- U JUL 23 1964 OF T~y E\ST. RA R IE HETEROGENEITY IN RESIDENTIAL NEIGHBORHOODS by Kenneth E. Suchan B. Arch., Carnegie Tech (1962) SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF M,'iASTER OF CITY PLANNING at the MASSACHUSETTS IN6TITUTE4 OF TECHNOLOGY June, 1964 Author.......I .............. Department of City and Regional Planning, May 22, 1964 ... Thesis Su"_ryjisor Certified by.. Accepted by.... NV Department Chairman ~. m 0 3j HETEROGENEITY IN RESIDETIAL 1EIGHBORHOO)S by Kenneth E. Suchan Submitted to the Department of City and Regional Planning on May 22, 1964 in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of City Planning 'hile heterogeneous, "lbalanced" urban neighborhoods have con- stituted a common planning goal, little writing in this area has clar-ified or quantified this objective. It is therefore the purof this paper to 1) propose one quantifiable definition of socio-economic heterogeneity, 2) measure the existence of this heterogeneity in existing cities over a short time span on an inter and intra-neighborhood level, and for each of a number of socio-economic variables, 3) finally, to conclude from the study the probability of heterogeneity, as defined for the study, being achieved in existing cities at different scales for several variables. A "cross section" definition of heterogeneity was used for this study, i.e., heterogeneous neighoorhoods were those which were a replica of the metropolitan socio-economic profile at both the level of the neighborhood mean, and in the internal distribution of the socio-economic characteristics. Applying tais definition to metropolitan Cleveland and Boston for 1950 and 1960, and considering the variables of income, education level, occupation, ethnicity and life cycle stage of the household, it was found that 1) with respect to the individual variables, between 1/2 and 3/4 of all neighborhoods well vithin a miadle range of the total distribution for the variables for both cities and both census- years. There was little indication of significance of any one of the variables with respect to tendencies toward homogeneous or heterogeneous patterning. 2) A slight decrease in the number of neighborhoods in the middle range appears evident for both cities between 1950 and 1960 for non-white popuhtion and occupation, as well as a slight increase for education. However the changes are not startling. 3) Considering all the measured variables together, between 1/4 and 1/3 of the neighborhoods fell within the middle range. 4) At the intr-neighborhood level there was virtually no correlation of the sub-area distribution with the metropolitan profile for the variables of income, education, and non-white population. The results of this study suggesy that an inter-neighborhood level of heterogeneity of individual variaoles persists, but these variables do not reinforce one anotiher in creating many heterogeneous neighborhoods with respect to a numoer of the variables. However, examination of the intra-neighborhood average was a poor indicator of internal consistency with the metropolitan profile. What does this suggest about future study in this araa and planning objectives concerning heterogeneity and balance? First, the study suggests that the cross section model is one which does not appear very often in reality; it is almost nonexistent in both its dimensions. Further, there is some indication that the cross section goal is getting farther from being achieved. Does this .iean that it cannot be achieved in a planned neighborhood? No, but it does represent a great gap with respect to exiding city patterns. Rather, the results suggest a possible alternate approach for an objective and corresponding study. As suggested by Herb Gans, there may be necessary minimum or maximum numbers of persons of relatively homogeneous characteristics in order to achieve social equilibrium at a small scale spatial unit like a neighborhood or block. Therefore, a study which examined the various interactions and scales of neighborhood life might reveal some insights into these critena. Objectives formulated on the basis of maximumi or minimum numbers, it is suggested, would be mor'e liKely to find confirmation in existing city areas, and would be better suited for implementation than a strict cross section goal. Thesis Supervisor: James M1. Beshers TABLE OF CONTEITS THESIS ABSTRACT I. . . 2. 0 **Se0e&*00 BACKGROUND FOR STUDY .......................... 1 II. METHODOLOGY .................................. 11 Heterogeneity Defined ....... Case Study Areas ............ Tiie Socio-Fconomic Variables. Inter-Tract Heterogeneity 11 13 14 15 17 19 20 ... Intra-Tract Heterogeneity Sources of Data ............. Problems in Data ............ ................................... 23 1I1.HYPOTHtSIS IV. _ULTS OF rACO 25 .......................... inter-Tract Analysis ............ Income .... Education . Occupation Ethnicity . Life Cycle' Heterogeneity of All Variables IntratTract Heterogeneity V. .... CONCLUSIONS.................................... I APPENDIX 70 .....................-- 102 BIBIIOGRAPHY ............................- TABLE I TABLE II INTERATRACT HET?EROGENEITY - - '+ INTRA-TRACT HETER,,.GEN'EITY iii ............ ........... 00 61 .. U MAPS INCOMEl - CLEVELAND 1950 -. - 27 28 29 30 1960 BOSTON 1950 1960 EDUCATION BOSTON OCCUPATION NON-VHITE - - .... 32 1960 .... 1950 .... 1960 .... 34 35 CLEVELAND 1950 - CLEVELAND 1950 1960 1950 BOSTON 1960 ... j7 38 39 40 ..-- 44 CLEVELAND 1950 B0ST0 N 1960 .... 1950 .... 1960... FOREIGN BORN - CLEVELAND 1950 . 1960 . 1950 . BOSTON 1960 . % CHILDREN - CLEVELAND 1950 ... 1960 ... 1950 ... BOSTON 1960 ... ii 45 46 47 HET.EROGENEITY IN RESIDENTIAL NEIGHBORHOODS I. BACKGROUND FOR STUDY heterogeneity, diversity and "balance" are all words which have become popular slogans in city planning and housing literature to describe the goals toward which urban residential neighborhoods ought to strive. The words and the concepts which they are attempting to describe are sufficiently vague to make them both hard with wiich to argue and to implement. Nebulous as they are, the goals of heterogeneity and diversity do sugg;est a direction in which it is proposed that cities and their neighborhoods proceed-- i.e., toward a greater mixture of the various physical and socio-economic characteristics of the urban population. From a survey of the contemporary planning literature on this general subject, it is difficult to determine exactly what form the "mixing" should iaeally take. Heterogeneity and diver- sity have come to wean all things to all mien. At least three basic types of diversity can be sorted out from the various planning proposals: a small scale, 2) 1) diversity t land uses and functions at diversity of building types and architecture at the neighborhood scale, 3) and finally diversity of the social and econoiic characteristics of the urban dwellers thewselves at a range of scales. Any of these three major connotations of the diversity goal could constitute the basis for a major study. This paper will limit itself to a discussion of heterogeneity only with respect to the social and economic characteristics of city inhabitants. The terms heterogeneity, diversity and balance will be used interchangeably, as they are considered to be representative of the same conceptual goal. WVithin these socio-economic limits there is still a great deal of ground to probe. Coming immediately to mind, for example, are questions of the precise Qefinition of heterogeneity, diversity, or balance. Further, at what levl or scale are or should these goals be operable--the region, the commnunity, the neighborhood, the block? There is also the underlying question of the desirability of a heterogeneous urban environment and/or the degree or amount of heterogeneity which is desirable. Is heterogeneity a good in itself, or is it a means to accomplish some other planning goals? Finaily, an important consideration'must be the existing urban environment and the degree to which it does or does not fulfill the diversity goal. If diversity is to be a goal, its limits and types operationally defined, how different must this new environment be from the existing urban pattern? The questions of a workable definition for heterogeneity and discussion of the scale at which it does or ought to exist are both ones which most writers in this area have avoided. Whether this stems from an assumption that "we all know what we're talking about" or a lack of interest on their part to delve into this problem is hard to discern. The part of the issue which most writers have explored or speculted upon is the desirability of heterogeneity--the answer to the question of why. Some typical sentiments in planning and housing literature are expressed in the following excerpts. These statements were taken from literature of the 1940's, but their substance has not varied much from the arguments of the 1960's. "If democratic health is to be maintained, probably no neighborhood and certainly no co.imunity, should consist exclusively of a single income group. How far diversification may go aepends somewhat on the size of the neighborhood, its location in relation to work possioilities, and other variable factors. The developers tendency to build for only a specific iincoie group, based on the theory that people of varying incomes will not mix and that mixture tends to force values down to the level of the lowest group, is not valid in large scale work. The contrary, in fact, is true for in any investment program diversification is the essential element of safety for all concerned; the developer, the owner, the storekeeper, the municipality, the school system, and our political system itself..." (National Committee on housing, 1944) "There seems no souna reason why a neighborhood should contain exciusively one type of housing, one level of density, or one narrowly restricted group of residents. The tenuency toward what FHA refers to as 'homogeneity' may be overplayed, whether it be in the types of houses or incomes of the occupants, to the disadvantage of neighuorhood stability and the democratic way of life..." (Architectural Forum, 1945) An example of more recent concern over the excessive homogeneity of smAall city areas--nighborhoods or blocks--is the writing of Elizabeth Wood. Her major interest appears to be in the problem of public housing projects--particularly of the low rent variety-and their integration into the city's social pattern. Miss Wood's major arguments for heterogeneous mixture in city mighborhoods focus on the need for middle class models to encourage mobility in lower class persons, and to provide leadership for neighborhood institutions which will form a backbone and stabilize the neighborhood. While her approach is weakened by appealing to the reader's ability to see the "obvious" necessity of neighborhood heterogeneity to promote a number of social goals, Miss Wood does attempt to describe that her balanced neighborhood would resemble. She 9 uts forward a model of city neighborhoods which retain their socio-economic characteristics while population moves through them. "A good mixture is in equiliorium. A balanced neighborhood is one in which the mixture is not in the process of selfdestruction. A neighborhood rapidly changing from white U to all black is not a Oalanced neighborhood nor is one that is in process of physical deterioration, regardless of the presence at any one time of all elements of mixture. A neighborhood is in equilibrium when the general prop ortions of the elements are maintained even thou6h individual households and buildings change. If rich people move out, rich people move in; if white persons iove out, white persons also move in; if a bad building is demolished, a good one goes up." This gets closer to a definition of heterogeneity, but the linking of this goal to an operational policy of implementation is still not too clear. Herbert Gans has succinctly gathered together four current arguments in favor of a heterogeneous environment as follows: 1) Heterogeneity adds variety and demographic "balance" to an area, thus enriching the lives of the inhabitants. Conversely homogeneity stultifies as well as deprives people of important social resources. 