January 15, 2007 Business Policy Consultants 1 Graduation Way, Suite 4.0 College of Business Administration University of North Texas Denton, TX 76203 Dear Consultants, I am writing to solicit your assistance in helping me to chart the future course of action for Grandma’s Best. Our company, started by my grandmother more than 50 years ago, is now a closely held corporation controlled by a small group of family members. Located in Spokane, Washington, we sell chocolates, cookies and candy throughout the United States and have begun to develop international sales. At one level, I am thrilled with the performance of the company. My grandmother could never have imagined that the company would ever reach the point that it has today. At another level, however, I am concerned about the future of the company. We are approaching capacity in our current facilities and will soon have to make some tough choices about where the company should head. While most of those in the family want to see the company continue to grow, there are others who are afraid that we may be getting too big. A clear plan for the future, with appropriate support for the choice, will be necessary to satisfy all family members. I am therefore asking your firm, along with several others, to examine our firm and propose and justify a future course of action. From these initial proposals, I will then select one firm to work closely with us in implementing their plan. To assist you in this task, I have included some background material on Grandmas Best along with financial information. I had also hoped to be able to schedule a short meeting with you to answer questions and clarify major issues. Unfortunately, my schedule will not allow that to happen. Instead, I am enclosing a summary of information from a recent question and answer session with some students from a local university. I hope that addresses most of the issues you would have raised. Please be aware that we may not be able to give you all of the information that you might like. The family does not feel comfortable giving out all its secrets to lots of different firms. Please do the best you can with the information available and be assured that we will be much freer with information for whichever company we select to work with over the longer term. I am looking forward to seeing what your firm will have to offer to help Grandma’s Best continue to prosper into the next century. Sincerely, James Dranove CEO, Grandma’s Best Grandma’s Best1, with a home office in Spokane, Washington, manufactures, markets and distributes a diverse line of chocolates, cookies, and candies. The majority of these products are sold under the “Grandma’s Best” brand name, though the company does sell some products for shipment under private label. Primary products include chocolate bars in a variety of flavors (e.g. mint, with almonds, etc.), filled chocolates sold in boxes, specialty cookies, and holiday specific chocolates (e.g. Easter eggs, Valentine hearts). The company also produces gift baskets that may combine various of the companies products. Grandma’s Best brands are typically positioned as premium quality products sold at prices comparable to those of competitive products. Market Overview Sales of candy and cookie products in the United States have increased significantly in recent years. According to the United States Department of Commerce, manufacturers' domestic shipments of confectionery products (excluding chewing gum) grew steadily from approximately $9 billion in 1990 to nearly $18 billion in 2005. The Chocolate Manufacturers Association/National Confectioners Association has estimated that total retail sales of confectionery products in the United States in 2005 were over $28 billion, and industry trade reports project continued growth in these markets. Despite such growth, the United States ranks only ninth in per capita candy consumption among the industrialized nations. The markets for candy and cookie products are dominated by a number of large, well capitalized corporations. In the candy market, these companies include Hershey Food Corporation, M&M Mars and Nestle S.A. The cookie and biscuit market is dominated by Nabisco, Inc., Keebler Company and Sunshine Biscuits, Inc. In addition to domestic manufacturers, foreign candy and cookie companies, such as Lindt of Switzerland, Bahlsen KG, and Storck, have established their products in this market. The remainder of the market is otherwise highly fragmented, with numerous manufacturers and hundreds of products and distribution channels, such as mass merchandisers, vending companies and gourmet distributors. Grandma’s Best executives believe that the company's experience in these markets and distribution channels positions the firm to capitalize on the growth opportunities in these markets. Suppliers Currently, about half of the company’s finished products (primarily candies and cookies) are purchased from third-party manufacturers, most of whom are located overseas. These products are produced to specific recipe and design specifications developed by Grandma’s. Agreements have been reached with most of these firms so that they will not 1 This case was prepared by Grant Miles for use in the integrated team project of the business policy course at the University of North Texas. While partially based on a real company, material has been altered to fit the needs of the course. As a result, the material contained in this document should be considered the only pertinent written information available about the company. 