ODE Work Plan: 2016 The Office of Development Effectiveness (ODE) undertakes independent evaluations of the Australian aid program. Its work is overseen by the Independent Evaluation Committee (IEC), an external advisory body that endorses the ODE work plan and provides quality assurance of ODE’s evaluations and other products. The IEC strengthens the quality, credibility, influence and independence of ODE’s work through the provision of independent strategic and technical advice. This document is ODE’s work plan for calendar year 2016 and is divided into four key areas: (1) strategic evaluations; (2) operational evaluations; (3) performance and quality analysis; and (4) evaluation policy development and advisory support. It reflects ODE’s expanded focus on operational evaluations of specific investments and a reduction in larger scale strategic evaluations, an approach approved by DFAT’s Development Policy Committee (DPC) in May 2015. It also reflects ODE’s role in supporting DFAT’s internal performance assessment and evaluation processes, and in building evaluation capacity within the Australian aid program. The work plan includes activities which are currently underway, evaluations which are expected to commence in 2016, and a reserve list of evaluation topics which may be progressed in 2016 or 2017. The priority of these reserve topics will be reviewed against emerging priorities when formulating the 2017 work plan. The following principles guide the selection of evaluation topics: a. Policy relevance: assessing progress on implementation of the Australian Government’s policy priorities. b. Potential learning benefits: focusing on areas where there is a strong demand for insight, information or guidance. c. Coverage and materiality: ODE’s evaluations should provide appropriate coverage of expenditure by sector, theme, country and region, over time. d. Risks to aid effectiveness: examination of issues which pose a challenge to the Australian aid program and its reputation. ODE’s involvement in operational evaluations is guided by the above principles in addition to the following considerations: a. Readiness of program areas to collaborate with ODE. b. Clarity of evaluation purpose: accountability, learning or both. c. Feasibility of the evaluation timing and the availability of human and financial resources. d. Opportunity to model and promote ‘good evaluation practice’ within DFAT. 1. Strategic evaluations Strategic evaluations are broad assessments of Australian aid that focus on key policy directions, specific development themes and sectors, or large programs. These evaluations are independently initiated, managed and conducted by ODE. They typically examine a number of investments, often across multiple countries, regions or sectors. By virtue of their scope, strategic evaluations tend to be time and resource intensive. Strategic evaluations help provide independent oversight of Australian aid. They inform change in both strategy setting and operational practice and they assist in identifying new and innovative ways to deliver Australian aid. www.ode.dfat.gov.au 1 Strategic evaluations already underway Evaluation Description Trade facilitation ODE is conducting an evaluation of the 'trade policy and regulation' element of aid for trade. The Government's aid policy includes a target of increasing aid for trade investments to at least 20 per cent of Australia's annual aid expenditure by 2020. The purpose of this evaluation is to assess the effectiveness of DFAT’s investments in this area and to elicit lessons that will inform the design and implementation of future activities. A range of DFAT investments focussing on improving trade policy and regulation are being assessed. Investing in teachers Education continues to be a significant sector for the aid program. In 2015-16 around 19.4 per cent of Australian aid will be spent on education, with a key target being to improve learning outcomes for 20 million children. This evaluation is analysing the relationship between Australian assistance for teacher development and the expected outcomes of improved teacher effectiveness and student learning. The findings are expected to contribute to refinement of the education performance assessment framework, and to strengthen evidence of the causal links between improved teacher quality and better learning outcomes. Strategic evaluations expected to commence in 2016 Evaluation Description Influence of Australian aid on teacher development The ODE report Investing in Teachers (forthcoming) has confirmed DFAT needs to improve monitoring and evaluation (M&E) of investments in teacher development, in particular to obtain evidence of aid intervention effects on teacher knowledge and practices, and pupils' learning outcomes. In this new evaluation (2016–2019), ODE will work with up to three interested programs to conduct high quality evaluations, building on M&E strengths and addressing weaknesses identified in the Investing in Teachers report. Detailed evaluation designs will be developed in