MacEwan University Introduction to Applied Statistics Stat 151 (AS40) Fall 2013 Instructor: Office: Phone: E-mail: Web Page(s): Sunil Barran CCC 5-107B 780-497-5212 barrans@macewan.ca https://bb.macewan.ca & https://academic.macewan.ca/barrans/ Office Hours: MWR: 11:00-12:00, T: 1:00-2:00, in 5-107B T: 11:00-12:00 in 5-206 (Help Centre) Lecture Time: Lecture Room: MWF: 10-11 CCC 6-132 Course Hours: Lecture 45 Lab 18 Seminar 0 Course Description: In this course the following topics are covered: data collection and presentation, descriptive statistics; probability distributions, sampling distributions and the central limit theorem; point estimation and hypothesis testing; one-way ANOVA; Goodness-of-Fit and contingency table; and correlation and regression analysis. Applications are taken from a broad variety of fields such as biological and medical sciences, engineering, social sciences and economics. Note: This course may not be taken for credit if credit has been obtained in any statistics course, or in SOCI 210 or SOCI 310 Course Objectives: The course provides an introduction to statistical methods and their applications. There are three main topics: description of data using numerical and graphical summaries; probability theory; and statistical inference, which deals with drawing conclusions from sample data in a scientific manner. In the computer lab, students will learn how to use the software program MINITAB or SPSS as a tool in statistical analysis. No prior knowledge of computers is assumed or required. Course Prerequisite: Pure Math 30 or Mathematics 30-1 or Mathematics 30-2 or successful completion of the statistics gateway exam The Faculty of Arts and Science strictly adheres to the notion of prerequisites, and University staff conduct prerequisite checks throughout the term. If it is discovered that you do not have the appropriate prerequisite for this course, you will be withdrawn by the Registrar’s Office. Deciding to remain in the course without the prerequisite may result in a significant financial penalty because you will be responsible for any tuition costs associated with the course up to the date of the withdrawal. Courses transferred to MacEwan University from another post- 1 Stat 151 (AS40)Course Outline, Fall 2013 secondary institution will not be applied to your student record until a transfer credit assessment has been completed. If you believe you have the proper external prerequisite please consult with an advisor in the program office (6-211). Course Co-requisite: STAT 151 Lab Required Learning Materials: 1. Text book: Introductory Statistics, 9th Edition, by Neil A. Weiss, published by Pearson 2. Laboratory Manual: Introduction to Applied Statistics I 3. Course notes on Blackboard. Print the course notes and bring them to class so that you can annotate them while listening and avoid copying everything on the board. Other Learning Resources: Non-programmable scientific calculator Homework Assignments All problems referred to are from the text book. Your work should be neat and easy to read. Graders may deduct marks for work that is messy and difficult to follow. Staple the pages together. Assignments must be handed in to your instructor at the beginning of class on their due dates. Late assignments are not accepted. Make sure to write your name, Student ID, and lecture section on the front page of your assignment. Marked assignments will be returned in class. The solutions will be posted on the course webpage on Blackboard https://bb.macewan.ca Assignment 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Problems 1.12, 1.14, 1.18, 1.44(a), 2.6, 2.18, 2.52, 2.62, 2.98 3.23, 3.30, 3.34, 3.79, 3.102, 3.128, 3.166, 3.170 4.20, 4.52, 4.70, 4.80, 4.98, 4.110, 4.132, 4.134, 4.178, 4.196 5.8, 5.22, 5.33, 5.64, 5.70 6.34, 6.66, 6.76, 6.96, 6.130 7.11, 7.41, 7.50, 7.64, 7.70, 7.74 8.8, 8.24, 8.32, 8.38, 8.56, 8.60, 8.94, 8.95 9.6, 9.22, 9.30, 9.46, 9.74, 9.78, 9.104, 9.106 10.22, 10.24, 10.40, 10.70, 10.74, 10.142, 10.144, 10.150 12.34, 12.68, 12.90, 12.92, 12.96, 13.30, 13.56, 13.72, 13.76, 13.92 14.52, 14.90, 14.124, 15.28, 15.52, 15.58, 15.82, 16.16, 16.48 [Helpful summaries in question 14.52, 15.52, 15.58, 15.82] : x=270,y=5552,x2=8316,y2=3504412, xy = 169993 Due in Class September 13 September 20 September 27 October 4 October 11 October 18 October 25 November 8 November 15 November 22 November 29 Stat 151 Lab Assignments The computer software used in the Stat 151 labs is MINITAB or SPSS. No prior experience with this software is expected. Labs will begin during the second week of classes (September 9-13) and the first lab session will consist of a basic introduction to the software. In this session, the software essentials will be discussed and the students are not required to submit any work. There will be a total of five lab assignments to be handed in. Before you start working on the lab assignment problems, you should first get familiar with the lecture materials and with the instructions included in the lab manual. 2 Stat 151 (AS40)Course Outline, Fall 2013 Lab assignments must be stapled and legible. The first page must include your name and ID number, the lab section number, and your lab instructor's name. The completed lab assignments must be dropped in the appropriate slot in the filing cabinet (at the east entrence next to room 5-107) according to the following schedule: Lab Time for covering lab Lab Due date on or Assignment materials materials before 1 September 16 – September 27 Ch 1-2 September 28 2 September 30 – October 11 Ch 2-3 October 12 3 October 14 – October 25 Ch 3-4 October 26 4 October 28 – November 8 Ch 4 November 9 5 November 11 – November 22 Ch 5 November 23 Note: Lab assignment is due within ½ hour after the end of your lab. For exact lab assignments due dates and lab exams dates please see the lab instructor’s handout. Grade Evaluation: Midterm Exam Final Exam Homework Assignments Lab Assignments Lab Exam 25% 35 % 15 % 15 % 10 % 100% Examination Dates: Midterm Examination: Friday, November , 1, 2013 (in class) Final Examination*: Friday, December 13, 2013, 9:00 a.m.