Cholera in 1849 and the Biopsychosocial Model: Historical Analysis or Anachronism? The Snowflakes of MSU: Peter Vinten-Johansen Howard Brody Nigel Paneth Steve Rachman Michael Rip The Argument One can draw useful analogies between: – Today’s biopsychosocial model of human health, and – The scientific approaches used by John Snow to study both cholera transmission and inhalation anesthesia in 1846-56? The Argument--II The BPS model John Snow and his career Methods of studying anesthesia Methods of studying cholera transmission Snow’s theoretical synthesis (“continuous molecular changes”) Engel, 1977: BPS Model Systems (part-whole relations) Multilevel hierarchy (atoms to biosphere) “Ripple effects” among levels Patterns of information flow (feedback loops) Anti-reductionistic BPS: Sources General systems theory (von Bertalanffy, Laszlo) – Cybernetics (von Neumann), information theory, game theory “Holistic” biology (Dubos, Mayr) All grounded in mid-20th-century thought John Snow: Early Life Born 1813, York Father: Laborer/farmer Mother: Illegitimate Apprentice in Newcastle, 1827-32 Cared for coal miners in 1831-32 cholera epidemic John Snow: Life (cont.) Newcastle medical school, 1832-34 Assistant, Newcastle and Yorkshire, 183436 Walked to London (via Bath), 1836 Hunterian school and Westminster Hospital, 1836-38 MRCS/LSA, 1838 General practice, Soho, 1838 John Snow: Later life Active in Westminster Medical Society MD, Univ. of London, 1844 Begins anesthetic research and practice, 1847 On the Mode of Communication of Cholera, 1849 Attends Queen Victoria, 1853, 1857 Broad Street Pump, 1854 President, Medical Society of London, 1855 Completes On Chloroform, 1858 Death of apoplexy, 1858 Snow on Ether Dec. 1846: Sees ether used in London Jan. 1847: Displays data on relation between concentration and temperature; working on apparatus September 1847: Publishes On Ether, 80 cases, describes degrees of anesthesia How? Snow’s research, 1838-46, ideally prepared him for ether: – Studies of respiration and asphyxia – Studies of chemistry and physics of gases – Properties of inhaled medications and poisons – Design of new apparatus Snow’s Approach to Ether Chemical level: problem in defining physics and chemistry e.g. concentrationtemperature relationships Physiological level: animal experiments with different concentrations of gases Clinical level: correlate bedside observations with animal experiments to predict degrees of anesthesia Ether and Chloroform Define a class of agents with similar properties (“narcotism”), of which anesthesia only one effect Calculate precise serum concentrations of agent when inhaled at given concentration in air Correlate serum concentration with clinically observed effects Hardly anyone else doing this work in 1847-58 Snow and Cholera: 1848-9 Cholera must be communicable personto-person based on geographic distribution A local affection of alimentary canal; dehydration produces systemic symptoms Assumed to be inhaled by lungs– why must this be true? Snow’s Theory Causal agent of cholera ingested Multiplies in gut Causes symptoms of disease by irritating mucous membrane Shed in evacuations Household spread: dirty hands Area spread: drinking water Budd, Brittain, Swayne 1849 Microscopic particle must cause cholera Therefore must search for evidence at microscopic level Identified “cholera fungus” Identification quickly refuted Snow, 1849 Community Household Organ/System Spread by contaminated drinking water Spread by poor hygiene Irritation > Diarrhea > Dehydration Cellular Can’t identify agent; analogy to ova of intestinal worms Molecular “Continuous molecular changes” (self-replication of vital processes) Snow on Cholera, 1849 Move from levels where “collateral sciences” least developed to levels allowing better tools for investigation Ova of worms: analogy of functional properties Cf. “Cholera fungus”: identified a structure but had no idea of function Cholera Deaths per 10,000 Households (Snow, 1855) 80 70 60 50 (first weeks of epidemic) 40 30 20 10 0 Lambeth Co. Southwark & Vauxhall Co. Snow’s Method, 1849-1855 Ultimately discovered that statistics was a sounder basis for investigation than microscopy Reasoned across levels to deduce likely effects at neighborhood and community levels Then gathered data to confirm or disconfirm hypotheses Continuous Molecular Changes, 1853 CMC, 1853 Annual oration to Medical Society of London Rare opportunity to speak at theoreticalspeculative level Opportunity to link (successful) anesthesia research with (so far rejected) cholera theory CMC, 1853-- II “Molecular” = smallest level of organization, “insensible” (very small) distances between particles acting on each other “Change” = constant flux at molecular level in either living or non-living matter (common chemical basis of vital and nonvital) CMC, 1853--III “Continuous” = molecular processes peculiar to living things; never commence anew without continuity with previous processes of same type Combustion/oxidation– a bridging process, exists in both living and nonliving matter Anesthesia: Counter-Affinity B A C C exerts pull on A and prevents A from combining with B, without itself combining Anesthesia Theory C = anesthetic agent A <-> B = oxidation process responsible for maintaining consciousness and sensation Reversible interference with normal bodily process CMC and Epidemic Diseases Causative agent of disease enters body By CMC, replicates itself inside body Hijacks normal body processes of oxidation, etc. to support its own replication Disruption of normal body processes causes symptoms of disease (irreversible in extreme cases) “Communication” “Mode of Communication” of epidemic diseases “Communication” among molecules accounting for continuity of vital processes– infections agents as packets of information (computer viruses?) Social and cultural communication as analogous flows of information The communication of certain molecular changes taking place in the brain is by no means confined to…parents and offspring, but extends collaterally in all directions, by means of vibrations in the air… If the brain of an animal is in a particular state of molecular action, from any object that excites fear or joy, it may cause a similar state in the brain of others of the species, by uttering a cry or merely assuming a particular demeanour. The faculty of speech gives man a power of communicating his complex feelings and ideas, far exceeding that of lower animals; and the invention of literature has greatly increased this power in civilized nations. By speech, not only can fresh sensations and ideas be communicated, but also that continuation of them called remembrance, by which they revive after, it may be a long interval of suspended animation. Snow’s Social Vision According to Snow, his oration “On Continuous Molecular Changes” was itself an example of continuous molecular change in human organisms and human society Both chemical and social processes viewed as governed by patterns of information flow (“communication”)