Presentation to The Expert Committee on Spectrum Date: 26th Nov 2007 Presentation Flow 1. About RCOM 2. What is the real issue? 3. Spectrum Allocation 4. Spectral Efficiency innovations & TEC Report 5. Re-farming, Re-alignment of Spectrum & Capital Efficiency Measures 6. Summary & Recommendations 2 of 57 confidential Reliance Communications Largest fully integrated private sector communications company in India 5th largest company with market cap of over Rs. 1,50,000 Cr Second largest customer base serving 40 Mn customers. Only operator providing both CDMA & GSM services CDMA Pan India GSM 8 circles mainly in Eastern India Received approval for pan India GSM rollout services Paid an additional fee of Rs. 1650 Cr. for GSM services RCOM has paid the highest fee – Rs 3100 crore for operating mobile services. India’s largest and only Next Generation & IP based network pan India Fully committed to the Nation’s telecom growth in the entire value chain 3 of 57 confidential RCOM – Exponential Growth Plan Current Year March 08 Aggregate Parameter UoM Last 4 years Population Covered % / Nos. Crs. 50 % 55 40% 44 90% 99 Towns Covered Nos. 10,000 13,000 23,000 Sites Nos. 14,000 26,000 40,000 Investment Rs.Crs. 32,000 20,000 52,000 RCOM’s Growth Plans – Significant contributor to India’s GDP Growth 4 of 57 confidential Widest Coverage Plan for 07-08 Coverage UoM Oct - 07 Mar-08 Towns Nos. 10,000 24,000 Villages Nos. 300,000 500,000 % 55 90 Key Religious Sites Nos. 333 677 Railway Track Kms % 48,000 65 % 63,000 85 % National Highways Kms % 35,000 60 % 55,000 95 % State Highways Kms % 85,000 45 % 153,000 80 % Population Largest USO Roll ou 7230 sites Rs. 20,000 Crs Capex Worlds largest Wireless Network Rollout in a year Will cover all locations with over 1000 population with Voice & Data confidential 5 of 57 What is the real issue? What is the real issue? What GSM Operators got / want 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Received spectrum above 4.4 MHz almost with out any policy guidelines till 2006. Received spectrum above contracted spectrum of 6.2 MHz Continued to enjoy spectrum free The March 06 WPC criteria was too low, necessitating revision Both TRAI & TEC criteria in 2007, based on scientific inputs, now being contested - for cornering & hoarding spectrum, & restricting competition. 6. Forcing the current framework to maintain oligopolistic interest. What India needs Adoption of spectrum allocation criteria which: 1. Promotes spectral efficiency 2. Maintains and ensures the quality of service 3. Increases competition leading to achieve government targets. Need of the hour – Scientific approach for Spectrum Allocation norms 7 of 57 confidential Spectrum Allocation Evolution of allocation criteria February 2002 April 2002 No SUBSCRIBER CRITERIA till Feb.02 – Adhoc Approach Spectrum Charges Policy issued for 4.4 MHz and 6.2 MHz. Spectrum allocated up to 6.2 MHz without any policy framework almost free till Feb.02. Spectrum Charges Policy issued for 8 MHz and 10 MHz. Spectrum allocated up to 10 MHz without any policy framework almost free till Mar.06. Spectrum allocation linked to Subscriber Criteria based on Metro & Circle Category . March 2006 Criteria abysmally low - Operators continue to serve 2-5 times more subscribers vis-a-vis the criteria, without difficulties. Over 50 Million subscribers added by the private dominant GSM players within 18 months, without any additional spectrum. No policy and lenient criteria led to cornering of spectrum 9 of 57 confidential Evolution of allocation criteria First time Scientific approach Oct.2007 Aug.2007 Allocation Criteria Revised & tightened by TRAI Further revised by TEC Report Case for Refund@ To refund 32 MHz* excess spectrum To refund 56 MHz** excess spectrum Spectrum Availability Start-Up Spectrum available for 3-4 new operators. *Based on TRAI Norms @ Across all Circles by all operators **Based on TEC Report Adoption of TEC Criteria at the minimum – Right way forward 10 of 57 confidential Spectrum allocation without Policy Operators allotted 6.2 MHz with out policy framework S.N. Operator Circle Date w.e.f 1 Aircel Haryana Jan-01 2 Aircel Rajasthan Jan-01 3 Aircel UP(East) Jan-01 4 Bharti AP Apr-00 5 Bharti Chennai Aug-99 6 Bharti Delhi 7 Bharti 8 Operators allotted 10 MHz with out policy framework S.N. Operator Circle Date w.e.f 1 Aircel Tamilnadu Dec-04 2 Bharti Delhi Jul-03 3 BPL Mumbai Sep-04 4 Vodafone Delhi Oct-03 Aug-99 5 Vodafone Mumbai Oct-03 Karnataka Apr-00 6 Bharti Mumbai Jan-06 BPL Mumbai Aug-99 7 Bharti Karnataka Jan-04 9 Aircel Chennai Mar-00 8 Vodafone Gujrat May-05 10 Spice Karnataka Apr-00 9 Idea Maharastra Apr-04 11 Spice Punjab Apr-00 Arbitrary & Adhoc approach allowed cornering & hoarding of spectrum beyond eligible & contracted 6.2 MHz 11 of 57 confidential WPC Criteria v/s Actual Subs. Subscriber / MHz …2 to 5 times higher than WPC criteria VLR:80% of subs Leading operator Customers (Lakh) Spectrum MHZ VLR Criteria Subs (Lakh) / MHz Actual vs WPC Criteria Delhi Airtel 36 10 1 2.9 Mumbai