SOBOBA SPRINGS: A DEVELOPMENT ANALYSIS by William Henry Johnson Bachelor of Science in Civil Engineering University of California at Berkeley 1973 Master of Engineering in Construction Management University of California at Berkeley 1976 SUBMITTED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF URBAN STUDIES AND PLANNING IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS OF THE DEGREE MASTER OF SCIENCE IN REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENT AT THE MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY AUGUST, 1986 William Henry Johnson 1986 The author hereby grants to M.I.T. permission to reproduce and to distribute publicly copies of this thesis document in whole or in part. Signature of the author-J Wiliianjfienry Johnson Department of Urban Studies and Planning August, 1986 Certified by Gary Hack }rofessor of Urban Studies and Planning Thesis bpervisor Accepted by James McKellar Chairman Interdepartmental Degree Program in Real Estate Development 1 Soboba Springs: A Development Analysis by William Henry Johnson Submitted to the Center for Real Estate Development on August 15, 1986 in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Real Estate Development. ABSTRACT This thesis reviews the development options for a specific site, Soboba Springs, in San Jacinto, California. The developer's current plans as well as alternate development scenarios are reviewed, and proformas that reflect phasing in response to anticipated absorption rates are used to select scenarios. The use of the site is shaped by existing easements, environmental constraints, market trends, zoning regulations, and the political structure of the community. There are significant off-site infrastructure costs associated with the project, and the section on uses and sources of funds looks at the method of public financing for these costs. Finally, the benefits and risks to the participants of the proposed development plan are analyzed, and an outline for a written understanding between the City and developer is recommended. Thesis Supervisor: Gary Hack Title: Professor of Urban Studies and Planning 2 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Gratitude is extended to the many individuals who shared their knowledge and perspectives and without whom this thesis In particular, I would like to would not have been possible. thank the following individuals: Thesis Advisor -- Gary Hack M.I.T. Faculty -- Bernard Frieden, Michael Wheeler Bradley Olson, Kieth Greer, Dan Tonini The Irvine Company -D & S Company -- Peter Sidlow, Wayne Avrashow, Al Chamberlain City of San Jacinto Willdan Associates --- Brian McNabb Gary Dysart Centre City Development Corporation -- 3 Gerald Trimble TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Number TITLE PAGE 1 ABSTRACT 2 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS 4 LIST OF FIGURES 9 I. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY A. General Statement B. Summary of Major Issues C. II. 10 1. Earthquake and flood zones -- is the site suitable for residential development? 12 2. Existing usage. site 13 3. Identity of market -- retirement community for the "active senior". 13 4. Existing trailer park opposition and detriment. potential 13 5. Phasing of development -- testing the rates, absorption market, watching interrelated benefits of components. 14 6. Risks of delays -developer. the 14 1. The current plan -- site improvement, build first phases and sell land for Scripps Clinic, development by others. shopping facility, care congregate center. 15 2. -alternative An increase benefits. 1 easements that shape -- to the City and Opportunities for Development Master plan to BACKGROUND ON PROJECT A. The Site Context -Location 1. Riverside/San 4 Bernardino 1s Counties; Hemet/San Jacinto Valley. 2. -- Project the of Description Soboba 26 Springs; 7th Street; Butzen Property. 3. -- Setting Environmental Geology; 32 Temperature; rainfall; smog. 4. Climate 5. Economic Growth and Trends -- Florida Avenue - "richest street in America"; -- 28 hydrology. seismicity; topography; 33 demand for housing and retail. 6. Demographics -- Regional distribution of 35 population; age; household composition; social trends; income and employment. 7. Freeway system; Ramona Transportation -- 38 Expressway; airports. 8. Easements that shape the site plan. 9. Politics -- Hemet vs. San 38 Jacinto - 40 competition for land and revenue; Movers and Shakers. B. History of Ownership -- D & S Company; Daon; Annexation from the County of the City of San Jacinto. C. III. Riverside 45 to The Developer's Plan 1. The Villages and Phasing. 49 2. Critical Assumptions. 50 ALTERNATE DEVELOPMENT PLANS A. Market Analysis 1. User Profiles community development. 2. Housing -- Inventory families; oldsters, participation -- in 52 product volume and growth 53 of the housing stock, by location, type of identification prices, and comparables. 3. Retail Inventory -- Sales data in Hemet 54 and 55 vs. San Jacinto. 4. Inventory Hotel/Motel 5 -- Capacity growth of transient residential by location, number of rooms, amenities. 5. Medical Services Inventory -- 6. -- Competition Hospitals, 55 medical services, medical clinics, supply outlets. stock, price, and identification 56 proposed of current and assessment on centers housing projects; shopping Florida Avenue. 7. Summary Conclusions -- opportunities, further study. B. C. D. IV. identify areas of risks, unknowns 59 for Alternate Development Strategies 1. The importance of the golf course. 2. Specific parcel. development options for 61 each 65 Design Criteria 1. Site design criteria. 67 2. Architectural design criteria. 71 Phasing of Development 1. Be ready to sell at any time development restrictions on land. 2. A schedule of events. with 71 73 SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS A. The Impact of Proposition 13 75 B. Public Financing Incentives 77 C. 1. The Redevelopment Authority. 79 2. Tax increment financing. 80 3. Special assessment districts. 85 4. Mello-Roos districts. 93 94 Private Financing Sources 1. lending Construction developments; retail center. 6 -- Housing 95 V. Developer equity -- Land acquisition/pay down of seller financed notes. 96 3. Investor equity -- 96 4. Investor equity -- joint venture medical partner, banks. 5. Private contributions -- 6. Land sales -- syndication. with foundations. 96 97 97 the safety valve. ALLOCATION OF COSTS AND BENEFITS TO PARTIES A. VI. 2. Proforma/Cost Alternative Estimate Summary for each 99 1. The developer's proforma. 2. The city's fiscal impact analysis. 101 B. Benefits and Risks of Development to City -Revenue to support services; quality of life; follow through by developer. 102 C. Risks of and Benefits Developer -- carry cost; time; diversification. to Development long development 105 D. Distribution of Costs and Agreement: Development between the understanding Developer. Returns -- The written a the City and 107 108 CONCLUSIONS 7 APPENDICES Appendix 1 -- Associates Soboba Market Analysis: Building permits; Comarc survey survey; of competition. 111 Appendix 2 -- Development Fees and List of Permits. 114 Appendix 3 -- methods of Public Assistance: Other Block (Community Development Federal Grants, Urban Development Action Grants, Eminent domain; Investment Tax Credit); Land lease; Shared land cost; Land cost Industrial write down; Tax abatement; revenue bonds; Mortgage revenue bonds; General obligation General revenue; guarantees/subordinated Loan bonds; Tax Lease revenue bonds; financing; taxes; Special bonds; allocation 115 exactions Developer fees; and Rehabilitation districts. Persons in Hemet and San 124 Appendix 4 -- Influential Jacinto. Appendix 5 -- The Developer's Proforma. 129 Appendix 6 -- The City's Fiscal Impact Analysis. 147 8 LIST OF FIGURES Description Figure Page 1 California 17 2 Los Angeles 18 3 Inland Empire 18 4 San Jacinto and Hemet 21 5 Growth Trends 23 6 Property Orientation Map 25 7 Earthquake Faults in the Valley 27 8 Flood Zones in the Valley 27 9 Claremont Fault Zone 29 10 Site Hydrology 29 11 Easements that Shape Site Design 37 12 Political Map of San Jacinto 42 13 D & S Company Annual Volume of Completed Work 46 14 The Developer's Plan 48 15 Seven Hills Site Plan 57 16 Site Topography and Vegetation 62 17 Proposed Site Plan 64 18 Proposed Development Schedule 72 19 Illustration of Tax Increment Financing 81 20 San of City Expenditures 9 Jacinto Revenues and 103 Soboba Springs: A Development Analysis by William Henry Johnson I. INTRODUCTION A. General Statement The instigation for the thesis topic came as a result of in conversations Company and process of in initiating a mixed-use development on a site and California, Riverside County, development an independent assessment of appropriate The project requires public/private negotiations to options. determine The use. the D & S Company is in The Irvine Company. the City of San Jacinto, wanted S Los Angeles in late March 1986 with D & project and financing of off-site infrastructure City of San Jacinto is supportive of development that will increase City revenues and needed infrastructure. Irvine The financing California impact of Company for infrastructure covered suggested real estate several important topics Proposition Thus, of method in development including the cities and 13 on the ways in which developers approach projects. this thesis represents an independent view of the opportunities, presented the that risks, and rewards by development on a particular site to city, the developer, and community-at-large. The specific project examined by this thesis is a 462 acre site with an existing 18-hole golf course in the City of San Jacinto, California. The parcels separated by the San Jacinto River. Soboba Associates The developer, (a development entity including 10 three of project consists D & S uses of variety commercial, including residential, components. a proposing is Company), site the on retail, and recreational The developer is experienced in various forms of residential construction, departure however, this project represents a from previous projects both in scale and in length of involvement. The City of San Jacinto, California, will be instrumental in determining what gets built on the site. The City evaluated the options of either restraining growth or encouraging it within its boundaries and determined no action would lead populace to decline due to the low income and services. the increasing costs of level of maintaining city Growth is occuring in the San Jacinto Valley, and the City determined it should encourage this growth to decline and the and avoid guide the growth by determining what they who they will support to develop it. The City want of San Jacinto is supportive of development as a means to revitalize the community. One project support major component of the development process for this is the financing of the infrastructure this project on the periphery of required to city. the Infrastructure includes all of the supporting services needed for a project categories. roads. civil and On-site is composed of on-site and off-site infrastructure includes utilities Off-site infrastructure includes works, and public services utilities, needed to and roads, support development, including schools, sewage treatment plants, etc. 11 Off-site infrastructure project includes a bridge, water, sewer, infrastructure $8 million developer This power, the fire station, Soboba Associates and extension of and telephone lines to the site. The costs for this project have been estimated at and were too costly for in 1982, to bear, paper site, needed for thus the site has remained looks at what is suitable alternative site plans, the previous undeveloped. development for the phasing of development, and methods of financing construction costs. The infrastructure needed to serve this development will also serve other users. The City does not have the general to construct a bridge for a road that crosses a funds river bed and has a current daily traffic volume of 3,000 trips per day unless the construction is linked to new development. B. Summary of Major Issues Earthquake and flood zones 1. Is the site suitable for residential development? The an active earthquake zone across the site (The presence Claremont of Fault Zone) requires that no residential areas by realigning open space (the golf unsuitable earthquake-prone Structures for buildings. areas reduce be This restraint has been placed within fifty feet of a fault. addressed unit the course) into designed for risk to anticipated "acceptable" levels. The San Jacinto River portions of the site by levees. end) of easement the restrained is over this area. 12 flooding The northern end (down slope site is open to the stream exists from bed It is not and a flood practical to construct unless site a levee to close this portion of the there is provision for pumping water that collects behind the planned for use to elevations that will provide safety from solution The residential flows. off-site primarily from during a rain storm, levee fill to is suggested areas flooding. easements Existing 2. easements restrain existing Numerous shape the site plan alternatives. water easements since they provide identify development and sewer and The existing as restraint as well already utilities in opportunity can be modified in response easements grading plan and will have to be negotiated with the access to for Easements Riverside. property final a to control of Flood place. County located between the golf course and the levee can be extinguished by acquisition of the property. Identity of market 3. Demographic trends indicate the Hemet/San Jacinto consists largely of a retirement population. is developed preferences for school as an adult community, of the occupants, it area If the project will meet the as well as avoid expenditures facilities estimated at $1.2 million by the San Jacinto school district. 4. The Existing trailer park existing trailer park, which is surrounded by the proposed development, was constructed in conjunction with the private golf course twenty years ago. 13 The occupants of the trailer park perceive additional development as diluting their amenity. costs for a bridge or other infrastructure that may them They are unwilling to as well as the new development, without the bridge for a long time, as a requirement for additional park also exists boundaries, Associates process and leaves land in question. to date. benefit development. the The bridge trailer within annexation of city Soboba The City is currently In addition, lived and perceive the as an island of county land this additional since they have of annexing the trailer park, opposition support in the and there has been no the existence of the trailer park limits the quality of adjacent development since it is a "disamenity." Phasing of development 5. Although the Hemet/San Jacinto area is expanding in population at an annual rate greater than 7%, competition for Phasing housing development could expand at a greater rate. of development will permit construction to match absorption rates and avoid costly carrying costs of construction Phasing also provides an opportunity to test adjust product to meet revised demand, the loans. market, and minimize the risk of developing for the wrong market. 6. Risk of delays The schedule for land acquisition and ongoing of the the operation golf course results in substantial cash outflows by schedule is developer. If the property development extended by regulatory delays or community carrying costs to the developer could 14 opposition, make the the project and uneconomic, well as infrastructure lose would city the as revenues To minimize this risk, development. creation of the generated by new a cooperative approach between the developer, city, and community is called for. C. Opportunities for Development current The 1. plan first The current plan by the developer is to build the two phases (called Villages) around the golf course and sell land to builders for the remainder of the plan The development. is to sell the golf course to the city since it is not on the A self-supporting. Scripps Clinic has been built parcel on the opposite side of the river from the golf course and future call plans for development congregate care center for the elderly. of adjacent an The third parcel is zoned for commercial and residential uses, and the plan is to sell residential portion for an apartment No complex. the and commercial portion for a shopping center the master planning of the project is anticipated since it may delay the initiation of development and restrict future development options. 2. An alternate proposal: Master plan By master planning the entire development, greater value may be imputed to the project than if each done separately. for the permit realized site greater component were The City of San Jacinto zoning designation is R-1 and options are densities available on certain areas than if each area were developed individually. 15 that will would An be R-1 requires minimum lot sizes of 6,000 square feet and zone density of 3.1 to 6.0 dwelling units per overall obtaining Cluster Home Overlay Zone (C-H a an acre. By for the Zone) site, the net density can be raised to a maximum of ten units acre, per over 55 however, years occupancy must be restricted to of age, and a homeowners' adults is association required to maintain all common areas. a Planned Unit Development Overlay District (PUD) is If established, units the permitted density is raised to 7.3 dwelling per net acre with an increase to 8.0 allowable by if additional common Planning Commission provided or dwelling units are clustered. open is space The common under a PUD can be dedicated to the City space the open (subject to establishment of a lighting and landscape assessment district to finance maintenance), maintained by a property owners' association, or retained and maintained by the developer. The absorption characteristics of the region suggest the first parcels density, and be this developed surplus at less density than be their utilized maximum for a concentrated development on one site. The Soboba Springs site has been divided into 6 areas or Villages, and the mainly residential development options for each village are reviewed in detail in later sections of this paper. also The two parcels on the other side of the river described in greater detail, and the choices center on retail/commercial uses or medical uses. 16 are CALIFDRNIA 10 SITE LOCATION Figure 1 17 LOS ANGELES Sco.e 60 Miles 2 SITE LOCATION Figure 3 18 II. BACKGROUND ON PROJECT A. The Site Context 1. Location a. Riverside and San Bernardino Counties east and San Bernardino Counties are located Riverside of Los Angeles as shown in Figures 1, 2, and 3. National Real site a key Investor magazine considers the Inland Empire, Estate Bernardino convergence of San the at Riverside and counties, to be one of the nation's burgeoning areas. While loosely defined, Inland Empire encompasses it is generally agreed that the Riverside, San the cities of Bernardino and Ontario and the land between them. It is here that explosive growth has been occuring in recent years, and the continued growth is spreading eastward into the Hemet/San Jacinto Valley. A few years ago, Chase Econometrics predicted the two- county area would experience the highest percentage change in population growth in the nation and, while that trend have responded to the ups and downs of the economy, may the boom has continued. While containing 12% of southern California's population, the region has been responsible for nearly 27% of the area's with commercial, the same years, home building activity in the last three industrial and retail construction furious pace. keeping The area is being fueled by local governments aggressively pursuing industrial development, and a growing labor pool. 19 tax bonds, development strategies financing various through increment infrastructure and provided tax incentives and processing permit accelerated have city governments and County industrial as such financing special and assessment districts. Empire Inland The to seems Orange skyrocketing growth and good times that its neighbor, County, experienced prices, abundant freeways network of interlacing a and infrastructure facilities, sewage adequate water, land low The area has 15 years ago. same the enjoying be and railroads. San pressures economic from benefitted and Riverside counties have Bernardino and higher in costs land the neighboring counties of Orange, Los Angeles and San Diego. prices for office development range from $40 land found in in Los Angeles County; ft. $150 per sq. ft. National Real Estate Investor magazine 1986, In March, Orange County; Bernardino and $6 to $15 per and Riverside counties. land costs are $10 to $60 per sq. Bernardino development, and land Angeles County; $16 to $24 per sq. ft. sq. in San For retail development, ft. in Los Angeles County; ft. in Orange County; and $3.50 to $ 10 in $9 to $15 per sq. San to Riverside Counties. industrial For costs are $6 to $12 per sq. ft. nearly the same in Orange County; in Los and $2.75 to $5 per sq. ft. in the twin-county area. Despite of the cyclical nature of housing, the population San Bernardino and Riverside counties jumped 20% 20 between 2600 2400 V -b 21 - 4- - - Houston during the same period. The stands at 1.85 now population area at 630,400. employment Dallas faster than the rate of Phoenix, and 1985, 1980 estimated two-county Of those jobs, total with million, or 112,300 fall in the service sector, 110,800 in retail and 103,200 in government. A Tale of Two Cities: Hemet and San Jacinto b. of Cities The Hemet and San Jacinto the San Jacinto Valley of Riverside County, located are in approximately 35 miles southeast of the City of San Bernardino and the City of Riverside as shown in Figures 3 and 4. Inland the of outside occuring, is development Inland Empire fills in. Empire, however, spill shop, of the as Within 18 miles of Hemet, there are These people make Hemet People come the market center for central Riverside County. to Hemet to bank, over and growth will continue over 200,000 residents. currently This location is just obtain medical attention, and while in town, eat at least lunch or dinner. City The of San Jacinto and Soboba Associates project area enjoy close proximity to major regional recreation areas and have convenient access to Interstate State Highway 10. 