-12:00 noon (in the gym) *Students are responsible for verifying the date of the final exam (see here). Format of Examinations: All exams are closed book. Questions might be short and long answers as well as multiple choice type problems. Final Grade: A+ A AB+ B BC+ C CD+ D F 95-100 90-94 85-89 80-84 75-79 70-74 65-69 60-64 55-59 50-54 45-49 40-44 Please Note: 1. Official final grades can be accessed through My Student System. MacEwan University adheres to the Alberta Common Grading Scheme, which is a letter grade system. While instructors may use percentages to aid in their grade development, only the letter grade will appear on transcripts. 3 Stat 151 (AS40)Course Outline, Fall 2013 2. A minimum grade of C- is required to receive transfer credit or to satisfy a prerequisite for a higher level course. 3. In order to obtain a C- or better in the course, a student must obtain a minimum of 40% on the final examination. Student Responsibilities: Students are expected to be aware of their academic responsibilities as outlined in MacEwan University Policy E3101: Student Rights and Responsibilities (found here). 1. Academic Integrity: All forms of student dishonesty are considered unacceptable. MacEwan University Policy C1000: Academic Integrity (found here) promotes honesty, fairness, respect, trust, and responsibility in all academic work. According to the policy, “Academic dishonesty involves participating in acts by which a person fraudulently gains or intentionally attempts to gain an unfair academic advantage thereby compromising the integrity of the academic process”. All incidents of academic dishonesty are reported and recorded by the Academic Integrity Office. The penalties and sanctions for academic dishonesty can include the following: a mark reduction up to zero on a piece of academic work, a grade reduction up to an F in the course, and suspension or expulsion (with transcript notation) from the University. Please see the academic integrity policy for more details. You are responsible for understanding what constitutes academic dishonesty. 2. Registration Status: You are responsible for your registration status at the University. Program advisors (Rm 6-211) may assist you with the process of registration, including adding or dropping of courses, but it is your responsibility to verify that these changes have been officially completed. This verification can be done at any time using myStudentSystem. You should check your official registration status before the last date to officially withdraw from the course. 3. Withdrawing From The Course: If you stop attending class you must complete a Course Drop Form, have it signed by a Program Advisor (Rm 6-211), and submit it to the Registrar’s Office by the last day to withdraw as provided in the Academic Schedule in the Academic Calendar. Failure to officially withdraw will result in a grade being assigned based on course work completed. Late withdrawals are only allowed in exceptional circumstances. 4. Exams: Your student photo I.D. is required at exams. It is at the discretion of the instructor whether you will be allowed to write the exam if you arrive over 15 minutes after the exam has begun. You must remain in the exam room for at least 20 minutes from the time it commenced. Only calculators approved for use by the instructor may be used during examinations, which include any laboratory and lecture quizzes. Any devices capable of external communication, such as cell phones, iPods and blue tooth enabled devices, cannot be used for exams of any type. Permission to use the washroom during exams is at the discretion of the instructor and may require accompaniment. 5. Missed Term Exams: If you miss a term examination you must provide the instructor with an explanation within 24 hours or a mark of zero may be given. Notification may be provided through email, voice mail, or direct contact with the instructor. Official documentation as to why the examination was missed will be needed to assess whether your absence will be excused or not. If your absence is excused the weight of this examination will be added to the weight of the final examination in the course. Medical excuses must include the date you were examined, the specific dates for the period of the illness, a clear statement indicating that the severity of the illness prevented you from attending school or work, and the signature of the examining physician (a signature by office staff on behalf of the physician is not acceptable). Medical notes obtained subsequent to the date of the examination are generally not accepted. 4 Stat 151 (AS40)Course Outline, Fall 2013 A mark of zero will be given if the instructor considers the excuse inappropriate or inadequately substantiated. 