Course: STA 363 – Sample Survey II (3 Credits – Compulsory) Course Duration: Three hours per week for 15 weeks (45 hours) As taught in 2011/2012 session. Lecturers: Adewara, Adedayo Amos PGDE, B.Sc. ,M.Sc., Ph.D. Statistics (Ilorin) E-mail: aadewara@Unilorin.edu.ng Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science, University of Ilorin, Ilorin, Kwara State, Nigeria. Office Location: – Department of Statistics, Statistics Building, Room F3. Consultation Hours: Friday, 2 – 4 pm Course Content: Various methods of data collection. Planning, execution and analysis of large scale survey with some references to Nigeria. Various problems arising in a sample survey especially in a large scale survey and their possible remedies. Uses of sample survey over complete enumeration: precaution for obtaining good quality data. Non – sampling errors: sources of error in surveys, various type of non – sampling errors, their sources, assessment and method of controlling them. Interpenetrating sub – samples. Discussion on some particular sample surveys conducted in Nigeria and other countries. 45h. Course Description: The course is designed to introduce our students to some various method of data collection such as personal interview, postal (mail) questionnaire, telephone interview, results of experiments, methods of registration and transcription from records (use of secondary data) that they may likely utilize while collecting data for analysis in the field and the likely sampling and non – sampling errors they may come across. It also highlights the problems usually encountered and solutions to some of them. Course Justification: The use of data by people all over the world can never be over emphasized. This course will enable the students to generate data of their choice based on method of data collection being embarked on and how to provide remedies to the likely errors and problems they may come across. 1 . Course Objectives: The general objective of this course is to introduce various data sources to the students. At the end of the course, the students will be able to: Know the various methods of data collection. Know the types of problems actually found in design of sample surveys and the solutions to each of them. Identify the types of errors in sample survey and how to solve them. Course Requirements: This is a compulsory course for all our 300 Level students in the Department of Statistics. In view of this, students are expected to participate in all the course activities and have minimum of 75% attendance to be able to write the final examination. They will also be expected to treat the study questions and assignments. Students are also expected to have e-mail accounts. Methods of grading: No Item 1. Class assignments/ test 2. Comprehensive final examination Total Score % 30 70 100 Course Delivery Strategies: The lecture will be delivered through face-to-face method, theoretical material (lecture note) will be provided during lecture session. Students will be encouraged and required to read around the topics and obtain current materials from the university library and e – learning library. Additional materials and links will be provided on the board. The delivery strategies will also be supported by tutorial sessions and review of study and past questions. LECTURE CONTENTS Week 1: Various Methods of Data Collection: Personal Interview and Postal Questionnaire Objective: The students will be able to know and explain various methods of data collection. Description: The course outline will be introduced with emphasis on the objectives and delivery strategies, the definitions and scope of the course as well as the importance of data collection in sample surveys. Study Questions: 1. What are the qualities of a good interviewer?. 2. What is a personal interview?. 3. State some of its merits and limitations?. 4. Explain postal or mail questionnaire as a method of data collection. 2 5. 6. State some of its merits and limitations?. Distinguish between personal interview and postal questionnaire as methods of data collection survey and when each of them are applicable. Reading Lists: 1. Des Raj (1972):The Design of Sample Surveys. McGraw – Hill Book Company. London. 2. Hansen, M.H., Hurvitz, W.N. and Madow, W.G. (1953): Sample Survey Methods. Vol. I. Wiley Series. London. 3. Moser, C.A. and Kalton, G. (1971): Survey Methods In Social Investigation. Heinemann, London. 4. Kish, L. (1965): Survey Sampling. John Wiley & Sons. 5. Fowler, F.J. Jr. (1988): “Survey research methods” Sage Publications London 6. Hoinville G, Jowell, R and Associates (1983): Survey Research Practice. Heinemann Educational Books. London. Week 2: Other Various Methods of Data Collection: Telephone Interview, Direct Observation, Results of Experiment and Transcription from Records ( Use of Secondary Data ) Objective: The objective is for the students to know other various methods of data collection. Description: Telephone interview is a type of data collection that involves conversation between the interviewer and the respondent on a phone while direct observation is just the personal involvement of the interviewer himself alone. Study questions: 1. What is a telephone interview and when would you adopt it?. 2. State some of its merits and limitations?. 