FISCAL YEAR 1999 Retrospective Issue • 1983-1999 24th Edition INTRODUCTION Daniel Patrick Moynihan REPORT Herman B. Leonard Jay H. Walder 24th EDITION • DECEMBER 15 2000 This is the twenty-fourth edition in an annual series of reports beginning with Fiscal Year 1976. Since 1992, the body of the report has been prepared by the Taubman Center for State and Local Government at the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University and the introduction by Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan. A JOINT PUBLICATION Taubman Center for State and Local Government John F. Kennedy School of Government Harvard University Office of Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan United States Senate ★ Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 INTRODUCTION 9 by Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES, FISCAL YEAR 1999 17 The Balance of Payments in FY 1999 20 The Geographic Distribution of Federal Taxes 25 The Geographic Distribution of Federal Spending 26 The Federal Budget and the States — A Retrospective 33 STATE PROFILES (in alphabetical order) APPENDICES 59 109 Appendix A: Data Sources 109 Appendix B: Methodology 111 Appendix C: Fiscal Year 1999 Data 113 C-1: Balance of Payments, FY 1999 113 C-2: State Cost of Living Indexes 113 C-3: Federal Spending, Taxes, and Balance of Payments Per Capita, FY 1999 113 C-4: Per Capita Spending by Program by State, FY 1999 114 C-5: Per Capita Taxes and Spending by Program Area, FY 1999 (Unadjusted) 115 C-6: 17-Year Cumulative History, FY 1983–1999 116 C-7: State Demographic Information, FY 1999 116 Appendix D: Federal Balance of Payments, Taxes, and Spending, FY 1983–1999 117 LIST OF TABLES Table 1 Balance of Payments, FY 1999 4 Table 2 Per Capita Changes in Actual Balance of Payments, Spending, and Taxes, FY 1983/84–FY 1998/99 5 Table 3 Balance of Payments, FY 1999 20 Table 4 Per Capita Spending by Program by State, FY 1999 31 Table 5 Distribution of Spending by Program for Each State, FY 1999 31 Table 6 Per Capita Changes in Actual Balance of Payments, Spending, and Taxes, FY 1983/84–FY 1998/99 37 Table 7 Budget Percentages of Federal Spending by Area, FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99 40 Table 8 Variability of Spending Areas and Taxes, FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99 and Index of FY 1983/84–FY 1998/99 Change 40 Table 9 Total Expenditures, FY 1998/99 43 Table 10 Defense, FY 1998/99 44 Table 11 Major Base Closings 45 Table 12 Defense Salaries, FY 1998/99 46 Table 13 Defense Procurement, FY 1998/99 47 Table 14 Social Security, FY 1998/99 48 Table 15 Comparing FY 1998/99 and FY 1983/84 Social Security Benefits 50 Table 16 Medicare, FY 1998/99 51 Table 17 Comparing FY 1998/99 and FY 1983/84 Medicare Benefits 53 Table 18 Grants, FY 1998/99 54 Table 19 Taxes, FY 1998/99 56 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1 Per Capita Balance of Payments, FY 1999 1 Figure 2 Map of States with Greatest Per Capita Balance of Payments Surpluses 2 Figure 3 Map of States with Greatest Per Capita Balance of Payments Deficits Figure 4 New York Balance of Payments Deficits 1983–1999 10 Figure 5 Federal Spending in New York, FY 1999 10 Figure 6 Cover of The Economist, October 28, 2000 13 Figure 7 Per Capita Balance of Payments, FY 1999 21 Figure 8 Total Balance of Payments, FY 1999 22 Figure 9 Per Capita Taxes and Spending Compared to National Averages 23 Figure 10 Map of Per Capita Balance of Payments, FY 1999 24 Figure 11 Map of Per Capita Federal Taxes Collected, FY 1999 25 Figure 12 Distribution of Federal Spending by Program, FY 1999 28 Figure 13 Map of Per Capita Federal Spending, FY 1999 29 Figure 14 A–E Geographic Distribution of Per Capita Federal Spending by Program (defense, non-defense discretionary, Social Security, Medicare, assistance programs) 30 Figure 15 Per Capita Spending by Program by State, FY 1999 32 Figure 16 Distribution of Spending by Program for Each State, FY 1999 32 Figure 17 Map of FY 1998/99 Social Security Spending — Difference from Predicted Value 49 Figure 18 Map of FY 1998/99 Medicare Spending — Difference from Predicted Value 52 Figure 19 Map of FY 1998/99 Grants Spending — Difference from Predicted Value 55 3 Acknowledgments This is the ninth year of our fruitful association with the Taubman Center for State and Local Government at the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University. Professor Herman B. “Dutch” Leonard, the Baker Professor of Public Management at the Kennedy School, and Jay H. Walder, Lecturer in Public Policy, once again led our joint effort. As always, we are indebted to them for their singularly creative analysis. Surely there has been no equivalent in the long history of American federalism. Marcia Ciro of Paper Trace Studio coordinated the report’s layout and graphic design, helping us to present detailed statistical information in a clear fashion. Many thanks to Jason Klurfeld, Therese Lee, and Gray Maxwell, formerly of my staff, who now serves as Legislative Director to Senator Dianne Feinstein of California. DPM For the past nine years, we and other researchers from the Kennedy School's Taubman Center have prepared the body of The Federal Budget and the States reports. This has accorded us the rare opportunity of working with Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan on a project that he began at the outset of his senate career twenty-four years ago. Senator Moynihan is possessed of a unique intellectual vigor and curiosity, and to find these qualities in a senior statesman with his graciousness and generous spirit has been a true personal and professional privilege for which we are deeply grateful. "We will not see his like again." HBL and JHW The Federal Budget and the States Fiscal Year 1999 Executive Summary Herman B. Leonard and Jay H. Walder A. Alfred Taubman Center for State and Local Government John F. Kennedy School of Government Harvard University PER CAPITA BOP, FY 1999 – $ Deficit Figure 1 The graph to the right shows the per capita balance of payments for each state, Fiscal Year 1999. wide disparity in the financial flows between the Federal government and each of the states has been a consistent feature of U.S. fiscal policy over the two decades captured in this report series (and probably for many years before that). While arguments are often put forth highlighting the benefits of uneven tax payments and Federal spending across our diverse nation, citizens and legislators continue to raise concerns about whether states receive a “fair share” of Federal domestic spending or pay more than their “fair share” in Federal taxes. In the day-to-day process of formulating policy and administering the government, the financial flows to and from each of the states have rarely been examined outside of the context of individual programmatic issues. Over the past few years, bitter fights over allocation formulas dominated the legislative discussion during the overhaul of Federal social assistance programs and the reauthorization of Federal highway and transit programs. This program-specific debate about the fair and equitable distribution of Federal funding will undoubtedly be revived in the context of other Federal programs and/or revisited in the context of the transportation and social assistance programs that have been the focus of recent attention. Looking beyond selected programmatic initiatives, it is no secret that the economic impacts of Federal spending and tax collections vary significantly across the states. A -3000-2500-2000-1500-1000 -500 0 Surplus $ + 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 NM MT VA ND WV AK MS SD AL HI OK MD AR KY LA ME SC MO TN AZ ID IA RI WY KS VT NE PA UT NC FL GA TX OH IN OR WA CO CA WI NY MA DE MI MN NV IL NH NJ CT You can access the full report and reach the authors on the World Wide Web at: www.ksg.harvard.edu/fisc99 1 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 Figure 2 The ten states in white have WA the greatest Federal per ME MT capita surpluses. ND MI MN OR ID VT WI SD NY MI WY PA IA NE NV UT IL OH IN KS NJ DE MD CO CA NH MA CT RI WV MO VA KY NC TN AZ OK NM SC MS HI TX AK Some states do receive considerably more in Federal spending than they pay in Federal taxes, while the tax burden for other states far exceeds the spending they receive. We note a persistent, but often misunderstood, pattern in the geography of these financial flows. In general, residents of states in the Northeast and Great Lakes regions pay much more in Federal taxes than they receive back in Federal spending, while many Sunbelt and Great Plains states get more from the Federal government than they send to Washington in taxes. Figure 1 depicts the state-specific effect of Federal spending decisions and tax collections for Fiscal Year 1999. The states at the top of the graph have a balance of payments surplus — they gain economic activity from their financial relationship with the Federal government. The donor states at the bottom pay more in Federal taxes than they receive in spending. Significant surpluses and deficits were common — nearly half of the states had surpluses or deficits that exceeded 2 AR AL GA LA FL 20 percent of the average per capita Federal spending level (about $5,500). At one end of the spectrum, ten states had surpluses of approximately $2,000 or more per capita. While there was no obvious geographic pattern to these states, there was a noticeable concentration in just a few areas of the country (see Figure 2). New Mexico has consistently led the nation with the greatest per capita balance of payments surplus and its FY 1999 surplus of about $4,000 per capita was more than $800 greater than the surplus for Montana, the next highest state. Among the states with net outflows to the U.S. treasury, Connecticut continued to have the highest per capita balance of payments deficit in the nation. Its deficit of almost $2,800 per capita was more than $500 greater than New Jersey, the state with the next largest deficit. Seven other states, primarily located in the Northeast, midAtlantic and Great Lakes regions, had deficits of more than $1,000 per capita. Figure 3 shows the ten states with the largest deficits. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Figure 3 The ten states in black have WA ME the greatest Federal per MT capita deficits. ND VT MI MN OR NH ID WI SD PA IA NE UT IL OH IN WV KS RI NJ DE MD CO CA CT MI WY NV MA NY MO VA KY NC TN AZ OK SC AR NM MS HI TX GA LA AK Table 1 presents an alphabetical listing of the states with the FY 1999 per capita balance of payments and the total surplus or deficit for each state. Eleven states had total surpluses that exceeded $5 billion. The total surplus for Virginia was over $21 billion, by far the largest in the nation, and the surplus for Maryland exceeded $9 billion. Outside of the Washington DC area, Alabama led the nation with a surplus that also exceeded $9 billion. All eleven of the states with net inflows that exceeded $5 billion were in the South and the combined surplus for these states was about $96 billion. California’s deficit of approximately $23 billion was the highest in the nation. This was the result of its very large population of 33 million residents (almost 12 percent of the total U.S. population), combined with its moderate per capita deficit of about $700 (12th largest in the nation). The total deficit for Illinois was also more than $20 billion, and three other states — New Jersey, New York, and Michigan — had total deficits in excess AL FL of $10 billion. The combined outflow from this group of five states alone was over $88 billion, and the total for the ten states with the largest deficits was about $118 billion. The FY 1999 results continue longstanding trends. The geography of surpluses and deficits has been extremely consistent over time — the states with the largest per capita surpluses and deficits have changed only slightly over the past seven years. Moreover, the few changes that we observe in recent years do not appear to be related directly to shifts in the priorities of U.S. domestic spending, changes in the occupancy of the White House, or the majority control of the Congress. The Federal Budget and the States — A Retrospective enator Moynihan published the first report in this series in 1977, after having been in the Senate for only half a year. That first report grew out of his concern that Federal tax and spending policies S 3 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 Table 1: Balance of Payments, FY 1999 STATE PER CAPITA AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO 2,091 2,777 904 1,633 (685) (620) (2,840) (1,025) 47 (29) 1,982 829 (1,669) (399) 750 373 1,595 1,576 1,324 1,770 (895) (1,042) (1,294) 2,684 1,187 TOTAL RANK (IN MILLIONS) 9 6 20 13 39 38 50 43 31 32 10 21 47 35 22 25 14 15 16 12 42 44 45 7 18 9,139 1,720 4,319 4,166 (22,688) (2,514) (9,320) (772) 707 (228) 2,350 1,038 (20,241) (2,373) 2,151 990 6,317 6,892 1,660 9,155 (5,526) (10,277) (6,180) 7,431 6,490 STATE PER CAPITA MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY 3,109 320 (1,583) (1,787) (2,342) 3,944 (890) 146 3,043 (344) 1,866 (483) 256 528 1,265 2,327 961 (189) 230 343 3,069 (533) 2,808 (887) 386 TOTAL RANK (IN MILLIONS) 2 27 46 48 49 1 41 30 4 34 11 36 28 23 17 8 19 33 29 26 3 37 5 40 24 2,745 533 (2,865) (2,147) (19,076) 6,862 (16,189) 1,115 1,928 (3,873) 6,266 (1,601) 3,076 523 4,914 1,706 5,270 (3,789) 490 203 21,094 (3,070) 5,074 (4,659) 185 were contributing to the general economic decline in the state that he had been elected to represent. His belief was that an accurate understanding of the flow of funds between New York residents and the Federal treasury would be a critical first step in correcting what he knew to be an unequal — and what he perceived to be an inequitable — distribution of Federal funds. Senator Moynihan’s imminent retirement from the United States Senate is a natural occasion to review the geographic shifts in Federal spending and taxing decisions that have taken place during his Senate career. While there has been a good deal of stability in the balance of payments patterns reported annually in The Federal Budget and the States series, there have been significant changes when we look across a longer period of time. With this in mind, this report contains a fifteen-year analysis of the shifts in the 4 geography of Federal spending and taxes. More specifically, we compare data on the geography of Federal spending and taxes in FY 1983 and FY 1984 to similar data for the two most recent fiscal years (FY 1998 and FY 1999). We average data for two years to minimize the impact of any single-year anomalies that may have occurred. The Big Picture Table 2 shows the aggregate changes for each state in per capita balance of payments, total Federal spending, and Federal tax payments over the 15-year retrospective period. Many states experienced relatively modest movement in their overall balance of payments position — nearly half of the states moved by $500 per capita or less, and for 10 of those states, the change over the 15-year period was less than $200 per capita. The changes for the other states were larger, and for some of these states the changes were quite dramatic indeed. The change in Connecticut’s balance of payments position with the Federal government was most striking. Over the 15-year period, Connecticut’s balance of payments moved from a small surplus to the largest deficit in the nation. The decline of nearly $2,500 per person was far larger than the decline for any other state. New Hampshire, Nevada, Massachusetts, and California also experienced declines of $1,000 or more. The gains over the same period at the other end of the spectrum were also striking. Citizens in Oklahoma and Alaska saw their balance of payments move up by over $2,500 per capita and North Dakota, Montana, and West Virginia experienced net increases of more than $2,000 per capita. The difference between the changes experienced by citizens in Connecticut and EXECUTIVE SUMMARY TABLE 2: Per Capita Changes in Actual Balance of Payments, Spending, and Taxes FY 1983/84–FY 1998/99 Change in Balance of Payments Change in Spending Connecticut New Hampshire Nevada Massachusetts California Washington Missouri Utah Minnesota New York Georgia New Jersey Florida Michigan Wisconsin Illinois Vermont Oregon Colorado Delaware Arizona Kansas Tennessee Indiana Nebraska Ohio North Carolina South Carolina Idaho Maryland Rhode Island Mississippi Pennsylvania Hawaii Virginia Arkansas Maine Alabama New Mexico South Dakota Texas Iowa Kentucky Wyoming Louisiana North Dakota Montana West Virginia Oklahoma Alaska California Connecticut Nevada New Hampshire Utah Washington Missouri Massachusetts Hawaii Kansas New Jersey New York Minnesota Delaware Arizona Colorado Oregon Wisconsin Illinois Georgia Vermont Michigan Rhode Island Indiana Ohio Mississippi Florida Idaho New Mexico Pennsylvania Nebraska Texas South Carolina Arkansas Tennessee Maine Maryland Virginia Alaska North Carolina Alabama Wyoming Louisiana Oklahoma Iowa South Dakota North Dakota Kentucky Montana West Virginia $(2,461) (1,513) (1,357) (1,274) (1,105) (955) (825) (823) (742) (477) (446) (435) (243) (121) (113) (105) (62) (20) 43 109 114 156 193 275 293 326 336 358 378 382 402 416 439 509 592 603 710 925 944 999 1,004 1,411 1,465 1,513 1,997 2,191 2,350 2,386 2,534 2,812 Change in Taxes $(775) (678) (538) (354) (326) (261) (61) (26) 332 410 420 433 527 637 648 724 752 760 771 786 799 848 873 901 931 955 978 1,019 1,036 1,072 1,094 1,149 1,207 1,238 1,249 1,283 1,315 1,330 1,459 1,487 1,675 1,744 1,778 1,860 1,950 1,980 2,009 2,078 2,296 2,311 Connecticut Minnesota Massachusetts Georgia Florida New Hampshire North Carolina Tennessee South Dakota Michigan Maryland New York Illinois Wisconsin Vermont New Jersey South Carolina Nevada Nebraska Oregon Missouri Alabama Virginia Washington Colorado Idaho Arkansas Pennsylvania Indiana Kentucky Ohio Maine Iowa Mississippi Arizona Delaware Utah Rhode Island California Kansas Wyoming Texas New Mexico Montana West Virginia Hawaii North Dakota Louisiana Oklahoma Alaska $1,783 1,269 1,248 1,232 1,220 1,159 1,151 1,056 981 968 933 910 876 873 861 855 849 819 802 772 764 751 738 694 680 640 635 634 627 613 605 573 539 539 534 527 497 471 330 255 231 145 92 (53) (75) (176) (183) (218) (674) (1,352) 5 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 CRITICAL METHODOLOGICAL CONCEPTS AND CHOICES We made the following methodological choices to define more precisely the concept of the flow of Federal funds to and from each state as that term is used in this report: • We considered only Federal spending within the borders of the fifty states (including defense) for which the Bureau of the Census produces geographic data (the main item excluded is the interest payments on the Federal debt); • We allocated taxes in the same amount as spending (reflecting the fact that even if there is a Federal deficit, it is not free, or if there is an overall surplus, it is not a net cost to the economy); and • We adjusted all figures for taxes and spending to reflect the cost of living in each state. A detailed discussion of our data sources and methodology can be found in Appendices A and B. Alaska, the two states with the most extreme situations, is over $5,200 per capita. In effect, the Federal government imparted a net economic torque that provided a major impulse in the economy of Alaska while at the same time a Federal economic brake was being applied to Connecticut. Other states experienced significant, but less intense, versions of this same phenomenon. The Tax Side The distribution of Federal taxes is the deep drumbeat in the background of the changes we observe in the balance of payments. Federal taxes collected in eight states increased by more than $1,000 per capita between FY 1983/84and FY 1998/99. Connecticut had the most significant increase in taxes, nearly $1,800 per capita, but several southern states — Georgia, Florida, North Carolina, and Tennessee — also experienced large increases in Federal tax collections. Alaska was the only state where Federal tax collections declined by more than $1,000 per capita. Two other oil-producing states, Oklahoma and Louisiana, also experienced substantial declines in Federal taxes. Virtually every component of Federal taxes is closely related to income, and the geography of Federal taxation closely tracks the geography of average individual earnings. Changes in Spending Given the growth in overall Federal expenditures, most states experienced substantial increases in Federal spending between FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99. Forty-two states experienced an increase in real per capita Federal spending, ranging from a little more than $300 per capita in Hawaii to more than $2,300 per capita in West Virginia. Of the eight states that saw a decline in real Federal spending, the shortfall in three states — 6 California, Nevada, and Connecticut — exceeded $500 per capita. California had the largest per capita spending decline in the country, a fall of 14 percent in constant dollars from the average per capita Federal spending received in FY 1983/84. Adjusting for inflation, Federal spending was $25 billion lower in California in FY 1998/99 than it was in FY 1983/84. In addition to the increase in Federal expenditures, there have also been significant changes in the priorities of Federal spending during this time period. Most important, defense spending fell as a fraction of Federal spending by about half, from about 26 percent of domestic expenditures to about 13%. At the same time, mandatory programs, particularly Medicare and Medicaid, drove a large portion of the growth in Federal spending. This change in the budget mix of Federal spending helps to explain some of the changes that we observe in Table 2. The geographic distribution of defense spending across the states is indeed quite different from the geographic distribution of the nondefense components of Federal spending. As funds shifted away from defense, states with formerly high defense spending tended not to experience offsetting growth in Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, for example. The Importance of Defense Defense spending is particularly important because it has a highly variable and distinctive pattern across the states. Not only did the level of defense spending change, but the pattern of defense spending across the states also shifted considerably. For example, actual FY 1998/99 defense spending in ten states was 50 percent greater than the level that would have been expected if the nationwide decline in defense spending had been dis- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY tributed proportionately across the states. At the same time, defense spending in eleven other states was more than 25 percent lower than would have been predicted. In general, we find that: ■ Defense spending is considerably more volatile than any other component of Federal spending, with actual defense spending dispersed widely around the national average. Dollar for dollar, defense spending imparts three times as much variation among the states as any other area of Federal spending; ■ The other spending components — Social Security, Medicare, Grants, and Other Federal Spending — are about equally volatile and all of these spending components are much less volatile than defense. States are moderately clustered around the national average and a typical state departs from the national average, in either direction, by about one-third. The result is that defense drives the outcomes considerably more than one would expect by examining its budget share alone. And, over the time period of this analysis, defense spending became more concentrated in fewer states as the overall level of defense spending declined. The State Profiles that follow this report capture state-specific information and highlight the different factors relevant for each state. Each profile includes demographic information that helps to understand the distribution of the parts of Federal spending that are largely determined by characteristics of the population. We rank each state according to the overall balance of payments and also in relation to the separate tax and spending data. Continuing a new feature that we initiated last year, each State Profile highlights the distribution of Federal spending by program — defense, non-defense discretionary, Social Security, Medicare, and assistance programs — and by the more traditional “objects of expenditure” that we have used in prior reports in this series. State-specific calculations for the balance of payments, taxes, and spending by program can be compared to national rankings and national averages to gain important perspective. And the historical trends in taxes and spending (adjusted to 1999 dollars) allow for state-specific comparisons over time. State Profiles hroughout this report, we focus on the factors that are helpful in understanding the national trends and patterns in the geographic distribution of taxes and spending. Still, the circumstances particular to an individual state are often an important factor in understanding the balance of payments outcomes. T 7 Page 8 intentionally left blank Introduction: Quadragesimo anno by Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan n my first Senate campaign in 1976, I argued that there was an imbalance of payments between New York and the Federal government. My opponent, then Senator James L. Buckley, now Judge Buckley, said there was no such imbalance, that Federal data showed just the opposite. The Senator was and is a person of the greatest integrity; scrupulous about facts. Had I been wrong? After the election, I returned to the question. It turned out we were both right. The Treasury Department did indeed produce an annual accounting of Federal transfers which showed New York in surplus. But the accounting was daft. In brief, the Treasury recorded as a transfer to New York monies deposited in the New York branch “I return to two prinof the Federal Reserve Bank for interest payments on the Federal debt, which ciples I enunciated thereupon were disbursed around the world. The same with foreign aid paytwenty-four years ago ments. When these accounts straightened out, a striking imbalance of payments emerged. New York was one of the largest donor states in the Union. in the first volume: It has been almost a quarter-century since that first report came out. One. The Federal govIn that Introduction I wrote: ernment should know I what it is doing to the I hope to begin a series to be issued once a year...tracing the ups and downs of Federal expenditures for the previous fiscal year. It is time we started keeping track. I sent the report to President Jimmy Carter, who replied cordially. (I have to assume he knew how well Georgia did in its exchange with the Federal govTwo. The unintended ernment.) But the tally brought little response in New York itself. We went effects of what the Fed- on, year after year. We got better at the task, or so we thought; still, few seemed eral government is to notice. Among those few were scholars at the Taubman Center for State and Local Government, which is part of the John F. Kennedy School of Govdoing should be raised ernment at Harvard. In 1991 they proposed a joint collaboration. This was to the level of conmost welcome; it was time the analysis be extended to include each of the sciousness and either other states. embraced or eliminated.” The report had, in a sense, raised a new issue of Federalism. Rather, it raised an old issue in a new context. There was a good deal of debate surrounding the adoption of the Articles of Confederation and the Constitution concerning the “tax wealth” of the several states, and the “apportionment” of the expenses of the Federal government among them. The rule is you never know much about a subject until “you can measure what you are speaking about, and express it in numbers,” as stated by Lord Kelvin, the Scottish physicist who defined the absolute temperature scale later named after him. economy of New York. 9 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 Figure 4 A simple but often overlooked postulate. Our goal with the report was to measure the balance of payments between New York and Washington. I return to two principles I Balance of Payments enunciated twenty-four years ago in the first volume: Deficits 1983–1999 One. The Federal government should know what it is doing to the economy of (in billions of 1999 dollars) New York. 1983 -7.7 Two. The unintended effects of what the Federal government is doing should be 1984 -6.3 raised to the level of consciousness and either embraced or eliminated. 1985 -9.4 We have accomplished the first principle. Actually, we have gone beyond it. The 1986 -13.5 Fisc is now a national document. People pay attention. It is a special pleasure to learn 1987 -14.5 1988 -18.0 that it is now read with some attention in Albany. It is well reported in the New York 1989 -19.0 press. Consider the recent New York Senate race; our data were featured in the debates, 1990 -19.2 referenced in stump speeches, made a point of in the Sunday morning shows. We have 1991 -17.8 surely fulfilled the first principle that we laid down 24 years ago. Kelvin would approve. 1992 -14.4 As for the second principle, we have partially fulfilled it. We may not like the 1993 -16.8 1994 -20.0 results. But we have a better understanding of the relationship between New York and 1995 -17.1 the Federal Government. For instance, we know that over the past 16 years New York 1996 -14.0 has run a total balance of payments deficit of $252 billion. We know that for the fifth 1997 -12.7 consecutive year New York ranks 41st in the balance of payments, with a per capita 1998 -15.5 deficit of $890. That the total deficit, $16.2 billion, is now the fourth largest in the 1999 -16.2 nation behind California, Illinois, and New Jersey. We are aware that while the state Total BOP Deficits FY83–FY99 has the 10th highest real per capita income rate, $29,997, it also has the fourth high= $252.2 billion. est cost-of-living index and the second highest poverty rate. (Nineteen percent. New Mexico has the highest at 22 percent.) This places New York in an unusual position: a relatively wealthy state with a striking number of persons living in poverty. Last year, for the first time, thanks to our Harvard colleagues, Professors Herman B. Leonard and Jay H. Walder, the Fisc compared the different states in the five major areas of expenditure: defense, non-defense discretionary, Social Security, Medicare, and assistance programs. We can now see which states are the biggest winners and losers in each category. New York does not do well. We are No. 1 in assistance programs, which I have previously characterized as disaster relief. No. 48 in defense spending. This brings us to the second part of the second principle. Should we reconsider Figure 5 our relationship with the Federal government? It was fine for New York to send more Federal Spending to Washington during the New Deal, when other regions were in crisis. We were happy in New York, FY 1999 to help. But that is no longer the case. We have seen a gradual role reversal. The transfer (in billions of 1999 dollars) of wealth keeps working against us. National National In the Introduction to last year’s Fisc, I suggested a Grand Per Capita Rank Avg. Compromise. “It is time to trade. Less activism in Washington Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $305 48 $907 in return for more revenue at home, for whatever active meaNon-defense discretionary 1,370 41 1,693 sures recommend themselves to the state or municipality in Social Security 1,473 32 1,508 question. Conservatives can then bring about or watch being Medicare 812 15 761 brought about a genuine shrinkage in the size of the national Assistance programs 985 1 616 government.” Total spending $4,944 37 $5,486 New York State 10 INTRODUCTION BY SENATOR MOYNIHAN The idea attracted some interest. Newsday observed: Has the New Deal gotten old? Sen. Daniel Patrick Moynihan (D-NY) says it has. He has just released his 23rd annual study showing that New York sends billions of dollars more to Washington than it gets back in Federal funds. It’s time, the retiring senator says, to rethink the wisdom of a national system that takes so much from places to give to others. While that may sound like heresy from a Democrat, Moynihan is at least partly right. After 60 years on any one philosophical course, it makes sense to revisit the assumptions that led you down that road.1 The late and much lamented journalist Lars-Erik Nelson wrote, Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan of New York is the last of the New Deal liberal Democrats, so we must sit up and pay sharp attention when Moynihan says that New Deal-type government has become a bad deal for New York.2 There does seem to be a movement away from New Deal-type government. In his 1999 essay, “An Essay on Fiscal Federalism,” Professor William E. Oates of the University of Maryland writes, “fiscal decentralization is in vogue.” He continues: Both in the industrialized and in the developing world, nations are turning to devolution to improve the performance of their public sectors. In the United States, the central government has turned back significant portions of federal authority to the states for a wide range of major programs, including welfare, Medicaid, legal services, housing, and job training. The hope is that state and local governments, being closer to the people, will be more responsive to the particular preferences of their constituencies and will be able to find new and better ways to provide these services. In the United Kingdom, both Scotland and Wales have opted under the Blair government for their own regional parliaments. And in Italy the movement toward decentralization has gone so far as to encompass a serious proposal for the separation of the nation into two independent countries. In the developing world, we likewise see widespread interest in fiscal decentralization with the objective of breaking the grip of central planning that, in the view of many, has failed to bring these nations onto a path of self-sustaining growth. 3 In the introduction to their collection, The New Federalism, John A. Ferejohn and Barry R. Weingast write that for the first 150 years of the American republic, the Supreme Court interpreted the Constitution as requiring strict limits on the national government’s authority to regulate markets and promote public welfare.4 They write, 1. Newsday, "Newer Deal?" December 21, 1999. 2. Lars-Erik Nelson, "Pat Moynihan’s startling idea: Junk New Deal," Daily News, December 10, 1999. 3. Wallace E. Oates, "An Essay on Fiscal Federalism," Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXXVII (September 1999), page 1120. 4. John A. Ferejohn and Barry R. Weingast, eds. The New Federalism (Stanford, CA: Hoover Institution Press, 1998), page vii. 5. Ibid. 6. Ibid. Consider the commerce clause, the national government’s principle source of authority to regulate. Although a large part of modern America, the commerce clause went unused for nearly all the first hundred years of the Constitution. The Federal government exercised this authority for the first time in 1887 with the inception of railroad regulation.5 Ferejohn and Weingast continue, The growth of the federal government, increasingly the principal source of economic and social regulation, markedly altered American federalism. During America’s first 150 years, economic regulation and the promotion of social welfare remained the domain of the states. In the past sixty years, however, those powers have been shared, with the national government free to enter policy areas that had previously been the province of the states or that had not been subject to any government action.6 However, there is now, as stated earlier by Oates, a movement to return power to the states. Scholars and policymakers suggest that reinvigorating Federalism may 11 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 provide a better approach to many problems. For the past five years, the Supreme Court has handed down decisions circumscribing Congressional authority. An effort has begun to sort things out. In a chapter in The New Federalism, Ronald McKinnon and Thomas Nechyba offer an analytic mode.7 They write that if a given amount of the service can be provided more cheaply when it is produced for many rather than a few citizens, as with national defense, if the benefit of the service extends over a large geographic area as with certain types of pollution control, or if decentralization would lead to “bad” competition among states or inequitable outcomes across states, these services should be provided by the national government. If, in contrast, local tastes for a particular government activity differ widely, as with spending on recreational facilities, if localized information needs to be taken into account to provide the service most effectively as with schools, or if competition between local governments leads to healthy competition and innovative local policy experiments, then it may be that state and local governments are better suited to provide the service.8 The question of Federalism was front and center over 200 years ago, when 55 representatives from twelve states (Rhode Island declined the invitation) convened in Philadelphia “for the sole and express purpose of revising the Articles of Confederation,” which most Americans acknowledge were inadequate for the task of governing the new nation. The Articles reserved too much power for the states and ceded too little to the nascent Federal government. The single-chamber Congress could borrow money, but not levy taxes, so credit was a problem. Nor could Congress regulate commerce (the states were free to erect trade barriers between each other, and did) nor prohibit the states from coining money. Congress could determine how much money the Federal government needed and assess each state “in proportion to the value of all lands within each state,” but had no means of collecting the assessments other than voluntary compliance by the states. At the Constitutional Convention, Federalists argued that the Articles needed to be replaced entirely by a new system providing for a more energetic, assertive central government. No one questions the need for a strong national government as set forth in the Preamble to the Constitution of the United States. Madison so argued in The Federalist No. 14: …as our bulwark against foreign danger, as the conservator of peace among ourselves, as the guardian of our commerce and other common interests, as the only substitute for those military establishments which have subverted the liberties of the old world, and as the proper antidote for the diseases of faction, which have proved fatal to other popular governments, and of which alarming symptoms have been betrayed by our own. 7. Ronald McKinnon and Thomas Nechyba, "Competition in Federal Systems," in The New Federalism, eds. John A. Ferejohn and Barry R. Weingast, (Stanford, CA: Hoover Institution Press, 1998). 8. Ibid. 12 Similarly, Hamilton, in The Federalist No. 9, warned against “splitting ourselves into an infinity of little, jealous, clashing, tumultuous commonwealths, the wretched nurseries of unceasing discord and the miserable objects of universal pity or contempt.” Well, yes. But bear in mind that when Madison spoke of the “diseases of faction” he had in mind what we now call political parties. And that it is our national political parties that most prevent our splitting into an infinity of “jealous, clashing, tumultuous commonwealths.” Not in the sense of secessionist movements — although we had one INTRODUCTION BY SENATOR MOYNIHAN a century and a half ago and are only just getting over it. Withal, we are a stable republic, in which citizens share a strong national identity. The issue is one of, well, good government. How do we best govern ourselves two centuries later? I beg the indulgence of readers — I won’t be hectoring you again! — to call attention to the constitutional debates now taking place in Europe. If ever there was an example of “little, jealous, clashing, tumultuous commonwealths” it was surely Europe in the 20th century. They almost destroyed themselves, and the rest of us as well. After World War II they came to their senses and began to develop institutions of economic and political union, with deliberative bodies and high courts. Since 1992 this has been known as the European Union. This done, the question now arises of how “to form a more perfect one.” Just as it did for our framers. The October 28, 2000 edition of The Economist in London proposed a draft constitution. The cover read: Figure 6 Cover of The Economist, October 28, 2000 We, the people of Europe, in order to form a perfect – but not ever closer – union… Article 1 sets out the “Founding principles.” “Liberty, democracy, and the rule of law.” But then, in the final clause: The Union and the Member States shall uphold the principle of subsidiarity. Subsidiarity is not an everyday term, but it embodies a powerful idea that at one or two removes has had considerable influence on 20th century political thought. The term derives from the Latin subsidium meaning help or support. The idea evolved in the course of a century of commentary on the encyclical Rerum novarum (“Of new things”) in which Pope Leo XIII in 1891 set forth principles that, in the church’s view, should guide social policy in an industrial world. Leo had been papal nuncio in Belgium in the 1840s, where he saw the beginnings of the industrial revolution. That profound economic change brought an extreme social creed, sometimes called laissezfaire, sometimes liberalism, of every man for himself and the devil take the hindmost. No, said the church. Wages, for example, should be set by family needs, not by the market. (Hence the family allowance of most — all — western European nations.) Workers should have the right to organize unions. Human rights were to be respected. Radical stuff for the time! Forty years later, in 1931, Pius XI in Quadragesimo anno introduced the idea of subsidiarity to supplement the earlier encyclical. Nothing should be done by a higher agency of government that can be done better or at least as well by a lower agency. In 1991, the current Pope John Paul II issued Centesimus annus, which affirmed and added to the earlier pronouncements. 13 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 9. Address by Daniel Patrick Moynihan, then United States Representative to the United Nations, to the Pacem in Terris IV Convocation at the Sheraton-Park Hotel, Washington D.C., December 2, 1975. 14 These ideas made their way slowly if at all over here. During the 1928 presidential campaign, Al Smith, our first Catholic candidate for that office, found himself accused of being bound, as a Catholic, to follow some papal encyclical. What in the hell, he asked Robert Moses, is a papal encyclical? Looking through an essay written in 1975, I remarked on the confusion. “For generations they [the catholic laity] had been beset by aged Irishmen, doing their best, who from drear episcopal studies in 19th century slums had been sending forth diocesan letters denouncing ‘liberalism,’ by which they intended the Manchester School of Economics, but which the Democratic faithful assumed to mean the New Deal and its forebears.”9 All that may be behind us now that The Economist, founded in 1843 to champion free trade, and not at all unreceptive to the Manchester School, has taken up the cause! And it is perhaps no loss that it comes to us as a moral principle, rather than simply a management idea. It is time to go beyond the arguments about Big Government and States Rights, and all that. After some 40 years in Washington, I attest that we get involved in far too many miniature issues. School uniforms. This need not be done from Washington. Can’t be done effectively. It belongs to levels of government closer to the problems involved. This means those governments have to be solvent. For New York this means keeping more of our money at home. This won’t happen, however, until we break the century-long habit of preferring that the money go to Washington first. How did we become the state with the second highest poverty rate in the nation? Our colleagues Leonard and Walder at the Kennedy School have offered a clarifying model to explain what has been going on at the different levels of American government during this century. To wit: the income elasticity of the Federal, State, and local tax systems. With the 16th Amendment to the Constitution, the Federal government adopted the graduated income tax as a permanent feature of Federal finance. With the great growth of income over the 20th century there was a corresponding increase in Federal revenue but at an even higher rate. By contrast, state sales tax revenues were sluggish, and local property taxes frequently flat. Quite apart from the income redistribution proposals of the various progressive movements in the century, money flowed out of Washington for the simple reason that it flowed into Washington. Herewith a classic case of Robert K. Merton’s Law of Unintended Consequences. The graduated income tax, a signal aim of the progressive movement, was meant to bring about more equality among citizens. To an extent it did that, but it also brought about a huge disparity in the uncommitted resources of the Federal against State and local governments. In 1969, I became Assistant to President Nixon for Urban Affairs. Revenue sharing was an obvious response to the increasing difficulties cities were experiencing. On April 14, 1969, not three months in office Nixon sent a Special Message to Congress on Forthcoming Legislating Proposals Concerning Domestic Programs. Revenue sharing was among them. It served us well, as I believe, until repealed in the 1980s. It may be it can be revived in the context of the current and anticipated surpluses. But don’t count on it. INTRODUCTION BY SENATOR MOYNIHAN But let us be of cheer, and keep our perspective. When we came to Washington in 1977 New York City was bankrupt, or as near as makes no matter. It took a quartercentury on the Finance Committee to help set things right. Along with a fine succession of Mayors and Governors and Presidents, and a wonderful New York congressional delegation. In the end we succeeded. This September Standard & Poor’s upgraded New York City’s bond rating to A, the highest rating the City has been granted in 25 years. And the Federal government has helped. See that it lasts! D.P. M. November 18, 2000 ★ ★ ★ We owe much of our success and our deepest gratitude to our friends at Harvard. The remarkable inventiveness and analytic strategies of Professors Herman B. Leonard and Jay H. Walder and their associates, Monica E. Friar and Jose A. Acevedo, have made this document what it is today. 