.5 5.0 10.2 18.0 11.0 Primary sector Agriculture Bananas Other crops Livestock Fishing Forestry Mining and quarrying Sources: Statistics Department of the Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 5 Table 2. St. Lucia: GDP by Economic Activity at Current Factor Cost 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Prel. 2007 ( In millions of current Eastern Caribbean dollars ) Gross domestic product 1,601.3 1,680.2 1,787.5 1,924.3 2,066.2 2,111.4 Primary sector Agriculture Bananas Other crops Livestock Fishing Forestry Mining and quarrying 100.2 94.2 40.5 18.6 12.3 21.6 1.2 6.0 91.0 85.0 32.3 22.4 9.5 19.6 1.1 6.0 97.7 91.8 40.6 20.6 9.7 19.7 1.1 5.9 80.6 75.0 27.2 17.3 11.1 18.3 1.1 5.7 85.2 78.4 30.6 14.0 10.1 22.7 1.0 6.8 88.3 80.5 30.0 16.0 10.2 23.2 1.1 7.7 Secondary sector Manufacturing Construction Electricity, gas, and water 279.3 78.7 118.4 82.2 290.8 87.6 114.0 89.2 315.6 96.8 119.0 99.8 365.4 116.6 150.8 98.0 412.7 129.1 187.5 96.1 398.1 137.4 169.2 91.5 Services Wholesale and retail trade Hotels and restaurants Transport and communications Banking and insurance Real estate and housing Government services Other services 1,348.6 178.4 199.6 326.2 160.5 156.3 247.3 80.3 1,433.6 195.2 235.2 341.6 169.6 161.8 248.1 82.1 1,519.2 215.3 252.6 358.8 178.9 167.4 261.2 85.0 1,637.3 239.6 279.1 383.9 194.6 172.3 282.1 85.7 1,745.9 268.1 281.2 398.4 217.9 188.8 302.4 89.2 1,812.7 294.4 267.6 415.2 230.3 215.7 297.9 91.6 Less imputed banking charges 126.8 135.3 144.9 159.0 177.6 187.7 (In percent of GDP) Gross domestic product 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 6.3 5.9 2.5 1.2 0.8 1.4 0.1 0.4 5.4 5.1 1.9 1.3 0.6 1.2 0.1 0.4 5.5 5.1 2.3 1.2 0.5 1.1 0.1 0.3 4.2 3.9 1.4 0.9 0.6 1.0 0.1 0.3 4.1 3.8 1.5 0.7 0.5 1.1 0.0 0.3 4.2 3.8 1.4 0.8 0.5 1.1 0.1 0.4 Secondary sector Manufacturing Construction Electricity, gas, and water 17.4 4.9 7.4 5.1 17.3 5.2 6.8 5.3 17.7 5.4 6.7 5.6 19.0 6.1 7.8 5.1 20.0 6.2 9.1 4.6 18.9 6.5 8.0 4.3 Services Wholesale and retail trade Hotels and restaurants Transport and communications Banking and insurance Real estate and housing Government services Other services 84.2 11.1 12.5 20.4 10.0 9.8 15.4 5.0 85.3 11.6 14.0 20.3 10.1 9.6 14.8 4.9 85.0 12.0 14.1 20.1 10.0 9.4 14.6 4.8 85.1 12.5 14.5 19.9 10.1 9.0 14.7 4.5 84.5 13.0 13.6 19.3 10.5 9.1 14.6 4.3 85.9 13.9 12.7 19.7 10.9 10.2 14.1 4.3 Less imputed banking charges 7.9 8.1 8.1 8.3 8.6 8.9 Primary sector Agriculture Bananas Other crops Livestock Fishing Forestry Mining and quarrying Sources: Statistics Department of the Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 6 Table 3. St. Lucia: Expenditure on GDP at Current Prices 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Prel. 2007 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) Consumption Public sector 1/ Private sector 1,708.3 381.6 1,326.7 1,806.2 400.0 1,406.2 1,798.8 409.7 1,389.2 2,067.5 431.1 1,636.4 2,249.3 458.2 1,791.2 2,283.6 483.8 1,799.8 415.9 175.9 240.0 408.4 156.6 251.8 451.8 154.9 296.9 551.2 220.4 330.8 906.2 269.6 636.6 933.0 246.8 686.3 Gross domestic expenditure 2,124.2 2,214.6 2,250.6 2,618.7 3,155.5 3,216.6 Balance of goods and nonfactor services Exports of goods and nonfactor services Imports of goods and nonfactor services -220.7 861.9 1,082.6 -195.3 1,154.7 1,350.0 -87.6 1,250.9 1,338.5 -244.6 1,347.9 1,592.5 -635.7 1,226.9 1,862.6 -624.9 1,314.6 1,939.5 GDP at market prices 1,903.5 2,019.3 2,163.0 2,374.1 2,519.8 2,591.7 302.2 339.1 375.5 449.8 453.6 480.3 1,601.3 1,680.2 1,787.5 1,924.3 2,066.2 2,111.4 -98.1 -137.3 -186.3 -195.8 -145.7 -162.4 1,805.4 1,882.0 1,976.8 2,178.4 2,374.1 2,429.3 Gross domestic investment Public sector 1/ Private sector Net indirect taxes GDP at factor cost Net factor income GNP at market prices (In percent of GDP at market price) Consumption Public sector 1/ Private sector Gross domestic investment Public sector 1/ Private sector 89.7 20.0 69.7 21.8 9.2 12.6 89.4 19.8 69.6 20.2 7.8 12.5 83.2 18.9 64.2 20.9 7.2 13.7 87.1 18.2 68.9 23.2 9.3 13.9 89.3 18.2 71.1 36.0 10.7 25.3 90.6 19.2 71.4 36.0 9.5 26.5 Gross domestic expenditure 111.6 109.7 104.0 110.3 125.2 124.1 Balance of goods and nonfactor services Exports of goods and nonfactor services Imports of goods and nonfactor services -11.6 45.3 56.9 -9.7 57.2 66.9 -4.0 57.8 61.9 -10.3 56.8 67.1 -25.2 48.7 73.9 -24.1 50.7 74.8 GDP at market price 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Net indirect taxes 15.9 16.8 17.4 18.9 18.0 18.5 GDP at factor cost 84.1 83.2 82.6 81.1 82.0 81.5 2.9 6.1 7.1 9.8 6.1 2.9 Memorandum item: GDP at market price (Annual percentage change) Sources: Statistics Department of the Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ The figure covers only the central government. 