Near-Term Mars Colonization -A DevelopSpace ProjectMay 25th, 2008 Agenda • Transportation update • Minimalist transportation concept • Power update • SVN update Transportation Update Solar Electric Propulsion (SEP) • Could be used to raise from LEO to HEO • System Mass = ~120% Payload Mass • Paper by Gordon Woodcock (AIAA 2004-3643) – Requires 41mT of Xenon (for 50 mt Payload) » (Annual world production = 53mT) Chemical Propulsion Payload Mass vs Delta V Requirement Payload Mass / Initial Mass [%] Payload Mass / Initial Mass [%] Payload Mass vs. Propellant Mass Fraction 40 35 30 25 20 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 Propellant Mass Fraction (PMF) 40 38 36 34 32 30 28 26 24 22 20 3500 3700 3900 4100 4300 Delta V [m/s] Payloadd Mass / Initial mass [%] Payload Mass vs. Specfic Impulse 40 38 36 34 32 30 28 26 24 22 20 • Baseline • Delta-V = 4000 m/s • PMF = 0.125 • Specific Impulse = 450 sec 340 360 380 400 420 Specific Impulse [sec] 440 460 4500 Mass to TMI vs IMLEO 40000 35000 TMI Payload Mass [kg] 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 IMLEO [kg] 80000 90000 100000 110000 120000 TMI Stage Mass vs Payload Mass • From LEO, the TMI payload mass is ~50% the mass of the TMI Stage – Ideally, the TMI payload mass would be equal to the TMI stage mass to utilize one launch vehicle • Solutions – Break TMI Stage into two stages • One large & one small – Have launch vehicle place TMI stage and payload into highly elliptical orbits • Reduce TMI Delta-V to ~2600 m/s – No analysis on feasibility done yet Mars Orbit Insertion and EDL • Most common approach – Aero-capture followed by aero-assist EDL • System Masses vary greatly – DRM-1 & DRM-3 assume 2833% of TMI Mass required for “descent system” – Mars Direct assumes 35% of TMI Mass required – Robert Braun (Georgia Tech) mentions 70% of TMI Mass required for “descent system” • 40% for orbit insertion • 30% for descent and landing IMLEO [kg] TMI Stage "Dry" [kg] 100000 8380 TMI Stage "Propellant" [kg] 58659 Orbit Insertion System [kg] 13184 Descent and Landing System [kg] 9888 Payload [kg] 9888 • Based on chemical propulsion & Braun’s numbers • 10% of IMLEO mass can be landed on Mars In-Space Crew Considerations • How does the crew get to the surface of Mars? • Earth to LEO – Separate launch and rendezvous – Launched in transit or Mars habitat • LEO to Mars – Is a unique habitat required? – Zero-gravity concerns • Artificial Gravity Surface Infrastructure Masses for DRM-4 35000 Crew 30000 Food Payloads and Systems 1.0 Power Systems 2.0 Avionics 10.0 Structure 3.0 Environmental Control & Life Support System 9.0 Science 4.0 Thermal Management System 5.0 Crew Accommodations 8.0 Mobility 6.0 EVA Systems 7.0 In-situ Resource Utilization 7.0 In-situ Resource 8.0 Mobility Utilization 9.0 Science 6.0 EVA Systems 10.0 Structure Margin (15%) 5.0 Crew Accommodations Food Crew 4.0 Thermal Management System Margin (15%) 25000 Mass [kg] 20000 15000 10000 3.0 Environmental Control & Life Support System 5000 2.0 Avionics 0 1.0 Power Systems Mars Habitat Mars Descent/Ascent Vehicle Element Name Mars Habitat 30325.2 5988 153 Mars Descent/Ascent Vehicle 13467.2 4762 153 3948.9 2912.1 3502.9 1174.4 165 0 829.9 1861.3 1775.1 6840 0 1037.6 527.4 727.7 1085 0 1200.4 301.2 1339.8 1415.1 360 558 Mobility Strategies Advantages EVA Suits Simplest Comments Not feasible with multiple stationary Very limited range landers/habitats Unpressurized Rovers Simple Increased range vs. EVA Limited range Pressurized Rovers Simple Multi-day trips Higher mass than UPR Range limited by capacity Being developed for lunar exploration Aircraft Increased range Untested Is this even possible? Untested Complex Use of ISRU a possibility Mass intensive Either by roving or ballistic