15 Page 16 intentionally left blank The Federal Budget and the States Fiscal Year 1999 Herman B. Leonard and Jay H. Walder A. Alfred Taubman Center for State and Local Government John F. Kennedy School of Government Harvard University A NOTE ON THE FEDERAL FISC Technically, the term “Fisc” refers to a state, Federal, or royal treasury. In this report, we adopt a geographic perspective and we utilize the term “Fisc” to refer to the financial flows between the Federal government and the states. We look at a range of taxes that represent the total Federal tax burden, including: individual income tax; corporate income tax; estate and gift taxes; employment taxes; Social Security taxes; and excise taxes. On the other side of the equation, we consider: payments from the Federal treasury to state and local governments, Federal employees, individuals (e.g., Social Security payments), and government contractors. The total picture captured by all of these flows makes up the Federal Fisc. s the nation seems to be — or at least, hopes to be — entering a sustained period of budget surpluses, the debate about the fairness or equity of the distribution of Federal spending does not appear to be fading away. The share that a state’s citizens and businesses receive of the approximately $1.5 trillion in domestic Federal spending, and the share that a state’s taxpayers pay of the roughly equal amount collected in Federal taxes, have a substantial impact on economic activity. And it is no great secret that these impacts vary considerably across the states. Citizens in some states receive much more in Federal spending than they pay in taxes; for other states the tax burden far exceeds spending. Among the many other things that this net flow of funds through the Federal treasury accomplishes — planned or not — is to rearrange, and in some cases rearrange quite significantly, the geographic location of economic activity. There is no definitive consensus as to whether an important purpose of the Federal financial system is to redistribute economic activity across states, or whether such redistribution is merely a result of decisions taken with other motivations. There are at least three starkly differing conceptions of the Federal financial role embedded in different parts of the ongoing debate: A ■ That the Federal Fisc should be designed to be neutral across states — that is, that each state should “get back” a close approximation of what it pays in. Under this conception, the Federal government would be operating mainly as a unified tax system, but its existence would not change the resources available, on balance, for programs in individual states; ■ That a central purpose of the Federal financing system should be to rebalance the resources available across the states, using resources available from states with wealthier taxpayers or stronger economies to finance programs that would not otherwise be possible in less wealthy states using their resources alone; and ■ That net redistribution of resources and economic activity across states is a more or less accidental by-product of individual programs designed to achieve important Federal purposes. Following this logic, programs should be located wherever activities need to be or can best be carried out and should be financed through a unified tax system based largely on income but that makes little or no direct reference to location. 17 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 Given this lack of consensus, it should be no surprise that concerns about whether states receive a “fair” proportion of Federal expenditures — or pay more than their “fair” AS AN INTERESTING SIDENOTE, Thomas Anton credits President Lyndon Johnson with the initiation of steps that led to a comprehensive database of Federal expenditures by state. In preparation for a meeting in Texas with a group of state governors, President Johnson had a series of reports prepared to show each governor how much his or her state was receiving from the Federal government. Following this meeting, the Bureau of the Budget established a regular basis for the collection and publication of this information (an extremely labor-intensive effort at the time). The Bureau of the Census took over this effort beginning with Federal FY 1981 and the methodology was revised at that time. See Anton, Thomas J., “Outlays Data and the Analysis of Federal Policy Impact,” in Norman J. Glickman, ed. The Urban Impacts of Federal Policies (Baltimore, MD: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1980), page 122. 1 Construction of the Interstate Highway system was supported by an excise tax on gasoline sales and motor vehicle fees. 2 In reality this was an artificial constraint. Congress adopted a policy that utilized existing surpluses in the Highway Trust Fund as a means to allow highway spending to exceed the amount of gas taxes earmarked for road construction. As a result, almost all states were able to get more in highway spending than they sent to Washington in taxes. See David Luberoff, “A Tale of Two Tables,” Governing, May 1997. 3 David Luberoff, “A Tale of Two Tables,” Governing, May 1997. 18 share in Federal taxes — have become a prevalent feature of Federal policy debates. Consider, for example, the long-standing issues surrounding the funding of Federal surface transportation programs. For many years, during the most active period of Interstate Highway construction, Federal apportionment formulas were not principally concerned with the geography of supporting tax revenues.1 Congressional representatives were focused instead on the significant new highway construction being generated. This focus changed as the Interstate Highway system neared completion. The highway legislation that was enacted in 1987 guaranteed donor states a minimum funding allocation equal to 85 percent of their contribution to the Highway Trust Fund and this minimum was subsequently increased to 90 percent in 1991.2 As legislators geared up for reauthorization of surface transportation legislation in 1997, regional disputes on the equity of transportation funding became the primary focus of attention. One group of states sought to minimize the redistribution of highway resources by insisting that the minimum funding allocation for each state be increased to 95 percent of the money it contributes to the Highway Trust Fund. Senator John Warner of Virginia summed up the concerns of these Sunbelt and Midwestern states when he threatened that the legislation “will not see the light of day unless fairness is brought into the formula. It is as simple as that”3 (emphasis added). Ultimately, Congress relied on a traditional solution to resolve the surface transportation stalemate — increasing the “size of the pie” to ensure that almost every state would receive funding at least equal to the prior year’s level. While this “solution” resolved the immediate transportation stalemate, the spending levels authorized in the Transportation Equity Act for the 21st Century, or TEA-21, fall well outside of the budget parameters that had been agreed to by the President and Congress in the 1997 Balanced Budget Act. It is clear that this model cannot be replicated on a wide-scale basis without jeopardizing plans for balanced budgets, tax relief, and investment in the financial stability of Social Security and Medicare. But even this hard-fought and expensive solution did not end the jockeying over transportation funding. Just a year after the TEA-21 bill was enacted, the Senate Transportation Appropriations Subcommittee approved a controversial “transit cap” measure that would have reopened the transportation funding formulas by limiting the annual funding from the total Federal transit program to 12.5 percent for any state. Supporters of the transit cap did not justify the change on the basis of need. Rather, they argued that New York and California take a large share of Federal transit funds, leaving a relatively small amount for communities in the South and West. Opponents of the THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 measure lined up behind the idea that it would reduce Federal support for the states with the most transit-reliant populations and decrease the benefits from Federal transit assistance. They also pointed to the conclusions of this report, which showed that California and New York paid much more in taxes than they received back in Federal spending. In the end, the senators from New York and California successfully stalled the measure’s passage, but it is likely that the debate will be revived in the future. similarly bitter and intense debate surrounded the recent overhaul of Federal welfare programs. Having provided the states discretion to set program rules, there is relatively little policy to be set at the Federal level other than the distribution of Federal funding levels across states. For example, in the past, Federal grants for welfare matched state contributions, so that states had an incentive to contribute more. If the new block grants were distributed based on prior year allocations, states that were receiving a relatively large amount of Federal support because of their own efforts would more or less receive permanently higher funding as a result — even if they reduced their own efforts. No surprise then that coalitions formed in Congress in the interest of finding “fair formulas” to allocate and distribute funds.4 One problem with these policy debates is that the extent and direction of subsidies between the states is widely misunderstood. Not much can be said about the overall fairness of the geography of Federal spending by examining individual programs one at a time. In this annual report, we step back from the distribution of each Federal program and look instead at the geography of the approx- A 4 At one point, Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas, joined by a group of 30 senators from Sunbelt states and California, proposed an AFDC formula that would take child poverty rates and the size of the state into account. If it had been enacted, more money would be directed to Southern states and states with small populations. See Monica E. Friar and Herman B. Leonard, The Federal Budget and the States, FY 1994, page 66. 5 We refer to this as a “balanced-budget” approach to examining the geography of Federal spending. We are thus focusing on the question, “What is the net geographic impact of Federal spending on allocable, domestic Federal programs, together with the tax collections necessary to fund those expenditures?” 6 The real level of services provided by a given level of nominal spending and the real burden from a given level of nominal taxes will vary depending on the cost of living in a state. Residents of lowcost states receive more real services from a given level of nominal spending than residents of high-cost states; the effect of taxes is reversed. imately $1.5 trillion of domestic taxing and spending that the government undertakes each year. To the extent that policy decisions are driven by beliefs about the distribution and equity of Federal funds across the states — and, to a considerable extent, they are — we hope that this research can help to bring those policy forces into alignment with the realities instead of the myths. To undertake this analysis, we obtained geographic data on Federal tax collections and the location of Federal expenditures. Appendix A details the sources of our data. The National Tax Foundation annually presents estimates of Federal tax collections by state, and these estimates underlie our analysis of the geography of Federal taxes. The Bureau of the Census provides reasonably consistent historical geographic data on Federal expenditures; these figures provide the basis for our analysis of expenditures. Appendix B lays out in detail the concepts and methodology we have developed and applied. For purposes of the analysis presented here, we exclude those aspects of Federal spending that do not occur domestically (for example, defense expenditures made in other countries), or for which we cannot get geographic data on the recipient distribution (most prominently, interest payments on the Federal debt). So as not to treat the Federal deficit as a free source of resources (each dollar of debt, and the interest on it, is eventually paid — even if only by issuing additional debt), we distribute an amount of taxes equal to the total amount of domestic spending for which we can get geographic allocation information.5 Throughout the report, we adjust figures for taxes and spending to account for differences in costs of living in different states.6 These indices are listed in Table C-2 19 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 A NOTE ON THE COST OF LIVING INDEX (COL INDEX) Average per capita income is a key factor in the balance of payments equation through its influence on Federal tax burdens and the distribution of the means-tested portion of allocable Federal expenditures. However, Federal tax policy does not take into account discrepancies in the cost of living across states nor do Federal programs (with the notable exceptions of some entitlement programs such as Medicare and Medicaid) adjust the level of outlays to account for regional cost of living differences. The real level of services provided by a given level of nominal spending varies with the costs of providing those services in a state. Residents of higher-cost states receive fewer real services from a given nominal level of Federal spending than residents of lower-cost states. In addition, changes in costs over time affect the real level of services even within a given state. To facilitate a comparison of the real impact of fiscal flows to and from the Federal government, we adjust all tax and spending data in this study by a State Cost of Living Index (COL Index). This index was developed by Herman B. Leonard and Monica E. Friar of the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University and is presented in a working paper entitled, “Variations in Cost of Living Across States” (Taubman Center for State and Local Government, 1998); the values for FY 1999 were updated by Monica Friar and provided to us for this report. The index measures the relative changes in costs across states and across time for the past 16 years using regional and selected area Consumer Price Indices applied to family budget data. (Appendices A and B provide a more detailed explanation of this data adjustment.) Unless otherwise noted, all tax and spending figures are reported in cost-adjusted, 1999 dollars. TABLE 3: Balance of Payments, FY 1999 20 STATE PER CAPITA AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO $2,091 2,777 904 1,633 (685) (620) (2,840) (1,025) 47 (29) 1,982 829 (1,669) (399) 750 373 1,595 1,576 1,324 1,770 (895) (1,042) (1,294) 2,684 1,187 TOTAL RANK (IN MILLIONS) 9 6 20 13 39 38 50 43 31 32 10 21 47 35 22 25 14 15 16 12 42 44 45 7 18 $9,139 1,720 4,319 4,166 (22,688) (2,514) (9,320) (772) 707 (228) 2,350 1,038 (20,241) (2,373) 2,151 990 6,317 6,892 1,660 9,155 (5,526) (10,277) (6,180) 7,431 6,490 STATE PER CAPITA MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY 3,109 $320 (1,583) (1,787) (2,342) 3,944 (890) 146 3,043 (344) 1,866 (483) 256 528 1,265 2,327 961 (189) 230 343 3,069 (533) 2,808 (887) 386 TOTAL RANK (IN MILLIONS) 2 27 46 48 49 1 41 30 4 34 11 36 28 23 17 8 19 33 29 26 3 37 5 40 24 2,745 $533 (2,865) (2,147) (19,076) 6,862 (16,189) 1,115 1,928 (3,873) 6,266 (1,601) 3,076 523 4,914 1,706 5,270 (3,789) 490 203 21,094 (3,070) 5,074 (4,659) 185 of Appendix C. Thus we are examining the flows of “purchasing power” gained or lost as a result of each state’s financial relationship with the Federal government. The difference between Federal spending received and taxes paid is the “balance of payments” between each state and the Federal government. A positive balance of payments indicates that a state receives more from Federal spending than it pays in Federal taxes. These states experience a net gain in economic activity as a result of Federal policies and might be described as recipients. A negative balance of payments indicates that the state is a net donor — it pays more in Federal taxes than it receives in Federal spending. In a system where Federal policies are either explicitly designed to redistribute economic activity across states, or where commitments are made without reference to geography, there will always be donor and recipient states. We have no presumption that the net flow of economic activity is either desirable or undesirable. In this annual report, we simply present what the different outcomes are and try to understand how they come about — that is, to explain the major forces that drive the differences in outcomes across states. The Balance of Payments in FY 1999 wide disparity in the financial flows between the Federal government and each of the states has been a consistent feature of U.S. fiscal policy over the past two decades (and probably for many years before that). In past reports, we have commented that this redistribution of economic A THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS IN FY 1999 Figure 7 The graph to the right shows the per capita balance of payments for each state, FY 1999. activity occurs widely among the states. In FY 1999, we again note that nearly half of the fifty states had balance of payments surpluses or deficits that exceeded 20 percent of the average Federal spending level (nearly $5,500 per capita). Figure 7 depicts the balance of Federal spending decisions and tax collections for each state. The states at the top of the graph experienced net inflows as a result of their financial relationship with the Federal government; the states at the bottom are donor states — they pay more in Federal taxes than they receive in Federal spending. New Mexico has ranked first in the nation in per capita balance of payments surplus since FY 1984, and its FY 1999 surplus of nearly $4,000 per capita was more than $800 greater than Montana, the next highest state. New Mexico’s real per capita income is the lowest in the country — about 21 percent below the national average, and its tax collections, which are highly correlated with income, are among the lowest of the states. At the same time, New Mexico was a leading state for Federal spending, with defense-related expenditures that were almost three times the national average, and non-defense discretionary spending that was nearly 60 percent above the national average. New Mexico’s adjusted poverty rate is the highest in the nation and its per capita income is the lowest in the nation, so it is not surprising that the state receives about 20 percent more in assistance spending than the national average. Among states with net outflows, Connecticut continued to have the highest per capita balance of payments deficit in the nation. Its deficit of more than $2,800 per capita was more than $500 greater than New Jersey, the state with the next largest deficit. Connecticut residents have the highest per PER CAPITA BOP, FY 1999 – $ Deficit -3000-2500-2000-1500-1000 -500 0 Surplus $ + 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 NM MT VA ND WV AK MS SD AL HI OK MD AR KY LA ME SC MO TN AZ ID IA RI WY KS VT NE PA UT NC FL GA TX OH IN OR WA CO CA WI NY MA DE MI MN NV IL NH NJ CT capita income in the nation and Federal taxes collected were more than 45 percent above the national average. It ranks near the national average in receipt of Federal spending. Defense spending, a key component of Federal expenditures in Connecticut, has declined 21 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 Figure 8 Total Balance of Payments, FY 1999 TOTAL BOP, FY 1999 – $ Deficit Surplus $ + -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 VA MD AL MS LA NM MO KY OK TN WV SC AZ AR PA MT HI IA ND AK SD ME NC ID KS FL NE RI UT VT WY GA DE OR NH IN CO NV WA TX OH WI MA MN CT MI NY NJ IL CA 7 The net flow from the ten states with the largest total deficit was even greater — about $118 billion. 22 steeply over the past decade, although it remains more than 15 percent above the national average. However, Connecticut ranked next to last for non-defense discretionary spending, more than 30 percent below the national average. Table 3 (page 20) presents the per capita balance of payments and the total balance of payments for each state. California’s very large population and moderate per capita deficit resulted in the largest total deficit of any individual state, nearly $23 billion in FY 1999 (Figure 8). Illinois, New Jersey, and New York also had total deficits that exceeded $15 billion. The total surplus for Virginia ($21 billion) was far greater than for any other state. Outside of the capital region, Alabama led the nation with total surplus that exceeded $9 billion and several other southern states had total surpluses that were over $6 billion. Consistent with our observation in prior years, we noticed a strong geographic concentration of the states with the largest per capita surpluses or deficits. The Northeast, mid-Atlantic, and Great Lakes regions encompassed almost all of the states with large per capita deficits (see Figure 10). Nevada was the only state outside of these regions with a large balance of payments deficit. The ten states with the largest per capita deficits were almost unchanged from last year; Massachusetts was the only state that moved into the “bottom ten,” and its rank shifted only slightly from 40th in FY 1998 to 42nd in FY 1999. These ten states had a combined outflow of about $93 billion.7 While there was no obvious pattern to the geography of the states with large surpluses, we note that they were concentrated in just a few areas of the country. Again, these states have been almost unchanged over the past year. South Dakota and Alabama moved into the top ten while Kentucky and Maryland shifted down slightly. The total gain for the ten states with the greatest per capita surpluses was about $60 billion, approximately $4 billion less than last year. Figure 9 compares taxes paid and Federal spending received to the national average of $5,486 per capita. The horizontal axis measures Federal tax collections; each state is plotted along this axis according to how much its tax collections differ from the national average. Similarly, states are plotted along the vertical axis according to the amount that Federal spending differs from the national average. The diagonal bands represent the balance of payments at intervals of $500 per capita. States within a diagonal band will have similar per capita balance of payments surpluses or deficits, but they may have very different underlying situations in terms of taxes paid and spending received. For example, the balance of payments results for Wyoming, Kansas, and Vermont are quite similar; all three states have a per capita surplus of about $350 and they can be found in the upper half of the light- THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS IN FY 1999 States whose tax payments and receipt of Federal spending are close to the national averages are plotted near the intersection of the horizontal and vertical lines in the middle of the chart. Moving out from the center, a large grouping of states can be found in the upper left quadrant, indicating low Federal taxes and high Federal spending. With the exception of the capital region states of Maryland and Virginia, all of the colored band in the middle of Figure 9. However, looking more closely at the chart, we see that Federal spending for the three states runs a range from about 16 percent above the national average in Wyoming to about 8 percent below the national average in Vermont. Tax collections follow a similar pattern, with Vermont approximately 14 percent below the national average and Wyoming approximately 8 percent above. +70% Figure 9 High Spending Low Taxes Per Capita Taxes and Spending Compared to National High Spending High Taxes VA +60% Averages Two states with identical balance of payments may have MD +$ NM 00 ations. The graph separates 30 00 +50% very different underlying situ- 00 AK 15 MT the per capita national aver- +$ SD bands indicate groups of states with similar resulting per capita balances of payments. P= +$ ita BO 0 ap 50 rc 00 10 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO NC MA ID VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 00 GA TX 00 RI 25 AZ ME 15 IA 30 hand corner. The shaded SC -$ graph in the lower right- AR FL TN -$ found diagonally across the HI KY LA 20 low Federal spending can be +10% -$ States with high taxes but WY OK -$ left-hand corner of the graph. MO -$ taxes will appear in the upper AL -$ Federal spending and low +20% pe spending. States with high WV MS NATIONAL AVERAGE vertical axis plots Federal FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE tions from each state; the 0 50 measures Federal tax collec- 0 +$ 10 +30% ages. The horizontal axis 00 information in comparison to 00 +$ ND 20 +40% spending and presents the +$ 25 the effects of taxes and NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE 23 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 Figure 10 Per Capita Balance WA ME of Payments, FY 1999 MT ND KEY States with biggest ID surpluses (over $1,000 VT WI SD NY MI WY per capita) States with greatest PA IA NE NV UT deficits (over $500 per capita) MI MN OR IL OH IN CO CA KS NJ DE MD WV MO NH MA CT RI VA KY NC TN AZ OK AR NM MS HI TX AK states with balance of payments surpluses that exceed $1,000 per capita appear in this area. New Mexico stands out with per capita spending that was more than 40 percent above the national average and tax collections that were more than 25 percent below the national average. Another group of states on the left side of the graph had tax payments that were more than 20 percent below the national average — Arkansas, Hawaii, Idaho, Maine, Mississippi, Montana, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Utah, and West Virginia. All of these states have per capita incomes that are among the lowest in the nation. Idaho and Utah stand out in this group with balance of payments surpluses that were far smaller than the other “low tax” states. Utah is particularly notable. It ranked next to last in the country in Federal spending and this shortfall offset the low Federal tax collections in the state. The result was a balance of payments surplus that was only about $200. Almost all of the other low tax states had bal- 24 SC AL GA LA FL ance of payments surpluses that exceeded $1,500 per capita, and four of these states, New Mexico, Montana, West Virginia, and Mississippi, had surpluses that exceeded $2,500 per capita. Most of the states with large balance of payments deficits are grouped in the lower right quadrant, indicating high taxes and low spending. Connecticut contributed the most, with tax collections that were about 47 percent higher than the national average, nearly $1,500 per capita higher than the tax collections from the next highest state (New Jersey). New Hampshire had the lowest Federal spending level in the nation, more than 25 percent below the national average. Only four states are in the upper righthand quadrant of the graph, indicating that both Federal spending and tax receipts exceeded the national average. Virginia and Maryland have large balance of payments surpluses and obviously benefit from their proximity to the nation’s capital. Florida’s mild weather and tax policies have attracted THE GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION OF FEDERAL TAXES Figure 11 Per Capita Federal WA ME Taxes Collected, FY 1999 MT ND KEY MI MN OR Lowest amount of ID taxes collected VT WI SD NY MI WY (Below $4,800) Moderate taxes PA IA NE NV UT ($4,800 – $5,800) IL OH IN CO Highest amount of MO VA KY taxes collected NC TN (Above $5,800) AZ OK SC AR NM AL MS HI TX AK an elderly population that benefits from non-means-tested income and medical support. Since its per capita income and Federal tax payments are slightly higher than the national average, its overall per capita balance of payments is essentially neutral. Wyoming was the only other state where taxes and spending were above the national average. Wyoming’s Federal spending was driven by non-defense discretionary spending that was more than 80 percent above the national average. The Geographic Distribution of Federal Taxes he distribution of Federal taxes across states is relatively easy to predict, because virtually every component of Federal taxes is closely related to income. Personal income taxes, the single largest component of the Federal tax system, made up about half of total FY 1999 tax receipts and corporate income taxes contributed about another 10 percent.8 Social Insurance T 8 Information on Federal tax receipts is from the Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 2001, Historical Tables, page 30. NJ DE MD WV KS CA NH MA CT RI GA LA FL taxes based on wages (such as Social Security and Medicare), which have declined in recent years as a percentage of total tax receipts, account for another third of Federal revenues. Even excise taxes (on fuel, cigarettes, and alcohol) are positively related to income. It is no wonder, therefore, that per capita tax payments are highly correlated with per capita income — in FY 1999, the simple correlation of income and taxes exceeded 0.95. The most important influence determining the amount of taxes paid by a state — by a wide margin — is the average earnings of its residents. The geography of Federal taxation, thus, directly follows the geography of average individual earnings. Figure 11 provides a map of the states divided into thirds by per capita Federal taxes, with those shaded darkest paying the highest amount of taxes per capita. It is almost identical to the tax distribution that we observed last year. The average Federal tax burden of residents of different states varies considerably, but other 25 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 A NOTE ON FEDERAL EXPENDITURES In our effort to construct the balance of payments statistic, we consider the total flow of funds between the Federal government and the people of each state. That is, we seek to measure the net flows of economic activity between each state and the Federal government. The spending side of the equation accounts for all domestic Federal spending, including Social Security, defense, income support payments, veterans’ benefits, agricultural subsidies, Medicare, Medicaid, and other grants to state and local governments. We believe that this broad measure of Federal spending is the most appropriate concept on which to base the analysis we present in this report. The reality is that economic impacts are apparent from all Federal spending and tax programs — regardless of whether the states administer the programs themselves (as in the case of Medicaid, transportation, or welfare) or the Federal government provides the service directly (defense), or payment is made directly from the Federal government to individual citizens (Social Security). To be consistent, we also look at all sources of Federal receipts used to finance these programs. For the reports in this series covering Federal Fiscal Years 1981 through 1997, the primary data source for the spending information was the Federal Expenditures by State report that was published annually by the U.S. Census Bureau, but was discontinued after FY 1997. The Federal Expenditures by State report presented the state-by-state distributions of Federal expenditures and classified the information into objects of expenditures, including salaries and wages, direct payments to individuals, procurement contracts, grants to state and local governments, and other miscellaneous spending that did not fit neatly into the other categories. Most of these statistics are now being published as part of the Census Bureau’s Consolidated Federal Funds Report (CFFR) series. The dollar amounts are distributed into five object categories, including salaries and wages, procurement contracts, grant awards, retirement and disability, and other direct payments. An important distinction between the two report series is that Federal grants in the CFFR generally represent obligations, and payments to state and local governments are not distinguished from grants to non-governmental recipients (including grants to individuals, and profit or non-profit institutions). In the previous Census Bureau publication, the grant data represented actual cash outlays of the Federal government and only grants to state and local governments were included.* In this current report, the time series for total spending, total taxes, and the balance of payments have all been recomputed from the new data and are internally consistent for Federal Fiscal Years 1983-1999. However, the historical figures that were computed from the new data are not perfectly consistent with the data presented in prior years of this report series. The data for years prior to FY 1983 were not recomputed and are no longer included in this series. Additional information on the change in reporting methodology can be found in Appendix A of this report. *This data series is continued in a new publication, The Federal Aid to States, which is one of two publications that now comprise the Census Bureau’s Consolidated Federal Funds Report series. 9 The Federal tax system also has a (much larger) redistributive effect across individuals (due largely to the progressive structure of its main component, the Federal income tax); higherincome individuals and families pay a considerably higher proportion of their income to the Federal government than do lower-income households. The fact that the total flow of Federal taxes is only mildly progressive across states shows, however, that, in effect, most of the individual redistribution carried out through the Federal tax system is redistribution among people in the same state, not across states. 26 than the association of high average incomes with high Federal tax payments, there is no obvious or very strong geography to this distribution. Northeastern states tend to have relatively high incomes, and pay high Federal taxes, as do two of the states bordering the Great Lakes and a cluster of states (New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, and Virginia) along the Atlantic coast. Most regions tend to have a mixture of high- and low-taxpay- ing states. The largest blocks of low-taxpaying states are in the South and in the mountain region of the West; the largest block of middle-income states is in the central part of the nation. We should note that while the positive association between income and taxes implies that the Federal government’s tax system is redistributive, it does not necessarily imply that it is progressive. For a tax system to be progressive, higher-income households must pay more than a proportionately higher amount in taxes. Is the tax system of the Federal Fisc, viewed with regard to its effects across states, progressive? The answer is that it is very mildly progressive — the lowest-income states, on average, pay about 18 percent of their income in Federal taxes, while the highest-income states pay about 20 percent. Viewed across time, the tax system is a steady force in the Federal Fisc for modest redistribution across the states from wealthier states to poorer states.9 The Geographic Distribution of Federal Spending nlike the geographic distribution of taxes, which is relatively easy to predict because of the strong correlation with income, there are many factors that influence where the Federal government spends money. The demographics and characteristics of each state shape even the most straightforward policy objectives. For example, the proportion of elderly residents in each state largely determines the geographic distribution of Social Security benefits, by far the largest Federal spending program. Agricultural subsidies are concentrated in states with large amounts of farmland. And the geographic distribution of defense U THE GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION OF FEDERAL SPENDING 10 Associated Press, “Congress Passes Drunk Driving Rules,” October 3, 2000. spending is determined to a great extent by the location of defense contractors and existing military facilities. Other factors are more political. Congressional election campaigns frequently revolve around the question of “who can bring home the bacon” and parochial selfinterest often overshadows other factors in Federal spending decisions. In some instances, Congress makes specific geographic determinations, such as the location of military facilities and Federal office buildings, or earmarks highway grants for the construction of particular roadways. In other cases, Congress defines the overall program structure and delegates responsibility for the allocation of funds to the appropriate Federal agency. Congress may also reduce or withhold a state’s receipt of Federal funds in an attempt to influence state-level policy decisions. Congress recently passed a transportation spending bill, for example, that included a tough national standard for drunken driving with penalties for states that don’t abide. Under the measure, states that fail to adopt a 0.08 blood alcohol content standard as the legal level for drunken driving by 2004 would stand to lose millions of dollars in Federal aid. Recalcitrant states would lose 2 percent of their highway money by 2004, with the penalty increasing to 8 percent by 2007. The drunken driving provision is patterned after the Federal effort to increase the minimum drinking age to 21 years, under which no state lost any funding in the end. Indeed, the drunken driving bill allows states to be reimbursed for any lost money if they adopt the 0.08 blood alcohol content standard by 2007.10 Nor should one ignore the impact of changes in national policies. Over the past two decades, we have seen significant shifts in the priorities of U.S. domestic spending — the defense build-up in the early 1980s and the subsequent curtailment of defense spending as the Cold War ended; the end of general revenue sharing for state and local governments; the growing importance of entitlement benefits for the elderly and poor as a percentage of Federal spending; and the sharp decline in non-defense discretionary domestic spending for much of the 1980s, to name only a few of the most obvious. Finally, state actions themselves affect the allocation of funds from the capital. While it is clear that no state government has an interest in maximizing all types of Federal assistance, states have an incentive to maximize certain kinds of Federal spending. For example, it is easy to see why states would seek to attract Federal grants for economic development, transportation, education, and public safety. Similarly, salaries for Federal workers, defense contracts, and other Federal procurement contracts all bring economic activity to a state or region. In general, citizens and taxpayers view this Federal spending positively. On the other hand, fear of becoming a “welfare magnet” may keep states from increasing benefit levels and maximizing Federal reimbursement for programs like Medicaid. Similarly, large Federal grants for unemployment compensation reflect a weakness in the state’s economy, and compensation for black lung disease reflects the presence of a serious health problem among the state’s citizens. While the Federal spending may help to remedy the underlying problem, most states would prefer to avoid problems of this kind even if it means that they have to forego the associated Federal expenditures. 27 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 Figure 12 Distribution of Federal Spending Assistance programs 11% Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) 17% by Program, FY 1999 Medicare 14% Non-defense discretionary 31% Social Security 27% 11 Pear, Robert, “40 States Forfeit Health Care Funds for Poor Children,” The New York Times, Sept. 23, 2000. 12 Federal government expenditures in this analysis do not include the net interest on the Federal government debt, international payments and foreign aid, and expenditures for selected agencies such as the Central Intelligence Agency and the National Security Council. See Appendices A and B for further detail on data sources and methodology. 13 Defense spending includes all military and civilian expenditures by the Department of Defense, defense-related expenditures by the Department of Energy, military retirement, and veterans’ benefits. 28 The Children’s Health Insurance Program provides an interesting example of state actions affecting the allocation of Federal spending. Recently, The New York Times reported that forty states were expected to lose hundreds of millions of dollars of Federal support that was intended to provide health insurance for children in families with too much income to qualify for Medicaid and too little income to afford private insurance. Under the bill adopted by Congress in 1997, the unspent funds will be reallocated to the ten states that used their full allotments of Federal money within a three-year period. States offered a variety of explanations for the failure to utilize the available Federal support. Some pointed to the strong economy and said that they could not find enough eligible uninsured children to use all of their allocated Federal money. Other states indicated that they were reluctant to put up the state money that would be required to obtain the full amount of Federal money available to them. Legislators in Colorado, for example, which is expected to lose about $19 million from its 1998 allotment, indicated that they were unwilling to shift more state resources to health care from other areas of public spending.11 FY 1999 Spending Patterns Y 1999 spending in the fifty states and the District of Columbia totaled $1.5 trillion, with average per capita spending of approximately $5,486.12 Figure 12 summarizes aggregate Federal spending by program. Social Security benefits dominate Federal spending, accounting for approximately 27 cents of every dollar spent in FY 1999, or approximately $1,500 per capita. This is only slightly less than the amount spent for all non-defense discretionary programs combined, a broad grouping that includes thousands of Federal programs in agriculture, education, environmental protection, housing, national parks, and transportation (to name but a few). Defense spending, which has declined in recent years, increased slightly in FY 1999 and now accounts for about 17 percent of domestic Federal expenditures.13 Medicare, another large spending area that has been increasing over the past two decades, represented about 14 percent of total Federal spending in FY 1999. And, finally, we grouped a variety of means-tested assistance programs, including Medicaid, AFDC, Food Stamps, Housing Assistance, and Unemployment Insurance, into a broad category called “direct assistance” (about 11 percent of Federal spending in FY 1999). The map in Figure 13 highlights the geographic distribution of Federal spending across the fifty states. In general, the regional distinctions that are evident from our analysis of the balance of payments are also evi- F THE GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION OF FEDERAL SPENDING WA Figure 13 ME MT Per Capita Federal Spending, FY 1999 ND ID KEY (Below $5,200) PA IA NE NV UT IL OH IN CO KS CA NC TN AZ Highest amount of OK NM NJ VA KY ($5,200 – $6,000) NH MA CT RI DE MD WV MO Federal spending SC AR Federal monies received (Above $6,000) NY MI WY Federal monies received VT WI SD Lowest amount of Moderate amount of MI MN OR MS AL GA HI TX AK dent when we look at Federal spending. Most of the states in the Northeast, Great Lakes, and mid-Atlantic regions with large balance of payments deficits were, not surprisingly, also among the states that received the smallest amounts of Federal spending. Looking east from Minnesota toward the Atlantic coast, only Maine, Rhode Island, and Pennsylvania had Federal spending that exceeded the national average, and in each case only by a very small margin (less than 1 percent). Federal spending also tended to be below the national average in most of the states that are west of the Rocky Mountains. There is wide variation in Federal spending across the fifty states. The two states in the capital region rank first and second in Federal spending, with per capita receipts exceeding $8,000 in FY 1999. Five other states received more than $7,000 in Federal spending per capita, more than one-third above the national average. Each of these states — New Mexico, North Dakota, Alaska, Montana, and South Dakota — ranked among the top states for receipt of LA FL non-defense discretionary spending. Alaska and New Mexico also rank among the top states for defense spending. At the other end of the spectrum, per capita spending in New Hampshire was only slightly above $4,000 per year. New Hampshire ranked among the bottom ten states for every category of Federal spending except defense, and even defense spending in New Hampshire was more than 35 percent below the national average. Federal spending in Utah, Nevada, and New Jersey was only slightly higher. Utah ranked among the bottom states for Social Security, Medicare, and other assistance programs, Nevada ranked in the bottom ten for all categories of Federal spending except defense, and New Jersey received the lowest allocation of non-defense discretionary spending in the country. Table 4 provides a complete listing of Federal spending by program by state and Table 5 contains the corresponding percentage breakdown of the programs for each state. The same information is presented graphically in Figures 15 and 16. 