3. Explain direct observation as a method of data collection. 4. State some of its merits and limitations?. 5. Distinguish between telephone interview and direct observation as methods of data collection survey. 6. Distinguish between results of experiment and transcription from records as methods of data collection in survey. Reading lists: 1. Des Raj (1972):The Design of Sample Surveys. McGraw – Hill Book Company. London. 2. Murthy, M.N. (1977): Sampling Theory and Methods. Statistical Publishing Society. Calcuta Week 3: Objective: Questionnaire Design The objective is to enable the students to know and understand how to design questionnaire for sample survey. Description: We have discussed the major methods of collecting data in the first two weeks. The tools or instruments on which the two major methods of collecting data in Week 1 depend on is the questionnaire. The students are expected to know (i). the general principles of design. (ii). Question content. 3 (iii). Question wording. (iv). Question types. (v). Question order. (vi). Pretesting. Study questions: 1. Prepare a complete questionnaire on the following topics. Include just ten questions on each by pointing out some key items. (i). Electronic learning awareness (E-LA) to study students awareness on the usage of internet facilities on campus in a Nigerian Tertiary Institution and (ii). Sample Source Water using Phone method to help in determining ways of educating citizens of a community about drinking water issues. Reading Lists: 1. Des Raj (1972):The Design of Sample Surveys. McGraw – Hill Book Company. London. 2. Moser, C.A.& Kalton, G. (1971): Survey Methods In Social Investigation. Heinemann London. 3. Murthy, M.N. (1977): Sampling Theory and Methods. Statistical Publishing Society. Calcuta 4. Hoinville G, Jowell, R and Associates (1983): Survey Research Practice. Heinemann Educational Books. London. Week 4: Planning of Sample Survey: Initial Steps Objective: The objective is for the students to know the initial steps in survey. Description: This chapter would deal with some of the initial steps in the planning of any sample survey. These would include the : (i). Objective of the survey (ii). Population to be studied. (iii). Data to be collected (iv). Methods of collecting data. Study questions: 1. Mention the different types of collecting data briefly. 2. Briefly explain design of questionnaire as it has been discussed in Week 3. Reading Lists: 1. Okafor, C.F. (2002): Sample Survey Theory With Applications. AFRO-ORBIS PUBLICATIONS LTD, University of Nigeria. Nsukka. 2. Des Raj (1972):The Design of Sample Surveys. McGraw – Hill Book Company. London. 3. Moser, C.A.& Kalton, G. (1971):Survey Methods In Social Investigation. Heinemann London. 4. Murthy, M.N. (1977): Sampling Theory and Methods. Statistical Publishing Society. Calcuta 5. Cochran, W.G. (1977): Sampling Techniques. John Wiley. London 4 Week 5: First Continuous Assessment. Week 6: Objective: Execution of Surveys. The objective is to enable the students to know how to put the planning stages into action. Description: The steps involved in the execution of any sample surveys would include the following: - Field work:- control of quality and field editing. - Pilot Surveys: Selection, training and supervision of enumerators, follow – ups of non - response -Processing of data, editing, coding, tabulation and report writing. Study questions: 1. What are the steps involved in the planning and execution of sample surveys. 2. If you are employed as a Survey Statistician in the planning and execution of a sample survey. What advice would you give on the followings: (i). Objective of the study (ii). Survey frame (iii). Pilot survey (iv). Analysis of data Reading lists: 1. Des Raj (1972):The Design of Sample Surveys. McGraw – Hill Book Company. London. 2. Moser, C.A.and Kalton, G. (1971):Survey Methods In Social Investigation. Heinemann London. Week 7: Objective: An Introduction to Types of Sample Designs. The objective is to let the students have some basic ideas about the designing of some sampling techniques. This will help the understanding of various problems arising in a sample survey. Description: Some sampling techniques like simple random sampling, systematic, stratified random, multistage and probability proportional to size samplings. Emphasis would be solely based on their assumptions and designs. Study question: 1. One of the major steps in survey sampling is the choice of a sampling design. What factors or principles would you adopt as guidelines in the choice of a sampling design?. Reading Lists: 1. Cochran, W.G. (1977): Sampling Techniques. John Wiley. London 2. Okafor, C.F. (2002): Sample Survey Theory With Applications. AFRO-ORBIS PUBLICATIONS LTD, University of Nigeria. Nsukka. 