Ballistic Vehicles Mobile Base Increased range Move entire habitats to desired locations Disadvantages Being developed for lunar exploration Minimalist Transportation Concept Transportation Challenges Falcon 9 Heavy • How do we transport crew and cargo to the Martian surface using 25 mt launch vehicles? – 25 mt is “worst-case scenario” – Larger payload capabilities would facilitate transportation and also lead to scaling benefits • Specific challenges: – Launch and LEO orbit assembly – Mars aerocapture and EDL • Ballistic coefficient (entry body mass, diameter, shape) • Altitude at Mach 3 / aeroshell separation – Propulsive descent (800 m/s assumed for now) – Final landing GN&C, landing error reduction – Hazard avoidance • Falcon 9 Heavy assumed as reference LV – ~28 mt to 300 km LEO – ~4 m x ~10 m cylinder of usable volume in shroud Image credit: Space Exploration Technologies, Inc. Mars Aerocapture and Entry Vehicle • Entry vehicle is based on conic blunted body – 20 degree side-wall angle – Drag coefficient: ~1.6 – L/D: ~0.3 8400 • Total mass is 12 mt, leading to a ballistic coefficient of around 600 kg/m2 – Mach 3 altitude ~ 5 km • Final descent propulsion based on MMH / N2O4 – Isp = 320 s – 8 tanks (4 fuel, 4 oxidizer) • Cargo to surface: ca. 5 mt Cargo Transportation Concept • Earth-Mars transit configuration Solar array Entry body 2 – Reduces ballistic coefficient per entry body (~ 600 kg/m2) – Allows for simple blunt-body shape Solar array • Entry body 1 8400 TMI stack 6500 Earth departure stage 2 • 6500 2 Earth departure stages are launched after the entry bodies – Stages dock to entry bodies for dual burn Earth departure 4000 Earth departure stage 1 Entry bodies are launched together with additional cruise systems – Solar arrays, batteries, radiators – Entry bodies separate prior to aerocapture and aeroentry 22600 Launch configuration Transportation concept based on dual blunt-shaped entry bodies • Initial analysis indicates that ~25 mt can be injected towards Mars using LOX / kerosene stages – ~10 mt useful cargo mass on Mars surface (~ 5 mt per entry body) Crew Transportation Concept Earth-Mars transit configuration Solar arrays Transit hab • – 2 sets of solar arrays, batteries, and radiators – Transit habitat is jettisoned prior to aerocapture Solar array Entry body • 22600 22600 TMI stack 22600 Earth departure 4000 stage 1 4000 4000 6500 6500 8400 Earth departure stage 2 6500 8400 8400 Launch configuration Crew transportation with entry body (cargo) and additional transit habitat 2 Earth departure stages are launched separately and docked – Dual burn Earth departure – LOX / kerosene propulsion • Initial analysis indicates that 2-3 crew can be delivered to Mars surface this way – Crew can be sustained for 30+ days on surface after landing – Unpressurized mobility delivered with crew Transportation Results & Forward Work • 4-6 crew can be transported to Mars with 6 Falcon 9 heavy launches – Launch cost of ca. $ 600 Mn (ca. $ 100 Mn per launch) • 3 Falcon 9 heavy launches can deliver a minimum of 10 mt of useful mass to the Martian surface – Equivalent to 26-month consumables demand for 4 crew • Forward work: – More detailed design of aeroshell and descent stage – More detailed design of Earth departure propulsion • Including propellant type trade – Investigation of different entry body shapes Power Update Surface Power Architecture Tree Primary energy generation Secondary energy generation Energy storage Tracking arrays? Photovoltaic conversion (“solar”) Nuclear fission Not required Batteries Fuel cell + electrolysis Batteries + radioisotope Fuel cell + electrolysis + radioisotope Radioisotope Not required Batteries H2 + O2 Batteries H2 + O2 Not required