10 to 15 recreation area Highway Both of these highways are located within minutes from the City's downtown area. opportunities include the Idyllwild approximately and 15E 15 miles to the east, Palm Major Recreational Springs 43 miles to the east, San Bernardino Mountains to the north, and beach areas such drive to the west. as Newport and Laguna within a one-hour The City is also served by the Atchison, Topeka, and Santa Fe Railroad (A.T.&S.F). 22 GRWTH TRENPS DAIRY FARMS +1 N 0 -J S 0 SITE LOCATION -P 0 Commerclat Growth Florida Street Residential Growth SCALE 1 rue Figure 5 23 City The of routes bounded by the transportation is The Sanderson Street, Ramona Expressway, and Florida Street. Ramona and the section new of end in Figure 5 will be under construction by the shown The northwest/southeast. is being extended, Expressway Ramona oriented Boulevard Jacinto San Main Street oriented east/west, Street oriented north/south, and axes: lies along three major generally City 1986. founded in 1870, is the oldest The City of San Jacinto, incorporated community in Riverside County. by surrounded farm agricultural lands and with have been several rapid growth periods. continue, the now San Jacinto is the process of transition from an agricultural and there During the last 30 years, small town for many years. years, terrain The City remained a stable insulated to the west and south. to more urban uses. San the Mountains to the east and other mountainous Jacinto in The community is community Despite the changes of the last several increased development which is expected to large portions of San Jacinto are likely to remain rural over the next 20 years. This is particularly true of the hillside in the northern portion of the City. The City of Hemet was founded in 1895 after water Hemet fared better the earthquakes of 1899 and 1918 than San Jacinto (which available from the man-made Lake Hemet. in was was all Retirees but levelled twice) and outgrew its neighbor. have flocked to Hemet due to its weather and cheap land prices, and they have deposited their savings locally to 24 NORTH PROPERTY ORIENTATION MAP Soboba Road Vitlage 2 Ramona Seventh Street Property Figure 6 25 make Florida Avenue one of the richest streets in the country in terms of bank deposits per resident of the city. Description of the project -- 2. project site is composed of three parcels totalling The separated acres 462 Springs, Soboba known as and consists of 396 acres of which 114 acres are mountainous parcels, former property (23 Butzen of existing are These two parcels San Jacinto and the river. Street for commercial use and 20 acres of the Seventh zoned the and acres) Street property (43 acres) are between the Seventh city the western The two acres is for the 18-hole golf course. 123 in shown by the San Jacinto River as eastern parcel, The 6. Figure The three parcels. property is zoned for residential use. The recreational A parcel Springs Soboba existing an contains course. facility and 18-hole championship golf manufactured housing complex owned by others is within the boundaries of the parcel. to The hillside area is adjacent the former Soboba Hot Springs Resort ( a celebrity attraction in 1940's that was abandoned after a fire the a ago), homes, and an annexed two ranches owned by long time residents of the area, This parcel has been Indian reservation. 3 designated to 6 dwelling units per crossed is parcel foot City and is the into (earthquake) fifteen custom partially completed subdivision of hillside development, Springs years eight and by the for acre. Clarement recently residential The Soboba Fault Zone protected from the San Jacinto River by high levee. 26 a FLOOD ZONE N 8 N 27 3. Environmental setting a. Land forms south and north, and isolated island- mountains to the east, The valley is much younger and softer sedimentary material. with filled has that alluvium, sand rock, eroded surrounding mountains. gravel and and material, as known the from down washed of composed portion of San Jacinto which is eastern the in of granite with the exception of Park Hill composed south generally Mountains and hills are hills to the west. like with valley flat relatively broad, a by characterized is setting of the Hemet/San Jacinto area geologic The In the central portion of the valley this alluvium material is 5,000 to 7,000 feet thick. A topographic map of the region is included in Figures 7 This map clearly shows the two basic land form zones and 8. the within mountainous and the the i.e., area; study hillside steep broad, north the area of the San Jacinto Mountains to and south. flat San Jacinto valley area to the The San Jacinto River follows the line of contact between the and mountains the valley. The elevation varies from a maximum of 3,400 feet in the mountains to approximately 1,500 feet in the valley. Seismic zone b. Jacinto San is located within seismically active regions of California. of active fault zones in the area, produce a potentially damaging 28 one the of most There are a number any one of earthquake. which The could Claremont HYDROLOGY Q10 = 670 cf~sCotu 0100 =1000 cfs Ln .. ........ A r ..... ~~~~ig 10............ THE EARTHQUAKE FAULT ZIONE Figure 9 29 Fault Zone crosses the project area as shown in Figures 7 and 9. The of the and is responsible for creation of the Soboba Hot main mountains San Jacinto Fault runs along the edge Springs. Structures can be earthquakes of a given magnitude. designed to withstand As structures are designed to withstand larger earthquakes, the level of risk decreases, but the cost of construction increases. concept of subjective cost and hazards an "acceptable risk". decision Acceptable based on a balancing of the reduced Specific risk. risk the is a increased earthquake related ground shaking and movement; include the following: liquifaction; This has lead to the ground settlement; and, land slides and slope instability. During a site investigation in July, 1986, an earthquake of magnitude 5.9 on the Richter scale with an miles to the east of the site took place. considerable ground shaking, Geotechnical investigations penetrating radar, 40 epicenter Although there was no significant damage occurred. are in progress using ground and results to date confirm the existence and of the fault within the area of the Claremont Fault Zone no where else on the site. c. Hydrologic conditions The San Jacinto area is drained by the headwaters of the east. This drainage system eventually empties into Lake Elsinore. Much San Jacinto River in the mountains to the of the San Jacinto Valley is situated at the elevations below the San Jacinto River and overflows may remain for weeks months after the flood stage. 30 or Eight significant floods have Levees have occurred along the San Jacinto River since 1931. been constructed along the banks of the San Jacinto River In 1980, District. Control Flood of Engineers and the County Corps Army the by a portion of the levee on the city side of the river was breached. Recent studies by the U.S. Corps Engineers have indicated the levees are able to contain a of The limits of the flood prone area are shown 100 year flood. in Figure 8. The Project area is outside of the flood prone sides due to the presence of the levees that line both area of the river as it crosses the project area. There are four points at which off-site flows enter the systems and drainage swales can be incorporated into culvert landscaping the Box 10. project area during rain storms as shown in Figure plan to handle these areas for development. safeguard and flows and are Box culverts are expensive, off- The only recommended where they must cross roadways. site flow which starts in Village 2 and runs through Village 1 along large there this artificial lake by a new culvert under existing culvert under Main Street The in the back of the levee should be diverted is into Street. Main inadequate, have been frequent reports of flooding of Main front of the trailer park during rainstorms. culvert will create additional expense, it the and Street Although will make more land available for use in Village 1. The northern end of the golf course is at elevation of the project, off the northern edge. the lowest and the levee ends without closing A flood easement to elevation 31 1566 site flows, edge of on Due to the has been placed on this portion of the site. it has not been practical to close the northern provide To site. the 5 to 8 feet of fill is required in approximately pads, building usable this area for Village 5. Brush fire potential d. to Due northeast the the mountains the project area are covered with dry of of most during conditions, arid in investigation the summer July, During months. started a brush fire Road nearby North Mountain. grasses site a to adjacent on the Hot Springs property and spread Soboba the to the up The brush fire was contained by 250 on the were used as a source of water in fighting the fire fighters after 15 hours of effort. golf course The lakes blaze, and airplanes dropping fire retardent also assisted. should consider of a fire zone between buildings and the mountains of Development creation the hillside area (i.e., a 100 foot band of access road and low vegetation such as ice plant that is kept well watered. In addition, should be regularly trimmed of dead fronds, trees ingress and egress should be considered, as well palm emergency as fire hydrants along the mountain boundary. 4. The warm Climate climate and dry, in the Hemet/San Jacinto area tends to and recently smog has spilled over adjoining areas in Los Angeles. 32 from be the AVERAGE TEMPERATURE F Max Mean Min Period HUMIDITY RAIN Inches 4 A.M. 4 P.M. Noon -------------------------------------------------------January 34.5 49.2 64.2 2.15 87 55 67 April 44.1 59.2 75.9 1.15 76 51 52 July 56.1 77.5 98.4 .10 81 31 35 October 46.7 64.8 83.4 .69 59 30 38 Year 45.1 62.4 -------------------------------------------------------- Jacinto fruit orchards, and small community pursuit. Dairies, major a ranches have provided This has resulted in a source of employment. of rural has traditionally been a agriculture being a major economic with 48 40 76 12.51 Economic growth and trends 5. San 80.2 preponderance the unskilled workers and lower socio-economic groups in However, the composition of the Valley's economic community. base is moving away from agriculture. cost years $68/acre-foot, A few In one today it costs $309/acre-foot. unionization of farm workers occurred. ago, water Six years ago, case, the Howard Rose Company, the company permanently closed its labor costs made production uneconomic. the because after unionization occurred nursery increased These trends lead to conversion of large tracts of farm land into mobile home parks and residential developments. local The economy is currently based on agriculture, trade and services primarily geared to the needs of a growing population incomes of retired citizens with above average retirement and recreational usually manufacturing -vehicles. available, An especially abundant particularly 33 for mobile supply of unskilled and homes labor and is semi- skilled jobs. ECONOMIC GROWTH AND TRENDS 1985 1984 1980 1970 1960 Year n------------------------------------------------- Population County Hemet Jacinto San 306,191 456,914 663,923 757,500 794,774 5,416 12,252 23,211 26,350 28,074 2,553 4,385 7,098 8,900 9,907 Taxable Sales 356,225 County Hemet San Jacinto 828,578 3,274,017 4,088,525 N.A. 12,013 39,920 148,251 238,614 N.A. 2,556 4,613 15,223 29,934 N.A. Sales are in $000s Note: THE HEMET-SAN JACINTO LABOR MARKET AREA 1980: San Jacinto, Area consists of Hemet, Gilman Hot Springs and Idyllwild. Area population: Total emp loyment: 19,945 68,437 541 Agriculture, Forestry 1,123 Wholesale Tra de Construction 1,903 Retail Trade Manufacturing 2,386 Fin., Ins., Transp/Comm/Utilities 1,355 Services 5,441 Government 1,603 Source: 3,784 R eal Estate 1,809 U.S. Census 1980 Hemet is a well-known Southern California growth retirement community and a West Coast center for mobile and recreational vehicle manufacturing. middle of home It is located in the a productive agricultural area and is one of principal gateways to the San Jacinto Mountains 34 and the recreational The community has an active and growing retail sector. area. At present, there are three major shopping malls in Hemet, along with significant industrial development activity in the Airport area. Hemet-Ryan a yearly cultural event depicting the early life of Pageant, the Hemet is also home for the Ramona location Ideal weather, Hemet Valley. excellent and services help make Hemet one of the fastest growing cities in as and well-suited to the retired as well County Riverside the active business or professional person. Hemet is Along with other attracting western Riverside County cities, younger families from the counties to the north, many due mainly to more reasonable housing costs there. While the employment base has been has growth continued since the majority of retirees do further employment. seek demand creates population limited, Instead, services for retirees the influx of (especially those not that are medical related) and, jobs for the younger individuals in the population. In the larger region of Riverside County, population has been increasing faster than job creation which, Macheski, Dennis manager of the according to Southern California Association of Governments' (SCAG) development guide program, means of greater and more of a dependence on Orange and Los Angeles county the commutes is "moving in the direction counties." 6. people to on fixed income with governmental support and many in Senior those Demographics citizens range from wealthy retired 35 the last 30 years, the annual average between. Over population growth rate in San Jacinto has been between and with the higher rates associated with more 5.8% Over that same thirty year period, years. has largely been of older individuals, 3.7% recent the in-migration and it is only in the last few years that younger families are on the increase. Based on Riverside County population estimates January 1, 1985: Hemet 28,074 Population San Jacinto 9,907 Ethnic Background Anglo Hispanic Other 84% 66% 6% 30% 10% 4% Age Grouping 0 - 24 7% 39% 25 - 34 17% 12% 35 - 44 13% 8% 45 - 54 12% 8% 55 - 64 17% 10% 65 and Over 34% 23% Male 44% N.A. Female 56% N.A. Under $25,000 87% 99% $25,000 to $49,999 11% 1% 2% 0% Sex Income $50,000 and Over 36 for EASEMENTS THAT SHAPE SITE DESIGN Existing EMVD Vater Line Existing EMV D Se Lin .................. ... .....-. e... -.. ..-... Elevation 1566 Flood Control Easement Flood Control Access Flood Control Access Figure 11 37 Transportation 7. Ontario AIR: Los International Airport (owned and operated by northwest, is Angeles International Airport) 45 by AirCal, served Western United, TWA, PSA, Sun Republic, Hemet-Ryan Airport Airlines. foot 4,300 owned) has general aviation facilities, (County American, Airlines, Alaska Inland Empire, Imperial, Continental, Aire, Air Cortez, miles runway. RTA bus to Riverside, Sun City and Perris. BUS: California HIGHWAYS: 74 east-west, California 79 north- connections 12 miles west to 1-215 north-south and 13 south, miles north to California 60 west and I-10 east-west. Easements that shape the site design 8. There are numerous easements affecting the site as shown in Figure 11, development and the easements that restrict the project's potential or have been considered in preparing the alternate site plans are as follows: Riverside County Flood Control Prior The existing levee was constructed in two phases. the levee protected only the existing trailer park, to 1960, and which a county flood control easement was placed on gives the Flood restrict development. the Control Later, easement was not removed, wanting to easement. Department the Access easements right to extended, when the levee was apparently due to the be reimbursed for funds expended to area the County obtain the of the exist along the backs levees on both sides of Main Street, and this thesis proposes 38 roads be oriented to follow these easements to site paved access as well as site circulation. of the Street Main approval, Bridge will The require construction Control Flood redesign this also creates an opportunity to and provide the bridge to allow for an underpass between Villages 1 and 2 access is blocked by the existing where easement No. park. trailer An 20 (1566 Contour Line) exists that requires all building pads be constructed at least at an elevation of 1567 for from flooding, safety and this will affect primarily Village 5 which will require up to eight feet of fill in some areas. Althouse Property the Mrs. is owned by a local resident, levee and course ten acre parcel of land between the golf A Looten. Van Mrs. Van Looten is in her late eighties and has no desire to sell the property Villages 3 and 4 to Soboba Road. an for it or the access rights to that cross She has previously rejected offer to purchase the property which included a new house this around piece must Site circulation on the site. her of property with proformas are residual land included value of for provision Two expansion if the property becomes available. in Appendix 5 which the property to designed be future alternate estimate range from the $1.2 million to $1.4 million due to its vital location in blocking development of other units to the north of it. Eastern Municipal Water District Sewer and water easements exist across the property that connect the existing trailer park and hillside properties to 39 or EMWD systems. City and A well for EMWD water supply The sewage lift station also exist on the golf course site. and an increase 500,000 gallon water storage tank. to additional an is expected to require density that been already have for an 800 unit development, determined double costs associated and infrastructure a The water tanks would be sited on the hillside area, even though there is some concern regarding proximity to the earthquake fault zone. EPM Soboba This entity controls easements relating to the existing landscape easement park trailer the around call for a ten foot that perimeter of the park, to access home mobile storage areas, and a reciprocal easement to use paved streets on others' property in the event the main entrance each to either property is blocked. Politics 9. from property taxes, sources other infrastructure. the which cut back to Proposition 13, Due for services of land and the responsibility for all development costs, on Hemet and expansion and of One of the ways to do this has been through annexation site, find cities in California have had to pay to revenue public the developers of the land. of the both on- and off- placement Thus, the Cities of San Jacinto compete for the land that is around Riverside. The the City away from Hemet and not in an area of competing claims. Park them Soboba and unincorporated in the County Associates of project site is on the side of 40 on the other hand, is between the two cities and a law Hill, suit is currently in progress over which city will annex this parcel. and Shakers: "Movers Trounstine Philip given community. a Christensen a This technique requires about three months' analysis gained According community. suggests Terry of and this paper covers only the beginning full-time work, an by method of determining who "runs the show" in reputational such and The Study of Community Power" week during a two to Trounstine and in stay the "The Christensen, of a power structure analysis is to identify the most object influential people in the community -their wealth, establish agendas, position, local policies, institute charisma, those who by reason of heritage, or abilities define the political and economic and set in motion major projects, and otherwise lead or rule." Preliminary individuals discussions suggest the influential in the Hemet/San Jacinto community belong to the following key organizations: The Hemet/San Jacinto Exchange Club San Jacinto City Council San Jacinto Planning Commission Hemet City Council Hemet Planning Commission Riverside County Board of Supervisors Morning Kiwanis Club Eastern Municipal Water District Ramona Pageant Club Bank of Hemet Nestee, Brudin, and Stone (Engineering and Planning) Hemet Federal Savings and Loan Security Pacific Bank Inland Savings and Loan Valley Economic Development Council A list of individuals considered 41 influential in the THE DPP SIT EHSobobe olden Tafr IHa~omwers i -r(t Asuri- LOCAL POLITICAL RENA an RENA( C e / POLITICAL MAP OF SAN JACINTO CALIFORNIA Figure 12 42 Hemet/San Jacinto Valley is included as Appendix 4. A political map of the major parties expected to bear on Planning Jacinto Commission, and San Local The Namar), consists of the City Manager (Ross Arena Political San 12. particular project is shown in Figure this City Jacinto and is the public forum for granting approvals Council, The change agreements concerning the project. ratifying and of venue from the County of Riverside to the City of San Jacinto was gained been Considerable leg work had by annexation. done in getting County approvals for the project prior to the annexation, however, the project density was targeted at 800 units and the developer was to pay for the bridge. Now, the City has agreed to finance the bridge, and discussions are in progress to increase the project density. Regional Political Arena consists of the The County agencies and Eastern Municipal influential and District. Water An individual at the County level is Kay Cineceros, to representative area, Riverside she for the County Board of Supervisors has expressed interest the limiting toward Cineceros development densities and preserving open space. may become active in opposing the project if densities exceed 800 units or there is local opposition. While