7 Table 4. St. Lucia: Saving and Investment 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Prel. 2007 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) 129.7 110.6 215.5 145.9 157.1 178.2 Public 1/ Gross national saving 36.2 83.3 71.4 74.6 120.6 176.0 Private 93.5 27.2 144.1 71.2 36.5 2.2 External saving 286.1 297.8 236.3 405.4 749.1 754.8 Total saving 415.9 408.4 451.8 551.2 906.2 933.0 933.0 Gross domestic investment 415.9 408.4 451.8 551.2 906.2 Public sector 1/ 175.9 156.6 154.9 220.4 269.6 246.8 Private sector 240.0 251.8 296.9 330.8 636.6 686.3 6.9 (In percent of GDP) Gross national saving 6.8 5.5 10.0 6.1 6.2 Public 1/ 1.9 4.1 3.3 3.1 4.8 6.8 Private 4.9 1.3 6.7 3.0 1.4 0.1 External saving 15.0 14.7 10.9 17.1 29.7 29.1 Total saving 21.8 20.2 20.9 23.2 36.0 36.0 Gross domestic investment 21.8 20.2 20.9 23.2 36.0 36.0 9.2 7.8 7.2 9.3 10.7 9.5 12.6 12.5 13.7 13.9 25.3 26.5 Public sector 1/ Private sector Sources: Statistics Department of the Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ This figure covers the central government only. Table 5. St. Lucia: Selected Data on the Banana Industry 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Banana production (000 tons) Banana exports (000 tons) 48.2 48.2 34.0 34.0 42.3 42.3 30.0 30.0 34.0 34.0 30.3 30.3 Banana export receipts (In millions of EC$) 58.6 43.6 54.3 41.5 48.1 43.7 451.6 475.0 471.1 512.0 523.9 533.2 2.2 14.8 3.8 2.5 20.9 4.3 1.7 17.3 3.1 1.9 15.2 3.9 1.7 11.9 2.3 Export unit price (In US$/000 tons) (In percent) 8 Memorandum items: Banana exports/GDP Banana exports/merchandise exports Banana exports/exports of goods and nonfactor services 3.1 31.3 6.8 Sources: Windward Islands Banana Development and Export Company (WIBDECO); and Fund staff estimates. 9 Table 6. St. Lucia: Selected Industrial Production (Values in thousands of Eastern Caribbean dollars; quantity as indicated) 2002 Copra Value Tons 2003 2004 2005 2006 Prel. 2007 1,138 1,270 1,365 1,535 1,103 1,094 820 714 967 776 792 644 734 264 576 205 1,434 517 1,215 400 1,135 439 999 360 2,040 572 2,553 731 2,170 609 965 271 1,119 356 1,595 447 145 330 189 429 130 649 91 453 100 499 89 390 Food, beverages, and tobacco Value 60,053 64,261 69,099 78,015 82,475 81,005 Paper products and cardboard boxes Value Quantity (000's) 21,206 14,069 20,040 10,260 20,661 10,742 19,713 9,763 21,560 11,352 21,253 10,341 Electrical products Value Quantity (000's) 25,369 20,822 18,477 13,942 24,529 14,655 28,279 11,890 28,083 10,916 31,489 10,798 1,465 17 1,011 12 1,039 16 886 15 787 18 839 14 Unrefined coconut oil Value Liters (000's) Refined coconut oil Value Liters (000's) Coconut meal Value Kgs. (000's) Wearing apparel Value Doz. Pcs. (000's) Source: Statistics Department of the Ministry of Finance. 10 Table 7. St. Lucia: Consumer Price Index (April 1984 = 100) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 180.1 178.5 159.4 248.9 137.2 140.4 191.9 248.7 182.5 301.6 157.0 187.1 191.1 161.8 248.9 137.2 151.2 191.9 249.4 188.0 304.3 158.4 193.8 199.9 176.1 248.9 137.4 158.9 195.0 264.0 195.4 308.0 167.3 199.2 209.5 182.8 248.9 137.6 165.0 196.9 261.1 198.7 309.7 169.1 1.5 0.8 0.1 5.0 0.0 3.5 4.2 5.3 -1.1 1.0 2.0 3.9 7.1 1.5 0.0 0.0 7.7 0.0 0.3 3.0 0.9 0.9 3.6 4.6 8.8 0.0 0.1 5.1 1.6 5.8 3.9 1.2 5.6 2.8 4.8 3.8 0.0 0.2 3.8 1.0 -1.1 1.7 0.5 1.1 183.4 184.6 160.6 248.9 137.2 145.0 191.9 249.2 184.7 303.2 157.7 192.9 201.9 161.8 248.9 137.3 153.8 191.9 249.5 196.6 305.6 158.6 194.2 200.4 176.1 248.9 137.5 155.5 195.2 264.4 197.9 309.2 168.8 207.4 224.8 183.7 248.9 137.6 180.4 196.4 260.9 199.1 310.4 172.3 3.5 4.2 0.9 5.0 0.0 7.4 4.2 5.1 2.8 1.6 2.0 5.2 9.4 0.7 0.0 0.1 6.1 0.0 0.1 6.4 0.8 0.6 0.7 -0.7 8.8 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.7 6.0 0.7 1.2 6.4 6.8 12.2 4.3 0.0 0.1 16.0 0.6 -1.3 0.6 0.4 2.1 (Period averages) All items Food Beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear Housing Fuel and light Furniture, household equipment Health care Transport and communication Recreation and education Miscellaneous goods and services 175.6 173.4 157.0 237.0 137.2 131.7 185.2 239.8 184.2 299.4 154.4 177.5 177.0 159.2 237.0 137.2 135.6 184.1 236.1 184.5 298.5 153.9 (Annual percentage change) All items Food Beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear Housing Fuel and light Furniture, household equipment Health care Transport and communication Recreation and education Miscellaneous goods and services -0.3 -1.2 2.6 0.0 -0.1 -1.6 -1.2 6.5 3.6 -0.1 0.7 1.0 2.1 1.4 0.0 0.0 3.0 -0.6 -1.5 0.2 -0.3 -0.3 (End of period) All items Food Beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear Housing Fuel and light Furniture, household equipment Health care Transport and communication Recreation and education Miscellaneous goods and services 176.3 174.0 158.9 237.0 137.3 134.1 184.1 246.7 188.5 298.1 153.1 177.2 177.1 159.2 237.0 137.2 135.0 184.1 237.0 179.6 298.5 154.6 (Percentage change during year) All items Food Beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear Housing Fuel and light Furniture, household equipment Health care Transport and communication Recreation and education Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Department of Ministry of Finance. -0.7 -1.8 2.3 0.0 0.0 3.1 -1.8 -1.0 5.4 -0.6 -1.6 0.