2409.22_60 Page 1 of 11 FOREST SERVICE HANDBOOK DENVER, CO FSH 2409.22 - TIMBER APPRAISAL HANDBOOK Region 2 Amendment No. 2409.22-96-8 Effective July 17, 1996 POSTING NOTICE: Amendments are numbered consecutively by Handbook number and calendar year. Post by document name. Remove entire document and replace with this amendment. Retain this transmittal as the first page of this document. The last supplement to this Handbook was Amendment 2409.22-96-7 to !2409.22,60 Contents. This amendment supersedes Amendment 2409.22-95-7 to 2409.22,60. Document Name 2409.22,60 Superseded New (Number of Pages) 9 11 Digest: Edited to reduce size through reference to other sections containing identical information. Expands where necessary for clarification, corrects errors, and adds missing information to complete instructions. 60.5 - Removes definition of Dead. 61.22 - Revised to describe action to take regarding Performance Ratio when reappraising a no-bid sale. 61.41 - Removes direction. 61.5 - Removes reference to erosion control costs. 61.6 - Adds High Risk unusual adjustment calculation for sales whose normal Operating Season is 4 month or less. Renumbers items. ELIZABETH ESTILL Regional Forester R2 AMENDMENT 2409.22-96-8 EFFECTIVE 7/17/96 2409.22_60 Page 2 of 11 FSH 2409.22 - TIMBER APPRAISAL HANDBOOK R2 AMENDMENT 2409.22-96-8 EFFECTIVE 7/17/96 CHAPTER 60 - BLACK HILLS TRANSACTION EVIDENCE 60.5 - Definitions. Most definitions are shown in section 50.5; only those that have special emphasis on the Black Hills Zone are listed here. Competitive Unit. A Ranger District with a Base Period Bid Ratio of five percent (.0500) or more. Database. The database contains all sales over $2,000 from the Forest for the previous four quarters as long as the Forest is a Competitive Area. If the Forest becomes non-competitive, sales from non-competitive Units are progressively deleted from the database, beginning with the oldest quarter, until the database is competitive. The database must contain a minimum of 50 percent of the volume sold on the Forest. If the database falls below 50 percent, sales from the noncompetitive Units which meet all criteria for inclusion in the database except for being competitive, shall be added by quarter starting with the most recent quarter and progressing to the oldest quarter until the 50 percent level is achieved. Sales from non-competitive Units shall be included at the greater of the predicted bid or high bid with the associated statistical high bid. The sales from non-competitive Units shall be deleted from the database as soon as possible and thus create a more competitive basis of sales in the database. Non-competitive Unit. Any Ranger District not meeting all the criteria of a Competitive Unit. Species Adjustment. An adjustment to account for white spruce volume when it is greater than 10 percent of the total net sale volume. Zone. The Black Hills National Forest. 61 - TRANSACTION EVIDENCE APPRAISAL. 61.1 - Introduction. See section 51.1 for general description of TEA appraisal process and use. The Competition Factor Amount for each area is that amount published in the Black Hills Zone, Current Appraisal Data Bulletin issued at least quarterly. 61.2 - Administrative Considerations. Appraisers of extensions and damage packages should use the conversion factor listed in the Index Operations table of the Current Appraisal Data Bulletin to appraise in MBF units of measure. 61.21 - Responding to Market Changes. See section 51.21. Unusual sales will be excluded from the database. Examples of such sales are default with timber property value, standard rate, dead, and aspen. These sales do not contain the data necessary to form the relationship of costs and bid data. R2 AMENDMENT 2409.22-96-8 EFFECTIVE 7/17/96 2409.22_60 Page 3 of 11 61.22 - Responding to Sales Receiving No Bids. When a specific sale does not receive any bids and the Forest Service and industry jointly agree on an error which may effect the advertised rate, change the sale in the best interest of the public and appraise as soon as possible. When four sales or 13.5 percent, of the previous four quarter offered volume, or two sales in one quarter, do not receive any bids, re-appraise the no-bid sales and reoffer within the following two quarters with a Competition Factor of 100 to 150 percent of the published Factor in the Current Appraisal Data Bulletin. (That is, 1.20 