Vodafone 30 10 1 2.4 Chennai Aircell 16 8.6 0.5 3.0 Kolkota Vodafone 16 9.8 0.6 2.2 UP (E) Vodafone 38 8 0.8 5.0 Maha. Idea 38 10 1.4 2.2 Leading Operator - Mumbai Leading Operator - Delhi 30 Subs (mn) 25 3 20 4 40 3.5 35 3 30 2.5 20 2 15 2 15 1.5 1.5 10 1 5 0 Mar'05 Mar'06 Subs (Lakh) Subs (mn) 30 Subs (mn) / MHz 35 4 36 3.6 3 25 2.5 20 20 15 2.1 2 16 1.6 1.5 10 0.5 5 0 0 Oct'07 1 0.5 0 Mar'05 Subs (Lakh)/MHz 3.5 Subs (mn) / MHz Key Circles Mar'06 Subs (Lakh) Oct'07 Subs (Lakh)/MHz WPC criteria outdated, to be replaced at least by TEC Report norms 12 of 57 confidential Myths Propagated by GSM operators related to Spectrum 1. Poor network QoS due to paucity of Spectrum 2. Low ARPU and operators unable to afford additional capex 3. Indian operators require more spectrum as a) Have lesser spectrum relative to Global Operators b) Higher MOU per sub in India c) already deployed available spectral efficiency enhancing technologies, All the above continue to lead to excess & ineligible allocation of Spectrum to private dominant GSM operators 13 of 57 confidential Myth 1 - Propagated by GSM operators Poor network QoS due to paucity of spectrum Reality 100 95% operators meet the benchmark In Metros, 100% of the private operators have met benchmarks QoS parameters needing attention are POI congestion & Help line, which are not related to spectrum 80 On the Contrary, QoS showing improving trend over last 8 quarters 60 Spectrum availability is only one of the many factors for QoS improvement 90 70 Accumulated down time (<24 hrs) CSSR (>95%) Service access delay (<15 secs) SDCCH / Paging channel congestion (<1%) TCH congestion (<2%) Call drop rate (<3%) 50 Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- AprSep- Dec- Mar- Jun- Sep- Dec- Mar- Jun05 05 06 06 06 06 07 07 % connections with good voice quality (>95%) QoS has improved over last 8 quarters due to availability of Spectrum Source: Network QoS report by TRAI – Sep 2007 14 of 57 confidential Myth 1 - Propagated by GSM operators Lowest 7 dimensions of QOS Site Database Audit & correction. Spectrum is one of the low priority requirements to determine QoS Priority Availability of spectrum Implementation of new features to improve network quality and capacity Optimal Frequency Plan using Adhoc Technique Network Optimization – Drive Testing/ Analysis & Corrective action Network Planning to meet Coverage & Capacity Objective Highest Availability of Skilled Man power for Planning & Optimization Network Performance Requirements Spectrum Availability is a low priority criteria for maintaining QOS. 15 of 57 confidential Myth 2 - Propagated by GSM operators Low ARPU and operators unable to afford additional capex Reality EBIDTA Margin Comparison developed countries in the world e.g. UK, USA, Hong 40% Kong, Brazil, Australia, Spain. 35% 30% EBITDA(%) EBIDTA margin in India higher than any of the Highest EBIDTA expansion in the world during 20032007. 17%-38% 25% Analysts forecast future EBIDTA margin expansion in spite of falling ARPU 20% 15% Indian Telecom Companies highly valued with EV/EBIDTA multiple of ~15 by analysts - UBS, 10% 2003 Australia 2004 Hong Kong 2005 India UK Macquarie, Lehman Bros, Merrill Lynch 2006 US Brazil Wireless industry this year as Outlooks are healthy EBIDTA Margins (Q2, FY07-08) RCOM Airtel Over Rs. 50000 crore committed capex spends by : 43% : 43% Indian TelCos – valuations & EBIDTA margin among top 5 in the world Source : ML wireless Matrix, Q 4 2006 16 of 57 confidential Myth 3 Indian operators have relatively lesser spectrum, higher MOU per sub & have already deployed available spectral efficiency enhancing technologies, hence require more spectrum Myth In France, Netherlands, Germany, Spain, UK have 100 MHz amongst 3-4 operators China has 60 MHz among 2 operators Reality Timing of network rollout & innovation availability & outlook different for developed markets & India India needs to deploy spectrally efficient solutions more aggressively due to low teledensity and its unique demographic profile Indian telecom market is growing when technology is available for increasing spectral efficiency many folds. Operators in USA, Hong Kong with lesser spectrum serve markets with much higher traffic density Higher CAPEX can be easily afforded by operators. GSM operators want to enrich themselves at the cost of national objectives by demanding more spectrum Source : Interconnect associates, Telecordia 17 of 57 confidential Bharti Case Study Bharti S Circle No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 AP Gujarat Karnatka Maharashtra Tamil Nadu Haryana Kerala MP Punjab Rajasthan U.P.(E) U.P.