1 export similar products for sale in the United States. Raw materials necessary for the manufacturing done by Grandma’s are purchased from numerous third-party suppliers. Efforts are made to maintain a number of sources of each necessary supply so that the company does not become dependent on any single supplier. Manufacturing The company currently owns and operates a 105,000 square foot manufacturing facility in Spokane. Within this facility, about 5,000 square feet are devoted to office space. When built in 1983, the facility was only 65,000 square feet. The rest of the space was added in 1992. Equipment within the plant is aging, but still serviceable. This facility is primarily used to manufacture chocolate products. The manufacturing facility currently operates two daily shifts. The company has experimented with a third shift, but experienced problems because of the need for down time for cleaning and servicing the machinery. Based on this experiment, management does not believe that a third shift is workable for any extended period of production time. The plant is currently operating at approximately 95% of capacity, with current growth forecasts indicating that the facility will be over capacity within 1-2 years. Based on these forecasts, executives have begun to search for additional facilities. One possible facility has been located in Yakima, Washington. This facility is being vacated by another chocolate manufacturer that was recently purchased by a larger company. The plant, built in 2001, consists of 135,000 square feet and is equipped with machinery that is superior to that currently used by the Spokane facility. It is believed that the Yakima plant might be purchased for between $6 and $7 million. Distribution Grandma’s Best distributes its products throughout the United States and has begun to distribute internationally. International sales currently make up about 6% of total revenues and sales to Canada account for approximately 91% of all international sales. The majority of the company’s sales are handled through approximately 50 independent food and candy brokers in various regions throughout the United States who then market to retail customers. Brokers are paid on a commission basis (typically 5%) and are generally responsible in their respective geographic markets for identifying customers, soliciting customer orders and inspecting merchandise on store shelves. Arrangements with the brokers prohibit them from selling competing products. It is believed that the use of food and candy brokers, which typically specialize in specific products and have knowledge of and contracts in particular markets, enhances the quality and scope of sales operations and permit the company to limit the significant costs associated with creating and maintaining a direct distribution network. 2 The marketing vice president and three regional sales managers work with brokers on an individual basis and are responsible for managing the broker network, identifying opportunities and developing sales in their respective territories. Five regional bonded public warehouses that specialize in food and confectionery storage are used for distribution. These warehouses are selected based on proximity to customers, the ability to provide prompt customer service and efficient and economic delivery. Products are generally sold pursuant to customer purchase orders and these orders are filled from inventory, generally within one to two days of receipt. Products are delivered by common carrier. Marketing and Advertising Product recognition by retail and wholesale customers, consumers and food brokers is an important factor in the marketing of the company's products. Accordingly, Grandma’s Best promotes its products and brand names through the use of attractive promotional materials, including full-color product brochures and newspaper inserts, advertising in trade magazines targeted to the mass merchandisers, vending industry, gourmet trade and gift basket markets, and participation in trade shows. Last year, approximately $695,000 was spent on advertising. Products are also promoted through sales discounts and advertising allowances. The level of promotional programs is generally highest