The Space Power Grid Narayanan Komerath, Nicholas Boechler Daniel Guggenheim School of Aerospace Engineering Georgia Institute of Technology Atlanta, GA 30332-0150 USA October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Problem Definition • SSP: Large solar converters at GEO or beyond, beaming to earth. • Huge cost of GEO access & construction: >$300B before first revenue even with improbably low launch cost estimates. Problem: • How to develop an evolutionary approach where revenue generation starts early with small investment, and ultimately leads to full-scale Space Solar Power (SSP). http://img.timeinc.net/popsci/images/space/ space0805eng_485x326.jpg October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Prior Work Direct Approach: 100 megasatellites in GEO, large earth stations. 2.4GHz beams. Step-by-step approaches: • All involve satellites and beaming from GEO or beyond, or lunar power plants and earth-based receivers. (Large beam spread, high cost of GEO access) • Cost of earth-based receivers, and marginal cost per installed watt of power in space, continue to be large. • Bekey et al (IAC1995): Beam Canadian power through GEO reflectors to Japanese ground station with reservoir. 35% Internal Rate of Return projected. Recent concepts: • SPS2000: Retail, wide-beam power beaming from LEO sat (Nagotomo, 1991). • Modular GEO sat, each module self-contained (IAC2005) • Laser beaming (IAC2005) • Direct-conversion laser with 38% efficiency (Saiki, IAC2005) October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Space Power Grid: Key Features • Use space-based infrastructure to boost terrestrial “green” energy production from land and sea: argument for public support. • Full Space Solar Power (very large collectors in high orbit) will add gradually to revenuegenerating infrastructure. Exploit large geographical, daily and seasonal fluctuations in power cost (Landis 2004, Bekey 1995). Beam to other satellites Retail delivery (SPS2000). Space Power Grid: Redistributing Energy Technical risks in dynamic beaming/reception/ transaction system. Inefficient conversion to and from microwave vs. terrestrial high-voltage transmission lines. October 2006 FIGURE 1. Space Power Grid Satellite Receving And Redistributing Beamed Power. IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Space Power Grid Phase • 36 satellites in sun-sync orbits (~880 km) and 100 earth plants using microwave beams in real-time energy trade. • Number rises to 100 sats (incl. equatorial, 1200km orbits), 268 earth-based plants. • Each is assumed to be able to transact power with 4 other satellites and up to 100 retail customers. • Internal Rate of Return held at 8% (public-private Global Consortium) • Cost of renewable energy held down by Carbon Credits October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Sizing Frequency (GHz) Ground to Satellite Receiver diameter on sat, m Orbit height (km) Transmisssion distance (45 -deg), km Efficiency of beam capture Actual diameter of transmitter on ground Satellite to Satellite Distance between sats (km) Antenna diameter, m 2.45 10 200 300 800 1131 0.99 1200 300 1100 1556 0.99 3000 50 800 1131 0.99 500 2400 846 2400 419 2400 94 • 250MW peak power handling per sat. • 100MW average beaming per ground station, with 50% usage factor, 12 hrs/day. • Thermal Protection, Storage and Regeneration: use liquid + He/Xe turbopumped cooling. October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu ARCHITECTURE Independent Variables Parameter Baseline Why Orbit height above surface 880 – 1200 km Launch cost, antenna size, sun-sync orbits, retail beaming Atmospheric transmission frequency 200-245 GHz Reduce antenna sizes, avoid water bands Internal Rate of Return 8% Infrastructure Consortium Phase Array transmission 45 deg. half-angle Cover 90 degree azimuth of sky Initial number of ground stations 100 Revenue generation rate Initial number of satellites 36 Near-continuous beaming October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Orbit Optimization Problem Tracks of a single Sun-sync satellite . Using STK software • Solar plants to beam up in daytime, receive at night. • Nuclear plants beam up excess power at night. • Locate plants under satellite tracks, to have at least one within beaming cone during beaming periods. • Minimize transit