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 -0.1 0.7 0.0 -3.9 -4.7 0.1 1.0 11 Table 8. St. Lucia: Operations of the Central Government 1/ (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 Prel. 2007/08 Total revenue and grants 497.7 538.3 564.1 615.9 682.6 744.3 Current revenue 441.5 496.7 563.3 609.3 675.3 740.2 Tax revenue Taxes on income and profits Taxes on property Taxes on goods and services Consumption taxes Imports Domestic goods Hotel occupancy tax Excises Other Taxes on international trade Of which Import duties Service charge (imports) 405.4 105.4 4.4 173.7 112.7 107.8 4.9 19.5 6.3 35.2 120.8 452.9 110.0 3.8 194.8 121.0 114.4 6.6 22.2 7.2 44.4 144.4 518.6 132.4 3.7 210.0 123.5 117.2 6.3 26.3 7.6 52.7 172.6 566.7 156.6 5.8 198.6 115.2 104.2 8.2 29.4 6.4 47.6 205.7 619.8 160.1 4.2 217.2 123.0 111.5 8.1 29.5 3.9 60.8 238.4 685.2 196.4 5.2 237.7 125.7 112.2 9.8 33.5 2.6 76.0 246.0 57.4 30.2 69.4 39.3 75.3 46.4 90.1 52.2 98.4 65.4 107.0 64.8 Nontax revenue 36.2 43.8 44.6 42.7 55.5 54.9 Capital revenue 19.9 8.6 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.0 Capital grants 36.3 32.9 0.0 6.0 6.6 4.1 Total expenditure and net lending 637.3 611.5 647.7 761.7 831.7 815.0 Current expenditure Wages and salaries NIS contributions and retirement Goods and services Transfers Interest payments Domestic External 433.6 211.6 34.3 72.8 68.4 46.6 21.9 24.7 460.0 229.9 35.2 78.0 60.2 56.6 20.2 36.4 479.8 221.3 38.2 90.4 62.9 66.9 22.2 44.8 513.3 233.7 43.3 96.1 67.2 73.0 24.1 48.9 551.4 250.9 46.3 101.5 68.5 84.3 27.7 56.6 585.0 264.7 48.1 111.5 67.8 92.9 30.7 62.3 Capital expenditure and net lending 197.5 136.1 164.3 248.4 280.3 230.0 7.9 36.8 83.5 96.0 123.9 155.1 Overall balance before grants -176.0 -106.2 -83.5 -151.8 -155.7 -74.9 Overall balance after grants -139.7 -73.3 -83.5 -145.8 -149.0 -70.7 Primary balance -93.1 -16.7 -16.6 -72.7 -64.8 22.2 Financing External Domestic Privatization receipts 159.5 -55.4 195.1 19.9 73.3 54.2 10.4 8.6 90.1 135.4 -45.4 0.0 157.0 116.7 40.3 0.0 151.0 58.5 92.5 0.0 89.3 -22.6 112.0 0.0 Statistical discrepancy -19.9 0.0 -6.5 -11.3 -1.9 -18.6 0.0 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Current balance Exceptional financing Sources: Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Data are for fiscal years beginning April 1. 12 Table 9. St. Lucia: Operations of the Central Government 1/ (In percent of GDP) 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 Prel. 2007/08 Total revenue and grants 25.8 26.2 25.5 25.6 26.9 28.2 Current revenue 22.8 24.2 25.4 25.3 26.6 28.0 Tax revenue Taxes on income and profits Taxes on property Taxes on goods and services Consumption taxes Imports Domestic goods Hotel occupancy tax Excises Other Taxes on international trade Of which Import duties Service charge (imports) 21.0 5.5 0.2 9.0 5.8 5.6 0.3 1.0 0.3 1.8 6.3 22.0 5.4 0.2 9.5 5.9 5.6 0.3 1.1 0.3 2.2 7.0 23.4 6.0 0.2 9.5 5.6 5.3 0.3 1.2 0.3 2.4 7.8 23.5 6.5 0.2 8.2 4.8 4.3 0.3 1.2 0.3 2.0 8.5 24.4 6.3 0.2 8.6 4.8 4.4 0.3 1.2 0.2 2.4 9.4 26.0 7.4 0.2 9.0 4.8 4.3 0.4 1.3 0.1 2.9 9.3 3.0 1.6 3.4 1.9 3.4 2.1 3.7 2.2 3.9 2.6 4.1 2.5 Nontax revenue 1.9 2.1 2.0 1.8 2.2 2.1 Capital revenue 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Capital grants 1.9 1.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 Total expenditure and net lending 33.0 29.8 29.2 31.6 32.8 30.9 Current expenditure Wages and salaries NIS contributions and retirement Goods and services Transfers Interest payments Domestic External 22.4 11.0 1.8 3.8 3.5 2.4 1.1 1.3 22.4 11.2 1.7 3.8 2.9 2.8 1.0 1.8 21.7 10.0 1.7 4.1 2.8 3.0 1.0 2.0 21.3 9.7 1.8 4.0 2.8 3.0 1.0 2.0 21.7 9.9 1.8 4.0 2.7 3.3 1.1 2.2 22.2 10.0 1.8 4.2 2.6 3.5 1.2 2.4 Capital expenditure and net lending 10.2 6.6 7.4 10.3 11.0 8.7 Current balance Overall balance before grants 0.4 1.8 3.8 4.0 4.9 5.9 -9.1 -5.2 -3.8 -6.3 -6.1 -2.8 Overall balance after grants -7.2 -3.6 -3.8 -6.0 -5.9 -2.7 Primary balance -4.8 -0.8 -0.7 -3.0 -2.6 0.8 Financing External Domestic Privatization receipts 8.3 -2.9 10.1 1.0 3.6 2.6 0.5 0.4 4.1 6.1 -2.0 0.0 6.5 4.8 1.7 0.0 5.9 2.3 3.6 0.0 3.4 -0.9 4.2 0.0 Statistical discrepancy -1.0 0.0 -0.3 -0.5 -0.1 -0.7 Exceptional financing 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1,932 2,055 2,216 2,411 2,538 2,639 Memorandum item: Nominal GDP (in millions of EC$) Sources: Ministry of Finance; and Fund Staff estimates. 1/ Data are for fiscal years beginning April 1. 