2) Heterogeneity promotes tolerance of social and cultural differences, reducing political conflict and encouraging democratic practices. Homogeneity increases isolation between smaller area residents and the rest of society. Heterogeneity provides a broadening educational influence 3) on children, teaches them about the existence of diverse groups and how to get along with these people. Homogeneity limits the children's knowledge of diverse classes, ages, and races and makes them less capable of association with others in later years. Heterogeneity encourages exposure to alternative ways 4) of life, e.g., providing intellectual neighbors for a child from a non-intellectual family, or offering mobile working class families a chance to learn middle class ways of life. Gans does not quarrel with the ends articulated by these arguments, but he does raise the question of whether a heterogeneous commun- ity or neighborhood is the logical way to achieve the ends, without unaesirable by-products or consequences. Gans counters the argu- aents listed previously with his own realistic appraisal. For example: 1) Even if you could get people of diverse backgrounds to live together, there might be endless bickering, envy, uneasiness in social relationships because of a lack of any real foundation for forming friendships. Gans argues from his experience in studying- suburban areas that propinquity (mere physical nearness) is only a minor cause of solid friendship-based social relationships. If some amount of homogeneity of background and interests is not present, propinquity arely results in polite formalized cordiality at best. 2) Heterogeneity may not help aemocracy if it sets up such diverse groups with such intense differences that the normal democratic processes--fragile as they are--may not be able to cope with them. At least some amount of homogeneity can guarantee sufficient consensus for democratic processes to work in solving other differences of opinion. 3) The mere fact that chilaren live in an environment in which they see diverse types of people is no guarantee that they will be tolerant of this diversity. Tolerance depends to the largest extent on parental attitudes. 4) Concerning the usefulness of heterogeneity in exposing persons to alternate ways of life, Gans suggests that no conclusive evidence has been found explaining why lower class persons adopt middle class ways or whether the presence of middle class people aias this process. A recent sociological study showed that some lower class children in a predominantly middle class school and some middle class children in predominantly lower class schools adopted the prevalant life style of the school. Because of the special social environment of the school and the impressionability of children, the results are not entirely conclusive Further, Gans for adults and residential neighborhoods. sugg ests that success in teaching alternate ways of life really that the persons involved have depends on three conditions: sufficient economic stability and social skills for the new 6 way of life, that the differences in life styles are not excessively great, and that the teachingc group be sympathetic and empathetic to the needs and points of view of the aspiring group. Gans' evaluation of the most commonly used arguments for heterogeneity is insightful in pointing out their defects. His own suggestions for objectives still lack operational clarity. He suggests that both homogeneity and heterogeneity are necessary but at different scales. At the small scale block or small neigh- borhood he envisions enough homogeneity to assure consensus among neighbors sufficient to prevent conflict; positive although not necessarily intense relations between neighbors with respect to common needs and obligations; and the possibility for some mutual visiting and friendship formation for those who want it in the immediate vicinity. On the other hand tnere should be enough heterogeneity for "some diversity"--admnittedly not an operational solution. At the community level Gans advocates heterogeneity, not for the four generally stated reasons, but rather because ours is a pluralistic society and our communities should be reflictive of this, and more importantly because, as long as local taxation is used as the main support for community services, homogeneity at the community level encourages undesirable inequalities in the ability to provide a high level of services. Getting to the crucial question of the ideal amount of heterogeneity Gans admits that because so little is known about its ramifications he can only offer two suggestions. The first is that enough homogeneity must exist to allow institutions in the community to function and interest groups to reach workable compromise. This suggests that if every small community were a cross section of a large region, there would result such a splintering of interest groups and institutions unworkability and irreconcilable conflicts. as to lead to The second suggestion points out that sufficient heterogeneity ought to exist to ensure that important community facilities and services be able to be financed and find sufficient clientele. Vague as Gans' suggestions are concerning quantifying the needs for heterogeneity and homogeneity with respect to his particular goal statement, it is at least one of the few attempts to set forth some criteria for defining these vague objectives and for judging when the objectives have been reached. It is an attempt to consider the question of heterogeneity in a comprehensive way. Following that line of thinking, this paper will attempt to develop an operational definition of heterogeneity and a means for judging whether existing cities or proposed planning solutions achieve the operationally deal with is defined goal. What the paper will not the question of the desirability of heterogeneity and the relationship of heterogeneity to solving social goals. As has been outlined in the preceding pages, the question of what ought to be and why) are each large problems in their own right. This paper's concern is the defining of heterogeneity in order to see how far we nave achieved the goal in existing cities or how far we must go to achieve it. The goal is a framework for analysis which will be tested on case studies in existing cities and can be tested on planning proposals using specifically defined goals. This study will accept the contention that heterogeneity at every city scale may be a desirable goal for planners to pursue, and after defining heterogeneity in such a way as to be operational at all these scales, will determine in case studies in existing cities the degree and type of heterogeneity existing at present and immnediate past at various scales, thereby hoping to find a basis for speculation on the liklihood of a goal being achieved. Underlying this type of approach are two assumptions: 1) that people's decisions are more or less based on what they desire, and 2) that planners will not be successful in achieving a goal which is completely out of line with the desires of the people. It is of course true that these assumaptions are at best only generally true. Many people and groups within the city are constrained in their desires by erations. social or economic status consid- On the other hand, it may also be possiule for planners to change the goals of the people through persuasive or educational techniques, or through offering a new or additional alternative which the general public had not considered before. ness of a study of this type, however, lies in its The usefuldefining the limits of the existing situation based on a particular definition of heterogeneity and perceived popular aesires--one of the limitations within which planners' proposals ought to be considered and formulated. II. METHODOLOGY Heterogeneity Defined To begin a study of heterogeneity, we must first formulate a definition of this concept which is operational and can be tested against existing and proposed situations. There is diffi- culty in determining quantitatively, from the writing of the proponents of heterogeneity, the desired ends which they had in mind, e.g., how many families each of low, middle, and high income would constitute a heterogeneous community or neighborhood? This study will explore one rather unsophisticated concept--that heterogeneous neighborhoods be cross sections of the total city. Therefore, for the purposes of this study, the average value over an entire metropolitan area for each social or economic characteristic shall be taken as the desired goal to be sought in each smaller unit of the metropolitan area. Each sub area should therefore represent a random sample from the total metropolitan area. In order to have a consistent measure, the "cross section" goal shall apply to each level below the metropolitan scale-through neighborhood ana blocks. Therefore, in a completely heterogeneous metropolitan area, each smaller unit within the whole would be a small scale replica of the metropolitan socio-economic profile. It might be argued that by aiming for an ideal in which all neighborhoods would possess virtually the same average value for each socio-economic variable, the results could in fact be a homogeneous metropolitan area. This might be the case if the ideal did not also include matching the 'metropolitan distribution curve for the variaoles as well. area distribution curve for particular variables were extremely tightly peaked about In Only if the metropolitan an average value could this charge be made. fact, the metropolitan distribution for the variables being measured is not homogeneous. Therefore it becomes apparent that only by achieving the metropolitan average can a small social unit also have a chance of matching the metropolitan profile for the variable. Because the metropolitan profile is composed of diverse and extreme values, a neighborhood average which is highly divergent from the metropolitan norm indicates a concentration of these relatively extreme cases in that neighborhood, i.e., relatively homogeneous high or low value tracts. This study will primarily be concerned with the statistical spatial unit most closely approximating a residential neighborhood-that of the census tract. Census tracts generally contain from 4000 to 6000 persons and were intended by the Census Bureau to represent "natural areas" of relatively homogeneous population. This latter requirement is the one of lowest order and due to shifting population within rather stable tract boundaries, not considered to be a built-in bias in measuring heterogeneity. The use of the