Outlines Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Mike Renfro December 9, 2004 Mike Renfro Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Outlines Review of Previous Lecture Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Statistical Tests (Hypothesis Testing) Mike Renfro Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Outlines Review of Previous Lecture Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Introduction The t Test for a Mean Examples Much of this material is from Allan Bluman’s Elementary Statistics: A Brief Version, Second Edition. Mike Renfro Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Review of Previous Lecture Introduction Steps for Hypothesis Testing Define a population State hypotheses and significance level Perform calculations, reach a conclusion. Statistical Tests (Normal Distribution) Introduction Examples Mike Renfro Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Introduction The t Test for a Mean Part II Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Mike Renfro Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Introduction The t Test for a Mean Why Another Statistical Test? The normal distribution and the z test are most suitable when: The sample size is over 30, or The sample size is under 30 and the population standard deviation is known beforehand. Under other conditions, such as when the sample size is under 30 and the population standard deviation is not known beforehand, another technique must be used. Mike Renfro Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Introduction The t Test for a Mean Examples The t Test for a Mean The t test is a statistical test for the mean of a population. It should be used whenever all of the following criteria apply: the sample size n < 30, the population standard deviation σ is unknown, and the population is known to be normally distributed The formula for the t test is t= X̄ − µ √ s/ n There is also a new concept for the t test known as degrees of freedom. The probability distribution function for the t distribution isn’t a single curve, but a family of them. We use the value of the degrees of freedom to select the right distribution curve. Normally, the value for degrees of freedom is n − 1. Mike Renfro Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Introduction The t Test for a Mean Examples The t Test for a Mean If this t value falls into the critical region, we reject the null hypothesis, and conclude that there is enough evidence to support the idea that there is a significant difference between the sample and the overall population. Rao gives various values for critical values of t for different significance levels α and different degrees of freedom in Table G.2. All of the α values given in Table G.2 are for one-tailed tests. If you’re conducting a two-tailed test, double Rao’s α values before doing your table lookup. Also, Rao refers to the degrees of freedom as n in Table G.2. This may be confusing, since n is traditionally used as a sample size. Mike Renfro Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Introduction The t Test for a Mean Examples Example 1 Back to the medical researcher. The mean pulse rate of the entire population of adult men is 70 beats per minute (bpm). A sample of 10 adult male patients is given a new drug, and after several minutes, their mean pulse rate is measured at 75 bpm with a standard deviation of 8 bpm. With a level of significance of α = 0.01, is this change in pulse rate due to random chance? Mike Renfro Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Introduction The t Test for a Mean Examples Example 1 Solution (1) State the null hypothesis: “There is no significant difference in pulse between these patients and the population as a whole.” (H0 : µ = 70) State the alternative hypothesis: “There is a significant difference in pulse between these patients and the population as a whole.” (H1 : µ 6= 70). Our degrees of freedom is equal to n − 1, so d.f. = 9. The null hypothesis is given in the form corresponding to a two-tailed test (H0 : µ = k, H1 : µ 6= k), and for α = 0.01 and d.f. = 9, the critical t values are t = ±3.250. Mike Renfro Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean) Introduction The t Test for a Mean Examples Example 1 Solution (2) Calculate the test t value: t= X̄ − µ √ s/ n with X̄ = 75, µ = 70, s = 8, n = 10. In this case, t = 1.98. Since t falls within the noncritical region, our conclusion is to not reject the null hypothesis. We conclude that there is not sufficient evidence to indicate that the change in pulse rate is due to anything other than random chance. Mike Renfro Statistical Tests (t Test for a Mean)