HOW HEALTHY IS C&C? C&C’s cash balance has fallen dramatically, and George Douglas wonders why. Cedric Renn, a potential employee, wonders if C&C will be around for the long term. Meredith Lincoln wonders if she should increase C&C’s credit limit. Each can use C&C’s financial statements to help answer their question. WHAT IS FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS? Analyzing a firm’s past financial performance Finding out how a firm measures up against other firms in the industry Forecasting future performance WHY DO FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS? Managers Stockholders (current AND potential) Creditors Customers Bankers Employees Analysts HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS Shows the percentage increase or decrease in a particular line item on the financial statements; may also be expressed in dollars Requires two years’ of information to calculate The earliest year is considered the “base year” HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS Current Year Amount – Base Year Amount Base Year Amount HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS: SALES REVENUE 12/31/10 Sales revenue Cost of goods sold Gross margin Selling and administrative expenses Operating income Interest expense Income before taxes Income tax expense Net income 12/31/09 $ Change % Change $5,237,000 $4,654,000 $583,000 12.5% 3,876,432 3,464,440 411,992 11.9% 1,360,568 171,008 14.4% $5,237,000 -1,178,560 $4,654,000 1,160,566 1,067,721 92,845= 12.5% 8.7% $4,654,000 200,002 121,839 78,163 64.2% 41,715 43,210 (1,492) (3.5%) 158,287 78,629 79,658 101.3% 47,486 23,589 23,897 101.3% 55,040 $ 55,761 101.3% $ 110,801 $ C&C INCOME STATEMENT 12/31/10 Sales revenue 12/31/09 $ Change % Change $5,237,000 $4,654,000 $583,000 12.5% 3,876,432 3,464,440 411,992 11.9% 1,360,568 1,178,560 171,008 14.4% 1,160,566 1,067,721 92,845 8.7% Operating income 200,002 121,839 78,163 64.2% Interest expense 41,715 43,210 (1,492) (3.5%) 158,287 78,629 79,658 101.3% 47,486 23,589 23,897 101.3% 55,040 $ 55,761 101.3% Cost of goods sold Gross margin Selling and administrative expenses Income before taxes Income tax expense Net income $ 110,801 $ Why don’t we add the % change column? HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS ALLOWS US TO… Identify trends and changes in account balances over time Predict account balances based on the identified trend TREND ANALYSIS Shows account balances as a percentage of the base year Can see how account balances are changing over time TREND ANALYSIS CALCULATION FOR REVENUE 12/31/10 Sales revenue Cost of goods sold Gross margin Selling and administrative expenses $583,000 112.5% 3,876,432 3,464,440 411,992 111.9% 1,360,568 1,178,560 1,160,566 Interest expense Net income % Change $4,654,000 200,002 Income tax expense $ Change $5,237,000 Operating income Income before taxes 12/31/09 $5,237,000 171,008 114.4% = 112.5% 1,067,721 92,845 18.7% $4,654,000 121,839 78,163 164.2% 41,715 43,210 (1,492) (13.5%) 158,287 78,629 79,658 201.3% 47,486 23,589 23,897 201.3% 55,040 $ 55,761 201.3% $ 110,801 $ COMMON-SIZE STATEMENTS Every line item on the financial statement is presented as a percentage of a major statement component • Total assets for the balance sheet • Net sales for the income statement • Also known as vertical analysis COMMON-SIZE BALANCE SHEET Account Balance Total Assets COMMON SIZE BALANCE SHEET 12/31/10 $ Cash Accounts receivable, net Total inventory Prepaid expenses Total current assets Property, plant & equipment Other assets Total assets $ 12/31/09 % 7,752 0.42% 623,713 33.34% $7,752640,372 34.23% = 0.42% 24,388 1.30% $1,870,787 $ $ % 22,114 1.23% 583,429 32.46% 547,109 30.44% 8,164 0.46% 1,296,225 69.29% 1,160,816 64.59% 532,858 28.48% 600,647 33.42% 41,704 2.23% 35,812 1.99% $1,870,787 100.00% $1,797,275 100.00% COMMON-SIZE BALANCE SHEET 12/31/10 Cash 0.42% 12/31/10 Accounts payable Accounts receivable,Notice net 4.64% Total inventory 6.68% Prepaid expenses 33.34% Other accrued expenses that the Total Assets and 34.23% & Stockholders’ Short-term debt Total Liabilities 1.30% of LTD Equity lines must Current total maturities to 100% 23.60% 1.07% Total current assets 69.29% Total current liabilities 35.99% Property, plant & equipment 28.48% Long-term debt 14.97% 2.23% Total liabilities 50.96% 100.00% Common stock 11.23% Retained earnings 37.81% Total stockholders’ equity 49.04% Other assets Total assets Total liabilities & equity 100.00% WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? 