X 10% Competition Factor = 12% Re-offer Competition Factor) The published Competition Factor is that factor, either 5% or 10%, normally earned by the Forest to determine competitive status. The factor at this point does not include any additional adjustments due to performance ratios or other adjustments to allow latitude in bidding due to market changes; however, once the no-bid Competition Factor is determined for the re-offer, the current Performance Ratio minus .85 as published in the Current Appraisal Data Bulletin may be added to the factor to calculate the Competition Amount (section 61.7). Re-offer Factor = 12.0%; Performance Ratio = .873 (current bulletin) Total Factor for use: .120 + (.873 - .850) = .143 (14.3%) 61.3 - Current TE Appraisal Data. See section 51.3 and the following exhibit for details of TE appraisal data. Exhibit 01 is an example of how the Current Appraisal Data Bulletin appears and explanation of footnotes. R2 AMENDMENT 2409.22-96-8 EFFECTIVE 7/17/96 2409.22_60 Page 4 of 11 61.3 - Exhibit 01 REGION 2, Zone 2 Black Hills Zone Current Appraisal Data Bulletin Bulletin No. BU?????. Effective ???????? ?, 1996 until Superseded Reference 61.3 - Current TE Appraisal Data - Following are the indices and Index Operations values for use in appraising TE sales to be advertised on or after xxxxxxxx x, 199x, TE damage appraisals for sales expiring on or after xxxxxxxx x, 199x, and extensions of sales terminating on or after xxxxx xx, 199x SALE INDEX AVERAGES: Base Period Index: 1st QTR CY 95 - 4th QTR CY 95 Current Index: WWPA, White Woods, January, 1995 BASIC PERIOD PRICE AVERAGES: Weighted Average High Bid: Adjusted Base Period Price For Market: ALL LIVE 1/ 337.23 316.12 All Species: 136.39 All Species: 125.73 INDEX OPERATIONS To Convert $/CCF to $/MBF: X 1.9810 2. SPECIES ALL LIVE 1/ UNIT OF MEASURE CCF 6. DBH 12.55 AVE. CCF/ACRE 7.27 7. ADJ. BASE PER. PRICE 125.73 8. AVE. HAUL (.1201/CCF/Min) 19.94 9. AVE. MAINTENANCE 1.93 11. AVE. SLASH 4.18 13. AVE. TEMP. ROADS 0.20 16. TOTAL AVE. 26.25 28. COMPETITION FACTOR ADJ. 2/ 15.46 37. BASE INDEX 316.12 3/ PERFORMANCE RATIO: .873 PREVIOUS INDEX OPERATION ADJ. BPP >85 BU22xx9x BASE INDEX PERFORMANCE RATIO 144.75 344.68 .927 1/ Except hardwoods 2/ Competition Factor Amount: $125.73 X 12.3% = $15.46 R2 AMENDMENT 2409.22-96-8 EFFECTIVE 7/17/96 2409.22_60 Page 5 of 11 The performance ratio for the most recent 2 quarters is .873. The competition amount is based on the difference of .873 minus .85 (the highest ratio desirable) plus the normal competition factor of 5% for non-competitive and 10% for competitive units. The performance factor for .85 ratio is .023; the factors used to calculate Competition Amount are .073 for noncompetitive units and .123 for competitive units. 61.3 - Exhibit 01--Continued 3/ Base Index adjusted to CCF (1992-93 Basis) White Woods: Selected Conversion Factor A B C D E F Sale Index Range up thru 4.49 4.5 to 4.99 5.0 to 5.49 5.5 to 5.99 6.0 to 6.49 6.5 and greater MBF to CCF Average Factor 4.25 4.75 5.25 5.75 6.25 6.75 Example: Base Index per MBF Sale BF/CF ratio 5.0125 MBF/CCF Conversion Factor Adjusted Base Index, CCF Basis Classification CCF Basis 0.425 0.475 0.525 0.575 0.625 0.675 316.12 BF/CF Ratio 134.35 150.16 165.96 181.77 197.58 213.38 316.12 0.525 165.96 WWPA(C), WW = 165.96 Show in: a) contract provision A(T)5a b) bid form c) prospectus d)R2-2400-17 (Below Base Indices on line 37) Note: Paradox will calculate sale index on line 35 and display WWPA Table below line 36. 61.4 - Adjusted Base Period Price. The Adjusted Base Period Price is published in the Current Appraisal Data Bulletin. This is the rate resulting from the average high bid adjusted for market and is with roads in place. To arrive at the published value the following procedure is used. The high bid for each sale within the database is weighted by volume to arrive at the average high bid. This can be considered the "unadjusted" Base Period Price. The Market Adjustment is based upon the WWPA Whitewoods Index. The Whitewoods Index for each sale within the database is weighted by volume, and divided by the total volume to arrive at the weighted average Whitewoods Index (Base Period Index). The Base Period Index is subtracted from the most recent monthly WWPA Whitewoods Index (Current Index) to arrive at the difference between indices. This difference may be positive or negative. The