13 Table 10. St. Lucia: Monetary Survey 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) Net foreign assets Net imputed reserves (ECCB) Commercial banks' net foreign assets 109.8 248.1 -138.3 335.2 282.6 52.5 318.7 351.5 -32.9 99.9 308.3 -208.5 117.6 356.9 -239.3 -47.7 408.2 -455.9 Net domestic assets 1,163.5 1,035.2 1,190.5 1,611.9 1,938.6 2,230.9 Net credit to the public sector Central government Nonfinancial public enterprises Credit to private sector Other 1/ -255.2 -96.3 -158.9 1,553.5 -102.0 -290.8 -104.4 -186.4 1,498.2 -132.9 -324.7 -130.7 -194.0 1,650.6 -100.0 -275.9 -90.7 -185.2 1,917.3 8.3 -246.8 -32.0 -214.8 2,386.8 -161.1 -226.2 17.2 -243.4 3,090.8 -592.5 Money plus quasi-money (M2) Money Quasi-money 1,273.3 287.6 985.7 1,370.4 343.1 1,027.3 1,509.2 481.3 1,027.8 1,711.8 547.3 1,164.5 2,056.2 560.7 1,495.5 2,183.2 639.0 1,544.2 (12-month change in percent of M2 at the beginning of the period) Net foreign assets Net domestic assets Net credit to the public sector Central government Nonfinancial public enterprises Credit to private sector Other -0.6 17.7 -1.2 -14.5 1.0 -8.0 3.8 -10.1 11.3 27.9 19.1 14.2 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.9 -0.2 -2.8 -0.6 -0.5 -4.3 -2.4 -2.5 -1.9 0.3 11.1 2.4 3.2 2.7 -0.1 17.7 7.2 1.7 3.4 -0.1 27.4 -9.9 1.0 2.4 0.0 34.2 -21.0 10.2 10.1 40.3 0.1 16.2 13.4 13.7 13.3 24.5 20.1 2.4 28.4 29.5 6.2 14.0 3.3 (12-months percentage change) Credit to the private sector Money plus quasi-money Money Quasi-money Source: Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB). 1/ Includes intra-banking system float. 0.8 3.2 1.3 3.7 -3.6 7.6 19.3 4.2 14 Table 11. St. Lucia: Summary Operations of the Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 248.1 282.6 351.5 308.3 356.9 408.2 Net claims on commercial banks -167.6 -190.7 -238.6 -191.9 -210.5 -237.0 Claims Liabilities Currency (ECCB notes and coins) Statutory reserves and deposits Current Deposits 0.0 -167.6 -40.8 -126 -1 0.0 -190.8 -41.0 -150 0 0.0 -238.7 -41.3 -197 0 0.0 -192.0 -55.3 -137 0 0.0 -210.6 -52.7 -158 0 0.0 -237.0 -59.1 -178 0 Net claims on statutory bodies 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net domestic assets Net credit to central government Short-term credit Temporary advances Treasury bills Debentures Other claims Central-government deposits Other items net 3.1 -1.9 -5.0 3.3 0.2 5.0 2.2 -7.7 5.0 -0.6 -4.6 -4.0 2.9 0.2 5.0 1.1 -9.8 4.0 -13.8 -16.7 -3.0 3.9 0.2 5.0 0.0 -22.9 3.0 -10.0 -12.0 -2.0 4.2 0.0 5.0 0.0 -19.2 2.0 -19.8 -20.8 -1.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -26.8 1.0 -43.2 -43.2 0.0 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 -54.3 0.0 83.6 124.4 -40.8 91.3 132.3 -41.0 99.2 140.5 -41.3 106.4 161.7 -55.3 126.6 179.3 -52.7 128.0 187.1 -59.1 Net (imputed) international reserves 1/ Currency in circulation Total currency issued Less: Currency held by banks Source: Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB). 1/ Share of St. Lucia in the international reserves of the ECCB, calculated as the difference between liabilities to the private sector and net claims on commercial banks and government. 15 Table 12. St. Lucia: Consolidated Accounts of the Commercial Banks (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Net foreign assets -138.3 52.5 -32.9 -208.5 -239.3 -455.9 Foreign assets Foreign currency holdings Claims on ECCB area banks Claims on banks abroad Other 1/ Foreign liabilities Balances due to ECCB area banks Balances due to banks abroad Nonresident deposits Other 232.6 10.5 78.9 47.1 96.1 -370.9 -49.4 -94.7 -147.2 -79.7 428.8 10.5 184.7 97.7 135.9 -376.3 -18.0 -124.2 -145.3 -88.7 444.4 8.9 95.2 115.4 224.9 -477.2 -102.7 -116.4 -169.3 -88.8 492.3 12.7 70.9 80.4 328.3 -700.8 -248.6 -179.3 -187.6 -85.3 815.2 11.0 295.9 176.6 331.6 -1,054.5 -366.1 -331.8 -264.4 -92.1 1,070.6 18.1 481.2 118.7 452.7 -1,526.6 -704.1 -418.1 -290.9 -113.4 Net position with ECCB 172.8 190.1 240.6 188.5 198.6 190.1 Net claims on ECCB Currency holdings Current deposits Fixed deposits and call accounts Liabilities to ECCB 173.9 40.8 112.4 20.7 -1.0 194.1 41.0 120.4 32.7 -4.1 240.6 41.3 198.1 1.1 0.0 198.6 55.3 142.1 1.1 -10.2 204.4 52.7 149.1 1.1 -5.8 207.3 59.1 147.1 1.1 -17.2 Net domestic assets 1,155.2 1,036.5 1,202.3 1,625.4 1,970.3 2,321.0 Net credit to government Treasury bills Other securities Loans and advances Deposits Net credit to National Insurance Scheme Net credit to public enterprises Loans, advances, and investments Deposits Net credit to other financial institutions Loans, advances, and investments Deposits Credit to private sector Interbank float Claims Liabilities -99.4 20.3 52.2 70.1 -242.1 -174.3 15.5 65.3 -49.8 -32.7 28.3 -61.0 1,553.5 1.7 28.1 -26.5 -103.8 28.1 71.1 31.8 -234.8 -229.5 43.1 96.0 -52.9 -39.3 31.7 -71.0 1,498.2 0.9 18.7 -17.9 -117.0 11.3 132.0 34.2 -294.6 -240.9 46.9 99.9 -52.9 -35.4 30.8 -66.2 1,650.6 4.0 17.4 -13.4 -80.6 32.2 179.2 58.4 -350.5 -248.2 62.9 120.0 -57.0 -37.8 36.8 -74.5 1,917.3 6.8 22.7 -15.9 -12.2 23.8 172.4 87.5 -295.8 -264.2 49.4 116.1 -66.7 -40.4 37.2 -77.6 2,386.8 5.2 23.7 -18.5 60.4 12.8 174.2 152.3 -278.9 -291.7 48.3 112.4 -64.2 -41.3 38.1 -79.4 3,090.8 11.9 28.0 -16.1 -108.9 -133.0 -105.9 5.0 -154.4 -557.4 1,189.7 204.0 652.3 309.6 23.8 1,279.1 251.8 755.2 240.2 31.9 1,410.0 382.2 810.4 178.7 38.7 1,605.4 440.9 916.3 185.9 62.2 1,929.6 434.1 1,064.9 222.7 207.9 2,055.2 510.9 1,150.8 283.3 110.2 Net unclassified assets Liabilities to the private sector 2/ Demand deposits Saving deposits Time deposits Foreign currency deposits Sources: Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB); and Fund staff projections. 