metropolitan area as the largest unit from which to measure heterogeneity is not a constraint on this type of analysis. Any average measure, be it national, state, or region-wide, may be substituted mind of the planner. }epending upon the goals in the The metropolitan norm appeared to the author to be representative of the goal expressed by current writers on the subject of heterogeneity. Heterogeneity may exist on any number of levels--the nation, the state, the region, the metropolitan area, the neighborhood, the iLock. This study assumes a common measure for each level. This may, in fact, be misinterpreting what the proponents of heterogeneity have in miind, but witnout a sound basis to determine the subtleties of their goals, it appears to be an operational definition which could be easily modified through coefficients if a comprehensive, quantified goal formulation for heterogeneity at a variety of scales were proposed. Case Study Areas For the case study I have chosen two metropolitan areas-Boston and Cleveland--and will be concerned with two census years in particular--195O and 1960. The cities were chosen, first, because they are representative of two distinctly different types of American cities which developed in aifferent time periods. It is hoped that this will eliminate the problem of drawing incorreat conclusions from the peculiar circumstances of a single city. Boston is an eastern city which achieved maturi6/ by the late 19th Century. Cleveland is representative of the midwestern indus- trial cities receiving most of its growth at the turn of the 20th Century and on to the Depression. They are cities composed of different primary ethnic stocks--Boston being predominantly Irish and Italian, with few non-whites, while Cleveland's in-migrants are mostly Eastern European, with a large minority of non-whites. 4 city economic types they differ. Boston's economy is based to a larger extent on office, coiiimercial, aria research and institutional activity than Cleveland's which is strongly based on manufacturing. As of 1960 the Boston metropolitan area contained roughly two and a half million persons. The Cleveland metropolitan area studied had a population of about one and two-thirds million. The Socio-Economic Variables Five characteristics were chosen to represent the social and economic makeup of the population and some measure of the life cycle differentials. The characteristics and their measure Income of Families anca unrelated individuals Years of education for adults over 25 Percent of ,,ales White Collar and Blue Collar Percent of population non-white Percent of population foreign born Percent of population of foreign stock LIFE Gu LZI Lercent of population 0-16, 0-14, or 6-17 INCOME EDCATION OCCUPATION LT'HICITY 14 include: '50 and '60 i i " Inter-Tract Heterogeneity For each of the five measured characteristics, an idex was calculated for each census tract representing the distance from the metropolitan norm (being 100). value. If of the tract mean or median the iietropolitan norm for income is tract with a median income of 4OO0 $6000 = 100, a would be indexed at 8000 600x100 = 1. We would like to know how many tracts lie in a "heterogeneous" range at this inter-tract level, and their spatial pattern. will be the criteria for heterogeneity? Of course the closer the tract average comes to the metropolitan average, the ogeneous the tract (by our definition). average is tolerable? What iore heter- But how close to the Because different variables are scaled aifferently--in dollars, years of education, or percentages of the total population-- we can cancel the effect of the measuring scale by calculating the standard deviation (or average deviation where the average is given as a median rather than a mean) of the range of indexed tracts and select a measure of heterogeneity in terms of standard deviation. Thus for such divergent variables as years of education (with a range of relatively few years) and one of percentage of the population which is foreign born or non-white (with percentages ranging from 0 to 100), the standard deviation gives some indication of what a comparable range in terms of index steps for each wiould be, e.g., aoout 10-14 points for education and over 50 for percentage foreign born. The standard deviation is in terms of index numbers, but oy dividing the standard deviation by 100 and multiplying by the metropolitan norm for the characteristic, it is possible to find the corresponding distance in termns of years of education or percentage points, etc. Further, by dividing the index devation from 100 for each variable by the maietropoiitan standard deviation for that variable we can get a set of values for each variale which can be directly comApared. A.D. = S.D. = fd n tract value for variable met . mean or median Zfd n met. index - tract index index = met. S.D. or A.D. adjusted variance Where f = frequency at each level d = deviation from mean or median n = number of values The values in terms of standard deviations (or average deviations)could then be graphically presented. A color scheme was chosen, composed of a neutral shade fr tne middle range of deviations and graded to two extreme colors representing up to + 5 deviations from the norm. This technique hopefully gives a quick idea of the extremes of the values and their location and patterning. While tnis is still a rough measure, the middle range of 16 values (those within 1 ;S. D. or A.D.)were considered to be more or less heterogeneous with respect to that particular variable and at this inter-tract level . Tracts which fell beyond 2 S. D.'s, and certainly those beyond 3, .could be thought of as representing homogeneously high or low value tracts with respect to particular variables. Intra-Tract Heterogeneity Inter-tract analysis, of course, does not tell the whole story. Therefore, in addition to the measure of inter-tract heterogeneity, a test area in the Cleveland metropolitan area was chosen in Jch to study the relative homogeneity or heterogeneity of the tract itself. From U.S. Census figures, it is possible to measure the interftaldstribution of the variables of income, education level, and race. In effect, what we would like to know is 1) how the distribution curve of the inaividual tract for income and education compares with the metropolitan distribution, and 2) how the non-white living pattern on a block basis compares with the tract average. The method useful for coiiparing curves, sometimes referred to as "goodness of fit", is through the chi square analysis. formula for calculating x Where f A simple is: is the observed frequency of values in a distribu;tion; and f is the e expected or desired frequency. X f - fe 2 If we calculate for each census tract what its distribution should be if it were a random sampling or cross section of the iaetropolitan area ana use this as f , we can comnpare the actual frequency of values reported by the census for each tract and calculate x2 for the sum of the differences. A table will show the probability that the value received for x 2 could have been from a random sample of the metropolitan area, (i.e., a heterogeneous aistribution). As an exataple of how the chi square test vorks let us consider a simple aistriuution of income levels. In a census tract of 100 families, suppose 20 families' income is below $3000, 60 families' income 5000-7000, and 20 families at the $7000+ level. However, in the total mietropolitan area the percentages of the population at each level are 30%, 40%, and 30% respectively. Translated into comparable figures for a tract of 100 families, we get values of 30, 40, and 30 families. By squaring the difference between the expected number of families at each level and the actual number, and dividing that result by the expected value, we get a measure at each level of the variance from the "normal" distri" bution. The sum figure 16.67. of these three variances is x2 , in this case the A table shows that the probability of this tract aistribution occurring in a city where every tract contained a random sampling of the metropolitan profile is less than 1 in 1000. The tract is not a cross section. For this study, the census figures allowed comparison at some 14 income levels and 6 levels of educational attainment. For the third variable, race, data by blocks was available for each census tract. By plotting the percentage of non-whites pegblock a graphic co:iparison could easily be made with the graphic representation of the percentage of non-whites for the tract as a whole. The area chosen for this intm-tract analysis consisted of 24 census tracts in the southeast corner of the city of Cleveland. The area was chosen because it see.ued repre-sentative of the middle range of values for the socio-economic variables being leasured-in other words, a large number of the tracts were in analysis. eous" range as measured by the inter-tract the "heterogenIt was diso a part of the metropolitan area which contained substantial .iddle aged housing and neighborhoods and yet still had extensive new construction occurring in the decade of the 1950's. The ethnic couniodtion, further, was quite varied and in the process of change. Sources of Data The primary sources of aata on the social and economic characteristics studied herein were the U.S. Censuses of 1950 and 1960. Detailed data on social ano econome characteristics of the population was available by census tracts for both Boston and Cleveland metropolitan areas for 1950 and 1960. selected housing character- istics were also available on a block basis for those years for the central cities of Boston and Cleveland. 19 iviost of the data for the Boston area was gathered not from the original sources out from the extensive ecological study of the Boston metropolitan area for the years 1950 and 1960 by Professor Frank Sweetser of Boston University. Problems in Data In spite of the relative completeness of the data available for the study, certain problems arose during the course of research from the lack of comparability between 1950 and 1960 for a few of the variables. The 1950 Census measured the median income for tracts and the metropolitan areas in terms of income of fatailies and unrelated individuals together. The 1960 Census refined this variable into a median for family income and a median for families and unrelated individuals. The 1960 family income variable is probably a much better aieasure for comparability of income levels across the city, but it has no counterpart in 1950. used in family and unrelatea individuals income, indications of very low income level in single areas. areas occur, 1950 results in areas of predominantly .erson resiaence such as extensive resiaent The category, apartment areas or student Coupled with a knowledge of where such unusual the variable can be properly interpreted. In order to have a variable which could ue co.pared for the two census years, family and unrelated individual income was chosen. Another _problema occurs with respect to occupational groupings. For the Cleveland data the author grouped the occupation categories listed in the census into two broad categories with two sub-categories each--white collar, containing a nigher status white collar group (professional, technicians, uianagers) and a lower status white collar group (clerical and sales). Blue collar consisted of a higher status group containing craftsmen and operatives, and