(W) WB Assam Bihar HP J&K North East Orissa Delhi Mumbai Kolkata 23 Chennai Subsribers as on Eligibility Current Spectrum date as per Spectrum issued WPC criteria held date for next tranche (Mn) Subscribers added without Spectrum Additional additional in excess Spectrum spectrum as beyond as per WPC per current 6.2 MHz criteria criteria (Mn) 3.16 1.6 7.2 1.06 3.8 3.33 3.6 5.2 2.47 8.8 2.16 6.2 0.08 1.8 0.56 3.8 1.48 6.2 1.65 1.6 7.2 2.11 8.8 1.61 6.2 0.55 3.8 1.11 5.6 0.21 1.8 2.45 1.8 7.0 0.20 1.8 0.24 1.8 0.10 1.8 0.56 1.8 4.4 1.60 3.8 5.0 0.15 3.0 3.2 0.72 1.8 4.4 7.8 6.2 9.8 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 7.8 6.2 6.2 6.2 4.4 6.2 8.0 6.2 6.2 4.4 8.0 10.0 9.2 8.0 Feb-04 Apr-02 Jan-04 Apr-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 Feb-04 Aug-00 Mar-05 Apr-02 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Sep-03 Mar-06 Dec-04 Mar-06 Jul-03 Jan-06 Jan-05 1.8 1.0 2.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.8 2.0 2.0 0.8 8.6 Jan-06 0.8 0.62 2.4 3.8 23 28 21 110 Average 7 MHZ 18 of 57 Criteria MHz TEC 21 TRAI 11 WPC 110 WPC+25% 78 WPC+50% 58 Refund* Additional Allocation* Demand *Across all Circles 28 Mn subscribers added over a base of 23 Mn subscribers (120% of base) added without additional spectrum in last over 18 months Demand for additional Spectrum – Invalid Fit case for refund of 21 Mhz confidential Vodafone Case Study Vodafone S Circle No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 AP Gujarat Karnatka Maharashtra Tamil Nadu Haryana Kerala Punjab Rajasthan U.P.(E) U.P.(W) West Bengal Delhi Mumbai Kolkata 16 Chennai Subsribers as Subscribers on Eligibility added without Date of Spectrum Additional additional Current Spectrum Eligibility for date as per in excess Spectrum spectrum as current next tranche Spectrum issued beyond as per WPC per current as per current criteria for date held criteria 6.2 MHz criteria next tranche criteria (Mn) (Mn) 1.09 1.0 Jul-06 Mar-02 6.2 1.8 2.66 2.6 May-06 May-05 9.8 5.2 3.6 0.62 1.8 Apr-07 Jan-05 8.0 1.8 0.87 1.0 Oct-06 Dec-99 6.2 1.8 1.19 1.0 Mar-07 Dec-99 6.2 1.8 0.31 0.8 Mar-07 Jan-01 6.2 0.80 0.8 Nov-06 Dec-99 6.2 1.8 0.73 0.8 Jul-06 Jan-04 6.2 1.8 1.55 0.8 Jul-06 Jan-01 6.2 3.8 2.48 1.3 Feb-06 Jan-06 8.0 4.4 1.8 1.52 0.8 Jun-06 Mar-05 6.2 3.8 1.75 0.4 Jan-06 Mar-04 4.4 5.6 0.99 2.0 Aug-06 Oct-03 10.0 2.4 3.8 0.99 2.0 Mar-06 Oct-03 10.0 3.8 0.36 1.3 Mar-07 Jul-06 9.8 0.2 3.6 8.0 Average 7.35 MHZ Jun-06 May-07 0.8 0.21 1.8 19 18 20 34 Criteria MHz TEC 20 TRAI 9 WPC 73 WPC+25% 50 WPC+50% 34 Refund Additional Allocation* Demand *Across all Circles 18 Mn subscribers added over a base of 19 Mn (100% of base) added without additional spectrum in last over 18 months Demand for additional Spectrum – Invalid : Fit case for refund of 20 MHz 19 of 57 confidential Idea Case Study Idea S Circle No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 AP Gujarat Maharashtra Haryana Kerala MP Rajasthan U.P.(E) U.P.(W) HP 11 Delhi Subscribers Subsribers as added without on Eligibility Spectrum Additional additional date as per in excess Spectrum spectrum as current criteria beyond as per WPC per current for next 6.2 MHz criteria criteria tranche (Mn) (Mn) Sep-04 Mar-07 1.8 0.83 1.8 4.4 Aug-00 Mar-06 1.0 1.15 3.8 Apr-05 Dec-06 2.6 1.25 3.6 5.2 Dec-99 Jan-07 0.8 0.08 1.8 Mar-05 Oct-06 1.3 0.99 1.8 4.4 Nov-06 Nov-06 1.3 1.11 1.8 4.4 Dec-05 Not Eligible Not Eligible Feb-06 Not Eligible Not Eligible Not Eligible Jan-06 Sep-06 1.3 0.69 1.8 4.4 Mar-02 Not Eligible Not Eligible Date of Eligibility Current Spectrum for next Spectrum issued tranche as held date per current criteria 8.0 6.2 9.8 6.2 8.0 8.0 6.2 6.2 8.0 4.4 8.0 Average 7.2 MHZ Dec-05 Nov-06 1.3 0.52 1.8 2.0 11 7 13 30 Criteria MHz TEC 13 TRAI 11 WPC 30 WPC+25 % 14 WPC+50 % 12 Refund Additional Allocation* Demand *Across all Circles 7 Mn subscribers added over base of 12 Mn (60% of base) added without additional spectrum in last over 18 months Demand for additional Spectrum – Invalid : Fit case for refund of 13 MHz 20 of 57 confidential BPL Case Study Criteria BPL S Circle No. 1 Mumbai Subscribers Subsribers as added without on Eligibility Spectrum Additional additional date as per in excess Spectrum spectrum as current criteria beyond as per WPC per current for next 6.2 MHz criteria criteria tranche (Mn) (Mn) Not Eligible Not Eligible 0.00 3.8 0.0 Date of Eligibility for Current Spectrum next tranche Spectrum issued as per held date current criteria 10.0 Sep-04 MHz TEC 3.8 TRAI 3.8 WPC 0 WPC+25% 0 WPC+50% 0 Refund Additional Allocation* Demand Fit case for Refund of 3.8 MHz 21 of 57 confidential Reliance GSM Case Study Criteria RTL S Circle No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 MP West Bengal Assam Bihar HP North East Orissa Kolkata Date of Eligibility for Current Spectrum next tranche Spectrum issued as per held date current criteria 6.2 6.2 6.2 8.0 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 Average 6.4 MHZ Jan-01 Feb-04 Oct-03 Oct-06 Aug-05 Jan-06 Sep-01 Mar-02 Oct-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Oct-06 NE NE Jul-07 NE Subscribers Subsribers as added without on Eligibility Spectrum Additional additional date as per in excess Spectrum spectrum as current criteria beyond as per WPC per current for next 6.2 MHz criteria criteria tranche (Mn) (Mn) 0.8 0.44 1.8 NE 0.5 0.15 1.8 0.8 0.56 1.8 4.4 NE NE 0.5 0.12 1.8 NE Total 1.3 1.82 10 MHz TEC 1.8 TRAI 1.8 WPC 9.8 Refund Additional Allocation* Demand *Across all Circles WPC+25 % 7 WPC+50 % 3.8 1.3 Mn subscribers added over a base of 4 Mn (32% of base) added without additional spectrum in last over 18 months Willing to return excess spectrum in Bihar in line with policy framework applicable to all 22 of 57 confidential Reliance CDMA Case Study RCOM S.N. Service Area 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Andhra Pradesh Gujarat Karnataka Maharashtra Tamil Nadu Haryana Kerala Madhya Pradesh Punjab Rajasthan U.P.