collaboration with program managers, implementing partners and education ministries. Disability-inclusive development Australia is an international leader in disability-inclusive development. Enabling people with disabilities to find pathways out of poverty and realise their full potential is integral to achieving the purpose of the aid program. The new ‘Development for All’ strategy which was launched in 2015 identifies key opportunities to strengthen disability-inclusive development. The evaluation will identify lessons to help ensure the new strategy is successfully implemented. Combatting pandemics & emerging infectious diseases in Asia and the Pacific Strengthening regional preparedness and capacity to respond to emerging health threats that cross national borders is a strategic priority for DFAT’s Health for Development Strategy 2015-2020. Asia is an epicentre for emerging zoonotic diseases such as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and pandemic influenza, which are derived from animals. From 2006-2015, the Australian Government invested more than $200 million in programs to combat emerging disease threats in the region. ODE’s evaluation will help to build the evidence base to support implementation of a new regional health security strategy and investment plan, both currently being developed. Economic partnerships in Asia and contribution to partner government economic reforms A number of programs in South-East Asia are transitioning to economic partnerships involving Australia’s diplomatic, trade and aid resources. There is much to be learnt about how we can engage effectively in partner government policy and budget cycles and about the effectiveness of other tools which can be used in policy reform. In www.ode.dfat.gov.au 2 Evaluation Description particular, the proposed evaluation will focus on how DFAT monitors and communicates its contribution to partner government economic policy reforms. Electoral systems strengthening Australia has a long history of support for electoral systems reform and administration of elections, including in Indonesia, Timor-Leste, Papua New Guinea and the Pacific. A multi–country evaluation of this support is proposed which would draw on existing reviews and evaluations of this assistance and consider lessons, knowledge and experience which can be shared between Australian country programs. Reserve topics for 2016 and 2017 Evaluation Description Effective facilities for effective aid (2016) Significant aid funds are being expensed through ‘facilities’, broadly defined as an overarching program run by a service provider which manages smaller, complementary activities on DFAT’s behalf. This evaluation would examine the effectiveness and efficiency of facilities in delivering outcomes. A better understanding of the features of effective facilities will contribute to the design of better, more effective facilities in future. Technical & vocational education & training (2016) A number of DFAT country programs are investing in skills training systems to improve labour market outcomes and contribute to economic growth. This evaluation would consider the degree to which Australian Government partnerships are supporting quality assured and inclusive skills training systems that enable participation, including by women, the poorest, people with disabilities; deliver training which meets the needs of employers and employees; and are relevant and appropriate to the economic context. Climate change (2017) In November 2015, the Australian government announced a commitment of $1 billion over five years to help Pacific island countries build resilience against climate change and cut emissions. The effectiveness of climate change initiatives funded over the last five years will be evaluated to identify lessons to inform the design and implementation of future investments. Private sector (2017) A Strategy for Australia’s Aid Investments in Private Sector Development was released in November 2015. The strategy reflects the Government’s priority of growing the size and inclusiveness of the private sector in partner countries in order to drive economic growth and reduce poverty. Its objectives are to build better business and investment environments; support growth in specific markets; and maximise the development impact of businesses. An ODE evaluation would examine the effectiveness of initiatives funded and the extent to which the strategy’s objectives are being achieved. Health systems strengthening in the Pacific (2017) Most of the constraints to health systems development in the Pacific relate to upstream issues of financing and good governance. Two recent bilateral evaluations have found significant scope for closer working between DFAT’s health and governance programs. This evaluation would potentially look at the extent to which Australia’s health investments in the Pacific are coordinated with investments in governance and Public Financial Management in the Pacific. Capacity building programs including contribution to women’s leadership (2017) A significant proportion of Australia’s aid program supports capacity building and technical assistance. The evaluation would examine the effectiveness of different approaches to capacity building including the extent to which selected programs have supported improvements in women’s participation in decision-making and women’s leadership. This would inform design and implementation of future capacity building programs. www.ode.dfat.gov.au 3 Evaluation Description Innovation (2017) DFAT’s approach to innovation is to both promote a more innovative institutional culture and to fund innovative aid investments. Strategies for encouraging innovation include funding a range of innovative investments through the InnovationXchange with a view to scaling up successful approaches, and encouraging country programs to think more about innovative approaches. The proposed evaluation would consider the influence of the innovation agenda on the effectiveness of the aid program. 2. Operational evaluations Operational evaluations are independent assessments of the performance of individual Australian aid investments. They provide evidence to inform program management decisions, contribute to broader learning and help to enhance the accountability of Australian aid. Operational evaluations are generally commissioned and managed by program areas and may be conducted at whichever point in time is of most value from a management perspective. Consistent with its role in providing expanded support for operational evaluations, and the selection principles outlined above, ODE sometimes funds and leads or otherwise participates in a limited number of operational evaluations. Operational evaluations already underway Evaluation Description Empowering Indonesian Women for Poverty Reduction The Empowering Indonesian Women for Poverty Reduction program (MAMPU) aims to improve the lives of poor Indonesian women through increasing their access to jobs and removing workplace discrimination; improving women’s access to government social protection programs; and improving conditions for women’s overseas labour migration. It is also working to strengthen women’s leadership for better maternal and reproductive health and to reduce violence against women. ODE is participating in a mid-term evaluation and providing independent verification of the achievements of the program. The findings from the evaluation will be used to demonstrate MAMPU’s achievements to date, inform the second phase of the program, and provide lessons to all DFAT staff on gender equality programs. Eastern Indonesia National Roads Improvement Program Australia is committed to tackling infrastructure bottlenecks in the region to help create the right conditions for the private sector and to expand trade. Increasing the aid program’s infrastructure portfolio over the coming years is a key plank of the Government’s commitment to scale-up the aid for trade portfolio. This evaluation of the Eastern Indonesia National Roads Improvement Program (a $330 million investment over 10 years) is one of two operational evaluations of the economic infrastructure sector endorsed by the IEC. These evaluations include some common questions to facilitate generalizability of findings for the sector. Vanuatu Cyclone PAM emergency response Cyclone PAM hit Vanuatu in March 2015. DFAT has provided $15 million in emergency humanitarian and early recovery assistance to Vanuatu in 2015 and has committed $35 million to early and long term recovery. Humanitarian Response Branch (HRB) has asked ODE to lead on evaluating the $10 million initial emergency response funding. Australia’s partnership with the Secretariat of the Pacific Community The Pacific region is a high priority for the aid program with estimated funding of $1.12 billion in 2015-16. It is the only region not to have had budget reductions. Along with the operational evaluations of Australia’s partnerships with the University of the South Pacific and the Secretariat to the Pacific Islands Forum in 2016, this evaluation is focussing on a key Pacific regional organisation which is central to Australia’s current and future engagement in the region. www.ode.dfat.gov.au 4 Operational evaluations expected to commence 2016 Evaluation Description PNG Transport Sector Support Program This evaluation of the PNG Transport Sector Support Program Phase 2 (a$400 million investment over 6 years) is one of two operational evaluations of the economic infrastructure sector endorsed by the IEC. Substantive work on these evaluations will be undertaken in the first half of 2016 and will include some common questions to facilitate generalizability of findings for the sector. Australia’s partnerships with the University of the South Pacific and the Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat Along with the operational evaluation of the Secretariat of the Pacific Community, these two operational evaluations will focus on Australia’s partnerships with key Pacific regional organisations which are central to Australia’s current