29 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 WA ME MT ND ID WI SD NY MI WY Figure 14, A–E PA IA NE NV Geographic Distribution of VT MI MN OR UT IL CO KS CA DE MD WV MO VA KY Per Capita Federal Spend- NC TN AZ OK NM ing by Program (defense, NJ OH IN NH MA CT RI SC AR MS GA AL HI non-defense discretionary, LA TX AK FL Social Security, Medicare, A and assistance programs), Defense FY 1999 WA ME MT KEY ND ID Lowest third VT MI MN OR WI SD NY MI WY NE NV Middle third PA IA UT IL KS CA Highest third DE MD WV MO VA KY NC TN AZ OK NM NJ OH IN CO NH MA CT RI SC AR MS GA AL HI LA TX AK FL B Non-defense Discretionary WA ME MT ND MI MN OR ID VT WI SD NY MI WY NE NV PA IA UT IL KS DE MD WV MO VA KY NC TN AZ OK NM NJ OH IN CO CA NH MA CT RI SC AR MS GA AL HI LA TX AK FL C Social Security WA ME MT ND ID VT MI MN OR WI SD NY MI WY NV PA IA NE UT IL KS CA DE MD WV MO VA KY NC TN AZ OK NM NJ OH IN CO NH MA CT RI SC AR MS GA AL HI LA TX AK FL D Medicare WA ME MT ND ID VT MI MN OR WI SD NY MI WY PA IA NE NV UT IL OH IN CO KS CA OK MO NM VA KY NC SC AR MS AL GA HI TX LA AK FL E 30 Assistance Programs NJ DE MD WV TN AZ NH MA CT RI The maps in Figure 14 display the geographic distribution of per capita Federal spending in each of the five broad program categories that we described above. The darker shading indicates that the concentration of Federal spending among the states (or regions) differs significantly across the program areas. Figure 14A, for example, which shows the distribution of defense expenditures, indicates a concentration in the national capital region, and beyond that, a concentration mostly in southern and southwestern states. The geographic distribution of non-defense discretionary spending (Figure 14B), on the other hand, is concentrated from the Midwest to the Rockies. Figures 14C and 14D indicate the distributions for Social Security and Medicare, two large Federal spending programs that have a strong geographic concentration in the eastern and central regions (consistent with their having a generally slower population growth and therefore a relatively larger percentage of older people). Figure 14E shows that Federal support for assistance programs is heavily concentrated in the Appalachian mountain states of the east, running from Louisiana all the way to Maine, and in a few other states. Thus, each spending area has its own characteristic geographic pattern. Because these patterns are so dissimilar — but also likely to be rather durable — much of the change in the overall geographic distribution of Federal spending appears to have been driven by changes in the mix of these different programs as components of the budget. Over the past decade, Social Security and Medicare have increased as a fraction of the overall budget at the same time that the share of Federal spending devoted to discretionary expenditures (including defense) has decreased. THE GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION OF FEDERAL SPENDING TABLE 4: Per Capita Spending by Program by State, FY 1999 (figures in 1999 dollars adjusted by COL index) Defense (incl.veterans’ Non-defense Social benefits) Discretionary Security AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY US $1,320 2,194 1,361 595 943 1,408 1,046 615 1,058 1,322 2,391 1,166 354 493 325 898 970 788 1,110 1,895 836 265 432 1,285 1,293 596 657 944 576 504 2,655 305 898 1,005 514 1,255 354 563 824 1,438 638 686 1,037 725 587 3,685 1,377 419 284 769 907 $1,964 3,786 1,689 1,772 1,439 1,884 1,156 1,458 1,392 1,626 1,441 1,616 1,442 1,318 2,409 2,083 1,702 1,815 1,399 3,768 1,528 1,197 1,713 1,877 1,966 3,939 2,177 1,172 1,189 1,097 2,678 1,370 1,415 3,745 1,275 1,864 1,564 1,450 1,409 1,346 3,720 2,029 1,801 1,854 1,690 2,851 1,490 2,036 1,333 3,062 1,693 $1,802 657 1,474 1,932 1,195 1,143 1,543 1,578 2,025 1,360 1,107 1,412 1,501 1,663 1,837 1,646 1,858 1,597 1,589 1,322 1,415 1,742 1,455 1,776 1,776 1,624 1,614 1,349 1,358 1,452 1,387 1,473 1,666 1,624 1,660 1,685 1,571 1,812 1,624 1,682 1,678 1,722 1,278 989 1,491 1,382 1,325 2,332 1,688 1,472 1,508 Medicare Assistance Programs $917 234 657 870 708 513 817 685 1,200 666 456 505 755 719 720 758 800 1,001 648 762 891 824 595 863 881 630 629 561 528 765 530 812 677 720 786 839 601 1,022 828 665 682 862 686 373 574 588 527 968 645 574 761 $607 779 435 703 624 355 661 514 445 520 541 479 540 492 529 447 781 807 794 587 691 655 581 788 629 599 547 330 415 543 742 985 631 596 592 554 662 684 819 679 558 771 574 385 719 320 619 967 571 461 616 Total $6,610 7,649 5,617 5,871 4,909 5,303 5,224 4,851 6,121 5,493 5,937 5,178 4,592 4,686 5,820 5,832 6,111 6,008 5,539 8,334 5,361 4,682 4,775 6,589 6,544 7,389 5,624 4,355 4,067 4,362 7,992 4,944 5,287 7,690 4,827 6,198 4,752 5,531 5,504 5,810 7,276 6,071 5,377 4,324 5,061 8,825 5,339 6,724 4,521 6,338 5,486 TABLE 5: Distribution of Spending by Program for Each State, FY 1999 Defense (incl.veterans’ Non-defense Social benefits) Discretionary Security AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY US 20% 29 24 10 19 27 20 13 17 24 40 23 8 11 6 15 16 13 20 23 16 6 9 19 20 8 12 22 14 12 33 6 17 13 11 20 7 10 15 25 9 11 19 17 12 42 26 6 6 12 17 30% 49 30 30 30 36 22 30 23 30 24 31 31 28 41 36 28 30 25 45 29 26 36 28 30 53 39 27 29 25 34 28 27 49 26 30 33 26 26 23 51 33 34 43 33 32 28 30 29 48 31 27% 9 26 33 24 22 30 33 33 25 19 27 33 35 32 28 30 27 29 16 26 37 30 27 27 22 29 31 33 33 17 30 32 21 34 27 33 33 30 29 23 28 24 23 29 16 25 35 37 23 27 Medicare Assistance Programs 14% 3 12 15 14 10 16 14 20 12 8 10 16 15 12 13 13 17 12 9 17 18 12 13 13 9 11 13 13 18 7 16 13 9 16 14 13 18 15 11 9 14 13 9 11 7 10 14 14 9 14 9% 10 8 12 13 7 13 11 7 9 9 9 12 11 9 8 13 13 14 7 13 14 12 12 10 8 10 8 10 12 9 20 12 8 12 9 14 12 15 12 8 13 11 9 14 4 12 14 13 7 11 Total 100% 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 31 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 Figure 15 (left) Per Capita Spending by Program by State, FY 1999 (1999 dollars) Figure 16 (right) Distribution of Spending by Program for Each State, FY 1999 KEY Defense Non-defense discretionary Social Security Medicare Assistance programs 32 $0 $1000 $2000 $3000 $4000 $5000 $6000 $7000 $8000 $9000 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY US AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY US Consequently, the geographic pattern of total spending has shifted toward the central states in which Social Security and Medicare are relatively concentrated. In spite of their falling size, however, defense and nondefense discretionary spending remain important determinants of the overall out- come for many individual states, because they are so highly variable across states. Defense spending, for example, which averages about $900 per capita for the nation as a whole, ranges from about $265 per capita in Michigan to nearly $3,700 per capita in Virginia — a range of nearly four times its THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE average.14 The Social Security program, by contrast, which spends an average of about $1,500 per capita for the nation as a whole, ranges only from about $650 per capita in Alaska to just over $2,300 per capita in West Virginia — a range only slightly larger than its average. A discussion of the spending by program for each state is provided as part of the State Profiles at the back of this volume. Table C-3 in the Appendix provides a state-by-state listing of Federal spending, taxes, and balance of payments and Tables C-4 and C-5 provide a listing of Federal spending by program by state. The Federal Budget and the States — A Retrospective enator Moynihan’s imminent retirement from the United States Senate is a natural occasion to review the geographic shifts in Federal spending and taxing decisions that have taken place during his Senate career. Senator Moynihan initiated this report series in 1977, after having been in the Senate for only half a year. It was from its beginning, and remains today, the most comprehensive report in the nation on the geography of Federal taxes and spending. The first report, at that point focused almost exclusively on New York, grew out of his concern that Federal policies were contributing to the general economic decline in the state that he was representing. Senator Moynihan argued that an accurate understanding of the flow of funds from New York residents and businesses to the Federal treasury, and the concurrent Federal outlays directed toward New York, would be the first step in correcting what he knew to be an unequal, and what he perceived to be an inequitable, distribu- S 14 Even excluding Virginia as an outlier because of the location of the Pentagon, defense spending still has a range of almost three times its average between Michigan and New Mexico, the state with the second highest level of defense spending. 15 Moynihan, Daniel Patrick, The Federal Government and the Economy of New York State, United States Senate, June 27th, 1977. A revised edition, correcting a mistake in the original calculations, was published on July 15th, 1977. 16 Moynihan, Daniel Patrick, New York State and the Federal Fisc, Federal Fiscal Year 1977, United States Senate, July 16th, 1978, page ii. 17 Moynihan, Daniel Patrick, New York State and the Federal Fisc: III, Federal Fiscal Year 1978, United States Senate, June 10th, 1979. tion of funds. A complicating factor was significant data problems that were discovered during the preparation of the initial report. For example, the annual data published by the Federal Community Services Administration (CSA), known at the time as Federal Outlays, recorded nearly 50 percent of the “Interest on the Public Debt” as outlays attributable to New York, since the payments were made through the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Likewise, the Federal Outlays report indicated that New York received more than 40 percent of the national outlay for “Foreign Economic and Financial Assistance” since the foreign aid transactions were similarly handled through New York banks. After adjusting the CSA data for these errors, Senator Moynihan prepared a report on The Federal Government and the Economy of New York State and entered it into the Congressional Record. One explicitly stated goal was to invite further investigation and discussion of the analysis.15 The CSA recognized the problem with its allocation methodology and beginning with the next fiscal year adopted a new approach in which expenditures such as foreign aid and payments on the national debt were no longer allocated to any one state. The revised report series, renamed The Geographical Distribution of Federal Expenditures, served as a key data source for Senator Moynihan’s now annual report “tracing the ups and downs of Federal expenditures for the previous fiscal year.”16 The Senator continued to note, however, that only the most egregious data problems had been resolved in the new CSA publication, and argued that other Federal transactions such as agricultural export sales should be similarly omitted from allocations for any state.17 33 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 18 Edwin L. Harper, “Memorandum for Assistant Secretaries/Directors for Management, December 14, 1981 as contained in Moynihan, Daniel Patrick, New York State and the Federal Fisc: VI, Federal Fiscal Year 1981, United States Senate, July 26th, 1982, page 3. 19 The Community Services Administration was abolished as the start of Fiscal Year 1982. 20 Moynihan, Daniel Patrick, New York State and the Federal Fisc: VII, Federal Fiscal Year 1982, United States Senate, July 25th, 1983, page 31. 21 Moynihan, FY 1977, revised edition, page 20. 22 Moynihan, FY 1982, page 7. 23 New York did have a brief balance of payments surplus in FY 1983. 24 Moynihan, Daniel Patrick, New York State and the Federal Fisc: XV, Federal Fiscal Year 1990, United States Senate, July 28th, 1991, page 3. 25 Moynihan, Daniel Patrick and the Taubman Center for State and Local Government, New York State and the Federal Fisc: XVI, Federal Fiscal Year 1991, United States Senate, July 24th, 1991. 34 An even more serious challenge to the preparation of the annual report series came late in 1981, when the Office of Management and Budget decided to discontinue the compilation and distribution of data that had been contained in the The Geographical Distribution of Federal Expenditures report and directed all Federal agencies not to submit data to the Community Services Administration for Fiscal Year 1981.18 The sixth report in the series, published by Senator Moynihan in July 1982, was notable for its lack of data for the most current fiscal year. The cover of that report posed a one-word question, “DISCONTINUED?,” and indeed, at the time, it seemed that it might well be the last report in the series. With the enactment of Public Law 97236, the data series was revived and the Bureau of the Census developed a system to collect and release geographic data on Federal expenditures.19 The FY1981 and FY1982 data were compiled belatedly, and the Senator’s report on the flow of Federal funds incorporating this data continued on schedule in July 1983. The FY 1982 report did represent a break in some ways, however, since some of the revisions in procedures implemented by the Census Bureau prevented a strict comparison of the newly published data with the data that had been prepared by the Community Services Administration.20 Throughout the series of annual reports, Senator Moynihan continued to note New York’s large balance of payments deficit, although he dismissed the notion that any state is entitled to a dollar for dollar return on its taxes paid to the Federal treasury. As he noted in the first edition, “the idea that each State ought somehow to have a neutral or positive ‘balance of payments’ with the Federal government has no more conceptual clarity than do similar notions about international trade.”21 He repeated this point in the seventh edition with the succinct statement that, “we are, after all, one nation” and New York, as a state, was still better off than many.22 But he remained concerned about the extent to which New York was a net loser in the overall transaction with Washington and, more generally, the failure of others to recognize and correct what he believed to be a systematic bias in the distribution of Federal outlays. For the next ten years, the Fisc, as the report came to be known, continued to show that New York and several other states in the Northeast and Great Lakes regions ran persistent balance of payments deficits with the Federal government.23 Even the large Federal budget deficits that fueled Federal spending in the 1980s failed to reverse the persistent deficits in these states. In the 15th edition, published in July 1991, Senator Moynihan renewed his call for a debate over the regional effects of Federal fiscal policy and pointed out that “influencing the scale and duration of imbalances in these flows of [Federal] resources could provide a powerful lever for the Federal government to balance economic growth across the nation.” He went on to add, somewhat pessimistically, that in his eight years of service on the Senate Budget Committee, the discussion rarely turned to the state-level geographic distribution of Federal expenditures and taxes.24 The next year, Senator Moynihan and the Kennedy School of Government’s Taubman Center for State and Local Government formed a partnership to continue the production of the Fisc in the expectation that the joint product would have wide interest outside of New York State. Senator Moynihan continued to contribute his own introduction to each edition, while faculty THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE 26 Friar, Monica E. and Herman B. Leonard, The Federal Budget and the States, Fiscal Year 1993, United States Senate, July 28th, 1994, page 5. 27 Friar, Monica E. and Herman B. Leonard, The Federal Budget and the States, Fiscal Year 1993, page 56. 28 See, for example, Friar, Monica, E., Herman B. Leonard and Jay H. Walder, The Federal Budget and the States, Fiscal Year 1995, United States Senate, September 30th, 1996; Walder, Jay H. and Herman B. Leonard, The Federal Budget and the States, Fiscal Year 1997, United States Senate, September 30th, 1998; and Leonard, Herman B., Jay H. Walder and Jose A. Acevedo, The Federal Budget and the States, Fiscal Year 1998, United States Senate, December 9, 1999. 29 Friar, Monica E., Herman B. Leonard and Jay H. Walder, The Federal Budget and the States, Fiscal Year 1995, United States Senate, September 30th, 1996. 30 We constructed these figures from several different data sources, including separate source data for individual programs (for defense, Social Security, and Medicare) and data by object of expenditure (for grants). As a result, there may be some minor inconsistencies in the data we are examining across the period. By construction, most inconsistencies that may have arisen will appear in the residual “Other spending” category (which we do not separately analyze), but it is possible that some minor inaccuracies remain in other categories. and research staff associated with the Taubman Center wrote the body of the report.25 In FY 1993 and all subsequent editions of the now retitled report, The Federal Budget and the States, the authors analyzed the impact of differential costs of living on the state’s balance of payments positions using a state cost of living index that measures the relative costs across states and across time. That is, each state’s spending and taxes were adjusted by the cost of living index and the figures in the report were reported in cost-adjusted dollars.26 The FY 1993 report also moved beyond the traditional analysis of the balance of payments that had been the focus of the report series since its inception and included a special analysis on a topic of broad national interest. The chapter on the geographic impacts of Social Security analyzed the net impact of FICA-financed benefit payments and FICA collections on a state-by-state basis.27 A continuing feature of The Federal Budget and the States series, the special analyses in later editions have examined the geographic equity of Federal spending and the amount of redistribution that takes place across the states as a result of the flows of Federal taxes and spending.28 The 20th Anniversary Edition, The Federal Budget and the States, Fiscal Year 1995, completed the gradual evolution to a national focus. Recognizing that many citizens and elected officials are principally concerned with their home state, the report introduced a state-specific summary for each state. These State Profiles, which have become an integral component of the report, include highlights for each state as well as demographic and historical data that can assist readers in better understanding the state balance of payments outcomes.29 The current analysis seeks to expand on this state-specific information by considering the nationwide shifts that have taken place over the longest range of time for which we can construct reasonably consistent data. As we have noted earlier in this report, the Bureau of the Census established a new system for the collection of data on the geographic distribution of Federal spending when they assumed responsibility for this data series in the early 1980s, and further methodological changes were introduced even more recently in the calculation of data for FY 1998 and subsequent years. With this in mind, we have concentrated our review on the geographic shifts in the years from FY 1983 to the current period, during which time the Census Bureau has released consistent underlying data on Federal expenditures, and we have the greatest confidence that year-to-year comparisons can be meaningful and reliable. Appendix A provides additional information on the data sources for this report series. This section therefore contains a 15-year analysis of the shifts in the geography of Federal spending and taxes. We compare data on the geography of Federal spending and taxes in FY 1983 and FY 1984 to similar data for the two most current fiscal years (FY 1998 and FY 1999). We average the data for two years to minimize the impact of any single-year anomalies that may have occurred; we will refer to these averages as figures for FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99. All figures are presented in cost-of-living-indexadjusted 1999 dollars. We are able to develop consistent data across the period for tax payments, for total spending, and for four components of spending: defense, Social Security, Medicare, and grants.30 35 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 The Big Picture: What Happened Over the 15-Year Retrospective Period? able 6 shows the aggregate changes for each state in per capita balance of payments, total Federal spending, and Federal tax payments over the 15-year retrospective period. Many states experienced relatively modest movement in their overall balance of payments position — nearly half of the states moved by $500 per capita or less, and for 10 of those states, the change over the 15-year period was less than $200 per capita. The changes for the other states were larger, and for some of these states the changes were quite dramatic indeed. The change in Connecticut’s balance of payments position with the Federal government was most striking. Over the 15-year period, Connecticut’s balance of payments moved from a small surplus to the largest deficit in the nation. The decline of nearly $2,500 per person was far larger than the decline for any other state. New Hampshire, Nevada, Massachusetts, and California also experienced declines of $1,000 or more. The gains over the same period at the other end of the spectrum were also striking. Citizens in Oklahoma and Alaska saw their balance of payments move up by over $2,500 per capita and North Dakota, Montana, and West Virginia experienced net increases of more than $2,000 per capita. The difference between the change experienced by citizens in Connecticut and Alaska, the two states with the most extreme situations, is over $5,200 per capita. In effect, the Federal government imparted a net economic torque that provided a major impulse in the economy of Alaska while at the same time a Federal economic brake was being T 31 This section draws upon the Budget of the United States Government, Fiscal Year 2001, Historical Tables. 36 applied to Connecticut. Other states experienced significant, but less intense, versions of this same phenomenon. What Drove the Shifts in the Aggregate Results? able 6 makes it plain that both changes in Federal spending and changes in Federal tax payments were important in producing the changes in the overall balance of payments results across the 15-year period. In the sections that follow, we will explore first how and why the distribution of spending changed and then briefly review how Federal tax collections changed. There are many reasons, of course, why the distribution of per capita Federal spending may have shifted over the course of 15 years.31 In aggregate, domestic allocable Federal spending increased significantly during this period. In FY 1998/99, the Federal government spent nearly $5,600 for each man, woman, and child in the country; in FY 1983/84, the comparable spending figure was a little over $4,700 in 1999 dollars. The 1980s began with substantial momentum in the growth of Federal spending in the areas of human resources and grants to state and local governments (and, although this analysis focuses on allocable domestic Federal spending, the growth in Federal interest payments also bears mention). In the early 1980s, the nation added substantially increased defense spending along with continued growth in human resource spending through entitlement programs. This expansion of Federal spending, combined with a national recession and the tax cuts enacted in the early years of the Reagan presidency, resulted in a sharp increase T THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE TABLE 6: Per Capita Changes in Actual Balance of Payments, Spending, and Taxes FY 1983/84–FY 1998/99 Change in Balance of Payments Change in Spending Connecticut New Hampshire Nevada Massachusetts California Washington Missouri Utah Minnesota New York Georgia New Jersey Florida Michigan Wisconsin Illinois Vermont Oregon Colorado Delaware Arizona Kansas Tennessee Indiana Nebraska Ohio North Carolina South Carolina Idaho Maryland Rhode Island Mississippi Pennsylvania Hawaii Virginia Arkansas Maine Alabama New Mexico South Dakota Texas Iowa Kentucky Wyoming Louisiana North Dakota Montana West Virginia Oklahoma Alaska California Connecticut Nevada New Hampshire Utah Washington Missouri Massachusetts Hawaii Kansas New Jersey New York Minnesota Delaware Arizona Colorado Oregon Wisconsin Illinois Georgia Vermont Michigan Rhode Island Indiana Ohio Mississippi Florida Idaho New Mexico Pennsylvania Nebraska Texas South Carolina Arkansas Tennessee Maine Maryland Virginia Alaska North Carolina Alabama Wyoming Louisiana Oklahoma Iowa South Dakota North Dakota Kentucky Montana West Virginia $(2,461) (1,513) (1,357) (1,274) (1,105) (955) (825) (823) (742) (477) (446) (435) (243) (121) (113) (105) (62) (20) 43 109 114 156 193 275 293 326 336 358 378 382 402 416 439 509 592 603 710 925 944 999 1,004 1,411 1,465 1,513 1,997 2,191 2,350 2,386 2,534 2,812 Change in Taxes $(775) (678) (538) (354) (326) (261) (61) (26) 332 410 420 433 527 637 648 724 752 760 771 786 799 848 873 901 931 955 978 1,019 1,036 1,072 1,094 1,149 1,207 1,238 1,249 1,283 1,315 1,330 1,459 1,487 1,675 1,744 1,778 1,860 1,950 1,980 2,009 2,078 2,296 2,311 Connecticut Minnesota Massachusetts Georgia Florida New Hampshire North Carolina Tennessee South Dakota Michigan Maryland New York Illinois Wisconsin Vermont New Jersey South Carolina Nevada Nebraska Oregon Missouri Alabama Virginia Washington Colorado Idaho Arkansas Pennsylvania Indiana Kentucky Ohio Maine Iowa Mississippi Arizona Delaware Utah Rhode Island California Kansas Wyoming Texas New Mexico Montana West Virginia Hawaii North Dakota Louisiana Oklahoma Alaska $1,783 1,269 1,248 1,232 1,220 1,159 1,151 1,056 981 968 933 910 876 873 861 855 849 819 802 772 764 751 738 694 680 640 635 634 627 613 605 573 539 539 534 527 497 471 330 255 231 145 92 (53) (75) (176) (183) (218) (674) (1,352) 37 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 in the national deficit and the interest payments to service the national debt. By the late 1980s, the defense build-up that had started earlier in the decade had ended and total discretionary Federal spending was declining. In contrast to defense spending, non-defense discretionary outlays declined sharply for much of the 1980s before climbing somewhat in the 1990s. Beyond discretionary spending, mandatory programs, which include Social Security, Medicare, deposit insurance, and means-tested entitlements (Medicaid, aid to dependent children, food stamps, and other programs subject to an income test) drove a larger part of the growth in Federal spending over the past fifteen years. While Social Security stabilized as a percent of GDP during this period, Federal spending for Medicare and Medicaid far outpaced the growth in GDP. In and of themselves, these changes in the priorities of Federal spending drove some important changes in the geography of Federal spending. For example, as the so-called peace dividend is reinvested from defense to non-defense expenditures, the country should see an adjustment in the geography of Federal expenditures from states that had successfully competed for defense contracts and military facilities toward states that are the recipients of other Federal spending. However, this simple comparison between FY 1983/84 spending and FY 1998/99 spending captures both the shifts that took place because of the shifting mix of expenditures (as the level of defense spending declined while other areas rose) and the shifts that took place because the geographic pattern within each area of spending shifted. For example, while defense spending in the nation as a whole fell in real terms by more than 40%, defense spending in Idaho, Ken38 tucky, and Oklahoma actually increased significantly over the period. Viewed against the average (downward) movement of the other states, the increase in defense spending in these states is even more significant. Thus, we want to separate the movement that resulted from the change in the average level of spending for the nation as a whole from the movement that took place because the state experienced a relative shift in its receipt of that spending. To separate these two components of change in the data across the fifteen years, we derived a “predicted value” for FY 1998/99 spending that would result from these changes in the aggregate level of Federal spending if the geography of Federal spending were otherwise left unchanged. That is, for each spending component, the predicted value for each state equals the actual FY 1983/84 spending (adjusted to constant 1999 dollars) plus the state’s share of the aggregate change in spending that has occurred over the past fifteen years. While overall Federal expenditures increased between FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99, the predicted value for any spending component can be higher or lower than the actual spending for FY 1983/84 (depending upon whether spending in that area grew or shrank). In defense, for example, the predicted value for FY 1998/99 will be far less than the cost-adjusted FY 1983/84 spending. Similarly, the significant increase in Medicare spending over this period implies that the predicted value for FY 1998/99 Medicare spending will be higher than the actual FY 1983/84 Medicare spending. States in which the actual FY 1998/99 spending fell below the predicted value lost Federal spending — in a relative sense, compared to other states — even if the absolute THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE level of spending increased between FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99. Picking up again on the Medicare example, nationwide Medicare spending increased by nearly 90 percent on average from FY 1983/84 to FY 1998/99 and the increase in every state was at least 47 percent. Despite this widespread gain, Medicare spending in fully half of the states fell below the predicted value; these 25 states were thus relative “losers” in the Medicare spending changes. Similarly, states in which the actual FY 1998/99 Federal spending exceeded the predicted value increased their share of Federal spending, although in some cases the absolute value of Federal spending declined from FY 1983/84 to FY 1998/99. Defense spending is the most striking example of this latter situation. In aggregate, defense spending fell from an average of about $1,235 in FY 1983/84 to about $830 per capita in FY 1998/99, a decline of more than 30%. Nonetheless, defense spending exceeded the predicted value in 30 states, and, in more than one-third of those states, defense spending exceeded the predicted value by more than 50 percent. These states were clear relative winners in the competition for defense spending, even as the country as a whole shifted its spending priorities away from military spending. Disaggregating the Overall Changes hile there is a good deal of stability from year to year in the balance of payments patterns reported in The Federal Budget and the States series, there have also been some areas with significant changes when we look across the sweep of the 15-year period from FY 1983/84 to FY 1998/99. These changes are the composite result of a series of “moving parts” — shifts W in the mix of spending across programs and shifts in the distribution of spending across states within programs. Do the changes mostly arise because there were significant shifts between programs, with different programs having significantly different spending patterns across the states? Or is most of the change driven by shifts in where the spending for individual programs is concentrated — that is, were there significant shifts in the geographic distribution within programs? To find out, we will first look at the degree to which the mix of spending across programs actually changed — and at how different the distribution of spending across states is in different programs. We will then see how important the changes in each area are as components of the changes in the overall picture. Finally, we will combine the changes in mix and the changes in geographic patterns of spending across states within programs to see how we can best account for the overall shifts observed between FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99. Shifts in the Mix of Federal Spending Across Programs e know from our earlier discussion that there have been significant shifts in the budget mix of Federal spending. Table 7 shows the budget mix divided between defense and non-defense spending for both FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99 and shows the breakdown within the non-defense areas in each period. Over the course of our study period, defense spending fell as a fraction of Federal spending by half, from about 26 percent to about 13 percent. By contrast, the shift among the other areas was relatively minor. Among the W 39 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 non-defense spending areas, Social Security and the residual category of “other” spending fell slightly as a percentage of the nondefense budget, and Medicare and grants rose slightly, but these shifts were small compared to the shift between defense and these four areas taken together. In and of itself, this shift alone would not produce much change in the overall outcome if the pattern of defense spending across the states was similar to the pattern of spending in other areas. As it turns out, the FY 1983/84 correlations among TABLE 7: Budget Percentages defense, grants, and “other” of Federal Spending by Area spending are relatively low — FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99 that is, a state’s relative standing FY 1983/84 FY 1998/99 Defense 26% 13% in defense tells us relatively little All Non-Defense 74 87 about how much it will receive Total 100% 100% in grants or in “other” spending. Detail: Percentages of These spending patterns are All Non-Defense Spending indeed quite different from one Social Security 33% 30% Medicare 12 16 another, and a shift from one Grants 20 21 category to another in the budOther spending 35 32 getary mix can therefore be Total 100% 100% expected to have significant impacts. Even more important, defense is moderately correlated with both Social Security and Medicare — but negatively, which implies that states with high defense spending have differentially low receipts in Social Security and Medicare. This means that as funds shift away from defense, states with formerly high defense spending will tend not to experience offsetting growth in Social Security and Medicare — thus exacerbating the impacts of the budget shift. Thus, budget mix — at least as between defense and non-defense spending — shifted substantially over the 15-year period, and the area from which it shifted had a significantly different pattern of spending across the states than the areas to which it shifted. 40 We should anticipate, then, that the change in the balance of payments outcomes attributable to the shift in the mix of the Federal budget will be a substantial component of the overall story. Shifts in the Geographic Patterns Within Program Areas o see how important changes in the geographic patterns of spending within program areas are in generating the overall changes in balance of payments outcomes across the period, we must look at each spending area separately and see how significantly its pattern was altered across the period. It is useful to assess both (a) how variable its pattern is across the states; and (b) how much its pattern changed across the 15 years. Areas with relatively little volatility across the states play a subdued role in the overall determination of the balance of payments results. And even areas with substantial volatility will not play a large role in explaining the changes over time unless they shifted significantly over the 15-year period. One way to assess the amount of variability in different spending areas is to examine how much difference there is from state to state in per capita spending received compared to the national average — that is, we T TABLE 8: Variability of Spending Areas and Taxes, FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99 and Index of FY 1983/84–FY 1998/99 Change FY1983/84 Variability FY 1998/99 FY 1983/84 to Variability FY 1998/99 Change Defense Social Security Medicare Grants Other Spending 100 28 34 28 33 105 22 31 30 34 49 12 18 14 17 TOTAL SPENDING 19 19 15 TAXES 16 17 11 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE FORMING INDICES OF VARIATION AND CHANGE In this section, we create a basic measure of each state’s relative standing, compared to the national average, for each spending area and for taxes. This measure characterizes each state’s position by its percentage deviation from the national average. It thus shows, through a measure that is independent of the actual spending level, how different the receipts or tax payments of each state are from the others. This measure can be used to form an index of the variation across the states at any given time within each spending area (or for Federal tax payments). A small index of variation would indicate that all states are tightly clustered (in percentage terms) around the national average; a larger index would show that states are more widely scattered around the average. Technically, the measure we use to indicate the amount of variability is the standard deviation of the natural logarithm of the percentage difference from the average. By taking the natural logarithm, we treat multiplicative deviations in each direction as equal (that is, a doubling is considered to be the same size shift as a halving). The standard deviation of the natural logarithms of each state’s percentage deviation from the national average measures how far the typical state is from the average. It is more intuitive to express this standard deviation after converting it back into a multiplicative factor, which shows by what factor the typical state varies from the national average — that is, how “far” the typical state is, in a multiplicative sense, from the national average. A value of 30 indicates that the typical state varies from the national average — either above or below — by a factor of 1.30. A value of 10 would indicate that the average state is within a factor of 1.10 of the average — that is, no more than 10 percent from the average in one direction or the other. Generally, slightly more than half of the states will have deviations that are equal to or smaller than this average. We can use the same kind of measure to assess how much change the typical state has experienced, when compared to other states, in its receipts of spending in a given area (or in its payments of Federal taxes). To do so, we focus on the change in each state’s relative standing (again compared to the national average in each year). Take, for example, a state that stood 20 percent above the national average in defense spending in FY 1983/84, and suppose that it increased to 30 percent above the national average by FY 1998/99. The factor by which its relative standing has changed is thus 1.3/1.2 = 1.083. Forming this ratio for each state shows the range of changes experienced by different states over the period. Converting these to natural logarithms (again, so as to treat increases and decreases symmetrically), we can compute the standard deviation of this state-by-state list of changes in relative standing, and then convert the standard deviation back into a multiplicative factor. This gives the average multiplicative factor by which a state’s relative standing in the given area changed over the 15-year period. The “index of change” used in this section gives this factor as a percentage value. Thus, an index of change of 10 would indicate that the typical state changed its standing, compared to the national average, by a factor of 1.10, and that slightly more than half of the states are likely to have experienced changes by a factor of 1.10 or less over the period. If all states maintained exactly the same relative standing across the period, then the index of change would be 0, corresponding to a multiplicative factor of 1.00, indicating that the typical state experienced no change at all in its relative position compared to the national average. The index of change should be thought of as a percentage of the national average, so that an index of 25 indicates that the typical state changed its standing relative to the national average by 25 percent of the national average or less over the period. 32 The sidenote, “Forming Indices of Variation and Change” explains in more technical detail how we formed the measures used in this section. can focus on the percentage variability in spending (or taxes) compared to the national average. In a similar way, we can assess the amount of change experienced by the average state in each area between FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99.32 Table 8 shows an index of the variability of each spending area together with an index of the amount of change experienced by the average state between FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99 in each area. Several results are immediately apparent from Table 8: (1) Defense spending is considerably more volatile in both FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99 than any other component of spending — and its volatility increased slightly over the period. States are widely dispersed around the national average; a randomly selected state is likely to have per capita spending either double or half the national average. Dollar for dollar, defense spending imparts three times as much variation among the states as any other spending area. (2) The other spending components are much less volatile than defense, and about as volatile as one another. States are moderately clustered around the national average in all of these areas. The typical state departs from the national average, in either direction, by approximately one-third. (3) Total spending is even more stable than its most stable components. The typical state differs in total per capita spending from the national average, in either direction, by about onefifth. In spite of the variability of the other areas, and particularly the high variability of defense spending, total spending is relatively narrowly dis41 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 tributed across the states. This implies that, on balance, variations in the individual spending areas on average tend to cancel each other out, leaving the total more tightly distributed around the national average than the components. (4) Taxes are even more tightly distributed around the national average than is spending, with the typical state varying from the average by about one-sixth. This reflects the relatively tight distribution of per capita income around the national average. In both FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99, the variability index for per capita income was only 12, lower than the variability index associated with taxes and substantially lower than any component of Federal spending. (5) In addition to being more variable in both FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99, defense spending also changes considerably more across the period than do other forms of spending. The typical state changes how far it is from the national average by a factor of 1.5; in the other spending areas, typical changes are only by a factor of 1.1 to 1.2. 