losses at highest beam power. October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Sample Visualization of SPG Operation October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Beaming Sample: 3 Satellites October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu BABY STEPS TOWARDS SPG • Low-altitude beamed-energy exchangers. • Long-endurance aircraft as “reflector” • (transmission across a body of water or larger distance), • Large balloons at altitudes high enough to qualify as • the “edge of space”. October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu SPG Satellite System Characteristics Power transmitted (design, MW) Average beam intensity, uniform, at ground, w/m^2 Average beam intensity, uniform, at satellite, w/m^2 Antenna mass, kg Mass for space -space antennae, kg Cooling system mass: 2000kg/2.5MW Mass of fluid, for 400K heating in 60 seconds at 2.5MW, kg Other systems With margin of 1000 kg, total satellite mass, kg October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu 250 1273 127323 38.9 546 2000 400 1000 5000 Business Case:Parameters for Phase 1: Space Power Grid Launch cost at $6K/kg to 880km, $M Per satellite cost for one of the first 36, $M Operations cost per satellite per year, $M Satellite system development cost, $M Ground facilities dev elopment cost for 1 st 100 stations Connection cost per additional station, $M Cost of production of power, $/KWh Fraction received as useful electric power Sales price, $ per KWh Gross profit per KWh Beamed average MW per pl ant MWh per year, for 1 plant at 50% duty cycle, per satellite available (100%=36sats) October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu 30 30 5 1000 1000 25 0.04 0.3 0.2 0.02 100 12175 Parameters for Phase 2: Augmented SPG Collector/Converter Diameter, m Area, sq.m Satellite Mass: Add 2000kg Per satellite cost, $M Launch cost @$6000/kg, $M Solar conversion efficiency KWh per year per ASPG sat, at 50% duty cycle End-to-end efficiency Cost of production Sales price, $per KWh, Phase 2 Gross profit per KWh Gross profit per year per Augsat, $M October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu 300 70686 7000 42 42 0.25 100,621,000 0.4 0 0.15 0.06 6.04 Phase 3: Full Space Solar Power Parameters Collector Diameter 3km Satellite Mass: 0.015kg/m^2 106029 Per satellite cost, $M 100 Launch cost @$10000/kg, $M 1060 Solar collector efficiency 0.995 KWh per year per SSP sat, at 100% duty cycle 80E+09 End-to-end efficiency 0.4 Cost of production 0 Sales price, $per KWh, Phase 2 0.15 Gross profit per KWh 0.06 Gross profit per year per Augsat, $M 4806 Total KWh per year added by 96 sats 7.69E+12 Note: MEO satellite costs still exceed $110B for 100 collectors (300 sq km of solar collection), but at realistic launch cost, and in a staged manner over 40 years, tied to revenue generation October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Architecture Options a. Use conventional photovoltaics on the LEO satellites, with large-area collectors b. Use direct solar conversion to lasers, laser transmission between satellites, but convert to microwave to beam to earth. c. Solar-pumped MASER d. Direct conversion from sunlight to beamed microwave using an optical rectenna. Technology Options • Ultra-Light Reflectors: • Optical Rectennae: • Momentum Vector Scheduling October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu End-to-End Efficiency Projections Conventional terrestrial: 40%conversion from solar to DC (using best technology) Near 100% conversion to hi-voltage AC. 94% delivered to end-user. Total: 38% of original solar. Short-term using SPG: 40%conversion from solar to DC 70% conversion DC to microwave 0.9x0.9 for atmospheric traverse 0.98 for in-space transmission 90% conversion from microwave to useful power Total: Short-term: 20% of original, delivered to end-user. Short-term: 50% of conventional Long-term: Slightly better than conventional Long-term: 50% direct conversion, solar to microwave 36% of original solar delivered to end-user Full SPS: 99% capture from GEO; only one atmosphere pass. 39% of original solar delivered IAC06_C3.4.6, to end-user Valencia October 2006 Komerath@gatech.edu Net Present Value with 96 SPG-sats and 268 plants, in 20 years NPV, Space Power Grid, 96 Sats, 268 plants@100MW, 50%duty cycle 