a lower status group consisting of laborers, household and service workers. The data for Boston gathered by Professor Sweetser divides the occupational groups into three categories, a high status white collar group identical with the one used for Cleveland, a middle status group (presumably white collar in nature) consisting of clerical, sales, and service and household workers, and one blue collar group containing craftsmen, operatives and laborers. A difference of opinion is evident. To be sure, the classification of sepvice workers given by the census is a vague one and contains a wide variety of skills--from police and fireien to janitor, waiters, and movie ushers. This author felt that the predominant nature of the jobs classified were manual and ought to be included with a blue collar grouping. Also the census decision to place this group in a low position--below operatives in their listing--appears indicative of its actual status or skill ranking in general. A second point of difference with Professor Sweetser is the broadening of the olue collar category into a high and lower status or skill group. V from craftsmen to laborers appears too great in The range the eyes of the author to warrant classification in a single category. Therefore, for the Boston area the three level classification of Professor Sweetser is used, and for Cleveland, the four level system. The results while not airectly comparable are felt to be The differing breakdown of sufficient similarity for comparison. for each city is possibly advantageous because each fits the peculiar economic makeup of each city better. Finally, the measurement of life cycle tendencies proved to be a difficult one. The percent of the population under the age of 18 as a category in the 1960 census seemed to be a useful measurement of the relative youth of families. however, this category aoes not appear in the 1950 Census and was not used in the Sweetser study of Doston for either 1950 or 1960. Instead the Boston study used the percent of population in age categories 6-17 as a measure for both 1950 and 1960. 0-1 It was felt that the 6-17 age group and breakdown were not sufficiently different in a change in the variable. on children in Therefore the Cleveland and Boston data the population is relative terms is nature to warrant not directly comparable similar enough for aaequate Data on median school years completea but in comparison. and percent of the population which was non-white or foreign born were directly comparable for both cities and both census years. Additional historic aata, on ethnic migration in particular, was useful as background information. ,P III. HYPOTHESIS rrior to beginning any research,it is important to define the direction in which the research is likely to lead and to estimate what the results of the study might be. Rather than pre- determining the results of the research, this practice merely helps to clarify the issues at stake and to focus attention on the author's intent in undertaking the study. What then is the desired result of the research undertaken for this paper? First and foremost the study seeks to measure wrether heterogeneous neighborhoods ao in fact exist in cities. Are they a comion or unique occurrence numerically? Secondly, what has been their direction of change, numerically, between 1950 and 1960? What different results occur in testing neighborhoods for heterogeneity with respect to a single social characteristic and when seeking neighborhoods which are heterogeneous in all repects? What is the direction or significance of the heterogeneity of the individual variables? Thirdly, what spatial patterns do homogen- eous and heterogeneous neighborhoods exhibit? these patterns have a predictaoility? Does it appear that How do these patterns relate to findings by others engaged in social area analysis? Finally, what are the implications of these results for pianning goals or neighborhood heterogeneity and balance--in particular with respect to the scale or "grain" of heterogeneity? The expected results of the research 1. stem from the author's particular bias concerning the tolerance of t he ordinary citizen for diversity in his social environment. It is therefore expected that,by our definition, very few heterogeneous neighoorhoods will be found in existing cities and that the tendency toward homogeneous neighborhoods will have increased since 1950. It is further expected that homogeneity with respect to income and occupation will be the most acute, while characteristics such as ethnicity (for nationality groups) will be tending toward a more heterogeneous distribution. On the other hand, it is expected that racial diver- sity will be virtually non-existent homogeneous segregation and an extreme pattern of with respect to this variable will be apparent. The patterning of homogeneous neighborhoods is expected to follow either a concentric ring model or a sectoral pattern, rather than following a scattered or checkerboard pattern--further substantiating the Hoyt and Burgess models (sectoral and concentric, respectively) of urban growth and development. If these results are borne out they would seem to suggest a resistance on the part of city dwellers to a very fine grain mixture of social and economic characteristics. This might suggest to the planner that means other than the residlential neighborhood be formulated for increasing the city aweller's knowledge of and tolerance and appreciation for the diversity in his fellow man. IV. RESULTS OF RESEARCH There are three analytical steps which have been used to test the concept of heterogeneity outlined in the previous sections. The first step is a determination of the amount and pattern of inter-tract heterogeneity or homogeneity present in the case study cities, with respect to individual variables. The second step will determine heterogeneous tracts with respect to all the measured variables. The third step will determine the intra-tract heterogeneity for a small sample area in Cleveland with respect to three of the variables. Inter-Tract Analysis The first stage of the study--that of determining inter-tract heterogeneity--is just that--a first step. Finding a large number of tracts which mtch the metropolitan median or mean for particular characteristics does not in itself guarantee that such tracts are heterogeneous. The tract would have to be internally consistent with the metropolitan distribution as well. Using the first stage snalysis the following results were obtained for the two case study cities: Inc o me Among all the variables measured (with the exception of race perhaps) income appears to have been the one which has shown the greatest extremes in tract average in both cities and for both 2_5 census years. The 1960 Cleveland figures show the greatest extremes, e.g. several tracts in the range exceeding +5 A.L. There seemed to be a slight increase in the extreme values in the 1960 figures as compared to those for 1950. High income areas increased their average income at a greater rate than the overall rise in income for the metropolitan area. Conversel,y, low income tracts remained at very often the same low level as in 1950, and therefore lost ground as the metropolitan meuian increased. Much of this rise in extreme values may be accounted for by the progressive income tax in the United States. Because of increasing taxes in higher brackets, these incomes must incrase at a greater rate in order to maintain a high take-home pay. Therefore, a calculation of income after taxes aiight show a more across-the-board rise in income at a more or less similar rate. The "rich get richer and poor get poorer" first glance conclusion is probably an overstatement. Within the + 1 A.S. range which this paper is using to indicate relative heterogeneity, 203 of 320 Cleveland tracts (63%) and 254 of 431 Boston tracts (59%) for 1960 could be classified as heterogeneous. The 1950 picture is much the same for each city. Of 2o6 Cleveland tracts, 177 (62%) fell in the heterogeneous range, while I82 of Boston's 436 tracts (6>) met that qualification. Spatially, the "average" tracts arrange themselves in a rough zonal pattern at a middle distance from the city core in both cities 26 I N CGO0m r.. +3 . Pr-D. -3 tCLIVELAND 1M2S3. S21 I N 60 ME +4 +3 tAD -3 -4* CLIEVELAND 2.8 I NGON\E '50 INCOME '%0 for both years. This zone moved outward from the core soiiewLat in the decade, centered at the outer areas of the central city(s) in 1950 and beginning to reach into the first ring of older suburbs by 1960. As one moves toward the core, the indices get lower and lower (homogeneous low income areas) and as one ioves outward, generally higher (homogeneous high income areas). In both cities the zonal pattern is broken by a pronounced wedge or sector of very high income reaching from inner city areas to the periphery. In Boston this is the western sect.or, while in Cleveland the eastern one (plus a much smaller western sector along the lake). This predominantly zonal pattern interjected with a "prestige" sector is a recurring one in both cities for the socio-econonic variables of income-education-occupation. Education While income may have exhibited great extremes in values, the analysis for education Jevel ostensibly reveals a much more gradual uropping away from the norm. Mandatory education through the age of 16 in the U.S. has cecreaaed greatly the percentage of persons with very low educational attainment. On the other hand the upper limit of educational attainment appears strongly fike4 at the bachelor's degree for most of the population. For example, the range of education extremes was only about 7 years for both cities. however, by adjusting income and education by the measure of average Ceviation, the differences are eliminated. Within +-l A.D. are in- cluded slightly fewer tracts than the number in that rarge for the 31 E4DUCATION 'TO +4 CLliELAKD BDUCATCCW I(00 +-4 (), CL1!VELAND twis. 33 EDU(A110A 3+. '5D eDUCAT10A 3 gr 160 income variable. in For Clevelaina there were 165 of 3L0 tracts the heterogeneous range for 1960 and 165 or 307 (54%) The Boston figures were 260 of 4356 (60%) in in in (56%) 19!0. 