33 Note how different the map for defense spending (Figure 14A, page 30) is from the maps for the other spending areas in Figure 14. 42 Thus, defense spending is, dollar for dollar, a much more powerful engine of different fiscal outcomes across the states in both FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99 than any other spending area. In addition, the shifts in defense spending (again on a dollar-for-dollar basis) over the 15-year period resulted in considerably more change in the relative fiscal standing of the states than the changes in any other area. Defense drives the outcomes, considerably in excess of what would be suggested by its budget share. And defense spending also shifted considerably more than proportionately to its budget share. Shifts Between Programs versus Shifts Within Programs s the preceding discussion highlights, there have been significant changes both in the budget mix of Federal spending and in the geographic pattern of spending within various spending areas — each of which can be anticipated to contribute importantly to the overall shifts in the balance of payments outcomes over the period. How much of the overall change does each of these components explain? Not surprisingly, neither simple explanation by itself accounts for a very large fraction of the overall change — each is important, neither is dominant, and, importantly, the total change is more than the sum of its parts. If we use the FY 1983/84 spending patterns, and allow only the budget mix to shift, we account for only about one-fifth of the total changes that actually took place. And if we use the FY 1983/84 budget mix, allowing only the spending patterns in each spending area to change to their FY 1998/99 patterns, we account for only about onefourth of the actual change. Thus, both the change in spending patterns within each spending area and the shift between defense and the other four spending areas is important in explaining the overall outcome — and, importantly, most of the explanation lies in the interaction of the two, not in either by itself. The shift away from defense spending is important because defense spending has a highly variable and distinctive pattern across the states.33 And not only did the level of defense spending change, but its pattern also shifted significantly. The other areas experienced smaller changes in A THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE TABLE 9: Total Expenditures, FY 1998/99 % Change from Predicted Value AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY 17% 8 -1 10 -25 1 -23 0 4 2 -8 8 4 8 32 -6 29 25 12 3 -14 6 -2 2 -14 29 8 -23 -20 -4 0 -5 21 19 8 25 3 8 3 10 22 9 11 -19 4 2 -17 33 5 21 Change from Predicted Value (1999$ in billions) $4.1 0.4 (0.4) 1.4 (53.9) 0.1 (5.2) 0.0 3.1 0.6 (0.6) 0.5 2.3 2.0 4.0 (1.0) 5.7 5.1 0.8 1.3 (5.2) 2.7 (0.5) 0.4 (5.8) 1.4 0.7 (2.3) (1.2) (1.5) (0.0) (4.5) 7.0 0.8 3.8 4.1 0.5 4.8 0.2 2.0 0.9 2.8 10.4 (2.2) 0.1 1.4 (6.4) 3.0 1.0 0.5 % Change Change from from FY 1983/84 FY 1983/84 Actuals (1999$ in billions) 35% 25 14 27 -14 16 -11 15 19 17 6 24 20 24 52 8 49 43 29 19 0 22 13 17 -1 49 25 -11 -8 11 15 10 39 37 24 44 19 24 19 26 40 26 28 -7 19 18 -5 53 20 39 $7.3 0.9 3.1 3.1 (25.5) 2.9 (2.2) 0.5 14.7 6.1 0.4 1.3 9.3 5.3 5.6 1.1 8.2 7.8 1.6 6.8 (0.2) 8.3 2.5 2.6 (0.3) 2.0 1.8 (1.0) (0.4) 3.4 1.8 7.9 11.3 1.3 10.5 6.2 2.5 12.9 0.9 4.7 1.5 6.8 22.9 (0.7) 0.5 9.1 (1.5) 4.2 4.0 0.8 their spending patterns, but their distinctive differences from the FY 1983/84 defense spending pattern became important as funds shifted away from defense and their shares of the budget increased. In the next sections, we examine the shifts that took place in each of the spending areas and in tax payments in more detail. A Closer Look at the Changes in Federal Spending iven the growth in overall Federal expenditures, most states saw real Federal expenditures increase substantially between FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99. Table 9 shows a summary of FY 1998/99 spending as compared to the “predicted value” and actual FY 1983/84 spending. Forty-two states experienced an increase in per capita Federal spending, ranging from a little more than $300 per capita in Hawaii to more than $2,300 per capita in West Virginia. Only eight states experienced a decline in real Federal spending; the shortfall in three states — California, Nevada, and Connecticut — exceeded $500 per capita. California had the largest per capita spending decline in the country, a fall of 14 percent in constant dollars from the average per capita Federal spending received in FY 1983/84. Adjusting for inflation, Federal spending in California was $25.5 billion lower in FY 1998/99 than it was in FY 1983/84. The contrast is even more striking when one compares actual Federal spending in FY 1998/99 to what California would have received if the state had received a proportionate share of the increase in Federal spending that took place in aggregate around the country. This comparison produces a relative shortfall of nearly $54 billion. G 43 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 TABLE 10: Defense, FY 1998/99 % Change from Predicted Value 34 For the purpose of this analysis, defense spending is defined as the sum of Department of Defense salaries and wages, Department of Defense procurement contracts, and Department of Energy defense-related activities. Department of Defense grants to state and local governments are captured within the aggregate data on “Grants” and spending for military retirement is included within the data for “Other Federal Expenditures.” 44 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY 68% 49 36 -41 -40 60 -36 -32 11 25 30 124 15 -21 31 -30 105 8 71 30 -35 -41 -27 -11 -21 39 28 -19 -56 -11 63 -54 30 38 -1 76 27 7 8 22 36 32 5 -32 -8 56 -7 116 -20 75 Change from Predicted Value (1999$ in billions) $1.7 0.4 1.2 (0.4) (17.2) 1.7 (1.8) (0.1) 1.0 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 (0.6) 0.1 (0.8) 1.6 0.2 0.5 2.0 (2.3) (1.2) (0.5) (0.3) (1.6) 0.1 0.2 (0.3) (0.6) (0.4) 1.5 (4.9) 1.1 0.1 (0.0) 1.3 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.8 0.1 0.6 0.7 (0.5) (0.0) 7.9 (0.5) 0.2 (0.2) 0.1 % Change Change from from FY 1983/84 FY 1983/84 Actuals (1999$ in billions) -4% -15 -22 -66 -66 -9 -63 -61 -37 -29 -26 28 -34 -55 -25 -60 17 -38 -2 -26 -63 -67 -58 -49 -55 -20 -27 -54 -75 -49 -7 -74 -26 -21 -43 0 -28 -39 -39 -30 -23 -25 -40 -61 -47 -11 -47 23 -55 0 $(0.2) (0.2) (1.3) (1.2) (49.8) (0.4) (5.7) (0.4) (5.9) (3.2) (0.9) 0.2 (1.6) (2.8) (0.2) (2.8) 0.5 (1.4) (0.0) (2.9) (7.1) (3.3) (2.1) (2.4) (7.4) (0.1) (0.3) (1.3) (1.3) (3.3) (0.3) (11.7) (1.6) (0.1) (3.4) 0.0 (0.2) (3.2) (0.4) (1.8) (0.1) (0.9) (10.2) (1.8) (0.2) (2.6) (5.6) 0.1 (1.0) 0.0 Eight states experienced double-digit percentage declines when compared to the predicted value for total Federal spending. Three of these states were in New England — Connecticut, New Hampshire, and Massachusetts — and four other states were in the Far West — California, Nevada, Utah, and Washington. Missouri was the only state outside of these two regions to experience a sharp decline in per capita Federal spending. In each of these eight states, defense spending was a primary driver of the overall shortfall in spending. Moreover, as we saw in Table 8, defense spending exhibits about three times the volatility across states as the other spending areas and its geographic pattern changed three to four times as much as those of other areas, so it is likely to contribute an important part of the explanation of the 15-year changes. With this in mind, we turn our discussion to the geographic impacts of defense spending. Defense 34 ationwide, defense spending declined dramatically between FY 1983/84 and FY 1998/99. Table 10 shows the actual percentage changes in defense spending across the period for each state, together with the difference between actual FY 1998/99 spending and “predicted” defense spending based on FY 1983/84 spending adjusted for the change in the national average. Per capita defense spending declined by more than 40 percent in real terms, from an average of $1,235 per capita in FY 1983/84 to an average of $705 in FY 1998/99 (all figures in cost-adjusted 1999 dollars). Forty-five of the fifty states experienced declines in per capita defense spending. Only three states — Idaho, N THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE Source: United States General Accounting Office, “Military Bases: Lessons Learned from Prior Base Closure Rounds,” July 1997. This table relies on the Department of Defense’s characterization of which bases are to be considered major and which are closures versus realignments. Major base realignments are excluded from the table. 35 See United States General Accounting Office, “Military Bases: Lessons Learned from Prior Base Closures,” Report to the Congress, GAO/NSIAD97-151 for background on the base closing process through 1995. 36 The Department of Defense has until 2001 to complete the BRAC actions identified by the commission. Two of the 97 bases identified for closure or realignment were in Guam. 37 Letter from John B. Goodman, Deputy Under Secretary of Defense to Henry L. Hinton, Jr., Assistant Comptroller General, United States General Accounting Office, July 8, 1977 as contained in GAO/NSIAD-97-151, page 59. 38 GAO/NSIAD-97-151, page 7. The GAO report also notes that 23,000 of the employees have found jobs in other defense or other government activities and that several Federal programs and grants are available to help soften the blow of base closures. West Virginia, and Kentucky — had significant increases when compared to the FY 1983/84 spending level. At the other end of the spectrum, the per capita defense spending in ten states declined by more than 60 percent from the cost-adjusted FY 1983/84 levels. In two of these states, New Hampshire and New York, the decline from actual FY 1983/84 defense spending was about 75 percent. TABLE 11: It is striking to look at Major Base the loss in actual spending Closings in states with significant CA 24 FL 7 losses in defense activity. MA 6 California, for example, NV 5 would have received NC 5 approximately $50 billion IN 4 VT 4 in additional defense IL 4 spending annually if the FY SD 4 1983/84 per capita spendMI 3 ing level had continued in UT 3 TX 3 real terms. California’s popAR 2 ulation has increased by CT 2 nearly 30 percent over the WA 2 time period, which PA 2 NM 2 accounts for a portion of HI 2 the $50 billion. But even if MT 2 California’s population had NY 1 not increased from FY DE 1 KS 1 1983/84 levels, California MN 1 would have received nearly NJ 1 $40 billion in additional LA 1 defense spending if the NE 1 CO 1 FY 1983/84 spending level WY 1 had continued in real terms. New York experienced the second largest decline in annual defense spending from FY 1983/84 to FY 1998/99 — almost $12 billion — and the population of New York was almost unchanged during this period. Defense Salaries and Wages Military base closures have been a key element in the decline in defense spending following the end of the Cold War. Closing unneeded defense facilities has historically been difficult because of concern about the economic impacts of base closings on local communities and the political nature of the decision-making process. No one questions that defense expenditures have implications that go beyond defense concerns alone, and these “pork barrel issues” were one of the reasons that base closing decisions were stalemated throughout the 1980s. However, in 1988, Congress, with the approval of the President, delegated the authority to a special commission to identify bases for realignment and closure and in 1991, 1993, and 1995 authorized three additional rounds of base closing recommendations through independent commissions. Base Closure and Realignment Commission (BRAC) recommendations must be accepted or rejected by the President and Congress in their entirety.35 In total, 97 out of a total of 495 major domestic military bases were recommended for closure and/or realignment by the four BRAC commissions, and only four of these recommendations remain uncompleted at the time of this report.36 BRAC savings are substantial; the Department of Defense anticipates annual recurring savings of $5.6 billion beginning in FY 2002.37 The bulk of these savings will come from approximately 107,000 civilian defense jobs that will have been eliminated as a result of the four BRAC rounds.38 Table 11 identifies the number of installations in each state that were identified by the BRAC commission. Twenty-four of the bases identified were in California, and four 45 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 TABLE 12: Defense Salaries, FY 1998/99 % Change from Predicted Value AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY 46 -1% 31 -19 -7 -34 3 -17 4 -3 15 2 8 17 -11 51 8 26 16 56 19 -36 -33 20 25 -6 30 2 -38 -80 -24 -10 -7 19 35 -2 28 9 -27 50 -25 -4 -21 7 -33 31 5 13 75 -3 65 Change from Predicted Value (1999$ in billions) $(0.02) 0.15 (0.23) (0.03) (3.99) 0.05 (0.07) 0.01 (0.13) 0.47 0.04 0.02 0.25 (0.07) 0.04 0.06 0.31 0.13 0.13 0.46 (0.23) (0.22) 0.04 0.21 (0.06) 0.04 0.01 (0.20) (0.34) (0.30) (0.08) (0.07) 0.54 0.09 (0.03) 0.37 0.02 (0.50) 0.12 (0.55) (0.01) (0.12) 0.36 (0.32) 0.01 0.42 0.30 0.06 (0.01) 0.06 % Change Change from from FY 1983/84 FY 1983/84 Actuals (1999$ in billions) -35% -14 -46 -38 -56 -32 -45 -32 -36 -24 -32 -29 -23 -41 -1 -29 -17 -23 3 -21 -58 -56 -21 -17 -38 -14 -33 -59 -87 -50 -41 -39 -22 -11 -35 -16 -28 -52 -1 -51 -37 -48 -30 -56 -14 -31 -26 15 -36 9 $(0.82) (0.10) (0.85) (0.23) (10.11) (0.65) (0.27) (0.09) (2.09) (1.16) (0.85) (0.09) (0.49) (0.41) (0.00) (0.33) (0.31) (0.27) 0.01 (0.77) (0.56) (0.57) (0.06) (0.21) (0.61) (0.03) (0.22) (0.48) (0.56) (0.94) (0.48) (0.58) (0.95) (0.04) (0.75) (0.33) (0.08) (1.43) (0.00) (1.69) (0.10) (0.41) (2.43) (0.82) (0.01) (3.83) (0.91) 0.02 (0.12) 0.01 other states — Texas, Pennsylvania, New York, and Illinois — had five or more base closing decisions within their borders. With this backdrop of base closings and realignment, it is not surprising that all but five states have experienced a “double-digit” percentage decline when we compare FY 1998/99 Department of Defense salaries and wages with comparable inflation-adjusted information for FY 1983/84, as in Table 12. West Virginia, Wyoming, and Maine were the only states to experience an increase in defense spending for salaries and wages, and Iowa and Rhode Island had very small percentage declines. Nine states saw Federal spending for Department of Defense salaries and wages fall by more than 50 percent. New Hampshire experienced the largest decline in the country, an 87 percent decline from FY 1983/84 to the most current fiscal years. Nevada, Massachusetts, California, Utah, Michigan, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and New Jersey also experienced real declines in Federal spending for Department of Defense salaries that exceeded 50 percent. While the geographic shifts in defense salaries were undoubtedly affected by the base closing decisions in the first four rounds, base closings were not the only determinant of the shifts. Nevada was spared any base closings yet ended up with an approximately 60 percent decline in Department of Defense salaries and wages while seven bases were closed in Texas and the decline in Department of Defense salaries there was only about 30 percent. Similarly, Illinois had five base closings yet Federal spending has declined by less than 25 percent. The average decline across the states was about 30 percent. THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE TABLE 13: Defense Procurement, FY 1998/99 % Change from Predicted Value AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY 162% 65 76 -59 -40 117 -31 -61 28 34 86 226 3 -17 37 -42 313 9 88 41 -27 -39 -24 -20 -16 40 70 7 -37 1 30 -61 27 25 0 180 43 30 -24 123 149 56 6 -34 -6 117 -36 62 -18 65 Change from Predicted Value (1999$ in billions) $1.64 0.22 1.53 (0.38) (11.52) 1.31 (1.30) (0.14) 1.41 1.08 0.37 0.12 0.03 (0.35) 0.13 (0.75) 1.23 0.12 0.36 1.61 (1.43) (0.77) (0.40) (0.37) (0.91) 0.03 0.10 0.02 (0.21) 0.02 0.14 (4.37) 0.23 0.03 (0.01) 0.75 0.09 0.79 (0.07) 0.54 0.06 0.45 0.53 (0.26) (0.01) 7.15 (1.37) 0.04 (0.14) 0.03 % Change Change from from FY 1983/84 FY 1983/84 Actuals (1999$ in billions) 32% -17 -11 -80 -70 10 -65 -80 -36 -32 -6 65 -48 -58 -31 -71 109 -45 -5 -29 -63 -69 -62 -59 -58 -29 -14 -46 -68 -49 -35 -80 -36 -37 -50 42 -28 -34 -61 13 26 -21 -46 -67 -53 10 -68 -18 -59 -16 $0.65 (0.11) (0.45) (1.00) (39.66) 0.22 (5.44) (0.35) (3.60) (2.05) (0.05) 0.07 (1.21) (2.37) (0.21) (2.52) 0.85 (1.18) (0.04) (2.20) (6.58) (2.69) (2.02) (2.24) (6.40) (0.04) (0.04) (0.21) (0.78) (2.36) (0.32) (11.38) (0.63) (0.09) (2.57) 0.34 (0.12) (1.82) (0.38) 0.11 0.02 (0.33) (7.76) (1.01) (0.17) 1.18 (5.04) (0.03) (0.90) (0.01) Defense Procurement Defense procurement represents the largest expenditure item in the domestic allocable expenditures for the Department of Defense. In cost-adjusted 1999 dollars, nationwide spending for defense procurement averaged more than $190 billion annually in FY 1983/84. Fifteen years later, the comparable figure for FY 1998/99 defense procurement had declined by about $80 billion annually. The impacts of this 42 percent decline in defense procurement have not been evenly distributed across the states. The defense contracting industry has changed significantly over the past 15 years as major weapons suppliers have consolidated and the location of military work has been shifted to new plants. Eight states saw an increase in per capita defense procurement when we compare the data for FY 1998/99 with comparable data for FY 1983/84, as in Table 13. Defense procurement in Kentucky more than doubled and procurement increased by 25 percent or more in Idaho, Oklahoma, Alabama, and South Dakota. On the other hand, defense procurement declined by 45 percent or more in nearly half of the states. New York, Delaware, and Arkansas saw defense contracts fall by 80 percent; Kansas and California had only slightly smaller percentage declines. In fact, these percentage declines may understate the real impact on these states, since defense spending had not reached its peak in FY 1983/84. Social Security ocial Security recently celebrated its 65th anniversary as a cornerstone of the nation’s effort to provide workers with a reasonable income after retirement. In the years since the Social Security Act was S 47 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 TABLE 14: Social Security, FY 1998/99 % Change from Predicted Value AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY 48 14% 69 -6 9 -12 8 -2 3 -4 2 10 0 -3 3 5 3 14 23 1 0 -8 2 -2 15 3 7 2 8 -4 -8 13 -10 14 12 4 16 -8 -1 -6 22 3 12 10 1 1 8 -10 20 0 43 Change from Predicted Value (1999$ in billions) $0.9 0.2 (0.4) 0.4 (5.1) 0.3 (0.1) 0.0 (1.0) 0.2 0.1 0.0 (0.5) 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 (0.7) 0.3 (0.1) 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 (0.1) (0.9) 0.3 (2.7) 1.4 0.1 0.7 0.7 (0.4) (0.1) (0.1) 1.1 0.0 0.9 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 (0.8) 0.6 (0.0) 0.2 % Change Change from from FY 1983/84 FY 1983/84 Actuals (1999$ in billions) 39% 106 15 32 7 32 19 25 18 24 35 22 18 26 28 25 40 50 23 22 12 25 20 40 26 31 25 32 17 12 38 10 39 36 27 41 13 21 14 48 26 36 34 23 23 31 10 46 21 74 $2.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.2 4.3 1.9 0.3 0.3 2.6 1.9 1.1 0.8 1.8 2.0 0.3 1.2 0.9 3.2 1.1 1.2 1.9 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 1.3 0.6 2.2 3.3 0.3 3.7 1.5 0.6 3.6 0.2 1.9 0.2 2.3 5.9 0.4 0.2 2.1 0.6 1.2 1.5 0.3 signed in 1935, the program was broadened to include survivors benefits and disability benefits in addition to retirement insurance. Today, approximately 61 percent of total Social Security benefits are paid as retirement insurance, 19 percent as survivors insurance and 13 percent as disability insurance. In 1972, Congress expanded Social Security by creating the Supplemental Security Income program to consolidate responsibility for programs that had been administered by state and local governments. Supplemental Security Income payments totaled approximately $28 billion in FY 1999 (approximately 7 percent of Social Security). The analysis in the following paragraphs concentrates on the three traditional categories of Social Security and does not include SSI payments. Nationwide, Social Security spending increased from about $275 billion in FY 1983/84 to about $385 billion in FY 1998/99 (all figures expressed in 1999 dollars).Table 14 shows the 15-year actual changes and the difference between FY 1998/99 spending and “predicted” spending for the Social Security program. On a per capita basis, Social Security increased by about 22%, from an average of about $1,150 in FY 1983/84 to an average of about $1,425 in FY 1998/99. Every state saw an increase in Social Security spending when actual FY 1998/99 spending is compared to actual FY 1983/84. The smallest per capita increases were in the far western states — California, Washington, and Oregon — and in a few states on the northeast coast — New York, Massachusetts, and New Jersey. In California, for example, the per capita increase in Social Security was only about 7 percent. Approximately two-thirds of the states experienced per capita increases between 20 per- THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE WA ME Figure 17 FY 1998/99 Social Security MT ND ID VT NY WI SD from Predicted Value MI WY KEY More than 10% above PA IA NE NV UT predicted value More than 10% below MI MN OR Spending — Difference IL OH IN KS WV MO OK NM TX AK cent and 40 percent. At the other end of the spectrum, two small population states — Alaska and Wyoming — saw the largest percentage increases in Social Security spending (an increase of more than 100 percent in Alaska and approximately 75 percent in Wyoming). Four other states saw increases of more than 40 percent — Louisiana, South Carolina, West Virginia, and Oklahoma. Variations from the predicted values for Social Security were relatively small. Per capita Social Security spending fell below the predicted value in only 14 states and even then the variance was generally less than 10 percent. Only California, New York, and Washington saw Social Security spending decline by more than 10 percent from the predicted value. In the states where Social Security spending exceeded the predicted value, most increases were also modest, with twenty states experiencing increases of 10 percent or less. The map in Figure 17 highlights the states where Social Security spending was different from the predicted value by more than 10 percent. NC TN AR SC MS HI VA KY predicted value AZ NJ DE MD CO CA NH MA CT RI AL GA LA FL With the exception of three states with populations of less than one million residents (Alaska, Wyoming, and North Dakota), all of the states where Social Security spending was more than 10 percent higher than the predicted value are in the South. Since Social Security is primarily a program that is designed to assist the elderly, we looked at the correlation between per capita spending in each state and the proportion of each state’s population that was aged 65 and over. As might be expected, we found a strong positive correlation between the proportion of elderly residents in each state and per capita Social Security spending. In FY 1983/84, the simple correlation for the combined retirement, survivors and disability programs was 0.95; by FY 1998/99, the same correlation had fallen to 0.81. Among the components of Social Security, we find that the retirement program produces the strongest positive correlation with the percentage of elderly residents in each state, a result that has changed only slightly in the past fifteen years. Over time, however, the 49 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 TABLE 15: Comparing FY 1998/99 and FY 1983/84 Social Security Benefits % Change Avg. 65+ Population as a % of State Population AK HI WY NV SC NM DE LA WV CO MT ND OH MD PA NC MI CT VA UT OK RI NJ AL IN AZ TX ME KY ID NY CA IA MA IL TN SD VT NH OR MS WI FL WA NE KS MO MN AR GA 50 91.0% 49.2 44.7 24.6 22.1 21.7 20.0 19.8 16.9 15.8 15.6 15.5 13.8 13.7 13.7 13.5 13.4 13.1 12.8 12.3 12.1 10.2 9.9 9.1 8.9 8.5 8.2 8.2 7.0 6.7 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.5 2.5 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 Change Avg. Social Security Benefits Per Capita $316 259 591 323 497 345 299 457 649 261 361 403 327 230 291 433 320 249 310 175 455 194 156 443 319 184 295 277 457 235 120 69 366 150 207 409 319 258 191 163 434 276 285 112 297 308 335 230 420 242 % Change Avg. Social Security Benefits Per Capita 109.2% 33.7 71.6 33.1 47.1 37.5 24.6 48.4 44.7 31.4 30.6 35.2 26.8 22.7 20.5 38.6 24.5 20.1 31.6 22.6 40.3 14.4 12.6 37.7 25.1 15.1 33.1 22.8 38.8 21.3 9.8 6.9 26.2 12.8 17.4 35.0 25.1 22.4 16.8 12.2 38.9 20.8 17.5 9.8 23.6 24.2 25.0 19.8 31.1 24.1 retirement program has become a smaller proportion of total Social Security spending. The largest proportionate increase has been in the disability program, which has the least direct tie to elderly residents. In FY 1998/99, the simple correlation between the proportion of elderly residents in each state and per capita disability spending was only 0.29. We compared the shift in the distribution of per capita Social Security benefits to the change in the proportion of elderly residents in each state. If Social Security benefits are following the elderly as they shift residences, then the increases in per capita spending should track closely with increases in the elderly population. The results of this calculation are in Table 15; the states with the largest increases in elderly residents as a proportion of statewide population are shown at the top of the table. If the geographic shift in Social Security benefits is a result of shifts in the location of elderly Americans, then the changes in per capita spending should track closely with the changes in elderly residents. There is nothing in Table 15 to suggest that this is the case, however. Several states with small increases in elderly population as a proportion of statewide population have experienced large increases in per capita Social Security benefits. Arkansas, Mississippi, South Dakota, Kentucky, Texas, and Alabama all had less than a 10 percent increase in elderly residents as a proportion of statewide population, yet experienced increases in per capita Social Security spending that exceeded 30 percent. Some of the explanation for the geographic shift may also stem from the periodic changes in the eligibility criteria and administration of the Social Security program. In 1950, 15 years after Social Security was enacted, only 50 percent of the nation’s THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE TABLE 16: Medicare, FY 1998/99 workers were covered under the program. Shortly thereafter, major amendments were enacted that raised benefits and placed the program on the road to virtually universal coverage. Later in the 1950s, Congress broadened the scope of the disability programs and extended the coverage to workers under age 50 and their dependents. In 1961, the retirement age for men was lowered to sixty-two and amendments adopted in 1980 made many changes in the disability program. Congress enacted other changes during the past 15 years, including the first coverage of Federal employees, increases in the retirement age, and further changes in the eligibility criteria for disability benefits.39 A detailed analysis of these changes is unfortunately outside of the scope of this analysis. Indeed, it is likely that given the time-lag between the enactment of programmatic changes and the payment of benefits to eligible workers, the geographic shift in Social Security benefits that we observe may have its roots in changes adopted by the Congress decades ago to provide coverage to a broader group of American workers. Medicare edicare spending has increased steadily from the inception of the program in the late 1960s, and the increases have been sharpest over the past fifteen years. Two driving forces, of course, have been the aging American population and the rapid escalation in the costs for medical treatment and procedures. In 1980, approximately 10.8 percent of the U.S. population was aged 65 or older; by the turn of the century, 12.0 percent of the population had reached that age and Medicare was providing coverage for 97 percent of older Americans.40 In addition, program eligibil- M 39 See Social Security Commission, A Brief History of Social Security, August 2000, for a discussion of the development of Social Security. 40 Health Care Financing Administration, “Medicare 2000: 35 Years of Improving Americans’ Health and Security,” July 2000, pages 12 and 16. % Change from Predicted Value AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY 23% 31 -2 9 -14 -4 10 2 2 16 7 -1 -9 2 -8 -13 25 80 -15 1 -3 -9 -15 28 -3 0 -14 -22 -14 -4 -2 -5 18 -13 2 18 -21 6 -7 27 -11 26 10 5 -15 2 -8 25 -16 28 Change from Predicted Value (1999$ in billions) $0.8 0.0 (0.1) 0.2 (4.0) (0.1) 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 (0.0) (0.9) 0.1 (0.2) (0.3) 0.6 2.0 (0.1) 0.0 (0.2) (0.8) (0.5) 0.5 (0.2) 0.0 (0.2) (0.3) (0.1) (0.3) (0.0) (0.7) 0.8 (0.1) 0.2 0.4 (0.5) 0.7 (0.1) 0.5 (0.1) 1.0 1.3 0.0 (0.1) 0.1 (0.3) 0.4 (0.6) 0.1 % Change Change from from FY 1983/84 FY 1983/84 Actuals (1999$ in billions) 131% 146 84 106 61 80 107 93 91 118 101 87 72 93 73 64 135 239 60 90 83 71 59 141 82 89 63 47 62 81 85 79 122 64 92 121 49 100 75 138 68 136 107 98 61 93 73 136 58 142 $2.3 0.1 1.5 1.2 9.0 0.9 1.4 0.3 8.7 2.8 0.3 0.3 3.9 2.1 0.9 0.8 1.8 3.1 0.3 1.9 2.5 3.4 1.1 1.4 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 2.8 0.4 6.6 2.9 0.2 4.3 1.6 0.7 6.2 0.4 1.5 0.2 2.8 7.2 0.4 0.1 2.0 1.3 1.0 1.3 0.2 51 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 Figure 18 FY 1998/99 Medicare WA Spending — Difference ME MT from Predicted Value ND MI MN OR KEY ID More than 15% above MI WY More than 15% below PA IA NE NV predicted value UT IL OH IN KS AZ NM TX AK ity has been expanded over time. Although Medicare was established as a program to insure elderly Americans against the cost of health care, Medicare was expanded in the early 1970s to include individuals with disabilities who qualified for Social Security Disability Insurance. Medicare’s benefit package has also changed over time. In the early 1980s, Medicare’s home health benefit was expanded and hospice benefits for the terminally ill were added. More recently, Congress has expanded the Medicare program to add preventive benefits such as pap smears, flu shots, and certain forms of cancer screening and diagnosis.41 Medicare spending nearly doubled in real terms over the fifteen years that we consider in this retrospective. Table 16 shows the actual spending changes across the 15-year period and the deviation from “predicted” Medicare spending in FY 1998/99. FY 1983/84 Medicare spending was approximately $415 per capita (in 1999 dollars); by FY 1998/99, comparable spending had increased to nearly $800 per capita. Every VA KY NC TN AR SC MS HI NJ DE WV MO OK NH MA CT RI MD CO CA 52 NY WI SD predicted value 41 See Health Care Financing Administration, July 2000, for an overview of the Medicare program. VT AL GA LA FL state saw an increase of at least 47 percent in per capita Medicare spending when the FY1998/99 data is compared to the FY1983/84 figures. Louisiana saw an increase of nearly 240 percent and three other states (Alaska, Wyoming, and Mississippi) experienced increases in excess of 140 percent. When we adjust for this average widespread gain by using our “predicted” spending, per capita Medicare spending in half of the states fell below the predicted value; these 25 states were the relative losers in the Medicare spending changes. With a few exceptions, variations from the predicted value were modest. Looked at in a slightly different way, the actual FY 1998/99 per capita Medicare spending in 26 states fell within 10 percent of the predicted value (in either direction). The map in Figure 18 highlights the states where per capita Medicare spending was more than 15 percent higher or lower than the predicted value. The geographic concentration of states with increased Medicare spending is THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE TABLE 17: Comparing FY1998/99 and FY1983/84 Medicare Benefits 42 In FY 1999, Medicare spent an average of $5,410 per beneficiary. See Health Care Financing Administration, July 2000, page 13. striking. Ten of the twelve states where the actual FY 1998/99 per capita Medicare spending exceeded the predicted values by more than 15 percent were in the South. Medicare is an entitlement program with direct payments to individuals that are transportable between states. Although Congress sets the eligibility criteria and benefit levels, it does not directly control the state-specific allocation of the Federal spending. Since the Medicare program is designed to assist the elderly, one would expect that the geographic distribution of Medicare benefits would depend to a great extent on the proportion of elderly residents in each state. Extending this point to our 15-year retrospective, one plausible explanation for the geographic concentration noted in the preceding paragraph would be that there has been a shift of elderly residents to the states in which per capita Medicare spending increased the most. Stated differently, while the per capita spending level may have increased substantially, the average spending per beneficiary may show less variation.42 To assess the validity of this explanation, we looked at the correlation between the per capita Medicare spending in each state and the proportion of each state’s population that was aged 65 and over. As one would expect, there is a strong positive correlation between the proportion of elderly residents and per capita Medicare spending, although the correlation had weakened in the more recent time period. In FY 1983/84, the simple correlation was 0.87; by FY 1998/99, the simple correlation had fallen to 0.70. More important for this analysis, we compared the change in the proportion of elderly residents in each state to the change in the per capita Medicare benefits in each state. The results of that calculation are shown in Table % Change Avg. 65+ Pop. as a % of State Pop. AK HI WY NV SC NM DE LA WV CO MT ND OH MD PA NC MI CT VA UT OK RI NJ AL IN AZ TX ME KY ID NY CA IA MA IL TN SD VT NH OR MS WI FL WA NE KS MO MN AR GA 91.0% 49.2 44.7 24.6 22.1 21.7 20.0 19.8 16.9 15.8 15.6 15.5 13.8 13.7 13.7 13.5 13.4 13.1 12.8 12.3 12.1 10.2 9.9 9.1 8.9 8.5 8.2 8.2 7.0 6.7 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.5 2.5 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 Change Avg. Medicare Benefits Per Capita $143 229 338 189 390 246 333 714 560 232 300 279 382 367 515 379 348 431 288 189 465 362 347 524 350 309 362 246 465 238 364 275 303 415 316 504 277 219 207 199 511 239 581 227 242 297 401 225 450 369 % Change Avg. Medicare Benefits Per Capita 149.7% 99.7 138.5 48.6 136.4 84.4 91.5 235.6 133.7 79.0 88.2 62.5 91.9 90.3 99.0 121.6 71.2 108.4 92.8 97.9 120.1 75.6 81.0 128.9 91.6 84.5 106.8 59.6 133.7 85.4 79.6 61.2 71.0 84.2 70.0 134.6 66.7 59.9 62.2 48.2 139.0 57.4 91.2 72.9 61.2 63.1 81.3 58.9 104.0 117.9 53 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 TABLE 18: Grants, FY 1998/99 17; the states with the greatest increases in elderly residents as a percentage of the population are shown at the top of the table. If Medicare benefits are following the elderly as they shift their residences, then the changes in per capita spending should track closely with the demographic changes in the population. However, there is nothing in Table 17 to suggest that this is indeed the case. A detailed analysis of other possible explanations for the Medicare results is unfortunately outside the scope of this report. We can offer a few other thoughts as a starting point for future study. By using information on the number of elderly residents in each state, we have implicitly treated elderly residents as a homogenous population with similar eligibility for Medicare and similar requirements for Medicare spending. For example, we have not been able to differentiate newly immigrated elderly residents who may not have contributed to the Medicare system (or for that matter, the Social Security system) from elderly residents who have earned eligibility over time. Similarly, we cannot differentiate elderly residents who have moved from another state, perhaps after retirement. Finally, as we noted in the Social Security section, the eligibility for these social insurance programs has expanded over time, and workers in some industries, such as farming, who were not able to draw benefits in the past may be receiving benefits today. Grants ederal spending through grants increased by 46 percent in real terms over the course of the 15-year retrospective period, rising from $700 per capita (in 1999 dollars) in FY 1983/84 to a little over $1,000 per capita in FY 1998/99. (By F 54 % Change from Predicted Value AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY 8% 4 8 7 0 -11 1 -11 16 -9 2 -2 -13 0 3 -2 13 15 7 -3 -6 -10 -16 9 12 0 11 -31 -7 -17 6 -1 21 23 3 13 -8 -1 -6 15 -1 10 27 -19 -4 -16 -3 26 -12 -20 Change from Predicted Value (1999$ in billions) $0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 (0.4) 0.0 (0.1) 1.6 (0.7) 0.0 (0.0) (1.6) 0.0 0.1 (0.0) 0.5 0.7 0.1 (0.2) (0.4) (1.1) (0.9) 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.2 (0.5) (0.1) (1.3) 0.2 (0.2) 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 (0.3) (0.2) (0.1) 0.5 (0.0) 0.6 4.1 (0.4) (0.0) (1.0) (0.1) 0.6 (0.7) (0.2) % Change Change from from FY 1983/84 FY 1983/84 Actuals (1999$ in billions) 57% 52 58 56 46 29 47 30 69 33 49 42 27 46 50 43 65 67 56 41 37 30 23 58 62 46 61 0 36 21 55 44 76 80 50 64 35 44 36 67 45 61 85 18 40 22 42 84 28 17 $1.7 0.5 1.6 1.0 10.7 0.7 1.1 0.2 4.7 1.8 0.3 0.4 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.7 1.9 2.2 0.6 1.6 2.0 2.3 0.9 1.3 2.2 0.4 0.6 (0.0) 0.3 1.1 1.0 7.8 3.5 0.5 3.4 1.3 0.9 3.8 0.3 1.6 0.4 2.3 8.7 0.3 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.1 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE Figure 19 FY 1998/99 Grants WA Spending — Difference ME MT from Predicted Value ND ID More than 10% above MI WY More than 10% below PA IA NE NV IL UT predicted value NY WI SD predicted value VT MI MN OR KEY OH IN CO CA AZ OK NM WV MO KS TX AK contrast, total Federal spending increased in real terms by only about 15 percent over this period.) A major component of the expansion in Federal grants spending was the rise of the Medicaid program, which for a period in the late 1980s and early 1990s was the most rapidly growing major component of the Federal budget. In spite of its rapid growth, grants were among the most stable features of Federal spending, viewed from the perspective of the shifts in the distribution of spending across the states. While receipt of grants is moderately dispersed across states at both the beginning and the end of the period — Table 8 shows its relative variability to be substantially less than defense, and roughly similar to the Social Security, Medicare, and other spending categories — the change in the distribution of grants spending was less than any other area of spending except Social Security. On average, states moved their relative position, measured as a proportion of the national average, by about 15 percent over the 15year period; most states experienced modest NJ DE MD VA KY NC TN AR SC MS HI NH MA CT RI AL GA LA FL changes in their receipts of grants compared to other states. About half of the states experienced changes of 10 percent or more when compared to their predicted spending based on FY 1983/84. Table 18 shows the actual 15-year changes and the deviations from the predicted values. The map in Figure 19 shows the states that experienced changes of 10 percent or more from their predicted spending. Eleven states experienced declines of more than 10 percent in their relative standing in the national distribution; of these, the three with the largest changes (Nevada [-31%], Wyoming [-20%], and Utah [-19%]) and one with a smaller change (Colorado) are clustered in the West. Four others (Minnesota, Illinois, Wisconsin, and Michigan) are in the Great Lakes area. The remaining three (New Jersey, Virginia, and Delaware) are on the Atlantic seaboard. Of the twelve states experiencing relative increases (compared with the national average) of 10 percent or more, nine are clustered in the Southeast and the remaining 55 THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES / 1999 TABLE 19: Taxes, FY 1998/99 % Change from Predicted Value 43 See A Profile of Medicaid: Chartbook 2000, Health Care Financing Administration, September 2000, page 12. 