project, Soboba, there The is apparently no strong opposition to the groups: EPM Opposition could come from three the owner of the existing mobile home State Mobile Homeowners' Association; The existing trailer park 43 and, was bypassed park; Golden the Sierra Club. in the original annexation of the site to avoid opposition to the annexation. Now, the annexation of the trailer park itself by the City is in progress. Historically, populated areas within the Valley have resisted annexation (i.e., the East Hemet). Annexation of trailer park is a mixed blessing for Soboba Annexation will Associates. remove any doubt regarding the legality of the annexation of the Soboba Associates land since the island of County land that is against policy would be removed, however, the City is considering rent control ordinances that would be opposed by the land owner of the trailer the tenants of the trailer park want support, to a regional Homeowners' the organization, Association for support, park. If they can look Golden Mobile State and this organization the can pressure to shift arenas for decision making back to In Arena. addition, if project the Regional Political attempts to exceed the 800 units previously under discussion at the Regional Level, it may draw fire from the Sierra Club. Since County approvals are needed by the Flood Roads Departments, for Supervisor and the these groups listen to Kay area, Cineceros, and Control the County must care be exercised when exceeding previous approvals and raising local opposition. One area, individual Clayton influential Record, with both respected in financial interests wealthy dairy representing Established Power the may be able to Cineceros and Namar the Valley (Bank farmers of San Jacinto, 44 and represents Record Valley. in assist. of and has in the Record is is widely the major Hemet), the joined the the in organization planning land major (Neste, Valley Brudin, and Stone) because of his experience in the local and Soboba Associates has taken the regional political process. and Stone to handle Brudin, step in retaining Neste, right development approvals. History of ownership B. twenty golf course and trailer park were developed The the ago by Jim Miner (see Appendix 4) on land outside years The Riverside. of San Jacinto and in the County of City around the golf course and trailer park was sold to property course The golf Daon Company. an eager Canadian investor, was sold to an organization called the Diet Center. Daon invested heavily in real estate throughout Southern and California economic down turn in 1982-1984. the from needed were Board The Supervisors. County the during thin stretched itself found At the time, key approvals of included Cineceros. and Record of Board Riverside Cineceros was instrumental in limiting the number of units on the and in requiring that the developer site bridge $2 worth to period housing when to $3 million as as well the for other Daon was absorb these heavy front end costs during the market for costs infrastructure unwilling million pay interest depressed. estimated at $8 million. rates were high and decided Daon the the project was economically viable when designed for 800 housing units, not the cost of infrastructure and land for the 800 units required prices in limit set by the County 45 of Riverside. The 80. J 70- D 8 S COMPANY ANNUAL VOLUME OF COMPLETED WORK 504030 2010 - n 1965 1975 1970 1980 1985 YEAR Figure 13 46 the Since the local market is for retirees $180,000 range. the pay $80,000 to $110,000, to willing not did project proceed. not fill, did memberships the golf surrounding development, the Without not could Center and the Diet course operate to golf course profitably. 1966, Since as Sidlow Peter with Company, S & D President, has been one of the nation's largest developers of from apartments to condominiums to single progressed D&S subdivisions. has undertaken The type of projects Figure 13. in shown is The annual value of completed work housing. affordable family Corporation Company was owned by Rather until two years ago when Sidlow bought out their interest. A local resident, for available and formed acquisition three parcels and 7th Street Parcel 20795, Soboba Springs, as known Bob Petkin, identified a as with partnership D & S Company gained control Sidlow to develop the property. of the property in 1985 by agreeing to phased purchase of the land from Dayon Corporation. outright The golf course was purchased The city from the Diet Center. subsequently has annexed the property and doubled the number of housing units allowed on the resources financial development the Subsequently, share was partner in to carry the he ownership Petkin was insufficient had split the during project phase and brought in a private and Lasky, felt Sidlow site. investor, Byron 1/3, 1/3. 1/3, withdrew from the partnership and acquired by Lasky. Lasky is now a D&S Company as well as a 2/3 partner 47 his 50% equity in Soboba ASSOCIATES Access Point y Village 1 Figure 14 48 Associates. developer Byron Lasky has been a successful real estate His projects include the first co- in California since 1958. op housing project developed under Section 221 (d)(3) of the Housing National Act, development and several of sales Tierrasanta thousand homes in the award-winning community of in San Diego, California, development of a 110-acre tract for Sierra Point fronting on the San Francisco Bay to include 1.7 million square feet of office buildings, two major hotels and related facilities including a marina. over $100 owns three Lasky has also raised million in equity capital through syndication and television stations in different regions of the between the U.S. Negotiations developer are currently in progress the community to mitigate and the environmental impacts of the project and improve off-site infrastructure. The Developer's Plan C. center, medical 1986 is and hotel. The D & S development plan of and as as shown in summarized place as well as a 1600 dwelling units on the site, approximately March to & S Company is currently reviewing options D Figure 14 follows: Village 1 Build 70 duplex units at 900 sf each. Village 2 Sell 445 lots at $5,000 per lot. Village 3 Build 100 homes (900 sf to 1000 sf) and sell duplexes and lots at $8,000 per lot. 49 single family 230 Village 4 Sell 250 lots at $6,500 per lot. Village 5 Sell 130 lots at $8,000 per lot. Village 6 Sell at site 25 buildable acres for hotel $150,000 per acre after using a as source for fill in other villages. Butzen Property Build Scripps Clinic and congregate care facility and sell other parcels. 7th Street commercially acre. in zoned for is that section acre 20 Sell $100,000 per After rezoning 18 acres currently R-2, R-1, at sell and R-3 zones, $40,000 per acre for apartments. Golf Course Realign sell three the $300,000 and City for mitigation costs and plants and holes for golf course to the $3,000,000. To support this development plan, off-site improvements include: 1. Bridge (by the City) 2. Fire station 3. Schools 4. Flood control facilities 5. Police protection 6. Water Storage facilities, pumping distribution systems 7. Sewer interceptor system and treatment facility 8. Road improvements 9. Signalized intersections Soboba Associates allowed $340,000 to cover the costs of 50 these infrastructure-related items, and this may be Using the developer's financial assumptions and optimistic. release schedule for lots to merchant builders, the developer is able However, to exceed an internal of return of 20%. this level of return requires selling over 230 lots per year for the next five years. indicated rate for Also, there is no expense buying back the existing memberships golf course if it is converted to public ownership. 51 to the III. ALTERNATE DEVELOPMENT PLANS A. Market Analysis User profiles 1. on the demographics and economic trends discussed Based in sections II.A.3 and II.A.6 and a preliminary market by Soboba Associates (see Appendix 1), study the typical user of the development is expected to be: couple Anglo Retired o a who want to own family home (2 bedroom/2 bath) as home. They single primary their are willing to pay more than $76,000 for a basic unit, couples and one quarter of the are willing to pay over $100,000 to live at Soboba Springs. The home will be financed out of savings or sale of their current residence, and the couple will more, additionally plus $25,000 have a savings of retirement income. They will own or a late model automobile. In addition to demographic research that a softer to determining the needs of these groups is called the identifies approach statistically predominant groups in the market, for. One approach is to build consumer profiles through phone surveys or focus groups (groups that you get together with to informally review product). Try to identify who might not use development and why? Get in touch with what the community is looking for Check with the local communalness or nostalgia. society/museum -- San Jacinto 52 has several -- historical historical Hold wine obtain or sponsor a city-wide study. buildings -- and cheese parties for residents of at least ten years in the city. Talk "back when". Take lots of notes when asking questions such living about etc." eating, regard to shopping, here?" Create the with city your favorite memories about the ."What are as, city the them and get an understanding of to Also, "What do you like "best of Jacinto" San This gives development that includes selection of favorites. you a chance to create a project that is unique, built out of local history and images. "Ramona" as such boutique, motel, same the with (why not locate romantic a is a There restaurant, on Ramona Boulevard local history museum, name?). past Use famous names out of the good this in start direction using a book prepared based on oral histories taken long-time from residents of the area -- copy in the Hemet library. Housing inventory 2. inventory of housing units, The both single and multi- family, increased by 2,579 units during the period from 1982 through 1985 in San Jacinto and Hemet. During period, the population increased by 7,672 persons. the same Since the average household number in the area is 2.16, there should be a pent there up demand for approximately 970 more units was pressures no housing surplus are to start with. assuming Population expected to continue at the same rate as Inland Empire fills in. the The Inland Empire has been creating over 6,000 new housing units per year. 53 The current inventory of 16,241 units in Hemet and 4,511 types in San Jacinto is composed of the following units of dwellings: Existing New Construction Single Family 53 % 62 % Multi-family 21 % 27 % Mobile Homes 26 % 11% As of January 1, 1986, 11% of these units were vacant, however, is an ambiguous statistic due to the presence this of a vacation or second-home market estimated at 15% based on the Soboba Associates survey (see Appendix 1). for existing homes are prices Sales from to $55,000 $60,000 for two bedroom homes in San Jacinto and from $55,000 to $130,000 In Hemet. areas residential $250,000 in featuring offering Hemet, there homes priced from view lots from the hills are suburban to $125,000 south of the city. 3. A Retail Inventory review of sales data in Hemet and San Jacinto shows that Hemet receives a disproportionate amount of sales: Number of Stores 1984 Total Sales Sales per Capita Hemet 712 $238,614,000 $9,056 San Jacinto 224 $ 29,934,000 $3,363 Although the sales per capita in Hemet may be higher due to higher income levels of Hemet residents, explanation the more likely is that the shopping opportunities in Hemet 54 are and they draw shoppers from the surrounding areas. The three major shopping malls in Hemet along Florida Avenue greater attract business from all over the Valley, and there are no comparable retail centers in San Jacinto. Hotel/Motel Inventory 4. In Hemet, (132 rooms). and there are 2 hotels (25 rooms) and 17 In San Jacinto, 2 motels (57 rooms). motels there are 2 hotels (60 rooms) A new Travel Lodge with 100 rooms recently opened in west Hemet on Florida Avenue with nightly rates of $50, and it has had 90% occupancy for its first four months. 5. Medical Services Inventory Due to the expected to play a major role in new Valley older facility satellite where Empire) emanate. medical services about a Sun City in fifth of their (in are Hemet developments. is adding 101 beds by 1987 and Hospital 100-room population, planning the present a Inland patients Scripps Institute is now building a facility in San Jacinto on the Soboba Associates site, with two other private convalescent buildings nearby. coming aboard shortly. centers plan, Hemet has two congregate care One will offer vacation caring for homebound patients for a week or more while the rest of the family can vacation, whatever Also, a Mt. -- very San programs. It successful in Maryland and Pennsylvania Jacinto training program, take a business trip or College is now offering a full in addition to its already successful appears to be the beginning of a industry for the Valley -- health care. 55 new, . RN LVN clean The Valley would be an ideal area, which climatewise, requires County's coming many of the new Hemet-Ryan and going professional especially for geriatric and Field by air medical can be used ambulance. semi-professional care specialties. for medical This may employment, The cases attract generating custom housing on view-lot hillsides and good local sales and service. 6. Competition The ten residential housing projects covered by a Comarc Systems survey in March, represent 294 1986, and summarized in Appendix 1, units out of the 400 single family dwellings constructed during the period from January 1985 through March 1986. the All of the developments surveyed are on the floor San Jacinto Valley, and none of them offer an such as an 18-hole golf course. at of amenity The units currently selling the greatest rate (11 units per month at Mirador Pointe) are mostly three bedroom homes with two bathrooms selling for $85,000 to $95,000 and a square footage range of 1500 to 1700 sf. This isolated development has no common areas or nearby amenities, and plans to construct an additional 311 dwelling The popularity of Mirador Points stems largely units. from its low price per square foot range ($53 to $59/sf) reputedly due to low initial land costs. Two with 150 developments which have completed 92 homes to date Fairview) have more planned (Bel Air Estates and sold a combined average of 3.3 units per month. Their homes are two and three bedroom/two bathroom dwellings ranging from 56 jjDBIOME ATt MA T TE E ME 70 0 ~9 ~ l46 4 SEVEN M A S T E A P L A N N E D HILLS 0 E V E L O P M E N T Figure 15 57 962 sf Price to 1428 sf with sales prices of $72,000 to per square foot range is $58 to $74/sf. $90,000. Again, no amenities are offered. In aggregate, the top ten developments have sold 21 homes/month with plans remaining for 587 more dwelling units. One Soboba Heights, adjacent 2800 development to square is not on included in the mountain the Comarc slopes survey, immediately Soboba Springs and is characterized by 2600 foot custom home construction (18 been built to date, houses to have and two were for sale during site visits in May and July). Another development not included in the Comarc survey is Seven Hills. Seven Hills is in Hemet, and the master planned community contains an 18-hole golf course of lesser in terms of landscaping intricacy, maturity of and degree of difficulty, than Soboba Springs. is available on Seven Hills, quality, vegetation, While no data it is believed development is hampered by the image of a trailer park since the first phase of development was based on mobile homes. One area of the development contains unfinished homes by a builder who bought lots the been from the original developer and was unable to effort. designed Seven Hills does have the advantage of complete having from the start to take advantage of the golf course view, and a copy of the site layout is shown as Figure 15. A review of golf course competition is summarized below: 58 Initiation Fee Club Monthly Distance Dues Other Very good course Soboba $5,000 $125 -0- Seven Hills $1,750 $140 15 min Adequate course Cherry Hills $2,400 $ 80 20 min Fair course Redlands $6,000 $150 30 min Very Singing Hills $4,000 $140 45 min Good course Victoria $8,600 $145 45 min Very good course $17,500 $125 50 min Very good course $1,500 $ 75 120 min Very good course Lake Arrowhead Ojai Valley In Palm Springs, 30 minutes the away, good course golf course fees range from $5,000 to $50,000 and the monthly initiation dues average $180. Summary Conclusions 7. demand population pressures on demographics, Based for almost 1,000 new dwelling units per year of types in the San Jacinto Valley. influx of development demand, San and Jacinto rate There is room with the additional for meet new possibly more as the Inland Empire reaches the of at Valley. least 100 units per year to By aggressively marketing the characteristics of the Soboba Springs Golf Course, possible all Still, the of new housing has not kept up population. a Builders have responded to this demand by creating up to 917 units in 1985. construction create to capture a greater share of the and sell as many as 160 units per year. unique it may be existing market The absorption rate of 160 units per year is a critical assumption the author is making, and the developer should place great emphasis both on 59 overall absorption in the Valley and in improving monitoring capture of the market. But, what to sell? Almost 40% of the market surveyed by Associates was willing to pay more than $90,000 for a Soboba two or three bedroom house with two bathrooms. While no data existed in the Comarc survey to identify absorption rate as a of total home price, function with a price per square foot less than $65 and of 1200 square foot in area sold mix used for this analysis is product of consisting bed/2 2 dwellings it did appear that quickly. more bathroom a single least at Thus, product premium home family one or condominium of 1200 square feet with a base price of $80,000, and square feet with a base price of $90,000. 2/3 of the two bedroom units, In addition, units. The mix should be and 1/3 of the three bedroom view premiums for lots adjacent to the course and landscaped parkways of $30,000 golf 1350 of 3 bedroom/2-1/2 bathroom single family home a and $15,000 should be charged. Another product tested in the following proformas is the cost moderate preferred by Soboba Associates of a 2 bedroom/2 bath single family home consisting square product feet a base price of $65,000 with and of 945 course golf premiums of $20,000 and parkway premiums of $10,000. Absorption dwelling units of per housing units is expected to run at thus, year, by selling fewer, 160 more expensive homes the project may be completed more quickly and carrying Since no data exists to costs minimized. 60 support different the units, rates for different sizes absorption proformas in Appendix 5 of housing a uniform assume absorption rate of 40 units per 3 months. More field survey work is needed in this area. B. Alternate Development Strategies 1. The importance of the golf course private golf course covers a total of 123 acres The which 8.3 acres swimming pool, 270 members have includes the club house, and eight tennis courts. for golf and 65 for lots, parking Currently there are tennis/swimming. Members paid increasing initiation fees which are currently $5,000 is The maximum capacity the variously estimated at 500 to 1000 members for golf and 165 members for tennis/swim. The range of estimates for the golf course are considerations of the use by the members. membership Riverside. at of with $100/month dues. facility where of The frequency The higher capacity occurs on is composed of working lower estimate reflects the courses in families more of frequent play expected in the retirement community of San Jacinto. Approximate monthly finances are currently as follows: Golf course fees/dues/pro shop Administration Restaurant Swim/Tennis Miscellaneous Interest Expense Taxes, Depreciation, Amortization Total The $30,000 (10,000) ( 5,000) ( 4,000) (10,000) (18,000) (13,000) (30,000) per month positive cash flow from golf fees is largely due to tournaments. If the golf course is reduced in size holes, then tournament play will go elsewhere. 