Capital Structure Damodaran: Chapter 17: 6,8,10,16,24 Chapter 18: 4,6,10a-e,20,24 Chapter 19: 6,12,18,22 I. Characteristics of common stock, preferred stock, & debt securities. Debt vs. Equity Fixed vs. residual claim Tax treatment Priority in liquidation Finite life voting rights private vs. public securities Choices in issuing Debt securities: • security • seniority • callable • convertible (value of equity component = value of convertible - value of straight bond) • covenant structure • maturity structure Capital structure - 1 II. Modigliani-Miller (MM) Capital Structure Propositions Assumptions include: Homogeneous expectations, Homogeneous business risk classes Perpetual cash flows: V = CF/r Perfect capital markets: No taxes, transaction costs, costs of distress Firms and investors borrow and lend at the same rate rd MM Proposition I: VL = VU MM Propositions II: re = ra + D/E(ra - rd) Extensions: MM with corporate taxes: VL = VU + TcD Capital structure - 2 The Impact of Financial Leverage. Example - Financial Leverage, EPS and ROE: Assets Debt Equity Debt/Equity ratio Share price Shares outstanding Interest rate Current Proposed $5,000,000 $5,000,000 $ 0 $2,500,000 $5,000,000 $2,500,000 0 1 $10 $10 500,000 250,000 na 10% Capital structure - 3 EPS and ROE under current capital structure EBIT Interest Net Income Recession Expected Expansion $300,000 $650,000 $800,000 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $300,000 $650,000 $800,000 EPS $0.60 $1.30 $1.60 ROE 6% 13% 16% EPS and ROE under proposed capital structure Recession Expected Expansion EBIT $300,000 $650,000 $800,000 Interest $250,000 $250,000 $250,000 $50,000 $400,000 $550,000 EPS $0.20 $1.60 $2.20 ROE 2% 16% 22% Net Income Capital structure - 4 Ignoring taxes for the moment, consider the following 2 alternatives: Firm does not adopt proposed capital structure. An investor puts up $500 and borrows $500 to buy 100 shares EPS of unlevered firm $0.60 $1.30 $1.60 Earnings for 100 shares $60.00 $130.00 $160.00 less interest on $500 at 10% $50.00 $50.00 $50.00 Net earnings $10.00 $80.00 $110.00 16% 22% ROE 2% The ROE is the same as that of the levered firm. Firm adopts proposed capital structure. An investor puts up $500, $250 in stock and $250 in bonds EPS of levered firm $0.20 $1.60 $2.20 Earnings for 25 shares $5.00 $40.00 $55.00 plus interest on $250 at 10% $25.00 $25.00 $25.00 Net earnings $30.00 $65.00 $80.00 ROE 6% 13% The ROE is the same as that of the unlevered firm. 16% With no taxes, WACC = RA = (E/V) x RE + (D/V) x RD . Solving for RE, RE = RA + (RA - RD)x(D/E) Capital structure - 5 Debt & Taxes PV of the interest tax shield = (TC x RD x D)/RD = TC x D. Limits to use of debt: bankruptcy & distress costs. An optimal capital structure will balance the valuable interest tax shield against the higher probability of facing bankruptcy costs. Direct costs of financial distress Indirect costs of financial distress Capital structure - 6 Capital structure - 7 III. Agency costs of debt & equity: Excessive consumption of percs Overinvestment in risky projects Underinvestment in +NPV projects An optimal capital structure balances the agency costs of debt vs. equity. IV. Pecking order theory of capital structure V. Empirical Implications of Capital Structure Theories Effects of changing capital structure Stock repurchases Debt/equity swaps Capital structure - 8 Example: Optimal capital structure Firm invests $500,000 in PPE, WC; generates EBIT of $120,000 in perpetuity 100% dividend payout; capex = depreciation; no sales growth; tax rate = .5 1. Debt in capital structure 2. EBIT 3. Interest 4. Profit before tax 5. Tax 6. Profit after tax 7. Dividends 8. Total pmts to security holders 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% $120,000 $120,000 $120,000 $120,000 $120,000 $120,000 0 4,125 8,750 14,625 22,000 31,250 120,000 115,875 111,250 105,375 98,000 88,750 60,000 57,938 55,625 52,688 49,000 44,375 60,000 57,938 55,625 52,688 49,000 44,375 60,000 57,938 55,625 52,688 49,000 44,375 60,000 62,063 64,375 67,313 71,000 75,625 9. Cost of debt 10. Cost of equity 8.00% 12.00% 11. Market value of debt 12. Market value of equity 13. Market value of firm 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 500,000 463,500 427,885 390,278 337,931 277,344 500,000 513,500 527,885 540,278 537,931 527,344 14. Book value of debt 15. Book value of equity 16. Book value of firm 17. Return on total capital 18. Return on equity 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 500,000 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000 12.0% 12.4% 12.9% 13.5% 14.2% 15.1% 12.0% 12.9% 13.9% 15.1% 16.3% 17.8% 19. Number of shares outstanding 20. Price per share 21. EPS 22. PE ratio 23. Book value debt ratio 24. Market value debt ratio 25. WACC 26. FCFF 27. Market value of firm 5,000 8.25% 12.50% 4,513 8.75% 13.00% 4,053 9.75% 13.50% 3,612 11.00% 14.50% 3,141 12.50% 16.00% 2,630 $100.00 $102.70 $105.58 $108.06 $107.59 $105.47 $12.00 $12.84 $13.73 $14.59 $15.60 $16.88 $8.33 $8.00 $7.69 $7.41 $6.90 $6.25 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 0.0% 9.7% 18.9% 27.8% 37.2% 47.4% 12.0% 11.7% 11.4% 11.1% 11.2% 11.4% $60,000 $60,000 $60,000 $60,000 $60,000 $60,000 $500,000 $513,500 $527,885 $540,278 $537,931 $527,344 Capital structure - 9 VI. Implementing capital structure models. Operating income approach How much debt can the firm afford to carry based on its cash flows? • Estimate the distribution for expected operating income • Estimate the interest and principal payments for an given level of debt • Estimate the probability that it will be unable to make these payments for any given level of debt • Specify a tolerance limit on the probability of being unable to meet debt payments; and • Find the debt level so that the estimated probability of being unable to meet debt payments is just below the tolerance limit. Cost of capital approach** The optimal financing mix will result in a minimum cost of capital. Return differential approach Maximize the difference between the return on equity and the cost of equity. APV approach** Value of firm = value of unlevered firm + present value of tax benefits of debt – present value of expected bankruptcy costs. PV of expected bankruptcy costs = probability of bankruptcy * PV of bankruptcy cost Comparables approach Debt ratio = α0 + α1* tax rate + α2*pretax return + α3*variance in operating income Capital structure - 10