during the initial introduction of a product. As distribution of the new product increases, resources gradually shift from promotion to direct advertising to reinforce trade and consumer repeat purchasing. Management believes that these promotional programs have shortened the time periods necessary to achieve market penetration of its products. The company intends to continue to develop and implement marketing and advertising programs to increase brand recognition of its products and to emphasize favorable pricing compared to competing products. Employees Grandma’s best currently employs approximately 220 full-time equivalent employees, all of whom work out of the Spokane facility. Of this number, 33 are employed in the front office and the rest in the factory and storage areas. The employees are not represented by a labor union. Management believes that employee relations are good, though there has been a slight increase in employee turnover during the past year. 3 Organization and Information Systems Grandma’s Best is operated by a management team consisting of the CEO and the VicePresidents of Marketing, Manufacturing, and Finance. Other functional areas, such as HR and Purchasing, are also handled by this group. The company is computerized, but has only a rudimentary central information system. For the most part, each vicepresident determines the programs and applications necessary for their own areas. The company web page is currently housed with a local Internet service provider that the company also uses for email purposes. The page is primarily informational, with a section available where people can send comments to the company, though the existence of the page is not well publicized. There has been some talk among the marketing group about utilizing the Internet for sales and distribution purposes, but this has not yet gone beyond the talking stage. 4 Grandma’s Best Consolidated Statements of Income (000's) 2006 (est) 2005 2004 Net Sales 18,084 17,487 16,525 Cost of Sales 12,514 12,570 11,898 5,570 4,917 4,627 Selling, General, & Administrative 3,139 2,744 2,495 Salaries and related expenses 1,516 1,180 1,008 155 769 570 Total operating costs 4,810 4693 4,073 Income from operations 760 224 554 (147) (152) (157) 20 155 34 Total other income (expense) (127) 3 (123) Income before taxes 633 227 431 201 24 165 432 203 266 Gross Profit Pre-production costs Other income (expense) Interest Other income (expense) Provision for taxes Net Income 5 Grandma’s Best Consolidated Balance Sheets (000's) 2006 (est) 2005 688 614 2,067 2,102 - 262 4,059 3,413 127 46 Total current assets 6,941 6,437 Net property and equipment 2,642 2,335 TOTAL 9,583 8,772 1,954 1,844 Current portion of long-term debt 175 145 Accounts payable 2,377 2,024 Accrued expenses 359 198 Income taxes 161 190 Total current liabilities 5,026 4,401 Long-term debt 1,442 1,545 194 108 6,662 6054 10 10 757 757 Retained earnings 2,154 1,951 Total Equity 2,921 2,718 Total Liabilities and Equity 9,583 8,772 ASSETS Current assets Cash and equivalents Accounts receivable Insurance settlement receivable Inventory Other current LIABILITIES Current liabilities Line of credit Deferred taxes Total Liabilities Stockholders equity ($.01 par value, 1,000,000 shares issued) Additional paid in capital 6 Grandma’s Best Additional Information The following items provide additional information about Grandma’s Best. The information is summarized from interviews that student teams from a local university had with Grandma’s Best executives as part of a class project. 1. Mission and Goals Grandma’s does not have a formal mission statement, but the basic thrust of the company is to make good quality products, and sell them at a reasonable price. As far as goals, it was explained that there were some differences of opinion among the family members/owners. One faction was said to be asking when they were going to see some payout for their ownership, since the company had historically retained all earnings to pay for future growth. This faction was not against further growth per se, but was interested in seeing a payoff on their ownership in the near term. The other faction was said to be more comfortable with waiting for a payoff down the road, and was comfortable with the current approach. Teams were told that Mr. Dranove (the CEO) was looking for a plan that he could “sell” to both sides. 