61 to 9 SITE TOPOGRAPHY 1800 1760 Figure 16 62 As golf a fee If market. captive the either initiation The or sale to the city. can be increased as $5,000 of recouped higher lot prices generally, through lot premiums for views, recreation club fees, on return negative must be investment the thus investment, a is there course, creates development by increased membership is a 200 members paying an average of $20,000/each, the land cost will be quickly retired. club the fees, To attract members willing to pay higher (rather needs to be closed to members only than allowing guest rates) and the facilities upgraded. Soboba Springs 18-hole golf course with its The gentle and vegetation Figure in as shown topography amenities such as a full health/recreation center and hotel constructed, are then a housing in excess of $100,000 per unit. 16 If complementing represents a unique amenity in the Valley. resort mature nearby exists market for The amenity value of the golf course comes in two forms: a) access for use, and b) of Soboba Associates estimates that one out for views. access the every four home owners will want to play on and a development The value. proportional to linked of limit 200 additional memberships more than 800 units may of lose this course, indicates amenity hand, may be to the frontage along the golf course, and is view the premium, quality of on the other maintenance of the course. Increasing memberhsip beyond 500 will create greater wear and tear on the course and lower its amenity value for both players and viewers. If the golf course were sold to the city 63 PRDPDSED SITE PLAN Village 5 Viltlage 1 Figure 17 64 as existing not only would the by the developer, proposed members have to be reimbursed for their membership fees, but maintenance there would be a loss of control of its use and which could detract from its amenity value to the remaining development. Realignment per hole, of the golf course is estimated at $100,000 alternative and this cost has been considered in site plans. Specific development alternatives 2. Specific development alternatives for each Village or parcel are as follows, and the selected alternate is shown in Figure 17. Located along the levee, this parcel has good Village 1 course golf difficult for but views, and premium condominium and housing, family by considered Alternatives access. this area include moderate single hampered is apartments in three and four story buildings. Without relocation through the area, of the drainage is development system severly limited. Village 2 Adjacent to the trailer park and without golf course views, the most appropriate use may be for low and moderate income recreational vehicle storage. parkway along recommended. fire station 65 the Along housing and Landscaping a system is Main Street locate the drainage and 5,000 sf local commercial This store. goods 20% the fulfill and low associated requirement can area moderate with to used be income Redevelopment Agency financing of the bridge. This is a choice location surrounded on three Village 3 by sides golf the course. premium Use housing on larger lots. 4 Village from a good location up slope This is golf course. Moderate the housing or premium could go here, and the amenity value enhanced by landscaping along the drainage parkway. Village 5 area must be built partially on five to This eight feet of fill. be will excellent, Views of the golf course to as will access recreational facilities. the Use either type of housing. Village 6 long views over the golf outstanding and from the areas allowed by zoning densities and Valley. other course Transfer densities go vertical with hotel or premium condominium A apartments. resort hotel here would have to be self supporting since it couldn't count on using the golf course or recreation due to saturation of memberships. club Donate the unusable (too steep) portions of the hillside area to a non-profit organization such as the Boy Scouts to create a tax write-off. 66 Butzen Property Adjacent to Scripps, carry through the health care theme with optometrists, stores, out-patient dentists, drug services, medical store, supply elderly housing facilities, etc. Seventh Street For the commercial section close the to Ramona Expressway, build a shopping center to draw Valley. For the residential portion, build apartment density Investigate units, the On Ramona Expressway, leave room for a motel. high from the east and north of people public however, legislation is complexes. for funding recent federal to expected subsidized tax curtail this option which was popular with syndicators. Design Criteria C. 1. The image of setting. Site Design Criteria plan proposed in the thesis was guided by site site: the a liesure community a in an park-like Following methods suggested in "Site Planning" by Kevin Lynch and Gary Hack, a computer design program was used to pile up series of overlays that a blocked off regions of the site unacceptable for development for such as excessive grade or cost, existing easements, vulnerability to or reasons difficulty in acquisition, small or irregular size, flooding those storm flows, poor ground, incompatible development, lack of access, seismic zones, and so on. Several site visits were made at different times of 67 the day over a one month period to gain a personal sense of site. Aerial the photos were taken that showed the health species of plants, traces, traffic flow, erosion, and adjoining land uses. building location and repair, and activity The compiling of information and images about the site lead to a sense the of site character, views, unique locations, problems, and potential paths. Circulation, environmental restraints and views played a dominant were role in the site design. dealt The numerous easements with by aligning circulation routes along them. The Claremont Fault Zone was filled by the realignment of two golf fairways to create a view corridor from the intersection of Soboba Road and Main Street into the green interior of the site. The on-site storm flows have been incorporated into a stream system that provides opportunity for additional landscaped parkways. The vegetation of the golf course stands lush stark contrast along its edges. uniqueness, the to the arid mountains and dry flood of the golf course in plain of To emphasize and take advantage realignment out this creates a greeen edge along Main Street with a low site perimeter fence that permits views of the golf course and lakes. The Irvine villages historically most stable, settlement. Company most uses the name have tended to be the most easily identifiable because "Village" kind enduring, of human A village includes the support uses and services for daily and weekly use for residents in a given 68 geographic area. The proposed site plan includes a variety of with a local market or commercial center at the of Main Street and Soboba Road, intersection a recreation restaurant between Villages 4 and 5, supporting services at the Scripps site, uses, center a medical center and an and with apartment complex and shopping center on the Seventh Street parcel. addition, hillside there is (Village potential for a resort complex 6) that can increase the on In the entertainment, shopping, and dining resources of the area. Each component neighbors, and constructed of the site plan looks outward yet is self contained to the point it can be Buckley suggests master planned provide a sense of security and identity, cohesive its in discrete phases. Michael preferred to physiological theme influences on projected which are human by a master planned create a strong marketing image. districts clearly activity. project A can Specific suggestions to be included in the site design are: o plan to provide continuity master Coordinate of design areas. o Use tall fan palms and view corridors to link the site from the Club house. o course to provide both security and advertise the beauty of Provide night lighting on the golf the area. o Minimize maintained developer open public by a spaces homeowners that have association. to be The has had negative experiences in setting 69 up homeowners' associations. for the associations responsible common any to hold difficulty areas or facilities, finds that for There is a tendency himself in in thus developer maintaining the developer involved in a project much anticipated. phased the over associations can Since longer development is several become years, focal to be homeowners points for opposition to subsequent development. o Maximize number of units on golf course edge. o Reduce lawn areas and add arid planting to reduce water required for planting. o Fill lying area to be built on to a low minimum elevation of 1567 to get buildings above the flood Don't plain. golf expand Village 5 further into course because it would create an island the of sticking up ten to thirty feet above the level of the golf course and block views from the housing club house. o Develop a project plant list that includes the following species with lesser water demands: Flowering plants: Lemon bottlebrush, Nerium oleander. Foliage plants: Hopseed bush, Yucca. Vines: Bougainvillea, Cape honeysuckle. Trees: Olive, Palms, Pines. Ground cover: Rosemary, Ice plant. 70 Lantana, 2. A Architectural design criteria sense of cohesiveness can be architectural themes are used. o Design for developed if common Specific suggestions include: hot -- climate wide covered walkways, southeast building orientations. o Use Spanish theme of red tile tan stucco roofs, walls, balconies, ceilings, interior courtyards buildings with fountains. light open in An beam public excellent building to use as an example is the Pacific Savings Bank headquarters at 19th and Newport Beach Boulevard in Costa Mesa, California. o design criteria -- Seismic design for worst case required by building codes. D. Phasing of Development From the very start it is important to develop a master plan for the total project with specific site plans for area. the each If land is sold to builders or other developers during course of build out, established plan unless require the builders to follow the they buy the entire development. Constantly test the market for all types of product, ready to and revise the program before initiating a new phase. If absorption is slow and carry costs become excessive, land for residual development by others -- always value to phase build out value, compare for sell land and either sell to other builders for build-out and early cash flow or hold build directly. be and The choice between moderate or premium units the following phases has been made based on 71 anticipated PROPOSED DEVELOPMENT SCHEDULE 1/716 1/86 ,/8 1/87 1/89 /Q19 I/88 101 Q I/90l /93' 1/92 Land Acquisition Village 2a 200 du Moderate Village 3 96 du Preiaum BUILD Q ODCCUEL O Prem 0 -"-'- O BUILD Vitloge 4a 81 du Moderate CCUP OBUILD Village 1 42 du Moderate Y O Village 4b 227 du Moderate BUILD OCCUPY O Vitlage 2b 200 du Moderate BUILD B -D _ O Village 5 26 du Preiumi Village 6 25 oc Scripps 20 ac Seventh St CCUPY __ C ULD 0 O D SELL LAND DURING THIS PERIOD UP ' y CLINIC COMPL V Y BUILD MEDICAL SUPPORT FACILITIES OR SELL LAND DURING THIS PERIOD TSELL ANYTIME AFTER REZONING 40 ac Figure 18 72 profits (see Appendix Figure 18 shows 5). the sequence graphically. The Scripps Clinic has been built as the first phase. The City constructed site permit The portion of be the 2. the first 200 moderate dwelling units in this area as least site preparation is second phase starting along Soboba Road and realignment will to units residential Village the progressing This will increase population while around toward the river. the 200 before a bridge is built. requiring Build the will preparation of the golf course and site around The first two hundred units permit the City to issue tax-increment bonds and begin golf course is initiated. bridge construction. At the same time, build congregate care facility adjacent to Scripps Clinic. The third single premium units phase is Village 3 composed of 90 family dwellings next to the of lake. Realignment of the golf course holes is completed during this phase, as is rough grading of the hillside area and placement of and local phase is Village 4a with 81 moderate units for Villages 4 and 5. fill The fire station market on Main Street are also completed. fourth The across the realigned fairways from Village shopping center first phase goes in 3. now Scripps The as does the completion of medical related offices adjacent to the Scripps clinic. The fifth phase is 42 units of Village 1 adjacent to the levee. 73 moderate housing This phase is not in started property, allow for acquisition of the Althouse to earlier and installation of the drainage culvert across Main Street, construction of the bridge over the San Jacinto River with an underpass to Village 2. The Soboba along dwellings family phase is for the 227 moderate single sixth Road in Village 4b. new The center and club house should be completed by recreation the end of this phase. housing The seventh phase is the remaining 200 moderate units in Village 2. The eighth phase is the 26 high end units in Village 5. The last phase complex apartment is or hotel the resort development on Village 6 condominium (the Hillside area). Assume a density of 8 du/ac times 25 acres is allowed for total a 6. Village in second phase is The Scripps shopping center adjoining apartments times allowable hotel at this time along with the low to moderate income completed du/ac of 200 dwelling units or rooms in a 20 acres the center. of 10 apartments is Assume a density for a total of 200 on the Seventh Street site due to inclusion in a PUD designation. At the final build out, approximately 1266 dwelling units will have been created on the three parcels, along with a medical center and shopping center. 74 IV. SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS A. The impact of Proposition 13 Article tax property on limitation a places which XIII A of the State Constitution), statewide (now California voters approved Proposition 13 In 1978, revenues the in following ways: o The an tax rate is limited to property overall of one percent of full cash value (market maximum The value) of land and improvements to the land. among amount raised by this tax rate is allocated all taxing agencies as prescribed by law. o The only tax rate that may be applied to the value of property in addition to the one percent is a a of approved by two-thirds rate rate, taxing cover entity's voters and/or a rate sufficient to a taxing entity's voter-approved bond indebtedness obligations that existed prior to June 6, 1978. o The property values to which the maximum rate is applied are limited to the full cash value (market value) as of the 1975-76 base year, for: only increases A plus two maximum annual percent adjustment for inflation in value of property; the of value reassessment improvements any current full market to property; to value when property changes ownership (is sold). Prior greater to the revenues infrastructure passage of Proposition and were more for new developments. 75 13, willing cities to had provide After Proposition 13, expect developers to pick up much more of cities front the end costs and also charge increased fees to the developer for connection For example, The Irvine Company estimates that in fees, etc. the sewer including plan check fees, services city of City fees processing Irvine the regulatory often exceed the cost to plan and design a development. the In City to prior Irvine of 13, Proposition infrastructure was paid for by the city and 10 to 15% of the This increase in 30 to 35% of the home cost. is cost the improved land Now, home cost was in the improved land. the as land component is due to inflation of land values as well the a As in infrastructure costs to the developer. shift result, builders' profit margins have been reduced from 10 to 20% down to 6 to 8%. determines the developer is -- homebuyers the in the cost of process of the not price for units, the If construction. to pass on the cost cannot they market to costs infrastructure is to lower their profit margins in the short run developers since shifting of impact The acquiring land and knows of the infrastructure costs, then he will be willing to pay less for the land, who owner will ultimately be called and it is the land on to for pay infrastructure. If a project developer, lowering reasonably available is the not economically capital costs to feasible a revenues will support the often the first point of attack. 76 level for a where project is The project's capital costs can be lowered by reducing the size, the project may by using less expensive will not close the financial gap, be materials and However, when conventional approaches to reducing finishes. costs or scope, and amenities of available alternatives to reduce capital other cost. alternatives One of these is to reallocate the costs to the parties will benefit from the development, that such as the community-at- large and the future users of the development. B. Public Financing Incentives One of the affects of Proposition 13 was to effectively prevent the authorization and sale of new general debt secured by property taxes. obligation Additionally, Proposition 13 affected the ability of local governments to provide services financed what by California cities community growth. the value developing have property tax had to find other ways Prior to Proposition 13, revenues. to when and maintaining infrastructure of unincorporated county support cities weighed of increased property taxes against the annexation land cost of considering into their After Proposition 13, cities look to developers boundaries. to are now reduced finance infrastructure costs and see annexation as a tool for generating additional revenue. Annexation is initiated by a city or landowners in a two step process: First, a submittal is made to the Local Agency Formation Commission (LAFCO). evaluates terms of site, and whether This independent county agency annexation makes sense for contiguous land areas and ability to makes a recommendation to the 77 the city service commission in the board of composed two county two special district representatives, and one at- officials, large representative. The decision is very political. If there is The second step is made at the city level. for support 100% without is resolution if more than 12 voters reside on the annexing the If there is a public hearing. the property has less than 12 and support and land the the city adopts a resolution then property), owners the annexation by (required inhabitants property adopted if less than 26% 100% then a the ownership If 26% to 51% of then an election of all the ownership interests are opposed, owners within the effected area is called for and a When the property simple majority is needed for annexation. is not voters, of interests are opposed at a public hearing. property city elected two supervisors, inhabited by 12 or more voters, procedure a similar is followed. In the case of Soboba Springs, the property was annexed This means it was an exclusive of the existing trailer park. legal owner. annexation approved by the land uninhabited rulings leave this annexation in since it creates an island of County land, question, the this and is currently in the process trailer park with no opposition from the If the annexation, then date. challenged residents of the however, and this has been determined to be against policy for annexation. recogized Recent trailer The City has of annexing residents park oppose the annexation of Soboba Springs could as well. If this were to occur, 78 to be then the voters of loss annexation, contesting change favorable the battles court lengthy in result could this amenity, private their as view the golf course residents in Since the what could be developed on the site. determining existing voice strong a park could become trailer the within in density allowance gained by changing venue from the County to the of City support to build loss City, consequently, bridge, the and Fortunately, termination of the development. no opposition has appeared. redevelopment financed project of a establishment of creation project this for applicable tax assessment special a include by considered vehicles financing public primary The of use the a increment bonds, district, and/or forms of development of of a Other Mello-Roos district. public financing are discussed in Appendix 3. The Redevelopment Authority 1. of One the areas specific tools for in a redevelopment authority. agency is the the establishment A redevelopment authority is public from a and can assist development by taking advantage of established community city assisting to remove "blighted" areas its tax-exempt status and assisting in public approvals. In 1980, the San Jacinto Redevelopment Agency was formed pursuant to the Community Redevelopment Law of the State California (Health and Safety Code Section 33000 et. of seq.). The City of San Jacinto on May 3, 1983 requested the Board of Supervisors authorize of the County of Riverside to designate the San Jacinto Redevelopment Agency to 79 and undertake the park. trailer is development This area is not however, blighted, for revenues to increase anticipated and course the area around the golf of redevelopment its the Soboba Springs is contiguous to "blighted" city as a whole. of the City of San Jacinto and within the territorial limits the of County the authorized City Redevelopment Agency Redevelopment Project. Provisions using and of San Jacinto San the the undertake to the 1983, Law of the Community Redevelopment low-, for very low-, for Jacinto require affordable and moderate income through lowering the house price, County Springs Soboba minimum of 20% of the funds raised a housing 17, On May Riverside. families funding infrastructure, or lowering the rents of rental units. Thus, the use of public financing requires setting aside at least 20 % of the housing units for affordable housing. The increment Authority Redevelopment financing, can raise creation of Mello-Roos funds by tax or districts, special assessments. 2. The increment Tax increment financing San Jacinto Redevelopment Agency intends to use tax financing as its primary source of financing increment allocates the future Tax revenue. increase property tax revenues due to increased property values in specific area to pay for bonds to assist the in a area's development. Cities with statutory 80 powers to form tax increment ILLUSTRATION OF TAX INCREMENT FINANCING moniesare allocatedto Tax increment Agencyas it the City'sRedevelopment incuresdebt (debtincurredas a result intereston of capitalimprovements, bonds,etc.) X C0 At the ......--.......