1/ Includes financial instrument issued by and loans to nonbank residents of countries ouside ECCB territory. 2/ Private sector includes nonbank financial institutions. 16 Table 13. St. Lucia: Distribution of Commercial Bank Loans and Advances 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 (In millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars at end of period) Total 1,721.2 1,721.1 1,807.7 2,174.6 2,732.7 3,510.8 Public sector Government and public enterprises, n.i.e. Public utilities 149.9 112.3 37.5 89.8 67.5 22.3 124.2 102.5 21.7 170.6 149.9 20.7 197.4 154.9 42.5 330.1 215.7 114.3 Businesses Agriculture and fisheries Manufacturing and mining Distributive trades Tourism and entertainment Transport Construction and land development Professional and other services Financial institutions 813.2 34.9 56.9 214.0 212.2 33.2 110.9 135.9 15.2 766.6 34.51 54.2 197.8 198.8 28.0 101.4 125.0 26.9 849.3 33.4 106.9 195.2 161.7 24.0 108.5 202.4 17.2 1,046.4 31.5 59.9 227.7 293.8 50.2 121.8 218.5 43.1 1507.2 30.5 67.3 236.2 506.0 88.8 166.4 370.0 42.0 2031.3 35.9 62.3 239.4 793.9 112.4 244.0 505.7 37.8 Households House and land purchases Durable consumer goods Other personal loans 758.1 325.7 63.9 368.6 864.7 408.6 64.8 391.3 834.3 413.4 80.5 340.4 957.6 465.0 109.7 382.9 1,028.2 503.3 138.9 386.0 1,149.4 513.1 187.9 448.4 (In percent of total) Public sector Government and public enterprises, n.i.e. Public utilities 8.7 6.5 2.2 5.2 3.9 1.3 6.9 5.7 1.2 7.8 6.9 1.0 7.2 5.7 1.6 9.4 6.1 3.3 Businesses Agriculture and fisheries Manufacturing and mining Distributive trades Tourism and entertainment Transport Construction and land development Professional and other services Financial institutions 47.2 2.0 3.3 12.4 12.3 1.9 6.4 7.9 0.9 44.5 2.0 3.2 11.5 11.5 1.6 5.9 7.3 1.6 47.0 1.8 5.9 10.8 8.9 1.3 6.0 11.2 1.0 48.1 1.4 2.8 10.5 13.5 2.3 5.6 10.0 2.0 55.2 1.1 2.5 8.6 18.5 3.3 6.1 13.5 1.5 57.9 1.0 1.8 6.8 22.6 3.2 6.9 14.4 1.1 Households House and land purchases Durable consumer goods Other personal loans 44.0 18.9 3.7 21.4 50.2 23.7 3.8 22.7 46.1 22.9 4.5 18.8 44.0 21.4 5.0 17.6 37.6 18.4 5.1 14.1 32.7 14.6 5.4 12.8 Source: Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB). 17 Table 14. St. Lucia: Summary Balance of Payments 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Prel. 2007 (In millions of U.S. dollars) Current account Trade balance Exports, f.o.b. Imports, f.o.b. Services (net) Receipts Travel Other nonfactor services Factor services Payments Travel Other nonfactor services Factor services Of which Public interest payments Current transfers (net) Capital and financial account Capital transfers (net) Official borrowing (net) Central government loan drawings Central government loan amortization Other (net) Private capital Private long-term (net) Of which Direct investment (net) Commercial banks Other short term capital (net) Overall balance Financing (increase -) Change in SDR holdings Change in government foreign assets Change in imputed reserves (increase -) -106.0 -202.6 69.3 -271.9 84.5 253.5 210.0 39.9 3.6 169.0 33.7 95.3 39.9 -110.3 -245.7 109.3 -355.1 122.6 323.2 282.1 36.2 4.9 200.6 35.7 109.3 55.7 -87.5 -251.8 96.2 -348.0 150.4 373.3 325.7 41.5 6.2 222.9 36.8 110.9 75.2 -150.1 -329.3 88.8 -418.1 166.2 418.6 356.0 54.5 8.1 252.3 38.9 132.8 80.6 -277.4 -403.6 117.4 -521.0 114.2 347.5 287.5 49.6 10.4 233.3 39.3 129.5 64.4 -279.6 -405.9 135.9 -541.8 114.3 357.2 299.4 51.6 6.2 242.9 41.4 135.2 66.4 11.0 12.1 17.0 12.9 18.0 13.9 17.2 13.0 19.7 12.0 23.0 12.0 126.0 19.7 41.5 0.4 15.4 24.2 64.8 57.2 145.9 17.1 72.4 0.4 26.8 31.0 56.4 129.2 101.0 3.5 24.4 0.5 9.0 16.5 73.2 53.2 139.7 5.3 43.2 0.5 16.0 21.6 91.1 66.5 321.8 11.4 21.7 0.5 8.0 13.7 288.7 224.3 303.5 5.8 -8.4 0.5 -3.1 16.8 306.1 225.9 51.9 7.6 0.0 106.4 -72.8 0.0 76.5 20.0 0.0 78.2 24.6 0.0 233.9 64.4 0.0 233.9 80.2 0.0 5.8 18.3 26.8 -15.3 13.4 19.0 -5.8 0.0 -1.0 -4.8 -18.3 0.0 -5.5 -12.8 -26.8 0.0 -1.3 -25.5 15.3 0.0 -0.7 16.0 -13.4 0.0 4.6 -18.0 -19.0 0.0 0.0 -19.0 -10.9 12.6 -17.1 15.9 -29.7 34.5 -29.1 31.6 (In percent of GDP) Current account Capital and financial account -15.0 17.9 -14.7 19.5 Sources: St. Lucian authorities; Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB); and Fund staff estimates. 