N/A Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes No • The basic type of analyses that was carried out: – Equal energy analysis: all systems provide the same usable energy per day (for photovoltaic systems this means increased power generation during the day) Modeling • Created model for Mars solar arrays based on following major requirements: – Array must be sized for end-of-mission power requirements – If several missions go to same site, supplementary arrays are brought each mission to make up for degradation – Array must be sized to provide the required power during the year’s minimum incident solar energy period • Model Assumptions: – On Mars, optical depth of 0.4 (equivalent to hazy skies) – Tracking arrays at both locations are multi-axis and keep incident flux perpendicular to array over the day – Nighttime power of 20 kW, with daytime power enforced when sun is 12 degrees above the horizon Daily Solar Incidence Energy Levels – Mars analysis done for an (Tracking Arrays, No Atmosphere) equatorial location (actually not optimal location for solar power on Mars): • Optimal location at 31° N, with a minimum of 6.57(kW-h/m^2/sol) and 49% daylight/sol for a period of 100 sols • Northern latitudes better than corresponding southern latitude kW-h (solar) / m^2 / sol 12 10 8 6 4 Equator 45-degrees North 2 45-degrees South 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 Date in Sols (Perihelion = 0) 600 700 Model Inputs and Outputs • Inputs: – Minimum solar energy – Eclipse Time – Daytime/nighttime power req. – Power distribution eff. – Solar array eff. – Degradation per year – Array lifetime – Optical depth – Latitude – Array packing density – Battery type • Outputs: – Array area – System mass – System volume Mars Results Mass Specific Power vs. Average Power Level On Mars Mass Specific Power (W/kg) 30 Non-Tracking+RFC Non-Tracking+Li-Ion batteries 25 Nuclear+stirling Nuclear+Brayton 20 Tracking+RFC Tracking+Li-Ion 15 Non-Tracking+RFC+RTG(5kW) Tracking+RFC+RTG(5kW) 10 Non-Tracking+Li-Ion+RTG(5kW) Tracking+Li-Ion+RTG(5kW) 5 Non-Tracking+RTG(20kW) Tracking+RTG(20kW) 2xMass Non-Tracking+RTG(20kW) 0 25 35 45 55 Avg Power (kW) 65 75 Mars Results Continued Volume Specific Power vs. Average Power Level On Mars Mass Specific Power (W/m^3) 8000 Non-Tracking+RFC 7000 Non-Tracking+Li-Ion batteries 6000 Nuclear+stirling 5000 Tracking+RFC Nuclear+Brayton Tracking+Li-Ion 4000 Non-Tracking+RFC+RTG(5kW) Tracking+RFC+RTG(5kW) 3000 Non-Tracking+Li-Ion+RTG(5kW) 2000 Tracking+Li-Ion+RTG(5kW) Non-Tracking+RTG(20kW) 1000 Tracking+RTG(20kW) 2xMass Non-Tracking+RTG(20kW) 0 25 35 45 55 Avg Power (kW) 65 75 Other Considerations for Large Solar Array Fields on Mars • Deployment time: – Considered a 10,000 m^2 rollout array field which will provide 63kW average power for about 100kW daytime power – Assume array blankets are 2m wide for easy storage and handling by two astronauts – Assume each blanket weighs 100lbs again for easy handling – With 0.06 kg/m^2 expected array density, need only 14 blankets total – Assume astronauts can unroll array at a walking speed of 1m/s, requires only 3hrs for unrolling – Most time will be needed for unloading positioning and hookup, if assume 1hr for this for each array, total deployment time approximately 17 work hours for 2 crew • Power delivery during deployment: – If we are conservative and say deployment takes 1 week, we need either a 10kW RTG or fuel cell system to provide 10kW power over the week – RTG system would be approximately 1200kg and 0.6 m^3 – If use RFC, need 2400kg system with volume 8.4 m^3 Future Work • Reassess architecture options in MinMars colony context. Previous power analysis for shorter round trip mission. • Operations considerations such as dust removal and maintenance. • Dust