(E) U.P.(W) West Bengal Bihar Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Orissa Chennai Delhi Kolkata Mumbai Additional Spectrum Current Spectrum in excess Spectrum as per beyond 5 held (MHz) WPC MHz criteria 5.00 3.75 3.75 5.00 5.00 3.75 5.00 5.00 3.75 3.75 5.00 5.00 3.75 5.00 2.50 2.50 3.75 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25 1.25 0.00 0.00 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25 0.00 1.25 Average 4.35 MHz 13.8 RCOM - CDMA Does not hold beyond 5 MHz contracted spectrum in any of the circles RCOM willing to consider its claim to forego 13.75 MHz of spectrum as per WPC criteria No additional Spectrum granted 23 of 57 confidential Tata CDMA Case Study Tata S.N. Service Area 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 17 18 19 20 21 Andhra Pradesh Gujarat Karnataka Maharashtra Tamil Nadu Haryana Kerala Madhya Pradesh Punjab Rajasthan U.P.(E) U.P.(W) West Bengal Bihar Himachal Pradesh Orissa Chennai Delhi Kolkata Mumbai Additional Spectrum Current Spectrum in excess Spectrum as per beyond 5 held (MHz) WPC MHz criteria 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 2.50 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.75 2.50 3.75 2.50 2.50 3.75 5.00 3.75 5.00 1.25 0.00 0.00 1.25 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25 0.00 0.00 1.25 1.25 0.00 1.25 0.00 2.50 1.25 0.00 Average 3.63 MHz 12.5 Tata - CDMA Does not hold beyond 5 MHz contracted spectrum in any of the circles Eligible for 12.5 MHz of spectrum as per WPC criteria No additional Spectrum granted 24 of 57 confidential Comparison: TRAI to WPC criteria Multiple : TRAI to WPC Circle 6.2 MHz 8 MHz 10 MHz Metro( D/M) 1.6 2.5 2.0 Metro (C/K) 2.5 3.8 3.3 A 2.0 3.8 3.6 B 2.7 5.0 5.0 C 3.0 5.0 6.7 TRAI criteria is 1.6 times to 6.7 times of WPC March 06 Average 4 times of WPC criteria 25 of 57 confidential Comparison: TEC to TRAI criteria Multiple : TEC to TRAI Circle Category Metro (DL/MU) 6.2 MHz Range 1.2 to 1.4 8 MHz Average 1.3 Range 1.3 to 1.5 10MHz Average 1.4 Range 1.7 to 2 Average 1.9 Metro (CH/KOL) 1.0 to 1.2 1.1 1.1 to 1.3 1.2 1.5 to 1.8 1.7 A 1.1 to 1.7 1.5 1.0 to 1.4 1.3 1.0 to 1.5 1.3 1.2 0.4 to 1.4 1.0 1.2 0.3 to 2.0 1.2 B C 0.5 to1.6 0.3 to 2.0 0.4 to 1.5 0.3 to 2.8 1.0 1.2 TEC criteria lower than TRAI in 6 circles- HR, KL, PJ, HP, J&K, NE TEC criteria is Average 1.2 times of TRAI criteria 26 of 57 confidential Global practices for excess spectrum UK USA Argentina / Chile / Peru In October 2007 Ofcom has initiated the re-farming of 15 MHz to 20 MHz of spectrum in 900 MHz band from Vodafone & O2. This spectrum was allocated in 1985 Returned Spectrum will be allocated to new / other eligible operators Value of returned spectrum estimated at Rs. 50000 Cr (£ 6 Bn) Re-farming of 10 MHz inter-se operators is practiced and implemented In 2004, Regulator directed spectrum re-farming between AT&T & TMobile in New York & California states Excess Spectrum 20 to 35 MHz held by MovieStar was directed to be returned in 2005. Internationally, Regulators have taken back / reallocated spectrum 27 of 57 confidential Summary – Spectrum Allocation At the minimum, subscriber allocation criteria recommended by TEC be accepted or appropriately revised upwards based on further scientific inputs. Existing dominant GSM operators have been allocated spectrum without a policy framework and are using excess spectrum which is also beyond contracted amount of 6.2 MHz. Should be directed to refund the spectrum. All new licensees or licensees having paid the prescribed fee for the alternate technology should be allocated start up spectrum of 6.2 MHz. 28 of 57 confidential Summary – Spectrum Allocation The available spectrum will allow commencement of services by minimum 4 operators/ licensees. This will yield for the Government of India - Rs 6500 Cr as Entry Fee - Upto Rs 20000 Cr as direct and Indirect taxes on full rollout of network by new operator The increased competition will benefit the country and consumers. - Accelerated growth in telecom penetration - Lower tariffs - Better coverage including rural coverage. - Better quality of services 29 of 57 confidential Spectral Efficiency Innovations & TEC Report TEC subscriber criteria Justified ? Liberal ? Stringent ? Let us examine in light of available spectral efficiency technology innovations 31 of 57 confidential Spectral Efficiency –Basic Principle Cooper’s Principle on Wireless Networks: Capacity enhancement is coming through reduction in Cell size Shrinking Cell Size provides 2700 times more capacity as compared to