56 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY 5% -32 -2 3 -7 -1 13 -4 10 12 -16 2 2 0 -2 -8 1 -17 1 2 9 5 10 1 2 -14 3 1 9 0 -11 4 12 -16 -1 -24 2 -1 -3 7 10 10 -10 -1 7 0 -1 -14 4 -9 Change from Predicted Value (1999$ in billions) $0.9 (1.4) (0.4) 0.3 (14.2) (0.3) 2.9 (0.2) 8.0 4.7 (0.9) 0.1 1.2 (0.1) (0.3) (1.3) 0.2 (3.9) 0.1 0.7 3.2 2.7 2.7 0.1 0.6 (0.6) 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.2 (0.8) 3.6 4.3 (0.6) (0.6) (4.7) 0.4 (0.4) (0.2) 1.2 0.3 2.5 (12.6) (0.1) 0.2 0.1 (0.3) (1.2) 1.1 (0.3) % Change Change from from FY 1983/84 FY 1983/84 Actuals (1999$ in billions) 20% -22 13 18 6 13 29 10 26 29 -4 17 16 14 12 5 16 -5 16 17 25 20 26 16 17 -1 18 16 25 15 2 19 29 -4 13 -14 17 14 11 23 26 26 3 14 22 15 14 -2 19 4 $3.3 (0.8) 2.5 1.6 10.9 2.7 5.8 0.4 18.3 9.5 (0.2) 0.8 10.6 3.7 1.5 0.7 2.4 (1.0) 0.7 4.8 7.7 9.5 6.0 1.5 4.2 (0.0) 1.3 1.5 1.4 7.0 0.2 16.5 8.7 (0.1) 6.8 (2.3) 2.5 7.6 0.5 3.3 0.7 5.8 2.9 1.1 0.5 5.0 4.0 (0.1) 4.6 0.1 three are in the Plains. Many of these states began the period significantly below the national average in grant receipts, moving up across the period. In the southern states, this may be associated with significant changes in Federally mandated eligibility standards that took place in the late 1980s.43 Changes in Federal Tax Collections s Table 6 indicated, changes on the tax side of the equation were a significant determinant of the overall changes wrought over the retrospective period in the balance of payments outcomes for many states. We have emphasized in this and earlier reports that the tax side of the balance of payments calculation is a powerful and steady force that significantly affects the overall outcome, virtually insuring (with but a few striking exceptions) that highincome states will be net donors and that low-income states will be net recipients. Taxes constitute a steady, strong drumbeat in the background, significantly tilting the table on which the rest of the process plays out. Taxes are highly correlated with income; while this correlation has dropped slightly across the 15-year retrospective period, it remains in FY 1999 at .95. Not surprisingly, the changes in per capita tax payments are highly correlated with the changes in state per capita incomes. Comparing the changes in the ratio of each state’s per capita tax payments to the national average to the changes in the ratio of each state’s per capita income to the national average across the 15 years shows a correlation of .88 — that is, changes in the states’ standing in per capita tax payments across the period are strongly driven by the corresponding changes in their per capita incomes. A THE FEDERAL BUDGET AND THE STATES — A RETROSPECTIVE As we saw in Table 8, per capita Federal tax payments are also the most stable component of the balance of payments picture — showing both the least variability across states in each year and the least change across the 15-year retrospective period. Table 19 shows the actual 15-year changes in tax payments, together with the FY 1998/99 deviations from tax payments predicted on the basis of taxes in FY 1983/84. Most states experienced only small changes in the ratio of their per capita tax payments to the national average, with fully two-thirds of the states changing their standing relative to the national average by less than 10%. Nine states shifted down by 10 percent or more compared to the national trend; of these, the three with the largest changes (Alaska [-32%], Oklahoma [-24%], and Louisiana [-17%]) and one other (Texas) were experiencing high incomes from the oil industry at the start of our retrospective period that declined significantly by the late 1990s. Seven states shifted up by 10 percent or more compared to the national average; of these, four (North Carolina, Georgia, Tennessee, and Florida) are in the South and began the period with relatively low per capita incomes, experiencing comparatively rapid income growth over the period. Two others (Connecticut and Minnesota) started the period with relatively high per capita incomes but also experienced upward shifts in their per capita incomes relative to the national average. much more to find out about the details of how and why the funds have shifted in the ways we have observed. In addition to more detailed descriptive presentation of these changes, it would also be of great interest to examine whether there are, underlying these outcomes and the shifts in these outcomes, common patterns of political power (for example, associated with the size and seniority of Congressional delegations) or of institutional structure (for example, the additional power granted to small states in Congress by having an upper chamber that has an equal number of senators no matter how small the population of the state). Questions for Further Research here is a rich agenda of research issues raised by the results we have summarized here. In each of the spending areas and for Federal tax payments, there is T 57 Page 58 intentionally left blank AL Real Per Capita Income $24,754 Cost of Living Index 0.93 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 14% Residents 65 and Over 13% Residents under 18 24% Rank 39 40 19 25 40 Alabama BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) ith a slight increase in per capita spending, to about $6,600 per capita, and a very slight decrease in taxes, Alabama’s balance of payments increased by a little over $200, to nearly $2,100 per capita, 9th in the nation, bringing it back into the top 10 states in balance of payments, where it has been in all but 3 years since 1983. Its overall Federal spending ranks 9th, 20% above the national average. Most of its spending increase was in non-defense discretionary spending, which increased by about 10% in real terms to a little over 15% above the national average. Alabama continues to have a strong role in defense spending, receiving 45% more than the average state and ranking 11th. Alabama ranks 7th in Social Security and 5th in Medicare, each about 20% above the average state. Its relatively low per capita income, nearly 15% below the national average, leaves it with tax collections nearly 20% below the national average, ranking 38th. Balance of Payments Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% $2,091 FEDERAL TAXES FROM ALABAMA, FY 1999 9 Per Capita Federal Taxes $4,519 $9,139 National National Rank Avg. 38 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING National National IN ALABAMA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) Non-defense discretionary Social Security Medicare Assistance programs $1,320 1,964 1,802 917 607 11 15 7 5 23 $907 1,693 1,508 761 616 Total spending $6,610 9 $5,486 HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Population: 4.4 million W PER CAPITA TAXES AND SPENDING COMPARED TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2500 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 25 00 1500 00 AK 15 MT 10 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 pe 10 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI -$ +10% 0 50 0 +$ WY OK 20 BOP Rank 8 9 9 12 9 10 12 5 6 5 8 7 8 8 10 11 9 MO 15 Federal Taxes from AL $3,720 3,828 3,944 4,017 3,870 3,810 3,862 3,940 4,211 4,531 4,687 4,657 4,682 4,725 4,655 4,531 4,519 AL -$ Federal Spending in AL $4,782 4,871 5,096 5,212 5,376 5,321 5,316 5,888 6,034 6,408 6,338 6,379 6,312 6,291 6,372 6,394 6,610 WV MS -$ 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Balance of Payments $1,062 1,043 1,152 1,196 1,506 1,511 1,454 1,948 1,823 1,877 1,651 1,722 1,629 1,566 1,717 1,863 2,091 +20% NATIONAL AVERAGE RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY +30% 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS +$ SD 0 00 500 00 +$ ND 20 +40% +$ 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 59 AK Real Per Capita Income $25,606 Cost of Living Index 1.11 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 12% Residents 65 and Over 6% Residents under 18 32% Alaska Population: 0.6 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $2,777 FEDERAL TAXES FROM ALASKA, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 6 Per Capita $4,872 $1,720 National National Rank Avg. 33 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National ALASKA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $2,194 Non-defense discretionary 4 $907 3,786 2 1,693 Social Security 657 50 1,508 Medicare 234 50 761 Assistance programs 779 8 616 $7,649 5 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 33 6 27 50 2 laska’s receipts of Federal spending exceed the national average by nearly 40%; combined with taxes more than 10% below average, this leaves Alaska with a balance of payments surplus of nearly $2,800 per capita, 6th in the nation. Alaska receives almost two and one-half times the national average in defense spending (in which it continues to rank 4th), and over two times the average in non-defense discretionary spending (in which it experienced a 22% increase, raising it to 2nd in the nation in FY 1999). With one of the youngest populations in the country, and the smallest fraction of population aged 65 or over, Alaska continues to rank last in per capita receipts of both Social Security and Medicare, at 56% and 69% below the national averages, respectively. Alaska continues to rank first in per capita receipts of Federal grants to state and local governments. The state’s relatively low per capita income (9% below the national average, ranking 33rd) drives its correspondingly low tax payments. A PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 60 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 32 35 28 23 14 12 7 20 14 15 7 10 15 11 7 7 6 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from AK $6,122 6,340 6,122 6,005 5,627 5,242 5,384 5,674 5,828 6,141 6,142 5,699 5,653 5,334 5,043 4,886 4,872 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in AK $5,819 5,952 6,093 6,362 6,692 6,682 7,151 6,699 7,085 7,301 7,806 7,359 6,716 6,733 7,012 7,040 7,649 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(304) (388) (29) 357 1,064 1,439 1,767 1,025 1,257 1,160 1,665 1,660 1,063 1,399 1,969 2,155 2,777 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. AZ Real Per Capita Income $25,194 Cost of Living Index 1.00 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 18% Residents 65 and Over 13% Residents under 18 28% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 37 17 4 22 6 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $904 FEDERAL TAXES FROM ARIZONA, FY 1999 20 Per Capita Federal Taxes $4,713 $4,319 National National Rank Avg. 35 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National ARIZONA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,361 9 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,689 26 1,693 Social Security 1,474 31 1,508 Medicare 657 32 761 Assistance programs 435 45 616 $5,617 24 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Arizona Population: 4.8 million rizona continued its trend of the last two years toward an improved balance of payments with the Federal government; with an increase of $350 per capita in total Federal spending (from increases in defense and non-defense discretionary spending) and a slight decrease in taxes, its balance of payments surplus nearly doubled, to about $900 per capita, 20th in the nation. Arizona receives almost exactly the national average in total Federal spending, but only in defense spending (where it receives 50% more than the average state, ranking 9th) does it receive more than the average. It receives almost the national average in nondefense discretionary spending and in Social Security, about 15% less in Medicare, and in spite of having a relatively high poverty rate, it receives about 30% less than the average state in Federal spending for assistance programs. Its relatively low per capita income, about 10% below the national average, results in Federal tax receipts about 15% below the average, leaving it overall with a moderate balance of payments surplus. A PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 18 13 17 16 15 23 21 15 22 21 17 19 19 20 23 23 20 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from AZ $4,250 4,169 4,326 4,470 4,364 4,313 4,254 4,120 4,239 4,439 4,451 4,438 4,570 4,590 4,699 4,774 4,713 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in AZ $4,710 4,878 4,834 5,313 5,397 5,022 5,125 5,283 5,105 5,187 5,438 5,186 5,423 5,275 5,086 5,267 5,617 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $461 709 508 843 1,032 709 871 1,163 866 747 987 748 853 685 387 493 904 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 61 AR Real Per Capita Income $24,300 Cost of Living Index 0.91 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 18% Residents 65 and Over 14% Residents under 18 26% Arkansas Population: 2.6 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $1,633 FEDERAL TAXES FROM ARKANSAS, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 13 Per Capita $4,238 $4,166 National National Rank Avg. 44 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National ARKANSAS, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $595 36 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,772 22 1,693 Social Security 1,932 3 1,508 Medicare 870 8 761 Assistance programs 703 12 616 $5,871 19 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 43 47 5 9 21 rkansas continues for the fourth straight year to enjoy a rising balance of payments surplus, which increased in FY 1999 by about $100 per capita, to over $1,600, 13th in the nation. With a relatively high fraction of its population over 65 years of age, Arkansas ranks 3rd in Social Security receipts and 8th in Medicare receipts, about 30% and about 15% above the national average, respectively. Its receipts of Federal defense spending remain about one-third below the national average. In spite of having a relatively high poverty rate and a relatively low real per capita income (about 15% below the national average), it receives only about 15% above the average in Federal assistance program spending. Overall, its receipts of Federal spending are a little more than 5% above those of the average state; its balance of payments surplus is generated largely by its low Federal tax payments, nearly 25% below those of the average state (ranking 44th in the nation, and corresponding closely to its ranking 43rd in the nation in per capita income). A PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 62 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 7 12 11 13 13 14 15 16 16 14 14 15 16 16 16 15 13 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from AR $3,525 3,656 3,827 3,787 3,739 3,611 3,707 3,824 4,096 4,413 4,600 4,556 4,645 4,410 4,341 4,212 4,238 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in AR $4,674 4,468 4,866 4,972 4,899 4,823 4,917 4,986 5,221 5,576 5,741 5,734 5,703 5,651 5,689 5,746 5,871 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $1,149 812 1,039 1,186 1,160 1,212 1,210 1,163 1,125 1,163 1,141 1,178 1,057 1,241 1,348 1,534 1,633 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. CA Real Per Capita Income $29,217 Cost of Living Index 1.02 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 18% Residents 65 and Over 11% Residents under 18 27% Rank 16 14 3 45 11 California BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) t $22.7 billion, California’s total balance of payments deficit with the Federal government is the largest in the nation. Its per capita deficit increased in FY 1999 for the fifth straight year, to $685 per capita, 12th largest in the nation. Its overall receipts of Federal spending are about 10% below the average state. Only in defense and assistance programs are California’s receipts near the national average. Defense spending has declined by about 60% from its 1984 peak, and is now within a few percent of the national average. Due to its relatively young population, its receipts of Social Security and Medicare are about 20% and about 10% below the national average, ranking 46th and 25th, respectively. After rising from 1990 to 1994, total per capita Federal spending in California has declined steadily through 1999, now to about the same level in real terms as in 1990. Taxes, by contrast, have been nearly constant in real terms since 1991, and are now about 2% above the national average. The long-term and fairly steady erosion in California’s balance of payments across the FY 1983–FY 1999 period closely mirrors its decline in defense spending receipts. Balance of Payments Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% $(685) FEDERAL TAXES FROM CALIFORNIA, FY 1999 39 Per Capita Federal Taxes $5,593 $(22,688) National National Rank Avg. 17 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National CALIFORNIA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $943 23 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,439 36 1,693 Social Security 1,195 46 1,508 Medicare 708 25 761 Assistance programs 624 21 616 $4,909 38 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Population: 33.1 million A PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 17 16 21 28 33 37 40 39 40 39 36 35 36 36 37 39 39 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from CA $5,292 5,229 5,359 5,441 5,335 5,294 5,279 5,344 5,572 5,711 5,633 5,546 5,484 5,529 5,515 5,588 5,593 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in CA $5,763 5,684 5,672 5,567 5,214 4,997 4,876 4,864 4,996 5,245 5,325 5,362 5,229 5,143 5,052 4,988 4,909 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $471 454 313 125 (121) (297) (403) (481) (576) (466) (308) (184) (255) (387) (463) (600) (685) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 63 CO Real Per Capita Income $31,322 Cost of Living Index 1.01 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 8% Residents 65 and Over 10% Residents under 18 26% Colorado Population: 4.1 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(620) FEDERAL TAXES FROM COLORADO, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 38 Per Capita $5,923 $(2,514) National National Rank Avg. 10 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National COLORADO, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,408 7 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,884 16 1,693 Social Security 1,143 47 1,508 Medicare 513 46 761 Assistance programs 355 48 616 $5,303 32 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 5 15 48 47 17 olorado’s balance of payments with the Federal government has been on a generally downward trend since it peaked at a surplus of a little over $1,000 per capita in the early 1990s; with the exception of last year, it has declined steadily since 1991, and now ranks 38th in the nation, with a deficit of about $600 per capita. Its tax payments rank 10th in the nation, about 8% above those of the average state, and have been steady or slightly rising in real terms for a decade. By contrast, its receipts of Federal spending have been slowly declining. Defense spending has fallen particularly precipitously; it peaked at over $2,000 per capita in 1989 but has now fallen to just over $1,400, or by a little more than 40%. Even so, Colorado continues to be one of the largest recipients of defense spending, ranking 7th and receiving more than half again as much as the average state. Only one area, assistance spending, changed materially in real terms from FY 1998 to FY 1999; it fell by about 10%. Colorado continues to be one of the lowest ranking states in receipts of Social Security, in Medicare, and in assistance programs, reflecting its relatively young population and relatively low poverty rate. C PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 64 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 37 40 41 31 24 20 17 21 20 22 26 30 35 35 39 38 38 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from CO $5,247 5,133 5,201 5,260 5,014 4,847 4,838 4,972 5,247 5,558 5,816 5,811 5,836 5,783 5,759 5,818 5,923 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in CO $4,662 4,568 4,650 5,285 5,543 5,647 5,916 5,932 6,269 6,138 6,075 5,912 5,603 5,582 5,229 5,374 5,303 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(585) (565) (552) 25 529 799 1,078 960 1,022 579 259 101 (233) (201) (530) (444) (620) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. CT Real Per Capita Income $34,902 Cost of Living Index 1.12 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 11% Residents 65 and Over 14% Residents under 18 25% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 1 5 33 8 32 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(2,840) 50 $(9,320) FEDERAL TAXES FROM National National CONNECTICUT, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Federal Taxes $8,064 1 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National CONNECTICUT, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,046 18 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,156 49 1,693 Social Security 1,543 28 1,508 Medicare 817 14 761 Assistance programs 661 17 616 $5,224 34 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Connecticut Population: 3.3 million onnecticut’s balance of payments with the Federal government has been on a generally downward trend since 1983, and has been a deficit in every year since our study began. It has had the largest per capita deficit in the nation for the last 7 years. Driven by continuing increases in tax payments, associated with its highest-in-the-nation per capita income, and by a precipitous decline in defense spending (which is now just over $1,000 per capita, barely one-third of its 1984 peak), Connecticut now has a per capita deficit in excess of $2,800. Connecticut’s tax payments have ranked first on a per capita basis in every year since 1985; it now pays over $8,000 per capita in taxes, nearly half again as much as the average state. It ranks near the average in receipts of Federal funds overall, and is within a few percent of the average state in every category except defense (in which, in spite of its nearly steady decline since 1985, it still ranks 18th, at 15% more than the average state) and non-defense discretionary spending (in which it ranks 48th, receiving about one-third less than the average state); its persistent balance of payments deficit is driven by its tax payments, not by its failure to attract Federal spending. C PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 33 28 37 44 45 46 45 49 47 49 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from CT $6,212 6,112 6,448 6,721 6,733 6,808 7,130 7,007 7,055 7,320 7,365 7,540 7,662 7,292 7,553 7,826 8,064 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in CT $5,891 6,082 6,092 5,899 5,666 5,475 5,880 5,109 5,470 5,151 5,161 4,986 5,196 5,236 5,115 5,394 5,224 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(321) (29) (356) (821) (1,067) (1,332) (1,249) (1,898) (1,585) (2,169) (2,203) (2,554) (2,466) (2,056) (2,438) (2,432) (2,840) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 65 DE Real Per Capita Income $29,783 Cost of Living Index 1.03 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 10% Residents 65 and Over 13% Residents under 18 24% Delaware Population: 0.8 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(1,025) FEDERAL TAXES FROM DELAWARE, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 43 Per Capita $5,876 $(772) National National Rank Avg. 11 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National DELAWARE, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $615 34 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,458 32 1,693 Social Security 1,578 26 1,508 Medicare 685 27 761 Assistance programs 514 39 616 $4,851 39 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 11 13 41 24 44 elaware’s balance of payments deficit with the Federal government continues to be just over $1,000 per capita, the 8th largest in the nation; it has ranked in the top ten states on the basis of per capita balance of payments in every year since our sample period began. The state ranks 39th in overall receipts of Federal spending, and ranks below the average state in receipts in every spending area except Social Security, where the reasonably typical age mix of its population leads it to receive benefits about 5% above those of the average state. It receives about one-third less in defense spending than the average state, and in non-defense discretionary, Medicare, and Federal aid for assistance programs it falls between 10 and 20% below the average of other states. Its relatively high per capita income, about 5% above the average state, leads to tax payments about 7% above those of the average state, ranking 11th in the nation. D PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 66 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 46 46 48 48 47 45 47 48 49 48 48 48 44 42 43 43 43 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from DE $5,388 5,222 5,252 5,704 5,414 5,572 5,659 5,930 6,240 6,626 6,563 6,333 6,284 5,835 5,783 5,790 5,876 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in DE $4,112 4,205 4,109 4,172 3,971 4,283 4,149 4,069 4,265 4,557 4,582 4,593 4,869 4,819 4,758 4,739 4,851 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(1,277) (1,017) (1,144) (1,532) (1,443) (1,289) (1,510) (1,861) (1,975) (2,069) (1,981) (1,740) (1,415) (1,016) (1,025) (1,050) (1,025) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. FL Real Per Capita Income $29,718 Cost of Living Index 0.94 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 14% Residents 65 and Over 18% Residents under 18 24% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 12 32 18 1 47 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $47 FEDERAL TAXES FROM FLORIDA, FY 1999 31 Per Capita Federal Taxes $707 National National Rank Avg. $6,074 6 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National FLORIDA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,058 17 Non-defense discretionary 1,392 40 1,693 Social Security 2,025 2 1,508 Medicare 1,200 1 761 445 44 616 $6,121 14 $5,486 Assistance programs Total spending $907 Florida Population: 15.1 million lorida continues to be one of a small number of states where both Federal receipts and Federal taxes exceed the national average. Over the last two decades, its Federal spending and Federal taxes have been in very close balance. Overall, Florida attracts about 10% more in per capita Federal spending than the average state. Florida’s demographics drive its receipts of Federal spending; Florida has a larger percentage of residents over 65 years old than any other state, and it correspondingly ranks 1st in Federal Medicare spending (60% above average) and 2nd in per capita receipts of Social Security benefits (one-third above average). Defense spending in Florida has been more stable than in most states; it now receives about one-fifth more than the average state, ranking 17th. Its receipts of non-defense discretionary spending and assistance programs, by contrast, rank in the bottom fifth of states, in the latter case in spite of a relatively high poverty rate. Since its per capita income is slightly higher than average, its per capita Federal tax payments are about 10% higher than those of the average state, ranking 6th and leaving its overall balance of payments approximately neutral. F PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 19 27 24 26 30 30 29 31 29 27 23 29 25 23 24 28 31 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from FL $4,757 4,794 5,057 5,186 5,156 5,270 5,226 5,306 5,469 5,737 5,682 5,860 5,858 5,876 5,815 5,918 6,074 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in FL $5,204 5,007 5,279 5,391 5,290 5,157 5,242 5,362 5,553 5,945 6,202 5,992 6,116 6,192 6,169 6,045 6,121 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $447 213 222 205 134 (113) 16 57 84 208 520 132 258 316 354 128 47 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 67 Georgia GA Real Per Capita Income $29,673 Cost of Living Index 0.92 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 15% Residents 65 and Over 10% Residents under 18 26% Population: 7.8 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(29) FEDERAL TAXES FROM GEORGIA, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 32 Per Capita $5,523 $(228) National National Rank Avg. 19 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National GEORGIA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,322 10 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,626 27 1,693 Social Security 1,360 40 1,508 Medicare 666 30 761 Assistance programs 520 38 616 $5,493 28 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 13 46 15 48 15 er capita Federal spending and taxes in Georgia continue to be nearly identical to the national average, this year resulting in about a $30 per capita net balance of payments deficit, slightly smaller than the last two years. Georgia’s balance of payments has been within $300 per capita of being in balance in every year since 1989. Defense is an important industry in Georgia, and Federal spending on defense has been somewhat more stable in Georgia than in many states — after declining by about one-third over the course of a couple of years in the late 1980s, it has now recovered to approximately the same level as in the early 1980s. Georgia’s success in attracting Federal spending is concentrated in defense, where it ranks 10th, with receipts nearly half again as large as those of the average state; in all other areas of spending, it receives less than the average state — slightly less in the case of non-defense discretionary spending, and between 10 and 16% less in Social Security, Medicare, and Federal spending on assistance programs. Its per capita income is near the national average, as are its Federal tax payments. P PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 68 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 22 24 23 27 31 38 34 36 33 26 27 26 27 30 31 32 32 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from GA $4,235 4,348 4,596 4,672 4,686 4,645 4,701 4,734 4,946 5,248 5,381 5,348 5,454 5,437 5,508 5,525 5,523 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in GA $4,640 4,695 4,852 4,861 4,815 4,338 4,542 4,517 4,833 5,531 5,557 5,585 5,539 5,478 5,431 5,414 5,493 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $405 348 256 188 129 (307) (159) (218) (113) 283 176 237 85 41 (77) (111) (29) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. HI Real Per Capita Income $22,870 Cost of Living Index 1.22 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 17% Residents 65 and Over 14% Residents under 18 24% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 48 1 6 13 38 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $1,982 FEDERAL TAXES FROM HAWAII, FY 1999 10 Per Capita Federal Taxes $3,955 $2,350 National National Rank Avg. 48 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National HAWAII, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $2,391 3 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,441 35 1,693 Social Security 1,107 48 1,508 Medicare 456 48 761 Assistance programs 541 35 616 $5,937 18 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Hawaii Population: 1.2 million s a result of a decade of steadily rising Federal spending and falling Federal tax payments, Hawaii now has a $2,000 per capita balance of payments, 10th in the nation. The decline of Hawaii’s balance of payments in the late 1980s was driven by defense spending, which declined more than one-third, from over $3,000 per capita in 1985 to less than $2,000 per capita in 1995; it has since recovered to about $2,400 per capita, still more than 20% below its peak, but nonetheless 3rd in the nation at more than two and one-half times the average state. Hawaii is considerably less successful in other spending areas. It falls between 10 and 15% below the average state in non-defense discretionary spending and in Federal assistance spending (in spite of having a relatively high poverty rate). Anomalously, given that it has a relatively high fraction of residents over 65 years of age, its per capita receipts of Social Security benefits are one-quarter, and its receipts of Medicare benefits are two-fifths lower than those of the average state. Its low per capita income (48th in the nation, 20% below the average) produces Federal tax payments nearly 30% below those of the average state; this results in its sizable per capita balance of payments surplus. A PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 6 6 4 6 7 8 10 18 23 23 18 17 18 12 9 10 10 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from HI $4,112 4,088 4,061 4,068 3,910 3,882 3,957 4,185 4,435 4,771 4,585 4,575 4,406 4,261 3,976 3,893 3,955 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in HI $5,651 5,495 5,803 5,681 5,510 5,420 5,541 5,241 5,257 5,283 5,554 5,615 5,315 5,628 5,694 5,874 5,937 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $1,539 1,407 1,741 1,613 1,600 1,538 1,584 1,056 823 512 969 1,040 908 1,367 1,718 1,981 1,982 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 69 ID Real Per Capita Income $24,650 Cost of Living Index 0.95 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 14% Residents 65 and Over 11% Residents under 18 28% Idaho Population: 1.3 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $829 FEDERAL TAXES FROM IDAHO, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 21 Per Capita $4,349 $1,038 National National Rank Avg. 41 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National IDAHO, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,166 15 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,616 28 1,693 Social Security 1,412 37 1,508 Medicare 505 47 761 Assistance programs 479 41 616 $5,178 35 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 41 29 17 43 5 ith overall Federal spending receipts about 5% below that of the average state, but Federal taxes more than one-fifth below average, Idaho continues to have a substantial per capita balance of payments surplus. Its balance of payments has been in surplus in every year since our sample period began in 1983; it peaked in the late 1980s as a result of increases in defense spending, then fell from 1989 to 1993 as defense declined by more than 30%. Its surplus has now been generally increasing since 1994, as defense spending climbed back to near its peak and stabilized, bucking the national trend while most other states with substantial defense industries have seen marked declines. Per capita defense spending in Idaho ranks 15th in the nation, about 30% above the average. Non-defense discretionary spending and Social Security are near national averages, but the state ranks in the bottom fifth of states in Federal assistance spending (about one-fifth below the average) and ranks 47th in Medicare spending, one-third below the average. Idaho’s low per capita income (41st in the nation) and correspondingly low tax payments contribute to its persistent balance of payments surplus. W PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 70 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 16 21 16 18 12 9 9 12 13 12 20 22 22 21 22 20 21 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from ID $3,705 3,764 3,769 3,993 3,748 3,621 3,610 3,769 4,108 4,324 4,558 4,658 4,697 4,494 4,475 4,400 4,349 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in ID $4,206 4,151 4,565 4,804 4,921 5,147 5,299 5,111 5,382 5,603 5,409 5,201 5,249 5,147 5,043 5,217 5,178 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $502 387 797 811 1,173 1,526 1,689 1,342 1,273 1,279 851 543 552 653 569 817 829 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. IL Real Per Capita Income $31,195 Cost of Living Index 1.00 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 12% Residents 65 and Over 12% Residents under 18 26% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 7 19 25 31 19 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(1,669) FEDERAL TAXES FROM ILLINOIS, FY 1999 47 National National Rank Avg. Per Capita Federal Taxes $(20,241) $6,260 4 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National ILLINOIS, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $354 46 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,442 34 1,693 Social Security 1,501 29 1,508 Medicare 755 21 761 Assistance programs 540 36 616 $4,592 45 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Illinois Population: 12.1 million nly California has a higher total balance of payments deficit than Illinois’ $20.2 billion net outflow. Illinois has had a balance of payments deficit of over $1,500 per capita in every year since 1984. It has ranked among the five states with the highest balance of payments deficits in nearly every year since 1983. Illinois’ deficit is driven by significant departures from the average in both spending and taxes. Illinois has the 6th lowest overall per capita receipts of Federal spending, about 15% below the average. The state receives less than the national average in every spending area, but its low overall receipts are driven principally by very low receipts of defense funds. It ranks 5th from the bottom in per capita receipts of defense spending, fully 60% below the average state. It falls 10 to 15% below the average in receipts of both non-defense discretionary spending and in Federal assistance programs. In Social Security and Medicare it receives close to the national average. With its high per capita income, 7th in the nation (about 10% above the average) and correspondingly high tax payments (nearly 15% above the average), Illinois’ resulting balance of payments deficit is both large and durable. O PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 47 49 49 49 48 48 48 46 48 47 46 47 48 48 48 45 47 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from IL $5,489 5,244 5,517 5,585 5,455 5,433 5,525 5,726 5,957 6,245 6,337 6,305 6,388 6,315 6,321 6,225 6,260 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in IL $4,159 3,579 3,800 3,919 3,900 3,935 3,969 4,138 4,350 4,593 4,726 4,705 4,701 4,626 4,605 4,690 4,592 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(1,330) (1,664) (1,717) (1,666) (1,555) (1,498) (1,556) (1,588) (1,608) (1,652) (1,611) (1,600) (1,687) (1,689) (1,717) (1,535) (1,669) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 71 Indiana IN Real Per Capita Income $27,083 Cost of Living Index 0.96 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 8% Residents 65 and Over 13% Residents under 18 26% Population: 5.9 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(399) FEDERAL TAXES FROM INDIANA, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 35 Per Capita $5,085 $(2,373) National National Rank Avg. 29 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National INDIANA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $493 42 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,318 44 1,693 Social Security 1,663 17 1,508 Medicare 719 24 761 Assistance programs 492 40 616 $4,686 43 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 31 24 49 26 23 ndiana has consistently had a moderate balance of payments deficit with the Federal government, ranking between 40th and 35th in the nation since 1990. Its FY 1999 deficit of $400 per capita is slightly larger than last year’s, though since 1995, the deficit has been on a generally decreasing trend. Indiana is unusual in being one of the few states with a notable deficit in total balance of payments that has tax payments significantly below average; its FY 1999 taxes were about 7% lower than those of the average state, driven by per capita income about 5% below the average. Its deficit arises because its receipts of Federal spending fall below those of the average state by even more – in FY 1999, by about 15%. Indiana takes in barely more than half of what the average state receives in defense spending, ranking in the bottom 10 states. It receives about one-fifth less than the average state in both non-defense discretionary and assistance spending. In both Social Security and Medicare, Indiana ranks slightly above the median states. I PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 72 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 42 38 39 39 41 42 41 38 39 40 39 40 40 40 38 36 35 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from IN $4,497 4,401 4,595 4,649 4,472 4,448 4,461 4,553 4,737 5,035 5,210 5,161 5,294 5,294 5,154 5,066 5,085 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in IN $3,710 3,865 4,139 4,174 3,970 3,912 4,001 4,075 4,337 4,431 4,723 4,490 4,506 4,570 4,659 4,693 4,686 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(787) (536) (457) (475) (501) (536) (460) (478) (399) (603) (486) (670) (789) (724) (495) (374) (399) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. IA Real Per Capita Income $27,540 Cost of Living Index 0.93 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 9% Residents 65 and Over 15% Residents under 18 25% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 26 34 45 5 33 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $750 FEDERAL TAXES FROM IOWA, FY 1999 22 Per Capita Federal Taxes $5,071 $2,151 National National Rank Avg. 30 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National IOWA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $325 47 $907 Non-defense discretionary 2,409 9 1,693 Social Security 1,837 5 1,508 Medicare 720 22 761 Assistance programs 529 37 616 $5,820 21 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Iowa Population: 2.9 million owa has had a generally rising balance of payments surplus with the Federal government in the late 1990s, and a general trend toward a surplus since the early 1980s. Its FY 1999 surplus of $750 per capita is the largest since our sample period began in FY 1983. Iowa receives nearly two-thirds less per capita than the average state in defense spending, ranking 4th from the bottom. By contrast, it receives two-fifths more per capita in non-defense discretionary spending, in which it ranks 9th, and one-fifth more in Social Security spending, ranking 5th. As a result of its strong showing in these two areas (the largest spending areas), it receives overall about 5% more than the average state in Federal funding. Iowa’s per capita income is slightly less than average, resulting in tax payments nearly 10% below the average; in combination with its standing in spending, this results in a balance of payments surplus of $750 per capita. I PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 40 45 43 30 22 22 26 26 30 30 28 23 28 24 25 22 22 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from IA $4,536 4,466 4,851 4,589 4,449 4,397 4,403 4,620 4,899 5,167 5,279 5,033 5,294 5,032 5,000 5,010 5,071 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in IA $3,886 3,592 4,196 4,663 5,090 5,111 4,993 4,986 4,908 5,257 5,402 5,521 5,347 5,320 5,255 5,558 5,820 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(651) (874) (655) 74 641 713 590 366 8 90 122 488 53 289 255 548 750 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 73 KS Real Per Capita Income $28,534 Cost of Living Index 0.93 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 9% Residents 65 and Over 13% Residents under 18 26% Kansas Population: 2.7 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $373 FEDERAL TAXES FROM KANSAS, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 25 Per Capita $5,459 $990 National National Rank Avg. 20 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National KANSAS, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $898 25 $907 Non-defense discretionary 2,083 11 1,693 Social Security 1,646 19 1,508 Medicare 758 20 761 Assistance programs 447 43 616 $5,832 20 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 20 35 46 18 16 hanges in the composition of the Federal budget have been dramatically reflected in Kansas’ receipts of Federal funding. As home to a large defense installation and having a small population, Kansas experienced a dramatic per capita impact from nationwide reductions in defense spending; defense spending in the state fell by about three-fifths in the 1980s. This decline was partially offset by increases in farm subsidy programs, leaving Kansas’ balance of payments relatively stable, generally with a modest surplus; in FY 1999, this amounted to about $400 per capita. Much of its recent increase in its balance with the Federal government is due to increases in non-defense discretionary spending, where it now receives about one-quarter more than the average state, ranking 11th. It is near the national average in defense and in Social Security and Medicare. It has a low poverty rate, and correspondingly ranks low in receipt of Federal assistance program funds, receiving about one-quarter less than the average. Overall, it receives slightly more than the average in combined Federal spending; with per capita income and tax payments nearly identical to the average, it winds up with a small balance of payments surplus. C PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 74 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 29 19 19 22 26 28 27 27 28 28 29 27 29 31 30 26 25 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from KS $5,201 5,145 5,268 5,226 5,099 4,873 4,892 4,984 5,461 5,661 5,801 5,650 5,651 5,476 5,429 5,397 5,459 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in KS $5,029 5,567 5,633 5,652 5,434 5,372 5,253 5,302 5,598 5,814 5,879 5,882 5,697 5,437 5,389 5,584 5,832 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(172) 421 365 427 335 499 360 318 137 153 78 232 46 (39) (40) 187 373 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. KY Real Per Capita Income $25,254 Cost of Living Index 0.92 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 15% Residents 65 and Over 12% Residents under 18 24% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 36 45 12 28 41 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $1,595 FEDERAL TAXES FROM KENTUCKY, FY 1999 14 Per Capita Federal Taxes $4,516 $6,317 National National Rank Avg. 39 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National KENTUCKY, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $970 21 Non-defense discretionary 1,702 24 1,693 Social Security 1,858 4 1,508 Medicare 800 16 761 Assistance programs 781 7 616 $6,111 15 $5,486 Total spending $907 HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Kentucky Population: 4.0 million fter rising steadily from FY 1993 to FY 1998, Kentucky’s balance of payments dipped by nearly one-quarter in FY 1999. Nonetheless, Kentucky’s balance of payments surplus is still nearly $1,600 per capita, ranking 14th. It receives about 10% more in total Federal spending than the average state, and in spite of this year’s spending declines (in every area except Social Security) it still receives more than the average state in every spending area. Though it ranks only slightly above the average state in defense spending, Kentucky has experienced none of the decline in defense funding seen in other states. Kentucky’s relatively large elderly population makes it the nation’s 4th largest per capita recipient of Social Security (about one-quarter higher than the average state), and its relatively high poverty rate makes it the 7th highest per capita recipient of Federal assistance program funding, more than one-quarter above the average state). Its correspondingly low average income (about 10% below the average state) results in Federal tax payments nearly 20% below the average; together with its above-average receipt of funding, this leads to its substantial balance of payments surplus. A PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 25 18 26 8 20 27 19 14 12 18 19 18 11 14 14 9 14 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from KY $3,870 3,892 4,069 3,979 3,839 3,878 3,862 3,966 4,267 4,536 4,703 4,614 4,646 4,618 4,538 4,473 4,516 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in KY $4,178 4,324 4,254 5,446 4,570 4,385 4,896 5,159 5,564 5,508 5,638 5,586 6,009 5,881 6,152 6,546 6,111 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $308 431 185 1,467 731 507 1,034 1,192 1,297 972 935 972 1,363 1,263 1,613 2,073 1,595 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 00 1500 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 75 LA Real Per Capita Income $24,553 Cost of Living Index 0.93 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 16% Residents 65 and Over 11% Residents under 18 27% Louisiana Population: 4.4 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $1,576 FEDERAL TAXES FROM LOUISIANA, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 15 Per Capita $4,432 $6,892 National National Rank Avg. 40 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National LOUISIANA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $788 28 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,815 20 1,693 Social Security 1,597 24 1,508 Medicare 1,001 3 761 807 4 616 $6,008 17 $5,486 Assistance programs Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 42 38 8 40 7 ouisiana’s balance of payments has been on a generally increasing trend since our sample period began in 1983; having begun with a balance of payments deficit of nearly $650 per capita, it now has a balance of payments surplus of nearly $1,600 per person. This trend has been driven by steady increases in Federal spending (largely in Federal grants) and a generally flat trend in tax payments. The state ranks 17th in overall per capita receipts of Federal spending, 10% above the average. In spite of a small decline in FY 1999, Louisiana is still the 3rd highest recipient of Medicare funds, about one-third above those of the average state. The state has relatively low income and a high poverty rate, and ranks 4th in per capita receipt of Federal assistance funds, taking in about one-third more than the average. Louisiana experienced the same general decline in defense spending from the mid-1980s through the