18 Table 15. St. Lucia: Value, Volume, and Unit Value of Major Exports 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Prel. 2007 (In thousands of U.S. dollars) Total goods exports Domestic exports Re-exports Repairs and goods procured in ports 69,342 42,937 19,120 7,285 109,333 38,830 60,780 9,722 96,163 45,141 34,489 16,532 88,773 43,729 20,431 24,612 117,355 51,960 41,054 24,341 135,929 55,122 55,217 25,589 Domestic exports (SITC categories) Food and live animals Beverages and tobacco Crude materials (except fuel) Minerals, fuel, lubricants and related materials Animal and vegetable oils and fats Chemicals and related products Manufactured goods classified chiefly by materials Machinery and transport equipment Miscellaneous manufactured articles Other, and statistical discrepancy 42,937 23,584 8,626 213 0 49 366 4,010 2,967 3,115 7 38,830 17,809 10,640 412 0 5 394 3,592 2,966 3,011 2 45,141 21,216 11,710 1,011 0 76 1,414 4,237 2,923 2,548 6 43,729 20,819 11,711 567 0 0 899 4,237 2,880 2,548 69 51,960 19,242 15,084 1,142 0 0 1,186 5,308 8,614 1,323 62 55,122 17,453 19,460 1,816 0 47 1,767 5,282 7,421 1,684 191 (Value change in percent) Total goods exports Domestic exports Bananas Memorandum item: Bananas exports ('000s U.S. dollars) 27.8 15.6 42.4 3.6 -9.0 -25.7 -12.0 16.3 24.7 -7.7 -3.1 -23.7 32.2 18.8 15.9 21,707 16,136 20,125 15,370 17,815 Sources: Statistics Department; St. Lucia Banana Growers Association, Windward Islands Banana Development and Exporting Company (WIBDECO); and Fund staff estimates. 15.8 6.1 -9.2 16,167 19 Table 16. St. Lucia: Merchandise Imports by SITC Category 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Prel. 2007 (In millions of U.S. dollars) Total imports, c.i.f. Food Beverages and tobacco 314.8 62.6 12.0 403.5 75.6 15.3 421.4 83.7 16.9 482.4 86.7 17.7 592.0 94.6 20.5 615.7 96.8 26.5 Crude materials Fuels Oils and fats 8.0 31.0 0.4 8.9 45.7 0.8 10.1 54.8 1.0 13.3 67.0 1.5 16.3 76.3 1.5 12.5 130.6 1.6 Chemicals Manufactured goods 26.4 53.2 29.4 61.4 33.2 68.0 35.7 75.6 40.6 105.0 36.6 77.1 Machinery and transport equipment Miscellaneous manufactured articles 72.3 49.0 105.7 60.7 85.1 68.4 106.7 77.9 153.2 83.9 152.7 81.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 Miscellaneous (In percent of total) 100.0 19.9 100.0 18.7 100.0 18.8 100.0 18.0 100.0 16.0 100.0 15.7 Beverages and tobacco Crude materials Fuels 3.8 2.5 9.9 3.8 2.2 11.3 3.8 2.3 17.3 3.7 2.7 13.9 3.5 2.8 12.9 4.3 2.0 21.2 Oils and fats Chemicals 0.1 8.4 0.2 7.3 0.2 7.5 0.3 7.4 0.2 6.9 0.3 5.9 16.9 23.0 15.6 15.2 26.2 15.0 15.3 19.3 15.5 15.7 22.1 16.1 17.7 25.9 14.2 12.5 24.8 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 44.7 28.2 53.9 4.4 52.6 14.5 54.9 22.7 63.4 4.0 64.1 Total imports, c.i.f. Food Manufactured goods Machinery and transport equipment Miscellaneous manufactured articles Miscellaneous Memorandum items: Total imports, c.i.f. Percent change Ratio to GDP (percent) Sources: Statistics Department of the Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 20 Table 17. St. Lucia: Imports and Prices of Petroleum Products (Values and taxes in millions of Eastern Caribbean dollars, quantities in millions of imperial gallons, and prices in Eastern Caribbean dollar per imperial gallon; unless otherwise indicated) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Gasoline Value of imports for domestic use Domestic value Domestic volume Volume of duty-free and re-exports Retail price Consumption tax collected 26.9 93.6 12.0 0.2 7.8 35.2 31.5 94.4 12.1 0.1 7.8 25.1 60.4 102.0 12.0 0.1 8.5 60.4 51.3 109.3 11.5 0.3 9.5 13.0 135.9 119.7 12.6 0.2 9.5 12.9 ... ... ... ... 12.8 ... Diesel Value of imports for domestic use Domestic value Domestic volume Volume of duty-free and re-exports Retail price Consumption tax collected 4.8 16.9 2.4 1.1 7.0 6.5 11.5 34.0 4.9 1.1 7.0 6.3 … 22.6 2.9 0.3 7.8 4.5 … 23.8 2.7 0.1 8.8 2.2 5.1 41.4 4.7 18.3 8.8 2.4 ... ... ... ... 12.8 ... 284.5 305.5 309.1 323.9 331.9 345.7 89.1 86.7 12.7 96.0 93.3 91.8 13.2 107.2 95.9 95.7 13.0 104.5 98.9 101.6 12.5 110.9 101.6 103.4 13.0 113.8 104.8 106.9 15.8 118.2 Electricity consumption (millions of kwh) Of which Domestic Commercial Industrial Other and losses Sources: Ministry of Finance; Statistics Department; Eastern Caribbean Central Bank (ECCB); and LUCELEC. 