additional spectrum which provides only 15 times capacity enhancement Continuous increase in teledensity will require deployment of more BTS, leading to increase in network capacity, without additional spectrum 32 of 57 confidential Spectral Efficiency –Basic Principle Shannon’s Principle: There is a limit to capacity Capacity increase can be achieved by reducing interference by using spectral efficiency enhancement techniques 33 of 57 confidential Parameters for determining Subscriber based spectrum allocation criteria 1. Morphology - Dense urban / urban / Sub-urban / Rural 2. Subscriber / traffic density distribution in different morphology 3. Spectrum allocated 4. Number of sites to cater specified traffic 5. BTS capacity utilization 6. Inter site distance 7. Spectral efficiency innovations Quantum of Spectrum allocated is just one of the parameters 34 of 57 confidential TEC work flow chart Subscriber Based Spectrum Criteria Metro / Circle Morphology Distribution as per Satellite Image (Km²) U SU RU DU Allocated Spectrum 4.4MHz 6.2MHz 8MHz 10MHz 12.4MHz Sub Density Ratio Estimated BTS configuration with Capacity DU U Traffic Distribution 7 Key Technology Innovations Sync N/W DFCA 6 sector AMR SAIC Femto Cell IBS BTS Utilization per Morphology No No. of subs per site DU w % U x% SU y % RU z % Required No. of sites & Estimated Subs per Morphology Excluded by TEC while framing Subscriber based Criteria policy Source: TEC “Presentation on Spectrum Efficiency. Dtd 20.09.07” Target Subs as per Recommendations Metro D & M Metro K & C Yes S332 S444 S566 S778 SU RU Class A Circle Class B Circle Class C Circle Inter-Site distance per morphology. Subs Density TEC Criteria can be further improved when gains due to spectral efficiency innovations are included 35 of 57 confidential Spectral Efficiency Innovations 1. Synchronized Network 2. DFCA (Dynamic Frequency & Channel Allocation) 3. 6 Sector BTS 4. AMR (Adaptive Multi Rate) 5. SAIC (Single Antenna Interference Cancellation) 6. Femto cell solution 7. In Building Solution India can’t afford to ignore use of these innovations 36 of 57 confidential Technology Innovation - 1 Synchronized Network BTS 1 Asynchronous Network BTS are synchronized using GPS or software. TDMA Bit Offset of BTSs are aligned with each other. Improvement of C/I by 3~5dB. BTS 2 25 26 BTS 1 Synchronous Network BTS 2 25 26 Source: Huawei ,Ericsson and Nokia-Siemens Enhances Radio Network Capacity by 20%. Pre-requisite to use features like DFCA for further capacity gains. 37 of 57 confidential Technology Innovation - 2 DFCA (Dynamic Frequency & Channel Allocation) Conventional Frequency and Channel Allocation Dynamic Frequency and Channel Allocation 0 0 F1 F1 1 0 2 1 F2 3 2 4 3 5 F3 0 6 5 7 6 1 2 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 0 F1 2 4 3 3 5 4 4 4 6 5 5 5 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 F2 2 3 F3 6 7 F1 3 1 4 0 1 F2 2 F2 4 F3 5 4 F3 5 7 Parameter Frequency Collision Possibilities Synchronization required Conventional DFCA Yes No No Yes Co and Adjacent frequencies reuse in Adjacent Cell Not possible Possible Frequency Hopping Fixed pattern Dyanacmic based on mobile location Thru Software upgrade Enhances Radio Network Capacity by 60 ~ 90%. Source: Huawei and Nokia-Siemens 38 of 57 confidential Technology Innovation – 3 6 Sector BTS 1 9 5 3 11 4 7 2 10 1 6 1 3 Improvement due to use of Asymmetric antenna which have more then 30dB front to back ratio for 1800 azimuth. 9 11 4 7 11 4 7 12 8 12 2 8 2 6 sector BTS provides twice the capacity of 3 sector BTS at same spectrum. 5 9 5 3 12 8 10 6 10 1 6 9 5 3 11 4 7 12 8 2 10 6 Spectrum (MHz) 3 Sector BTS 1 1 19 5 7 8 4 12 11 73 12 6 1 1 19 10 62 5 7 7 3 11 5 73 4 12 11 84 6 2 10 12 84 6 Traffic (Erlang) TRx (No) Traffic (Erlang) 4.4 3 45 3 89 100% 6.2 4 66 4 131 100% 8 7 129 6 245 90% 10 8 149 8 298 100% 9 73 8 4 12 11 2 10 TRx (No) 51 9 51 3 11 Capacity incerase (%) 84 2 10 1 1 19 6 Sector 9 51 3 11 3 Sector 1 1 19 10 5 9 51 7 12 10 62 62 3 11 8 4 12 11 73 8 12 84 2 10 6 10 62 6 Sector BTS Reliance CDMA has over 200 six sector sites operational & in Reliance GSM network at Guwahati. Vodafone has in Hyderabad. Enhances Radio Network Capacity between 90% to 100%. Source: Ten XC, Canada 39 of 57 confidential Technology Innovation – 4 Adaptive Modulation Rate (AMR) AMR Penetration & Capacity Increase TCH FER Based Capacity Gain All handsets manufactured since 2003 are AMR enabled. AMR penetration level of 60% has resulted in 70% increase in capacity. Soon to increase to 100% 60-75% of current traffic is generated by AMR enabled handsets. Over 110 Mn AMR enabled handsets are in use 160 Capacity Gain [%] 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 25 50 75 100 AMR Penetration [%] 100% AMR penetration will result in nearly 150% Radio Network capacity increase at zero cost – expected by 2009 Source: GSM,GPRS AND EDGE PERFORMANCE by Halonen,Romero,Melero of Nokia (John Wiley & Sons) 40 of 57 confidential Technology Innovation – 5 Single Antenna Interference Cancellation (SAIC) SAIC Penetration & Capacity Increase SAIC Handsets are available in market from 2004 Majority of Nokia phones are SAIC compatible. Nokia market share is ~ 70% SAIC is a software feature in the handset for increasing downlink spectrum efficiency of GSM networks. Ultra Low end handset SAIC uses technique to cancel or suppress interference by means of signal processing without using multiple antenna. Source: Nokia-Siemens and 3GPP TR 45.903 V7.0.1 (2007-08) Provides 50 ~ 60% additional capacity gain with 100% penetration of SAIC mobiles at no cost 41 of 57 confidential Technology Innovation – 6 Femto Cells Small form factor and affordable price point will ensure mass deployment Size ~ 200 x 140 x 40 mm, 0.2kg Small Form Factor Over 100 Million Femto cells are projected by 2011 GSM Backhaul: ADSL, Ethernet FEMTO cells improves spectral efficiency by release of BTS capacity for outdoor use. Source: Ericsson & ABI-Research 42 of 57 confidential Technology Innovation – 7 In Building Solutions As per TRAI survey 70% calls in a cellular network are from In Building Splitter / Coupler Seamless indoor and outdoor coverage RF Feeder In building coverage generates traffic and revenue Antenna Splitter / Coupler Base Station In Building solutions help in offloading the traffic from outdoor base stations 43 of 57 confidential Technology Innovation Summary 1. Synchronized Network: Improves capacity by 20% * At Zero cost 2. DFCA (Dynamic Frequency and Channel Allocation): Enhances Capacity by 60 ~ 90%. 3. 6 Sector*: Enhances capacity up to 100% SAIC/SN* 4. AMR: 100% AMR mobile penetration will improve the network capacity by 150%. DFCA 5. SAIC (Single Antenna Interference Cancellation): SAIC improves capacity by 50 ~ 60%. AMR* 6. Femto Cell*: Unlimited capacity for SOHO segment. 7. In Building Solutions*: Offloads traffic from outdoor BTS Basic GSM * 100 % SAIC and AMR considered with Synchronous network Capacity increases by 7 times by using 4 of the Technology innovation. Further improvements feasible on use of 6-sector, Femto & IBS. Source: Nokia-Siemens and 3GPP TR 45.903 V7.0.1 (2007-08) 44 of 57 confidential Technology Innovation Deployment Status in India Techniques Conventional Advanced Innovative Used by Synthesized Frequency Hopping (SFH) Tighter Frequency Reuse Plan (TFR) Discontinuous Transmission (DTX) Dynamic Power Control IBS & Micro Cell Dynamic SDCCH Intelligent Directed Retry (IDR) AMR-HR Antenna Hopping - One Operator Synchronized Network Dynamic Frequency and Channel Allocation (DFCA) 6 Sector BTS Single Antenna Interference Cancellation (SAIC) Interference Rejection Combining (IRC) Femto Cell All OPERATORS 5 OPERATORS Under Trial Stage Innovative techniques grossly under-deployed in Indian market. Source: COAI submission to TRAI and from various GSM vendors. 45 of 57 confidential Increase in TEC Subscriber criteria Due to technology Innovations Morphology & traffic distribution as outlined by TEC. Technology innovations like Femto & IBS not considered in mathematical modeling. 20.0 Subs Capacity (in Mn) GSM Case study for Delhi 15.0 TEC 30% AMR-HR 10.0 Technology Innovations 5.0 0.0 4.4 Spectrum Allocation (MHz) 6.2 8 10 Spectrum Allocation (in MHz) 12.4 No. of Times Subscriber Capacity w.r.t TEC No. of Sites Site to Site distance (in Mtr.) 30% AMR-HR Technology innovation 4.4 1,500 538 1.40 3.0 6.2 2,000 466 1.36 3.0 8 2,400 426 1.37 2.8 10 2,509 416 1.36 2.6 12.4 2,560 412 1.34 2.6 TEC Criteria can be enhanced by over 3 times using Technology innovation 46 of 57 confidential Technology Innovations - CDMA New Techniques which will improve the spectral efficiency. 1. 6 Sector BTS 2. 4 GV vocoder 3. Pilot interference cancellation 4. Femto cell solution 5. In Building Solution CDMA operators should accelerate deployment 47 of 57 confidential Increase in TRAI Subscriber criteria (CDMA) Due to technology Innovations – Case study for Delhi Capacity of CDMA for 2.5MHz spectrum is 6 times than that projected by TRAI Similar observation is for other allocations. 25.00 Subs Capacity (in Mn) 20.00 RCOM Estimate 15.00 4GV Vocoder 10.00 Innovation Techniques 5.00 0.00 2.5 3.75 5 6.25 Spectrum Allocation (in MHz) Spectrum Allocation (MHz) TRAI Criteria 2.5 Subscriber Nos. ( in Mn) No. of times w.r.t TRAI Criteria 4GV Vocoder Innovation Techniques 4GV Vocoder Innovation Techniques 0.5 1.6 3.1 3.2 6.2 3.75 2.0 7.1 13.7 3.6 6.9 5 3.0 9.5 18.3 3.2 6.1 6.25 5.0 11.8 29.0 2.4 5.8 TRAI Criteria can be enhanced by more than 5 ~6 times using Technology innovation 48 of 57 confidential Summary - TEC subscriber criteria The TEC criteria is liberal It can be further increased with gains by use of spectral efficiency technology innovations TEC subscriber criteria to be revised upward by over 3 times leading to increased availability of spectrum 49 of 57 confidential Re-farming, re-alignment of spectrum and Capital efficiency measures 900 MHz Vs1800 MHz Spectrum – Anomaly & imbalances Delhi Mumbai Chennai Kolkata AP Gujarat Karnataka Maharashtra TN Haryana Kerala MP Punjab Rajasthan