1960 and 251 of 436 (57%) 1950. Correlation high as is oetween eaucation level and incoie was rather indicated by the simiilar spatial patterning of the two variables. Generally, only stuaent and somle qpartment not share the correlation. with high iioome. here high education level is the heterogeneous zone stretched from± the edges of the inner city all the west sector in not correlated iine lowest euucation levels were ag--ain in city core areas ana tne "average" or for both years. areas do way out to the new suouros Tie iighest level tracts were sectoral again--the boston and ea stern and west-shore sectors in Cleveland. Occupation In the socio-economic triad of income-education-occupation, the occupational grouping of the population is the variable which produced the ,reatest number of middle range tracts--though not aif- fering substantially froni results for the other two variables. Hovwever the nu-ioer of' middle range tracts for occuational grouping aecreased in both cities oetween 1950 and 1960. the few. c-anges--be it the two census years. This was one of small--whicn could be noted in the data for /0 WWC&-LaOR 150 4-4 S, D tCLUELPLND 37 % NH- OLCLAR '0 4- t A, CLEVELAND 0%6 W 1A,CDLLA-QP '5D 016 40 W J4 C OUA 'bo In uraer to si.plify the mapping, only the white collar ana blue coiar designations were used (the two sub-categories for Cleveland being combined and the miadle category for the Boston data being added to white collar). The two designations proved to be more or less mutally exclusive as expected and therefore only the indices for white collar are mapped. It would not be much of an oversimplification to envision a negative of that map as the picture for blue collar distribution. The figures on numbers of occupationally heterogeneous tracts are 211 out of 320 (66%) for Cleveland and 289 of 435 (66%) for Boston in 1960, and 230 of 316 (73%) for Cleveland and 304 of 436 (70%) in for Boston 1950. Relating occupations to income and education we find that the very high value white coilar tracts are the same ones that were high in education and income. A check of the white collar breakdown also shows a very high percentage of the white collar occupations for these tracts are in the highest level (professionals, managers, etc.). Correspondingly the tracts with the lowest white collar employment are also the ones which containea the highest percentages in the lowest blue collar trades. In the middle range of tracts-- those which are heterogeneous or nearly so--the correspondence between white collar and high income and education, collar and low income and education breaks down. and blue We find that income levels are much the same for areas of moderately high white collar employment as those with moderately high blue collar workers. But despite this similarity in income levels the white collar/ blue collar emphasis follows a strong sectoral patterning which is. approximately educational level. the same as that for high income and These findings appear to corroborate the occupational studies by Duncan which indicated strong tendencies toward white collar/ blue collar separation in living patterns in American cities. Ethnicity Persons of foreign birth or stock and non-white persons constitute the measures of ethnicity for this study. Both exhioit, extreme conditions of variation from the metropolitan average, the racial measure exhibiting by far the greatest ektremes. in Boston,for example, with only 4.5% of its population in 1960 Ceing non-white, census tracts containing nearly 100% non-whites would be indexed at over 1000 with respect to the metropolitan however, when adjusted to a standard deviation measure, mean. the absolute numerical extremes are dampened. The extreme skewness of non-white distribution results in a large value for standard deviation. Therefore a large number of tracts fall within the oroad middle range. Trnere is indication in both cities, however, of a reduction in this aiddle range over the 1950-o0 In (93%) Cleveland 270 of 50 tra-cts (64') trActs wiere in and in the heterogeneous range in period. Boston 404 of 436 1960 with respect to this variable. For 1950 the figures are 275 in for Cleveland and 414 in 436 (97/) in homiogeneousghetto in one which begins with a concentration in then iegins a sectoral pattern outward in Boston the non-white ea stward, it reaehes wedge (9) for Boston. The pattern of the non-white is 307 the core each city area and one or two directions. aioves soutward, dividing into two segments northeast while in Cleveland and southeast when tile city oorder. The foreign born population does not exhibit such extreme conditions as those for non-wjhites, of. concentration in both cities. tracts are 224 of 320 (70,O) for Cleveland. 436 (60;%) For o;ton and 339 of in tn 436 (7 out it The figures for heterogeneous 1960 and 219 of 506 (71%) in cures -4b of juaing figures are ,atterns. 1950 ) for 1960 and 1950 respectively. The very high oand very low indices for foreign birth in form distinct patterns aoes exhibit Ooth cities Tnis is generally a sectoral pattern with greatest concentration in becoming more heterogeneous or near the core area, as one moves outward. the sector In Boston the iorthern and southern sectors show this high rate of foreign birth. In Cleveland it concon-tration in is the northeast and southeast sector, the eastern suburbs. ponas in hoston to the high Low foreign plus a birth corres- prestige western sector; out in Cleveland only one of tne two high prestige sectors -- the west shore-shows this low inciuence. The high stLatus eastern sector is I/V NON-\N qTBn '50 -' +35 -3 -4 CLEVELAND tAl. S 2, 3 4 - ITE %N*NNWR CLl!VELAND k 4S- 2, 3 14 6 0 %NAON- W1WTE 7NON- VITE BO e 47 %7FOZE16N BW . 15~0 4-3 '4 -3 CLEVELAND S 2, 3 14 %kFDWZ&MI 9N. 16t CLEVELAND EtAIlt rElM -3 %Y FOR9(4 BN 6-A ISO 'o FoPE01N BN. (U coa_,osed of iany persons of eastern European stock and therefore exhibits traces of the recentness of that iiaigration. The 1960 Census included a category known as foreign stock, which included those of foreign birth plus those native born with one ur both parents of foreign birth. A breakdown by country of birth of the foreigh born person in the family gives us a picture of the iajor nationality stocks represented in each city. For Boston the two groups which are by far the most numerous are the irish and Italian population. Since Irish immigration was much earlier than the Italian, the percentages of Irish stock are not as high in the population. Even with this limitation, a distinct patterning shows up in ethnic stock concentrations. Italian concen- tration in Boston is in the northern sector, Irish concentration in the southern. There appears to be an inverse relationship among the two stocks. ,here Italian concentration exceed 20%, Irish stock is never above 20%, and vice versa. In Cleveland, four groups still exhibit a strong patterning of relatively homogeneous nationality grouping. The Poles occupy the southeast sector of the city, the Yugoslavs the northeast, the hungarians a pocket on the east side, and the Italians several pockets primarily on the east side. Some remnants of a Czech community parallelling the Polish one of the east siae is still evident as well. These Cleveland patterns have been in existence for at least 3O years as 1930 aata inaicates. (geierally Jewish) Only the iussian and community has been noticeably mobile has dispersea--in the wake of non-white immigration for the most In ooth noston ana Cleveland the nationality sectors part. widen and get more diffuse as they move outward from tie central It is likely, due to the small amount of immigration in city. the past 30 years, that these ethnic communities will slowly dim- inish in size or disappear entirely within a generation. general, as previous studies have pointed out, immigrant groups (19th centry) In the "early" have become more assimilated into the total population than the later-arriving eastern and southern j1uro.eans who still of th e mAntain ethnic communities. ,\u ssian Jews,tiese ith the exception ethnic comunities are associated with olue collar trades. relatively low eaucation level and Life Cycle netermining whether patterns in level. there is the case study cities some homogeneity of life is cycle handled at a very superficial The variable of percentage of the population which is composed of children was used as the only test. might have been expected in light of literature Contrary to what on the child-eentered suburbs and childless inner city, the extremes for this variable are about the same as tnose for the socio-economic variables. or example , the 19O figures show 241 of _20 Cleveland tracts (73%) in the heterogeneous that range. in 193 range and 62 of 436 Boston tracts (C03%) in the corres onding figures are -26 of 307 (74%) %le C WLDOPEN '50 O/j(~p~+'I~ I.S, D- CLEVELAND M k. S2, 3 4 % CAILDdEN '620 4-3 4-3 -4 _-s' CLEVELAND 2, 3 14 /H DW %/ C-DREAI 'b 97 in Cleveland and 333 of 436 (?6%) in Boston. To be sure it is evident that many inner city areas in both cities fell to below average aaounts of children in 1960 as compared with 1950, the new suburbs gained chilaren; ana but the middle range of tracts remained very stabie in size. TLe pattern of heterogeneous and homogeneous tracts with respect to children is primarily a zonal one for the white community, and appears independant of the sectoral influences evident for the socio-economic variables of incoae-education-occupation. high value tracts in the central city generally reflect non-white population concentration. Heterogeneity of All Variaoles Vhen we search for tracts which fall within the middle range (+ 1 S.D.) for all variaoles, we find considerably fewer than the number in that range for any one variable. There do appear to be a relatively small numoer of tracts which qualify for the heterogeneous label in 320 (20%) both cities. in 196U and 84 in 141 in 436 (32%) The figures 307 (27%) in for Cleveland 1950. in 1960 and 136 in 436 (31%) are 65 in For Boston they are in 1950. Is there some rationale oehina the location of these tracts? hiey au appear to be part of a zonal pattern at a position midway TABLE I INTER-TRACT. HETEROGjEITY (Index) S.D. (or A.D.)-5 IhCOME EDUC. +2 262(65%) 254(59%) 46 61 '+-)0 - -7 11 18 64 10 11 0 0 1 1 40 29 60 51 251(57%) 260(60%) 82 79 436 456 30 0 0 0 54 304(70%) 52 0 a 436 435 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 43 27 339(78%) 34 348(80%) 43 4 42 322(?4%) 57 553(76%) 362(85%) 41 20 '60 22 '50 '6o 30 0 0 412 326 '50 32 '60 46 0 o 0 FOR.ST. '60 2? 0 0 %/ CHILD. '50 '6 24 25 62 269(66%) 1 1 436 436 436 5 4 268 165(54%) 80 4 4 0 0 307 21 11 0 0 316 320 5 18 57 0 507 177 (62%) '60 26 0 203(63%) '50 '60 14 13 0 0 WH.COLL.'50 '60 59 54 '50 '60 222 203 '50 '60 46 66 F0R.ST. '60 46 % CHILD.'50 27 '60 19 '60 9 9 7 0 ALL VAR.'50 436 436 46 40 22 FOIR.Bi. 436 436 414(97%) 404(-93%) '50 NON-WH. 64 141( 32%) 'An EDUC. 431 136(51%) ALL VAR.'50 IhC0E +3 +4 +5 15 i\ON-WH. '50 '60 FOR.BNI. 48 TOT- 1i S.D. 16 17 '6u -2 3 0 '50 WH.CuLL. '50 hUMBER OF TRACTS WITHIN: -3 5 53 185(58%) 21 0 o 230( /3%) 211( 66%) 41 0 0 275(89O) 9 270(64%) 13 219(71%) 37 6 104 38 320 320 320 308 9 320 224(70%:) 0 0 19 51 226(71%) 41 226(74%) 241( 75%) 64(27%,) 65( 20%) 3 0 0 320 307 320 N between the central core area and the peripheral suburbs--their location Uetermined to a large extent from the income-educationoccupation variables. From these socio-economically heterogeneous tracts are excluded the sectors of tracts with heavy concentrations of foreign born, non-whites, and those beyond the middle range for The 1950-60 percentage of the population coiposea of children. aifferences in the heterogeneous band appear to be more the 'esult of the metropolitan area growing larger than any other reason. The zone ierely ioved farther out from the expanding low status core as iore higher status outer suburbs were added. Intra-Tract Heterogeneity The test area for intra-tract heterogeneity in Cleveland lies at about the location of the relatively heterogeneous southeast side tracts. Since only a few of the 24 total tracts in, area exceeded the + 1 A.D. range for the income and education variable being used in the intra-tract analysis, all the tracts were analyzed for their "goodness of fit" with the metropolitan distribution. The chi square test produced very disappointing results if our goal vas to match the metropolitan profile. iBone of the tracts fell within the probability range of 1 in l000(which was the limit of the table used for analysis) with respect and for either census year. to either variable Of course some tracts came closer TABLE II IhTRA-TRACT HETEROGENEITY IhCOME EDUCATION 1960 1950 A.D. CT x S3 - -5 173.8 -. 