WIND ENERGY AND PEOPLE Results of Government Studies and the peer-reviewed literature Why I’m here Idaho’s Wind Working Group is funded through a grant to Boise State from DOE’s EERE program In addition, Boise State is designated as Idaho’s Wind Application Center Both of these grants are intended to leverage the expertise at Boise State and engage in outreach to the general public. What I won’t do I won’t advocate for Wind Energy Although I generally think it’s a good thing I won’t try to argue details outside my professional purview I won’t uncritically present information from wind developers or wind trade groups What I will do Present the conclusions of studies done and/or sponsored by the Department of Energy and Canadian and Australian government-sponsored studies Peer-reviewed literature in the area Comment on, and discussion the process of scientific inquiry All data/charts/conclusions presented here will be attributed to the original study Why has the wind industry grown? Concerns about global climate change and other environmental impacts of fossil fuel use Concerns about fossil fuel supplies and the geographic locations of those supplies Local, State and Federal government desires to foster economic growth through home-grown energy supplies Desire to live off our income, not our inheritance. Who doesn’t like wind? Well, lots of people apparently There are many complaints, but they tend to fall into several categories Concerns about human health Concerns about property values Concerns about power costs and government subsidies Concerns about the environment and wildlife Concerns about viewsheds I’ll cover the first 3 Human Health Human Health What are the issues? Shadow flicker Sound/Noise Infrasound “Wind Turbine Syndrome” How do we “know” things? There are two ways that health effects can be proven Trace the actual mechanism by which the cause brings about an effect E.g. We know radiation can cause cancer because we know the mechanism (high energy particles break chromosomes) Statistical correlation Very difficult, need lots of data over periods of time Does not prove causality May lead to research that shows causal links E.g. the research that link cigarettes to cancer Findings to date “Potential Health Impacts of Wind Turbines” A report from the Chief Medical Office of Health, government of Canada, May 2010. The review concludes that while some people living near wind turbines report symptoms such as dizziness, headaches, and sleep disturbance, the scientific evidence available to date does not demonstrate a direct causal link between wind turbine noise and adverse health effects. The sound level from wind turbines at common residential setbacks is not sufficient to cause hearing impairment or other direct health effects, although some people may find it annoying.1 From Down Under “Wind Turbines and Health: A Rapid Review of the Evidence”, Report of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council, July, 2010. This review of the available evidence, including journal articles, surveys, literature reviews and government reports, supports the statement that: There are no direct pathological effects from wind farms and that any potential impact on humans can be minimised by following existing planning guidelines.2 Closer to home: Our National Academies “Environmental Impacts of Wind Energy Projects” a publicationof the National Research Council of the National Acadamies, 2007. “Thus far, there has been relatively little dispassionate analysis of the human impacts of wind-energy projects. Much that has been written has been from the vantage points of either proponents or opponents. There also are few data that have been systematically gathered on these impacts.” Also from the NAS report “The sound power level from a single turbine is usually around 90-105 dB(A); such a turbine creates a sound pressure of 50-60 dB(A) at a distance of 40 meters (this is about the same level as conversational speech).” “While turbine noise increases with wind speed, ambient noises—for example, due to the rustling of tree leaves— increase at a higher rate and can mask the turbine noise (BLM 2005a).” “Noise produced by wind turbines generally is not a major concern for humans beyond a half-mile or so because various measures to reduce noise have been implemented in the design of modern turbines.” Take-away from the National Academies This is an evolving issue that merits serious scientific study. No conclusive evidence exists that links wind turbines to human health issues. Property Values Property Values A legitimate concern and one of the driving factors behind zoning laws. The activities of your neighbors may make your place less livable, thus making resale value lower. Factory CAFO Nuclear Power Plant Anything that may impact the senses