12/31/10 Cash 0.42% 12/31/10 Accounts payable 23.60% Accounts receivable, net 33.34% Other accrued expenses 4.64% Total inventory 34.23% Short-term debt 6.68% Current maturities of LTD 1.07% Total current liabilities 35.99% Retained earnings 37.81% Total stockholders’ equity 49.04% Prepaid expenses 1.30% Total current assets 69.29% Property, plant & equipment 28.48% Other assets Total assets 2.23% 100.00% 33.34% of C&C’s assets are in the form of accounts receivable. 23.60% Long-term debt of C&C’s14.97% capitalization is provided Total liabilities 50.96% by short-term creditors. Common stock 11.23% Total liabilities & equity 100.00% COMMON SIZE INCOME STATEMENT Account Balance Net Sales COMMON SIZE INCOME STATEMENT 12/31/10 Sales revenue 12/31/09 $5,237,000 100.00% $4,654,000 100.00% 3,876,432 74.02% 3,464,440 74.44% 1,360,568 25.98% $3,876,432 = 74.02% Selling and administrative expenses 1,160,566 22.16% $5,237,000 1,178,560 25.56% 1,067,721 22.94% Cost of goods sold Gross margin Operating income 200,002 3.82% 121,839 2.62% Interest expense 41,715 0.80% 43,210 0.93% 158,287 3.02% 78,629 1.69% 47,486 0.91% 23,589 0.51% $ 110,801 2.11% 55,040 1.18% Income before taxes Income tax expense Net income $ COMMON SIZE INCOME STATEMENT 12/31/10 Sales revenue 12/31/09 100.00% 100.00% 74.02% 74.44% 25.98% 25.56% 22.16% 22.94% Operating income 3.82% 2.62% Interest expense 0.80% 0.93% 3.02% 1.69% 0.91% 0.51% 2.11% 1.18% Cost of goods sold Gross margin Selling and administrative expenses Income before taxes Income tax expense Net income Notice that we start with Net Sales at 100%. If there had been Gross Sales and then Sales Returns, Gross Sales would be greater than 100. WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? 12/31/10 Sales revenue 12/31/09 100.00% 100.00% 74.02% 74.44% 25.98% 25.56% 22.16% 22.94% Operating income 3.82% 2.62% Interest expense 0.80% 0.93% 3.02% 1.69% 0.91% 0.51% 2.11% 1.18% Cost of goods sold Gross margin Selling and administrative expenses Income before taxes Income tax expense Net income This means that for every $1.00 collected in sales revenue, 74.44¢ goes to make C&C’s goods for sale. COMMON SIZE STATEMENTS ALLOW US TO… Look at changes in the makeup of the base component • Has COGS as a percentage of net sales increased this year? Compare companies of different absolute sizes • Qualcomm vs. Ericsson Compare a firm to industry averages RATIO ANALYSIS A comparison of the relationship between two or more financial statement items Reveals symptoms of underlying strengths and weaknesses Four major categories • • • • Liquidity ratios Leverage ratios Profitability ratios Market measure ratios RATIO ANALYSIS ALLOWS US TO… Compare a company with industry averages or norms (cross-sectional analysis) Examine changes in a company’s ratios over time (longitudinal analysis) Focus further investigations into a company’s performance (reveals symptoms, not answers) LIQUIDITY RATIOS What is liquidity? • Ability to convert assets into cash within a year or the length of the business cycle Why is it important? • Need to pay bills on time • Need to take advantage of opportunities WORKING CAPITAL CALCULATION Total Current Assets – Total Current Liabilities Current Assets 12/31/10 Current Liabilities 12/31/10 Cash $ Accounts payable $441,602 7,752 Accounts receivable, net 623,713 Other accrued expenses Total inventory 640,372 Short-term debt Prepaid