THE ECONOMICS AND EXECUTION ELEMENTS OF RETENTION A PRESENTATION FOR RYAN, BECK ANAT BIRD 1 Agenda: • • • • • • The economics of retention Changes in customer behavior and expectations Why customers defect Execution elements A peek into the future Takeaways 2 The Economics of Retention The Economics of Retention $14 $12 Profit from Price Premium Profit from Referrals $10 Increase Number of Accounts Increase Account Balance Base Profit Profit Scale Lower Operating Costs $8 $6 $4 $2 Substantial attention being devoted to task of quantifying benefits of increased customer retention; early research in area suggests at least six potential benefits of improved retention performance. 1. Increased retention lengthens customer lifetime, 2. Individual account balances grow across time, 3. Number of accounts grows across time, 4. Cost servicing may drop, 5. Customer’s conversations yields referrals, 6. Loyal customers less price sensitive. Source: Bain & Company $0 ($2) Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 3 The Economics of Retention What is 1% Retention Improvement Worth? • Allstate $1 Billion income improvement per 1% increase in retention* • Industry 27% NPV improvement per 5% increase in retention ** • $100B Bank $22 million profit improvement per 1% increase in retention *** • $9B Bank $1.2 million profit improvement per 1% increase in retention *** * Source – Reichheld, "The Loyalty Factor" ** Source – Advisory Board *** Source – Internal Company Analysis 4 The Economics of Retention Cross Sell and Retention Customer Retention Based on Services Used Odds Chance of First Year Customer Loss Checking account only 2-1 50% Savings account only 3-1 33% Checking and savings 10-1 10% Checking, savings and investment 18-1 8% Checking, savings and mortgage 50-1 2% Checking, savings, loan and safe deposit box 200-1 ½% Banking Service Source: Bank Marketing Association 5 The Economics of Retention Cross-Sell and Retention Profitability Household Annual Profits $450 $391 $400 $350 $300 $245 $250 $174 $200 $150 $113 $100 $50 $41 $0 Acct/HH 2 4 6 8 9+ 6 The Economics of Retention Household Profitability and Cross-Sell Success Are Linked Why 8+ Products per Household Profitability Tier Average Cross-sell Premier (>$1,000) 7.64 Excellent ($200 - $999) 5.61 Moderate ($0 - $200) 3.73 Potential (<$0) 3.33 7 The Economics of Retention Cross-Sell and Profitability One Bank's Story • 8+ Product Households Represent 10.5% of Total Households and Contribute 31% of Total Retail Household Profits • 35% of Premier Households Annual (profit $500 $1000) have 8+ Products • 58% of Premier and Excellent Annual (profit >$1000) Households have 8+ Products • Only 7% of Unprofitable Households have 8+ Products 8 The Economics of Retention Cross-Sell and Retention Retention 90% 80% 80% 83% 6 8 74% 70% 60% 58% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2 Accounts Per HH 4 Product Per HH 9 The Economics of Retention Where Is The Opportunity? • Average Households Have 8 Different Financial Service Providers • Households With Income Greater Than $100,000 Have 12 Different Financial Service Providers 10 The Economics of Retention Life Cycle Profitability in Credit Cards $ of Profit 150 100 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 -50 -100 Age of Accounts (years) 11 Customer Behavior Customer Satisfaction Scores Do Not Predict Defection Overall Satisfaction Average Rating: 8.5 0.00% 20.00% 40.00% 9 - 10 6-8 5 1-4 60.00% 80.00% Most of the customer (86%) who recently closed an account, appear to be somewhat or very satisfied with Bank's services overall, giving the Bank a score of 6 or higher on a 1-10 scale where 1 means Extremely Dissatisfied and 10 means Extremely Satisfied. On average, these customers rated their overall satisfaction level at 8.5 on At a All 1-10 scale. Index Scale: 1 = "Not Satisfied" to 100.00% 120.00% 10 – "Extremely Satisfied" Source: Internal Bank B Analysis 12 Customer Behavior Changes in Customer Behavior and Expectations • • • • • As more customers use the internet, the branch's role in building retention diminishes Internet per se isn't a solid retention tool; bank sites need to be enhanced to achieve improved retention results Customers' definition of convenience is shifting from physical facility to a portfolio of channels; implications to future branch expansion and staffing levels need to be considered Current mystery shops generally are not aligned with retention results Current banker behavior expectations are not aligned with customer expectations, particularly regarding problem resolution 13 Why Customers Defect Primary Reason for Closing Account Account Opening Ethics Price Personal Status Change Accuracy Convenience Customer Tenure Total Respondin g (n=434) Less Than 1 Year (n = 105) 1–5 Years (n = 191) 6 or More Years (n = 112) Don't Need the Account 12 % 13 % 15 % 4% Consolidated Accounts at Other Bank 6% 4% 7% 6% Consolidated Accounts at Community Bank Service Charges / Fees too High 6% 7% 5% 5% 6% 2% 6% 8% Marital Status Changes 6% 1% 7% 9% Legal / Trustee / POA / Deceased 5% 0% 4% 13 % Moved In or Out of State 5% 6% 5% 4% Needed the Money 4% 9% 4% 1% Lost Job 3% 3% 2% 3% Bank Error 3% 7% 2% 2% Location Is Not Convenient 3% 3% 5% 1% • Not Needing the Account was the most frequently mentioned reason for Source: Bank C Analysis closing an account at this Community Bank • Most reasons do