Subsidies weaken the sustainability of global fisheries while increasing inequality among fishers U. Rashid Sumaila Fisheries Economics Research Unit Sea Around Us project The University of British Columbia Vancouver, Canada r.sumaila@fisheries.ubc.ca UNCTAD and ComSec AHEM on Trade in Sustainable Fisheries, Sep 29 – Oct 1, 2015 Outline of talk • How important are fisheries to us? • Opportunities and challenges facing ocean fisheries worldwide; • Fisheries subsidies; • Suggestions for subsidies reform. How important are fisheries to us? • • • • • • Food and nutritional security; Economic security; Social security; Recreational values; Cultural and spiritual values; Ecosystem function and service. L.Teh D. Varkey Food and nutritional security • Annual ocean fish catch is ~80 million t; • Fish is a good source of protein, micronutrients, minerals and essential fatty acids; • Provides 3 billion people up to 15% of dietary animal protein; • For low-income food-deficit countries, the contribution of fish to total animal intake is nearly 20%. FAO, State of World Fisheries and Aquaculture (2014) Economic security Gross revenues from marine capture fisheries worldwide are estimated at between US$ 80 and 85 billion annually (World Bank, 2009, Sumaila et al. 2012); Total impact throughout the global economy is between US$ 220 and 235 billion in 2003 (Dyck & Sumaila, 2010). Social security through jobs 100 90 260 million people worldwide involved in marine fisheries, including direct and indirect sector 70 60 50 40 30 Direct Total Indirect 20 10 Thailand Nigeria Myanmar Pakistan Philippines Vietnam Bangladesh Indonesia China 0 India Employment (million jobs) 80 Top 10 countries providing marine employment Teh and Sumaila (2011) Opportunities and challenges to global fisheries? Climate change impacts Physical/Chemical changes in the ocean ↑ Sea temperature; ↑ acidification; Δ ocean current pattern; Δ salinity; retreat of sea ice; ↑ coastal hypoxic & oxygen min. zone; ↑ sea level. Biological / ecological changes in the ocean INDIVIDUAL • Physiology; • Growth; & • Body size. POPULATION • Distribution; • Abundance; & • Recruitment. COMMUNITY • Species composition; • Invasion/extinction. ECOSYSTEM • Productivity; & • Species interaction. Cheung, Watson & Pauly (2012): Nature What are fisheries subsidies • A subsidy is a “financial contribution [direct or indirect] from the public sector that grants private benefits to the fishery sector (World Bank 2009). Economic justification for subsidies • Externalities: – occurs when producing or consuming a good causes an impact on third parties not directly related to the transaction • Positive externality → provide subsidies; • Negative externality → impose taxes. Categorizing subsidies • • • Beneficial subsidies (‘investment’ programs in fish stocks); Capacity-enhancing (harmful) subsidies (‘disinvestment’ programs in fish stocks); Ambiguous subsidies (programs may benefit or harm fish stocks). Khan et al. (2006); Sumaila et al. (2013) 30/09/2015 Global fisheries subsidies 11 Subsidies are substantial Capacity-enhancing subsidies 83% of total USD 35 billion Subsidies to developed country fisheries at 65%. 30/09/2015 Sumaila et al. (2013) 12 Subsidies by type → fuel subsidies = more than 20%. 30/09/2015 Global fisheries subsidies Sumaila et al. (2013) 13 Subsidies are made for inequality Subsidy per fishery worker (USD 000) 300 250 Developing countries 200 Developed 150 100 50 Beneficial 30/09/2015 Capacity enhancing Ambiguous Global fisheries subsidies Teh & Sumaila, 14 2011; Sumaila et al. (2013) Mexican fisheries subsidies 90 Small-scale fisheries total = US$ 22 million Industrial fisheries total = US$ 191 million Subsidies (2014 US $ million) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Fisheries mangt. MPAs Fishery R&D Fuel subsidies Fisher assistance Approximately 12% of all fishing subsidies go to the small-scale sector Schuhbauer & Sumaila (in prep.) Subsidies and overfishing 25 90 20 70 60 Catch 15 50 40 10 30 20 Effort (GW or watts x 109) Catch (million tonnes) 80 5 10 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 FAO Fisheries Statistics Year *Effective effort indexed on 2000 based on average 2.42% increase annually Subsidies and overfishing 25 90 20 70 60 Catch 15 50 40 10 30 20 10 Effort (GW or watts x 109) Catch (million tonnes) 80 5 Effective effort* 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Watson et al. (2013) Year *Effective effort indexed on 2000 based on average 2.42% increase annually Impact on food & nutritional security Potential catch loss by region of the world Srinivasan, Sumaila et al. (2010) Impact on economic security 80 Percent 60 40 20 0 -0.02 -0.01 0 0.01 0.02 Pre-tax profit share of sales for 1000 fishing companies Sumaila et al. (2012): PLoS One Push reform at several levels • • • National level; Regional level; Global level. 30/09/2015 Global fisheries subsidies 20 Subsidies (US$ million) National effort: Indonesia 3% 250 200 15% Small-scale Large-scale 150 100 100% 50 0 Beneficial Capacity enhancing Ambiguous Schuhbauer & Sumaila (in prep.) Core group of countries adopts fisheries subsidies disciplines • Examples: – TPP may include disciplines on subsidies to overfished stocks and IUU vessels; – The ACP group of countries; – The TTIP countries (EU and USA). Establish multilateral disciplines built step-wise and ‘bottom up’ to fill remaining ambition gap • A group of countries, perhaps in partnership with Intergovernmental Organisations and NGOs, could stimulate collective action with bottom-up voluntary commitments to subsidy reform. Establish multilateral disciplines built on areas of agreement in WTO negotiations • Chair report 2011, areas of more agreement = subsidies to IUU vessels, transfer of vessels, access agreements; • Key gap: Subsidies to over-fished stocks arguably should have been listed. Align incentives by focusing international subsidy negotiations on international stocks • WTO negotiations cover subsidies to both EEZ and High Seas; shared and not-shared stocks; • Re-start the WTO negotiations giving a higher priority to subsidies that affect international stocks; • Build evidence around impact of domestic subsidies on domestic fish stocks in key countries; • Lobby domestically and provide incentives internationally for domestic reform. Conclusions • Build political will by tackling short-term socioeconomic & political considerations – • • ‘switching’ of ‘bad’ to ‘good’ subsidies Develop a cadre of local opinion leaders within countries who really see the benefits of eliminating harmful subsidies; Encourage national and regional efforts that can develop into a multilateral agreement. Thanks for your attention Thanks to UNCTAD & COMSEC for the invitation