expenses 24,388 Total current assets $1,296,225 Current maturities of LTD Total current liabilities $1,296,225 – $673,351 = $622,874 86,749 125,000 20,000 $673,351 CURRENT RATIO CALCULATION Total Current Assets Total Current Liabilities Current Assets 12/31/10 Current Liabilities 12/31/10 Cash $ Accounts payable $441,602 7,752 Accounts receivable, net 623,713 Other accrued expenses Total inventory 640,372 Short-term debt Prepaid expenses Total current assets 24,388 $1,296,225 Current maturities of LTD Total current liabilities $1,296,225 = 1.93 $673,351 86,749 125,000 20,000 $673,351 CURRENT RATIO – WHAT DOES IT MEAN? Literally, that C&C has 1.93 times more current assets than current liabilities Measures the buffer to cover shrinkage in asset value in the event of forced liquidation Measures ability to absorb random business shocks and uncertain cash flows Rule of thumb 2:1, but don’t let it get too high; very industry-sensitive ACID-TEST RATIO CALCULATION Cash + Cash Equivalents + A/R Total Current Liabilities Current Assets 12/31/10 Current Liabilities 12/31/10 Cash $ Accounts payable $441,602 7,752 Accounts receivable, net 623,713 Other accrued expenses Total inventory 640,372 Short-term debt Prepaid expenses Total current assets 24,388 $1,296,225 Current maturities of LTD Total current liabilities $7,752 + $623,713 = 0.94 $673,351 86,749 125,000 20,000 $673,351 ACID-TEST RATIO – WHAT DOES IT MEAN? Literally, C&C has 0.94 times “highly liquid” current assets as current liabilities More stringent test than current ratio since it uses only the most liquid current assets Rule of thumb is 1:1 CURRENT AND ACID-TEST RATIO LIMITATIONS Static measures of liquidity Not useful for predictions of cash flows No insight into quality of the assets No insight into timing of cash conversion ACTIVITY RATIOS What are they used for? • To measure how well a company is managing (using) its assets • Provides some insight into the quality of the assets underlying the liquidity ratios Two areas we’ll study • Accounts Receivable • Inventory A/R TURNOVER CALCULATION Net Credit Sales Average A/R Current Assets 12/31/10 Cash $ 12/31/09 Income Statement 7,752 $22,114 Sales revenue Accounts receivable, net 623,713 583,429 Cost of goods sold Total inventory 640,372 547,109 24,388 8,164 $1,296,225 $1,797,275 Prepaid expenses Total current assets Gross margin 12/31/10 $5,237,000 3,876,432 1,360,568 $5,237,000 = 8.68 times ($623,713 + $583,429) / 2 WHAT DOES IT MEAN? A/R Turnover • Measures how many times receivables are generated and collected within a year • Higher turnover means faster collection of cash AVERAGE COLLECTION PERIOD 365 Days A/R Turnover 365 days 8.68 times = 42 days INVENTORY TURNOVER CALCULATION Cost of Goods Sold Average Inventory Current Assets 12/31/10 Cash $ 12/31/09 Income Statement 7,752 $22,114 Sales revenue Accounts receivable, net 623,713 583,429 Cost of goods sold Total inventory 640,372 547,109 24,388 8,164 $1,296,225 $1,160,816 Prepaid expenses Total current assets Gross margin 12/31/10 $5,237,000 3,876,432 1,360,568 $3,876,432 = 6.53 times ($640,372 + $547,109) / 2 WHAT DOES IT MEAN? Inventory Turnover • Measures how many times inventory is sold within a year • Higher turnover means faster sale of inventory and less likely to have obsolete items, but too high may indicate stock-out problems AVERAGE DAYS TO SELL INVENTORY CALCULATION 365 Days Inventory Turnover 365 days 6.53 times = 55.9 days DO YOU UNDERSTAND INVENTORY TURNOVER? ©Thomas Perkins/iStockphoto Who would you expect to have the highest inventory turnover? Why? Ice cream manufacturer Airplane manufacturer LEVERAGE RATIOS Longer time-frame of concern than short-term creditors Interested in short-term position for payment of interest Interested in long-term position for repayment of loan balance DEBT RATIO CALCULATION Total Liabilities Total Assets Assets 12/31/10 Total current assets $1,296,225 Property, plant & equipment, net Other assets Total