UP (E) UP (W) WB Assam Bihar HP J&K NE Orissa Airtel 8 6.2 6.2 7.8 Spectrum in 900 MHz Hutch Idea 8 6.2 8 For a new operator, initial National Coverage with 900 MHz spectrum can be achieved with 30,000 BTS sites as against 60,000 BTS sites of 1800 MHz Initial Capex saving of Rs. 15,000 Cr Opex saving of Rs.1500 Cr per Year On ongoing basis a 900 Mhz network provides Capex advantage of Rs. 3,000 Cr & annual Opex savings of Rs. 300 Cr as compared to 1800 MHz network Spectrum beyond 4.4 MHz in 900 MHz band does not give any additional advantage Cap of 4.4 MHz to be introduced in 900 MHz band RTL 6.2 7.8 6.2 6.2 7.8 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 4.4 6.2 6.2 4.4 4.4 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 4.4 7.8 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 4.4 4.4 6.2 Existing GSM Operators with up to 8 MHz spectrum in 900 MHz bad have an unfair advantage over new entrants Spectrum in 900 MHz Band should be re-farmed & equally allocated to existing as well as new Operators 51 of 57 confidential Re-farming spectrum Inter-se 900 MHz– 1800 MHz Both existing and new operators as per policy are to be given level playing field in non-discriminatory manner This necessitates correction of current anomaly and imbalance of allocated spectrum in 900 &1800 MHz Need to cap allocation of spectrum in 900 MHz to each operator – both existing and new entrants Internationally re-farming has been implemented Policy framework to be implemented to achieve non discriminatory level playing field for all operators 52 of 57 confidential Global practices of re-farming of spectrum UK USA In October 2007 Ofcom has initiated the re-farming of 15 MHz to 20 MHz of spectrum in 900 MHz band from Vodafone & O2. This spectrum was allocated in 1985 Returned Spectrum will be allocated to new / other eligible operators Value of returned spectrum estimated at Rs. 50000 Cr (£ 6 Bn) Re-farming inter-se operators is practiced and implemented . In 2004, Regulator directed spectrum re-farming between AT&T & TMobile in New York & California states Internationally, Regulators have re-farmed spectrum to ensure non discriminatory level playing field & consumer benefits 53 of 57 confidential Realignment of spectrum 880 – 890 MHz Band Realignment of Spectrum – 4 Carrier Scenario 870.03 871.26 872.26 873.99 875.22 877.95 876.45 879.18 880.41 881.64 883.67 MHz – 890 MHz 1.4 MHz GB BSNL GB TATA RCOM GB 6.33 MHz 890 MHz 879 MHz 869 MHz Realignment of Spectrum – 3 Carrier Scenario 870.03 871.26 872.26 873.99 876.72 875.22 877.95 879.18 881.21 MHz – 890 MHz 1.4 MHz BSNL 869 MHz GB TATA GB GB RCOM 8.80 MHz 890 MHz 879 MHz Note: All the frequencies are in MHz RCOM & TATA’s to also offer GSM, Realignment will Improve availability of spectrum confidential Capital Efficiency Measures recommended Mandate passive infrastructure sharing with price cap TRAI recommendations of Apr 2007 on sharing of active infrastructure to be accepted & implemented DOT to make reference to TRAI for sharing of spectrum - Internationally active infrastructure sharing & spectrum sharing is done to deploy network in rural areas to reduce CAPEX, DOT to make reference to TRAI Mandate Inter & Intra circle roaming in GSM and CDMA These measures will be in further overall interest of consumers 55 of 57 confidential Summary – Re-farming & Capital Efficiency measures Inter-se re-farming of spectrum in 900 & 1800 MHz bands. Realignment within 800 MHz band To improve capital productivity, capital efficiency measure such as - Sharing of passive and active infrastructure and spectrum sharing Improves availability of spectrum Optimum utilization of spectrum Promotes quality Accelerates with increased competition Achieves capital productivity Win-Win-Win for all stake holders – Customers, Government & Operators 56 of 57 confidential Summary - Recommendations Reliance fully supports TEC criteria for spectrum allocation TEC criteria should be the base & further tightened Start up spectrum of 6.2 MHz to be allocated to all new GSM entrants Refund of excess spectrum by the existing operators as determined by TEC and beyond contracted 6.2 MHz Inter-se re-farming of spectrum in 900 & 1800 MHz bands Allocate maximum 4.4 MHz of spectrum in 900 MHz band to all existing operators & new entrants. Realign spectrum within 800 MHz band to increase the availability of spectrum for GSM for RCOM & TATA’s Annual spectrum charges should be increased at least to the level recommended by TRAI to ensure efficient use of spectrum – scarce resource. Mandate passive infrastructure sharing Accept TRAI recommendation on active infrastructure sharing. DOT to make reference to TRAI for sharing of spectrum and Mandate Inter & Intra circle roaming in GSM and CDMA 57 of 57 confidential Thank You Back Up Slides RCOM estimation on TEC Subscriber Criterion’s Calculation Process - Delhi Case study Morphology Area (in Km²) Traffic Density (w.r.t. DU) Traffic Ratio Sites (Area * Traffic Distribution No. of Sites Density) (in %) Subs Capacity (in Mn) Resulting Subs Intersite cell range density (Per Distance (Km) (Km) Km²) Dense Urban 37.7 100% 12% 10% 235 0.43 0.29 0.430 11517 Urban 188.3 40% 24% 20% 470 0.77 0.45 0.680 4095 Sub Urban 753.2 12% 29% 40% 940 1.35 0.64 0.962 1792 Rural 903.8 12% 35% 30% 705 0.58 0.81 1.216 640 Total 1883 100% 100% 2,350 3.13 0.55 0.823 1664 Various deliverables as outlined in the workflow diagram of TEC recommendation 60 of 57 confidential Spectral Efficiency in Cellular network 1. Address the capacity demand with available spectrum 4. Avoid site acquisition related delays for capacity built-up. Spectral Efficiency Benefits 2. Maintain desirable QoS for the growing Network. 