HK301 Assignment 2 Mark Donald 201101136 October 9th, 2013 3.2.30.5*0.513 = 0.257 The probability of a newborn having the disease is 0.257 3.2.7a-0.1*0.92= 0.092 0.9*0.06= .054 0.092+0.054= 0.146 The probability of a person, randomly chosen, testing positive is 0.146 b-0.092/0.146= 0.63 If a person tests positive, there is a 0.63 probability that they have the disease 3.3.3a-1016/6549= 0.155 There is a 0.155 probability that someone in the study is stressed. b-216/2115= 0.102 There is a 0.102 probability that a member of the high income group is stressed. c-The high income and stressed groups are independent, because the probabilities for a and b are different. 3.3.4 a- 2480/6549= 0.379 There is a probability of 0.379 that someone in the study has low income b-(2480+526+1016/6549)= 0.614 c- (1016+1954)/ 6549= 0.454 There is a 0.454 probability that someone is either in the stressed or low income groups. 3.3.5-Yes, they are independent. The removal of one will have no statistical difference on the other. 3.4.2-a-0.12+0.25+0.33+0.20+0.03=0.93 There is a 0.93 probability that the diameter is less than 10 b-0.33+0.25+0.12+0.07= 0.77 There is a 0.77 probability that the diameter is greater than 4 c- 0.20+0.33+0.25=0.78 There is a 0.78 probability that the diameter is between 2 and 8 3.5.1a-610/5000=0.122 b- 160/5000=0.032 c-3910/5000= 0.782 3.5.7-(0*0.15)+(1*0.5)+(2*0.35)= 1.2 3.5.8- (((0-1.2)2(0.15))+((1-1.2)2(0.5))+((2-1.2)2(0.35)))=0.46 That is the variance. The square root of this, the standard deviation, is 0.678 3.6.1- a- The probability of 3 yellow and 1 green is 0.422 b- the probability of all four being yellow is 0.316 c- the probability of a four being the same colour is 0.320 3.6.2 a- Pr (Y = 0) = 0.113 b-Pr (Y =1) = 0.328 c-Pr (Y=2) = 0.356 d-Pr (0≤Y≥2) = 0.113 + 0.328 + 0.356 = 0.797 e-Pr (0<Y≥2)= 0.797 – 0.113 = 0.684 3.7.2 Dead embryos Live embryos Expected frequency 0 9 0.391 1 8 0.387 2 7 0.17 3 6 0.044 4 5 0.007 5 4 0.001 6 3 0 7 2 0 8 1 0 9 0 0 The observed results do not contradict the classical assumption 3.S.6-a- (50C0)(0.01)0(0.90)50= 0.005 b- 1-0.005 = 0.995 3.S.8- 6C4(0.25)4(0.752)= 0.0104 3.S.9-a- 0.41 + 0.25 = 0.66 b- 0.01 + 0.20 = 0.21 c- 0.25+ 0.09 + 0.04 = 0.38 3.S.10- a- 4C4(0.38)4 =0.02 b- 4C3(0.38)3(0.62)1= 0.136