not show response rate differences based on customer tenure 14 Why Customers Defect Factors in Account Closing Importance of Factors in Decision to Close Account (Top-2-Box Scores on 7-Point Scale) Experience With Bank's Branches or Branch Personnel Error/Problem Experienced on Account Personnel Changes Bank Experience Change in Account Features Experience With Telephone Banking Center Web Banking Issues Miscellanous Fees Monthly Fee Price Better Interest Rate/Rate of Return Elsewhere Mininum Balance Requirement Any Changes That May Have Resulted From Merger Number or Location of Bank's Branches Convenience Number or Location of ATMs ATM Malfunctions/Problems 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Source: Bank A Internal Analysis 15 Why Customers Defect Factors in Account Closing Problem Resolution Experience (Among those who had a problem) Satisfaction with Problem Resolution (Top-2-Box Score on 7-Point Scale) Closed (C) (n=41) 4 15% Open (0) (n=37) 3 30% 0% 5% 10% 15% Mean # Times Contacted Bank to Resolve Problem 20% 25% 30% 35% Source: Bank A Internal Analysis 16 Why Customers Defect Reason for Moving to Other Financial Institution Good Reputation 22% Lower Fees 25% Friendly / Pleasant 25% Convenient Locations 26% Good Service 29% Had an Account There 0% Nearly four out of ten (37%) of the respondents who opened a new account with their funds (with this Community Bank or other institutions), chose that financial institution because they Already had an account there. 37% 10% 20% 30% 40% • • • • Service – 54% Service & reputation – 77% Convenience – 26% Price – 25% Adds to more than 100% due to multiple responses allowed n = 171 17 Why Customers Defect Overall Relationship with Bank Overall Satisfaction with Bank (Top-2-Box Score on 7-Point Scale) Closed (C) (n=199) 26% Open (0) (n=207) 67% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 18 Execution Elements Problem Resolution • Banks are not organized toward effective problem resolution • The challenge: get the initial customer contact person to own the problem • This is a true differentiation opportunity on the defection variable that matters the most • The change is major enough to require an organization-wide mandate for success 19 Execution Elements Convenience • Differentiation on convenience is difficult among all but the mega banks • Internet and phone banking are putting most banks on an equal footing regarding convenience • Improved "stickiness" on internet and phone sites can become an important differentiator 20 Execution Elements Pricing • Customers don't mind paying fees; they mind being gouged and nickel and dimed • Review your fee structure to ensure you have the right balance between optimizing your fee income and turning off your customers • Develop a desired position for your fee income levels relative to the competition • Improve responses to customer fee inquiries and offering account alternatives to fee-sensitive customers 21 Execution Elements Cross-Selling • Cross-selling isn't about lip service — it is about doing • Executing cross-selling is difficult • Product packages ("Happy Meals") are a good path to success • Mass customization of cross-selling works 22 Execution Elements Service • World class service — what does it really mean? • Everyone claims they offer it, so few truly do • Can you compare yourself to Disney or the Ritz-Carlton hotels? If not, why not? • Identify major service defects and address those first • Mystery shop for the right stuff vs. the easily measurable behaviors 23 Execution Elements Bank Intervention • Less than 25% of all customers report that the bank has made an effort to salvage their account • We lack processes to ensure that every account closing is handled consistently with the intent of recovery • Customers welcome account recovery initiatives by the banker, even at the point of closing (which is generally too late) • Some sales efforts bring about inappropriate account openings, which result in more account closings 24 A Peek Into the Future • The big banks will figure retention out; some are already working on it. Waiting on this issue is a losing proposition. • Website sophistication and stickiness, as well as phone bank activities, will become more important in retention management as customer usage increases • Learn from non-banks about customer loyalty; they are ahead of us • Customers are looking for a bank they can trust. Winning that position will gain you long-term retention 25 Takeaways • Customer retention is clearly tied to shareholder value, both in terms of current income as well as earnings predictability • Improved retention must touch the employee wallet, not just their heart • Align what matters to customers with what employees are trained, paid and measured to do • Root causes for defection are consistent across the industry; spend less time on fact finding and more on fixing, measuring, rewarding 26 Takeaways – Cont'd • Correct sales process to ensure that only needed accounts are open; i.e. reward only for fully-funded accounts, back out sales incentives for zero balance accounts • Measure both cost and benefit of account retention; advertise results throughout the system • Show your employees why retention matters; they ultimately are the number one cause for retention OR defection • Goal controllable attrition levels and reward for them 27 My Family 28 Isabella 29