Government Study The Impact of Wind Power Projects on Residential Property Values in the United States: A Multi-State Hedonic Analysis Hoen, et al, December 2009 Lawrence Berkeley National Lab What did they look at? ~7500 single-family home sales within 10 miles of wind facilities 24 different facilities in 9 states 8 different hedonic pricing models Results: “…none of the models uncovers conclusive evidence of the existence of any widespread property value impacts that might be present in communities surrounding wind energy facilities.” Digging a little deeper “Specifically, neither the view of the wind facilities nor the distance of the home to those facilities is found to have any consistent, measurable, and statistically significant effect on home sales prices. “ “Although the analysis cannot dismiss the possibility that individual homes or small numbers of homes have been or could be negatively impacted, it finds that if these impacts do exist, they are either too small and/or too infrequent to result in any widespread, statistically observable impact.” In other words: your mileage may vary. Government Subsidies Governent Subisidies This is a really hot topic these days: PTC: Production Tax Credit 2.1c/kwh ITC: Investment Tax Credit 30% for 10 years of operation of up-front costs Wind developers can choose ITC or PTC, not both In Lieu Of grant (one-time payment from federal government to developer instead of the ITC or PTC) State tax rebate (to be discontinued next month) PTC comes and goes at the whim of congress From Representative Simpson’s recent column: “All energy is subsidized, but subsidies for wind energy are massive -- $23.37 per megawatt hour for wind versus $1.59 for nuclear and 44 cents for coal (http://eia.doe.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/subsidy 2/pdf/execsum.pdf).” This was a 1999 study. It also says that: “The subsidy must be specific; for example, depreciation schedules that can be used in non-energy sectors as well as energy sectors are not included in the definition of a subsidy for this study.” Also from the 1999 study “In 1999, the two largest items are the alternative fuels production tax credit, largely used to develop coalbed methane and tight sands ($1.0 billion), and the percentage depletion allowance for the oil, gas, and coal industries. Tax deferrals on enhanced oil recovery are the third largest expenditure.” (Million 1999 Dollars) Summary of 1999 Expenditures Type of Subsidy Fuel Oil Gas Coal Oil, Gas, and Coal Combineda Nuclear Renewables Electricity Total Direct Expenditures Tax Expenditures Income Research and Development Excise Total 0 0 0 0 263 1,048 85 205 0 0 0 0 49 115 404 0 312 1,163 489 205 0 4 0 4 0 15 40 1,656 0 b725 0 725 640 327 c33 1,56 640 1,071 73 3,953 he category Oil, Gas, and Coal Combined includes expenditures that were not allocated to any one of the three individual fuels. fuels excise tax. cElectricity research and development is advanced turbine technology. Other generation technology research and development is distributed by fuel. Sources: Most information drawn from Office of Management and Budget, Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 2000 (Washington, DC, February 1999). aT bAlcohol A lot has changed since 1999 In 1999, wind was responsible for about one-tenth of one percent of the electricity produced in the US. In 2010, that proportion was 1.8% That’s 15-fold increase in 10 years. That’s what government subsidies are for, to help level the playing field to make room for new, lessentrenched technologies. A slightly more recent report “Analysis of Federal Expenditures for Energy Development” September 2008 Management Information Services, Inc Prepared for the Nuclear Energy Institute. “The Bezdek Report” From the Bezdek Report Also From The Bezdek Report In Conclusion Here’s the evidence to date It’s still a work in progress A finding that finds no proof of an effect is not the same thing as proof of no effect. Wind industry needs to listen to concerns and engage in the discussion If we all take the high road, the destination will be much better Sources Report from Canadian Health Ministry: Report from Australian Health Ministry http://books.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=11935 LBL report on property values http://www.nhmrc.gov.au/_files_nhmrc/file/publications/synopses/ evidence_review__wind_turbines_and_health.pdf Report from the National Academies http://www.health.gov.on.ca/en/public/publications/ministry_reports/ wind_turbine/wind_turbine.pdf http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/emp/reports/lbnl-2829e-ppt.pdf http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/ems/reports/lbnl-2829e.pdf The Bezdek report on subsidies http://coen.boisestate.edu/WindEnergy/WindWorkingGroup.asp