-- t Additional tax nonies allocated to the redevelopment agency ,C -K - 0 CITY COUNTY CITY COUNTY SCHOOLS SCHOOLS SPECIAL DISTRICTS SPECIAL DISTRICTS Additionaltax mnies allocated to the redevelopment agency completion of the projectall the taxes generated Additional tax monies allocated to the redevelDpment agency CITY CITY COUNTY SCHOOLS SPECIAL DISTRICTS COUNTY SCHOOLS SPECIAL DISTRICTS revert back to the original allocation between the different juri sdictions: CITY X COUNTY SCHOOLS SPECIAL DISTRICTS -C etc. YEAR OF PROJECTAREA ADOPTION 1st. YEAR AFTER ADOPTION etc. etc. 2nd. YEAR AFTER ADOPTION 3rd. YEAR AFTER ADOPTION etc. 4th. YEAR AFTER ADOPTION etc. ? YEAR COMPLETION OF THE REDEVELOPMENT PROJECT Figure 19 81 have districts the capability of status to support development. using their tax-exempt When redevelopment activities are successful the property values within, as well as around, the Redevelopment Project Area will increase. financing Tax increment allocates to the city or redevelopment agency all property taxes resulting from increased assessments generated within a project area as illustrated in Figure 19, tax increases and school pledged including that would otherwise go to county districts. This revenue stream government can then to finance interest and principle repayment of exempt bonds. These bonds finance public investments can land include site relocation, acquisition, building improvements, and be tax- which demolition, public various improvements within the area. An of amount independent appraisal determines the maximum financing that will be available. Underwriters of bonds set a limit on the bond issue equal to one third of the total asset value of the encumbered property. over An area of dispute the appraisal lies in whether the appraisal is based on the future value of the fully improved lots, land value after infrastructure completion, or unimproved land. are treated like other kinds of bonds by bonds (Moody's), Tax increment being rated insured (Ambac), and issued by underwriters (Dean Whitter). As available The a financing tool, to tax increment financing has cities and counties in California since basic authority that is provided to cities and 82 been 1952. counties is provided for in the State Constitution and is contained in These Sections 33000 et. seq. of the Health and Safety Code. provisions permit the agency to borrow money, allow a city or county to advance funds, and authorize the issuance of bonds for redevelopment purposeds. principle The provision, This provision Section 33670 of the Health and Safety Code. Article implements Constitution XVI, 16 Section for the allocation of of financing local redevelopment in Section 33670 contained for taxes property purposes economically in a which permits the Legislature to provide, way, authority California the of specific in contained is however, The activities. makes projects most value feasible in that it freezes the assessed within the Project Area at the time the redevelopment Plan is adopted by produced and provides that any property tax revenue an increase in assessed value over the frozen base may be by utilized redeveloping conjunction with indebtedness is repaid, thereafter increment is the base is unfrozen and the paid to all of all When area. the in incurs the agency to repay indebtedness it tax this local taxing entities within the Project Area. As example, an received various a project area was assessed an assessed value of to on $15,000,000, the the $10,000,000 would continue to flow taxing entities and the taxes resulting at Area and as a result of development the Project $10,000,000 increased if taxes to the from the $5,000,000 would flow to the Agency. At the end of the redevelopment project life, the taxing 83 agencies will receive tax revenues based on the new, assessed value in the Redevelopment Project area. higher The tax increment which was flowing to the Redevelopment Agency now flow final analysis, revenue Area. lose to all the other taxing agencies. other taxing agencies will in the reap the benefits of the redeveloped and revitalized It the is true that in the short term, tax previously higher the Thus, revenue above the stated, assessed base Project taxing value; will agencies however, as they do gain the long-term benefit of valuation of the area which may not a have occurred without the efforts of redevelopment or the catalyst of reinvestment of these revenues into the Project Area. City funding is usually split between various groups or programs on a district is created, district due to inflation is not passed on to the The city district, percentage programs county basis. the increase in include funding flood When a tax revenue for control district, the increment from programs. local etc. that If school these programs anticipate an increase in operating costs that will not be covered by increased operating funds (due to a ceiling on revenues from the tax increment district), they may sue to preserve their tax increment and block the establishment of the new tax increment district. Initial economic impact and projections relative to tax increment financing revenue for the Soboba Redevelopment Area is difficult to determine without having conclusive knowledge with regard to: 1) negotiated 84 agreements with taxing agencies; 2) Project valuation trends; 3. Area of growth; 3) assessed tax requires and 4) future legislation. Special assessment districts Financing approval of infrastructure two-thirds established by an through of the district to bear the tax. be rate a new voting public By comparison, within an assessment can agency subject to a protest of majority of the voting population or land owners within proposed district. the parcels of accomplishment parcel so land that will of some specific benefited estimated costs a the The use of benefit assessments involves establishment of an area or district all the and is be encompasses benefited public assessed which by improvement. for a portion expenses involved for an the Each of the established length of time, and in an amount proportional to the parcel's relative benefit as compared to the other parcels in the district. An starts independent third party, engineer, do gained not represent an estimate of the by each piece of property for the allocation that having the ability to with make 85 the legislative certain The interpretation, have the right to protest the method and engineer, value development. of benefits is an art subject to assessment property incremental is why an impartial third party is required. owners why The assessments are in the form of a matrix relative value of improvement between pieces of and the assessment out with the simplest assessment spread and sees it doesn't work. of the Property formula body modifications of then or amendments to the assessment at the public hearing. an assessment district which are benefitted reason, the within it is necessary to include properties Sometimes assessment district properties must pay assessments. cannot but, for some proceed if such For example, although the existing trailer park will receive benefits from installation of not the boundaries of an assessment district could a bridge, In such cases, assessment district creation. may still of these properties for fear of rejection include the the district (the proceed if those supporters of the district developer, the city, or some other agency) are willing to pay the assessment upon those properties. existed for The trailer park many years without a bridge (the has road asphalt and the construction of a bridge runs across the river bed), appears to benefit the new development (it is a condition for going forward), so why should the long-time residents pay for it now? Public assessment agencies will support the establishment an of district because it benefits the community in the following ways: o Provides timely completion of needed infrastructure. o Certainty of completion (must be done within 3 years). o City will manage development of infrastructure through their own staff. o Requires payment of future improvements by other than existing residents. When districts are formed 86 to build public capital improvements, to bonds are usually sold and their proceeds used pay the cost of construction, and incidental expenses. term and right of way acquisition, The debt service is paid over of the bonds from the annual installments of principal interest received from the assessments levied. cases the fixed assessment against each parcel is lien similar approximately interest. level to an annual amortized payments The assessment liens, the In most secured by mortgage, of a with principal and then, are financed through the issusance of bonds payable over a period of providing the years, advantage to the property owners of thus deferred funding for the improvements. Assessment features. o district financing has several attractive These may include some or all of the following: Financing costs are relatively low compared to private financing. o Larger construction possibly projects may be resulting in lower unit prices feasible, and the spreading of fixed costs over several owners. o Each benefited party pays his fair share of the costs. o Each property owner can decide if he is willing to incur the cost in return for the benefit he receive. If there isn't adequate support by will the owners the project can be abandoned. o Piecemeal example, construction can be avoided. For an entire street can be improved under a single contract rather than relying on each 87 owner to improve his own frontage over a long period of time. There are also some possible negative factors that should be considered: o Some projects, primarily such as those that provide a general public benefit rather than a special benefit to the immediate vicinity, may not easily lend themselves to benefit assessment financing. o Many assessment together". public districts are hard to "put If several owners and/or more than one agency considerable are time involved in may be the project, required to a reach sufficient consensus to proceed. o Some may additional costs are involved which may or not be offset by the savings mentioned above. These include costs of preparing the required report, special legal counsel, cost of issuing the bonds, and additional public agency administrative effort. o The inherent drawbacks are that assessment practice is not altogether streamlined, requiring complex administrative choreography down to minute detail. amounts Assessment bonds are often and are sold to specialized in small buyers, are somewhat expensive compared to other kinds public bond issues. 88 and of Assessments have a bad public image. in are The constituents find something suspicious the legalistic notion that special assessments not taxes even though they Therefore elected officials feel run the the same. risk of attack. o The boundaries of the political jurisdiction conducting the proceedings automatically limit the boundaries of the assessment district unless consent and jurisdiction can be obtained from the other political jurisdictions. Improvements that can be financed through assessment districts include the following: Grading Sidewalks Sanitary sewers Storm drains Street lighting Streets Curbs and gutters Fire protection Flood protection Water supply Gas supply Retaining walls ornamental vegetation Parks Parkways Stabilization of land off-street parking facilities The evolutionary edge is assessments for fire police stations, libraries, schools, stations, and transit systems. Assessment districts have also been used to acquire improvements and, where authorized, to pay the existing annual operation and maintenance costs of certain public facilities. The district is created by act or vote of residents for 89 a specific bonds purpose with the power to levy taxes for improvements. improvements represents municipality found a special long-term float assessments for loan the from to the developer at interest rates below in the conventional market. special and The and Merchants can those also use assessment districts to pay for private improvements services, removal, such as increased police protection or the development of a pedestrian mall, trash and improved lighting. Although financing tax increment is intended to be resource Redevelopment to Agency, retire the debt of it is their intent to use the primary the Soboba assessment district vehicles authorized under California Law (inlieu tax allocation majority of bonds) as the debt instrument to of finance the improvements required in the Project a Area, and to use tax increment revenue to retire the annual debt of This approach is advantageous the assesment district bonds. for several reasons: o The liability of the debt is placed on the present or future instead property owners within of property owners-at-large, the district unless is available to retire the annual increment tax debt liability. o It provides an incentive for the property owners to proceed with development at an accelerated rate in to order Agency and assume tax increment to liability. 90 minimize their flow annual to the debt o It provides financing the Redevelopment Agency with a vehicle which is readily marketable in today's economy. o It insures that the major project improvements are constructed at the earliest possible time. Inasmuch as the security for the bonds is based upon the security the of the land being assessed, the price or value bonds will somewhat vary according to the extent of security. Underwriters generally will take of the into consideration the following items in determing their pricing: o Improved versus unimproved parcels. o Second home and resort home versus primary residence. o Growth pattern of area. o Size of parcels and number of property owners. o Term of bonds. o Zoning, land use and governmental restrictions. o Terrain and topography. o Land-locked parcels. o Slide protection improvements. It is $2,000,000 improvements estimated that the bridge will have to $2,500,000 associated and with estimated cost of $8,000,000. using that the other a cost infrastructure specific plan have an Financing of the improvements tax exempt assessment district financing would in savings over conventional financing by a Redevelopment of developer. result The Authority's authorization to issue bonds is in 91 place, and bonds will be issued after the first two housing units are in place. progress hundred The wait until development is in is expected to result in lower bond costs and also provides time for a redesign of the bridge to provide through access between Villages 1 and 2. A also of special landscape and lighting assessment district is anticipated to pay for maintenance of the public ways. Special vehicle. assessments are a desirable right financing They are exempt from Proposition 13, no 2/3's vote is required, and they are not subject to the 1% property tax limit or the GANN spending limit. The is use of the 1913 Act procedures with 1915 Act coming into more frequent use in the southern area. This fund California procedure requires establishment of which the assessment engineer must bonds a reserve estimate and structure into his engineer's report and into the assessments on the various properties. There are two broad categories districts are initiated. either owners of assessment public or in response to deficiencies category being by one or more developers, portion which The first being by public agencies, on their own initiative, petitions by and property the other seeking to meet of their improvement requirements by the a assessment district process. It is possible improvements with the for the developer assessment to district install the subsequently 'buying' the public improvements, if the developer can handle the cash flow. 92 As a general rule, the property should increase in value at least the amount of the assessment assessment represents a specific beneficial to that property; portion taxes of because capital for this reason, the principal even though that may be collected on his tax bill. do not In the improvement an assessment is not deductable from the of the property's owner, engineers levied income assessment practice, assessment evaluate the benefit-cost ratio for the improvement on any particular property. 4. Mello-Roos Districts On January 2, Act of 1983, the "Mello-Roos Comunity Facilities 1982" became effective. This statute formation of community facilities districts, are authorizes which districts authorized to provide certain additional public services or facilities to be financed through elector-approved special taxes or funded through special taxes securing long-term debt for construction of public facilities. Mello-Roos districts are not financed by property taxes. This District can be formed by any local agency (City, County, School District, Special District) for the purpose of providing additional services or facilities secured by annual special for long-term request written body, pay taxes or facilities secured by special taxes to or debt. signed The District is formed by two members of either the by a legislative a petition submitted by not less than 10% of the registered voters within the proposed District boundary. After initiation, the 93 legislative body adopts a Resolution of Intention describing the facilities indicating the need for a special tax to pay for the expenses, and and stating their intent or services to a time and place fixing hearing on the establishment of the District. hearing, if fifty percent (50%) or more of to proceed, be provided, for a costs public At the public the registered voters within the proposed District or the owners of one-half or more of the area file written protests against (1/2) establishment of the the proceedings District, the shall be upon conclusion of the public hearing, the abandonded. If, legislative body determines to proceed, establishing the District is adopted. Resolution a Since the Mello-Roos District requires additional expenditures by property owners, it is limited Payments tax local by the ability of the homeowners to pay. for a Mello-Roos assessment are considered made and currently are deductible for income a tax purposes. Private financing sources C. D&S Company has no specific hurdle rate (desired rate of return on investment) which it uses in evaluating prospective projects. To obtain construction financing, D&S must show an anticipated profit margin of 15 to 20%. The profit margin is calculated as follows: Profit/Costs = (Income - Costs)/Costs There is no adjustment for the time value of money since their or projects to date have been of short duration (one year less). construction The current plan for Soboba Springs is lending village by village that they 94 to plan seek to construct, and to sell off land for other sites for others to develop. Construction lending 1. Loan amounts cover 80% of the total income from the sale of the units. prime plus 1-1/2% or 2%. 90 to 120 anticipated Interest rates are typically at The developer applies for the loan days prior to the start of construction when tentative map approval has been granted by the City (approved with conditions). The loan is made on recording of the map (vested rights), payments. first and funds are released period, no significant mobilization back formula unit, funds are The lender deducts interest earned against funds loaned from the progress payments. pay progress Although a land draw charge can be made during the available. to against the principal on the sale of each house calculated where The developer is required the as 110% of the release price in for release price equals the total loan a each value prorated per housing unit. astute construction consider Hemet such as Wells Fargo are banks While utilizing has concentrated over a lending, financial billion the known developer institutions in dollars in should the also Valley. accounts savings in banks located on Florida Avenue. their for There are almost three times as many bank accounts as there are people in Hemet, suggesting that Hemet is a regional banking center. Local banks with significant resources and a real estate development department include Hemet Federal Savings and Loan 95 Other banks with and Inland Savings and Loan. resources in the community include Bank of Savings and Loan, considerable Hemet, American Home Savings of America, and Great Western Savings. Developer equity 2. It is not anticipated debt equity can be used for acquisition, thus, the front-end acquisition costs must borne by the developer and any investors. land is Daon. covered For under several agreements with example, on paydown can funding for be required a Village obtained? because partnership of Lasky his and separate of payment there is a question before experience is construction brought was is, that and Based on the developer's schedule, resources. to In addition, whether the Daon note can be subordinated, full Butzen the Daon note is at 12% with principal at fixed times. be Acquisition of the prices for individual parcels requiring release land into the financial equity of up $7 million will need to be invested in the project by the end of 1986 to cover initial land and development costs. Investor equity -- 3. syndications was negative. development plans, changing of experience previous Sidlow's syndication Too little scale small with flexibility in and how do you let somebody out the deal when they have their own financial emergency? Investor equity -- 4. A could joint venture joint venture with a medical partner such as Scripps homeowner's housing be created that balanced the investment with reserves for medical expenses, 96 i.e., provide discounted medical service for residents of the development. As an alternate, joint venture with provide reverse mortgages. equity position over local banks to The banks would obtain increasing time in the residential units in exchange for lower debt service payments. Private contributions -- 5. Solicit health for those the or private trusts. Assist in of a local citizens' group to continue to citizens. to contributions to studies on aging from national organizations formation foundations funds to support a public facility the solicit for elderly The development of a congregate care center next Scripps Clinic is the start of a medical center for the aging. 