21 Table 18. St. Lucia: Merchandise Trade Volumes, Unit Values and Terms of Trade 2004 2005 Prel. 2006 99.8 69.9 105.0 109.7 79.1 114.9 111.0 67.9 118.4 106.4 72.9 112.2 108.8 70.7 115.4 99.2 90.1 91.8 102.2 93.2 94.9 103.5 93.8 112.1 102.4 102.7 102.3 129.0 110.2 108.4 110.3 144.9 105.0 111.0 104.3 159.8 104.9 113.9 103.8 182.2 84.6 92.3 79.3 79.6 76.0 74.8 65.7 69.5 57.5 62.5 2003 Prel. 2007 (2000 = 100) Volumes Exports Merchandise exports 1/ Tourism 2/ Merchandise imports Unit values Exports Merchandise exports 1/ Tourism 3/ Merchandise imports Terms of trade (Excluding tourism) (Annual percentage change) Volumes Exports Merchandise exports 1/ Tourism 2/ Merchandise imports 6.1 -18.5 9.4 13.6 9.9 13.2 9.4 -9.2 1.2 -14.2 3.0 1.9 -4.2 7.5 -5.3 11.3 2.3 -3.0 2.9 -8.8 Unit values Exports Merchandise exports 1/ Tourism 3/ Merchandise imports 9.5 1.8 11.8 12.9 7.9 -0.8 9.1 15.1 7.6 5.6 7.8 12.3 -4.7 2.4 -5.5 10.3 -0.1 2.6 -0.4 14.0 Terms of trade (Excluding tourism) -3.0 -9.8 -6.3 -13.8 -4.2 -6.0 -13.6 -7.2 -12.4 -10.0 Sources: Statistical Department, Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Based on merchandise export items accounting for about 90 percent of total domestic exports. 2/ Number of tourist arrivals. 3/ Average expenditure per day of each tourist. 22 Table 19. St. Lucia: Direction of Trade (In percent of total) Export destination United Kingdom United States Canada CARICOM countries Barbados Jamaica Trinidad and Tobago OECS Dominica Grenada St. Vincent Antigua Montserrat St. Kitts and Nevis Other Origin of imports United Kingdom United States Canada Japan France Germany CARICOM countries Barbados Jamaica Trinidad and Tobago OECS Of which St. Vincent Other CARICOM Other 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Prel. 2007 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 52.2 11.4 0.2 33.5 10.9 0.3 4.1 16.7 7.2 3.7 2.4 1.7 0.2 1.5 2.8 42.6 11.4 0.4 43.3 10.9 0.5 11.1 19.0 7.1 4.4 4.5 1.2 0.1 1.8 2.4 46.0 9.2 0.2 42.7 10.4 0.1 11.8 19.1 8.4 4.3 3.4 1.7 0.1 1.3 1.9 18.9 7.4 0.3 65.4 10.0 0.1 36.1 19.2 4.7 5.8 4.1 3.1 0.2 1.3 15.2 33.6 7.7 0.1 42.9 1.2 0.0 37.4 3.7 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.0 0.5 15.8 28.1 12.7 0.2 54.8 11.8 0.3 23.5 18.0 5.2 3.4 4.4 3.5 0.0 1.4 4.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 8.5 37.5 3.8 4.5 1.0 2.0 21.7 2.8 0.8 14.4 2.6 8.6 35.7 3.3 4.1 0.9 1.6 25.3 3.0 0.9 17.0 2.9 7.7 35.1 2.1 3.3 1.2 1.4 21.6 3.3 0.9 14.2 2.2 8.7 50.0 3.1 6.1 1.9 2.0 27.3 4.1 1.1 19.1 1.5 8.8 43.8 3.5 8.0 1.9 1.9 30.8 5.6 0.9 21.4 1.4 4.6 31.9 1.8 6.3 1.0 1.1 27.5 4.2 0.8 19.9 1.8 1.3 1.1 20.9 1.2 1.5 20.6 0.7 1.1 27.5 0.8 1.5 0.1 1.2 1.5 0.1 0.8 0.9 25.7 Sources: Statistics Department of the Ministry of Finance. 23 Table 20. St. Lucia: Selected Tourism Statistics 2003 2004 2005 Prel. 2006 Prel. 2007 683,027 276,948 235,406 16,617 24,925 12,817 393,262 791,151 298,431 255,383 17,219 25,829 11,441 481,279 719,911 317,939 270,248 19,076 28,615 7,541 394,431 669,154 302,510 257,134 18,151 27,226 7,051 359,593 905,524 287,518 244,390 17,251 25,877 7,841 610,165 237.9 255.4 265.0 265.0 171.0 122.9 118.0 250.6 282.4 294.0 294.0 180.5 124.7 119.8 279.8 315.3 328.3 328.3 201.5 139.2 133.7 264.5 298.0 310.3 310.3 190.5 131.6 126.4 263.3 296.7 308.9 308.9 189.7 131.0 125.8 4.7 10.1 10.4 3.5 11.5 1.0 1.0 4.4 10.1 10.4 3.5 11.5 1.0 1.0 5.0 10.1 10.4 3.5 11.5 1.0 1.0 5.1 10.1 10.4 3.5 11.5 1.0 1.0 3.9 10.1 10.4 3.5 11.5 1.0 1.0 Visitor expenditure (millions of EC$) Stayover arrivals Hotel tourist Hotel business Private residence Excursionist Cruiseship 761.6 713.6 648.8 15.9 49.0 1.6 46.4 876.3 817.2 745.9 17.7 53.6 1.4 57.6 961.2 896.4 818.1 19.4 58.8 1.6 63.2 793.7 740.2 675.6 16.0 48.6 1.3 52.2 857.1 799.4 729.6 17.3 52.4 1.4 56.4 Total visitor expenditure In millions of U.S. dollars In percent of GDP 282.1 37.8 324.5 40.7 356.0 40.6 294.0 31.5 317.5 33.1 -9.0 6.5 -7.1 -4.9 35.3 -5.0 Total visitor arrivals Stayover arrivals Hotel tourist Hotel business Private residence Excursionist Cruiseship Average daily expenditure (EC$) Stayover arrivals Hotel tourist Hotel business Private residence Excursionist Cruiseship Average length of stay (days) Stayover arrivals Hotel tourist Hotel business Private residence Excursionist Cruiseship (In percent change) Tourist arrivals Stayover arrivals 5.3 9.3 15.8 7.8 24 Table 21. St. Lucia: Stayover Tourist Arrivals by Country of Origin 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 298.4 107.1 81.4 15.3 74.2 7.7 3.3 9.4 317.9 112.6 84.7 16.5 84.7 7.2 3.3 8.9 302.5 117.5 73.3 17.5 78.5 3.8 2.6 9.5 287.5 113.4 79.2 18.6 59.0 3.6 1.6 12.0 100.0 35.9 27.3 5.1 24.9 2.6 1.1 3.2 100.0 35.4 26.6 5.2 26.6 2.3 1.0 2.8 100.0 38.8 24.2 5.8 25.9 1.2 0.8 3.1 100.0 39.5 27.5 6.5 20.5 1.3 0.6 4.2 (Number of arrivals in thousands) Total stayover arrivals United States United Kingdom Canada Caribbean France Germany Other 253.5 94.0 63.3 12.9 66.4 3.4 3.9 9.5 276.9 98.1 75.4 13.5 70.5 6.0 5.6 7.8 (In percent of total) Total arrivals United States United Kingdom Canada Caribbean France Germany Other 100.0 37.1 25.0 5.1 26.2 1.3 1.6 3.7 100.0 35.4 27.2 4.9 25.5 2.2 2.0 2.8 Sources: Statistics Department of the Ministry of Finance; Tourism Board; and Fund staff estimates. 