Market Adjustment is added to the Average Bid to arrive at the Adjusted Base Period Price. R2 AMENDMENT 2409.22-96-8 EFFECTIVE 7/17/96 2409.22_60 Page 6 of 11 An example of the Base Period Price calculation is: Weighted Ave. High Bid $136.39 = Base Period Price = $136.39/CCF [(Current Index - Base Period Index) X .5*] = market adjustment (316.12 - 337.23) X .5* = -10.66 Base Period Price + Market Adjustment = Adjusted Base Period Price $136.39 + $-10.66 = $125.73/CCF * Note that .5048 is used here to convert the Index value from WWPA MBF measure to CCF. (1/1.9810 CCF/MBF, Exhibit 01) 61.5 - Sale Base Period Adjustments. The Adjusted Base Period Price is increased by the Sale Base Period Adjustments to obtain a basis from which the specific sale can be compared. The Sale Base Period Adjustments are published in the Current Appraisal Data Bulletin by category. The categories are haul, road maintenance, contractual (slash disposal), and temporary roads. The Sale Base Period Adjustment for each cost category is the weighted cost by volume from the sales in the database. 61.6 - Sale Cost Adjustments. The Sale Cost Adjustments made for comparison of the average sale in the database to the actual sale being appraised fall into two categories; the Specific Sale Adjustments and Other Sale Adjustments. These costs maintain the same need for accuracy as the Residual Value costs. Where the Residual Value Appraisal process relies upon the accuracy of cost collection, the Transaction Evidence Appraisal process relies upon the accuracy of the database. Therefore, since the database is composed of the sale costs, the accuracy of the future database is dependent upon the accuracy of calculating the sale costs. The Predicted Bid is determined after all of the sale cost adjustments (except specified roads) are subtracted from the sum of the Adjusted Base Period Price and the Sale Base Period Adjustments. Specific Sale Adjustments are those sale costs which relate to the Sale Base Period Adjustments (sec. 61.5). The sale cost categories for haul, road maintenance, contractual (slash disposal), unusual adjustments, and temporary roads are Specific Sale Adjustments. These items are calculated the same as for the residual value appraisal process. See sections 43.0 through 44.5 for further discussion of these costs. Erosion control costs are not a required appraisal item; however, an erosion control plan should be written for each timber sale offered. As long as required erosion control activities are not beyond what has been traditionally required for normal sales on a particular forest, the costing of erosion control is not necessary. Include as an unusual adjustment the difference between what is normally required and R2 AMENDMENT 2409.22-96-8 EFFECTIVE 7/17/96 2409.22_60 Page 7 of 11 what is required for a new sale if erosion control exceeds the normal requirement. The Forest must determine what is normal. Unusual Adjustments: Unusual adjustments below are in addition to those described in section 51.6. The following items are considered necessary for the Black Hills Zone. 1. Cable. When skyline or cable logging is required in a sale, calculate the cost for logging empirically. Include this cost and the volume to be harvested by this method in the Logging Method Information (LOGCOSTC.FSL) screen when using Paradox to appraise the sale. Paradox will calculate the proper weighted logging cost when both ground based and skyline/ground lead systems will operate the sale. Identify as an unusual adjustment when using R2-2400-17 appraisal summary by multiplying the difference between the empirical cost and the conventional Black Hills Zone skid cost by the percentage of cable volume to arrive at the skidding portion of the cable cost adjustment. Calculate the increased cost for slash work and include as part of the unusual adjustment when slash height has a contractual limit less than 24 inches on the cable acreage. Do not include this cost if lopping below a 24 inch height is not required for the sale. This cost is added to the cable logging cost when summing total costs. The last step is to determine the overhead cost for the special skidding requirement. Use the overhead percent listed in section 41 and multiply by the sum of skid cost difference and slash cost difference to dtermine this cost. The sum of these three portions (unless added slash cost is not