R6 Air Program-Sponsored Lake Monitoring MBS Lake Monitoring Goals (circa 1996) 1. 2. 3. 4. Resample WLS lakes with ANC<50 Look for episodic acidification using paired spring/fall sampling Single sample of “all” reasonably accessible lakes in C1 wildernesses Long-term trends monitoring Results: Task 1 No Significant Change WLS Se re ne Su m m it e Sa dd l Iv an ho e De er Cr ys ta l MBS Co ug ar 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 Be ar ANC (ueq/l) ANC Change WLS (1985) to 1996+ (MBS) Results: Task 2 Acid Neutralizing Capacity - Spring vs. Fall Alpine Lakes Wilderness - 1997/98 140 Acid Neutralizing Capacity 120 ANC is lower in spring. 100 Dilution from snowmelt is most likely cause rather than acid flush. 80 Spring 60 Fall 40 20 0 -20 Talapus Hardscrabble Anderson Hi-Lo Lunker Quartz Rock 48 Lakes Sampled in Alpine Lakes Wilderness (of approx. 332) or 7% 8 Lakes Sampled in Glacier Peak Wilderness (of approx. 107) or 13 % ANC of Lakes in Glacier Peak wilderness sampled by MBS or OKA/WEN from 1996-2007 300 938 250 ANC (Lab) 200 150 100 50 0 Fish Found Hart Hart (MBS) (OkaWen) Holden Lyman Schaeffer Slide Range of Chemistry MBS lakes Dissolved Ca (mg/L) Dissolved Cl (mg/L) Conductivity (uS/cm) Dissolved K (mg/L) Dissolved Mg (mg/L) Dissolved Na (mg/L) Dissolved F (mg/L) NH4 (mg/L) NO3 (mg/L) SO4 (mg/L) SO4 (ueq/L) 0.025 - 9.524 0.035 – 1.057 1.82 – 187 0 – 0.817 0.006 - 0.624 0.09 – 1.298 0 – 0.077 0 – 0.057 0 – 0.401 0.092 – 7.766 1.92 – 161.8 Long Term Trends Monitoring -Summit LakeSummit Lake ANC (Lab) Trends 1985-2006 10 8 6 ANC (Lab) 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10 1985 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 2004 2005 2006 Long-term monitoring, critical loads estimation (Eilers) Four extremely dilute lakes in R6 sampled (2004-2008) Vertical profile (temp., pH, conductivity, DO, depth, ORP) Major ions (Ca, Mg, Na, K, Cl, NO3, So4, HCO3, pH) Nutrients (TKN, NO3, NH3, Si, TP, PO4) Zooplankton, phytoplankton, bathymetry, sediment cores CE-QUAL-W2 4-Lakes long-term study Characterized the present condition of the lakes through lake sampling, 2. Defined the historical conditions of the lakes through use of paleolimnology, and 3. Simulated future response of the lakes to changing atmospheric conditions with hydrodynamic modeling. 1. Notasha, Scout, Summit, Foehn Study Conclusions Notasha, Scout, and Summit: 300% increase in S and N would be required before resulting in a change in pH. Foehn: 100% increase in S and N before a change in pH. Recommendations Need measured deposition Detailed study of a single system Determining critical N loads to subalpine lakes in the PNW Two lakes studied Dorothy Cora Findings: lakes were phosphorus limited; not nitrogen limited Seston C:N:P ratios could be useful for predicting nutrient limitation Long-term monitoring Alkalinity/ANC Lake Angeline Alkalinity (all depths and locations) Lunker Lake Alkalinity (all depths and locations) (1998 = ANC) 30 45 Alkalinity (ueq/l) 40 20 15 10 5 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 0 1982 1992 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 Copper Lake Alkalinity (all depths and locations) Big Heart Lake Alkalinity (all depths and locations) 600 50 45 500 Alkalinity (ueq/l) 40 Alkalinity (ueq/l) Alkalinity (ueq/l) 25 35 30 25 20 15 10 400 300 200 100 5 0 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 0 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 Long-term monitoring Nitrate Lunker Lake Nitrate (all depths and locations) 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 Nitrate (ueq/l) Nitrate (ueq/l) Lake Angeline Nitrate (all depths and locations) 6 5 4 3 6 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 0 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 0 1982 1991 1984 Big Heart Lake Nitrate (all depths and locations) 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 1989 1990 1991 10 9 9 8 8 7 Nitrate (ueq/l) Nitrate (ueq/l) 1988 Copper Lake Nitrate (all depths and locations) 10 6 5 4 3 2 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1982 1986 1 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 0 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 Long-term monitoring Sulfate Lunker Lake Sulfate (all depths and locations) Lake Angeline Sulfate (all depths and locations) 50 50 45 40 40 35 35 Sulfate (ueq/l) Sulfate (ueq/l) 45 30 25 20 15 30 25 20 15 10 10 5 5 0 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 0 1982 1992 1984 50 45 45 40 40 35 35 Sulfate (ueq/l) Sulfate (ueq/l) 50 30 25 20 15 1988 1996 1998 2000 15 5 1986 1994 20 10 1984 1992 25 5 1982 1990 30 10 1980 1988 Copper Lake Sulfate (all depths and locations) Big Heart Lake Sulfate (all depths and locations) 0 1978 1986 1990 1992 0 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 NADP/NTN SO4 trends in WA NADP/NTN trends in NO3 in WA Conclusions from Past Monitoring -tentative Lakes in areas of R6 have extremely low buffering capacity – sensitive to acidification. Lake chemistry is mostly stable or improving Acidification is not occurring No noticeable change since WLS S deposition and concentration in lakes is decreasing slightly N deposition is increasing slightly Lakes not N limited R6 Lake Program 1. 2. 3. How do we best summarize existing lake sampling information? How can we use what we know about our lakes to best protect them? Design and prioritize future lake efforts. R6 Lake Program Future Program What should our future program look like? What air quality-related issues are threatening alpine lakes? Do we need to establish a long-term chemistry sampling program? Toward what end? How and when to make use of modeling? Can we forget about acidification? Nitrification? Are most lakes P limited and can we predict this? Should we be looking for toxic chemicals or mercury? Is the potential impact of climate change something we know how to measure/track/quantify at this point? R6 Lake Program Strengths Lots of lakes sampled Long term cooperation with aquatics program Some long term lakes sampled by contractor Much high quality work by Eilers Weaknesses Shifting issues Little documentation