storm power generation. SVN Update Current SVN Folder Structure • Meetings – Folders with telecon slides • Models & Analysis – Folders with individual models and results (spreadsheets, presentations, CAD files, etc.) • Users – Folders for individual users Backup Slides July 15, 2008 Mid-May 2008 Focus on fixed crew-size “toehold” on Mars as alternative to exploration program Early September 2008 Focus on expansion of “toehold” to mostly self-sustained colony In-Space Transportation (lead: Arthur) Surface Infrastructure (lead: Arthur) Surface Operations (lead: Arthur) Project Definition Surface Power & Thermal (lead: Chase) Outpost re-supply (lead: Wilfried) Finance and costing (lead: ?) Integration of results (lead: Wilfried) Expansion analysis Follow-on projects Operational Architecture Mars orbit Earth orbit Earth departure architecture Earth departure architecture 26 months Earth departure architecture 26 months • The overall operational architecture for the initial toehold is based on oneway flights delivering cargo and crew to the Martian surface – Potentially with an emergency return capability • Mars capture is assumed to be accomplished by aerocapture • Subsequent lifting entry and propulsive descent are used to deliver payloads to the single surface outpost site – Outpost location is subject to a variety of factors (insolation, water, elevation) • The exact size and payload capability of each lander depends on the Earth departure architecture and entry body chosen Toehold Location: Topography Toehold Location: Solar Power Toehold Location: Water General Study Objectives • Carry out an assessment of re-supply needs for the outpost given different technologies – Including high-closure life support, ISRU • Identify key re-supply drivers and carry out in-depth analyses • Identify interesting technologies with high payoff in resupply mass reduction – Carry out initial modeling and testing of these technologies • Formulate plan for further technology development Mars Surface Habitat Architectures 1-5 Open loop Water regeneration (95%) Regenerative CO2 removal Completely dehydrated food Washing machine Mars Surface Habitat Architectures 5-9 Cryogenic oxygen Water electrolysis Water electrolysis + Sabatier reactor Water electrolysis + Sabatier reactor + methane pyrolysis Mars Surface Habitat Architectures 9-13 Zirconia electrolysis + water electrolysis + Sabatier reactor + methane pyrolysis Zirconia electrolysis, no water electrolysis, Sabatier reactor, methane pyrolysis Zirconia electrolysis, scaled-up Zirconia electrolysis, scaled-down Preliminary Insights • Existing technologies allow for re-supply masses per opportunity of ~2 mt / person – This includes fairly conservative tare fractions on pressurized logistics and fluid re-supply • Remaining high-mass re-supply items are: – Food – Spare parts (fans, multi-filtration beds, etc.) – Hygiene & health re-supply (soap, first-aid, etc.) – Hydrogen for ISRU Food Logistics Reduction • Many options for closure of the food loop have been investigated over the decades • Two major families of options: – 1. Chemical regeneration of food from waste • Synthesized chemicals suitable for long-term ingestion include: glucose, glycerin, ethanol, formose sugars – 2. Biological regeneration of food from waste • Algae (also for CO2 regeneration) • Higher plants (wheat, corn, vegetables, etc.) • Animals (fish, chicken) Mars Wish List Transportation • Automated Mars landing and hazard avoidance navigation systems • Mars in-situ propellant production friendly rocket combustion / performance characterization (C2H4/LOX; CH4/LOX); more important if people want to come back • Large-scale (20mt+) Mars aero-entry (and EDL more generally) technology • Low mass, cost, power