001 Ii 4 + .3 110.2 " 5 +1.9 1988.1 ii 6 + .2 158.4 " + .4 112.0 " 8 - .6 210.6 9 41 .1 23.6. " T5 + -5 237.5 " 6 - .1 150.3 " 7 + .1 147.6 it 8 9 + .2 202-.8 + .4 186.1 Ul +1.1 2 + .6 3 - -1 4 + .b 5 + .5 6 7 +1.8 6 9 +1.3 vi 2 3 - .o0 301.1 193.6 46.4 3b2. 6 162.9 76 .6 600.3 12_.7 64.9 155.0 221.6 82.1 A.D. Prob. -1.1 - 818.8 90.5 1660.6 118.0 0 122.9 .35 + .6 469.o - .3 157.7 - - 156.o .6 -..234 249.4 .6 379.4 - .4 Ii + .1 " - .1 "i x " 360.3 83.7 630.0 101.9 + .2 45-7 - .1 Ii + .2 "i - .1 "i + .8 84.6 150.5 96.5 195.4 o7.6 77.4 1?7.3 190.6 121.0 "I " " " " " + .4 - .5 + .3 1950 Prob. A.D. x' 1960 Prob. -.00l1 - .7 553.1 -. 001 ii - .6 690.6 II I, vi.4 3316.6 -1.0 328.2 .1 1413.4 II "t " ii "t " Ii ii Ti " ii " I, "i " " " " " " "I - .7 - .6 -1.1 -1.1 ti i" 396.5 It 408.1 441.5 i 1416.8 t It .9 492.2 .9 1019.1 -1.0 407.9 -. 9 128.8 660.6 .9 .8 199.3 .4 121.3 .?7 196.9 57.3 366.2 +1.1 - 3 37.2 + .5 -. 35 121.2 37.3 + .?7 -1.1 434.5 131.2 A.D. -1.2 +1.0 +1.0 -1.5 - .7 + .2 - -1.3 -1.5. -1.0 - ii " It ii ii ii "I "t Ii " it .2 .5 -1.0 -1.5 -1.3 - .9 -1.2 - .8 - .1 + .6 + .7 - .8 + + .1 .1 x Prob. 946.4 -. 001 "i 393.5 1489.4 1045.2 223.8 It 150.8 it 72.9 472.9 989.5 "t 434.1 388.8 384.4 533.6 338.6 "i "t "t "t "t ii "t ii it 245.5 "t 460.7 199.5 86.2 ii 170.9 97.4 137.3 61.3 143.7 63.7 "t it it "I I" "i ii "t than others, but none came within the probability range which would give confidence to a suggestion that it was a cross section of the metropolitan aistribution. There did not appear to be any relationship, either, between the average deviation value for the tract and its chi square size. Clearly here is a situation where the tract median did not represent the whole story. What appeared to be heterogeneous tracts in 1950 and 1960 were actually tracts with medians similar to the metropolitan norm, but with a range of values making up the norm of considerably different character than was the case for the A.etropolItan area as a whole. Getting to the third variable, race, we find that the maapping of percentages of families which were non-white by block within a census tract shows a very strong tendency toward concentration of these non-whites in particular blocks within the tract, rather than in a random distribution throughout the tract. There is evidence of boundary lines for the non-white community which are either implicit or explicit in the pattern- of non-white migration. The very sharp lines separating a predominantly Negro and an all white area are indicative of such unwritten rules. 1 here gradations are softer, the line has probably been broken by a new push of migration and more than likely a new artificial "containingi line--a street, a railraod, or a park--will be set up within which the I\egro 62 community will expLand toward 100% non-white saturation before another area is "opened up". The studies by Duncan in the Chicago 1hegro community show similar patterns. From this intra-tract analysis it ap pears evident that heterogeneity at a scale below the tract itself is more difficult to achieve in most cases than at the tract level. In fact, if we may generalize from this study area, a strict cross section goal is virtually unachievable at this small scale, 63 V. CONCLUSIONS Despite the narrow confines of the relatively unsophisticated uefinition of heterogeneity used in this study, some useful conclusions may be arawn--be they only ones of a negative nature. First, from the quantitative results of applying the cross section criteria to existing cities, it becomes apparent that the criterion in both its dimensions--both inter and intra-tract level--is virtually unmet in these cities. By exploring inter-tract and intra- tract heterogeneity separately, we find that at an inter-tract level a large and consistent number of tracts fall within a middle range of values for all variables, when they are adjusted for scale differentiation through conversion to standard deviation measure. It is not so important that the middle range is a crude and large one. An important aspect, rather, is the relative similarity of numbers for all variables. This is not good support for a theory which would speculate that certain socio-ec onomic characteristics were becoming more or less diffused or concentrated in the metropolitan pattern. The only possible contention which may be somewhat substan- tiated by these figures is the direction of the number of tracts in th e middle range for the variables of race, occupation, and educational level. For occupation and race, fewer tracts fell within the middle range in 1960 than in 1950; for education level, more tracts fell within the middle range in 1960 than in 1950. Directions of change for other variables were non-existent or contradictory in the two cities. The number of tracts which met the inter-tract average criterion for all the variables taken together was considerably smaller than the numbers for individual variables. Furthermore, there was an apparent downward direction in this number for one of the cities--Cleveland-- over the 1950-60 decade. The explan- ation for this phenomenon is to a large extent the lack of correlation between the socio-economic variables of income-education-occupation (which produced similar numerical results and spatial patterning) and the ethnicity and life cycle variables. These latter two cut across the socio-econonic variables to such an extent as to cancel out many otherwise "average" tracts on the basis of excessively high or low concentrations of foreign born, non-whites, or children. At the intra-tract level, any hopes of finding cross section tracts at both dimensions quickly vanished. Although only three variables were able to be measured in this dimension--income, education, and race--the lack of "fit" of tracts in a sample area with the ietropolitan profile for these variables was virtually total for ooth census years. A second conclusion which might be drawn from the data is that the definition of heterogeneity used herein is indeed too unsophis- 65 ticated and simple. As well as being too simple a goal for the complex interactions and interrelationships of human beings, it would statistically be a "freak". So fine a grain of mixture among a large conglomeration of persons would be a rare find. Like the mixture of the components of concrete, only constant and incessant moveient of the parts of the whole could be expected to produce a iixture so devoid of "lumps". While the analogy may be strained, there is a glimmer of truth in it. The Cleveland and Boaton data suggests that while new suburbs and developments may exhibit extreme characteristics, the successive movements of population through them tends to increase their diversity. Each successive wave of population may leave a residue of its population to add "balance" to the new group succeeding them. This concept does not hold for social migrations where prejudice plays a part in interrupting this process. however, the older suburbs of both Boston and Cleveland, in changing from early homogeneous settlements of those of high class, became iuch more diversified as succeeding waves of lower status resiaents passed through them. It is there- fore conceivable that many, many more waves of migration through these areas, in miore than one direction, may result in an even greater mixing and an even finer grain of mixture. A third conclusion from this study imiight be its suggestion of alternative ways of approaching and analyzing the problem. If, as we have concluded, very little correlation with a cross section model exists in today's cities, and if the achievement of such a fine grain of mixing appears to be tied to mobility patterns and time, what kind of definition and objectives can we or ought we to formulate for achieving heterogeneous cities immediately? We could, of course, attempt to build new cities or neighborhoods which met the cross section goal--necessarily through coercian and e xtremely careful control and selection of residents, 'it would app-ear from this study. criteria, Alternatively, modified cross section less stringent than those used in this study, might be applied with more success. On the other hand, taking the suggestion of Herb Gans, stated in the early part of this paper, we dight seek out the apparently inherent interreiationsLips i the social life of the block, the neighborhood, the district, etc. According to Gans, only when we fully understand the workings of these interrelationahips can we mieaningfully propose social planning schemes. He seems to suggest that there may be a minimum and/or maximum number of persons or families of relatively homogeneous characteristics necessary for social stability in a small area. Rather than applying a single nugerical objective for the parts which make up the mixture--as the cross section goal does--the numerical criteria would rather be in terms of maxima or minima for various scales and possibly for individual socio-economic characteristics as well. It is suggested that future study ought to be at the intra-neighborhood level, seeking to find the imnortant and relevant interrelationships and their corresponding numerical expression in criteria by which existing cities can be judged and new ones planned. The Gans approach is not the only other one which could be fruitful. Elizaceth Wood's definition of "balance" was that of neighborhood equilibrium--a continuous movement through a neighborhood allowing its socio-economic profile to remain stable. Although it is. assumed that Miss wood's neighborhood in equilibrium is also one which is not all of one class or ethnic group (e.g., she would not want a low class area to remain low class forever), the criterion of stability proposed by her could be tested against existing cities to examine its liklihood of occurence. Finally, attention might be given not to the traditional neighborhood units as such but toward the relationship between neighborhoods--the total configuration of the metropolitan as a continuous fabric. area It might oe argued that while homogeneous concentrations of extreme characteristics will continue to occur in our cities, by making the transitions between concentrations smooth rather than rigid--these areas fluid rather than fixed-the individual may exercise freedom of choice in identifying with and experiencing greater or lesser diversity of environment on the basis of his desires or potential. This final proposal for a concept of heterogeneity may be the most elusive for study ana need to be approached from a negative angle, i.e., attempting to eliminate slharp boundaries and "allow" mixing to take place. The data gatherea in this study indicates some evidence of this gradation at work for many of the variables, the most notable exception, however, being the pattern for race. In aUdition to clarification of the definition of heterogeneity and standards for its implementation, a very important coacern in this discussion will need to be the one which this paper has carefully avoided tackling--that of why should our cities, neighborhoods, or what have you be heterogeneous or balanced. If the reasons are based on social goals, should we not examine whether the physical patterning of people of varying socio-economic characteristics is the correct vehicle for the achievement of these uals? With more security in this area of social goals, it may become more clear which of the several