What is International Political Economy? READING ASSIGNMENT: Oatley Chapter 1 1 Plan • PART 1: How do we study IPE? • PART 2: Paradigms • PART 3: Interests & Institutions 2 PART 1: How do we study IPE? 3 Organization of the course/textbook 1. International trade system 2. Multinational corporations (foreign investment) 3. International monetary system 4. Economic development 4 I.P.E. • International Political Economy (IPE) considers the flows of such production, distribution, and consumption across national borders, recognizing that not just national governments play a role, but foreign governments and international institutions must also be taken into account. • Political economy considers the role that the state plays in such production, distribution, and consumption. • Economics is the study of the production, distribution, and consumption of scarce resources. 5 Political economy • Society chooses between – Centralized mechanisms of allocation – Decentralized mechanisms of allocation – (states vs. markets) • Decisions about which mechanisms we choose to allocate resources generate – More or less income – Winners & Losers • “Welfare consequences”: effects on overall societal wellbeing – impossible to truly measure – we usually really mean overall level of income – GDP/capita – Measured in PPP terms? • “Distributional consequences”: who gets what (winners & losers) 6 International flows • Goods (trade) • Capital (monetary system) • People (immigration) • Pollutants (the environment) • Violence (terrorism) • Health • Information 7 How do we study the IPE? • Broad theoretical approaches • Paradigms • Ways of thinking about the IPE that apply to various different situations • Positive rather than prescriptive (question?) 8 PART 2: Paradigms 9 How do we study the IPE? • Mercantalist school • Liberal school • Marxist school • Interests & Institutions • Which approach to use and why? 10 Mercantilism • National power comes from economic strength • Exports strengthen state power, imports weaken state power • Some exports are more valuable than others – Manufactured goods are preferred to primary products 11 12 China… How is it shaped? http://vreelander.blogspot. com/2010/12/rise-ofrooster.html Rise of the Rooster • Is China’s XR policy designed to take over the world? – (Mercantalist view) • Or designed to protect the politically/economically important export sector? – (Interests & Institutions view) 13 Liberalism • Countries gain from trade • Comparative advantage • Export what can be produced relatively cheaply at home • Import what would be produced at relatively high costs at home • The role of the state should be limited to a restricted set of “market failures”*** 14 Traditional market failures • Monopolies – failure of perfect competition • Public Goods – efficient price is 0, since these goods are nonrivalrous • Externalities – consumption by one individual affects the utility of another individual 15 Aside: more serious market failures • Economics of information • Asymmetric information – moral hazard – adverse selection 16 Marxism • The key feature of the IPE – 1. Private ownership of capital (means of production) and wage labor Natural tendency towards concentration of capital – 2. competition efficiency small wealthy elite Falling rate of profit – 3. diminishing rate of return from capital lower wages Imbalance – between ability to produce (efficient capital) and ability to purchase (falling wages) • Growing inequality eventually leads to revolution • Role of the state is to protect capital (agent of capitalist class) • Focus is thus on corporations 17 Structural dependence of the state on capital Przeworski & Wallerstein • You can get dependence of the state on capital without capitalists controlling the state • Labor may control the state – cares about present & future stream of income • The state sets an income tax to redistribute income from capital to labor • But income tax lowers investment of capital • Reduces economic growth / future stream of income • little difference between left and right governments 18 Aside on strategic thinking: Capital vs. Labor Which tax regime should capital choose? 19 Income tax vs. consumption tax • Consumption taxes are investment neutral • Suppose tax regimes are sticky and tax rates are flexible • And suppose with emerging democracy, the capitalist class must choose between an income tax or consumption tax regime • Which should they choose? 20 What if capitalists can invest/consume abroad? • Structural dependence of the state on capital INCREASES • So multinational corporations are important in the IPE, but not necessarily because they control the state, as Marxism argues • Universal suffrage does NOT lead to mass expropriation of the rich by the poor 21 Traditional schools in one table… 22 Traditional schools of thought Mercantilism Liberalism Marxism Most important The state actor Individuals Capitalist class Role of the state Intervene to allocate resources Property rights Protect/sustain the capitalist system Image of the IPE Conflict – between states over trade Harmony Exploitation of labor Proper objective Enhance national power Enhance Promote equal aggregate social income welfare distribution 23 One more paradigm: Interests & Institutions How the interaction between societal interests & political institutions determines government policy 24 PART 3: Interests & Institutions 25 Interests • Material (income-related) • Shaped by: 1. Skill level (factor of production) 2. Industry (sector) HIGH SKILL WORKER LOW SKILL WORKER 26 Ideas • How does policy translate into outcome? • We care about outcomes – policies are just a means to an end • So, beliefs matter – What is the causal relationship between policy & outcome? • In the short-run, what may matter is not if an idea is empirically valid but whether people believe it 27 Institutions! • Domestic institutions: – Democracy vs. dictatorship (elections) – Parliamentary vs. Presidential – Multi-party vs. two-party vs. one-party vs. no party – Federal vs. unitary • International institutions – WTO, IMF, World Bank, United Nations, regional institutions/arrangements 28 What is the definition of an institution? • A set of rules that govern the behavior of a given set of actors in a given context. • An equilibrium? • Must be self-enforcing (the definition of an equilibrium) Constitutions are not contracts… who enforces them? 29 Political institutions • Shape the incentives of political leaders • Under democracy, leaders survive by winning votes • Under dictatorship, leaders survive by satisfying elite constituents: – military, big business, foreign interests 30 31 Democracy vs. Dictatorship 32 Hazard Rate over Time for Democracies (Solid Line) & Dictatorships (Dotted Line) – Time in years Hazard Rate 0.625 0.5 0.375 0.25 5 10 15 20 T ime (years) 33 Interests & Institutions school of thought Interests & Institutions Most important actor Winners & losers Role of the state Survive in office Image of the IPE Mix of conflict and cooperation over distributional issues to maximize individual income Proper objective Politically constrained efficiency 34 Schools of thought all together: Mercantilism Liberalism Marxism Interests & Institutions Most important actor The state Individuals Capitalist class Winners & losers Role of the state Intervene to allocate resources Property rights Protect/sustain Survive in office Image of the IPE Conflict – between states over trade Harmony Exploitation of Mix of conflict labor & cooperation Proper objective Enhance national power Enhance aggregate social welfare Promote equal income distribution the capitalist system Politically constrained efficiency 35 Summary • Schools of thought: Mercantalist school, Liberal school, Marxist school, Interests & Institutions – Example question? • Ideas, interests, & institutions • Factors vs. sectors • Survival rate of leaders under democracy & dictatorship – Institutions shape leader-incentives • FINAL THOUGHT: Globalization is not new… but it’s now faster and now different in the context of democratic institutions 36 Thank you WE ARE GLOBAL GEORGETOWN! 37