and ideally autonomous deep-space (out to at least ~2 AU) navigation systems (software, hardware) Power • Automated, large scale (football field+) solar array transport, surface deployment, and maintenance systems • High energy density electrical power storages systems (aiming in particular towards high energy density relative to Earth imported mass) • Mars surface internal combustion engines (LOX, plus various fuels, e.g., C2H4, CH4, CO, etc), possibly with water exhaust reclamation. Life Support, Logistics, ISRU • • • • • • • • • • Mars atmosphere collection systems (at minimum CO2; adding N2 and Ar is useful; H2O depends on energy/mass intensity relative to other options) Mars permafrost mining systems (for varying wt% H2O); note, this is much easier than mining putative lunar ice Good, high capacity Mars surface cryocoolers (options for just soft/medium cryogens (e.g., LOX, CH4, C2H4), or also for hard cryogen (LH2)) Earth-Mars hydrogen transport systems (not necessarily as LH2) Basic ISRU chemical processing systems (e.g., H2O electrolysis, Sabatier, RWGS, CO2 electrolysis, ethylene production, etc.) High closure physical-chemical life support systems (e.g., air revitalization, water recycling) "Food system" for food supplied from Earth. Consider being able to survive on food shipped 5 years ago. Mars surface food production systems Simple in-situ manufacturing systems (e.g., for spare parts) Simple raw materials production (e.g., plastics such polyethylene, epoxies, ceramics, etc.) Outpost Ops and Surface Exploration • Mars surface communication and navigation systems (e.g., for rovers), sans extensive satellite constellation • Very high data rate Mars-Earth back-haul comm system • Good Mars surface EVA suits • Data collection, analysis in support of landing site / outpost location selection • Very long distance surface mobility systems (including with people) • Solar flare / SPE warning systems Mass Budget for Habitat-1 Habitat Module Structure Furniture and Interior Life Support System Comm/Info Hydrogen and Hab ISRU Health Care Thermal Crew accommodation Spares and Margin Science Crew Surface power (reactor) Power Distribution EVA Suits Open Rovers Pressurized Rover Consumables EVA Consumables Descent fuel cell Reaction Control System Total Landed Mars Direct DRM-3 MSM 5 5.5 4.8 1 0 1.5 3 4.7 3.8 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0 0 1.3 0 0 0 0.6 0.5 0 11.5 0 3.5 0 0 1 0 0 0.4 0.5 0.4 0 1.7 5 0 0.3 0.3 0.4 1 1 0.8 0.5 0 1.4 0 0 7 0 3.2 0 2.3 0 1 3 1.3 0.5 0 0.5 26.9 31.9 22.6 Explanation for MSM figures Scaled from DRM-3 NASA model for crew of six DRM-3 DRM-3 Scaled Included in individual listings At least 25 kWe needed DRM-3 Scaled DRM-3 Mass budgeted with surface power 98% closed H20/02 + food (=0.630 kg/per/day for 600 days) Produced by ISRU on MAV and Hab Mars Direct Total of Above Mass allocations for Mars Direct components on surface of Mars ERV components ERV cabin structure Life Support System consumables Solar Arrays (5 kW) Reaction Control System Communications and Information Management Furniture and Interior Space Suits (4) Spares and Margin (16%) Aeroshell (for Earth Return) Rover Hydrogen Feedstock ERV Propulsion stages Propellant Production Plant Nuclear reactor (100 kW) mT 3 1 3.4 1 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.4 1.6 1.8 0.5 6.3 4.5 0.5 3.5 Total Mass 28.6 Habitat components Habitat strucure Life Support System Consumables Solar Arrays (5 kW) Reaction Control System Communications and Information Management Furniture and Interior Space Suits (4) Spares and margin (16%) Pressurized Rover Open Rovers (2) Lab Equipment Field Science Equipment Crew mT 5 3 7 1 0.5 0.2 1 0.4 3.5 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 25.2