2. Financial Information The current debt structure is based on “sweetheart” deals provided by a local government development agency. The line of credit has a 4% interest rate that will remain in effect until the company’s sales reach $50 million. The average balance on the line of credit is about half of the 1.9 million shown on the balance sheet. The remaining long term debt, also from the local development agency, has a 6.5% interest rate, and is to be paid off with principle payments as follows: 2007: $200,000 2008: $300,000 2009: $300,000 20010: $642,000 balloon payment It was explained that these “sweetheart” deals should not be expected to be available in the future, and that Grandma’s would have to go to the general market for future loans. It was also explained that, if necessary, loans were the preferred method of funding future growth, with bonds a 2nd option, and equity (IPO or investor) a distant 3rd. Depreciation is included as part of SGA expenses and runs around $300,000. Depreciation is done on a straightline method, with equipment depreciated over a 7 year period and facilities over 15. Cashflow statements were NOT handed out, but it was explained that cashflow had not been a problem. 7 3. Organizational Issues An organization chart (with rough employee counts) and a rough list of employee salaries are attached. Managers at Grandma’s all have appropriate education and experience for their positions. Training for line staff is primarily “on the job” working with an experienced employee for a short period of time (2 - 4 weeks). The increase in turnover is coming primarily from the line employees and is believed to be a result of the local economy providing other opportunities for the workers at slightly better pay. The turnover rate is only about 10%, so it is not considered to be a big problem. 4. Products, Customers, and Markets As is shown in the attachments, Grandma’s now makes all of its own chocolates and soft candy, plus some of the hard candy. The finished goods imported from foreign sources include a small amount of hard candy, but are primarily made up of biscuits (European style cookies), which Grandma’s does NOT produce on its own. The imports are a carry over of earlier times when an opportunity came along. They have been reduced over time to their current level of 50% of sales. Grandma’s does not breakdown costs by product line, but the chocolates appeared to carry a slightly higher margin than the other products. The imported goods run about 10% higher on cost of goods than Grandma’s own production, but there is little overhead involved with imports. Grandma’s products are targeted primarily at middle to higher end retail outlets and gourmet shops, though the brokers that are utilized are free to sell to whomever they can. Sales are generally distributed across the country, mostly along the lines of population, though the biscuits tend to sell particularly well in the North East. No particular region is targeted over any others. Sales have some peaks and valleys over the course of the year, particularly related to holidays. The international sales (primarily in Canada) are a result of requests from international brokers rather than a designed international plan. Grandma’s is open to further international expansion, though, if a positive case could be made for it. An attachment gives a list of the countries with the highest per capita chocolate consumption, though it should be noted that high consumption does not necessarily equal a good market to enter due to possible local competition. 5. Information Systems Grandma’s does not have any real company wide information system. Managers have their own computers with appropriate applications. Integration/communication is handled in weekly meetings of the managers. Grandma’s executives said that while they weren’t against considering more advanced systems, the current system appeared to be working out just fine. 8 The web page is still under construction, and no immediate plans have been made to try and incorporate web based sales. There are currently mixed feelings among management as to whether web sales would be a good idea. While managers in marketing are pushing for extensive use of the web, the managers within production are skeptical. The CEO was said to be trying to keep an open mind, though he explained that Grandma’s had no IS department and knew nothing about web systems. 6. Inventory Management and Delivery Systems Some teams asked about the “high” levels of inventory. We asked them why they thought the levels were high. We felt as though the levels were reasonable, turning over about 4 times a year, and that we had not had any trouble with spoilage. We also mentioned that we were able to fill all orders with stock on hand. The ordering process involves brokers faxing orders to the marketing department, who then fax the order to the appropriate contract warehouse for shipment by common carrier. The warehouses are located in eastern Pennsylvania, outside Chicago, in Mississippi, in Phoenix and in Seattle. Relationships with the warehouse operators are good, and additional capacity is available if needed. 7. Production Several areas related to production were addressed. First, it was explained that Grandma’s now has 6 production lines operating (2 for solid chocolate, 2 for filled chocolate, one for soft candy, and one for hard candy), with 3 packaging lines. 