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 $M -2000 -4000 -6000 Year October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu 13 15 17 19 21 SPG and ASPG Phases: System Growth 300 Energy, TWh Satellites Ground Stations 250 200 150 100 50 ASPG SPG 0 6 October 2006 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 Year IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu 22 24 26 28 30 Full SSP Phase Energy Growth 120 Energy, 1000TWh SSP Collector Sats 100 80 60 40 20 0 31 October 2006 32 33 34 35 36 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Year Komerath@gatech.edu 37 38 39 40 CONCLUSIONS 1. Space Power Grid startup breaks even on $4B investment and 8% IRR, with 36 satellites and 100 ground stations, 10 to 15 years after project initiation. Low generation cost assumes public support (carbon credits and fossil fuel replacement programs). 2. Phase 1 Space Power Grid breaks even, with investment of $6B, 96 satellites and 268 ground stations, within 21 years. 3. Once system is refurbished with Augmented satellites and SSP collectors in high orbits, power costs drop. 4. Final cost of system may be ~ $150B, but with realistic launch costs, and in steps achievable using the revenue streams from the system 5. This concept shows how the launch cost problem to geosynchronous earth orbit can be avoided, and a full Space Solar Power system and its ground infrastructure set up within 40 years, at a manageable and recoverable cost. October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Acknowledgements The second author was supported through a National Student Fellowship from the NASA Institute of Advanced Concepts. The first author gratefully acknowledges support from the NIAC and the MacArthur Foundation through the Sam Nunn School of International Affairs, Georgia Institute of Technology, and valuable discussions at the Colorado School of Mines. October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Ground Component • Ground stations located at ideal solar / wind collector locations. • US Southwest, South Dakota, Hawaiian Islands, North African, Gobi, Thar and Australian deserts and Greenland are examples envisaged. • Retail receiving stations on the ground can be located almost anywhere much smaller than those for GEO-located SSP systems. • No need to co-locate receiving stations with generator stations except for power smoothing. October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu TECHNOLOGY ISSUES • LEO sats alleviate launch cost. • Serve sites at extreme latitudes with minimal atmospheric transmission penalties. • Shorter transmission distance (1,200km to LEO vs. 36,000 km to GEO) - smaller receivers. • The limiting transmission is between satellites (2,400 km) or less. • Waveguides to distribute incoming power. • Heat rejection issue: No more complex than for SSP; partial recovery using thermo-electric systems Tradeoffs: • 10GHz range: Low absorption, but large receivers/ less efficient reception; Interference. • 95 - 140 GHz: small receivers, more efficient reception. Higher atmospheric absorption. Forces ground stations to dry, high locations. • Cloud cover problem alleviated by having LEO system. Multiple choices of beam path. • Tradeoff between system mass costs, atmospheric absorption and unreliability due to weather (alleviated by having multiple earth station choices separated by several kilometers) not properly understood, since much of the high-frequency data comes from astronomical observatories until now. October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Water Absorption Loss vs. Frequency October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu http://www.islandone.org/LEOBiblio/microwave_transm.gif Direct Conversion to Microwave • 1950s: Solar-Powered Masers with projected efficiency of 50% • 2005: Solar-Powered Laser with 38% efficiency demonstrated. • Direct Solar Conversion to microwave beams with 50% efficiency and reduced mass by 2035. • To replace current global production with solar energy at 50% efficiency, 5600 sq.km of solar collector area in space (where solar intensity is 1GW/sq.km) is required. • SPG satellites will then be replaced with Direct Conversion Augmented-SPG (DCA-SPG) satellites, with a 1km diameter sun-tracking ultra light collector and converter on each adding 0.5 GW to the grid. • Deploying