Chapter 9: Significance Tests Outline AP Statistics Mrs. Harrison Essential Questions: 1. How is inferential statistics different from descriptive statistics? 2. Under what conditions should you use t-procedures? 3. What conditions are necessary to fulfill in order to do inference on proportions? 4. Why do you need hypotheses in a significance test? 5. Does it matter if your alternative is one- or two-sided? 6. How is “rejecting” a hypothesis different than proving it is false? 7. What is the power of a test, and how can you increase it? Knowledge: You should be able to define, illustrate, or calculate the following: Statistical inference One-sided alternative Significance test Two-sided alternative Null hypothesis α level Alternative hypothesis Matched pairs t P-value procedure Statistical significance Skills: Type I and Type II errors Power (of a significance test) You should be able to: State the null and alternative hypotheses for a significance test about a population parameter. Interpret a P-value in context. Determine if the results of a study are statistically significant and draw an appropriate conclusion using a significance level. Interpret a Type I and a Type II error in context, and give a consequence of each. State and check the Random, 10%, and Large Counts conditions for performing a significance test about a population proportion. Perform a significance test about a population proportion. Use a confidence interval to draw a conclusion for a two-sided test about a population parameter. Interpret the power of a test and describe what factors affect the power of a test. Describe the relationship among the probability of a Type I error, the probability of a Type II error, and the power of a test. State and check the Random, 10%, and Normal/Large Sample conditions for performing a significance test about a population mean. Perform a significance test about a population mean. Perform a significance test about a mean difference using paired data. Calendar: Monday 15 Tuesday Block 16 17/18 23 9.2 – Carrying Out a Significance Test, OneSample z-test for p 1 9.3 – Inference for Means: Paired data 24/25 9.2 – Two-sided Tests, Confidence Intervals, Type II Error and Power 2/3 FRAPPY! Ch. 9 Review Student Holiday 22 9.1 – Type I and Type II Errors 29 9.3 - Significance Test for µ, One-Sample t-test Friday 19 9.1 –Intro to Significance Tests 26 9.1 & 9.2 Quiz 4 Chapter 9: Significance Tests TEST