The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets Tito Boeri September 2010 Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008) The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets Princeton University Press Chapter 3. Unions and Collective Bargaining Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 1/1 Unions – What Are We Talking About? Unions: What are we Talking About? Unions typically bargain over all aspects of an employment contract: wages, working hours, overtime pay, fringe benefits, employment security, and health and safety standards. Voluntary membership organizations: workers will only join a union if it is profitable to do so. First unions in the UK (18th Century) as craft organizations providing mutual insurance to their members; later, in the 19th century, industrial unions representing workers in semiskilled positions; since the beginning of the 20th century national organizations with political role. Involved in collective bargaining with employers. Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 2/1 Unions – Measures and Cross Country Comparisons Union density (% of all workers) Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain UK US 1960 57 20 35 25 42 – 40 31 1980 79 18 35 50 35 – 51 22 2000 74 8 25 35 23 17 30 13 2006 69 8 21 33 20 15 28 12 Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 3/1 Unions – Measures and Cross Country Comparisons Union membership in OECD countries Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 4/1 Unions – Measures and Cross Country Comparisons Unions – presence and influence Union density (only active members?) Coverage of collective bargaining Dichotomy between unions’ influence and presence: “excess coverage” Centralization of bargaining (formal level) Coordination of unions (informal level – implicit) Wage share Strikes Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 5/1 Unions – Measures and Cross Country Comparisons Measures – turn of the 20th century Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain UK US Workers in firm joining employer association (% ) (1) 48 74 72 40 79 72 54 - Workers covered by collective agreements (% ) (2) 52 75 80 81 79 67 35 13 Workers joining trade unions market sector (% ) (3) 68 10 25 36 19 16 19 10 Excess coverage (2)-(3) -16 65 55 45 60 51 16 3 Central. 2 2 3 2 3 3 1 1 Coord. 4 2 4 4 4 3 1 1 Centralization and coordination: 1 to 5 (low to high) Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 6/1 Unions – Measures and Cross Country Comparisons Strike activity – days lost per 1000 workers Denmark France Germany Italy Netherlands Spain UK US 1988–93 35 80 15 246 14 589 87 61 1993–99 258 92 4 103 24 253 20 39 Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 7/1 Unions – Theory Union membership & union bargaining Union membership Worker joins a union if the wage-employment combination with a union membership is higher than without a union membership Power of unions is higher with steep (inelastic) labor demand curve: tradeoff wage – employment Union bargaining Most theories of union behavior take membership as given and concentrate on collective bargaining. The latter is modeled in three different ways: Monopoly unions Right-to-manage Efficient bargaining Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 8/1 Unions – Theory Monopoly union model A union is the sole “seller” of labor Union sets wages unilaterally maximizing the expected utility of a representative worker (median member) subject to the labor demand of the firm. The firm reads off the employment level corresponding to w. No bargaining takes place. Decision applies to all workers (“closed shop”). Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 9/1 Unions – Theory Monopoly union Wages Union indifference curves w* IC2 IC1 Labour demand curve n* = n(w*) N° of workers Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 10 / 1 Unions – Theory Right-to-manage model Union and firms bargain over any surplus. Nash-bargaining: max of product of surplus of workers and firms weighted by respective bargaining strengths (β and (1 − β)). Gains as surplus over fall back option. For the firm, the fall-back option is zero. For the union member it is the reservation wage, w r . Bargaining is on the wage Employment = on the demand curve Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 11 / 1 Unions – Theory “Right to manage” outcomes w β-1 wu 0<β<1 wm = w r β-0 Ld L Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 12 / 1 Unions – Theory Efficient bargaining: over wage and employment Firms: highest iso-profit curves Unions: highest utility curve Bargaining only over wage generates non-efficient outcome Bargaining over wage and employment: efficient outcome Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 13 / 1 Unions – Theory Efficient bargaining: Labor demand curve & isoprofit curves Wage π2 π1 D π0> π1 > π2 Peaks π0 Labor demand curve Employment Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 14 / 1 Unions – Theory Efficient bargaining: Isoprofit curves & Union utility curves Wage Both better off M iso-profit curve through monopoly union point M D Employment area: both unions and firm are better off Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 15 / 1 Unions – Theory Efficient bargaining – contract curve w Indifference curve of the unions β=1 wu A w* β=0 B Isoprofit L d L BA = contract curve BA vertical = strongly efficient contracts BA upward sloping = “featherbedding” (overstaffing) Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 16 / 1 Unions – Theory Strikes A strike may occur if employers and unions do not reach an agreement Strikes are costly, they shrink the surplus over which bargaining occurs When perfect information it is irrational to strike “Hicks paradox”: both parties would be better off without a strike Strike due to imperfect information about firms’ financial situation Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 17 / 1 Unions – Theory Endogenous union membership Decision to join a union: depends on policies of unions. Generally sponsor egalitarian wage policies: high-skilled workers no incentive to join unions. High wage demands: low-skilled workers are crowded out of their jobs. More successful in recruiting among medium-skilled workers. Under excess coverage, free-rider problem: why should workers pay union dues if they are covered in any event? Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 18 / 1 Unions – Theory The free-rider problem Membership decision: Cost-benefit analysis. I join if costs of membership (fees, time) are smaller than benefits (wages, security). How unions solve their free rider problem: Externalities – reputation for “good societal values”. Provision of exclusive services to members: on-the-job training, retirement and tax counseling. Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 19 / 1 Unions – Empirical Evidence Effects of unions on wages “Union wage gap”: estimated via regressions of wage equations of the type ln(wi ) = α + βm Mi + X 0 i γ where Mi is a dummy variable denoting membership of a trade union (it takes value 1 when the individual is member of a trade union and 0 otherwise) X is a vector of personal characteristics affecting wages, such as age, educational attainment, and tenure on the job. Denoting by w u and w n mean wages of union and non-union members respectively, the estimated union wage gap is given by the parameter βm wu − wn ≈ ln(w u ) − ln(w n ) = βm wn Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 20 / 1 Unions – Empirical Evidence Results Union wage gap (βm ) between 3 and 19% in the UK, 5 to 20% in the US. In countries with excess coverage, it is meaningless (no counterfactual). Problems also in countries with no excess coverage: endogeneity: self-selection into unions in industries with high surplus measurement error: not easy to collect information on pay spillovers: bargaining position of non-union members may improve Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 21 / 1 Unions – Empirical Evidence Effects of de-unionization on US wage distribution (box 3.4) Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 22 / 1 Unions – Empirical Evidence Research on Unemployment and bargaining level Macro empirical literature estimating employment and unemployment equations In countries with excess coverage problematic The macro performance of an economy with both high bargaining coordination and high unionization is, ceteris paribus, superior to that of an economy with low coordination and low unionization Lacking co-ordination, intermediate regimes offering the worst performance (“hump-shaped“ relationship) Serious measurement and endogeneity problems Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 23 / 1 Unions – Empirical Evidence Real wage (unemployment) A hump-shaped relationship III II I Low Intermediate High Bargaining Notes: I. The effect of internalization of negative externalities II. Hump-shaped relationship with small foreign trade III. Hump-shaped relationship with large foreign trade Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 24 / 1 Unions – Policy Issues Policy Issue: Do Unions Increase Efficiency? The good and the bad face of unions. Good face: “Exit–voice”: union give workers an option of voicing problems, instead of exiting the firm when they are unhappy. Bad face: Rent extraction – unions stronger in industries with no product market competition. Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 25 / 1 Unions – Policy Issues Unions and Product Market Competition 70 60 members as % of employees 50 40 30 20 10 0 FRANCE GERMANY Public Utilities Public Administration ITALY SPAIN Manufacturing Source: fRDB survey Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 26 / 1 Unions – Policy Issues Policy issue: Should bargaining be decentralized? Trade-off between internalization of spillover effects (and bargaining costs) and capacity to adapt to economic shocks. High level of bargaining: internalization of spillover effects, “right-to-manage” model – no “efficient” bargaining. Low level of bargaining: “efficient” bargaining is possible – performance-related pay Also effects on workers incentives, motivations, hence productivity. Problem of frequency of bargaining too: staggered contracts. Can performance-related pay reduce frequency of bargaining? Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 27 / 1 Unions – Why Do Unions Exists? Why do unions exist? Because they are popular among some socioeconomic group. The fast aging of the median union member in some countries suggests that unions may be caught in a vicious circle of aging membership and reduced attractiveness among the young and active population. New firms start often without unions. The share of retirees among union members is increasing everywhere. This means that unions increasingly favor older people in intergenerational conflicts, for example, in the design of public pensions. Unless unions solve this intergenerational problem, they may be heading for the grave. Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 28 / 1 Unions – Review Questions Review Questions 1 What are the pros and cons of the various measures of the strength of labor unions provided by the literature? 2 Why are unions stronger in industries where there is less competition in product markets? 3 Why is a right-to-manage bargaining system inefficient? 4 Why do unions pursue egalitarian wage policies? 5 How does competition affect efficient bargaining? Source: Tito Boeri and Jan van Ours (2008), The Economics of Imperfect Labor Markets, Princeton University Press. 29 / 1