6. Soboba investment more Land sales Associates plans to create value for their by converting the land use from desert living intensive uses, create a master plan, obtain necessary entitlement to do so, develop infrastructure, first two phases of housing, and sell land. construct the The land values will have greatly increased over their initial values due adjoining can to development. By selling land, Soboba Associates shorten their length of involvement in the project minimize risk of hitting a downturn in the market. be sold to match cash flow needs, to and Land can or retained to participate in increased futures value. Land to follow can be sold to other developers with master plan and design 97 guidelines. restrictions The Irvine Company carefully by the technique uses guidelines The Irvine Company builder's proposal includes a proforma shares the a marketing 1% product. a target then The Irvine marketing fee at the recorded Company of time sale (the Irvine In addition, the shares in builder profit in excess of the The Irvine Company shares 50% of the profit excess of 8% and less than 10%, of the subdivision fee goes toward financing marketing by The proforma profit. excess with design The land price is paid Company of the total development project). in for requests in the increased price in proportion to builder as soon as there is a plus Irvine achieved If the builder raises the prices of his value of the land in the base price. map, issues over the value set in the agreement, Company they however, and the sales price range of the target profit margin of 8%. by sale; to builders and specifies the planning and proposals units land control the end product and profit range builders. The of 10%. and 60% of the profit in forward with five years, then If the developers do not go development within a specific time, i.e., Soboba Associates has an option to get ownership back for established right of price. Soboba Associates should retain refusal to control other developers coming "flip" ownership to a third developer. 98 an first in to V. ALLOCATION OF COSTS AND BENEFITS TO THE PARTIES A. Proforma/Cost Estimate The developer's proforma 1. The developer, Soboba Associates, is familiar with short term projects such as acting a as builder These projects are of a preparation has been done by others. or two year duration, not been as important as the overall profit to be The Soboba the completion of build out may and versus tail end housing sales revenue prepared for that financing schedule land of eight take the timing of the front end infrastructure costs years, proformas realized. From the start project is different. to has and the timing of cash flows one acquisition site where each component (or is critical. Village) include an estimate of "carrying Static have been costs" for development that must wait to match the absorption for each phase. Starting a phase before there is enough demand to purchase the units will increase total costs due to the relatively high costs for carrying construction financing. The estimates of revenue, costs and profits for component are summarized as follows: 99 each SUMMARY OF DEVELOPER'S PROFORMA Type Phase Number of Dwelling Anticipated Profit Selected Units 3E3EE=- Moderate $ 895,000 Village 1 Yes 42 24 Premium 725,000 Village 2a Moderate 970,000 Yes 200 Village 2b Moderate 570,000 Yes 200 Village 3 Moderate 995,000 Village 1 Village 3 Village 4a Village 4a 215 Premium 1,095,000 Yes 90 Moderate 1,350,000 Yes 81 Premium 45 955,000 Yes 227 Village 4b Moderate 1,255,000 Village 4b Premium 1,070,000 103 37 Village 5 Moderate 205,000 Village 5 Premium 245,000 Yes 26 Village 6 Premium 300,000 Yes 200 Golf Course N.A. -0- Yes -0- Scripps/Butzen N.A. 50,000 Yes -0- Seventh Street Moderate 1,340,000 Yes 200 TOTAL * ** $ 8,070,000 * 1266 ** Total includes only selected alternates. Total includes 950 moderate units and 316 premium units. 100 The City's proforma 2. There are several areas in which it is desirous that the City take an active role in supporting this project, is thus it will to estimate what the City of San Jacinto important gain by doing so in economic terms. "The New Practitioner's Guide to Fiscal Impact Analysis" by Burchell, Robert David Listokin, and William Dolphin defines fiscal impact analysis as: current, public costs and "A projection of the direct, revenues associated with residential or non-residential to growth the local jurisdiction(s) this which in growth is taking place." There are several different methods which can be used to most appropriate excess estimates of expected local The Case Study approach requires or deficient service with faced for small rapid growth cities large complex developments. the The Case Study Method is cost-revenue impact. analyze service That responses. and capacities specific is, estimates are made of how the new development will impact the of each governmental department. expenditures This method provides the greatest detail of analysis, however, it is time consuming and expensive. The Inc. Per based to City of San Jacinto contracted currently Ultrasystems, provide a less costly analysis largely based on the Capita on with Multiplier method. preliminary in analysis The following information received on the progress and has been adjusted to reflect 101 is study the development scenarios described above. The results of the City's proforma are: Revenues $ 104,000 Property Taxes Other Taxes Licenses and Permits Intergov't Revenues Charges for Services Use of Money and Property Fines and Forfeits Miscellaneous (EMWD) 274,000 0* 68,000 29,000 0 1,000 202,000 Total Revenue $678,000 Expenditures $ 46,000 INCL 148,000 11,000 80,000 General Gov't--Departmental General Gov't--Non-Dept. Public Safety Public Works Parks, Recreation, Culture 11,000 69,000 204,000 Sewer Capital Outlay Miscellaneous (EMWD) Debt Service--Principal Debt Service--Interest 10,000 7,000 $586,000 Total Expenditures $ 92,000 Expected Annual Increase In City Cash Flow Due to This Project * In addition to the annual increase in cash flow, there are also one-time fees generated by the project as follows: Property transfer tax on initial sale Permit and Processing fees Total One-Time Revenue The Fiscal $ 80,000 7,260,000 $7,340,000 Impact Analysis is based on the method of calculation shown in detail in Appendix 6. B. Benefits and risks of development to city The financial City of San Jacinto evaluated its projected capability to meet the funding requirements of its 102 CITY OF SAN JACINTO REVENUES AND EXPENDITURES 1976 1977 1978 1979 1981 1980 1982 1983 1985 1984 REVENUES Property Taxes Other Taxes Licenses and Permits Intergov't Revenues Charges for Services Use of Money & Property Fines and Forfeits Miscellaneous TOTAL REVENUES 10 t) $104,296 104,319 16,414 348,962 37,450 11,059 11,668 431,711 $1,065,879 $127,141 130,599 20,577 388,650 45,092 25,966 6,003 581,314 $184,783 191,172 42,122 408,432 99,713 29,468 10,435 491,679 $85,814 304,070 41,926 511,667 133,372 47,847 13,369 687,308 $163,363 356,369 40,242 511,216 151,589 48,897 15,324 454,233 $190,615 286,515 60,758 924,717 179,801 78,750 23,970 94,710 $227,376 380,737 73,498 476,657 254,814 117,869 20,651 45,768 $230,442 453,401 57,750 796,044 179,625 109,682 19,179 97,461 $266,686 511,667 245,939 918,729 182,525 159,153 22,881 52,515 $378,694 571,956 268,357 696,787 222,298 238,725 12,385 58,200 $1,325,342 $1,457,804 $1,825,373 $1,741,233 $1,839,836 $1,597,370 $1,943,584 $2,360,095 $2,447,402 EXPENDITURES Current Gen't Gov't - Dept Gen't Gov't - Non-Dept Public Safety Public Works Parks, Rec, Culture Sewer Capital Outlay Miscellaneous Debt Service Principal Repayment Interest and Charges TOTAL EXPENDITURES NET CHANGE TO CITY BALANCE SHEET d $140,998 92,029 243,600 145,358 86,464 0 0 314,133 $130,238 $222,701 136,451 447,900 194,404 108,477 4,622 0 274,458 $239,035 109,998 455,697 154,800 66,003 4,104 117,888 609,552 $231,414 143,497 321,431 137,996 64,581 10,380 255,778 386,928 71,099 650,418 264,034 67,403 43,026 92,292 310,734 $199,809 171,165 608,066 332,814 71,321 21,419 62,647 0 $183,307 15,658 642,578 305,845 118,559 49,552 182,670 0 $142,103 79,486 555,540 364,702 71,457 45,972 197,081 0 $147,445 90,932 634,969 320,472 69,133 65,084 474,791 53,615 $169,741 125,345 821,951 242,755 93,279 56,833 257,865 0 10,000 3,938 14,000 3,580 25,938 0 17,100 0 16,500 0 15,000 900 15,000 300 0 1,186 0 0 39,800 24,000 $1,774,177 $1,746,920 $1,483,141 $1,513,469 $1,036,520 $1,468,409 $1,414,951 $29,359 ($143,067) $42,853 $51,196 ($5,687) (D C) Note: Data after 1980 do not include Eastern Municipal Water District under Miscellaneous. $356,695 $83,901 $1,457,527 $1,856,441 $1,831,569 $486,057 $503,654 $615,833 population as it currently exists, growth" posture services. and determined that a "no would lead to stagnation and a decline in Therefore, the city is interested in developments which can provide a net economic benefit to the city. In addition to the direct benefits of development, there are other benefits that ripple through the example, community. increased retail sales due to a revitalized For retail area and new stores will mean more sales tax revenues for the City. New residents in the Project Area will increased population-based revenues. New job result in opportunities mean less people receiving unemployment subsidies. The impact of this development on the cities finances is significant. Figure expenditure project data 20 shows the for the period 1978 City revenue through 1985. will provide net positive cash flow to the $ 92,000 per million. and This City year in addition to the one-time fees of This compares to recent City net cash of $7.3 flows of approximately $500,000 per year. The carry risk through construction risk, master the to the City is that the as planned, will not financing and To mitigate this City can delay construction of the bridge until a plan has been started. Redevelopment Project been issued to date. Redevelopment challenge especially after of the bridge has occurred. construction the developer approved and Although significant the Soboba has been established, housing Springs no bonds have Since the area itself is not blighted, Project could be the object of from a disgruntled group (such as an 104 a legal under-funded school It board) based on being an inappropriate use of funds. is suggested the developer have his legal counsel review this risk with the city attorney. Another impact demographics brought on the be the change in group of on by the addition of a new people to the community. will City will The new group, probably retirees, tend to make San Jacinto more like Hemet. An increase of 25% in the City's population due to this development could lead to changes in the community power structure, even though the retirees are not as politically active in the Valley as younger individuals. C. Benefits and risks of development to developer The golf included golf course and loses money when carry costs the continued ownership and operation course will be a drain on resources unless are sold to recoup the investment. golf course can be sold to the City, may not unwise for developer to lose the memberships however, the funds for the purchase and the of Soboba Associates assumes the have are it control the City would of its be major amenity. If the (absorption especially Return houses risk) if don't sell as as anticipated then financing costs will be compounded, the units have been built and remain unsold. of housing units or land sales during escrow or purchasers who default relatively small risk. then quickly a on seller financing is from usually a If the developed land sales are slow, primary source of raising revenue will 105 be delayed. The depth of the partners pockets (Sidlow and Lasky) is not known, however, staying power is assumed. This type of project is different than the projects D&S Company is usually involved in. Instead of one project which can be completed within 12 months, term development Soboba Springs is a project that can go through two or long three economic cycles. If the project is not master planned, the developer runs the risk of a change in City policy at any time restrict further development. phases of product master the that cannot change to meet approved as detailed required, design however, Approval moderate for units subsequent for the PUD, a total developer market into conditions. for each phase Thus, can be downward modification with count a for Conceptual it may be wiser unit a By increases in density at later date are subject to opposition. Plan could Early zoning approval for all development can lock the planning, that to of show 1400, specific all with Subdivision Map approval at a later date. By pursuing a diverse set of options for individual parcels, Soboba Associates can spread their risks. The environmental impact report implies there will be an impact on the educational system requiring $1.2 million schools and buses. the with development for If a covenant is placed on the deeds for of an adults only community in accordance City zoning ordinances for a Senior Overlay District -- no school age children allowed -the school system. then there is no impact on Although City zoning ordinances indicate 106 it is possible to limit ages within a district and two of the housing subdivisions surveyed in Appendix 1 comparable have such restrictions, there is a question whether such districts can stand legal challenge based on a age discrimination. thesis does not delve into the legality of City of This zoning Jacinto ordinances, however, it is San suggested the The use developer have his legal counsel review this issue. of a PUD designation instead of Senior Overlay District will legal issues and require negotiation of the $1.2 avoid the by the school board requested million (headed by Clayton Record -- board, the developer can point out that the development will annually In negotiating with the see Appendix 4). provide about $340,000 to the school board school through County of Riverside ($68.0 million x 1% of property valuation x 50% of of distribution property taxes collected by the generated) even if there are no school age children in funds the development. To minimize risk, the developer wants to position itself to be able to get in and out quickly by minimizing up costs and being prepared to sell off improved front lots. The developer will be best positioned with a detailed master plan and estimate of residual land value for each Village. D. Distribution of costs and returns The thesis million, build could out of the project area as proposed in lead to increased property values of not counting the Seventh Street Shopping Center the hillside resort in Village 6. 107 this $68 or To achieve this goal, on- and off-site infrastructure costs are paid for directly site by the developer ($5.2 million), through fees ($7.3 million), issue indirectly by the developer bond and by the City through a for the bridge ($5 million). the In many instances, fees appear to be a duplication of charges when the developer is the installing infrastructure. project No of this magnitude has been built in the City of San Jacinto to and the date, an creation of a master planned community provides opportunity the for City and developer to sit down and negotiate the magnitude of fees charged, credits for off-site of the fees generated by the project. be to used and specific use installed by the developer, infrastructure widen Main Street and For example, fees can install a signalized intersection at Main Street and San Jacinto Street that benefit new will the entire community as well as the residents of the The development. expertise, developer, due to construction may be the most appropriate entity to build a new fire station on Main Street on land donated in Village 2, if the costs can be credited toward fees. negotiations Similarly, Municipal are required with Eastern of Water District to finalize the magnitude fees and off-site infrastructure required. The and details of land use, allocation of between the City, costs infrastructure should be worked requirements, out in detail EMWD, and the developer, and formalized in a written understanding. VI. CONCLUSIONS As noted in "Managing Development through Public/Private 108 Negotiations" by Rachelle Levitt and John Kirlin, the growing practice of public/private bargaining raises four key issues: an acceptable, striking o realistic enduring bargain that is in and has the approval of key parties the political arena. norms satisfying o equity groups and affected that permit all legitimacy and of (stakeholders) to political individuals public making through representation at decision in participate meetings. political Ensuring o accountability lets that bargaining be perceived as an appropriate exercise political of decision making and as not inappropriate "zoning for sale." value Creating o for both the private and public sectors is the key to successful bargaining. thesis has focused on determining the This use for a specific site, to applicable the process outlined other large scale projects is the where private sectors interact to determine the and public many however, appropriate final outcome. Projects city of and and temper regulatory policies in the light of what learn, local positions if economics negotiators finance they can survive the problems of implementation learn about development and developers learn to operate in the fishbowl politics and adjust their plans to cope with political realities. 109 and negotiating Success can be achieved for both parties if: o The city and developer work together to establish project feasibility in the early stages. Both o parties are willing to consult and revise agreements when circumstances change. o Both become increasingly committed to having a project as they get deeper and deeper. o Both show great flexibility and ingenuity in coming up with solutions to unexpected problems. The create City Soboba Springs development is value for the developer, government, cooperating in and the an the users of the site, community as working out a master plan value can be enhanced for all parties. 110 opportunity a for whole. to the By development, APPENDIX 1 Soboba MARKET ANALYSIS Associates conducted a preliminary market by placing a questionaire in the golf course restaurant. results of the study (based on 78 completed forms) are: 1) 2) What is your current residence location? San Jacinto 32 % Hemet Other 38 % 30 % What is your employment status? 64 % 36 % Retired Employed 3) 4) Where is your employment located? Hemet/San Jacinto Riverside County 40 % 17 % Other 43 % Current residence: 91% Own 9% Rent 5) How would your home be utilized? 85 % 15 % Primary home Vacation home 6) What type of home do you currently have? Condominium Single family home Mobile home 7) 8) 13 % 51 % 36 % How many people live in your home? One Two Three or more 6% 86% 8 % Size of home desired? 1 bed/l bath 1 bed/2 bath 2 bed/2 bath 3 bed/2-l/2 bath 4 1 60 35 111 % % % % study The Price of home desired? 9) Under $60,000 $61,000 to $75,000 $76,000 to 90,000 $91,000 to 100,000 Over $100,000 9% 24 % 28 % 15 % 23 % When would you be interested in purchasing? 10) Within six months 33 % 45 % Six months to one year One to two years A survey 22 % of building permits in the Hemet/San Jacinto area gave the following data: Single Family Housing Multi-family Housing No. of Units Cost/ Unit No. of Units Value (000's) Value (000's) Cost/ Unit 28 28 Year San Jacinto 102 101 121 14 Hemet 71 5,558 5,184 4,833 504 54 51 40 36 171 4,784 36 0 1,000 0 27 973 4,404 18,011 19,173 62 58 573 333 266 173 13,670 6,998 51 40 218 359 5,042 7,445 544 A survey of 14 comparable development 1985 1984 1983 0 36 1982 1985 1984 1983 1982 31 23 21 39 projects in the Hemet/San Jacinto area gave the following data: Price per Project Name Sq Ft Cummulative Sales 1 2 3 4 5 Unit Size Remaining Units Single Family Detached 21 28 32 40 45 1150/1400 97 Bel Air Estates 64/70 962/1428 53 25 30 39 40 47 58/74 Fairview 33 1375/1628 72 38 59 84 83 51/55 Jacinto West 311 1431/1918 51 89 0 0 0 Mirador Pointe 53/59 0 980/1766 0 0 9 14 0 50/69 Olive Meadows 32 1042/1644 78 87 63 67 55 58/68 Sanderson Est. 992/1500 59 0 4 13 0 0 57/70 The Groves 2 1096/1490 10 4 0 0 0 58/63 Visalia Vistas -------------------------------------------------------TOTALS Incremental Sales 50/74 139 189 236 300 363 -- 50 112 47 64 63 962/1918 587 Project Name Price per Sq Ft Attached/Townhouses Lincoln View 55/65 57/59 Sunrise TOTALS Incremental Sales 55/65 Unit Size Remaining Units 0 33 0 49 0 58 13 61 28 75 1140/1628 188 1 1030/1075 33 -- 49 16 58 9 74 103 16 29 1030/1628 189 sales were monitered at the ends of Cummulative Note: Cummulative Sales 3 4 5 1 2 the month with 1 = January 1985, 2 = April 1985, 3 = July 1985, 4 = December 1985, and 5 = March 1986. Two of the developments have allows no one under 18 years of age, one owner to be older than 41. age and the other Meadows suitable lot requires For single family sizes range from 3500 sf to 8000 sf. The Olive project has ceased marketing and been unable to for get had taken its fourth phase which is currently being financing. reservations one None of the developments have an amenity such as a golf course or view. homes, restrictions: The Jacinto West revised. 113 project APPENDIX 2 -- DEVELOPMENT FEES the The City of San Jacinto charges the following fees for Soboba Springs Project: Tentative Tract Map 13,300 Checking Final Tract Map 16,650 Off-Site Improvement Plan Check Fee 1-1/2% of installation cost Off-Site Improvement Inspection Fee 3-1/2% of installation cost General Plan Amendment 5,650 Environmental Impact Report addition to City fees, In charges District offset partially fees by contract cost + 25% the Eastern Municipal of up to $2,000 per unit specific developer Water which payments are for infrastructure needed for the project, i.e., new pump for the sewage station, lift additional 500,000 extension gallon of water water tank to be mains, sited and on an the developer's hillside property. The total estimated value for fees is roughly $5,000 per unit for a $65,000 dwelling dwelling. 