mid-1990s seen by many other states, though its defense receipts have risen in the last several years; notwithstanding this increase, it still receives about 15% less than average. Its income also drives its relatively low Federal tax payments; it ranks 40th, paying nearly one-fifth less than the average. L PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 76 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 39 37 29 29 28 24 18 17 18 13 13 11 10 13 13 16 15 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from LA $4,763 4,552 4,521 4,381 4,016 3,705 3,734 3,824 4,104 4,462 4,627 4,542 4,660 4,479 4,371 4,446 4,432 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in LA $4,120 4,090 4,463 4,474 4,183 4,325 4,793 4,971 5,143 5,629 5,953 6,032 6,099 5,775 6,008 5,758 6,008 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(643) (462) (58) 93 167 620 1,060 1,147 1,039 1,167 1,326 1,490 1,439 1,296 1,636 1,312 1,576 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. ME Real Per Capita Income $23,793 Cost of Living Index 1.05 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 11% Residents 65 and Over 14% Residents under 18 23% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 44 9 32 10 49 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $1,324 FEDERAL TAXES FROM MAINE, FY 1999 Per Capita Federal Taxes $4,215 16 $1,660 National National Rank Avg. 45 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National MAINE, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,110 16 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,399 39 1,693 Social Security 1,589 25 1,508 Medicare 648 33 761 Assistance programs 794 5 616 $5,539 25 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Maine Population: 1.3 million aine continues to be the only Northeast state to have a substantial balance of payments surplus, resulting from taxes about one-quarter less than the average state (due to its having the 7th lowest per capita income in the nation) and from high spending in defense and assistance programs. Declines in both these areas in FY 1999 narrowed its balance of payments surplus by about one-fifth, but it remains over $1,300 per capita, 16th in the nation. Despite the decline this year, Maine still receives over one-fifth more in defense funding per capita than the average state, and its relatively liberal state policies for assistance programs result in its being the 5th highest per capita recipient of Federal funding for assistance, about 30% higher than the average, in spite of having a poverty rate slightly below the national average. Maine has had a substantial per capita balance of payments surplus since the early 1990s, when defense spending rebounded after a nearly 60% decline between 1985 and 1989; since then, continuing volatility in defense spending in the state has been offset by growth in Federal assistance spending. M PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% BO 00 -$ 5 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 15 HI 10 +10% P= +$ ap ita rc WY OK -$ BOP Rank 13 11 8 17 16 26 28 23 17 8 9 12 12 17 15 14 16 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Federal Spending in ME Taxes from ME $4,321 $3,590 4,492 3,651 5,066 3,788 4,648 3,815 4,834 3,837 4,525 4,003 4,281 4,060 4,912 4,091 5,338 4,217 6,094 4,293 5,963 4,320 5,791 4,319 5,581 4,318 5,535 4,297 5,763 4,164 5,838 4,171 5,539 4,215 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $731 841 1,279 833 996 522 221 821 1,121 1,801 1,643 1,471 1,262 1,238 1,599 1,668 1,324 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 77 MD Real Per Capita Income $33,018 Cost of Living Index 0.97 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 8% Residents 65 and Over 12% Residents under 18 25% Maryland Population: 5.2 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $1,770 FEDERAL TAXES FROM MARYLAND, FY 1999 Federal Taxes Per Capita $6,564 12 $9,155 National National Rank Avg. 3 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National MARYLAND, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,895 5 $907 Non-defense discretionary 3,768 3 1,693 Social Security 1,322 44 1,508 Medicare 762 19 761 Assistance programs 587 27 616 $8,334 2 $5,486 Total spending Rank 2 23 47 38 29 n FY 1999, Maryland’s surplus fell by almost 20%, the result of a modest decline in spending and a modest increase in tax payments, and Maryland slipped out of the top ten states in per capita balance of payments for the first time since 1993. Maryland remains one of the few states where high spending more than offsets above-average tax payments to produce a substantial surplus (now about $1,800 per capita). Maryland continues to be a major recipient of both defense and non-defense discretionary spending, at more than twice the average. It continues to rank 5th in per capita defense spending, and while it experienced a modest decline in non-defense discretionary spending this year, it still ranks in the top five. Even with spending only equal to the average in Medicare, slightly below the average in assistance programs, and about 10% below the average in Social Security, Maryland’s overall per capita receipt of Federal funds is still more than half again what the average state receives. With its 2nd highest per capita income, Maryland contributes one-fifth more per capita than taxpayers in the average state. At $9.2 billion, Maryland’s total surplus is the second highest among the 50 states. I PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 78 BO 00 -$ 5 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 15 HI 10 +10% P= +$ ap ita rc WY OK -$ BOP Rank 5 5 6 10 6 11 14 13 11 10 12 9 7 9 8 8 12 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Federal Spending in MD Taxes from MD $7,161 $5,553 7,026 5,480 7,387 5,800 7,412 6,164 7,516 5,892 7,271 5,816 7,174 5,932 7,273 5,968 7,508 6,165 7,893 6,453 7,937 6,534 8,123 6,442 8,148 6,418 7,899 6,399 8,103 6,300 8,483 6,335 8,334 6,564 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $1,609 1,546 1,587 1,248 1,624 1,456 1,243 1,306 1,343 1,440 1,403 1,682 1,731 1,501 1,802 2,148 1,770 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. MA Real Per Capita Income $31,292 Cost of Living Index 1.14 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 15% Residents 65 and Over 14% Residents under 18 24% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 6 2 16 11 46 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(895) 42 $(5,526) FEDERAL TAXES FROM National National MASSACHUSETTS,FY1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Federal Taxes $6,256 5 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National MASSACHUSETTS,FY1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $836 26 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,528 30 1,693 Social Security 1,415 36 1,508 Medicare 891 6 761 Assistance programs 691 13 616 $5,361 30 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Massachusetts Population: 6.2 million assachusetts’ balance of payments position with the Federal government has been steadily declining since 1991, and generally declining since our sample period began in 1983; that trend continued in FY 1999. In FY 1983, Massachusetts had a modest balance of payments surplus; rising tax payments and declining Federal spending received by the state have now produced a per capita balance of payments deficit of about $900. Massachusetts’ overall receipt of Federal funding is very close to the national average, and it is not far from the average in any of our spending areas. It is about 10% below average in both defense and nondefense discretionary spending, and about 5% below average in Social Security; these are roughly counterbalanced by its receipt of a little over 15% more than the average state in Medicare (in which it ranks 6th in the nation) and a little over 10% more than the average state in Federal assistance program funding. Its 6thhighest-in-the-nation per capita income makes it the 5th highest Federal taxpayer on a per capita basis; its taxpayers contribute nearly 15% more than those of the average state. M PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 BO 00 -$ 5 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 15 HI 10 +10% P= +$ ap ita rc WY OK -$ BOP Rank 21 17 22 25 27 35 31 30 27 31 31 33 37 39 40 40 42 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Federal Spending in MA Taxes from MA $5,371 $4,954 5,463 5,020 5,600 5,306 5,829 5,507 5,729 5,515 5,335 5,601 5,666 5,717 5,592 5,503 5,766 5,572 5,825 5,765 5,837 5,882 5,788 5,913 5,699 6,003 5,566 6,021 5,542 6,164 5,421 6,214 5,361 6,256 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $417 443 294 322 214 (266) (50) 89 193 60 (45) (125) (304) (454) (622) (793) (895) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 79 Michigan MI Real Per Capita Income $29,313 Cost of Living Index 0.95 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 11% Residents 65 and Over 12% Residents under 18 26% Population: 9.9 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(1,042) FEDERAL TAXES FROM MICHIGAN, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 44 Per Capita $5,724 $(10,277) National National Rank Avg. 16 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National MICHIGAN, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $265 50 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,197 46 1,693 Social Security 1,742 10 1,508 Medicare 824 13 761 Assistance programs 655 18 616 $4,682 44 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 14 31 38 30 20 ichigan is consistently among the states with the highest per capita deficits, the result of both lower-than-average receipts of Federal spending and higherthan-average tax payments. In recent years, its deficit has decreased gradually as Federal spending has stayed approximately the same while taxes have fallen slightly; the FY 1999 deficit is only slightly over $1,000 per capita, down from an FY 1996 peak of over $1,400. Total Federal spending in Michigan is 15% below that in the average state; only six states receive less. This is accounted for by large departures from the average in defense and non-defense discretionary spending. Michigan continues to rank last in per capita receipt of defense spending, receiving 70% less than the average state, and it ranks 5th from the bottom in non-defense discretionary spending, with about one-third less than the average state. In Social Security, in which Michigan ranks 10th, receipts are about 15% more than the average state. Its receipts of Medicare and Federal assistance program funding are slightly above average. Its relatively high per capita income leads to tax payments modestly above the average state, leaving Michigan in the top third of states. M PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 80 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 45 47 47 47 49 47 46 45 45 44 44 42 43 46 44 44 44 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from MI $4,824 4,797 4,974 5,336 5,438 5,250 5,268 5,325 5,529 5,805 5,969 5,908 6,201 6,057 6,015 5,834 5,724 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in MI $3,815 3,774 3,944 4,043 3,880 3,801 3,974 4,255 4,420 4,850 4,843 4,857 4,789 4,639 4,628 4,602 4,682 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(1,009) (1,024) (1,030) (1,293) (1,557) (1,449) (1,294) (1,070) (1,109) (955) (1,126) (1,051) (1,411) (1,418) (1,387) (1,231) (1,042) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. MN Real Per Capita Income $32,232 Cost of Living Index 0.95 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 10% Residents 65 and Over 12% Residents under 18 27% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 3 30 42 33 13 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(1,294) FEDERAL TAXES FROM MINNESOTA, FY 1999 Per Capita Federal Taxes $6,069 45 $(6,180) National National Rank Avg. 7 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National MINNESOTA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $432 43 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,713 23 1,693 Social Security 1,455 34 1,508 Medicare 595 38 761 Assistance programs 581 28 616 $4,775 41 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Minnesota Population: 4.8 million fter rising steadily since FY 1987, Minnesota’s balance of payments deficit with the Federal government declined somewhat in FY 1999, to about $1,300 per capita (still the 6th highest per capita deficit in the nation), as the result of a modest increase in receipt of spending and a modest decrease in tax payments. Like many of the Great Lakes states, Minnesota has consistently had a substantial balance of payments deficit, driven by significantly below-average spending and above-average taxes. Its overall per capita receipts of Federal spending are 10th lowest in the nation, nearly 15% below those of the average state. Minnesota receives the average amount only in non-defense spending, and falls slightly below the average in Social Security and in Federal funding for assistance programs. By contrast, it receives only half of the average in defense spending, and about onefifth less than the average in Medicare. Minnesota’s high per capita income, nearly 15% above the average and third in the nation, results in tax payments more than 10% above the average. This appears to be a durable situation; Minnesota has been in the top 12 per capita deficit states in every year since our study period began. A PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 BO 00 -$ 5 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 15 HI 10 +10% P= +$ ap ita rc WY OK -$ BOP Rank 41 42 44 41 39 40 43 41 42 45 45 44 47 45 45 47 45 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Federal Spending in MN Taxes from MN $4,177 $4,879 4,214 4,890 4,443 5,103 4,627 5,198 4,769 5,157 4,717 5,189 4,679 5,178 4,614 5,294 4,882 5,637 4,826 5,957 4,927 6,107 4,867 6,087 4,783 6,237 4,576 5,982 4,687 6,120 4,670 6,238 4,775 6,069 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(702) (676) (660) (571) (388) (472) (499) (680) (755) (1,131) (1,180) (1,220) (1,454) (1,407) (1,433) (1,568) (1,294) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 81 MS Real Per Capita Income $22,689 Cost of Living Index 0.90 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 15% Residents 65 and Over 12% Residents under 18 27% Mississippi Population: 2.8 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $2,684 FEDERAL TAXES FROM MISSISSIPPI, FY 1999 Federal Taxes Per Capita $3,905 7 $7,431 National National Rank Avg. 50 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National MISSISSIPPI, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,285 13 Non-defense discretionary 1,877 17 1,693 Social Security 1,776 9 1,508 Medicare 863 9 761 Assistance programs 788 6 616 $6,589 10 $5,486 Total spending $907 HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 49 50 11 35 8 s a recipient of above-average Federal spending in every category, and as the lowest per capita Federal taxpaying state (paying 29% less than the average), Mississippi has one of the largest per capita balance of payments surpluses in the nation. Overall it ranks 10th in receipt of Federal spending, taking in onefifth more than the average. It is particularly successful in attracting defense spending, of which it gets more than two-fifths more than the average state. Its relatively high poverty rate results in Federal assistance program spending of nearly 30% above the average, ranking 6th in the nation. It also ranks in the top 10 states in Social Security and Medicare spending, receiving 18 and 13% more than the average state, respectively. Even in non-defense discretionary spending, in which it is closest to the average, Mississippi receives more than 10% more than the average state. Given its 49th-ranked per capita income, one-fifth below the average, its low taxes combine with Mississippi’s success in every spending area to produce a per capita balance of payments surplus of about $2,700, nearly a new record for the state. A PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 82 BO 00 -$ 5 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 15 HI 10 +10% P= +$ ap ita rc WY OK -$ BOP Rank 4 2 5 4 4 3 4 3 2 2 2 2 4 2 5 6 7 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Federal Spending in MS Taxes from MS $5,403 $3,391 5,555 3,364 5,054 3,439 5,366 3,354 5,396 3,258 5,937 3,175 5,327 3,225 5,589 3,225 5,977 3,484 6,893 3,776 6,393 3,895 6,593 3,891 6,413 4,004 6,571 4,022 6,348 4,014 6,279 3,929 6,589 3,905 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $2,011 2,191 1,616 2,012 2,139 2,762 2,102 2,364 2,493 3,116 2,498 2,701 2,409 2,549 2,333 2,351 2,684 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. MO Real Per Capita Income $28,201 Cost of Living Index 0.93 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 12% Residents 65 and Over 14% Residents under 18 26% Rank 23 37 30 14 25 Missouri BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) issouri’s flows of Federal spending in FY 1999 are little changed from the year before. Missouri’s taxes are virtually identical to the national average, while its receipts of Federal spending are above the average in every category. Its resulting balance of payments surplus of about $1,200 per capita is virtually unchanged from the last two years. It ranks 12th in defense spending, receiving more than two-fifths more than the average. In non-defense spending, Social Security, and Medicare, the state receives between 15 and 20% more than the average. Only in assistance spending, where the state’s moderate poverty rate puts it near the national average, is Federal spending in Missouri close to the average of other states. Missouri’s longer-term history is dominated by its sharing in the national trend in defense; always a major defense spending recipient, Missouri followed the national trend in defense over the last two decades, and while it remains a major host for defense activity, its per capita receipt of defense spending is now only a little more than two-fifths what it was at its 1985 peak. Correspondingly, the state’s balance of payments surplus is only about half of its 1985 peak. Balance of Payments $1,187 FEDERAL TAXES FROM MISSOURI, FY 1999 Per Capita Federal Taxes $5,358 Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% 18 $6,490 National National Rank Avg. 22 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National MISSOURI, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,293 12 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,966 14 1,693 Social Security 1,776 8 1,508 Medicare 881 7 761 Assistance programs 629 20 616 $6,544 11 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Population: 5.5 million M PER CAPITA TAXES AND SPENDING COMPARED TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% BO 00 -$ 5 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 15 HI 10 +10% P= +$ ap ita rc WY OK -$ BOP Rank 3 4 3 7 11 13 8 8 8 17 10 6 9 5 17 17 18 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Federal Spending in MO Taxes from MO $6,557 $4,538 6,713 4,625 7,097 4,825 6,495 5,001 6,287 4,838 6,211 4,835 6,492 4,765 6,471 4,838 6,721 5,046 6,452 5,338 6,999 5,456 7,177 5,422 6,957 5,499 7,483 5,410 6,542 5,330 6,603 5,334 6,544 5,358 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $2,019 2,088 2,272 1,493 1,449 1,376 1,726 1,633 1,675 1,114 1,543 1,755 1,457 2,074 1,212 1,269 1,187 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 83 MT Real Per Capita Income $23,381 Cost of Living Index 0.95 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 15% Residents 65 and Over 13% Residents under 18 25% Montana Population: 0.9 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $3,109 FEDERAL TAXES FROM MONTANA, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 2 Per Capita $4,279 $2,745 National National Rank Avg. 43 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National MONTANA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $596 35 $907 Non-defense discretionary 3,939 1 1,693 Social Security 1,624 20 1,508 Medicare 630 35 761 Assistance programs 599 24 616 $7,389 6 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 45 26 10 20 27 ontana continues to be one of the few states with a strong balance of payments surplus that has relatively low defense spending. Its surplus has been rising steadily since 1994; FY 1999 again saw a new record surplus for the state, now over $3,100 per capita and 2nd highest in the nation. Montana ranks 6th in overall receipt of Federal funds, now about $7,400 per person, more than one-third above the average. It ranks 35th, however, in defense spending, receiving about one-third less than the average state. It is slightly above average in Social Security, and about one-fifth below the average in Medicare. Given its low per capita income and high poverty rate, its average receipt of Federal funds for assistance programs is mildly surprising. But the major departure from the experience of other states is in the area of non-defense discretionary spending; Montana now ranks 1st in the nation in this spending area, receiving nearly two and one-half times as much as the average state. With tax payments more than 20% below average, Montana’s success in attracting discretionary domestic spending generates a large and durable balance of payments surplus. M PER CAPITA TAXES AND SPENDING COMPARED TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 84 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 20 20 12 11 10 6 5 6 7 7 6 8 6 6 6 5 2 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from MT $4,278 4,307 4,295 4,189 4,064 3,806 3,766 3,982 4,254 4,497 4,592 4,702 4,598 4,470 4,296 4,199 4,279 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in MT $4,722 4,727 5,317 5,417 5,522 5,464 5,811 5,746 5,976 6,315 6,384 6,388 6,372 6,289 6,485 6,653 7,389 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $444 420 1,022 1,228 1,458 1,658 2,045 1,764 1,722 1,818 1,792 1,686 1,774 1,819 2,189 2,454 3,109 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. NE Real Per Capita Income $29,237 Cost of Living Index 0.94 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 10% Residents 65 and Over 14% Residents under 18 27% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 15 33 43 12 12 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $320 FEDERAL TAXES FROM NEBRASKA, FY 1999 27 Per Capita Federal Taxes $5,304 $533 National National Rank Avg. 23 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National NEBRASKA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $657 32 $907 Non-defense discretionary 2,177 10 1,693 Social Security 1,614 23 1,508 Medicare 629 36 761 Assistance programs 547 33 616 $5,624 23 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Nebraska Population: 1.7 million small increase in the non-defense discretionary area led to a modest increase in Nebraska’s balance of payments surplus in FY 1999, raising it over $300 per capita for the first time since FY 1993. Nebraska experienced a significant improvement of its balance of payments position in the late 1980s, when increases in farm subsidies drove its surplus above $1,000 per capita, but its surplus eroded during the 1990s as its receipts from agricultural stabilization programs decreased, leading to an approximately neutral position by FY 1994. Nebraska’s balance of payments has been rising gradually in the last several years, largely from increases in non-defense discretionary spending, in which Nebraska now ranks 10th, receiving about 30% more than the average state. Its receipts of defense funding are about the same amount below the average. It also ranks relatively low in Medicare (a little more than 15% below average) and funding for assistance programs (about 10% below average, driven by the state’s relatively low poverty rate). Its receipts of Social Security are slightly above average. With per capita income near the national average, Nebraska’s Federal tax collections are a few percentage points below average. A PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 27 33 30 24 23 16 23 25 25 29 24 28 34 32 34 29 27 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from NE $4,477 4,506 4,763 4,817 4,564 4,474 4,413 4,667 5,069 5,370 5,420 5,374 5,469 5,223 5,371 5,282 5,304 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in NE $4,665 4,178 4,659 5,160 5,174 5,487 5,122 5,254 5,305 5,518 5,867 5,508 5,303 5,176 5,214 5,408 5,624 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $188 (329) (104) 344 610 1,014 709 587 237 148 447 134 (166) (46) (157) 125 320 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 85 NV Real Per Capita Income $30,110 Cost of Living Index 1.01 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 12% Residents 65 and Over 11% Residents under 18 27% Nevada Population: 1.8 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(1,583) FEDERAL TAXES FROM NEVADA, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 46 Per Capita $5,938 $(2,865) National National Rank Avg. 9 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National NEVADA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $944 22 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,172 48 1,693 Social Security 1,349 42 1,508 Medicare 561 42 761 Assistance programs 330 49 616 $4,355 48 $5,486 Total spending Rank 9 16 31 41 9 evada remains the only state outside of the Northeast and Great Lakes regions that consistently has a large balance of payments deficit. In FY 1999, its deficit declined slightly from the record set in FY 1998, but it is still nearly $1,600 per capita, now 5th largest in the nation. Overall Federal spending is about onefifth below the national average (as it was last year), and it is below the national average in every area except defense (where it is only slightly above the average). Home to the fastest growing city in the country, and hence to a comparatively young population, Nevada has low Social Security and Medicare receipts, ranking 42nd in both areas and receiving 11 and 26% less than the average, respectively. It ranks even lower in non-defense discretionary spending (48th, receiving about 30% less than the national average) and assistance program funding (49th, receiving only slightly more than half of the national average). With per capita income and, correspondingly, Federal taxes a little more than 5% above the national average and Federal spending persistently significantly below it, Nevada has a sizable and durable balance of payments deficit. N PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 25 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 86 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 35 30 32 21 35 41 39 43 41 43 43 46 45 43 47 48 46 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from NV $5,371 5,141 5,339 5,279 5,157 5,112 5,168 5,422 5,377 5,764 5,865 6,019 6,171 6,021 6,023 6,213 5,938 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in NV $4,886 4,954 5,074 5,784 4,969 4,628 4,786 4,431 4,718 4,812 4,789 4,662 4,751 4,973 4,398 4,410 4,355 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(485) (187) (265) 505 (188) (484) (382) (991) (658) (951) (1,076) (1,358) (1,420) (1,047) (1,625) (1,802) (1,583) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. NH Real Per Capita Income $28,476 Cost of Living Index 1.09 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 11% Residents 65 and Over 12% Residents under 18 25% Rank 22 8 37 36 28 New Hampshire BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) ith Federal spending significantly below the average of other states in every spending area, leading to overall Federal spending more than one-quarter below the average of other states, and Federal taxes more than 5% above the national average, New Hampshire’s deficit set a new record for the state in FY 1999, and is now approaching $1,800 per person, 3rd largest in the nation. Its deficit is substantially larger than it was in the early 1980s, before rising incomes (and, correspondingly, Federal tax payments) combined with sharp decreases in defense spending to transform an approximately neutral position into a significant deficit. Defense spending in New Hampshire is now less than two-fifths of its FY 1984 peak, and is about 40% below that of the average state. New Hampshire’s receipts are also about 30% below the average state in non-defense discretionary, Medicare, and assistance program funding. Only in Social Security funding does it come close to the average, but even in this area still falls 10% below the national average. It ranks around 40th in defense and Social Security, 44th in Medicare, 46th in assistance program funding, and 47th in non-defense discretionary spending. Balance of Payments $(1,787) Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% 48 $(2,147) FEDERAL TAXES FROM National National NEW HAMPSHIRE, FY1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Federal Taxes $5,854 13 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National NEW HAMPSHIRE, FY1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $576 38 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,189 47 1,693 Social Security 1,358 41 1,508 Medicare 528 44 761 Assistance programs 415 46 616 $4,067 50 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Population: 1.2 million W PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% BO 00 -$ 5 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 15 HI 10 +10% P= +$ ap ita rc WY OK -$ BOP Rank 31 29 38 46 46 49 49 47 46 46 47 45 46 47 46 46 48 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Federal Spending in NH Taxes from NH $4,415 $4,602 4,551 4,689 4,493 4,924 4,084 5,160 3,946 5,201 3,815 5,392 3,817 5,507 3,818 5,462 3,999 5,393 4,290 5,511 3,929 5,685 4,237 5,572 4,307 5,738 4,261 5,702 4,129 5,628 4,190 5,755 4,067 5,854 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(188) (138) (431) (1,076) (1,255) (1,577) (1,690) (1,644) (1,394) (1,221) (1,756) (1,335) (1,430) (1,441) (1,498) (1,565) (1,787) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 87 NJ Real Per Capita Income $31,750 Cost of Living Index 1.14 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 11% Residents 65 and Over 14% Residents under 18 25% New Jersey Population: 8.1 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(2,342) FEDERAL TAXES FROM NEW JERSEY, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 49 Per Capita $6,705 $(19,076) National National Rank Avg. 2 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National NEW JERSEY, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $504 41 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,097 50 1,693 Social Security 1,452 35 1,508 Medicare 765 18 761 Assistance programs 543 34 616 $4,362 47 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1998 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 4 3 34 15 36 ith overall per capita receipts of Federal funds ranking 47th in the nation, one-fifth below the national average, and Federal tax payments ranking 2nd, one-fifth above the national average, New Jersey has one of the highest deficits in the nation. Since FY 1993, its deficit has ranked 2nd, and in FY 1999 it reached over $2,300 per capita, the highest value the state has seen since FY 1990. Spending is significantly below the average in both defense funding (44% below average) and non-defense discretionary receipts (about one-third below the average, and last in the nation). In keeping with its relatively low poverty rate, New Jersey also receives about 10% less than the national average in Federal funding for assistance programs. Only in the Social Security and Medicare areas does the state receive approximately the same amount as the average state. New Jersey’s high per capita income, 4th in the nation and more than 10% above the average, has persistently generated per capita Federal tax payments among the highest in the nation. In FY 1999, New Jersey sent a total of over $19 billion to Washington, the 3rd highest total in the nation. W PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 88 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 49 49 49 49 49 49 49 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from NJ $5,716 5,795 6,032 6,230 6,244 6,352 6,512 6,534 6,561 6,821 6,848 6,601 6,652 6,514 6,514 6,517 6,705 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in NJ $3,915 4,069 4,196 4,050 3,934 3,924 4,002 4,130 4,296 4,601 4,647 4,581 4,573 4,487 4,507 4,463 4,362 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(1,801) (1,726) (1,836) (2,181) (2,310) (2,429) (2,510) (2,404) (2,265) (2,220) (2,202) (2,021) (2,079) (2,027) (2,006) (2,054) (2,342) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. NM Real Per Capita Income $22,591 Cost of Living Index 0.98 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 22% Residents 65 and Over 11% Residents under 18 28% Rank 50 22 1 39 4 New Mexico BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) ew Mexico has ranked first in the nation in per capita balance of payments surplus with the Federal government since FY 1984. This year, it continues to rank 3rd in overall Federal spending receipts, now capturing nearly half again as much as the average state, and continues to rank 47th in tax payments, more than one-fourth below the average, and this generates a balance of payments surplus of nearly $4,000 per capita, the largest since FY 1992 and FY 1993 (though still about 20% less than the state’s high of over $4,800 per capita in FY 1988). Defense is funded at approximately three times the national average, and 2nd only to Virginia. New Mexico also receives nearly 60% more than the average state in nondefense discretionary spending. Its relatively young population leads to Social Security payments slightly below the average and to Medicare funding nearly onethird below the average. With its lowest-in-the-nation per capita income and its highest-in-the-nation poverty rate, the state receives one-fifth more than the average state in Federal funding for assistance programs. Its low per capita income also drives its relatively low Federal tax burden. Balance of Payments Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% $3,944 1 $6,862 FEDERAL TAXES FROM National National NEW MEXICO, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Federal Taxes $4,048 47 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National NEW MEXICO, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $2,655 2 $907 Non-defense discretionary 2,678 8 1,693 Social Security 1,387 38 1,508 Medicare 530 43 761 Assistance programs 742 10 616 $7,992 3 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Population: 1.7 million N PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% BO 00 -$ 5 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 15 HI 10 +10% P= +$ ap ita rc WY OK -$ BOP Rank 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Federal Spending in NM Taxes from NM $6,636 $3,949 7,095 3,948 7,178 4,001 7,380 3,950 7,475 3,808 8,424 3,618 7,426 3,570 7,534 3,629 7,720 3,834 8,129 4,094 8,303 4,189 7,873 4,164 7,885 4,233 7,725 4,225 7,677 4,074 7,811 4,032 7,992 4,048 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $2,687 3,147 3,177 3,430 3,667 4,806 3,856 3,906 3,885 4,035 4,114 3,708 3,651 3,501 3,603 3,778 3,944 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 00 1500 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 89 NY Real Per Capita Income $29,997 Cost of Living Index 1.13 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 19% Residents 65 and Over 13% Residents under 18 24% New York Population: 18.2 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(890) FEDERAL TAXES FROM NEW YORK, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 41 Per Capita $5,834 $(16,189) National National Rank Avg. 14 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National NEW YORK, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $305 48 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,370 41 1,693 Social Security 1,473 32 1,508 Medicare 812 15 761 Assistance programs 985 1 616 $4,944 37 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 10 4 2 17 39 ew York’s total balance of payments deficit with the Federal government, now $16.2 billion, remains the fourth largest in the nation. Its per capita deficit, now about $900, has been relatively steady since 1986. New York’s persistent deficit is the product of durable patterns of lower-than-average Federal spending (overall receipts are now about 10% below the average), combined with relatively high Federal taxes (about 6% above average, driven by the state’s relatively high per capita income). In defense, New York receives only one-third as much as the average, ranking behind all but two other states; in non-defense discretionary spending, it again ranks in the bottom ten states, receiving about 20% less than average. By contrast, New York’s receipts are about average in both Social Security and Medicare. And, in sharp contrast, it receives three-fifths more than the average state, and ranks 1st, in Federal funding for assistance programs. In spite of its high per capita income, New York persistently has a high poverty rate which, together with state policy choices that drive its participation in Federal assistance programs, results in substantial Federal spending in this program area. N PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 90 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 34 34 40 42 43 44 44 44 44 41 41 43 41 41 41 41 41 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from NY $4,940 4,875 5,110 5,377 5,329 5,298 5,402 5,456 5,616 5,788 5,886 5,982 5,978 5,702 5,655 5,801 5,834 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in NY $4,503 4,522 4,580 4,617 4,514 4,294 4,343 4,389 4,631 4,990 4,962 4,879 5,035 4,934 4,953 4,947 4,944 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(438) (353) (530) (760) (815) (1,005) (1,059) (1,068) (986) (798) (924) (1,103) (943) (767) (702) (854) (890) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. NC Real Per Capita Income $28,490 Cost of Living Index 0.92 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 11% Residents 65 and Over 12% Residents under 18 25% Rank 21 43 35 27 26 North Carolina BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) or the fourth year in a row, North Carolina in FY 1999 showed a small balance of payments surplus with the Federal government (now about $150 per capita), with both taxes and expenditures very little changed for the last few years. North Carolina’s balance of payments have been on a generally rising trend since the mid-1980s, the product of expenditures growing at a slightly faster pace than taxes; overall, it now receives about 4% less than the average state but pays about 6% less than the average in taxes as a result of its middle ranking per capita income. Being near the average in both spending and taxes leaves it with a nearly neutral balance of flows with the Federal treasury, and North Carolina is near the average not only in total spending, but in every spending area; its largest deviation is in non-defense discretionary spending, where it receives about 15% less than the average; in all of the other spending areas, it is within about 10% of the national average. North Carolina thus comes close to representing the Federal spending and taxes of the “average” state, closely mirroring the national mix of Federal spending. Balance of Payments Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% $146 30 $1,115 FEDERAL TAXES FROM National National N. CAROLINA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Federal Taxes $5,141 27 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National N. CAROLINA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $898 24 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,415 37 1,693 Social Security 1,666 16 1,508 Medicare 677 29 761 Assistance programs 631 19 616 $5,287 33 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Population: 7.7 million F PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 30 32 36 37 38 32 36 34 34 33 33 32 32 29 27 30 30 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from NC $3,948 4,065 4,324 4,424 4,369 4,376 4,457 4,465 4,785 4,977 5,109 5,083 5,108 5,191 5,190 5,172 5,141 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in NC $3,763 3,789 3,979 4,076 4,130 4,187 4,245 4,286 4,652 4,977 4,956 4,984 5,066 5,245 5,244 5,238 5,287 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(185) (276) (345) (348) (239) (189) (212) (179) (133) (0) (153) (99) (41) 54 53 66 146 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 91 ND Real Per Capita Income $25,269 Cost of Living Index 0.93 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 13% Residents 65 and Over 15% Residents under 18 25% North Dakota Population: 0.6 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $3,043 FEDERAL TAXES FROM N. DAKOTA, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 4 Per Capita $4,647 $1,928 National National Rank Avg. 36 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National N. DAKOTA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,005 20 $907 Non-defense discretionary 3,745 4 1,693 Social Security 1,624 22 1,508 Medicare 720 23 761 Assistance programs 596 25 616 $7,690 4 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 35 36 22 6 31 ince the mid-1980s, North Dakota has consistently ranked as one of the states with the highest per capita balance of payments surpluses. Its relatively low per capita income (35th in the nation, about 10% below the average) generates FY 1999 tax payments about 15% below average. By contrast, the state receives about 40% more than the average in overall Federal funding. North Dakota’s success in attracting Federal funding is concentrated in the non-defense discretionary area, where it now receives over $3,700 per capita, nearly two and one-quarter times as much as the average state, ranking 4th. In the other spending areas, North Dakota is a middle-ranking state, receiving within about 10% of the national average. While North Dakota is not a major center for defense spending (it ranks 20th, and receives about 10% more than the average), defense spending in the state has been considerably more stable than in other states; its defense spending in FY 1999 is down only about 10% from its mid-1980s peak. North Dakota’s ability to attract a stable flow of defense spending is a major contributing factor to its having had a consistently positive and substantial balance of payments surplus. S PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 92 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 14 15 7 3 3 4 2 4 4 3 4 3 5 7 3 4 4 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from ND $4,646 4,910 4,784 4,547 4,317 4,186 3,949 4,165 4,443 4,720 5,035 4,741 5,041 4,689 4,641 4,544 4,647 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in ND $5,318 5,466 6,211 6,571 6,946 6,506 6,751 6,332 6,822 7,088 7,248 7,352 6,911 6,353 7,285 7,112 7,690 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $672 556 1,426 2,024 2,628 2,320 2,802 2,167 2,380 2,368 2,213 2,611 1,870 1,664 2,644 2,568 3,043 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. OH Real Per Capita Income $27,627 Cost of Living Index 0.98 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 11% Residents 65 and Over 13% Residents under 18 25% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 24 21 36 19 30 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(344) FEDERAL TAXES FROM OHIO, FY 1999 Per Capita Federal Taxes $5,171 34 $(3,873) National National Rank Avg. 26 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National OHIO, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $514 40 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,275 45 1,693 Social Security 1,660 18 1,508 Medicare 786 17 761 Assistance programs 592 26 616 $4,827 40 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Ohio Population: 11.3 million hio’s deficit position with the Federal government has not changed substantially since the early 1980s. With its slightly below average per capita income, Ohio’s Federal tax payments are about 5% below average; its Federal spending, however, is more than 10% below average, leading to a modest but persistent balance of payments deficit, now about $350 per capita and showing only minor variations since 1986. The below-average spending is driven by defense, in which Ohio ranks 40th, at about 45% below the average state, and by non-defense discretionary spending, where it ranks 45th, at about one-quarter below the national average. Ohio’s slightly older-than-average population results in Social Security payments about 10% higher than average. The level (between about $200 and $500 per capita) and ranking (between 34th and 40th) of Ohio’s balance of payments has been remarkably stable for the last 15 years. O PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% BO 00 -$ 5 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 15 HI 10 +10% P= +$ ap ita rc WY OK -$ BOP Rank 38 44 42 38 40 36 35 35 36 38 38 39 39 38 35 35 34 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Federal Spending in OH Taxes from OH $4,006 $4,618 3,792 4,544 4,118 4,723 4,481 4,892 4,266 4,756 4,409 4,699 4,528 4,720 4,582 4,768 4,766 4,986 4,849 5,272 4,961 5,443 4,907 5,420 5,057 5,495 4,909 5,318 4,830 5,242 4,834 5,202 4,827 