3. Optimized Capex & Opex due to addition of new sites. Spectrum efficiency techniques should be implemented voluntarily by the operators rather then being enforced by Regulatory Authority . 61 of 57 confidential Technology Innovation – 2 (Cont.) DFCA (Dynamic Frequency and Channel Allocation) Commercial Deployment: - Key operators who have implemented DFCA commercial network. T-Mobile (USA), AT&T (USA) Conecell (Ecuador) China Mobile Telefonica (Columbia) - Typical improvement statistics shown in table. (Huston) KPI Asynchronous Synchronous DFCA Effective Frequency Load 12% 16% 21% Total max Traffic/sector 68.5 90.9 113 Capacity Gain wrt Asynchronous Network -NA- 33% 65% In live commercial network capacity enhancement of 65% observed. Source: Nokia-Siemens 62 of 57 confidential Increase in TRAI Subscriber criteria (CDMA) Due to technology Innovations – Case study for Delhi Capacity of CDMA for 2.5MHz spectrum is 6 times than that projected by TRAI Similar observation is for other allocations. 25.00 Subs Capacity (in Mn) 20.00 RCOM Estimate 15.00 4GV Vocoder 10.00 Innovation Techniques 5.00 0.00 2.5 3.75 5 6.25 Spectrum Allocation (in MHz) Spectrum Allocation (MHz) TRAI Criteria 2.5 Subscriber Nos. ( in Mn) No. of times w.r.t TRAI Criteria 4GV Vocoder Innovation Techniques 4GV Vocoder Innovation Techniques 0.5 1.6 3.1 3.2 6.2 3.75 2.0 7.1 13.7 3.6 6.9 5 3.0 9.5 18.3 3.2 6.1 6.25 5.0 11.8 29.0 2.4 5.8 TRAI Criteria can be enhanced by more than 5 ~6 times using Technology innovation 63 of 57 confidential Technology Innovation Application on 4.4MHz Standard 2001 Advanced 2007 Innovative Q2 2008 Uplink/downlink DTX Uplink frequency scan Uplink interference band measurement Dynamic power control Dynamic MAIO SAIC Tight BCCH Reuse Synchronized Network AMR FR/HR DFCA Antenna hopping AMR 100% Frequency hopping Interference Counteract Combining Repeated FACCH /SACCH Advanced Power control Peak Configuration: S2/2/2 Peak configuration:S3/3/3 25 Erlang /site 99 Erlang/site Peak configuration:S4/4/4 143 Erlang/site 6times capacity improvement in 4.4MHz band. 64 of 57 confidential International Case StudyRe-farming spectrum to reduce from 20MHz to 10MHz No of Sites in 20MHz No of Sites in 10MHz 2,000 1,800 1,600 BTS configuration not applicable for 10MHz. No of Sites 1,400 1,200 T-Mobile (NY) was serving 3 million subs using 20 MHz . 10 MHz be surrendered owing to contractual obligations 1,000 800 600 400 T-Mobile had no option but to opt for innovative techniques to support the growing subscriber base. 200 0 2/2/2 4/4/4 6/6/6 8/8/8 10/10/10 BTS Configuration Solutions Implemented : 100% AMR-HR introduction Introduction of Synchronized Network SAIC 12/12/12 Re-farming of the Spectrum can be implemented seamlessly Source: T-Mobile, USA 65 of 57 confidential 900 band spectrum advantages over 1800 band Spectrum Higher Range : (Better Coverage) - ‘Lower the radio frequency, higher the transmission range’ - Achievable by GSM 900 cell is double of GSM 900 cell1 Less no. of Sites: (Substantial reduction in Capex) - For equivalent coverage, site requirement with GSM 1800 is 4 times of GSM 9002. Better Indoor coverage: (Improve QoS) - much better in 900 Mhz than 1800 Mhz , to provide equivalent levels of deep, dense urban coverage, more cells are required at 1800 MHz than at 900 MHz1 Better Operation at high speed1: (Improve QoS) - The specifications for GSM 900 and GSM 1800 include an upper ‘speed limit’ for the handset, above which the radio connection is not guaranteed. For GSM 900 this is 250km/h, and for GSM 1800, 125km/h. 1. OFTEL 2. Denmark Regulator 66 of 57 confidential Spectrum charges It is almost impossible for regulation to keep pace with technology advancement In addition to appropriate spectrum allocation criteria, there is need for mechanism to ensure efficient spectrum utilization on ongoing basis. Current recurring spectrum charges as well spectrum charges recommended by TRAI have lower per MHz charges beyond 8 MHz Spectrum charges for 900 MHz band spectrum should be 20% higher than charges for 1800 band spectrum Spectrum in MHz Existing Charges Charge/MHz 4.4 2% 0.45% 6.2 3% 0.48% 8 4% 0.50% 10 4% 0.40% 12.4 5% 0.40% 15 6% 0.40% TRAI Recommended 2% Charge/MHz 0.45% 3% 0.48% 4% 0.50% 5% 0.50% 6% 0.48% 7% 0.47% Proposed Charge/MHz 3.0% 0.48% 8.0% 1.00% 10.0% 1.00% 12.4% 1.00% 15.0% 1.00% 2.0% 0.45% 67 of 57 confidential