114 and $7,000 for a $90,000 APPENDIX 3 -- OTHER METHODS OF PUBLIC ASSISTANCE Federal Programs -- 1. Housing and Urban Development Federal funding is not frequently used because there are In cities like Irvine, there may be difficulty in qualifying community. due to the relative prosperity of the funds for consuming. time many regulations and processing is too too In San Jacinto, a city that needs the funds, there may not be for funds enough staffing to go application the through procedures. Community Development Block Grants o Construction financing costs can be reduced by advancing CDBG to funds low- or zero-interest (thereby months expenditure). prime freeing the CDBG low relatively the city has a budgeted projects for expenditures will not be constructed CDBG the when a rate for CDBGs and when many expenditure to for developer mortgage construction for a "interim" for funds several Because construction loans are normally pegged rate, which has been high and uncertain in recent years, the interest paid for construction financing is a significant capital cost. than market-rate interim Therefore, financing can lower provision of be a significant subsidy. on Based funds. The Anybody successfully extension gets county the cities or districts compete for these funds proposals submitting system. current population levels, can obtained that are ranked based compete $200,000 for funds. on The in CDBG funds for scoring a City a to an affordable housing complex elsewhere in 115 by has sewer the City. Urban Development Action Grants o The program is used to UDAG fund construction local projects that stimulate private investment to create jobs and improve the tax base. Investment tax credit (Federal) o tax credits (ITCs) are available for certain Investment expenses of renovation and and rehabilitation are not been most applicable to new construction projects. 2. Eminent domain Eminent used commonly by domain for urban renewal and community development. local public agencies or authorities, Under this procedure, The development. land for public agency purchases land at its fair state under operating has public authorities statutes, assemble market value and sells it to private developers for use under a publicly approved development plan. domain is the authority to acquire property for Eminent a purpose in the public interest. public Even lightly. agency is to action, It is if eminent domain is exercised, required by law to hold public the hearings pay the owner fair market value, or is entitled. she property, it Once the city can dispose of it through land land costs, or land write-down. 3. has Land lease 116 public on the and to give to the occupant all relocation benefits and allowances to he used not which obtained lease, the shared than capital or air rights leases require less initial Land purchase outright by the lease land A developer. reduces the amount of debt that a project must support as portion of the project cost as the land does not need to The financed. equity tax favorable which structure, than a land that enables investment in aspects of the development lease consequences -- for in example, can be depreciated over 15 be reduced, In addition, thereby reducing the developer's risk. have is needed for the project a years, the rather which is a deductible business expense and in in land, nondepreciable. the In additon to on a reasonable and predictable basis. years over can require that land leases escalate Cities conventional leases, a city can lease land with an option for the developer to purchase at a later date based on fair a market appraisal. Leasing potentially offers the city two main advantages: the ability to control the site through continual and share a appreciation Springs, the in future profits through of the property value. ownership, income rental In the case of and Soboba golf course could be sold to the City and the club facilities leased back to Soboba Associates. 4. Shared land costs Shared land costs result in savings to the developer and the city. preparation For the example, costs of land and site can be shared by the public and private partners where the developer gains a site of prime location that could not be purchased on the open market, 117 and the city obtains much needed housing and an increased tax base. Land cost write down 5. Land write-downs reduce the front-end capital costs of a project by subsidizing the difference between the actual cost of acqusition General and clearance and the cost to the general revenues, Development obligation Block Grant (CDBG) funds, developer. Community bonds, and other local funds might be a source of financing. 6. Tax Tax abatement abatement can provide relief for overall financing cost of a project because a reduction in local property taxes reduce operating expenses and result in an increase will operating net income Because the financing (NOI). in of a project is directly related to NOI, an increase in the amount of cash can be obtained through equity Tax incentive. developments, abatement however, could it is be the used not a use for popular of this commercial of form assistance. 7. Industrial revenue bonds Industrial revenue bonds (IRBs) are extremely helpful to businesses that need assistance in financing the of land, equipment. local and the purchase of Normally, the power to issue IRBs is vested in a development financial have the construction of buildings, acquisition authority. The obligation for repayment, authority assumes so that a company no must sufficient financial resources to ensure prompt payment of principal and interest over the life of the loan. 118 Companies IRBs. derive several advantages from the cost of funds provided by IRBs is The use of significantly below that of other alternatives because the interest paid to of holders income such taxes. government bonds is exempt from federal and state This exemption is technically a loan to that is reloaned to the company. private financing is around 12 percent, the When long-term it is not unusual to find IRB rates of roughly 9 percent. 8. Mortgage revenue bonds Mortgage for revenue bonds (MRBs) provide initial housing and reduce debt service obligations to groups through governments, a form of interest capital targeted subsidy. through lending institutions, Local issue tax-exempt MRBs, which like IRBs take advantage of lower interest rates. State housing finance agencies have also used MRBs. issues have been used to facilitate home ownership some moderate-and the Although middle-income households, encouraging thereby stabilization of population and in-migration in Funds can be institutions and rehabilitation. precommitted designated Municipalities holders of MRBs, repay to builders for new for and cities. lending construction or have a moral obligation in contrast with the to municipality's legal obligation to repay general obligation bonds. The City of San Jacinto General Plan is currently revised in accordance with State of California The State requires housing for all sectors of the Other being guidelines. community. cities in Riverside County have not followed the State guidelines to provide 20% low and moderate income housing and 119 the City State to moderate of San Jacinto is experiencing pressure make up this deficit by income providing from the low and 50% housing for new developments within their jurisdiction. The median $22,125. To moderate income obtain for the City mortgage of San revenue bond Jacinto is financing income housing requires pricing units such for that a family of four making 80% of the median income ($17,700) can afford the units. debt If a limit of 35% of annual service is used, approximately income for this works back to a housing price of $60,000 for a 10% loan with 10% downpayment. However, these calculations do not apply for a retired couple who can afford an outright purchase and have minimal annual earnings. 9. Cities General revenue are disinclined to use city general funds or reduced by special funds because: o General funds 13 proposition revenue -- have been drastically due to the drop in there is less to property tax around, so go allocation to a new use is resisted. o Contributions to the general existing property owners, pressure funds and there is come from political to return the benefits of those funds to than new City councils are reluctant to use general revenues for the existing property owners, rather owners. 120 land development affordable prices projects for housing unless it results housing. based on market demand. change due to city participation, housing sets The developer typically If housing in prices won't why lower the costs to the developer and allow windfall profits? Instead, cities are more willing to support commercial/retail development because it increases revenue through sales taxes while demanding less of city services. 10. General obligation bonds Bonds which obligate all of the taxpayers in the city to pay improvements targeted for a specific area for not are likely to be passed. 11. Loan guarantees/subordinate financing Loan guarantees/subordinate financing can be provided by the municipality to enable a developer to obtain financing terms -of e.g., extension of the amortization period Sources loan and reduction of the interest rate. a financing include CDBG and UDAG funds, such city that are receiving income from UDAFs. pledged revenues, for a guarantee, it is important If income Otherwise, the entire pledged for one development, the against the income, amount of income could which might never make a be claim and the city will have no flexibility to guarantee other projects. 12. is some that limitations be established on the amount and duration of pledge. of tax increment financing, and UDAG repayments in foundations, cities beneficial Lease revenue bonds Lease revenue bonds can be blocked by a referendum. 121 Tax allocation bonds 13. In Tax allocation bonds are not subject to referendum. public revenue bond finance legislation required California, cities to avoid sponsoring competitive projects. Special Taxes 14. As an option, special taxes require a 2/3's vote and are by Proposition 13. authorized and improvements, and of likelihood much area or if the be obtained any other way, cannot uninhabited the tough road to haul is the receipt of a Unless the voters want something very favorable vote. County can taxes the necessary revenues for various public facilities provide that Although special is the land owner is anxious to develop, the an example, the a 2/3's vote is slim. As of Riverside Flood Control District recently (1983) solicitied the 2/3's vote for three service areas, the result was a defeat by a 2 to 1 margin. Developer exactions and fees 15. Recently demand for public agencies have broadened the extraction for facilities the developer to provide funds which serve beyond the area of the subdivision, operation and maintenance payments, the subdivisions, and such items conjectually related to such as low income housing and other items which serve the general needs of the Community. The private sector's motto is: "You get what for." Increasingly popular among public officials, public sector analogue: for the infrastructure you pay is the "You pay for what you get." through development fees 122 and Paying user charges long have been used as a Since Proposition 13, infrastructure. for means paying for public agencies have substantially increased fees such as development and building permission fees, utility connection fees, user charges, and even questionable impact fees. fees drive down the value of the land on the Developers Fees can't be passed on to the homeowner open market. market sets the price, not mark up over cost), developer therefore, the willing to pay less for the land is (the to maintain profit margin. SB 1322 Rehabilitation Districts 16. A recently districts rehabilitation districts. redevelopment of majority passed senate bill allows the formation property provided they do In a rehabilitation owners (not 2/3) can not overlap district, set of aside a up to twenty-five percent of the property tax funds to go toward for a bond issue. payments funds, rather it This method does not raise new property tax reallocates current use of funds and establishes this use as a priority over other users of funds. 123 INFLUENTIAL PERSONS IN HEMET AND SAN JACINTO APPENDIX 4 The individuals vital to the success of a project in the San Jacinto been have area ranked into three The tiers. individuals with primary importance are: Ross Namar, San manager of Hemet. Trammel Ford, SJ city manager and former Jacinto. city A dominant leader. San New SJ city Jacinto. member; council realtor. New SJ city council member; School Les Redding, San Jacinto. member; District member Soboba Springs Country consultant; Club. SJ city council member; Friday for Mark Devine, San Jacinto. Lunch Bunch; follower - not initiator, son of Jeff Devine. R.J. Stevens, San Jacinto. A long time member of the SJ city council. Hixson, Richard San Chairman Jacinto. planning SJ commission. Dave Plank, Ver Vice chairman San Jacinto. SJ planning commission. Ed Westal, San Jacinto. SJ planning commissioner. Herb Colbertson, San Jacinto. Ray Carlson, San Jacinto. Record, Clayton president Stone; SJ planning commissioner. Jacinto. director Board; Bank County owner of Charter director of Exchange Club; Supervisors, School San SJ planning commissioner. Hemet; of Riverside; Nestee, and past and Brudin, eight years on Board Chairman of San of major SJ dairy; 124 member Friday for of Jacinto Lunch Bunch; member Soboba Springs Country Club. Supervisors; of Board County Riverside. Ceniceros, Kay recent president of SCAG (Southern California Association of Governments); former assistant to Clayton Record; responsible and preserves in for requirement county areas; by bridge for proponent concerned environmentally developer; agriculture Daon of limitations for influential with county departments. Jeff Devine, San Jacinto. Father of Mark Devine; realtor and of subsidized apartment complexes in owner SJ; the behind scenes power. Individuals with secondary importance to decision making in San Jacinto are: John Brudin, Hemet. Civil engineer; member Exchange Club; director Bank of Hemet; Friday for Lunch Bunch; member Soboba Springs Country Club; quiet power. David Kelley, Member Exchange Club; Hemet. citrus grower; state legislature assemblyman; Friday for Lunch Bunch. John Past Hemet. McDonough, president Chairman -of the board Bank of Hemet; Pacific Friday Bank; member Valley Economic for Lunch Bunch; Exchange Club; formerly with Security Development Council; member Soboba Springs Country Club; quiet power. Dennis Mayer, San Jacinto. President SJ Junior College; member Economic Development Council; Friday for Lunch Bunch. Jim Gill, Hemet. Owner of both newspapers in San Jacinto and 125 Hemet; member Morning Kiwanis Club; Friday for Lunch Bunch. Don Baskett, Hemet. Previously no. 2 in Riverside County Development department; Hemet city council member; Hemet Mall manager; member Valley Economic Development Council; Friday for Lunch Bunch. Bruce Wallis, Hemet. of YMCA; Attorney; Hemet School Board; President member of Morning Kiwanis Club; Friday for Lunch Bunch. Bob Eichinger, Council; Hemet. director Member Valley Economic Hemet Development Valley Federal Savings and Loan; Friday for Lunch Bunch; member Soboba Springs Country Club. Bill Aldridge, San Jacinto. President Eastern Municipal Water District; Friday for Lunch Bunch. Jack Tangeman, Hemet. Hemet Casting president; member Valley Economic Development Council; Friday for Lunch Bunch. Past president Exchange Club; William Record, San Jacinto. dairy cousin of Clayton rancher; Record; director Inland Savings and Loan. Dan Hollingsworth, Club; active in San Jacinto. member Exchange Dairyman; fund raising for Republican congressional campaigns. Jerry Uecker, of only Republican Past president Exchange Club; manager Hemet. stock brokerage firm in the valley fund raiser; director Bank of (Paine Hemet; Weber); director Inland Savings and Loan. Kenneth Hyatt, Hemet. Bank of Hemet; Past president Exchange Club; director president Hemet Insurance Soboba Springs Country Club. 126 Service; member Jack director Automobile dealer (Ford Hemet. Gosch, of Bank Friday Hemet; dealerships); Non- Bunch; Lunch for governmental entrepreneur. projects a on Individuals tier third of relative importance to San Jacinto are: in Head of major real Hemet. James Agnew, firm; director Savings and Loan; Inland brokerage estate Lunch Friday for Bunch; member Exchange Club. John Culton, Principal in Brubaker and East Hemet. Culton real estate brokers; member Exchange Club. Jim Cox, Donnelly; Partner in legal firm with Dan Hemet. member Exchange Club. Joe Pehl, deals Past president Exchange Club; CPA for land Hemet. and taxes of influential people in valley; Friday for Lunch Bunch. Member Exchange Club; director Hemet Hemet. Marvin DeBrask, Savings and Loan. Dan Donnelly, Past president Exchange Club; partner Hemet. in legal firm with Jim Cox. Tom Broderick, Hemet. Ken Edwards, Hemet Valley Hospital administrator. Riverside. Head of Riverside Head of Flood County Control District. Leo Flint, Riverside. Riverside County Road Department; listens to Kay Cineceros. An individual of considerable 127 wealth but unknown due importance lack to of involvement in community organizations and lack of following is: Jim Miner, East Hemet. Montana; Owner of 500,000 acres in Wyoming and major natioanl Democratic fund raiser (Ted Kennedy head of flew to Hemet to pick up a campaign contribution); Agra Empire which owns and leases extensive land holdings in valley; Hot original developer of Soboba Springs Golf Course and Springs; owns Park Hill - prominant location middle of the valley for siting water tanks; water district board. 128 in the son is on state APPENDIX 5 The DEVELOPER'S PROFORMA following proformas have been adjusted to reflect the phasing of each component through the land cost financing No guess has been made for the rates of inflation duration. of either the sales price or the construction cost. Village 1 - Moderate Housing 42 price 945 sf; $20,000 for family detached houses of single units; at $65,000 plus fairway premium of each unit. Revenues 42 units @ $65,000 base price 2,730,000 42 units @ $20,000 fairway premium 840,000 less sales commission (2%) (70,000) less marketing (3%) (110,000) Land (200,000) Costs Construction 42 units x 945 sf x $35/sf (1,390,000) On-site/Off-site ($5,000/unit) (210,000) Architectural/Engineering ( 30,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits ($5,000/unit) (210,000) Taxes/Title/Legal ( 20,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 40,000) (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 40,000) Indirect Finance - Land (3-1/2 yrs @ 12%) ( 85,000) Finance - Construction 1/2 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue (170,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) ( 80,000) Anticipated Profit 129 $ 895,000 Village 1 - Premium Housing 24 units; units with family detached houses of single which 8 1350 sf are 3 bedrooms/2-1/2 bathroom homes of a base bedroom/2 price of $90,000 and 16 units bathroom homes of 1200 sf with a base of $80,000. are 2 price In addition, there is a fairway premium of $30,000 for each unit. Revenues 8 units @ $90,000 base price 720,000 1,280,000 16 units @ $80,000 base price 24 units @ $30,000 fairway premium 720,000 less sales commission (2%) (55,000) less marketing (3%) (80,000) Costs (200,000) Land Construction (345,000) (615,000) 8 units x 1350 sf x $32/sf 16 units x 1200 sf x $32/sf On-site/Off-site ($7,000/unit) (170,000) Architectural/Engineering ( 20,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits (170,000) ($7,000/unit) Taxes/Title/Legal ( 20,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 25,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 25,000) Finance - Land (3-1/2 yrs @ 12%) ( 85,000) Finance - Construction 1/2 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue (130,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) ( 55,000) Anticipated Profit 130 $ 725,000 Village 1 - Moderate Housing for the Althouse Property 115 units; price single 945 sf; $20,000 for family detached houses of at $65,000 plus fairway premium of 33 units. Revenues 7,475, 000 115 units @ $65,000 base price 33 units @ $20,000 fairway premium 660,0 00 less sales commission (2%) (160,0 00) less marketing (3%) (245,0 00) Costs -0- Land Construction (3,805,000) 115 units x 945 sf x $35/sf On-site/Off-site ($5,000/unit) (575,000) Architectural/Engineering ( 75,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits ($5,000/unit) (575,000) Taxes/Title/Legal ( 50,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) (110,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) (110,000) -0- Finance - Land (780,000) Finance - Construction 1 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue (220,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) Residual land Residual Land Value $ value includes price for land, 1,430,000 profit, carrying cost of land between time of land purchase and when market will absorb additional 115 housing units. 131 and time Village 1 - Premium Housing for the Althouse Property 51 units; single family detached houses of which 17 and 34 units are 3 bedrooms for $90,000 base units are 2 addition, bedrooms for $80,000 price price. base In there are fairway premiums of $30,000 for 19 units. Revenues 17 units @ $90,000 base price 1,530,000 34 units @ $80,000 base price 2,720,000 19 units @ $30,000 fairway premium 570,000 less sales commission (2%) (95,000) (145,000) less marketing (3%) Costs -0- Land Construction 17 units x 1350 sf x $32/sf (735,000) 34 units x 1200 sf x $32/sf (1,305,000) On-site/Off-site ($7,000/unit) ( 355,000) Architectural/Engineering ( 60,000) ($7,000/unit)( 355,000) Taxes/Title/Legal ( 40,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 60,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 60,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits -0- Finance - Land Finance - Construction 1/2 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue ( 230,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) ( 120,000) Residual Land Value $1,260,000 Residual land value includes the price of the land, profit, and carrying cost of land between time of purchase and time when the market will absorb an additional 51 units. 