5,171 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(612) (752) (605) (411) (490) (290) (192) (186) (220) (423) (482) (513) (438) (408) (412) (369) (344) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 93 OK Real Per Capita Income $24,730 Cost of Living Index 0.92 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 12% Residents 65 and Over 13% Residents under 18 26% Oklahoma Population: 3.4 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $1,866 FEDERAL TAXES FROM OKLAHOMA, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 11 Per Capita $4,332 $6,266 National National Rank Avg. 42 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National OKLAHOMA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,255 14 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,864 18 1,693 Social Security 1,685 13 1,508 Medicare 839 11 761 Assistance programs 554 32 616 $6,198 13 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 40 42 25 16 18 klahoma’s balance of payments position has improved steadily and markedly since the early 1980s. In FY 1983, Oklahoma had the 7th largest per capita deficit. Since 1987, Oklahoma has had a balance of payments surplus, which is now over $1,850 per person. Overall Federal spending has grown by about half in real terms since 1983, while tax collections have decreased about 15% in the same period. Defense spending in Oklahoma has persistently run counter to the national trend, rising by more than one-half between FY 1983 and FY 1999 while the nation as a whole declined significantly through the ’80s and ’90s; Oklahoma now ranks 14th in this area, nearly two-fifths above average. Non-defense discretionary spending, Social Security, and Medicare spending all exceed national averages by about 10%. Only in the area of assistance programs is Federal spending in Oklahoma below average (by about 10%), in spite of its approximately average poverty rate and low real per capita income (which is about 15% below the national average). Oklahoma’s low income yields correspondingly low Federal tax collections, the 9th lowest in the nation, more than 20% below the national average. O PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 94 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 44 39 34 32 25 19 20 19 19 16 16 16 13 10 12 13 11 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from OK $5,067 4,873 4,884 4,830 4,566 4,151 4,126 4,216 4,473 4,713 4,744 4,673 4,600 4,458 4,249 4,261 4,332 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in OK $4,170 4,323 4,568 4,805 4,925 5,073 5,093 5,244 5,506 5,865 5,842 5,807 5,832 5,860 5,891 6,016 6,198 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(897) (550) (317) (26) 359 922 967 1,028 1,032 1,153 1,098 1,135 1,233 1,403 1,642 1,755 1,866 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. OR Real Per Capita Income $27,423 Cost of Living Index 0.99 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 12% Residents 65 and Over 13% Residents under 18 25% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 27 20 28 23 34 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(483) FEDERAL TAXES FROM OREGON, FY 1999 36 Per Capita Federal Taxes $5,235 $(1,601) National National Rank Avg. 25 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National OREGON, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $354 45 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,564 29 1,693 Social Security 1,571 27 1,508 Medicare 601 37 761 Assistance programs 662 16 616 $4,752 42 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Oregon Population: 3.3 million regon has had a balance of payments deficit with the Federal government in every year since our sample period began in FY 1983. Its balance of payments situation has been remarkably stable, with deficits generally in the range of $300 to $500 per capita. Since 1991, it has ranked between 36th and 38th in every year. Its FY 1999 deficit is about $500 per capita, driven by overall Federal funding nearly 15% below the average and Federal taxes about 5% below average. Essentially all of its shortfall in receipt of Federal spending is a result of low defense funding; in FY 1999, Oregon ranked 45th in defense, receiving only 40% as much as the average state. Oregon also ranks relatively low in Medicare, receiving about one-fifth less than the average. Its slightly below-average tax collections mirror its per capita income of about 5% less than the national average. O PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 36 36 35 36 37 29 33 32 37 37 37 37 38 37 36 37 36 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from OR $4,497 4,420 4,498 4,571 4,472 4,483 4,476 4,628 4,953 5,216 5,198 5,196 5,307 5,235 5,192 5,227 5,235 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in OR $4,011 4,022 4,162 4,292 4,239 4,421 4,321 4,602 4,626 4,820 4,859 4,908 4,871 4,829 4,780 4,786 4,752 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(486) (398) (336) (280) (232) (62) (155) (25) (326) (396) (339) (288) (436) (406) (412) (441) (483) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 95 PA Real Per Capita Income $27,393 Cost of Living Index 1.05 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 12% Residents 65 and Over 16% Residents under 18 24% Pennsylvania Population: 12.0 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $256 28 $3,076 FEDERAL TAXES FROM National National PENNSYLVANIA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Federal Taxes $5,275 24 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National PENNSYLVANIA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $563 39 Non-defense discretionary 1,450 33 1,693 Social Security 1,812 6 1,508 Medicare 1,022 2 761 684 14 616 $5,531 26 $5,486 Assistance programs Total spending $907 HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 28 10 23 2 45 ennsylvania has had an approximately neutral flow of funds position with the Federal government in every year since our sample period began in FY 1983, with minor variations and a slow trend toward a more positive balance of payments. In FY 1999, with overall spending nearly identical to the national average and taxes about 4% below average, it had a surplus of about $250 per capita. In individual spending areas, however, it differs markedly from national averages; defense spending, in which the state ranks 39th, is about 40% below the national average, while Pennsylvania ranks 6th for Social Security benefits (20% above average) and 2nd for Medicare benefits (one-third above average), reflecting a large elderly population (Pennsylvania has the 2nd highest percentage of people over 65 in the nation). Its slightly below-average tax payments mirror its per capita income of about 5% below the national average. P PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 96 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 28 31 31 35 34 34 37 37 35 32 32 31 26 28 26 25 28 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from PA $4,682 4,581 4,672 4,839 4,681 4,655 4,700 4,843 5,045 5,290 5,384 5,394 5,399 5,316 5,257 5,256 5,275 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in PA $4,548 4,313 4,489 4,583 4,495 4,394 4,445 4,621 4,853 5,295 5,321 5,324 5,565 5,420 5,424 5,474 5,531 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(134) (269) (183) (256) (187) (261) (255) (222) (192) 5 (63) (70) 166 104 167 218 256 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. RI Real Per Capita Income $26,853 Cost of Living Index 1.11 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 16% Residents 65 and Over 16% Residents under 18 24% Rank 32 7 7 3 42 Rhode Island BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) nlike most of its New England neighbors, Rhode Island has consistently had balance of payments surpluses since 1990, and has been on a general trend toward increasingly positive net flows since the mid-1980s. The FY 1999 surplus of about $500 per capita is somewhat smaller than last year as a result of a small decrease in Federal spending and a small increase in tax payments. The FY 1999 surplus comes from overall spending nearly identical to the national average combined with taxes about 10% below the average. In spite of its comparatively large elderly population — only two states have a higher proportion of residents over 65 years of age — Social Security and Medicare receipts are only about 10% above average. In both defense and non-defense discretionary spending, Rhode Island’s receipts are below the national average (about 10% and about 15%, respectively). By contrast, its receipts for assistance programs exceed the national average by one-third, ranking 3rd in the nation, driven by the state’s relatively high poverty rate. Rhode Island differs from its New England neighbors largely because of its lower per capita income (and correspondingly low tax payments). Balance of Payments Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% $528 23 $523 FEDERAL TAXES FROM National National RHODE ISLAND, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Federal Taxes $4,976 31 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National RHODE ISLAND, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $824 27 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,409 38 1,693 Social Security 1,624 21 1,508 Medicare 828 12 761 Assistance programs 819 3 616 $5,504 27 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Population: 1.0 million U PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 26 26 27 33 29 31 32 29 26 24 25 24 23 22 20 21 23 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from RI $4,425 4,490 4,652 4,767 4,652 4,769 4,830 4,832 4,913 5,008 5,174 5,241 5,267 5,103 4,932 4,880 4,976 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in RI $4,664 4,728 4,649 4,733 4,799 4,616 4,676 4,973 5,122 5,483 5,497 5,546 5,762 5,534 5,581 5,634 5,504 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $240 238 (3) (34) 147 (152) (154) 141 209 475 323 304 495 431 649 754 528 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 97 SC Real Per Capita Income $25,463 Cost of Living Index 0.92 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 12% Residents 65 and Over 12% Residents under 18 25% South Carolina Population: 3.9 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $1,265 17 $4,914 FEDERAL TAXES FROM National National S. CAROLINA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Federal Taxes $4,546 37 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National S. CAROLINA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,438 6 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,346 42 1,693 Social Security 1,682 14 1,508 Medicare 665 31 761 Assistance programs 679 15 616 $5,810 22 $5,486 Total spending Rank 34 41 24 34 35 outh Carolina’s balance of payments surplus has been relatively steady at between about $1,000 and $1,300 per capita since FY 1992. With a relatively low per capita income (more than 10% below the national average, ranking 34th), taxes are 17% below average, while total spending is 6% above average. Defense receipts are substantial, at about 60% above the national average and ranking 6th in the nation; the nationwide decline in real defense spending, in which South Carolina participated (though somewhat less than many other states with large defense industries) throughout the 1990s, was offset by increases in other areas as taxes remained essentially constant in real terms. South Carolina’s receipts of non-defense discretionary spending are about one-fifth below the national average. In spite of a roughly average elderly population, South Carolina ranks 14th in Social Security receipts, a little more than 10% above the national average. By contrast, it ranks 31st in Medicare, with receipts about 15% below average. S PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 98 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 11 10 14 15 17 18 16 10 10 11 15 14 14 18 18 18 17 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from SC $3,671 3,741 3,929 3,898 3,836 3,842 3,906 3,875 4,267 4,513 4,575 4,572 4,631 4,647 4,636 4,565 4,546 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in SC $4,510 4,611 4,796 4,798 4,791 4,785 5,101 5,466 5,627 5,829 5,700 5,768 5,750 5,694 5,659 5,724 5,810 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $839 870 867 900 955 943 1,196 1,592 1,360 1,316 1,126 1,196 1,119 1,047 1,023 1,159 1,265 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. SD Real Per Capita Income $27,282 Cost of Living Index 0.92 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 15% Residents 65 and Over 14% Residents under 18 27% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 29 44 9 7 10 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $2,327 8 $1,706 FEDERAL TAXES FROM National National SOUTH DAKOTA, FY1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Federal Taxes $4,949 32 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National SOUTH DAKOTA, FY1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $638 33 $907 Non-defense discretionary 3,720 5 1,693 Social Security 1,678 15 1,508 Medicare 682 28 761 Assistance programs 558 31 616 $7,276 7 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita South Dakota Population: 0.7 million outh Dakota’s balance of payments surplus increased for the fourth year in a row in FY 1999, and now exceeds $2,300 per capita, moving the state into the top ten for the first time since FY 1992. Total Federal spending of about $7,300 per capita, fully one-third more than the average, puts the state 7th in the nation overall. South Dakota’s below-average per capita income leads to Federal taxes 10% below those of the average state; together with its success in attracting Federal funding, this generates a substantial and durable surplus. The FY 1999 improvement in South Dakota’s balance of payments was generated by a sharp increase in non-defense discretionary spending, in which the state now ranks 5th, receiving more than double the national average. By contrast, South Dakota has relatively low defense spending, ranking 33rd at about one-third less than the average. Despite having a high poverty rate, the state receives about 10% less than the average state in Federal funding for assistance programs. Its relatively large elderly population results in Social Security payments about 10% above the average, though its Medicare receipts are about 10% below the average. S PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 9 7 10 5 5 5 3 7 9 9 11 13 17 15 11 12 8 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from SD $3,818 3,833 4,052 3,898 3,798 3,770 3,743 4,031 4,427 4,732 4,928 4,986 5,227 4,806 4,753 4,665 4,949 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in SD $4,833 4,986 5,155 5,630 5,863 5,720 5,976 5,713 6,016 6,203 6,465 6,445 6,280 6,055 6,412 6,503 7,276 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $1,015 1,153 1,103 1,732 2,065 1,950 2,234 1,682 1,590 1,471 1,538 1,458 1,053 1,248 1,659 1,838 2,327 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 99 TN Real Per Capita Income $27,591 Cost of Living Index 0.93 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 13% Residents 65 and Over 12% Residents under 18 24% Tennessee Population: 5.5 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $961 FEDERAL TAXES FROM TENNESSEE, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 19 Per Capita $5,110 $5,270 National National Rank Avg. 28 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National TENNESSEE, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $686 31 $907 Non-defense discretionary 2,029 13 1,693 Social Security 1,722 11 1,508 Medicare 862 10 761 Assistance programs 771 9 616 $6,071 16 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 25 39 21 29 37 ennessee has had a stable, moderately positive balance of payments surplus since our study period began in FY 1983. With taxes 7% below average (driven by per capita income, which falls short of the national average by 3%) and spending 11% above average, in FY 1999 the surplus was nearly $1,000 per capita. Only in the area of defense spending, where it ranks 31st and is about one-quarter below average, does Tennessee fall short of national spending patterns. In nondefense discretionary spending — which includes agricultural subsidies — Tennessee is about 20% above the average, and in Social Security and Medicare it is about 15% above average, ranking between 10th and 15th in the nation in all of these areas. In spite of having a roughly average poverty rate, Tennessee also ranks around 10th in receipt of Federal funds for assistance programs, collecting onequarter more than the average state. T PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 100 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 10 14 20 14 19 25 25 24 21 19 21 20 20 19 19 19 19 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from TN $4,009 4,165 4,290 4,348 4,245 4,293 4,340 4,442 4,652 4,950 5,145 5,219 5,219 5,208 5,224 5,176 5,110 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in TN $4,880 4,869 4,627 5,341 4,981 4,886 4,971 5,141 5,654 5,842 5,906 5,918 5,961 5,903 6,000 6,176 6,071 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $871 704 336 994 736 593 631 700 1,002 891 762 699 742 695 776 1,000 961 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. TX Real Per Capita Income $29,176 Cost of Living Index 0.91 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 15% Residents 65 and Over 10% Residents under 18 29% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 17 48 13 46 3 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(189) FEDERAL TAXES FROM TEXAS, FY 1999 33 Per Capita Federal Taxes $5,566 $(3,789) National National Rank Avg. 18 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National TEXAS, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,037 19 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,801 21 1,693 Social Security 1,278 45 1,508 Medicare 686 26 761 Assistance programs 574 29 616 $5,377 29 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Texas Population: 20.0 million ince 1988, Texas has been very close to a neutral fiscal relationship with the Federal government as Federal spending and tax collections have moved hand in hand. As of FY 1999, Texas’ tax payments were about 1% above the national average (reflecting its approximately average per capita income), with spending about 2% below average and a resulting balance of payments deficit of about $200 per capita. The one major area where Texas was above average in receipt to Federal funds is defense; even here, it barely ranks in the top 20 and receives only about 15% more than the national average. Its rapidly growing (and, hence, relatively young) population leaves per capita Social Security (in which the state ranks 45th) and Medicare payments 15% and 10% below average, respectively, and in spite of a relatively high poverty rate, its receipts of funds for assistance programs is also 7% below average. S PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 48 48 46 45 42 33 30 33 31 34 34 34 33 33 32 33 33 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from TX $5,480 5,274 5,416 5,480 5,109 4,801 4,754 4,854 5,062 5,405 5,504 5,422 5,401 5,357 5,344 5,479 5,566 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in TX $4,148 4,156 4,451 4,604 4,446 4,552 4,751 4,754 5,009 5,225 5,336 5,254 5,347 5,268 5,203 5,226 5,377 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(1,331) (1,118) (965) (877) (663) (249) (3) (100) (53) (181) (169) (169) (54) (90) (142) (252) (189) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 101 UT Real Per Capita Income $23,284 Cost of Living Index 1.00 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 9% Residents 65 and Over 9% Residents under 18 33% Utah Population: 2.1 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $230 FEDERAL TAXES FROM UTAH, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 29 Per Capita $4,094 $490 National National Rank Avg. 46 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National UTAH, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $725 Non-defense discretionary 30 $907 1,854 19 1,693 Social Security 989 49 1,508 Medicare 373 49 761 Assistance programs 385 47 616 $4,324 49 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 46 18 44 49 1 tah’s net flow with the Federal government has fallen steadily since the peak in FY 1987 and is now just a little above neutral; overall spending is about onefifth below average and taxes are about one-quarter below the national average, producing an FY 1999 surplus of about $250 per person. Defense spending, which has decreased 60% from about $1,700 per capita in 1987 to a little over $700 per capita in 1999, is largely responsible for the downward shift. Utah remains next to last in overall Federal spending. All expenditure areas except non-defense discretionary spending are below their national averages. Reflecting its very young population (Utah has the highest proportion of residents under 18 years of age and the second lowest proportion of residents over 65 years of age), it is the 2nd lowest recipient of Social Security and Medicare benefits (at two-thirds and one-half of the national averages, respectively). The state has the 5th lowest real per capita income (18% below the national average) and correspondingly low per capita Federal tax collections; in spite of its low income, it has a low poverty rate and the 4th lowest receipts for assistance programs (at about 40% below the average). U PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 102 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 12 8 13 9 8 7 11 11 15 20 22 21 21 26 28 31 29 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from UT $3,661 3,683 3,727 3,615 3,413 3,305 3,297 3,339 3,552 3,893 3,976 3,967 4,032 4,151 4,240 4,243 4,094 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in UT $4,405 4,824 4,694 5,005 4,987 4,874 4,860 4,842 4,711 4,743 4,674 4,532 4,766 4,343 4,286 4,252 4,324 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $744 1,141 968 1,389 1,574 1,568 1,563 1,503 1,160 850 698 565 734 192 46 9 230 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 00 1500 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. VT Real Per Capita Income $24,984 Cost of Living Index 1.04 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 10% Residents 65 and Over 12% Residents under 18 23% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 38 12 40 32 48 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $343 FEDERAL TAXES FROM VERMONT, FY 1999 26 Per Capita Federal Taxes $4,719 $203 National National Rank Avg. 34 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National VERMONT, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $587 37 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,690 25 1,693 Social Security 1,491 30 1,508 Medicare 574 40 761 Assistance programs 719 11 616 $5,061 36 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Vermont Population: 0.6 million fter declining fairly steadily throughout the 1980s, Vermont’s balance of payments has been on a generally rising trend throughout the 1990s; from a slightly better than neutral position last year, its surplus rose in FY 1999 to about $350 per capita, about the same as it was in FY 1983 and the first time since FY 1983 that it has been above $300 per capita. The trend is the result of a steady increase in receipts of Federal expenditures starting in 1990, combined with roughly level tax payments, with taxes now 14% and overall Federal spending 8% below the national average. Vermont is below the national average for every spending category except assistance programs. Defense spending in the state rose by more than 50% from FY 1998 to FY 1999, but Vermont still ranks only 37th in receipts of defense spending, receiving about one-third less than the national average. It is the 11th lowest recipient of Medicare benefits, one-quarter below average. In spite of its comparatively low poverty rate, Vermont ranks 11th in receipts of Federal funds for assistance programs, 17% above average. Its comparatively low Federal tax payments mirror its per capita income, a little more than 10% below the national average. A PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% High Spending Low Taxes 3000 VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 0 P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 24 25 25 34 36 39 38 40 38 36 35 36 30 27 29 27 26 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from VT $3,839 3,817 3,887 4,052 4,119 4,209 4,291 4,516 4,619 4,730 4,786 4,796 4,784 4,676 4,639 4,660 4,719 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in VT $4,193 4,098 4,077 3,903 3,911 3,853 3,995 3,894 4,220 4,451 4,502 4,526 4,803 4,826 4,678 4,827 5,061 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $354 281 190 (149) (208) (355) (296) (623) (398) (280) (284) (270) 18 150 39 167 343 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 103 VA Real Per Capita Income $30,917 Cost of Living Index 0.95 Poverty Rate 12% Residents 65 and Over 11% Residents Under 18 24% Virginia Population: 6.9 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $3,069 FEDERAL TAXES FROM VIRGINIA, FY 1999 Federal Taxes 3 Per Capita $5,756 $21,094 National National Rank Avg. 15 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National VIRGINIA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $3,685 1 $907 Non-defense discretionary 2,851 7 1,693 Social Security 1,382 39 1,508 588 39 761 320 50 616 $8,825 1 $5,486 Medicare Assistance programs Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 8 27 29 44 43 irginia’s total surplus, now over $21 billion, was once again the highest in the country, more than twice that of the second highest state (Maryland). Consistently high Federal spending drives Virginia’s balance. Virginia continues to rank 1st in overall per capita receipts of Federal funding (this year, more than 60% above the average), a position it has held in all but two years since our sample period began in FY 1983. Virginia continues to lead the nation in defense spending by a wide margin, receiving more than four times the national average and about 40% more than the next highest defense recipient (New Mexico). It also receives two-thirds more than the average in non-defense discretionary programs, ranking 7th. By contrast, it is the lowest recipient of funding for assistance programs, receiving only about one-half of the national average, and the 2nd lowest recipient of Federal grants to state and local governments (which includes Medicaid, the largest component of assistance programs). Its relatively high 8th ranking per capita income (8% above the national average) generates tax payments 5% above average. V PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 4000 High Spending Low Taxes 3500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 AK 00 +$ 1000 15 MT +$ SD 104 P= +$ rc 00 10 FL TN 00 KS 00 NE PA GA TX WA CO NC 00 RI MA -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ 15 SC ME 00 ap ita BO AR KY LA 20 BOP Rank 1 3 2 2 2 2 6 2 3 4 3 4 2 3 2 2 3 HI -$ Federal Taxes from VA $5,038 5,066 5,224 5,330 5,231 5,296 5,350 5,356 5,556 5,796 5,958 5,873 5,916 5,924 5,792 5,824 5,756 +10% 25 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in VA $7,772 7,187 7,609 7,646 8,067 8,770 7,362 7,809 7,985 8,041 8,327 8,227 8,886 8,416 8,571 8,793 8,825 WY OK -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $2,734 2,122 2,386 2,316 2,836 3,474 2,012 2,454 2,428 2,245 2,369 2,353 2,970 2,491 2,779 2,969 3,069 MO -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) AL -$ RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS WV MS -$ 5 DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS +20% pe 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS NATIONAL AVERAGE 0 0 50 500 0 +$ 10 +30% 00 ND 20 +40% 1500 +$ 25 2000 00 2500 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 3000 NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. WA Real Per Capita Income $29,100 Cost of Living Index 1.04 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 10% Residents 65 and Over 11% Residents under 18 26% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 18 11 39 42 22 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(533) 37 $(3,070) FEDERAL TAXES FROM National National WASHINGTON, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Federal Taxes $5,872 12 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National WASHINGTON, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $1,377 8 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,490 31 1,693 Social Security 1,325 43 1,508 Medicare 527 45 761 Assistance programs 619 22 616 $5,339 31 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Washington Population: 5.8 million ith small decreases in receipts of Federal funding in most spending areas and a small increase in tax payments, in FY 1999, Washington’s balance of payments with the Federal government continued its general downward trend, begun in 1985, reaching a deficit of over $530 per capita. The story of Washington’s balance of payments position is the story of the nation’s secular decline in real defense spending. Defense spending has declined from a high of over $2,300 per capita in 1983 to a low of about $1,150 in 1994; it has now increased slightly to about $1,400 per capita. Largely as a consequence, Washington moved from 6th to 31st place in overall spending between FY 1983 and FY 1999. Despite its decline, defense spending is still more than 50% above the national average, 8th in the country. With a relatively small elderly population, Washington ranks 43rd for Social Security and 45th for Medicare, 12% and 31% below the national average, respectively. Its total Federal spending is 3% below average, with taxes about 5% above average (due to its above-average per capita income), resulting in a modest balance of payments deficit. W PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% BO 00 -$ 5 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 15 HI 10 +10% P= +$ ap ita rc WY OK -$ BOP Rank 15 22 15 19 21 21 24 28 32 35 40 38 31 34 33 34 37 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Federal Spending in WA Taxes from WA $5,865 $5,228 5,410 5,026 5,821 4,966 5,816 5,028 5,713 5,015 5,655 4,891 5,577 4,938 5,269 5,005 5,269 5,355 5,518 5,796 5,453 5,991 5,564 5,864 5,707 5,738 5,563 5,708 5,494 5,636 5,414 5,770 5,339 5,872 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $637 384 855 789 698 764 638 264 (86) (278) (538) (300) (31) (145) (143) (355) (533) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 00 1500 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 105 WV Real Per Capita Income $23,011 Cost of Living Index 0.91 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 15% Residents 65 and Over 15% Residents under 18 22% West Virginia Population: 1.8 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $2,808 FEDERAL TAXES FROM W. VIRGINIA, FY 1999 Federal Taxes Per Capita $3,916 5 $5,074 National National Rank Avg. 49 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National W. VIRGINIA, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $419 44 Non-defense discretionary 2,036 12 1,693 Social Security 2,332 1 1,508 Medicare 968 4 761 Assistance programs 967 2 616 $6,724 8 $5,486 Total spending $907 HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 47 49 14 4 50 est Virginia’s balance of payments position has significantly improved over the past 15 years. Economic stagnation in the mid-1980s reduced Federal tax collections, and high poverty and disability rates have resulted in increasing social assistance payments. Starting from an approximately neutral position in 1983, West Virginia’s steadily rising receipts (now about one-quarter above the average and 8th overall) combined with low Federal tax burdens (now nearly 30% below average, the 2nd lowest) to produce a 5th-ranking balance of payments surplus of $2,800 per capita in FY 1999. West Virginia now ranks first for Social Security benefits (more than half again as high as the national average); fourth for Medicare (27% above average), and second for assistance programs (57% above average). West Virginia also ranks relatively high in non-defense discretionary spending, 12th in the nation at about 20% above the average. Only in defense does it rank below the average of other states, receiving less than half the average. Its low per capita income (4th lowest at 19% below the national average) produces correspondingly low Federal tax payments. W PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 106 BO 00 -$ 5 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 15 HI 10 +10% P= +$ ap ita rc WY OK -$ BOP Rank 23 23 18 20 18 15 13 9 5 6 5 5 3 4 4 3 5 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Federal Spending in WV Taxes from WV $4,420 $4,037 4,317 3,954 4,329 3,903 4,615 3,857 4,486 3,736 4,742 3,601 4,979 3,587 5,266 3,639 5,748 3,924 6,061 4,238 6,432 4,327 6,350 4,305 6,742 4,327 6,446 4,246 6,482 4,095 6,635 3,926 6,724 3,916 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $383 363 425 759 751 1,141 1,392 1,627 1,824 1,824 2,105 2,045 2,415 2,200 2,387 2,710 2,808 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. WI Real Per Capita Income $28,790 Cost of Living Index 0.95 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 8% Residents 65 and Over 13% Residents under 18 26% Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% Rank 19 28 50 21 24 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $(887) FEDERAL TAXES FROM WISCONSIN, FY 1999 40 Per Capita Federal Taxes $5,409 $(4,659) National National Rank Avg. 21 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National WISCONSIN, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $284 49 $907 Non-defense discretionary 1,333 43 1,693 Social Security 1,688 12 1,508 Medicare 645 34 761 Assistance programs 571 30 616 $4,521 46 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Wisconsin Population: 5.3 million ike its neighboring Great Lakes states, Wisconsin is consistently a “donor” state, with a large and stable deficit with the Federal government; in FY 1999, it was again about $900 per capita. Wisconsin has ranked among the bottom five in Federal spending since 1991; this year it is 5th, 18% below the national average. Wisconsin ranked second to last in defense spending, receiving a little less than one-third as much as the average state. Its receipts in non-defense discretionary programs are 20% below average, and Medicare receipts are 15% below average. It has one of the lowest poverty rates in the country, but nonetheless receives only about 5% below the average funding for assistance programs. Only in Social Security are its receipts higher than average, by a little over 10%, ranking 12th. Wisconsin’s per capita income is very close to the national average, and correspondingly its Federal tax collections are about average. Among states with roughly average taxes, Wisconsin has one of the largest balance of payments deficits; only New Hampshire has a larger deficit driven by below-average receipts of Federal funds. L PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% P= +$ -$ 5 rc 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 00 ap ita BO HI 10 +10% 15 BOP Rank 43 43 45 43 44 43 42 42 43 42 42 41 42 44 42 42 40 WY OK -$ Federal Taxes from WI $4,573 4,473 4,661 4,735 4,685 4,680 4,719 4,894 5,081 5,419 5,533 5,514 5,581 5,440 5,408 5,383 5,409 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Spending in WI $3,756 3,742 3,781 3,950 3,862 3,988 4,247 4,179 4,275 4,537 4,588 4,559 4,432 4,328 4,455 4,497 4,521 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(818) (731) (880) (785) (823) (692) (472) (715) (806) (882) (945) (956) (1,149) (1,112) (953) (886) (887) WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS 2500 High Spending High Taxes NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. 107 WY Real Per Capita Income $27,102 Cost of Living Index 0.96 1998 Adj Poverty Rate 14% Residents 65 and Over 12% Residents under 18 26% Wyoming Population: 0.5 million BALANCE OF PAYMENTS National Total FY 1999 Per Capita Rank (millions) Balance of Payments $386 FEDERAL TAXES FROM WYOMING, FY 1999 Federal Taxes Per Capita $5,951 24 $185 National National Rank Avg. 8 $5,486 FEDERAL SPENDING IN National National WYOMING, FY 1999 Per Capita Rank Avg. Defense (incl. veterans' benefits) $769 29 $907 Non-defense discretionary 3,062 6 1,693 Social Security 1,472 33 1,508 Medicare 574 41 761 Assistance programs 461 42 616 $6,338 12 $5,486 Total spending HISTORICAL TRENDS 1983–1999 Federal Spending Per Capita Rank 30 25 20 37 14 yoming experienced a structural shift in its fiscal relations with the Federal government when intergovernmental grants from the Minerals Management Service rose sharply in the early 1980s, moving the state from a significant balance of payments deficit to a modest surplus, which in FY 1999 increased by about $150 per capita to around $400. Overall Federal spending is a little more than 15% above average, exclusively because of spending on non-defense discretionary programs, in which spending is 81% higher than average and which accounts for nearly all of the increase in Federal spending in the state this year; in every other spending area, Wyoming’s receipts from the Federal government are below average. Defense spending in Wyoming is 15% below average (but has not shared in the secular decline of the industry). In spite of having a somewhat smaller elderly population than average, Wyoming’s receipts of Social Security benefits is about average, but in both Medicare and funding for assistance programs it falls about 25% short of average and Wyoming ranks about 10th from the bottom. W PERPER CAPITA CAPITA TAXES TAXES ANDAND SPENDING SPENDING COMPARED COMPARED TO NATIONAL TO NATIONAL AVERAGES, AVERAGES, FY 1999 FY 1999 +70% 3000 High Spending Low Taxes 2500 High Spending High Taxes VA +60% 2000 MD 30 00 +50% +$ NM 00 1500 00 AK 00 +$ SD +$ 10 +30% 108 BO 00 -$ 5 00 KS 00 NE PA WA CO 00 GA TX NC MA 25 RI -$ VT -10% NY DE MN CA OH OR IN MI IL WI -20% CT 30 ID 00 IA AZ -$ SC ME FL TN 00 AR KY LA 15 HI 10 +10% P= +$ ap ita rc WY OK -$ BOP Rank 49 41 33 40 32 17 22 22 24 25 30 25 24 25 21 24 24 MO 20 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Federal Federal Spending in WY Taxes from WY $4,095 $5,885 4,838 5,444 4,906 5,200 4,639 5,164 4,725 4,770 5,282 4,292 5,098 4,294 5,441 4,605 5,429 5,063 5,722 5,389 5,705 5,676 5,807 5,543 5,930 5,636 5,761 5,511 5,897 5,280 6,083 5,840 6,338 5,951 AL -$ FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY FY Balance of Payments $(1,790) (606) (294) (525) (44) 990 804 836 366 333 29 264 294 249 617 243 386 WV MS -$ BALANCE OF PAYMENTS PER CAPITA (1999 Dollars) +20% pe RETIREMENT AND DISABILITY OTHER DIRECT PAYMENTS NATIONAL AVERAGE DEFENSE SPENDING* GRANTS 0 50 0 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 FISCAL YEARS +$ 0 15 MT 00 ND 20 +40% 500 +$ 25 1000 FEDERAL SPENDING IN EACH STATE 1999 DOLLARS Nat’l. Avg. $28,518 1.00 14% 13% 26% NV UT Low Spending Low Taxes NJ Low Spending High Taxes NH -30% -30% -20% -10% NATIONAL AVERAGE +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% FEDERAL TAX COLLECTIONS FROM EACH STATE All figures have been adjusted for cost of living variations between the states (1999 dollars). National averages include Washington, DC. Please refer to Appendix B for methodology. *Defense spending in this study includes military retirement starting in FY 1996 and all veterans’ benefits starting in FY 1998. Appendix A Data Sources A. Expenditure Data Sources Data on expenditures in FY 1999 are from the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, annual report Consolidated Federal Funds Report: 1999, which substitutes for the Federal Expenditures by State report, now discontinued.1 With the enactment of Public Law 97-326, providing for the establishment of a new system to collect data on the geographic distribution of Federal funds, the Bureau of the Census in the Department of Commerce developed a system to collect and release geographic data beginning with FY 1981. However, due to the methodological changes introduced by the Census in the 1998 CFFR report, we are only able to conduct our analysis using 17 years of Census data with some measure of confidence that year-to-year comparisons are meaningful and reliable indicators of prevailing trends. The dollar amounts reported by the Census Bureau in the CFFR report can represent either actual expenditures or obligations. As a general guide, the grants and procurement data in the CFFR report represent obligated funds, while the salaries, wages and direct payments show actual expenditures. The Census reports are especially useful because of their clear presentation of expenditures for major Federal programs by state, and their aggregation of expenditures into the categories of grants, procurement, salaries and wages, retirement and disability, and other direct payments. The system developed by the Census Bureau reports all Federal spending, except amounts that are intentionally excluded from the CFFR or for which data could not be obtained. Excluded amounts include items that could not be geographically distributed, such as interest on Federal government debt, travel expenses when not provided under contract, and international payments and foreign aid. For some agencies, data for selected object categories could not be obtained, including procurement actions of the judicial and legislative sectors of the Federal government and expenditures other than salaries for certain government corporations. The Bureau notes that comparison of the Federal budget amount with the data reported in the CFFR can be misleading, since the Federal budget amounts differ from the CFFR in accounting concepts and the treatment of intergovernmental transfers. Interested readers should see the CFFR for additional information on report coverage, methodology, data sources, and spending categories. B. Regional Tax Data We continue to rely on data describing the incidence of Federal taxes published by the Tax Foundation and supplied by the staff of the Foundation to the researchers. Data for earlier years were included in Spe- cial Reports or supplied by the staff of the Foundation. For many years, the Tax Foundation has estimated the geographic origins of Federal taxes. These calculations require adjustments to the tax collection data presented by the Internal Revenue Service. The most important adjustments in calculating tax burdens are in the allocations of income, payroll, and corporate income taxes. The Tax Foundation allocates income taxes on the basis of taxpayers’ places of residence and makes other adjustments in measuring the incidence of other types of taxes. C. Personal Income Data Estimates of personal income for 1983 through 1999 are from the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, and were taken from the Bureau’s website, at http://www.bea.doc.gov/bea/ regional/spi/recent.htm. Personal income for 1987 through 1997 in previous reports are from “Table J.3. Per Capita Personal Income and Per Capita Disposable Personal Income for States and Regions,” Survey of Current Business, published also by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Table 3 of the Survey of Current Business, April 1994, and personal income figures for 1984 through 1986 are from Table 1 of the Survey of Current Business, August 1990. All personal income figures are divided by the 109 APPENDIX A: DATA SOURCES state’s population figures for 1983 through 1999 to derive the per capita figures. D. State Cost of Living Indexes All state tax, spending, and income data were deflated by a state cost of living index (COL index) which had originally been created by Herman (Dutch) Leonard and Monica Friar for a study comparing state and local spending across states. The state COL index, with National Average 1999 = 1.00, was constructed in three steps. First, an annual CPI for selected metropolitan areas (MSAs), 4 overall regions, and 4 non-metropolitan regions was constructed with urban United States = 1.00 for each year (i.e., 1979 urban U.S. = 1.00, 1980 urban U.S. = 1.00, etc.). These indexes were then adjusted so that only 1999 urban U.S. = 1.00. Finally, a state CPI was constructed as a population-weighted average of the MSA and regional CPIs. The annual CPI for each MSA was based on the 1981 urban family budgets, which shows the relative cost of living in 25 metropolitan statistical areas and in the non-metropolitan areas of four regions, with U.S. urban average cost = 100. The source of this data is “Table 5. Indexes of comparative costs based on an intermediate budget for a 4person family” from Autumn, 1981 Urban Family Budgets and Comparative Indexes for Selected Urban Areas, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor. A regional metropolitan figure was constructed 110 by taking the weighted average of the individual MSA figures in each region. Autumn, 1981 was the last release of this data. Annual growth rates of the MSA and regional CPIs were then applied successively (and regressively) to the 1981 family budget. Sources of the growth rates are the “All items” component of “Table 17A. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Selected areas,” “Table 12A. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Regions,” and “Table 14A. Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Cross-classification of region and population sizes,” CPI Detailed Report, January, U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics. These data are available annually (although table numbers vary from year to year). The 16-year series was then converted so that National Average 1999 = 1.00. A cost of living index for each state for each year was then constructed by taking a weighted average of the CPIs of the component MSAs, the overall urban regions, and the regions of “size class D” (which corresponds to areas of fewer than 50,000 people). The MSA’s own index was used for the proportion of the state’s population in that specific metropolitan area. The regional CPI index was used for the remaining metropolitan population and the “size class D” CPI index was used for the non-metropolitan population. The source of the 1990 urban population data is Appendix B, “Metropolitan Statistical Areas and their Components,” 1993 County and City Extra: Annual Metro, City and County Data Book, Bernan Press, Lanham, MD. E. State Population Figures State population figures and estimates of the number of residents over 65 and under 18 years old were taken from the U.S. Bureau of the Census website, at http://www.census.gov/population/ www/estimates/statepop.html. F. State Poverty Rates The poverty rates for 1998, adjusted for state cost of living differences and using income measures net of state transfer payments, were generated by Assistant Professor Jon Haveman of the Krannert School of Management, Purdue University, using the Census Bureau’s March, Current Population Report series tapes, the same tapes used to generate the official poverty rate. The income distributions of each state were adjusted by the state cost of living indexes and then the number of people with incomes below the official poverty threshold were calculated. 1 This data series is continued in a new publication, The Federal Aid to States, which is one of two publications that now comprise the Census Bureau’s Consolidated Federal Funds Report series. Appendix B Methodology Calculating the Balance of Payments 1. Adjustments to Expenditures The calculations of Federal expenditures allocated to states are based on the reconciliation of two sources of data, the Consolidated Federal Funds Report, published by the Census Bureau, and the Budget of the United States Government, published by the Office of Management and Budget. While the Census Bureau does attempt to reconcile their data with the Federal budget, the two are not completely comparable. Over the past seven years, the Census measure of expenditures distributed domestically has accounted for about fourfifths of total Federal outlays published by the Office of Management and Budget. Some areas of the budget, like foreign aid and some military spending, are spent overseas, so are not included in the Census data. No consistent methodology has been established to distribute other areas of spending such as net interest, deposit insurance or undistributed (by program) offsetting receipts. Finally, the amounts shown in the report for defense expenditures include all spending by the Department of Defense plus Department of Energy spending on defense-related activities and military retirement, disability payments, and other veterans’ benefits. 2. Adjustments to Receipts The next step in measuring a state’s net flow of funds is to determine the distribution of tax payments by state. Since the tax collections data published by the IRS show which states collect the taxes rather than those states that bear the burden of Federal taxes, this report continues to use, as it has in past years, state-by-state tax estimates published by the nonprofit and non-partisan Tax Foundation. The Tax Foundation figures correspond exactly to the “taxes” portion of Federal receipts published in the U.S. budget and include individual and corporate income taxes, social insurance taxes, excise taxes, estate and gift taxes, and customs duties. The Tax Foundation figures do not include “miscellaneous receipts,” which is largely the deposit of earnings by the Federal Reserve System, nor do they include contributions to their retirement by Federal employees. Another difficulty in determining a state’s balance of payments position with the Federal government is the treatment of the Federal surplus or deficit. Even when focusing on domestic spending, there is a discrepancy between outlays and taxes raised. Between FY 1987 and FY 1991 and again in FY 1994 through FY 1999, there were surpluses; the total taxes raised were greater than allocable domestic spending. Early versions of this report treated the “domestic deficit” or the “domestic surplus” as a free resource and did not attempt to balance total expenditures with tax pay- ments nor to estimate by state the financing of the deficit. Although not likely to substantially affect the states’ balance of payments positions relative to each other, not measuring the impact of the domestic deficit (surplus) does increase (decrease) each state’s absolute flow of funds. So we have made the underlying economic assumption that all domestic spending must be paid for today. We have proportionately increased or decreased each state’s taxes so that total taxes paid by the states is equal to the total allocable domestic expenditures. 3. Cost of Living Adjustments It is apparent that the nominal wealth of a state (in terms of average per capita income) is a key factor in the balance of payments equation through its influence on Federal tax burdens and the distribution of the means-tested portion of allocable Federal expenditures. However, Federal tax policy does not take into account discrepancies in cost of living across states nor do Federal programs (with the notable exceptions of some entitlement programs such as Medicare and Medicaid) adjust the level of outlays to regional cost of living differences. The real level of services provided by a given level of nominal spending will vary depending on the costs of providing those services in a state. Residents in higher-cost states can expect to receive fewer real services from a 111 APPENDIX B: METHODOLOGY given nominal level of Federal spending. In addition, changes in costs over time will affect the real level of services even within a state over time. We attempt to analyze the impact of differential costs of living on the states’ balance of payments positions using a state cost of living index, which we developed for a previous study comparing state and local spending across states. Those indexes have been updated to reflect cost differences in 1999. The index measures the relative changes in costs across states and across time for the past 17 years using annual regional and selected area CPIs applied to family budget data. (For a more detailed explanation of this data adjustment, see Appendix A.) Each state’s (and the District of Columbia’s) spending and taxes have been divided by its cost of living index. Except where otherwise noted, all state spending and tax figures will be reported in cost-adjusted 1999 dollars. 4. Calculating the Balance of Payments Each state’s balance of payments was then calculated by subtracting total Federal tax payments per capita from total Federal expenditures (with the adjustments as indicated above) per capita. 112 Appendix C: Fiscal Year 1999 Data TABLE C-1 Balance of Payments, FY 1999 (adjusted by state COL Index) State Per Capita AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC $2,091 2,777 904 1,633 (685) (620) (2,840) (1,025) 47 (29) 1,982 829 (1,669) (399) 750 373 1,595 1,576 1,324 1,770 (895) (1,042) (1,294) 2,684 1,187 3,109 320 (1,583) (1,787) (2,342) 3,944 (890) 146 3,043 (344) 1,866 (483) 256 528 1,265 2,327 961 (189) 230 343 3,069 (533) 2,808 (887) 386 42,514 Total Rank (in millions) 9 6 20 13 39 38 50 43 31 32 10 21 47 35 22 25 14 15 16 12 42 44 45 7 18 2 27 46 48 49 1 41 30 4 34 11 36 28 23 17 8 19 33 29 26 3 37 5 40 24 $9,139 1,720 4,319 4,166 (22,688) (2,514) (9,320) (772) 707 (228) 2,350 1,038 (20,241) (2,373) 2,151 990 6,317 6,892 1,660 9,155 (5,526) (10,277) (6,180) 7,431 6,490 2,745 533 (2,865) (2,147) (19,076) 6,862 (16,189) 1,115 1,928 (3,873) 6,266 (1,601) 3,076 523 4,914 1,706 5,270 (3,789) 490 203 21,094 (3,070) 5,074 (4,659) 185 22,065 TABLE C-2 State Cost of Living Indexes (Nat’l. Avg. 1999 = 1) TABLE C-3 Federal Spending, Taxes, and Balance of Payments Per Capita, FY 1999 (adjusted by state COL Index) State State Spending AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC $6,610 7,649 5,617 5,871 4,909 5,303 5,224 4,851 6,121 5,493 5,937 5,178 4,592 4,686 5,820 5,832 6,111 6,008 5,539 8,334 5,361 4,682 4,775 6,589 6,544 7,389 5,624 4,355 4,067 4,362 7,992 4,944 5,287 7,690 4,827 6,198 4,752 5,531 5,504 5,810 7,276 6,071 5,377 4,324 5,061 8,825 5,339 6,724 4,521 6,338 49,965 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC COL 99 Rank 0.927 1.114 1.004 0.910 1.021 1.011 1.122 1.030 0.943 0.917 1.217 0.951 1.003 0.963 0.934 0.933 0.917 0.928 1.049 0.974 1.142 0.950 0.950 0.904 0.929 0.954 0.938 1.008 1.085 1.137 0.977 1.132 0.920 0.931 0.980 0.922 0.989 1.047 1.107 0.923 0.920 0.927 0.909 1.003 1.036 0.954 1.041 0.908 0.952 0.959 1.042 40 6 17 47 14 15 5 13 32 46 1 29 19 24 34 35 45 38 9 23 2 31 30 50 37 26 33 16 8 3 22 4 43 36 21 42 20 10 7 41 44 39 48 18 12 27 11 49 28 25 Rank 9 5 24 19 38 32 34 39 14 28 18 35 45 43 21 20 15 17 25 2 30 44 41 10 11 6 23 48 50 47 3 37 33 4 40 13 42 26 27 22 7 16 29 49 36 1 31 8 46 12 Taxes $4,519 4,872 4,713 4,238 5,593 5,923 8,064 5,876 6,074 5,523 3,955 4,349 6,260 5,085 5,071 5,459 4,516 4,432 4,215 6,564 6,256 5,724 6,069 3,905 5,358 4,279 5,304 5,938 5,854 6,705 4,048 5,834 5,141 4,647 5,171 4,332 5,235 5,275 4,976 4,546 4,949 5,110 5,566 4,094 4,719 5,756 5,872 3,916 5,409 5,951 7,451 Rank 38 33 35 44 17 10 1 11 6 19 48 41 4 29 30 20 39 40 45 3 5 16 7 50 22 43 23 9 13 2 47 14 27 36 26 42 25 24 31 37 32 28 18 46 34 15 12 49 21 8 Balance of Payments $2,091 2,777 904 1,633 (685) (620) (2,840) (1,025) 47 (29) 1,982 829 (1,669) (399) 750 373 1,595 1,576 1,324 1,770 (895) (1,042) (1,294) 2,684 1,187 3,109 320 (1,583) (1,787) (2,342) 3,944 (890) 146 3,043 (344) 1,866 (483) 256 528 1,265 2,327 961 (189) 230 343 3,069 (533) 2,808 (887) 386 42,514 Rank 9 6 20 13 39 38 50 43 31 32 10 21 47 35 22 25 14 15 16 12 42 44 45 7 18 2 27 46 48 49 1 41 30 4 34 11 36 28 23 17 8 19 33 29 26 3 37 5 40 24 113 APPENDIX C TABLE C-4 Per Capita Spending by Program by State, FY 1999 (adjusted by state COL index) State Defense (inc. veterans’ benefits) Spending Rank Non-defense Discretionary Spending Rank Social Security Spending Rank Medicare Spending Rank Assistance Programs Spending Rank AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID $1,320 2,194 1,361 595 943 1,408 1,046 615 1,058 1,322 2,391 1,166 11 4 9 36 23 7 18 34 17 10 3 15 $1,964 3,786 1,689 1,772 1,439 1,884 1,156 1,458 1,392 1,626 1,441 1,616 15 2 26 22 36 16 49 32 40 27 35 28 $1,802 657 1,474 1,932 1,195 1,143 1,543 1,578 2,025 1,360 1,107 1,412 7 50 31 3 46 47 28 26 2 40 48 37 $917 234 657 870 708 513 817 685 1,200 666 456 505 5 50 32 8 25 46 14 27 1 30 48 47 $607 779 435 703 624 355 661 514 445 520 541 479 23 8 45 12 21 48 17 39 44 38 35 41 IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC 354 493 325 898 970 788 1,110 1,895 836 265 432 1,285 1,293 596 657 944 576 504 2,655 305 898 46 42 47 25 21 28 16 5 26 50 43 13 12 35 32 22 38 41 2 48 24 1,442 1,318 2,409 2,083 1,702 1,815 1,399 3,768 1,528 1,197 1,713 1,877 1,966 3,939 2,177 1,172 1,189 1,097 2,678 1,370 1,415 34 44 9 11 24 20 39 3 30 46 23 17 14 1 10 48 47 50 8 41 37 1,501 1,663 1,837 1,646 1,858 1,597 1,589 1,322 1,415 1,742 1,455 1,776 1,776 1,624 1,614 1,349 1,358 1,452 1,387 1,473 1,666 29 17 5 19 4 24 25 44 36 10 34 9 8 20 23 42 41 35 38 32 16 755 719 720 758 800 1,001 648 762 891 824 595 863 881 630 629 561 528 765 530 812 677 21 24 22 20 16 3 33 19 6 13 38 9 7 35 36 42 44 18 43 15 29 540 492 529 447 781 807 794 587 691 655 581 788 629 599 547 330 415 543 742 985 631 36 40 37 43 7 4 5 27 13 18 28 6 20 24 33 49 46 34 10 1 19 ND OH OK OR 1,005 514 1,255 354 20 40 14 45 3,745 1,275 1,864 1,564 4 45 18 29 1,624 1,660 1,685 1,571 22 18 13 27 720 786 839 601 23 17 11 37 596 592 554 662 25 26 32 16 PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC 563 824 1,438 638 686 1,037 725 587 3,685 1,377 419 284 769 6,295 39 27 6 33 31 19 30 37 1 8 44 49 29 1,450 1,409 1,346 3,720 2,029 1,801 1,854 1,690 2,851 1,490 2,036 1,333 3,062 39,471 33 38 42 5 13 21 19 25 7 31 12 43 6 1,812 1,624 1,682 1,678 1,722 1,278 989 1,491 1,382 1,325 2,332 1,688 1,472 1,242 6 21 14 15 11 45 49 30 39 43 1 12 33 1,022 828 665 682 862 686 373 574 588 527 968 645 574 1,083 2 12 31 28 10 26 49 40 39 45 4 34 41 684 819 679 558 771 574 385 719 320 619 967 571 461 1,875 14 3 15 31 9 29 47 11 50 22 2 30 42 114 APPENDIX C TABLE C-5 Per Capita Taxes and Spending by Program Area, FY 1999 (nominal 1999 dollars, unadjusted by state COL index) Taxes Total Spending State Defense (inc. veterans’ benefits) Non-defense Discretionary Social Security Medicare Assistance Programs AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID $4,189 5,428 4,734 3,857 5,708 5,990 9,049 6,053 5,727 5,062 4,814 4,137 $6,127 8,521 5,642 5,343 5,010 5,364 5,862 4,997 5,772 5,035 7,228 4,925 $1,224 2,444 1,367 541 962 1,424 1,174 634 998 1,212 2,911 1,109 $1,821 4,218 1,697 1,612 1,469 1,906 1,298 1,502 1,313 1,490 1,754 1,537 $1,670 731 1,481 1,758 1,220 1,156 1,732 1,626 1,910 1,246 1,348 1,343 $850 260 660 791 722 519 916 705 1,132 610 555 480 $563 867 437 640 637 359 742 530 420 476 659 456 IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC 6,277 4,899 4,737 5,095 4,142 4,114 4,422 6,395 7,144 5,437 5,766 3,529 4,975 4,084 4,978 5,986 6,353 7,625 3,953 6,602 4,732 4,604 4,514 5,437 5,443 5,604 5,577 5,811 8,119 6,122 4,448 4,537 5,955 6,077 7,052 5,278 4,390 4,414 4,961 7,805 5,595 4,866 355 475 304 838 889 731 1,164 1,846 954 252 410 1,161 1,201 569 617 951 625 573 2,593 345 826 1,446 1,270 2,250 1,944 1,561 1,685 1,467 3,671 1,745 1,137 1,627 1,696 1,825 3,760 2,043 1,181 1,291 1,248 2,616 1,550 1,302 1,505 1,602 1,716 1,536 1,704 1,482 1,667 1,288 1,615 1,655 1,382 1,605 1,649 1,550 1,515 1,359 1,474 1,652 1,355 1,667 1,533 757 693 673 707 733 930 680 742 1,018 782 565 780 818 601 590 565 573 870 518 918 623 541 474 494 417 717 749 833 572 789 622 552 713 584 572 513 333 451 618 724 1,115 581 ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC 4,325 5,069 3,994 5,180 5,522 5,507 4,195 4,554 4,738 5,060 4,107 4,890 5,489 6,113 3,554 5,150 5,710 7,768 7,157 4,732 5,714 4,702 5,790 6,092 5,361 6,696 5,629 4,889 4,338 5,245 8,416 5,558 6,103 4,305 6,081 52,088 935 503 1,157 350 589 912 1,327 587 636 943 727 609 3,514 1,434 381 271 737 6,562 3,486 1,249 1,719 1,548 1,517 1,560 1,242 3,423 1,881 1,638 1,859 1,751 2,718 1,551 1,848 1,270 2,938 41,147 1,512 1,627 1,554 1,554 1,897 1,798 1,552 1,545 1,597 1,161 992 1,545 1,318 1,379 2,117 1,608 1,412 1,295 670 771 773 594 1,070 916 613 628 800 624 374 595 561 549 879 614 550 1,129 555 581 511 655 716 906 627 513 715 522 386 745 305 645 878 543 443 1,955 115 APPENDIX C TABLE C-6 17-Year Cumulative History FY 1983–99 TABLE C-7 State Demographic Information, FY 1999 (adjusted by state COL Index, 1999 dollars) Cumulative BOP State ($ in billions) (*adjusted by state COL Index, 1999 dollars) Rank Per Capita Cumulative BOP Rank State Per Capita Income* Rank 1998 Poverty Rate* Rank Population 65 and Older Rank Population under 18 Rank AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI $111 12 49 49 (127) 5 (91) (16) 43 7 26 4 23 12 13 46 29 44 36 15 27 17 $25,481 19,276 10,316 19,259 (3,830) 1,144 (27,753) (21,371) 2,820 889 21,812 9 12 22 14 36 30 49 47 27 31 11 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID $24,754 25,606 25,194 24,300 29,217 31,322 34,902 29,783 29,718 29,673 22,870 24,650 39 33 37 43 16 5 1 11 12 13 48 41 14.0% 12.0% 17.7% 17.6% 17.8% 8.3% 11.3% 10.3% 14.0% 14.5% 17.0% 14.2% 19 27 4 5 3 48 33 41 18 15 6 17 13.0% 5.6% 13.2% 14.2% 11.0% 10.1% 14.3% 13.0% 18.1% 9.8% 13.7% 11.3% 25 50 22 9 45 47 8 24 1 48 13 43 24.4% 31.8% 27.9% 25.9% 26.9% 26.3% 25.2% 24.2% 23.6% 26.4% 24.4% 28.0% 40 2 6 21 11 17 32 44 47 15 38 5 ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC 16 (320) (51) 8 9 69 61 24 127 (10) (192) (73) 107 141 24 7 (21) (24) (284) 100 (252) (13) 22 50 40 26 25 7 10 19 3 33 47 42 5 2 18 28 38 39 49 6 48 34 13,077 (26,361) (8,655) 2,887 3,454 17,336 13,967 19,270 24,498 (1,557) (19,486) (15,206) 38,493 25,859 27,423 4,001 (11,752) (19,657) (34,850) 57,403 (13,865) (1,725) 19 48 40 26 25 15 17 13 10 34 45 44 3 8 6 24 41 46 50 1 43 35 IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC 31,195 27,083 27,540 28,534 25,254 24,553 23,793 33,018 31,292 29,313 32,232 22,689 28,201 23,381 29,237 30,110 28,476 31,750 22,591 29,997 28,490 7 31 26 20 36 42 44 2 6 14 3 49 23 45 15 9 22 4 50 10 21 12.1% 8.2% 9.4% 9.1% 15.0% 15.8% 11.4% 8.5% 14.5% 10.6% 9.9% 15.1% 11.7% 15.2% 9.6% 11.6% 10.7% 11.2% 21.9% 19.4% 10.9% 25 49 45 46 12 8 32 47 16 38 42 11 30 10 43 31 37 34 1 2 35 12.3% 12.5% 14.9% 13.3% 12.5% 11.5% 14.0% 11.5% 13.9% 12.4% 12.3% 12.1% 13.6% 13.3% 13.7% 11.5% 12.0% 13.6% 11.5% 13.4% 12.5% 31 26 5 18 28 40 10 38 11 30 33 35 14 20 12 41 36 15 39 17 27 26.2% 25.7% 25.1% 26.3% 24.4% 27.2% 23.2% 25.3% 23.8% 26.0% 26.6% 27.2% 25.6% 25.4% 26.6% 27.2% 25.3% 24.6% 28.5% 24.4% 25.4% 19 23 33 16 41 7 49 29 46 20 13 8 25 27 12 9 28 36 4 39 26 ND OH OK OR 23 (78) 45 (17) 20 43 14 37 36,915 (6,972) 13,432 (5,106) 4 39 18 37 ND OH OK OR PA 25,269 27,627 24,730 27,423 27,393 35 24 40 27 28 12.9% 10.9% 12.1% 11.9% 12.5% 22 36 25 28 23 14.6% 13.3% 13.4% 13.1% 15.8% 6 19 16 23 2 25.3% 25.3% 26.3% 25.0% 23.8% 31 30 18 34 45 PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY (14) 5 67 19 67 (111) 26 (1) 276 9 50 (72) 1 35 30 8 21 9 45 16 32 1 24 11 41 31 (1,192) 4,654 17,310 26,028 12,145 (5,543) 12,227 (1,379) 40,098 1,597 27,696 (13,735) 2,517 32 23 16 7 21 38 20 33 2 29 5 42 28 RI 26,853 SC 25,463 SD 27,282 TN 27,591 TX 29,176 UT 23,284 VT 24,984 VA 30,917 WA 29,100 WV 23,011 WI 28,790 WY 27,102 DC 36,670 US Avg. 28,518 32 34 29 25 17 46 38 8 18 47 19 30 16.0% 12.3% 15.4% 13.0% 15.0% 9.5% 10.3% 11.7% 10.4% 14.8% 7.7% 13.8% 23.3% 13.6% 7 24 9 21 13 44 40 29 39 14 50 20 15.6% 12.2% 14.4% 12.4% 10.1% 8.7% 12.3% 11.3% 11.4% 15.1% 13.2% 11.6% 13.9% 12.7% 3 34 7 29 46 49 32 44 42 4 21 37 24.3% 24.6% 27.0% 24.5% 28.5% 33.2% 23.5% 24.2% 25.8% 22.3% 25.7% 26.4% 18.4% 25.7% 42 35 10 37 3 1 48 43 22 50 24 14 116 Appendix D: Federal Balance of Payments, Taxes, and Spending, FY 1983–1999* YEAR STATE 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 1999 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC BOP $2,091 2,777 904 1,633 (685) (620) (2,840) (1,025) 47 (29) 1,982 829 (1,669) (399) 750 373 1,595 1,576 1,324 1,770 (895) (1,042) (1,294) 2,684 1,187 3,109 320 (1,583) (1,787) (2,342) 3,944 (890) 146 3,043 (344) 1,866 (483) 256 528 1,265 2,327 961 (189) 230 343 3,069 (533) 2,808 (887) 386 42,514 RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK YEAR STATE BOP RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK 9 6 20 13 39 38 50 43 31 32 10 21 47 35 22 25 14 15 16 12 42 44 45 7 18 2 27 46 48 49 1 41 30 4 34 11 36 28 23 17 8 19 33 29 26 3 37 5 40 24 $6,610 7,649 5,617 5,871 4,909 5,303 5,224 4,851 6,121 5,493 5,937 5,178 4,592 4,686 5,820 5,832 6,111 6,008 5,539 8,334 5,361 4,682 4,775 6,589 6,544 7,389 5,624 4,355 4,067 4,362 7,992 4,944 5,287 7,690 4,827 6,198 4,752 5,531 5,504 5,810 7,276 6,071 5,377 4,324 5,061 8,825 5,339 6,724 4,521 6,338 49,965 9 5 24 19 38 32 34 39 14 28 18 35 45 43 21 20 15 17 25 2 30 44 41 10 11 6 23 48 50 47 3 37 33 4 40 13 42 26 27 22 7 16 29 49 36 1 31 8 46 12 $4,519 4,872 4,713 4,238 5,593 5,923 8,064 5,876 6,074 5,523 3,955 4,349 6,260 5,085 5,071 5,459 4,516 4,432 4,215 6,564 6,256 5,724 6,069 3,905 5,358 4,279 5,304 5,938 5,854 6,705 4,048 5,834 5,141 4,647 5,171 4,332 5,235 5,275 4,976 4,546 4,949 5,110 5,566 4,094 4,719 5,756 5,872 3,916 5,409 5,951 7,451 38 33 35 44 17 10 1 11 6 19 48 41 4 29 30 20 39 40 45 3 5 16 7 50 22 43 23 9 13 2 47 14 27 36 26 42 25 24 31 37 32 28 18 46 34 15 12 49 21 8 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 1998 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC $1,863 2,155 493 1,534 (600) (444) (2,432) (1,050) 128 (111) 1,981 817 (1,535) (374) 548 187 2,073 1,312 1,668 2,148 (793) (1,231) (1,568) 2,351 1,269 2,454 125 (1,802) (1,565) (2,054) 3,778 (854) 66 2,568 (369) 1,755 (441) 218 754 1,159 1,838 1,000 (252) 9 167 2,969 (355) 2,710 (886) 243 37,804 11 7 23 15 39 38 50 43 28 32 10 20 45 36 22 26 9 16 14 8 40 44 47 6 17 5 29 48 46 49 1 41 30 4 35 13 37 25 21 18 12 19 33 31 27 2 34 3 42 24 $6,394 7,040 5,267 5,746 4,988 5,374 5,394 4,739 6,045 5,414 5,874 5,217 4,690 4,693 5,558 5,584 6,546 5,758 5,838 8,483 5,421 4,602 4,670 6,279 6,603 6,653 5,408 4,410 4,190 4,463 7,811 4,947 5,238 7,112 4,834 6,016 4,786 5,474 5,634 5,724 6,503 6,176 5,226 4,252 4,827 8,793 5,414 6,635 4,497 6,083 44,997 11 5 32 20 36 31 30 41 15 28 17 35 43 42 24 23 9 19 18 2 26 45 44 12 8 6 29 48 50 47 3 37 33 4 38 16 40 25 22 21 10 13 34 49 39 1 27 7 46 14 $4,531 4,886 4,774 4,212 5,588 5,818 7,826 5,790 5,918 5,525 3,893 4,400 6,225 5,066 5,010 5,397 4,473 4,446 4,171 6,335 6,214 5,834 6,238 3,929 5,334 4,199 5,282 6,213 5,755 6,517 4,032 5,801 5,172 4,544 5,202 4,261 5,227 5,256 4,880 4,565 4,665 5,176 5,479 4,243 4,660 5,824 5,770 3,926 5,383 5,840 7,193 38 31 33 44 17 12 1 14 8 18 50 41 5 29 30 20 39 40 46 3 6 10 4 48 22 45 23 7 16 2 47 13 28 37 26 42 25 24 32 36 34 27 19 43 35 11 15 49 21 9 *1999 dollars, adjusted by state COL Index 117 APPENDIX D: FEDERAL BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, TAXES, AND SPENDING, FY 1983–1999* YEAR STATE 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 1997 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC BOP $1,717 1,969 387 1,348 (463) (530) (2,438) (1,025) 354 (77) 1,718 569 (1,717) (495) 255 (40) 1,613 1,636 1,599 1,802 (622) (1,387) (1,433) 2,333 1,212 2,189 (157) (1,625) (1,498) (2,006) 3,603 (702) 53 2,644 (412) 1,642 (412) 167 649 1,023 1,659 776 (142) 46 39 2,779 (143) 2,387 (953) 617 36,318 RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK YEAR STATE 10 7 23 16 37 39 50 43 24 31 9 22 48 38 25 30 14 13 15 8 40 44 45 5 17 6 34 47 46 49 1 41 27 3 35 12 36 26 20 18 11 19 32 28 29 2 33 4 42 21 $6,372 7,012 5,086 5,689 5,052 5,229 5,115 4,758 6,169 5,431 5,694 5,043 4,605 4,659 5,255 5,389 6,152 6,008 5,763 8,103 5,542 4,628 4,687 6,348 6,542 6,485 5,214 4,398 4,129 4,507 7,677 4,953 5,244 7,285 4,830 5,891 4,780 5,424 5,581 5,659 6,412 6,000 5,203 4,286 4,678 8,571 5,494 6,482 4,455 5,897 43,373 10 5 34 20 35 30 33 40 12 25 19 36 45 43 28 27 13 14 18 2 23 44 41 11 6 7 31 48 50 46 3 37 29 4 38 17 39 26 22 21 9 15 32 49 42 1 24 8 47 16 $4,655 5,043 4,699 4,341 5,515 5,759 7,553 5,783 5,815 5,508 3,976 4,475 6,321 5,154 5,000 5,429 4,538 4,371 4,164 6,300 6,164 6,015 6,120 4,014 5,330 4,296 5,371 6,023 5,628 6,514 4,074 5,655 5,190 4,641 5,242 4,249 5,192 5,257 4,932 4,636 4,753 5,224 5,344 4,240 4,639 5,792 5,636 4,095 5,408 5,280 7,055 35 30 34 42 16 12 1 11 9 17 50 40 3 29 31 18 39 41 46 4 5 8 6 49 22 43 20 7 15 2 48 13 28 36 25 44 27 24 32 38 33 26 21 45 37 10 14 47 19 23 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 1996 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC *1999 dollars, adjusted by state COL Index 118 BOP $1,566 1,399 685 1,241 (387) (201) (2,056) (1,016) 316 41 1,367 653 (1,689) (724) 289 (39) 1,263 1,296 1,238 1,501 (454) (1,418) (1,407) 2,549 2,074 1,819 (46) (1,047) (1,441) (2,027) 3,501 (767) 54 1,664 (408) 1,403 (406) 104 431 1,047 1,248 695 (90) 192 150 2,491 (145) 2,200 (1,112) 249 34,657 RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK 8 11 20 16 36 35 50 42 23 30 12 21 48 40 24 31 14 13 17 9 39 46 45 2 5 6 32 43 47 49 1 41 29 7 38 10 37 28 22 18 15 19 33 26 27 3 34 4 44 25 $6,291 6,733 5,275 5,651 5,143 5,582 5,236 4,819 6,192 5,478 5,628 5,147 4,626 4,570 5,320 5,437 5,881 5,775 5,535 7,899 5,566 4,639 4,576 6,571 7,483 6,289 5,176 4,973 4,261 4,487 7,725 4,934 5,245 6,353 4,909 5,860 4,829 5,420 5,534 5,694 6,055 5,903 5,268 4,343 4,826 8,416 5,563 6,446 4,328 5,761 42,163 9 5 30 19 36 21 33 42 11 26 20 35 44 46 29 27 14 16 24 2 22 43 45 6 4 10 34 37 50 47 3 38 32 8 39 15 40 28 25 18 12 13 31 48 41 1 23 7 49 17 $4,725 5,334 4,590 4,410 5,529 5,783 7,292 5,835 5,876 5,437 4,261 4,494 6,315 5,294 5,032 5,476 4,618 4,479 4,297 6,399 6,021 6,057 5,982 4,022 5,410 4,470 5,223 6,021 5,702 6,514 4,225 5,702 5,191 4,689 5,318 4,458 5,235 5,316 5,103 4,647 4,806 5,208 5,357 4,151 4,676 5,924 5,708 4,246 5,440 5,511 7,505 34 23 39 44 16 12 1 11 10 20 46 40 4 26 32 18 38 41 45 3 6 5 8 50 21 42 28 6 14 2 48 14 30 35 24 43 27 25 31 37 33 29 22 49 36 9 13 47 19 17 APPENDIX D: FEDERAL BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, TAXES, AND SPENDING, FY 1983–1999* YEAR STATE 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC BOP $1,629 1,063 853 1,057 (255) (233) (2,466) (1,415) 258 85 908 552 (1,687) (789) 53 46 1,363 1,439 1,262 1,731 (304) (1,411) (1,454) 2,409 1,457 1,774 (166) (1,420) (1,430) (2,079) 3,651 (943) (41) 1,870 (438) 1,233 (436) 166 495 1,119 1,053 742 (54) 734 18 2,970 (31) 2,415 (1,149) 294 33,259 RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK YEAR STATE BOP RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK 8 15 19 16 36 35 50 44 25 27 18 22 48 40 28 29 11 10 12 7 37 43 47 4 9 6 34 45 46 49 1 41 32 5 39 13 38 26 23 14 17 20 33 21 30 2 31 3 42 24 $6,312 6,716 5,423 5,703 5,229 5,603 5,196 4,869 6,116 5,539 5,315 5,249 4,701 4,506 5,347 5,697 6,009 6,099 5,581 8,148 5,699 4,789 4,783 6,413 6,957 6,372 5,303 4,751 4,307 4,573 7,885 5,035 5,066 6,911 5,057 5,832 4,871 5,565 5,762 5,750 6,280 5,961 5,347 4,766 4,803 8,886 5,707 6,742 4,432 5,930 41,035 10 7 28 21 34 24 35 40 12 27 31 33 46 48 29 23 14 13 25 2 22 42 43 8 4 9 32 45 50 47 3 38 36 5 37 17 39 26 18 19 11 15 30 44 41 1 20 6 49 16 $4,682 5,653 4,570 4,645 5,484 5,836 7,662 6,284 5,858 5,454 4,406 4,697 6,388 5,294 5,294 5,651 4,646 4,660 4,318 6,418 6,003 6,201 6,237 4,004 5,499 4,598 5,469 6,171 5,738 6,652 4,233 5,978 5,108 5,041 5,495 4,600 5,307 5,399 5,267 4,631 5,227 5,219 5,401 4,032 4,784 5,916 5,738 4,327 5,581 5,636 7,776 37 16 44 40 22 13 1 5 12 24 45 36 4 28 28 17 39 38 47 3 9 7 6 50 20 43 23 8 14 2 48 10 33 34 21 42 27 26 30 41 31 32 25 49 35 11 14 46 19 18 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 1994 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC $1,722 1,660 748 1,178 (184) 101 (2,554) (1,740) 132 237 1,040 543 (1,600) (670) 488 232 972 1,490 1,471 1,682 (125) (1,051) (1,220) 2,701 1,755 1,686 134 (1,358) (1,335) (2,021) 3,708 (1,103) (99) 2,611 (513) 1,135 (288) (70) 304 1,196 1,458 699 (169) 565 (270) 2,353 (300) 2,045 (956) 264 33,548 7 10 19 15 35 30 50 48 29 26 17 22 47 40 23 27 18 11 12 9 33 42 44 2 6 8 28 46 45 49 1 43 32 3 39 16 37 31 24 14 13 20 34 21 36 4 38 5 41 25 $6,379 7,359 5,186 5,734 5,362 5,912 4,986 4,593 5,992 5,585 5,615 5,201 4,705 4,490 5,521 5,882 5,586 6,032 5,791 8,123 5,788 4,857 4,867 6,593 7,177 6,388 5,508 4,662 4,237 4,581 7,873 4,879 4,984 7,352 4,907 5,807 4,908 5,324 5,546 5,768 6,445 5,918 5,254 4,532 4,526 8,227 5,564 6,350 4,559 5,807 41,190 10 4 34 22 30 15 35 44 13 25 23 33 42 49 28 16 24 12 19 2 20 41 40 7 6 9 29 43 50 45 3 39 36 5 38 17 37 31 27 21 8 14 32 47 48 1 26 11 46 18 $4,657 5,699 4,438 4,556 5,546 5,811 7,540 6,333 5,860 5,348 4,575 4,658 6,305 5,161 5,033 5,650 4,614 4,542 4,319 6,442 5,913 5,908 6,087 3,891 5,422 4,702 5,374 6,019 5,572 6,601 4,164 5,982 5,083 4,741 5,420 4,673 5,196 5,394 5,241 4,572 4,986 5,219 5,422 3,967 4,796 5,873 5,864 4,305 5,514 5,543 7,642 39 15 45 43 18 14 1 4 13 26 41 38 5 30 32 16 40 44 46 3 9 10 6 50 21 36 25 7 17 2 48 8 31 35 23 37 29 24 27 42 33 28 21 49 34 11 12 47 20 19 *1999 dollars, adjusted by state COL Index 119 APPENDIX D: FEDERAL BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, TAXES, AND SPENDING, FY 1983–1999* YEAR STATE 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 1993 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC BOP $1,651 1,665 987 1,141 (308) 259 (2,203) (1,981) 520 176 969 851 (1,611) (486) 122 78 935 1,326 1,643 1,403 (45) (1,126) (1,180) 2,498 1,543 1,792 447 (1,076) (1,756) (2,202) 4,114 (924) (153) 2,213 (482) 1,098 (339) (63) 323 1,126 1,538 762 (169) 698 (284) 2,369 (538) 2,105 (945) 29 31,506 RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK YEAR STATE 8 7 17 14 36 26 50 48 23 27 18 20 46 39 28 29 19 13 9 12 31 44 45 2 10 6 24 43 47 49 1 41 33 4 38 16 37 32 25 15 11 21 34 22 35 3 40 5 42 30 $6,338 7,806 5,438 5,741 5,325 6,075 5,161 4,582 6,202 5,557 5,554 5,409 4,726 4,723 5,402 5,879 5,638 5,953 5,963 7,937 5,837 4,843 4,927 6,393 6,999 6,384 5,867 4,789 3,929 4,647 8,303 4,962 4,956 7,248 4,961 5,842 4,859 5,321 5,497 5,700 6,465 5,906 5,336 4,674 4,502 8,327 5,453 6,432 4,588 5,705 38,682 11 4 29 21 33 13 35 48 12 25 26 30 43 44 31 17 24 15 14 3 20 41 39 9 6 10 18 42 50 46 2 36 38 5 37 19 40 34 27 23 7 16 32 45 49 1 28 8 47 22 $4,687 6,142 4,451 4,600 5,633 5,816 7,365 6,563 5,682 5,381 4,585 4,558 6,337 5,210 5,279 5,801 4,703 4,627 4,320 6,534 5,882 5,969 6,107 3,895 5,456 4,592 5,420 5,865 5,685 6,848 4,189 5,886 5,109 5,035 5,443 4,744 5,198 5,384 5,174 4,575 4,928 5,145 5,504 3,976 4,786 5,958 5,991 4,327 5,533 5,676 7,176 38 6 45 40 19 14 1 3 17 26 42 44 5 28 27 15 37 39 47 4 12 9 7 50 22 41 24 13 16 2 48 11 32 33 23 36 29 25 30 43 34 31 21 49 35 10 8 46 20 18 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 1992 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC *1999 dollars, adjusted by state COL Index 120 BOP $1,877 1,160 747 1,163 (466) 579 (2,169) (2,069) 208 283 512 1,279 (1,652) (603) 90 153 972 1,167 1,801 1,440 60 (955) (1,131) 3,116 1,114 1,818 148 (951) (1,221) (2,220) 4,035 (798) (0) 2,368 (423) 1,153 (396) 5 475 1,316 1,471 891 (181) 850 (280) 2,245 (278) 1,824 (882) 333 31,903 RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK 5 15 21 14 39 22 49 48 27 26 23 12 47 40 30 28 18 13 8 10 31 44 45 2 17 7 29 43 46 50 1 41 33 3 38 16 37 32 24 11 9 19 34 20 36 4 35 6 42 25 $6,408 7,301 5,187 5,576 5,245 6,138 5,151 4,557 5,945 5,531 5,283 5,603 4,593 4,431 5,257 5,814 5,508 5,629 6,094 7,893 5,825 4,850 4,826 6,893 6,452 6,315 5,518 4,812 4,290 4,601 8,129 4,990 4,977 7,088 4,849 5,865 4,820 5,295 5,483 5,829 6,203 5,842 5,225 4,743 4,451 8,041 5,518 6,061 4,537 5,722 38,651 8 4 34 23 32 11 35 46 14 24 30 22 45 49 31 19 27 21 12 3 18 38 40 6 7 9 26 42 50 44 1 36 37 5 39 15 41 29 28 17 10 16 33 43 48 2 25 13 47 20 $4,531 6,141 4,439 4,413 5,711 5,558 7,320 6,626 5,737 5,248 4,771 4,324 6,245 5,035 5,167 5,661 4,536 4,462 4,293 6,453 5,765 5,805 5,957 3,776 5,338 4,497 5,370 5,764 5,511 6,821 4,094 5,788 4,977 4,720 5,272 4,713 5,216 5,290 5,008 4,513 4,732 4,950 5,405 3,893 4,730 5,796 5,796 4,238 5,419 5,389 6,748 39 6 43 44 15 17 1 3 14 26 33 45 5 29 28 16 38 42 46 4 12 8 7 50 23 41 22 13 18 2 48 11 31 36 25 37 27 24 30 40 34 32 20 49 35 9 9 47 19 21 APPENDIX D: FEDERAL BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, TAXES, AND SPENDING, FY 1983–1999* YEAR STATE 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 1991 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC BOP $1,823 1,257 866 1,125 (576) 1,022 (1,585) (1,975) 84 (113) 823 1,273 (1,608) (399) 8 137 1,297 1,039 1,121 1,343 193 (1,109) (755) 2,493 1,675 1,722 237 (658) (1,394) (2,265) 3,885 (986) (133) 2,380 (220) 1,032 (326) (192) 209 1,360 1,590 1,002 (53) 1,160 (398) 2,428 (86) 1,824 (806) 366 31,320 RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK YEAR STATE BOP RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK 6 14 22 16 40 20 47 49 29 33 23 13 48 39 30 28 12 18 17 11 27 45 42 2 8 7 25 41 46 50 1 44 34 4 36 19 37 35 26 10 9 21 31 15 38 3 32 5 43 24 $6,034 7,085 5,105 5,221 4,996 6,269 5,470 4,265 5,553 4,833 5,257 5,382 4,350 4,337 4,908 5,598 5,564 5,143 5,338 7,508 5,766 4,420 4,882 5,977 6,721 5,976 5,305 4,718 3,999 4,296 7,720 4,631 4,652 6,822 4,766 5,506 4,626 4,853 5,122 5,627 6,016 5,654 5,009 4,711 4,220 7,985 5,269 5,748 4,275 5,429 37,671 8 4 30 27 32 7 20 48 18 36 26 22 44 45 33 16 17 28 23 3 12 43 34 10 6 11 24 38 50 46 2 41 40 5 37 19 42 35 29 15 9 14 31 39 49 1 25 13 47 21 $4,211 5,828 4,239 4,096 5,572 5,247 7,055 6,240 5,469 4,946 4,435 4,108 5,957 4,737 4,899 5,461 4,267 4,104 4,217 6,165 5,572 5,529 5,637 3,484 5,046 4,254 5,069 5,377 5,393 6,561 3,834 5,616 4,785 4,443 4,986 4,473 4,953 5,045 4,913 4,267 4,427 4,652 5,062 3,552 4,619 5,556 5,355 3,924 5,081 5,063 6,352 43 6 41 46 10 18 1 3 13 27 36 44 5 31 29 14 38 45 42 4 9 12 7 50 23 40 20 16 15 2 48 8 30 35 25 34 26 24 28 38 37 32 22 49 33 11 17 47 19 21 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 1990 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC $1,948 1,025 1,163 1,163 (481) 960 (1,898) (1,861) 57 (218) 1,056 1,342 (1,588) (478) 366 318 1,192 1,147 821 1,306 89 (1,070) (680) 2,364 1,633 1,764 587 (991) (1,644) (2,404) 3,906 (1,068) (179) 2,167 (186) 1,028 (25) (222) 141 1,592 1,682 700 (100) 1,503 (623) 2,454 264 1,627 (715) 836 28,482 5 20 15 16 39 21 49 48 31 36 18 12 46 38 26 27 14 17 23 13 30 45 41 3 8 6 25 43 47 50 1 44 34 4 35 19 32 37 29 10 7 24 33 11 40 2 28 9 42 22 $5,888 6,699 5,283 4,986 4,864 5,932 5,109 4,069 5,362 4,517 5,241 5,111 4,138 4,075 4,986 5,302 5,159 4,971 4,912 7,273 5,592 4,255 4,614 5,589 6,471 5,746 5,254 4,431 3,818 4,130 7,534 4,389 4,286 6,332 4,582 5,244 4,602 4,621 4,973 5,466 5,713 5,141 4,754 4,842 3,894 7,809 5,269 5,266 4,179 5,441 34,622 8 4 17 27 32 7 26 48 15 39 22 25 45 47 28 16 23 30 31 3 11 43 36 12 5 9 20 40 50 46 2 41 42 6 38 21 37 35 29 13 10 24 34 33 49 1 18 19 44 14 $3,940 5,674 4,120 3,824 5,344 4,972 7,007 5,930 5,306 4,734 4,185 3,769 5,726 4,553 4,620 4,984 3,966 3,824 4,091 5,968 5,503 5,325 5,294 3,225 4,838 3,982 4,667 5,422 5,462 6,534 3,629 5,456 4,465 4,165 4,768 4,216 4,628 4,843 4,832 3,875 4,031 4,442 4,854 3,339 4,516 5,356 5,005 3,639 4,894 4,605 6,139 42 6 37 45 12 18 1 4 14 25 35 46 5 30 28 17 41 44 38 3 7 13 15 50 22 40 26 10 8 2 48 9 32 36 24 34 27 21 23 43 39 33 20 49 31 11 16 47 19 29 *1999 dollars, adjusted by state COL Index 121 APPENDIX D: FEDERAL BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, TAXES, AND SPENDING, FY 1983–1999* YEAR STATE 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 1989 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC BOP $1,454 1,767 871 1,210 (403) 1,078 (1,249) (1,510) 16 (159) 1,584 1,689 (1,556) (460) 590 360 1,034 1,060 221 1,243 (50) (1,294) (499) 2,102 1,726 2,045 709 (382) (1,690) (2,510) 3,856 (1,059) (212) 2,802 (192) 967 (155) (255) (154) 1,196 2,234 631 (3) 1,563 (296) 2,012 638 1,392 (472) 804 27,277 RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK YEAR STATE BOP RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK 12 7 21 15 40 17 45 47 29 34 10 9 48 41 26 27 19 18 28 14 31 46 43 4 8 5 23 39 49 50 1 44 36 2 35 20 33 37 32 16 3 25 30 11 38 6 24 13 42 22 $5,316 7,151 5,125 4,917 4,876 5,916 5,880 4,149 5,242 4,542 5,541 5,299 3,969 4,001 4,993 5,253 4,896 4,793 4,281 7,174 5,666 3,974 4,679 5,327 6,492 5,811 5,122 4,786 3,817 4,002 7,426 4,343 4,245 6,751 4,528 5,093 4,321 4,445 4,676 5,101 5,976 4,971 4,751 4,860 3,995 7,362 5,577 4,979 4,247 5,098 33,681 15 4 19 27 29 8 9 44 18 36 13 16 49 46 24 17 28 31 41 3 11 48 34 14 6 10 20 32 50 45 1 39 43 5 37 23 40 38 35 21 7 26 33 30 47 2 12 25 42 22 $3,862 5,384 4,254 3,707 5,279 4,838 7,130 5,659 5,226 4,701 3,957 3,610 5,525 4,461 4,403 4,892 3,862 3,734 4,060 5,932 5,717 5,268 5,178 3,225 4,765 3,766 4,413 5,168 5,507 6,512 3,570 5,402 4,457 3,949 4,720 4,126 4,476 4,700 4,830 3,906 3,743 4,340 4,754 3,297 4,291 5,350 4,938 3,587 4,719 4,294 6,404 40 9 34 45 11 18 1 5 13 24 37 46 6 27 30 17 41 44 36 3 4 12 14 50 20 42 29 15 7 2 48 8 28 38 22 35 26 25 19 39 43 31 21 49 33 10 16 47 23 32 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 1988 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC $1,511 1,439 709 1,212 (297) 799 (1,332) (1,289) (113) (307) 1,538 1,526 (1,498) (536) 713 499 507 620 522 1,456 (266) (1,449) (472) 2,762 1,376 1,658 1,014 (484) (1,577) (2,429) 4,806 (1,005) (189) 2,320 (290) 922 (62) (261) (152) 943 1,950 593 (249) 1,568 (355) 3,474 764 1,141 (692) 990 26,590 10 12 23 14 37 20 46 45 30 38 8 9 48 42 22 28 27 24 26 11 35 47 40 3 13 6 16 41 49 50 1 44 32 4 36 19 29 34 31 18 5 25 33 7 39 2 21 15 43 17 $5,321 6,682 5,022 4,823 4,997 5,647 5,475 4,283 5,157 4,338 5,420 5,147 3,935 3,912 5,111 5,372 4,385 4,325 4,525 7,271 5,335 3,801 4,717 5,937 6,211 5,464 5,487 4,628 3,815 3,924 8,424 4,294 4,187 6,506 4,409 5,073 4,421 4,394 4,616 4,785 5,720 4,886 4,552 4,874 3,853 8,770 5,655 4,742 3,988 5,282 33,047 17 4 23 27 24 10 12 42 19 39 14 20 45 47 21 15 38 40 34 3 16 50 30 7 6 13 11 31 49 46 2 41 43 5 36 22 35 37 32 28 8 25 33 26 48 1 9 29 44 18 $3,810 5,242 4,313 3,611 5,294 4,847 6,808 5,572 5,270 4,645 3,882 3,621 5,433 4,448 4,397 4,873 3,878 3,705 4,003 5,816 5,601 5,250 5,189 3,175 4,835 3,806 4,474 5,112 5,392 6,352 3,618 5,298 4,376 4,186 4,699 4,151 4,483 4,655 4,769 3,842 3,770 4,293 4,801 3,305 4,209 5,296 4,891 3,601 4,680 4,292 6,457 41 13 31 47 10 18 1 5 11 25 38 45 6 28 29 17 39 44 37 3 4 12 14 50 19 42 27 15 7 2 46 8 30 35 22 36 26 24 21 40 43 32 20 49 34 9 16 48 23 33 *1999 dollars, adjusted by state COL Index 122 APPENDIX D: FEDERAL BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, TAXES, AND SPENDING, FY 1983–1999* YEAR STATE 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 1987 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC BOP $1,506 1,064 1,032 1,160 (121) 529 (1,067) (1,443) 134 129 1,600 1,173 (1,555) (501) 641 335 731 167 996 1,624 214 (1,557) (388) 2,139 1,449 1,458 610 (188) (1,255) (2,310) 3,667 (815) (239) 2,628 (490) 359 (232) (187) 147 955 2,065 736 (663) 1,574 (208) 2,836 698 751 (823) (44) 25,866 RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK YEAR STATE 9 14 15 13 33 24 45 47 30 31 7 12 48 41 22 26 20 28 16 6 27 49 39 4 11 10 23 35 46 50 1 43 38 3 40 25 37 34 29 17 5 19 42 8 36 2 21 18 44 32 $5,376 6,692 5,397 4,899 5,214 5,543 5,666 3,971 5,290 4,815 5,510 4,921 3,900 3,970 5,090 5,434 4,570 4,183 4,834 7,516 5,729 3,880 4,769 5,396 6,287 5,522 5,174 4,969 3,946 3,934 7,475 4,514 4,130 6,946 4,266 4,925 4,239 4,495 4,799 4,791 5,863 4,981 4,446 4,987 3,911 8,067 5,713 4,486 3,862 4,725 32,438 17 5 15 27 19 11 10 43 18 29 13 26 48 44 21 14 34 41 28 2 8 49 32 16 6 12 20 24 45 46 3 35 42 4 39 25 40 36 30 31 7 23 38 22 47 1 9 37 50 33 $3,870 5,627 4,364 3,739 5,335 5,014 6,733 5,414 5,156 4,686 3,910 3,748 5,455 4,472 4,449 5,099 3,839 4,016 3,837 5,892 5,515 5,438 5,157 3,258 4,838 4,064 4,564 5,157 5,201 6,244 3,808 5,329 4,369 4,317 4,756 4,566 4,472 4,681 4,652 3,836 3,798 4,245 5,109 3,413 4,119 5,231 5,015 3,736 4,685 4,770 6,572 40 4 33 47 9 19 1 8 15 23 39 46 6 30 31 17 41 38 42 3 5 7 14 50 20 37 28 13 12 2 44 10 32 34 22 27 29 25 26 43 45 35 16 49 36 11 18 48 24 21 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 1986 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC BOP $1,196 357 843 1,186 125 25 (821) (1,532) 205 188 1,613 811 (1,666) (475) 74 427 1,467 93 833 1,248 322 (1,293) (571) 2,012 1,493 1,228 344 505 (1,076) (2,181) 3,430 (760) (348) 2,024 (411) (26) (280) (256) (34) 900 1,732 994 (877) 1,389 (149) 2,316 789 759 (785) (525) 26,905 RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK 12 23 16 13 28 31 44 48 26 27 6 18 49 39 30 22 8 29 17 10 25 47 41 4 7 11 24 21 46 50 1 42 37 3 38 32 36 35 33 15 5 14 45 9 34 2 19 20 43 40 $5,212 6,362 5,313 4,972 5,567 5,285 5,899 4,172 5,391 4,861 5,681 4,804 3,919 4,174 4,663 5,652 5,446 4,474 4,648 7,412 5,829 4,043 4,627 5,366 6,495 5,417 5,160 5,784 4,084 4,050 7,380 4,617 4,076 6,571 4,481 4,805 4,292 4,583 4,733 4,798 5,630 5,341 4,604 5,005 3,903 7,646 5,816 4,615 3,950 4,639 33,497 22 6 20 25 14 21 7 43 17 26 11 28 49 42 31 12 15 40 32 2 8 47 34 18 5 16 23 10 44 46 3 35 45 4 39 27 41 38 30 29 13 19 37 24 50 1 9 36 48 33 $4,017 6,005 4,470 3,787 5,441 5,260 6,721 5,704 5,186 4,672 4,068 3,993 5,585 4,649 4,589 5,226 3,979 4,381 3,815 6,164 5,507 5,336 5,198 3,354 5,001 4,189 4,817 5,279 5,160 6,230 3,950 5,377 4,424 4,547 4,892 4,830 4,571 4,839 4,767 3,898 3,898 4,348 5,480 3,615 4,052 5,330 5,028 3,857 4,735 5,164 6,592 40 4 33 48 9 14 1 5 17 28 38 41 6 29 30 15 42 35 47 3 7 11 16 50 21 37 25 13 19 2 43 10 34 32 22 24 31 23 26 44 45 36 8 49 39 12 20 46 27 18 *1999 dollars, adjusted by state COL Index 123 APPENDIX D: FEDERAL BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, TAXES, AND SPENDING, FY 1983–1999* YEAR STATE 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 1985 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC BOP $1,152 (29) 508 1,039 313 (552) (356) (1,144) 222 256 1,741 797 (1,717) (457) (655) 365 185 (58) 1,279 1,587 294 (1,030) (660) 1,616 2,272 1,022 (104) (265) (431) (1,836) 3,177 (530) (345) 1,426 (605) (317) (336) (183) (3) 867 1,103 336 (965) 968 190 2,386 855 425 (880) (294) 26,376 RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK YEAR STATE BOP RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK 9 28 17 11 21 41 37 48 24 23 4 16 49 39 43 19 26 29 8 6 22 47 44 5 3 12 30 32 38 50 1 40 36 7 42 34 35 31 27 14 10 20 46 13 25 2 15 18 45 33 $5,096 6,093 4,834 4,866 5,672 4,650 6,092 4,109 5,279 4,852 5,803 4,565 3,800 4,139 4,196 5,633 4,254 4,463 5,066 7,387 5,600 3,944 4,443 5,054 7,097 5,317 4,659 5,074 4,493 4,196 7,178 4,580 3,979 6,211 4,118 4,568 4,162 4,489 4,649 4,796 5,155 4,627 4,451 4,694 4,077 7,609 5,821 4,329 3,781 4,906 32,746 16 6 23 21 10 27 7 45 14 22 9 32 49 43 41 11 39 35 18 2 12 48 37 19 4 13 26 17 33 40 3 30 47 5 44 31 42 34 28 24 15 29 36 25 46 1 8 38 50 20 $3,944 6,122 4,326 3,827 5,359 5,201 6,448 5,252 5,057 4,596 4,061 3,769 5,517 4,595 4,851 5,268 4,069 4,521 3,788 5,800 5,306 4,974 5,103 3,439 4,825 4,295 4,763 5,339 4,924 6,032 4,001 5,110 4,324 4,784 4,723 4,884 4,498 4,672 4,652 3,929 4,052 4,290 5,416 3,727 3,887 5,224 4,966 3,903 4,661 5,200 6,370 42 2 34 46 7 13 1 11 17 30 39 48 5 31 22 10 38 32 47 4 9 18 16 50 23 36 25 8 20 3 41 15 35 24 26 21 33 27 29 43 40 37 6 49 45 12 19 44 28 14 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 1984 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC $1,043 (388) 709 812 454 (565) (29) (1,017) 213 348 1,407 387 (1,664) (536) (874) 421 431 (462) 841 1,546 443 (1,024) (676) 2,191 2,088 420 (329) (187) (138) (1,726) 3,147 (353) (276) 556 (752) (550) (398) (269) 238 870 1,153 704 (1,118) 1,141 281 2,122 384 363 (731) (606) 26,726 9 35 13 12 16 40 28 46 27 24 6 21 49 38 45 19 18 37 11 5 17 47 42 2 4 20 33 30 29 50 1 34 32 15 44 39 36 31 26 10 7 14 48 8 25 3 22 23 43 41 $4,871 5,952 4,878 4,468 5,684 4,568 6,082 4,205 5,007 4,695 5,495 4,151 3,579 3,865 3,592 5,567 4,324 4,090 4,492 7,026 5,463 3,774 4,214 5,555 6,713 4,727 4,178 4,954 4,551 4,069 7,095 4,522 3,789 5,466 3,792 4,323 4,022 4,313 4,728 4,611 4,986 4,869 4,156 4,824 4,098 7,187 5,410 4,317 3,742 4,838 32,975 18 6 17 30 7 26 5 36 14 24 10 39 50 44 49 8 31 41 29 3 12 47 35 9 4 23 37 16 27 42 2 28 46 11 45 32 43 34 22 25 15 19 38 21 40 1 13 33 48 20 $3,828 6,340 4,169 3,656 5,229 5,133 6,112 5,222 4,794 4,348 4,088 3,764 5,244 4,401 4,466 5,145 3,892 4,552 3,651 5,480 5,020 4,797 4,890 3,364 4,625 4,307 4,506 5,141 4,689 5,795 3,948 4,875 4,065 4,910 4,544 4,873 4,420 4,581 4,490 3,741 3,833 4,165 5,274 3,683 3,817 5,066 5,026 3,954 4,473 5,444 6,249 43 1 35 48 8 12 2 9 21 33 37 45 7 32 30 10 41 25 49 4 15 20 17 50 23 34 27 11 22 3 40 18 38 16 26 19 31 24 28 46 42 36 6 47 44 13 14 39 29 5 *1999 dollars, adjusted by state COL Index 124 APPENDIX D: FEDERAL BALANCE OF PAYMENTS, TAXES, AND SPENDING, FY 1983–1999* YEAR STATE 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 1983 AL AK AZ AR CA CO CT DE FL GA HI ID IL IN IA KS KY LA ME MD MA MI MN MS MO MT NE NV NH NJ NM NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD TN TX UT VT VA WA WV WI WY DC BOP $1,062 (304) 461 1,149 471 (585) (321) (1,277) 447 405 1,539 502 (1,330) (787) (651) (172) 308 (643) 731 1,609 417 (1,009) (702) 2,011 2,019 444 188 (485) (188) (1,801) 2,687 (438) (185) 672 (612) (897) (486) (134) 240 839 1,015 871 (1,331) 744 354 2,734 637 383 (818) (1,790) 24,175 RANK SPENDING RANK TAXES RANK 8 32 18 7 17 37 33 46 19 22 6 16 47 42 40 29 25 39 13 5 21 45 41 4 3 20 27 35 31 50 2 34 30 14 38 44 36 28 26 11 9 10 48 12 24 1 15 23 43 49 $4,782 5,819 4,710 4,674 5,763 4,662 5,891 4,112 5,204 4,640 5,651 4,206 4,159 3,710 3,886 5,029 4,178 4,120 4,321 7,161 5,371 3,815 4,177 5,403 6,557 4,722 4,665 4,886 4,415 3,915 6,636 4,503 3,763 5,318 4,006 4,170 4,011 4,548 4,664 4,510 4,833 4,880 4,148 4,405 4,193 7,772 5,865 4,420 3,756 4,095 30,433 18 7 20 21 8 24 5 41 13 25 9 33 38 50 46 14 35 40 32 2 11 47 36 10 4 19 22 15 30 45 3 28 48 12 44 37 43 26 23 27 17 16 39 31 34 1 6 29 49 42 $3,720 6,122 4,250 3,525 5,292 5,247 6,212 5,388 4,757 4,235 4,112 3,705 5,489 4,497 4,536 5,201 3,870 4,763 3,590 5,553 4,954 4,824 4,879 3,391 4,538 4,278 4,477 5,371 4,602 5,716 3,949 4,940 3,948 4,646 4,618 5,067 4,497 4,682 4,425 3,671 3,818 4,009 5,480 3,661 3,839 5,038 5,228 4,037 4,573 5,885 6,258 44 2 34 49 10 11 1 8 21 35 36 45 6 29 28 13 41 20 48 5 16 19 18 50 27 33 31 9 25 4 39 17 40 23 24 14 29 22 32 46 43 38 7 47 42 15 12 37 26 3 *1999 dollars, adjusted by state COL Index 125