assets Liabilities 12/31/10 Total current liabilities $673,351 532,858 Long-term debt 280,000 41,704 Total liabilities $953,351 $1,870,787 $953,351 = 50.9% $1,870,787 DEBT-TO-EQUITY RATIO CALCULATION Total Liabilities Total Stockholders’ Equity Liabilities 12/31/10 Total current liabilities $673,351 Long-term debt 280,000 Total liabilities 953,351 Common stock 210,000 Retained earnings 707,436 Total stockholders’ equity 917,436 Total liabilities & stockholders’ equity $1,807,787 $953,351 = 1.04 $917,436 WHAT DOES IT MEAN? Debt-to-Equity Ratio • At C&C there is $1.04 in debt for every $1 of stockholder’s equity. Put another way, about 50% of the asset base is financed through debt, or borrowed money, while 50% is financed by stockholders’ capital • The higher the ratio, the greater the risk assumed by the creditors THE TIMES-INTEREST-EARNED CALCULATION Earnings before Interest and Taxes Interest Expense Income Statement Sales revenue Cost of goods sold Gross margin Selling and administrative expenses 12/31/10 $5,237,000 3,876,432 1,360,568 1,160,566 Operating income 200,002 Interest expense 41,715 Income before taxes Income tax expense Net income $200,002 $41,715 158,287 47,486 $ 110,801 = 4.79 times PROFITABILITY RATIOS Focuses on returns to the stockholder GROSS MARGIN CALCULATION Gross Margin Net Sales Income Statement Sales revenue Cost of goods sold Gross margin Selling and administrative expenses 12/31/10 $5,237,000 3,876,432 1,360,568 1,160,566 Operating income 200,002 Interest expense 41,715 Income before taxes Income tax expense Net income $1,360,568 $5,237,000 158,287 47,486 $ 110,801 = 25.98% RETURN ON ASSETS CALCULATION NI + [ Interest Expense × (1 – tax rate) ] Average Total Assets Balance Sheet Total assets 12/31/10 12/31/09 $1,870,787 $1,797,275 Income Statement 12/31/10 Operating income 200,002 Interest expense 41,715 Income before taxes Income tax expense Net income $41,715 $158,287 158,287 47,486 $ 110,801 $110,801 + [ 41,715× (1 – )] =7.63% ($1,870,787 + $1,797,275) / 2 RETURN ON COMMON STOCKHOLDER’S EQUITY CALCULATION NI – Preferred Dividends Average Common Stockholders’ Equity Balance Sheet 12/31/10 12/31/09 Common stock 210,000 210,000 Operating income 200,002 Retained earnings 707,436 596,635 Interest expense 41,715 $917,436 $806,635 Total common equity Income Statement Income before taxes 12/31/10 158,287 Income tax expense Net income 47,486 $ 110,801 $110,801 - $0 = 12.85% ($917,436 + $806,635) / 2 MARKET MEASURE RATIOS Only calculated for publicly traded stocks EARNINGS PER SHARE CALCULATION NI – Preferred Dividends Average Number of Shares Outstanding $1,486.7 - $0 = $3.07 484.9 PRICE/EARNINGS RATIO CALCULATION Market Price per Share Earnings per Share $66.07 $3.07 = 21.52 times (Closing market price, 12/31/09) DIVIDEND PAYOUT RATIO CALCULATION Dividends per Share Earnings per Share $0.98 $3.07 = 32% SOME THINGS TO REMEMBER… Ratios are a snapshot The firm’s choice of accounting principles influences reported income Read the footnotes to find unusual items Contingent liabilities could influence future earnings Discontinued operations or extraordinary items may influence future performance INDUSTRY CLASSIFICATION Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code • 2329 for C&C North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS) code • 315299 for C&C SOURCES OF INDUSTRY DATA Published Industry Analyses Government Statistics Industry trade groups GOVERNMENT DATA EXAMPLE Value of U.S. Men’s and Boys’ Team Sports Uniform Shipments Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Annual Survey of Manufactures Value of Product Shipments: 2001, 2004, 2006 TRADE ASSOCIATION DATA EXAMPLE U.S. Participants in Team Baseball, 6 Years of Age or Older, at Least Once per Year Sources: SMGA, Sports Participation Topline Report: 2006 Edition; 2007 Sports and Fitness Participation Report; 2008 Sports and Fitness Participation Report; 2009 Sports and Fitness Participation Report