132 Village 2a - Moderate Housing 200 price at units; $65,000. single family detached houses of 945 Also includes 1 acre sf; commercial local site. Revenues 200 units @ $65,000 base price 13,000,000 100,000 1 acre @ $100,000 less sales commission (2%) (260,000) less marketing (3%) (390,000) Land (1/2 of $1,170,000) (585,000) Costs Construction 200 units x 945 sf x $35/sf (6,615,000) On-site/Off-site ($5,000/unit) (900,000) Architectural/Engineering (150,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits ($5,000/unit) (1,000,000) Taxes/Title/Legal ( Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 190,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 190,000) Finance - Land (2-1/2 yrs @ 12%) ( 175,000) Finance - Construction 1 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue (1,250,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) ( Anticipated Profit 133 $ 50,000) 375,000) 970,000 Village 2b - Moderate Housing 200 units; price single family detached houses of 945 sf; at $65,000. Revenues 200 units @ $65,000 base price 13,000,000 less sales commission (2%) (260,000) less marketing (3%) (390,000) Costs Land (585,000) (1/2 of $1,170,000) Construction 200 units x 945 sf x $35/sf (6,615,000) On-site/Off-site ($5,000/unit) (1,000,000) Architectural/Engineering ( Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits 150,000) ($5,000/unit)(1,000,000) Taxes/Title/Legal ( 50,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 190,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 190,000) ( 385,000) Finance - Land (5-1/2 yrs @ 12%) Finance - Construction 1 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue (1,250,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) ( 365,000) $ 570,000 Anticipated Profit 134 Village 3 - Moderate Housing 215 price units; single family detached houses of 945 sf; $20,000 for at $65,000 plus fairway premium of 118 units and park premium of $10,000 for 30 units. Revenues 215 units @ $65,000 base price 13,975,000 2,360,000 118 units @ $20,000 fairway premium 30 units @ $10,000 park premium 300,000 less sales commission (2%) (330,000) less marketing (3%) (500,000) Costs (1,500,000) Land Construction 215 units x 945 sf x $35/sf On-site/Off-site ($5,000/unit) (7,110,000) (1,075,000) Landscaping of park ( 50,000) Architectural/Engineering (150,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits ($5,000/unit)(1,075,000) Taxes/Title/Legal (100,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) (205,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) (205,000) Finance - Land (3 yrs @ 12%) (540,000) Finance - Construction 1-1/2 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue (2,390,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) ( 410,000) $ 995,000 Anticipated Profit 135 Village 3 - Premium Housing 90 units; single family detached houses of which 30 and 60 units are 3 bedrooms for $90,000 base units are 2 addition, bedrooms for $80,000 price price. base In there are fairway premiums of $30,000 for 67 units. Revenues 30 units @ $90,000 base price 2,700,000 60 units @ $80,000 base price 4,800,000 67 units @ $30,000 fairway premium 2,010,000 less sales commission (2%) (190,000) less marketing (3%) (285,000) Costs (1,500,000) Land Construction (1,295,000) (2,305,000) 30 units x 1350 sf x $32/sf 60 units x 1200 sf x $32/sf On-site/Off-site ($7,000/unit) ( 630,000) Architectural/Engineering ( 70,000) ($7,000/unit)( 630,000) Taxes/Title/Legal ( 50,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 105,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 105,000) Finance - Land (3 yrs @ 12%) ( 540,000) Finance - Construction 1/2 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue ( 500,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) ( 210,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits Anticipated Profit 136 $ 1,095,000 Village 4a - Moderate Housing 81 units; price 945 sf; $20,000 for family detached houses of single at $65,000 plus fairway premium of 36 units and park premium of $10,000 for 25 units. Revenues 5,265,0 00 81 units @ $65,000 base price 36 units @ $20,000 fairway premium 720,0 00 25 units @ $10,000 park premium 250,0 00 less sales commission (2%) (125,0 00) less marketing (3%) (190,0 00) Land (81/308 x $900,000) (240,000) Costs Construction 81 units x 945 sf x $35/sf (2,680,000) On-site/Off-site ($5,000/unit) ( 405,000) Park Landscaping ( 50,000) Architectural/Engineering ( 60,000) ($5,000/unit)( 405,000) Taxes/Title/Legal ( 40,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 75,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 75,000) Finance - Land (3 yrs @ 12%) ( 85,000) Finance - Construction 1/2 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue ( 300,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) ( 155,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits Anticipated Profit 137 $ 1,350,000 Village 4a - Premium Housing 45 units; single family detached houses of which 15 units are 3 bedrooms for $90,000 base price and 30 units are 2 bedrooms for $80,000 premiums of In addition, base price. $30,000 for are there 20 units plus fairway premiums park of $15,000 for 9 units. Revenues 15 30 20 10 units units units units @ $90,000 @ $80,000 @ $30,000 @ $15,000 1,350,000 2,400,000 600,000 150,000 base price base price fairway premium park premium less sales commission (2%) ( 90,000) less marketing (3%) (135,000) Land (45/148 x $900,000) (275,000) Costs Construction 15 units x 1350 sf x $32/sf (650,000) 30 units x 1200 sf x $32/sf (1,150,000) On-site/Off-site ($7,000/unit) ( 315,000) Park Landscaping ( 30,000) Architectural/Engineering ( 40,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits ($7,000/unit)( 315,000) Taxes/Title/Legal ( 20,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 55,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 55,000) Finance - Land (3 yrs @ 12%) ( 100,000) Finance - Construction 1/2 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue ( 210,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) ( 105,000) Anticipated Profit 138 $ 955,000 Village 4b - Moderate Housing 227 price units; single family detached houses of at $65,000 plus fairway premium of sf; 945 $20,000 for 24 units and park premium of $10,000 for 21 units. Revenues 227 units @ $65,000 base price 14,755,000 24 units @ $20,000 fairway premium 480,000 21 units @ $10,000 park premium 210,000 less sales commission (2%) (310,000) less marketing (3%) (465,000) Land ($900,000 - $240,000) (660,000) Costs Construction 227 units x 945 sf x $35/sf On-site/Off-site ($5,000/unit) (7,510,000) (1,135,000) Park Landscaping ( 50,000) Architectural/Engineering (150,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits ($5,000/unit)(1,135,000) Taxes/Title/Legal (120,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) (215,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) (215,000) Finance - Land (4 yrs @ 12%) (315,000) Finance - Construction 1 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue Contingency (5% of construction cost) Anticipated Profit 139 (1,480,000) (430,000) $1,255,000 Village 4b - Premium Housing units; 103 single family detached houses of which 34 and 69 units are 3 bedrooms for $90,000 base units are 2 bedrooms for $80,000 price price. base In there are fairway premiums of $30,000 for 14 addition, units and park premiums of $15,000 for 10 units. Revenues 34 69 14 10 units units units units @ @ @ @ $90,000 $80,000 $30,000 $15,000 base price base price fairway premium park premium $3,060,000 5,520,000 420,000 150,000 less sales commission (2%) (185,000) less marketing (3%) (275,000) Land ($900,000 - 240,000) (660,000) Costs Construction 34 units x 1350 sf x $32/sf (1,470,000) 69 units x 1200 sf x $32/sf (2,650,000) On-site/Off-site ($7,000/unit) (720,000) Park Landscaping ( 30,000) Architectural/Engineering ( 75,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits ($7,000/unit) (720,000) Taxes/Title/Legal ( 60,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) (120,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) (120,000) Finance - Land (4 yrs @ 12%) (315,000) Finance - Construction 1/2 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue (440,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) (240,000) Anticipated Profit 140 $1,070,000 Village 5 - Moderate Housing 37 units; price 945 sf; $20,000 for family detached houses of single at $65,000 plus fairway premium of 25 units. Revenues 37 units @ $65,000 base price 2,405,000 25 units @ $20,000 fairway premium 500,000 less sales commission (2%) (60,000) less marketing (3%) (90,000) Costs (350,000) Land Construction 37 units x 945 sf x $35/sf (1,225,000) On-site/Off-site ($5,000/unit) (185,000) Architectural/Engineering ( 30,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits ($5,000/unit) (185,000) Taxes/Title/Legal ( 20,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 35,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 35,000) Finance - Land (6-1/2 yrs @ 12%) (275,000) Finance - Construction 1/2 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue (140,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) ( 70,000) Anticipated Profit 141 $ 205,000 Village 5 - Premium Housing 26 units; single family detached houses of which 9 are 3 bedrooms for $90,000 base price and 17 are 2 bedrooms for $80,000 base price. premiums In addition, there are fairway of $30,000 for 18 units. Revenues 9 units @ $90,000 base price 17 units @ $80,000 base price 18 units @ $30,000 fairway premium 810,000 1,360,000 540,000 less sales commission (2%) (55,000) less marketing (3%) (80,000) Costs Land (350,000) Construction 9 units x 1350 sf x $32/sf 17 units x 1200 sf x $32/sf (390,000) (655,000) On-site/Off-site ($7,000/unit) (180,000) Architectural/Engineering ( 30,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits ($7,000/unit) (180,000) Taxes/Title/Legal ( 20,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 30,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 30,000) Finance - (275,000) Land (6-1/2 yrs @ 12%) Finance - Construction 1/2 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue (130,000) Contingency (5% of construction cost) ( 60,000) Anticipated Profit 142 $ 245,000 Village 6 - Hillside Perform fill for created. rough grading to create building pads and use acres are Assume 25 buildable Village 5. Obtain zoning approval for 200 hotel/condo units under PUD designation and sell land. Revenues 25 acres @ $150,000/ac $3,750,000 less sales commission (10%) (380,000) Land (500,000) Cut/Fill/Compact for Village 5 (200,000) On-site/Off-site ($4,000/unit) (1,200,000) Costs ( 30,000) Architectural/Engineering Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits (600,000) ($2,000/unit) Taxes/Title/Legal (100,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 30,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 30,000) Finance - Land (3 yrs @ 12%) (180,000) Contingency (add'l 3 yrs land carry) (200,000) Anticipated Profit 143 $ 300,000 Golf Course - 18 hole championship course Revenues 200 memberships @ $20,000 average $4,000,000 Land (2,500,000) Costs (500,000) Realignment of 4 holes (1,000,000) New Club House and Restaurant $ Anticipated Profit The fairway -0- real value of golf course is in the $4,900,000 for prices. In premiums accrued in Village housing addition, relieved of debt service and with greater usage due to build out of the development, the club house restaurant will operate at a profit difficult to estimate this time. 144 and at Scripps Clinic/Butzen Property Accurate information on costs associated with the Scripps Clinic are unavailable and have been estimated. Revenues $3,000,000 Scripps Clinic ($300,000 annual rent capitalized @ 10%) 1,500,000 15 Acres @ $100,000/ac less sales commission (2%) (60,000) less marketing (3%) (90,000) Costs Land (2,000,000) Construction (1,500,000) On-site/Off-site ( 50,000) Architectural/Engineering ( 30,000) Fees/Bonds/Insurance/Permits ( 30,000) Taxes/Title/Legal ( 20,000) Overhead (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 40,000) Indirect (2-1/2% construction & site) ( 40,000) Finance - Land (1 yrs @ 12%) (240,000) Finance - Construction 1 yr @ 12% x 80% of Revenue (350,000) Anticipated Profit 145 $ 50,000 Seventh Street Sell land for 20 acre shopping center and 20 acre apartment complex. Revenues 20 acres commercial @ $100,000 2,000,000 20 acres residential @ $40,000 800,000 less sales commission (2%) (55,000) less marketing (3%) (85,000) Costs (1,070,000) Land Finance - Land (250,000) Anticipated Profit 146 $1,340,000 APPENDIX 6 THE CITY'S PROFORMA REVENUE SOURCES Property Taxes o Residential (Number of DU's)(Average Market)(Property tax)(Fraction of ) )(property tax ) )(limitation (Value/DU (factor=0.01 )(revenue rec'd) (by City=0.14 ) ($68.0 million)(0.01)(0.14) = $95,000/yr Commercial (Number of acres)(Average Market)(Property tax)(Fraction of ) )(property tax) )(limitation (Value/acre (factor=0.01 )(revenue recd) (by City=0.14) ($6.6 million) (0.01) (0.14) Note: Other through agencies property taxes = $ 9,000/yr funds receiving a portion of include County of Riverside, and various special districts. school district, raised the Tax rate on existing property increases at a maximum rate of 2%/year. o Other taxes Sales and Use Tax (Number of DU' s) (Average number) (Sales Tax ) ) (of people per )(revenue )(per capita) (DU = 2.1 (1266 du)(2.1)($40/person) = $106,000/yr Sales tax revenue per capita historically is about $40 in San Jacinto. Southern California Edison Based franchise on fees historical is trends the expected to be income $1.10 per generated capita residential uses and $9.10 per acre for commercial use. 147 by for (1266 du)(2.1)($1.10/person) = $ 2,924 364 = (40 acres) ($9.10/ac) Total $ 3,288 say $ 3,000/yr Cable TV Franchise fees The fee for the city is approximately $7.00 per unit. (1266 du) ($7.00/du) = $ 9,000/yr Real property transfer tax the rate of $1.10 per $1,000 at levied Tax sales of The tax applies to the initial sale as well as resale value. of units. ($74.6 million)($1.10/1000) = $80,000 initial revenue Approximately $10,000/yr if property is resold every the total seven to eight years. Transient Occupancy Tax The receipts City San of Jacinto receives 8% for hotel and motel room occupancy. of For order of assume a 200 room hotel with an average magnitude estimate, occupancy of 50% and an average room rate of $50 night per generates $146,000 in revenue per year. Licenses and Permits o Permit and processing fees developer anticipates an average costs for permits $5,000 per moderate housing units and $7,000 per premium The of City permit fees average $1/sf of commercial housing unit. space. This includes approximately $1,500 per unit for Water District. The one-time revenue associated with development is: 148 the this (950 du)($5,000/du) = $ 4,750,000 = 2,210,000 (316 du)($7,000/du) 300,000 (300,000 sf)($1.00/sf) = $ 7,260,000 Total o Intergovernment Revenues Motor Vehicle In-Lieu Fees Historical trends indicate a rate of $22.00 per capita with a 5% annual increase is appropriate. (1266 du)(2.1 persons/du)($22.00/person) = $58,000/yr Gasoline Tax Historical trends indicate a steady annual rate of $2.00 per capita is appropriate. (1266 du)(2.1 persons/du)($2.00/person) = $5,000/yr Cigarette Tax Historical trends indicate a steady annual rate of $2.00 per capita is appropriate. (1266 du)(2.1 persons/du)($2.00/person) = $5,000/yr o Charges for Services Refuse collection Based on historical trends, residential users will bring in $8.50 per capita with an annual increase of For 20%. commercial properties the rate is $36.00 per acre. (1266 du)(2.1 persons/du)($8.50/person) = $23,000 1,000 = (40 ac) ($36.00/ac) Total $24,000/yr Lighting and Landscape District The City currently charges $4.00 per month for dwelling to maintain street lighting and public parkways. (1266 du)($4.00/du) = $5,000/yr 149 each Use of Money and Property o Not applicable. Fines and Forfeitures o Historical trends indicate a rate of $0.25 per capita is appropriate. (1266 du)(2.1 persons/du)($0.25/person) = $1,000/yr o Miscellaneous bicycle Miscellaneous revenues include animal licenses, special licenses, cleaning, charges other and police fire for services fees, weed and other and lot revenue. Historical trends indicate a rate of $3.50 per capita. (1266 du)(2.1 persons/du)($3.50/person) = $9,000/yr Special Development Oriented Charges o Park Fees The is fee multifamily unit. $120 per single family unit This and time fee is included one $85 per in the estimate for all development fees. Water Sales (Miscellaneous) o For residential units, approximately revenue water $159 per is $27 per acre. the average annual dwelling unit. for since the water is furnished by Eastern Municipal Water District. (1266 du)($159/du) = $201,000 1,000 = (40 ac) ($27/ac) $202,000/yr 150 is commercial, The applicability of charges service is questionable, Total For revenue COST SOURCES o General Government Historical trends indicate a rate of $15.00 per capita for residential use, and $160.00 per acre for commercial use. (1266 du)(2.1 persons/du)($15.00) = $40,000 = 6,000 (40 ac)($160.00/ac) $46,000/yr Total o Public Safety Historical trends indicate the following: Police protection Fire protection Building regulation Animal regulation $40/capita or $420/acre $50/developed acre $33/developed acre $1/capita (1266 du)(2.1 persons/du)($40.00/person) (40 ac)($420.00/ac) (268 ac)($50.00/ac) (268 ac)($33.00/ac) (1266 du)(2.1 persons/du)($1.00/person) Total o = = = = = $106,000 17,000 13,000 9,000 3,000 $148,000/yr Public Works Historical trends indicate the following: Shops and corporation yards Streets (Maintenance, Cleaning, and Lighting) $13/acre $0.40/foot of road (268 ac)($13.00/ac) = $ 3,000 (20,000 lf) ($0.40/lf) = 8,000 $11,000/yr Total o Parks, Recreation and Culture Parks and parkways currently maintained by the city cost $8,000/acre annually. (10 ac)($8,000/ac) = $80,000/yr o Sewer Maintenance of the city sewer systems historically costs 151 $40/acre with an annual increase of 25% in operating costs. (268 ac)($40.00/ac) = $11,000/yr o Capital Outlay Historical trends indicate the City makes annual capital outlays for improvements of $26.00 per capita. (1266 du)(2.1 persons/du)($26.00) = $69,000 o For historical Water Service (EMWD) the city owned portion of the water system, trends indicate a 6% annual increase in costs of $160/residential unit and $27/acre of commercial development. (1266 du)($160/du) = $203,000 (40 ac) ($27/ac) = 1,000 Total o $204,000 Debt Service The City currently makes principal and interest payments of $6.50 per person, of which 60% is toward principal. (1266 du)(2.1 persons/du)($6.50) = $17,000 152 BIBLIOGRAPHY 1) City of San Jacinto Zoning Regulations, Ordinance 340, Adopted July 8, 1958, and amendments. 2) "Financing Public Improvements by Special Assessments" summary of applicable legislation by Dan Tonini, a The Irvine Company, Irvine, California, 1984. 3) "Summary and Text of the Mello-Roos Community of Act 1982, as Amended," by Bowie and Facilities and Risley M.F. Whipple and Co., Newport Beach and Laguna Niguel, California, 1984. 4) "Draft Master Environmental Plan," by Impact Ultrasystems Report: Inc., Soboba Springs California, Irvine, February 1986. 5) "The New Practitioner's Guide to Fiscal Impact Analysis", by Robert Center for David Listokin, Burchell, Urban Policy Research, Dolphin, and William State The Rutgers, University of New Jersey, 1985. 6) "Movers and Shakers: The Study of Community Power" Philip Tounstine and Terry Christensen, St. by Martin's Press, New York, 1982. 7) Development "Managing Negotiations," edited Public/Private through by Rachelle Levitt and John Kirlin, Urban Land Institute, Washington D.C., 1985. 8) 9) "Gaining Support for Individual Projects" "Public Codevelopment," incentives by and Financing Techniques for Urban Land Gary Stout and Joseph Vitt, Institute Development Component Series, 1982, New York, N.Y. 153 10) Praeger Special "Political Realities of Urban Planning," Publishers, New York, N.Y., 11) 1984. City of San Jacinto General Plan: Environmental Assessment Cotton/Beland/Associates, Praeger Development, Studies in International Economics and Master Environmental Impact Report, Inc., Pasadena, prepared by California, November, 1985. 12) Brown "Mello-Roos Community Facilities Act of 1982," by and Nazarek, Irvine, California, January, 1983. 13) Stookey, Willdan "Spreading Assessments and Apportionments," by William "The Use of Mello-Roos" by William Associates, Anaheim, California, 1985. 14) Stookey, Wildan Associates, Anaheim, California, 1984. 15) "Tax Increment Financing as a Tool Community for Redevelopment," by Jonathan Davidson, Journal of Urban Law 56 (Winter 1979). 16) "Water October Magazine, Saving Plant Ideas," Sunset 1976. 17) "City of San Jacinto Fiscal Impact Methodology for Development Evaluation - Draft," by Ultrasystems, Land Inc., Irvine, California, May 1986. 18) "Environmental and Design Guidelines for the Architectural Control Board," by Gruen Waterwood Associates, Huntsville, Texas, 1975. 19) "Walnut Village East: Village Criteria," by the Irvine Company Planning Department, Irvine, California, 1971. 20) "Assessment Engineering," by William 154 Stookey, Willdan Associates, Anaheim, California, 1982. 21) "An Over-All Assessment Look Financing," and General by F. Coverage MacKenzie of Brown, Special Brown and Nazarek, Irvine, California, 1985. 22) "Engineers' California Guide to Special Council Assessment of Civil Engineers and Procedures," Land Surveyors, Sacramento, California, 1986. 23) "Community Redevelopment Redevelopment Law Report: Soboba Springs Plan," by Community Systems Associates, Inc., Anaheim, California, 1983. 24) "Soboba Springs Redevelopment Plan," by Community Systems Associates, Inc. Anaheim, California, 1983. 25) "Builder Submittal Guidelines," by the Irvine Company Community Development Division, 1985. 26) "National Real Estate Investor" magazine issues of December 1985, February 1986, and March 1986 27) "Site Planning" by Kevin Lynch and Gary Hack, The MIT Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1984. 28) "Master Plan Development" by from a lecture, October, 1985. 155 Michael Buckley, notes LIST OF INTERVIEWEES Charles Howard Howard Rose Company San Jacinto, California. Clayton Record Neste, Brudin, and Stone Hemet, California. Peter Sidlow Wayne Avrashow Al Chamberlain Soboba Associates San Jacinto, California. Brian McNabb Gary Dysart Gerald Trimble Bradley Olson Kieth Greer Dan Tonini City Planning Director San Jacinto, California Willdan Associates Anaheim, California. Centre City Development Corporation San Diego, California. The Irvine Company Irvine, California. 156