included) weighted by the proportion of cable volume over total sale volume is the unusual adjustment for cable logging. Enter the unusual adjustment on the R2-2400-17, applying the unusual adjustment to all species being offered on the sale. The procedure to arrive at this unusual adjustment follows the four steps above, and an example of such an adjustment follows: a. Cable Skid $ - Zone Tractor Skid $ = Skid Cost Difference $90.00 - $22.71 = $67.29/CCF. b. Zone F&B $ X Lopping % = Slash Cost Difference (if needed) $22.59 X .08 = $1.81/CCF c. (Skid $ + Slash $) x TPOH $67.29 + $1.81 x .2194 = = Overhead Cost Difference $15.16 d. (Skid + Slash + OH) x cable volume Total Sale Volume = Sale Unusual Adj. R2 AMENDMENT 2409.22-96-8 EFFECTIVE 7/17/96 2409.22_60 Page 8 of 11 (67.29 + 1.81 + 15.16) x 1600 CCF = $13.48 10,000 CCF 2. Adverse Skid Adjustments. Include an unusual adjustment in the appraisal when the percent slope (sale average) is greater than or equal to 10 percent. Use the following Table: Slope % 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 Adj.+(%) 9 10 12 14 16 17 19 21 22 24 26 Slope percent is based on a Sale-as-a-Whole average sideslope percent weighted by volume (as apposed to acres), using the current RV skidding cost in section 42 for the Black Hills Zone. Use of this unusual adjustment is limited to sales where 20 percent or more of the volume must be skidded uphill on slopes 10 percent or greater. Calculate the Unusual Adjustment on the basis of a weighted average difference in cost based on percent sale volume to be skidded uphill. Example: a sale with 60% of its volume required to be skidded uphill on slopes of 18%: $22.71/CCF X 0.16 Adj. X 0.6 = $2.18 per CCF (Sale-as-a-whole Adjustment) 3. Species Adjustment for Spruce. When white spruce volume is greater than 10 percent of the total net sale volume, calculate the increased cost for logging and manufacturing and identify as an unusual adjustment for the entire spruce volume in the sale. Reduce the Adjusted Base Period Price 40 percent (multiply by .60) for the spruce volume. Sales with 10 percent or less of spruce volume are not considered as containing a spruce component. [Adjusted Base Period Price X .60][Spruce Volume / Total Sawtimber Volume] = Unusual Adj. [$92.91 X .60) (1528 CCF/9320 CCF) = $9.14/CCF 4. Quality. When a sale consists of timber which the Forest Service considers to be low quality or high quality, calculate an unusual adjustment using the following chart. Note that the chart incorporates the conversion of the Current Index to a log scale equivalent. Low quality wood is defined as timber having an excessive amount of limbs contributing to lower grade lumber. Conversely, high quality is defined as timber having a noticeably lower amount of limbs contributing to higher grade lumber. The Black Hills National Forest shall define quality criteria by Forest supplement. There should be an equal amount of volume adjusted for higher quality as for lower quality. Consult with Forest Sale Preparation Specialist before applying this adjustment factor. R2 AMENDMENT 2409.22-96-8 EFFECTIVE 7/17/96 % Sale Harvest Acres Low/High Quality < 25% low/high quality > 25%, but < 50% low quality > 50% low quality > 25%, but < 50% high quality > 50% high quality 2409.22_60 Page 9 of 11 % Adj. to Current Index 0% +4.1% +6.8% -4.1% -6.8% Assuming a sale with 30 percent low quality wood: Current Index X % Quality Adj. X .5 (MBF/CCF) = Unusual Adj. 316.12 X .041 X .5 = $6.48/CCF 5. Scaling. When Contract Provision C6.81 dated 12/93 or later is included in the contract include an unusual adjustment equal to the value included in Contract Table A14. 6. High Risk. When the Normal Operating Season is restricted because of unusual resource constraints identified in the NEPA document, an unusual adjustment for higher risk is approved. The following rate structure applied against the Adjusted Base Period Price is approved for use: If Operations are Restricted to: 4 Months 3 Months 2 Months 1 Month Adjustment Is: 6% 11% 16% Reconsider Sale Viability The percent adjustment will be applied against the Adjusted Base Period Price in effect at the time appraisal is made, and only for that portion of the volume being effected. Record the contract provision requiring such restriction, the % adjustment, and volume to which the unusual adjustment is being applied. For example: C6.3#, 