ap roaches to defining and quantifying heterogeneity will be most fruitful. APPENDIX I INTER-TRACT HETEROGENEITY-SELECTED VARIABLES CLEVELAND MET. AREA AVG. VALUE INDEX $3451 $6038 10.4yr. 11.0yr 100 100 100 100 35% 40% 65% 60% 11% 16% 13% 10% 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 EDUCATION2 INCOME 1 34% 24% 34% 100 100 100 5LIFE CICLE % FR.BN. %FR.ST5 0-18 (index) (index) '60 '50 '60 '50 '60 (index) '60 '50 OCCUATIONS ETNICITY % BL.CL. % N. WH. %WU.C1k (index) (index) (index) (index) '60 '5o '60 '50 '60 '50 '60 '50 Al 109 85 118 110 169 133 63 28 1 1 72 138 124 41 64 2 90 82 96 87 83 53 109 132 0 3 119 127 110 100 87 3 100 86 103 91 114 80 92 113 4 4 75 136 108 87 83 4 108 104 90 90 91 63 105 125 1 1 129 129 120 87 87 5 101 94 92 93 94 68 103 122 0 4 113 117 113 100 99 6 104 99 94 90 97 65 102 123 0 1 95 149 110 87 88 7 96 93 93 87 91 65 105 123 2 2 89 112 99 87 88 8 92 80 89 82 63 50 120 133 2 12 101 132 100 100 90 9 102 85 92 85 83 63 109 125 0 1 102 155 113 144 98 TRACT NO. 1Income of Families and Unrelated Individuals 3 Years of Education of Persons over 25 Males in Profess., Tech. Manag., Clerical, Sales Serv. Occup. in Boston) 4 (Also those in Males in Craftsun, Operatives, Laborers (also Serv. Occup. in Cleveland) 5Foreign Born plus Native Born of 6oreign or Mixed Parentage 0-15 Group in 1950 for Cleveland 6-17 Group in '50 and '60 for Boston Bl 109 104 98 94 100 80 100 113 1 1 129 159 132 87 83 2 118 108 104 95 117 90 91 107 1 1 114 130 128 87 97 3 105 100 99 92 97 63 98 125 0 2 108 146 118 100 91 4 107 99 92 89 94 73 103 118 0 2 101 122 110 100 97 5 104 90 91 81 66 40 118 140 2 1 99 124 104 114 103 6 95 87 87 80 60 40 122 140 0 0 115 129 103 114 126 7 106 92 85 81 66 50 118 133 1 0 1-14 97 104 114 99 8 100 90 88 81 60 50 115 133 0 1 127 153 126 114 92 9 100 94 85 80 74 58 114 128 1 1 167 205 160 100 96 Cl 89 77 86 83 66 58 118 128 6 1 157 200 117 100 102 2 71 64 85 77 49 38 128 142 5 3 87 98 59 100 102 3 60 33 86 79 63 45 120 137 9 20 64 105 87 144 105 4 88 83 86 83 60 48 115 135 0 5 104 148 103 100 99 5 88 82 87 79 57 28 123 148 1 3 119 135 90 100 101 6 71 60 86 78 57 43 123 138 5 5 130 111 80 100 91 7 58 65 77 75 29 30 138 153 63 8 136 107 96 114 119 8 93 89 88 80 63 40 120 140 1 1 136 137 94 100 104 9 94 A80 84 79 57 40 ~123 140 1 0 145 140 102 100 106 Dl 83 74 85 79 51 40 126 140 1 1 139 174 114 100 115 2 85 83 84 79 54 45 125 137 2 1 171 242 149 114 109 3 77 72 82 75 40 25 139 155 3 1 200 248 133 114 119 4 94 90 87 80 60 48 122 135 2 3 162 229 144 5 91 78 84 77 57 30 123 147 0 0 191 261 159 114 6 87 87 88 81 77 48 112 135 0 5 122 129 122 100 99 7 77 61 89 80 63 45 120 137 1 11 128 150 110 144 127 8 109 91 86 80 69 55 117 130 1 6 132 167 136 100 109 87 97 119 9 94 92 84 80 69 48 117 135 0 4 138 187 133 100 85 El 106 97 87 86 66 53 118 132 0 1 133 133 120 100 88 2 110 88 84 83 83 48 109 135 0 0 142 194 145 87 91 3 105 93 88 83 80 55 111 130 0 0 130 156 146 100 88 4 100 97 92 88 89 63 106 125 1 1 96 135 118 87 93 5 101 88 97 88 100 80 100 113 1 1 82 155 119 87 113 6 92 88 89 90 66 68 120 122 20 19 106 118 110 87 92 7 123 114 93 92 88 75 108 117 0 0 108 126 122 100 101 8 106 92 90 86 88 65 108 123 5 2 120 135 130 100 88 9 110 108 94 90 89 90 106 107 0 0 102 133 134 100 85 130 118 96 100 111 133 94 78 0 0 100 125 145 100 77 2 116 111 98 95 94 78 103 115 1 1 101 114 126 144 97 3 103 102 87 89 97 83 102 112 0 1 110 177 142 87 90 94 91 91 83 63 109 125 0 0 135 152 123 100 99 Fl 4 5 122 110 88 89 91 85 105 110 1 0 141 202 164 87 80 6 109 102 86 83 91 80 105 113 1 0 154 170 152 87 85 7 131 115 94 110 146 128 75 82 0 0 98 102 129 87 80 G5 61 50 83 73 43 73 131 118 60 85 143 185 103 114 94 8 54 35 88 84 83 70 109 120 68 67 79 114 94 41 26 9 52 32 87 83 117 115 91 90 133 138 75 101 86 100 84 H2 90 72 82 77 46 60 129 127 1 1 180 260 159 114 94 3 92 85 83 77 51 38 126 142 16 22 147 223 129 100 95 4 86 72 82 78 46 45 129 137 40 32 138 186 112 114 100 6 76 55 83 80 54 43 125 138 36 100 116 82 72 114 88 7 58 44 78 75 51 40 126 140 665 534 18 12 14 100 103 8 51 40 86 76 63 53 120 132 647 490 27 18 16 41 73 1 m M 50 35 86 78 26 48 140 135 879 631 2 0 1 144 158 13 56 27 71 76 20 15 143 157 811 444 16 26 21 144 126 5 52 42 69 70 26 28 140 150 503 431 105 112 60 114 94 6 41 29 61 70 20 3 143 165 794 612 34 13 8 114 119 7 47 80 65 100 17 73 145 118 888 608 5 0 1 144 121 8 47 36 89 81 37 25 134 150 895 640 0 0 1 144 155 9 54 40 72 66 20 18 143 155 894 634 6 6 3 114 131 J4 80 73 80 78 34 45 135 137 35 57 118 127 99 114 123 5 78 68 84 80 57 40 123 140 5 2 135 148 114 100 90 6 90 72 81 75 46 28 129 148 5 3 123 83 85 114 114 7 114 98 85 80 40 45 132 137 22 8 102 119 121 114 109 8 91 80 82 80 49 55 128 130 1 0 141 142 131 100 96 9 95 90 84 80 54 63 125 125 2 0 139 158 150 100 92 KI 86 72 80 78 51 48 126 135 0 1 201 226 143 87 93 2 88 81 85 80 51 55 126 130 9 67 161 206 127 87 96 3 91 88 82 78 51 53 126 132 21 0 178 215 149 100 95 4 98 85 90 90 77 53 128 132 5 56 46 100 111 5 101 86 85 80 57 83 123 112 1 0 190 292 186 87 83 6 97 84 83 80 66 60 118 127 1 0 184 254 166 87 84 7 102 93 83 83 60 55 122 130 1 1 171 216 161 87 85 8 101 90 90 82 77 33 112 145 1 38 147 229 149 87 96 9 90 79 87 85 69 65 117 123 155 117 122 146 118 87 88 Li 93 72 85 80 69 30 117 147 6 371 123 78 58 100 122 2 101 69 95 82 83 40 109 140 5 519 105 32 21 87 116 3 80 60 84 79 51 28 126 148 73 539 90 18 12 100 131 90 62 89 82 74 20 114 153 47 586 86 13 10 87 142 - 474 142 ~w 5 82 59 98 82 80 28 111 148 47 573 83 12 12 41 119 6 85 66 101 84 89 23 106 152 107 571 70 13 10 87 131 7 64 51 86 84 57 15 126 157 139 413 62 17 26 87 108 8 76 56 98 83 83 30 109 147 40 441 68 24 20 41 97 9 57 44 83 77 29 13 138 158 842 624 7 3 2 87 107 M1 71 50 102 86 86 58 108 128 357 457 41 29 26 41 56 2 73 60 106 102 91 60 105 127 336 324 51 48 44 41 50 3 57 51 78 76 26 23 140 152 897 639 2 0 1 87 99 4 65 53 92 80 49 38 128 142 890 631 4 10 7 87 88 5 65 53 86 85 40 33 132 145 863 637 9 4 2 41 88 6 64 62 98 82 49 30 128 147 880 630 6 8 4 41 91 7 62 39 75 73 49 20 142 153 901 640 0 0 0 100 118 M8 52 39 71 74 20 25 143 150 888 628 6 13 7 100 113 9 53 46 73 75 26 15 140 157 784 615 17 22 7 144 121 Ni 67 61 83 80 37 40 134 140 784 623 26 10 4 87 113 2 60 51 73 75 20 30 143 147 858 630 12 5 3 114 122 3 67 73 78 78 26 25 138 150 776 630 25 2 2 114 132 4 77 50 83 71 43 25 128 150 92 257 164 123 79 114 105 5 89 65 83 76 43 55 116 130 1 19 197 206 149 100 88 6 96 93 86 81 40 40 132 142 40 0 129 122 127 114 88 7 60 48 76 80 20 40 143 140 817 618 17 0 4 114 142 8 79 61 80 77 29 20 138 153 494 418 77 81 50 114 118 9 98 87 85 79 51 50 126 133 1 0 129 134 141 100 81 01 97 94 86 80 54 63 125 142 0 0 143 159 150 114 95 90 78 85 79 63 50 120 133 1 0 141 234 169 100 89 - - -- 3 97 90 83 80 51 48 126 135 3 1 146 147 142 100 102 4 99 95 84 80 60 48 122 135 0 0 148 162 158 100 90 5 90 82 86 81 57 58 123 130 0 3 89 107 110 100 103 6 100 97 89 87 66 55 118 130 2 1 119 105 115 100 96 7 103 94 85 80 49 45 128 137 0 0 120 148 151 114 100 8 100 93 87 83 57 53 123 132 1 0 111 108 128 114 94 P1 96 71 87 90 89 40 106 140 10 599 129 11 9 87 126 2 98 81 98 95 143 50 77 133 31 581 137 19 13 87 123 3 111 93 102 90 100 65 100 123 1 129 118 121 101 87 95 4 83 82 102 94 77 45 112 137 537 594 78 13 12 87 104 5 81 73 96 91 97 38 105 142 447 603 134 23 10 87 110 6 103 87 107 94 140 58 78 128 2 409 205 80 53 87 100 7 108 91 98 86 93 108 118 0 2 113 164 121 87 87 8 104 86 101 86 126 83 86 112 1 10 144 210 140 100 82 9 111 89 100 91 91 70 105 12o 0 99 103 110 87 80 Ql 109 94 95 91 86 80 108 113 47 49 131 136 123 100 89 2 109 94 88 88 86 55 109 130 1 1 155 162 133 87 79 3 99 92 91 84 66 55 118 130 10 95 103 87 85 4 98 94 91 81 57 58 123 128 7 2 172 231 153 100 91 5 101 94 90 84 57 55 123 130 9 6 178 222 164 114 96 6 115 100 93 89 80 78 111 115 0 1 166 183 149 87 74 7 119 112 96 92 100 93 102 105 1 0 144 199 175 87 67 8 112 107 91 91 63 68 120 122 0 2 129 106 129 100 93 9 118 99 112 102 120 118 89 105 0 4 93 103 114 100 80 88 4 14 99 a-' R1 76 62 98 93 54 48 117 135 754 633 27 2 2 87 96 2 75 83 100 92 66 45 118 137 607 621 53 13 7 87 100 3 85 73 106 93 125 43 88 138 133 610 112 5 7 41 96 4 106 86 104 94 137 38 80 142 6 590 161 16 12 87 100 5 90 77 97 91 50 105 133 67 568 81 23 18 100 119 6 79 63 116 97 149 68 74 122 95 32 27 87 93 7 58 36 119 110 166 113 65 92 50 451 16 208 93 93 61 41 48 8 86 75 98 71 78 115 115 3 4 154 203 154 100 84 9 77 63 117 97 129 65 185 123 9 288 76 53 39 41 79 Si 61 31 118 103 149 130 74 80 170 209 78 69 58 41 50 2 82 65 97 95 86 95 108 103 275 276 111 90 77 100 94 3 88 73 90 85 91 50 105 117 3 36 154 208 149 114 93 4 106 91 92 87 106 90 97 107 2 1 202 314 199 81 66 5 142 109 120 113 211 190 40 40 4 3 114 152 152 41 27 6 105 93 86 81 83 90 109 107 2 38 194 258 189 87 77 7 109 100 98 98 106 100 97 100 66 183 180 226 144 87 74 8 86 83 90 91 69 48 117 136 537 606 86 20 14 100 94 9 103 93 92 103 134 80 82 113 24 525 208 62 35 100 94 76 88 85 75 46 40 129 140 392 267 67 85 85 144 119 2 101 96 86 84 80 65 111 123 0 3 158 183 159 87 88 3 104 90 83 80 43 48 131 135 2 1 141 125 156 114 98 4 100 90 88 84 66 68 118 122 3 14 117 124 130 100 94 5 98 111 85 83 83 63 109 125 1 31 157 174 167 87 83 99 96 85 81 77 63 112 125 23 229 181 140 115 100 101 Ti 86 90 7 101 85 87 77 58 112 128 73 355 173 121 83 87 94 8 104 89 93 100 58 100 128 225 534 169 59 36 100 96 9 109 102 87 60 65 122 123 0 1 159 182 172 114 91 Ul 123 97 81 74 78 114 132 12 28 17 207 160 87 81 2 113 100 83 69 65 117 123 7 42 193 217 173 87 85 3 97 104 88 100 78 100 115 3 1 87 112 127 87 87 4 114 97 84 91 70 105 120 2 1 113 132 138 87 84 5 111 104 89 71 73 115 118 3 156 159 112 119 100 98 6 - 98 99 91 80 105 113 0 21 75 65 99 114 116 7 139 120 115 108 154 120 71 87 1 196 95 93 106 144 98 8 - 120 107 109 146 103 75 98 0 1 62 85 131 144 114 9 129 108 96 97 58 102 128 0 9 118 144 156 114 91 111 110 101 111 90 94 107 0 3 77 126 132 144 121 85 19 15 23 144 116 106 24 27 114 127 vi - 2 87 87 3 - 108 W1I 156 134 2 134 120 3 - 89 90 34 45 135 137 749 547 101 51 43 126 138 118 111 209 175 42 50 1 1 59 83 104 100 84 115 109 149 130 74 80 0 1 75 110 115 144 85 80 80 111 113 1 3 125 165 145 114 82 98 87 88 32 537 4 127 112 117 110 174 163 60 58 0 0 66 85 118 100 85 5 118 109 103 96 114 93 92 105 0 0 106 131 125 114 81 6 127 117 111 108 149 125 74 83 1 2 80 90 106 100 99 7 98 120 113 110 114 98 92 102 7 0 52 59 88 100 121 8 92 100 116 106 100 90 85 107 0 2 35 55 84 144 143 9 123 107 90 9d 103 100 98 100 0 0 136 156 143 87 83 123 109 94 88 106 83 97 112 0 1 121 2 124 121 108 104 111 110 94 93 3 1 76 3 121 122 106 97 109 93 95 105 0 3 83 96 40 55 132 130 418 278 70 103 4 00 92 145 100 88 81 108 144 106 101 116 144 107 72 65 114 120 104 144 121 122 165 5 120 111 106 102 91 68 105 122 3 1 85 87 6 105 107 106 92 74 63 114 125 7 5 70 77 97 144 112 129 178 85 48 1 5 62 31 126 114 93 0 89 102 107 100 84 zi 133 CHI 153 119 113 171 173 62 52 3 2 228 123 116 249 228 20 15 11 1 107 75 97 41 77 3 140 128 119 112 191 168 51 55 0 0 82 92 104 100 85 4 165 132 120 113 209 178 42 48 1 1 83 98 106 100 85 5 163 126 120 112 189 180 52 47 1 0 68 105 106 100 80 6 133 103 119 111 211 183 40 118 1 9 159 185 138 87 95 7 137 118 118 110 220 178 35 48 5 5 171 260 183 87 83 8 164 140 118 112 209 185 42 43 12 1 143 155 151 114 103 9 174 134 119 111 246 188 22 42 4 1 172 217 199 144 96 10 113 92 115 100 194 150 49 67 8 6 227 343 204 41 75 11 121 88 119 110 220 175 35 50 17 13 157 287 164 41 68 12 129 98 123 115 237 193 26 38 14 8 105 126 119 41 86 13 