large ultra-thin collectors with highintensity solar cell arrays is an alternative to any Direct Conversion technology, alleviating technological risk. October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Full Space Solar Power Phase • GEO sun-sats (2040s?) : 100 sq.km ultra light collector/ reflectors that focus sunlight onto the 1sq.km collectors of the DCA-SPG. • Each is expected to add 50GW to the grid at 50% efficiency. • System of 72 LEO satellites and 72 GEO ultralight mirrors, with a 70% transmission efficiency, will generate 90% of today’s global energy production. October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Cost • Baseline sizing to recover 50% of system deployment cost in 20 years from savings in costs of ground transmission, based on current cost of long-term debt. • Satellite cost < cost of replacement GPS satellite. • Basic cost of delivered power from SPG is twice that of US domestic power cost (efficiency is only half as much). Advantages yet to be quantified: • • • • • Use excess power from spikes in generation at “green” plants (wind / solar). Deliver to peak-demand locations (greater revenue) Access markets with much higher present-day costs Market for beamed power in Space Industries enabled by point retail delivery anywhere on Earth Disadvantages of The Competitors, Yet to Be Quantified: • Kyoto Protocol / equivalent CO2 penalties • Added costs to nuclear energy generation/ waste disposal costs IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia October 2006 Komerath@gatech.edu Comparison with Conventional SSP and Terrestrial Solar SSP SPG Energy Production Primary solar generation Exchange; new terrestrial plants, Constrained by Augmented SPG, then Full SSP duty cycle, & location Launch cost >$13,200/kg to $6,600/kg to 1215km alt. orbit GEO N/A. Space Mass >1kg/kw <0.01kg/kw for SPG phase; 0.1 kg/kw in DCA/SSP phases N/A Cost Items to First Power Sats + grnd rec’ers Space system + ground x’mission & rec’ng + control. Gnd system+ line + land costs. Duty cycle 24hr w/ reflectors 24 hr – with multiple sources 6hr/day; weather Assembly LEO assembly, Pre-assembled – deploy in LEO. Earth boost to GEO construction October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Terrestrial Solar CONCLUSIONS • • • SSP can be made viable by integrating new realities of environmental and energy policy issues. “Space Power Grid” uses LEO to exchange power across the world - market opportunity. “End-to-end efficiency” shows beamed power transmission to be inferior to transmission via high voltage lines if only US/European domestic markets are considered. Long-term end-to-end efficiency superior to present power grid. However, a space-based power grid opens up various markets and opportunities that are otherwise closed. Present concept provides a revenue-generating evolutionary path towards SSP Key breakthrough sought is in high-efficiency solar-powered Masers. • Current advances in solar-powered lasers offer hope. • • • • October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Part of this work (microwave beaming and direct conversion issues) was conducted in the course of studies related to a grant from the NASA Institute of Advanced Concepts. SW and NK acknowledge the support from the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation through the Sam Nunn Security Program in the School of International Affairs, Georgia Institute of Technology to study the broader policy issues October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu 1999 World Primary Energy: USDOE Renewable 1% Total: 377E15 BTU Y2020 projection: 599E15 BTU Coal 23% Petroleum 39% Nuclear 7% Natural Gas 23% October 2006 Hydroelectric 7% IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu Our Approach: 3-Stage Evolution 1.Microwave converters and beaming equipment installed. 2. Thirty-six 200-MW SPG satellites launched. 3. SPG in operation. 4. Direct converter-augmented satellites: DCA-SPG 5. SSP collector beams sunlight to SPG: Full Space Solar Power October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu 10-fold fluctuation in power cost:Real-time retail beaming opportunity From Landis, G., “ Reinventing the Solar Power Satellite” http://gltrs.grc.nasa.gov/reports/2004/TM-2004-212743.pdf October 2006 IAC06_C3.4.6, Valencia Komerath@gatech.edu