11%, 600 CCF would be recorded for a sale 3,000 CCF in size that contains CT6.3 - Control of Operations which prohibits all operations during 2 months of the Normal Operating Season (AT17) which is listed as 5 months long. The restriction affects about 20% of the sale area. Assuming an Adjusted Base Period Price of $125.73, the calculation would appear similar to the following: $125.73 x .11 x 600/3000 = $2.77/CCF 61.61 - Other Sale Adjustments. Included within this category of Sale Cost Adjustments are the Logging Cost Adjustment and the Specified Developments. Although these items do not relate to the Sale Base Period Adjustments in Section 61.5, a relationship is established indirectly through the Base Period Price. 1. Logging Cost Adjustment. The Logging Cost Adjustment calculation is the same as that described in section 51.61, paragraph 1. Use the same procedure and R2 AMENDMENT 2409.22-96-8 EFFECTIVE 7/17/96 2409.22_60 Page 10 of 11 formula as described in that section when summarizing appraisal data on R2-240017. If Paradox is in use or Form 2400-17 is being used to hand summarize appraisal data, the (-1.0) factor should be ignored. 2. Specified Developments. The sale adjustment for specified developments are normally limited to specified road costs. Refer to section 44.5 for direction. 61.7 - Competition Factor. The Predicted Bid is the high bid which is expected to be received if the sale receives average competition. To allow for competition and other minor differences not considered within the appraisal, an adjustment to the Predicted Bid is made. The amount of adjustment is published in the Current Appraisal Data Bulletin and is based upon the bidding competition within each National Forest. 1. Adjustment for Performance Ratio Related to High No-Bid. Studies of TEA in Region 2 reveal a pattern of "high no-bids" increasing as the Performance Ratio of Advertised Rates to High Bid Rates exceeds .85. The National standard for this ratio is between .70 and .85 (FSM 2422.1). Although other factors may exist which cause a no-bid situation, a Predicted Bid which is near the Base Period Price while the WWPA Index is declining appears to be a significant factor. Other indicators are steep increases or declines in WWPA Index for short periods, reduced spread between BPP and current WWPA Index, and an uncertain, fluctuating market. Frequently, declines in the WWPA Index exceed the quarterly change in Adjusted Base Period Price due to intense bidding practices for reasons other than real value or to lingering effects of older sales within the database (both could have the effect of offsetting any market adjustment). To compensate for high Performance Ratios during declining or fluctuating market periods, the following adjustments may be made to the Competition Factor. When the Performance Ratio for the TE Database is greater than .85 based on the last two quarters of data, calculate an adjusted competition factor and competition amount by determining the difference between the current Performance Ratio and .85 and adding the ratio to the normal Competition Factor. When multiplying the factor times the Adjusted BPP, a competition amount and subsequent Advertised Rate is obtained. For example, if the performance ratio is .873, an additional adjustment to the competition factor would be .023 (.873 less (-) .850 = .023) or 2.3%. For a noncompetitive unit, this would mean a 7.3% Competition Factor rather than 5%, and for a competitive unit, 12.3% rather than 10%. The Competition Factor is used to calculate the Competition Factor Amount as shown in the Current Appraisal Data Bulletin. The following is an example of calculating the Competition Factor Amount: Adjusted Base Period Price X Competition Factor = Competition Factor Amount Assuming an Adjusted Base Period Price of $125.73 and a Competition Factor of 12.3%: $125.73 X .123 = $15.46/CCF Competition Factor Amount R2 AMENDMENT 2409.22-96-8 EFFECTIVE 7/17/96 2409.22_60 Page 11 of 11 2. Competition Amount for Sales Not Advertised. When a sale is not advertised (negotiated under timber sale permit, contract, or special use permit or agreement), normal competition does not exist. Therefore, it is not appropriate to apply a competition factor. Any appraisal for sales not advertised shall not include a competition factor, and the appraised value and advertised rate will equal the Predicted Bid.