136 137 124 122 237 215 26 23 14 11 77 101 91 100 100 14 173 184 129 135 266 218 11 22 14 4 56 45 63 100 112 15 126 121 121 116 254 185 32 43 6 3 112 143 117 87 80 16 147 124 121 113 223 183 34 45 3 1 114 160 145 87 86 17 163 129 121 116 217 195 37 37 4 1 112 130 100 88 95 ECI 118 102 107 98 126 95 86 L02 1 1 85 95 106 87 78 2 119 99 113 110 140 118 78 88 1 1 91 126 116 41 72 3 107 96 113 99 129 105 88 97 0 1 88 112 105 87 69 4 114 103 112 98 117 80 91 113 0 1 94 105 108 87 93 5 112 101 119 110 177 153 58 65 1 4 61 103 103 41 67 6 124 97 123 111 200 143 46 72 4 2 69 110 110 41 67 EC7 95 89 110 96 134 85 82 110 7 90 117 102 92 87 91 8 108 84 117 105 160 128 68 82 3 3 85 155 136 41 58 9 66 74 118 110 134 110 82 93 5 4 78 104 98 41 60 10 99 86 116 98 171 123 62 85 3 5 159 266 170 41 61 EUl 140 127 117 108 157 135 69 77 1 1 78 116 122 114 103 2 119 114 116 110 123 125 88 83 0 1 42 58 89 144 116 3 138 136 117 110 149 113 74 92 3 1 61 61 106 144 112 4 126 106 93 86 80 88 111 108 5 4 143 201 174 100 83 5 122 109 99 96 80 80 111 113 2 2 103 113 129 144 109 6 119 117 117 110 146 125 75 83 0 1 56 83 111 144 100 7 137 141 115 110 137 138 80 75 1 1 82 84 118 114 96 GH1 117 111 89 93 86 65 108 123 0 1 114 152 161 100 96 2 104 109 93 91 109 88 95 108 1 0 110 157 146 100 90 3 - 110 95 103 126 118 86 88 0 0 98 80 119 87 91 4 117 112 92 90 71 65 115 123 0 2 118 110 144 100 99 5 116 118 99 100 94 88 103 108 0 1 88 113 145 114 96 6 125 122 106 103 100 90 100 107 0 1 74 66 121 144 120 7 121 109 91 93 86 83 108 112 26 33 93 92 120 100 98 j 00 LWl 172 150 122 117 263 195 12 37 4 3 46 53 72 87 96 2 106 103 118 110 197 160 48 60 2 4 47 89 93 87 86 3 120 109 120 112 206 168 43 55 2 1 55 89 90 87 86 4 126 104 120 113 209 183 42 45 2 2 57 71 88 41 84 5 144 118 121 115 231 193 29 38 2 1 47 56 71 41 83 6 123 100 120 112 203 185 45 43 1 1 56 98 99 41 52 7 112 95 117 110 160 150 68 67 1 3 71 97 96 41 78 8 123 105 117 110 186 138 54 75 7 2 56 71 74 100 93 9 142 122 119 113 211 198 40 35 0 0 59 79 89 87 83 10 127 109 117 110 191 143 51 72 2 1 50 82 74 100 99 11 122 113 119 111 200 150 46 67 1 0 57 93 94 87 91 12 131 101 118 111 197 155 98 63 0 1 68 106 105 87 84 13 123 112 118 111 177 153 58 65 0 1 61 82 90 87 88 14 128 114 114 110 169 153 63 65 0 0 80 94 103 100 96 15 118 105 105 106 137 130 80 80 1 1 120 143 129 87 83 16 104 95 106 100 129 100 85 100 2 1 115 161 129 87 87 17 105 95 94 90 91 73 105 118 3 1 126 164 126 100 86 18 103 77 86 79 49 58 128 128 0 1 176 204 150 100 82 MHl 125 123 109 104 103 95 99 103 0 1 f2 67 116 144 115 2 114 121 103 101 71 68 115 122 35 14 65 65 109 144 126 PR1 132 122 98 110 117 123 85 1 0 92 81 106 100 106 2 124 124 111 101 94 95 103 103 1 1 83 106 129 144 111 3 118 123 102 101 103 95 98 103 1 1 98 115 132 114 110 4 144 127 111 108 134 115 82 90 0 0 83 99 124 114 110 5 108 127 98 112 105 5 1 95 91 115 114 130 6 101 126 117 3 6 76 75 100 144 120 109 77 93 110 123 118 91 88 88 A SHl 142 179 124 125 251 223 18 18 17 5 71 73 105 87 62 2 290 393 132 136 254 245 17 3 51 15 63 45 74 100 99 3 290 362 141 135 271 233 8 12 30 8 30 38 91 114 114 4 192 167 123 117 249 213 20 25 16 10 79 121 126 100 89 5 249 202 129 121 260 228 14 15 20 7 68 96 121 87 74 6 168 159 122 115 229 203 31 32 1 1 98 130 132 114 91 SE1 136 143 116 111 149 145 74 70 1 0 92 101 120 114 107 2 149 134 119 110 197 170 48 53 3 1 109 184 164 114 96 BAl 156 160 122 117 223 200 34 33 1 0 41 43 61 144 118 BD1 110 125 115 110 111 93 94 105 1 0 59 57 95 114 115 2 112 117 116 109 109 95 95 103 0 2 74 65 87 100 107 3 102 108 99 80 111 113 0 1 102 85 93 114 107 BEl 110 103 119 110 109 110 95 93 64 132 12 26 50 144 147 2 117 125 117 113 140 155 78 63 5 3 39 38 65 114 119 3 48 54 121 113 151 130 72 80 41 39 31 49 64 100 BKl 117 121 109 102 97 80 102 113 0 0 50 77 111 144 114 CC5 98 109 97 103 91 80 105 113 1 4 62 40 68 144 121 6 - 129 119 112 177 153 58 65 0 0 38 35 54 114 123 7 - 128 - 110 106 105 97 70 0 0 - 40 74 114 124 9 - 155 - 111 147 145 74 70 0 0 - 47 83 144 114 11 98 116 109 110 100 85 100 110 13 1 47 28 64 144 143 12 121 143 113 110 117 128 91 82 6 1 70 61 96 144 118 13 107 123 97 109 109 105 95 97 2 1 55 42 73 100 125 14 - 120 98 109 94 88 103 108 0 0 69 33 72 144 122 18 115 116 97 109 86 105 108 97 0 0 83 56 98 114 111 103 80 82 19 - 125 102 109 94 85 103 110 0 0 74 48 85 100 125 20 10 1 102 86 83 69 50 117 133 0 0 120 128 146 87 91 22 - 116 98 63 53 120 132 0 0 - 103 122 100 95 23 - 128 115 110 114 93 92 105 1 0 57 46 100 144 108 24 - 146 101 109 103 115 98 90 0 0 103 84 126 114 110 25 12 4 133 102 105 126 118 86 88 0 1 75 64 120 114 113 26 11 4 131 93 94 123 103 102 1 8 83 56 97 114 110 27 12 7 157 118 113 160 165 68 57 9 3 44 51 93 41 71 28 11 0 119 119 115 177 168 58 57 8 12 121 172 107 114 116 CC29 - 108 100 100 74 63 114 125 10 6 59 18 86 114 116 30 - 143 113 109 114 115 92 90 1 2 104 87 136 144 113 35 - 245 124 116 229 223 31 18 11 4 54 100 135 144 116 36 - 107 113 - 2 - 56 82 113 4 127 113 2 1 65 79 113 107 40 99 93 95 137 192 172 56 56 64 144 114 41 98 143 92 42 - 43 109 80 99 82 110 120 128 89 87 71 45 115 110 57 118 120 88 96 5 62 68 114 144 121 141 110 94 113 103 92 0 1 - 68 105 114 118 - 144 112 160 148 68 68 0 4 - 52 115 144 110 45 - 171 122 120 186 210 54 27 10 13 73 67 76 100 91 46 - 242 125 120 209 203 42 32 5 4 47 66 97 144 104 49 - 142 115 111 131 135 83 77 5 1 111 84 116 100 109 50 14 132 114 111 123 130 88 80 9 0 69 57 96 144 118 - 203 122 128 189 208 52 28 5 2 55 45 89 114 118 02 118 119 115 160 168 68 55 0 1 40 43 47 100 101 37 52 55 12 14 00 FP1 138 136 118 112 174 160 60 60 0 1 61 66 87 144 103 LHl 143 157 119 114 169 170 63 53 1 0 65 76 100 144 122 2 - 138 - - 140 - 73 - 2 - 106 124 - 103 MYl 124 126 115 110 120 128 89 82 2 1 69 105 123 144 117 2 - 129 - - 125 - 83 - 1 - 89 127 - 110 N01 127 129 114 110 126 130 86 80 1 1 71 66 86 144 117 2 121 131 111 110 -126 128 86 82 0 1 59 60 85 114 120 PH1 124 129 118 110 157 145 69 70 4 0 62 74 111 144 113 2 - 141 - - 135 - 77 - 0 - 72 94 - 125 RR1 194 183 122 119 237 205 26 30 3 1 41 51 65 100 102 2 150 144 119 114 203 185 45 43 2 1 64 73 84 114 91 UH1 WL1 176 118 144 138 121 114 246 210 22 27 8 1 111 140 157 114 97 116 111 140 140 78 73 1 1 76 65 88 114 112 111 110 112 BOSTON MET. AREA AVG. VALUE - 16% 100 '50 13% 100 '60 41% 100 '60 16% 100 '50 20% 100 6 117 115 131 94 100 0 31 103 100 117 106 95 148 5 0 119 123 134 125 105 128 142 5 2 125 123 127 113 100 62 138 140 8 0 143 146 141 113 100 58 68 142 146 8 0 138 192 153 106 90 76 54 62 146 140 0 10 144 154 149 118 95 75 76 58 45 142 161 8 4 144 192 161 125 90 55 81 77 66 79 134 123 5 28 81 108 107 175 140 74 75 74 75 56 50 144 155 5 0 144 277 235 113 95 5A 87 83 77 76 52 47 148 159 0 0 156 231 173 106 100 5B 90 89 79 78 60 69 140 134 22 4 118 131 134 118 105 C2 87 73 90 90 80 69 120 134 8 21 75 85 85 156 125 3 90 82 95 94 82 84 118 117 5 4 68 69 83 137 115 Dl 80 73 85 78 76 83 124 119 35 0 75 69 95 132 120 2 96 71 85 81 58 69 142 134 5 87 85 105 132 120 3 87 85 91 90 72 81 128 121 8 6 4 75 69 88 113 115 4 93 89 88 83 72 56 128 148 5 4 75 77 97 137 115 El 77 80 79 85 62 73 138 129 117 23 82 69 88 118 100 2 83 83 90 94 80 77 120 125 13 13 87 77 107 94 95 F1 67 67 65 78 52 79 148 123 74 80 175 169 117 94 55 50% 100 '50 47% 100 '60 90 102 111 0 78 86 122 115 84 60 56 140 79 87 72 62 75 79 78 62 80 82 77 76 B1 80 82 74 2 80 75 3 83 4 50% 100 '50 53% 100 '60 96 98 87 91 94 80 93 92 5 87 6 c0: 1l.2yr. $3112 $5561 100 1n 100 TRACT NC. '50 '60 '50 Al 112 98 94 2 106 102 3 103 4 T XT1V 11.4yr. 100 '60 5% 2% 100 100 '60 '50 '60 80 oz 73 72 74 68 73 132 129 0 2 182 224 173 106 3 58 78 106 114 132 86 64 35 76 82 177 124 100 65 4 77 88 74 70 79 130 123 5 0 100 246 176 100 85 5 74 73 72 70 62 130 140 5 10 182 239 173 100 85 6 48 96 97 134 124 66 72 39 36 118 139 124 25 10 Gi 38 75 66 158 171 42 19 2296 1384 57 385 188 57 60 2 48 75 68 134 130 66 66 1130 1054 137 284 173 63 60 3 65 89 106 138 113 62 85 83 450 137 224 137 13 35 4 45 91 74 112 139 88 56 904 626 113 208 115 87 100 Hi 74 78 83 94 77 106 125 48 8 163 185 163 100 90 2 74 75 118 - 26 0 182 154 49 113 60 3 45 101 106 128 173 72 17 117 284 132 77 85 82 20 4 61 79 80 100 100 100 100 18 13 156 215 146 63 45 Ii 45 77 75 102 115 98 83 569 469 156 215 119 94 90 2 58 75 72 86 122 114 74 1226 786 132 331 151 113 75 3 46 76 75 112 106 88 93 266 306 168 185 127 63 60 4 41 78 83 86 75 114 127 243 806 118 92 68 113 135 Ji 48. 88 82 132 130 68 66 113 97 175 208 137 43 25 2 38 81 94 124 122 76 74 2961 1328 57 108 71 50 45 3 61 108 105 134 139 66 56 78 73 113 146 110 31 20 4 54 105 100 116 120 84 77 474 571 106 131 105 57 45 5 54 109 106 134 130 66 66 213 145 100 154 110 25 20 K1 74 110 110 136 139 64 56 61 56 106 108 1o3 50 25 2 70 116 134 176 173 24 17 22 22 87 92 76 25 20 82 oc 3 54 60 116 128 178 167 22 23 26 34 82 77 73 25 10 4A 38 15 114 125 164 162 36 29 65 58 75 69 71 19 20 4B 87 64 112 110 146 141 54 53 26 58 87 131 110 31 15 5 65 60 115 120 174 162 26 29 26 32 94 92 78 19 15 Li 38 33 84 78 112 113 88 85 505 534 150 200 117 43 40 2 51 46 83 82 110 83 90 119 3274 2002 31 69 39 50 45 3 45 42 79 78 84 79 116 123 2052 1580 87 115 64 57 50 4 51 39 73 73 98 73 102 129 400 363 137 215 131 68 60 5 48 44 100 103 116 92 84 108 52 136 82. 131 112 87 55 6 48 33 79 78 108 100 92 100 165 132 94 161 115 63 30 M1 83 58 79 96 63 33 132 174 0 126 137 39 49 132 30 2 78 64 78 78 62 54 138 151 5 4 113 123 105 125 110 3 90 66 110 93 94 83 106 119 0 39 13 39 51 87 160 4 67 48 74 77 58 58 142 146 0 0 137 115 127 132 95 Ni 80 76 82 89 70 75 130 127 13 28 106 92 95 118 90 2 100 100 94 98 96 86 104 115 18 6 94 108 117 106 105 3 103 94 102 104 88 88 112 113 0 6 106 108 127 100 85 4 90 96 90 95 80 84 120 117 0 6 106 115 117 118 100 01 87 87 88 94 80 79 120 110 0 0 118 146 122 100 95 2 96 69 98 90 84 73 116 129 5 0 68 69 85 144 115 3 87 73 80 79 66 62 134 140 5 2 125 115 107 118 110 4 80 67 79 81 54 60 146 144 0 0 113 146 117 132 120 PlA 77 87 79 89 66 86 134 115 5 0 132 123 90 113 105 lB 83 55 107 90 104 106 96 93 5 0 50 61 83 182 110 iC 106 96 89 91 76 75 124 127 13 0 106 100 112 132 105 2 109 92 90 95 80 81 120 121 5 2 125 123 134 100 100 3 100 89 83 89 88 88 112 113 30 158 113 92 97 118 105 4 90 69 87 83 78 56 122 148 57 369 100 115 97 118 105 5 87 85 88 83 82 75 118 127 161 1102 132 77 66 137 125 6 90 75 95 96 90 75 110 127 5 54 125 131 119 75 75 Ql 74 64 79 75 52 58 148 146 104 50 87 131 122 156 95 2 65 48 78 75 70 86 130 115 704 495 68 77 73 156 120 3 80 58 87 87 78 77 122 125 579 726 87 100 88 137 130 4 87 69 85 79 76 73 124 129 61 339 113 139 81 113 95 5 87 75 81 79 64 49 126 157 73 276 113 123 103 144 105 R1 48 39 78 76 80 81 120 121 3987 2080 6 46 36 113 90 2 67 44 89 78 88 58 112 146 2161 1193 43 92 66 125 90 3 58 39 80 77 78 62 122 140 2509 1817 43 61 36 118 120 26 19 112 106 132 126 68 71 57 691 94 61 58 31 80 2 77 50 91 89 94 94 106 107 52 4 75 100 100 187 130 3 80 67 86 82 70 62 130 140 374 669 118 115 97 118 95 4 77 73 100 100 96 102 104 98 161 195 106 131 112 100 75 5 77 69 101 106 112 113 88 85 34 93 118 161 127 94 75 6 77 85 93 87 98 96 102 104 34 45 137 192 144 100 95 96 60 100 95 84 83 116 119 8 184 82 61 78 100 145 103 102 92 90 92 79 108 123 5 8 118 131 122 113 100 3A 87 89 100 104 102 96 98 104 8 6 106 115 119 75 80 3B 109 96 100 95 96 88 104 113 8 4 113 123 124 100 95 4A 103 98 96 95 84 79 116 123 0 0 113 131 124 118 100 4B 116 110 98 102 98 83 102 119 0 2 118 131 124 118 105 00 Si Ti 2 oc, 90 77 110 125 5 10 113 123 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