2 of the chocolate lines were added over the last two years, which accounts for the high pre-production expenses on the income statement. The equipment is older, but serviceable, since the technology in this industry has not changed significantly in the last 40 years. Replacing the current equipment is estimated to cost about $2 million. While replacement would reduce breakdowns that occur on the old machines, it is thought that it would NOT improve capacity or reduce costs to any appreciable extent. The Yakima plant (mentioned in the case as being available) has a capacity of about 1.5 times the current facility with similar, though newer, equipment. It is believed that it would take about 6 months to get it operating to Grandma’s specifications. If deemed appropriate, it is possible that management might be moved to that site. Moving line workers is likely to be cost prohibitive, though, so new workers from the Yakima area would probably be hired. The Yakima facility, however, is only one of several options for further capacity. Other existing facilities might be available, and Grandma’s has land at its current site that would support up to 2 production facilities of the current size. While a new facility on Grandma’s land could share some warehousing with the current facility, it was explained that expansion of the current building would be difficult 9 due to logistical problems that would arise in trying to combine new lines with the current layout. 8. Sales and Marketing Sales are handled almost entirely through external brokers. While management is not against developing its own sales people, a rough estimate had once been done and it was believed that fielding a sales force of 50 people (about the current number of brokers) would cost close to 2.5 times what the brokers were costing. It was possible, though, that this estimate could be faulty. Marketing is not extensive. About $350,000 a year is spent on ads aimed at the end user (primarily through newspaper inserts), and another $350,000 is spent on trade advertising. 9. Competitors In addition to the big competitors in the industry (Hershey’s, Mars, Nestle in chocolate, Nabisco, Keeblers, etc. in biscuits), there are many, many small producers of roughly the same size as Grandma’s. These smaller firms operate in an environment approaching “perfect competition”. It was explained that because of this, Grandma’s does not target or spend much time on worrying about their competitors. They believe that if they make a good product at a reasonable price there will be a market for it. 10 Product Line Break Down % of Total Sales (dollars) % of Our Production (units) Product Chocolates (4 production lines - 2 solid, 2 filled) 15% 35% 1. Solid Bars - Multiple Flavors 3 sizes - 2 bars, plus bite-size sold in bags 17% 30% 2. Filled Chocolates - Sold in box sets 6 assortments and/or sizes 4% 5% 3. Holiday - Solid and Filled Hearts/Eggs/ Coins, etc. Soft Candy (1 production line) 10% 20% 4% 10% Multiple Flavors (taffy, butterscotch, etc.) Sold in multiple assortments and bag sizes Hard Candy (1 production line) Multiple Flavors (peppermint, lemon, etc) Sold in multiple assortments and bag sizes Gift Baskets Combine existing products - sales not separately calculated, but estimated at 5-7% Imports 42% --- Biscuits and Cookies 8% --- Hard Candy 11 Salaries2 Office Staff 4 Top Managers $100,000 6 Middle Managers $50,000 23 staff members $25,000 Production Workers 3 Department Heads $50,000 2 Supervisors $35,000 15 R&D/Quality $30,000 167 Line/Warehouse $18,000 2 These are only rough approximations for a category, not specific salaries of any individuals. Please keep this information confidential! 12 Ranking of Countries by Consumption CHOCOLATE CONFECTIONERY CONSUMPTION (lbs per capita, 2003) Switzerland Austria Ireland Canada United Kingdom Germany Denmark Belgium Sweden U.S.A Finland France Netherlands Norway Spain 21.12 20.68 19.36 19.14 18.92 18.04 16.94 15.4 15.4 11.88 11.44 10.12 9.68 8.58 3.3 NON-CHOCOLATE CONFECTIONERY CONSUMPTION (lbs per capita, 2003) Switzerland Austria Ireland Canada United Kingdom Germany Denmark Belgium Sweden U.S.A Finland France Netherlands Norway Spain 7.04 8.14 12.54 7.48 12.54 13.42 13.2 9.9 14.74 12.76 16.94 7.92 13.86 9.9 5.72 Source: CAOBISCO 13 Grandma’s Best Organization Chart James Dranove CEO Staff (4 people) Mary Young VP Finance Keith Provan VP Manufacturing Steve Borgatti Chief Accountant Donde Ashmos Financial Analysis Denise Cahill HR Tomas Hult R&D Staff (4 people) Staff (4 people) Staff (3 people) Staff (15 people) Jean Hennart Production Candace Jones Op. Mgr. (1st shift) 14 Mitch Koza Op. Mgr. (2nd shift) Janet Fulk VP Marketing Larry Ritzman Maintenance/ Inventory Jo Ann Duffy Southern Region Carol Sanchez Northeast Region Jim Chrisman West Region Staff (17 people) Staff (2 people) Staff (3 people) Staff (3 people) 15