5 3. Des Raj and Promond Chandhok (1988): Sample Survey Theory. Narosa publishing house, London. Week 8: Objective: Various Problems Arising in a Sample Survey. The objective is to enable the students to know the various problems they may likely encountered during planning and execution of survey. Description: The following problems are common: (i). Problem of appropriate questionnaire design (ii). Problem of types of sampling designs to use. (iii). Problem of choice of suitable sampling frame to use. Study questions: 1. Enumerate briefly the type of design problems and how you would solve them in the following sampling designs: (i). Stratified sampling (ii). Varying probability and (iii). Two stage sampling 2. State some guidelines for the design of questionnaire. 3. What is sampling frame?. State some of its problems, important and desirable properties. Reading Lists: 1. Des Raj (1972):The Design of Sample Surveys. McGraw – Hill Book Company. London. 2. Fowler, F.J. Jr. (1988): “Survey research methods” Sage Publications London 3. Hoinville G, Jowell, R and Associates (1983): Survey Research Practice. Heinemann Educational Books. London. 4. Murthy, M.N. (1977): Sampling Theory and Methods. Statistical Publishing Society. Calcuta Week 9: Objective: Census and Sample Surveys. The objective is to enable the students to know the difference between sample surveys and complete enumeration. Description: Complete enumeration covers all the units that make up the population while sample surveys just cover a fraction of it. The features of census and sample surveys and when each of them is most appropriate would be discussed. Study questions: 1. Distinguish between a census and a sample survey. State briefly the merits and the limitations of the two methods as sources of data. 2. State the United Nation Organization (UNO) recommendations on sample survey and complete enumeration. Reading Lists: 1. Des Raj (1972):The Design of Sample Surveys. McGraw – Hill Book Company. London. 2. Murthy, M.N. (1977): Sampling Theory and Methods. Statistical Publishing Society. Calcuta 6 Week 10: Second Continuous Assessment Weeks 11 and 12: Sampling and Non – Sampling Errors Objective: The objective is to enable the students to know the types of errors always found in different stages of survey sampling. Description: The total error in survey sampling is made up of sampling and non – sampling errors. The sources of these errors and their effects on the results of the survey are explained. Study questions: 1. Enumerate briefly the major sources of total error in a survey sampling. 2. How would you assess the magnitude of the non – sampling errors in a survey?. Reading Lists: 1. Des Raj and Promond Chandhok (1988): Sample Survey Theory. Narosa publishing house, London. 2. Murthy, M.N. (1977): Sampling Theory and Methods. Statistical Publishing Society. Calcuta Week 13: Objective: Interpenetrating Subsamples. The objective is to enable the students to know further method of detecting non – sampling errors particularly in showing definite differences in survey or processing features. Description: Two or more subsamples drawn according to a particular sampling method such that each subsample gives a valid estimate of the parameter under consideration are interpenetrating subsamples. Study question: 1. One of the techniques for assessing non – sampling errors is the use of interpenetrating subsamples? Justify this statement. Reading Lists: 1. Okafor, C.F. (2002): Sample Survey Theory With Applications. AFRO-ORBIS PUBLICATIONS LTD, University of Nigeria. Nsukka. 2. Des Raj (1972):The Design of Sample Surveys. McGraw – Hill Book Company. London. 3. Des Raj and Promond Chandhok (1988): Sample Survey Theory. Narosa publishing house, London. 4. Murthy, M.N. (1977): Sampling Theory and Methods. Statistical Publishing Society. Calcuta Week 14: Objective: Discussion on Some Types of Sample Surveys and Nigerian Experience in Sample Survey. The objective is to enable the students to know the types of surveys and how it is being conducted in Nigeria UNICEF, Population Commission, NGO, WHO etc 7 and in some other neighbouring countries. by National Bureau of Statistics (former Federal office of Statistics, FOS). Description: Many countries like Nigeria had in one way or the other conducted a survey for the use of the country. Some of the surveys conducted in Nigeria would be discussed. Study Questions: The students should study these various surveys and comments on them. Reading Lists: 1. Cochran, W.G. (1977): Sampling Techniques. John Wiley. London 2. Okafor, C.F. (2002): Sample Survey Theory With Applications. AFRO-ORBIS PUBLICATIONS LTD, University of Nigeria. Nsukka. 3. Des Raj (1972):The Design of Sample Surveys. McGraw – Hill Book Company. London. 4. Des Raj and Promond Chandhok (1988): Sample Survey Theory. Narosa publishing house, London. 5. Hansen, M.H., Hurvitz, W.N. and Madow, W.G. (1953): Sample Survey Methods. Vol. I. Wiley Series. London. 6. Hansen, M.H., Hurvitz, W.N. and Madow, W.G. (1953): Sample Survey Methods. Vol. II. Wiley Series. London. 7. Moser, C.A. (1957): Survey Methods In Social Investigation. Heinemann Books on Sociology. Week 15: Third Continuous Assessment and Revision Description: Students are expected to seek explanation on any difficult concept or topic treated during the course after the third continuous assessment must have been administered. 8