6. Deferred Final Exam: A deferred examination will be granted if a student misses the final lecture examination for reasons considered by the Bachelor of Science Program to be unavoidable (deferred examinations do not apply to term or laboratory examinations). An application for a deferred examination must be provided to the Bachelor of Science Program no later than two business days after the date of the missed final examination. Application forms are available from the individual departments within the Bachelor of Science Program (see Cristina Vocaturo, 780 497 5786, vocaturoc@macewan.ca ), and must be submitted with appropriate documentation. Students should advise the instructor prior to the examination if they know beforehand that they will be unable to attend the scheduled examination time. Deferred examinations are granted by the Chair, Bachelor of Science Program, not by the course instructor. If you have any questions about the process please contact Program Services (780 497 4520 or science@macewan.ca) or Cristina Vocaturo, (780 497 5786, vocaturoc@macewan.ca). For further information please refer to MacEwan University Policy C2005: Final Assessment (found here) and Policy C2020: Grading (found here). Note that C2005 states: only a compelling situation such as serious illness, hospitalization, domestic affliction or religious observance will be considered a valid reason for a student to receive approval for deferral of a final assessment activity and personal vacations are not a sufficient reason. 7. Late Assignments (including laboratory assignments): As due dates for assignments are known well in advance, medical and other excuses are generally not accepted as a reason for submitting late assignments. 8. Cell Phones: All cell phones are to be turned off during class and exam periods (except under exceptional circumstances in which approval has been given by the instructor). 9. Students With Disabilities: Students with disabilities who may have special requirements in this course are advised to discuss their needs with Services to Students with Disabilities located in the Student Resource Centre. You should advise the course instructor(s) of any special needs that are identified. See Policy E3400 Students with Disabilities (found here). 10. Student Appeals: The University has a policy regarding Student Appeals (E3103, found here). You should access this policy to become aware of the deadlines and guidelines that need to be followed if you are appealing a grade or other University assessment. 11. MyMacewan.ca Email: All students are given a <name>@mymacewan.ca email address. This email address is available to the course instructor who may distribute relevant course information or announcements via email. The Bachelor of Science Program regularly communicates with students via email. Check your macewan.ca email regularly or forward it to an email address you check regularly. If you use email to communicate with your instructor, you must use your macewan.ca account. This is to protect your privacy; if a nonmacewan.ca account is used, there is no way for an instructor to verify the identity of the sender. 12. Attendance and Punctuality: Attend each lecture and lab. Take notes even you don’t understand fully. Please read the assigned materials before the lecture. Students are responsible for the materials covered in the class. 13. OTHERS: No programmable calculators are allowed for midterm and final exams; internet use is not permitted during class; texting is not permitted during class. Disclaimer: The information in this Course Outline is subject to change; any changes will be announced and distributed to the class or, if applicable, in the laboratory. 5 Stat 151 (AS40)Course Outline, Fall 2013 Lecture Topics: Tentative Lecture Schedule for Stat 151, Fall 2013 Sections Description Week Sep3 -6 1.1-1.2 2.1 Statistics basics and simple random sampling Data types: quantitative and qualitative Sep 9-13 2.2-2.5 3.1-3.4 Graphical description of data: bar, pie chart; dotplot; stemplot; histogram Numerical description of data: measures of center, variation; shape relative standing; five-number summary and boxplot Homework assignment 1 due (Friday, September 13) Sep 16-20 4.1-4.6 Sample space, event, rules of probability, conditional probability, multiplication rule, independence Counting rules Homework assignment 2 due (Friday, September 20) 4.8 Sep 23-27 5.1 5.2 5.3 Random variable and probability distribution Mean and variance of a discrete random variable Binomial distribution Homework assignment 3 due (Friday, September 27) Sep 30-Oct 4 6.1-6.3 6.4 Normal distribution and area under the standard Normal curve Assess Normality using Normal probability plot Homework assignment 4 due (Friday, October 4) Oct 7-11 7.1-7.3 Sampling distribution of sample mean and central limit theorem Homework assignment 5 due (Friday, October 11) Oct 14-18 8.1-8.4 Confidence interval for a population mean, margin of error and sample size calculation Homework assignment 6 due (Friday, October 18) Oct 21-25 9.1-9.5 Elements a hypothesis testing and hypothesis tests for one population mean: critical-value or/and P-value approach Homework assignment 7 due (Friday, October 25) Oct 28- Nov 1 10.1-10.3 Comparing two population means using two independent samples 10.5 Comparing two population means using paired samples Midterm Exam (Friday, November 1, in class) Nov 4-8 12.1-12.2 Hypothesis tests and confidence interval for one population proportion 12.3 Comparing two population proportions using independent samples Homework assignment 8 due (Friday, November 8) No class on Oct 14 Nov 8:Last day to withdraw Nov 11-15 13.1-13.2 Chi-square goodness-of-fit test 13.3-13.4 Chi-square test for independence of two variables No class on Nov 11 13.5 Chi-square homogeneity test Homework assignment 9 due (Friday, November 15) Nov 18-22 14.1-14.4 Descriptive methods in regression and correlation 15.1-15.3 Inferential methods in regression Homework assignment 10 due (Friday, November 22) Nov 25-29 16.1-16.3 One-way ANOVA Homework assignment 11 due (Friday, November 29) Dec 3 Review 6 Stat 151 (AS40)Course Outline, Fall 2013