and future Pacific engagement. Other operational evaluation topics under discussion with program owners Evaluation Description Civil Society Water Sanitation and Hygiene Fund The Civil Society Water, Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH) Fund is a global grant program with funding of $102.6 million over 7 years (2011-2018) which provides grants to civil society organisations to deliver water, sanitation and hygiene activities. It aims to reach 1.8 million people across Africa, Asia and the Pacific. A contracted Monitoring, Evaluation and Review Panel (MERP) provides ongoing monitoring and a mid-term review is planned for 2016. As part of this review, there is a need for an independent evaluator to consider the Fund’s efficiency in terms of management arrangements and functioning of the MERP. 3. Performance and quality analysis ODE’s performance and quality analysis (PQA) work monitors DFAT’s aid performance management and reporting systems on an annual basis, and independently quality assures the assessments they produce. These are undertaken within set timeframes, while other activities are one-offs or undertaken within a timeframe controlled by ODE. There are a number of components to this work, as indicated below. This work also contributes to ODE and the IEC’s role in quality assurance of the annual Performance of Australian Aid Report. Performance and quality analysis work underway Evaluation Description Review of Aid Program Performance Reports (APPRs) ODE assesses the quality of annual APPRs which report on the performance of country and regional aid programs, highlighting areas of strength and opportunities for improvement. APPR quality reviews have been carried out every year since APPRs were introduced in 2008 and have been published on the ODE website since 2013. Annual spot check of Aid ODE quality assures DFAT’s self-assessments of the performance of individual aid Quality Checks (AQCs) investments, which are made through annual AQCs. This quality assurance work involves checking a statistically significant sample of AQC reports each year, to assess whether the quality ratings within them are robust. Review of uptake of ODE The management responses to ODE’s strategic evaluations are cleared at a high recommendations level and become a public commitment to implement the accepted recommendations. ODE reviews DFAT’s management responses regarding evaluation recommendations around twelve to eighteen months after each www.ode.dfat.gov.au 5 Evaluation Description evaluation and reports on progress to the IEC and the DFAT Executive. Review of Operational Evaluations This review seeks to better understand the practices related to, and the quality of, independent operational evaluations across DFAT and how these have changed since 2012. It will provide information to support good quality, independent evaluations across the department, and it will promote better use of evaluations across the department and the aid community by facilitating opportunities for learning. New performance and quality analysis for 2016 Evaluation DFAT’s approach to investment monitoring Description ODE will make a detailed assessment of investment monitoring and evaluation which has been consistently identified as a weakness in DFAT aid investments (through AQCs since 2008). This study will explore the different types of aid monitoring, and assess the quality of monitoring systems used across the aid programs. Factors enabling and/or inhibiting high quality monitoring of investments will be identified. 4. Evaluation policy development and advisory support ODE acts as a support service to DFAT staff managing evaluations, either by providing advice; reviewing evaluation terms of reference, plans and reports; participating in reference groups; or connecting program areas to resources that support capacity. Key elements of this work for 2016 are shown below. » Update of DFAT evaluation policy and associated guidance documents. » Provision of advisory support to program areas. » Delivery of specialist training on evaluations methods and approaches. » Corporate training on DFAT monitoring and evaluation – policies, guidelines and implementation. www.ode.dfat.gov.au 6 5. Published evaluation reports The following table identifies evaluation reports published in 2015. Evaluation report Publication Date Evaluation of the contribution of Australia Award Scholarships to women’s leadership December 2015 Banking our aid: Australia’s non-core funding to the Asian Development Bank and World Bank September 2015 Evaluation of the Australian NGO Cooperation Program August 2015 Evaluation of the Australia-Vietnam Country Strategy 2010-15 May 2015 A window of opportunity: Australian aid and child undernutrition April 2015 Evaluation of Australia’s humanitarian response to the Syria Crisis March 2015 Research for better aid: an evaluation of DFAT’s investments February 2015 Working in decentralised service systems: challenges and choices for the Australian aid program January 2015 www.ode.dfat.gov.au 7