25 Table 22. St. Lucia: Structure of Public Debt (In millions of U.S. dollars, unless otherwise stated) 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 108.8 85.5 13.0 1.7 28.2 42.6 14.7 8.6 158.7 135.8 11.5 0.6 79.8 43.9 14.3 8.5 172.0 151.1 18.1 0.0 111.4 21.6 13.2 7.8 198.6 179.0 41.9 0.0 123.2 13.9 12.2 7.4 242.8 224.4 56.6 0.0 143.1 24.7 11.5 6.9 85.5 85.5 8.5 33.4 1.5 15.5 0.9 24.8 0.8 135.8 135.8 8.5 72.2 8.9 14.6 1.0 29.7 1.0 151.1 151.1 3.0 94.1 8.0 15.1 1.0 29.7 0.3 179.0 179.0 1.1 109.2 24.4 15.4 1.1 27.6 0.2 224.4 224.4 0.7 135.4 43.0 14.0 0.9 30.2 0.2 External debt (by debtor and creditor) Central government Bilateral Multilateral Commercial banks Of which Loans Bonds Export credit Other (bonds) Government guaranteed Bilateral Multilateral Government nonguaranteed Bilateral Multilateral Commercial banks 341.1 277.5 21.7 104.3 137.2 0.0 14.2 122.9 1.3 13.1 51.5 6.1 45.3 12.1 0.0 1.2 10.9 369.7 310.4 23.1 129.7 130.8 0.0 14.2 116.6 1.1 25.7 47.1 5.5 41.5 12.2 0.0 1.3 10.9 417.0 359.3 25.3 167.7 125.2 0.0 14.2 111.0 1.1 40.1 45.3 4.8 40.5 12.3 0.0 1.5 10.9 418.1 361.6 31.6 181.1 113.3 0.0 14.2 99.1 0.8 34.9 44.3 4.3 40.0 12.2 0.0 1.3 10.9 441.8 356.6 32.2 191.4 101.4 0.0 14.2 87.2 0.6 30.9 40.9 2.2 38.7 44.3 0.0 44.3 0.0 Central-government debt 363.0 446.2 510.4 540.6 581.0 16.4 16.4 0.0 6.3 0.0 6.3 78.3 26.9 51.4 96.0 78.3 17.7 92.3 33.9 58.4 63.8 48.6 15.2 63.3 26.4 36.9 68.6 53.4 15.2 79.1 33.7 45.4 124.0 70.2 53.8 449.9 528.3 589.0 616.7 684.6 16.4 6.3 78.3 96.0 92.3 63.8 63.3 68.6 79.1 124.0 Domestic debt (by debtor) Central government Loans Overdraft Bonds Treasury bills Government guaranteed (loans) Government nonguaranteed (loans) Domestic debt (by creditor) Central government Central bank Commercial banks Financial institutions Insurance company Public holders Social security Other 1/ Disbursements Domestic External Amortization Domestic External Total public debt Disbursements Amortization Sources: Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Includes National Savings and Development bonds and RGSM bonds. 26 Table 23. St. Lucia: Structure of Public Debt (In percent of GDP) 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 Domestic debt (by debtor) Central government Loans Overdraft Bonds Treasury bills Government guaranteed (loans) Government nonguaranteed (loans) 14.3 11.2 1.7 0.2 3.7 5.6 1.9 1.1 19.3 16.5 1.4 0.1 9.7 5.4 1.7 1.0 19.3 16.9 2.0 0.0 12.5 2.4 1.5 0.9 21.1 19.0 4.5 0.0 13.1 1.5 1.3 0.8 24.8 23.0 5.8 0.0 14.6 2.5 1.2 0.7 Domestic debt (by creditor) Central government Central bank Commercial banks Financial institutions Insurance company Public holders Social security Other 1/ 11.2 1.1 4.4 0.2 2.0 0.1 3.3 0.1 16.5 1.0 8.8 1.1 1.8 0.1 3.6 0.1 16.9 0.3 10.5 0.9 1.7 0.1 3.3 0.0 19.0 0.1 11.6 2.6 1.6 0.1 2.9 0.0 23.0 0.1 13.8 4.4 1.4 0.1 3.1 0.0 External debt (by debtor and creditor) Central government Bilateral Multilateral Commercial banks Of which Loans Bonds Export credit Other (bonds) Government guaranteed Bilateral Multilateral Government nonguaranteed Bilateral Multilateral Commercial banks 44.8 36.5 2.8 13.7 18.0 0.0 1.9 16.1 0.2 1.7 6.8 0.8 6.0 1.6 0.0 0.2 1.4 45.0 37.8 2.8 15.8 15.9 0.0 1.7 14.2 0.1 3.1 5.7 0.7 5.1 1.5 0.0 0.2 1.3 46.7 40.2 2.8 18.8 14.0 0.0 1.6 12.4 0.1 4.5 5.1 0.5 4.5 1.4 0.0 0.2 1.2 44.5 38.5 3.4 19.3 12.1 0.0 1.5 10.5 0.1 3.7 4.7 0.5 4.3 1.3 0.0 0.1 1.2 45.2 36.5 3.3 19.6 10.4 0.0 1.5 8.9 0.1 3.2 4.2 0.2 4.0 4.5 0.0 4.5 0.0 Central-government debt 47.7 54.4 57.2 57.5 59.4 2.2 2.2 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.8 9.5 3.3 6.3 11.7 9.5 2.2 10.3 3.8 6.5 7.1 5.4 1.7 6.7 2.8 3.9 7.3 5.7 1.6 8.1 3.4 4.6 12.7 7.2 5.5 59.1 64.4 66.0 65.6 70.0 2.2 0.8 9.5 11.7 10.3 7.1 6.7 7.3 8.1 12.7 2,055.2 2,215.8 2,410.6 2,537.8 2,639.5 Disbursements Domestic External Amortization Domestic External Total public debt Disbursements Amortization Memorandum item: Nominal GDP (EC$ millions) Sources: Ministry of Finance; and Fund staff estimates. 1/ Includes National Savings and Development bonds and RGSM bonds. 27 Table 24. St. Lucia: Effective Exchange Rate Indices 1/ (2000 = 100) Real Effective Exchange Rate 2/ Nominal Effective Exchange Rate 2/ Relative Consumer Prices 2003 I II III IV 98.7 97.2 96.8 94.6 99.0 98.4 99.1 97.3 99.7 98.7 97.7 97.3 2004 I II III IV 92.3 93.2 93.3 90.8 95.9 97.1 96.4 94.4 96.2 96.0 96.7 96.2 2005 I II III IV 90.3 91.5 92.2 93.9 93.7 94.7 95.7 96.8 96.3 96.7 96.3 97.0 2006 I II III IV 94.4 92.4 91.0 90.3 96.7 95.3 94.9 94.6 97.7 96.9 95.9 95.4 2007 I II III IV 88.9 87.5 88.2 89.1 94.4 93.5 92.9 91.6 94.2 93.5 94.9 97.2 2008 I 89.4 91.2 98.0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 101.8 96.8 92.4 92.0 92.0 88.4 101.4 98.4 96.0 95.2 95.4 93.1 100.3 98.4 96.3 96.6 96.5 95.0 Source: IMF Information Notice System. 1/ Period averages. 2/ Increases denote appreciation.