MONTHLY NEWS SCAN Tinjauan Berita Bulanan Compiled by IDS Vol. 18 Issue 3 1 – 31 March 2013 IDS Online http://www.ids.org.my HIGHLIGHTS FOKUS • US Federal Reserve remains cautious on economy recovery • MEPs want renegotiation of EU budget deal • January exports up 3.5% • Economy set for 5pc-6pc expansion • NKRA helps to improve water supply to rural areas • Alleviating poverty through agropolitan projects in Sabah INTERNATIONAL ANTARABANGSA US Federal Reserve remains cautious on economic recovery: The US Federal Reserve has said that the economy has strengthened “moderately” but still needs stimulus measures to underpin recovery. In a statement after a two-day meeting, the Fed said it would keep its policy of buying $85bn a month of Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities. The Fed said it wanted to see signs of a long-term fall in unemployment. The statement said policymakers continued “to see downside risks to the economic outlook”. The forecast for US economic growth this year was lowered slightly, with the Fed saying it expected the economy to grow by 2.3% to 2.8% this year, against its December projection of 2.3% to 3%. (20 March, BBC News) MEPs want renegotiation of EU budget deal: The European Parliament has demanded further negotiations on the EU's multi-year budget, after national leaders agreed to a cut of 3.3%. Euro MPs adopted a resolution saying they would only accept the deal on certain conditions. They want governments to settle outstanding budget bills, to avoid the risk of a shortfall. The MEPs also want a flexible 2014-2020 budget, so that money not spent in one area can be used in another if needed. The deal was reached by EU leaders in February at their second attempt, after a battle between countries which wanted their EU contributions to fall in line with national austerity cuts, and others which wanted to see EU spending maintained or boosted. (13 March, BBC News) The number of people claiming Jobseeker’s Allowance in February fell by 1,500 to 1.54 million, the lowest level since June 2011, the Office for National Statistics said. Despite the unemployment rise, the overall figure held at 7.8%. (20 March, BBC News) Japan posts longest run of trade deficits in three decades: Japan posted its longest run of trade deficits in three decades as exports fell in February, underscoring challenges for Bank of Japan (8301) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda in reviving the world’s third-biggest economy. Shipments dropped 2.9 percent from a year earlier, the Finance Ministry said in Tokyo today. The median estimate of 22 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News was for a 1.7 percent decrease. Imports rose 11.9 percent, leaving a trade shortfall of 777.5 billion yen ($8.1 billion). (21 March, Bloomberg) China needs ‘renewed reform momentum’, says OECD survey: China needs a “renewed reform momentum” to sustain long term growth, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has said. It said the financial sector, urbanization, state ownership and innovation were key areas for reforms. But it added that China had weathered the global financial crisis better than other OECD member countries. It said China was on track to become the world’s biggest economy by 2016, after allowing for price differences. “It is well placed to enjoy a fourth decade of rapid catch-up,” the OECD said in a survey. (22 March, BBC News) South Korea pares fourth-quarter growth estimate as yen weakens: South Korea’s economy expanded less than previously estimated in the fourth quarter, boosting the case for stimulus by the new government and underscoring concern that a weaker yen will curb exports. Gross domestic product grew 0.3 percent from the third quarter, compared with January’s initial estimate of 0.4 percent expansion, the Bank of Korea said today in Seoul. GDP rose 1.5 percent from a year ago, the smallest gain since 2009. Slower growth in Asia’s fourth-largest economy strengthens the rationale for a supplementary budget that President Park Geun Hye may announce this week. Finance Minister Hyun Oh Seok said March 23 that the yen, down 19 percent against the won in the past six months, I s “flashing a red light” for South Korean exports and urged the Group of 20 nations to revisit the issue. (25 March, Bloomberg) N.Z. grows at fastest pace in 3 years on Christchurch work: New Zealand’s economy grew at the fastest pace in three years last quarter, led by retailing and the rebuilding of earthquake-damaged Christchurch city, sending the local dollar higher. Gross domestic product rose 1.5 percent in the three months ended Dec. 31 from the previous quarter, when it expanded 0.2 percent, Statistics New Zealand said in a report released today in Wellington. Growth exceeded the 0.9 percent median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 10 economists and was almost twice the central bank’s 0.8 percent forecast. (21 March, Bloomberg) Germany sees imports rebound in January: German imports rebounded strongly in January, suggesting that domestic demand in the country may be set to recover after an autumn downturn. Imports rose by a seasonally adjusted 3.3% from the month before, helping to shrink Germany’s trade surplus. Exports also rose, by 1.4%, driven by robust demand in the US and China. Germany’s economy shrank 0.6% in the last three months of 2012, thanks to recession in its main eurozone export markets and tepid domestic confidence. However, the Ifo survey of business confidence has pointed to a strong rebound in expectations for growth since the beginning of the year, although the January trade data is the first solid indication that economic activity in Germany is picking up again. (11 March, BBC News) Russia stocks climb most in week as oil gains on Cyprus: Russian equities climbed the most in two weeks as Cyprus agreed on an international bailout, boosting crude oil, the country’s main export earner. The Micex Index (INDEXCF) gained as much as 1.2 percent, the most since March 11, and traded 0.7 percent up at 1,450.82 by 2:37 p.m. in Moscow. OAO Sberbank, the nation’s largest lender, added 1.3 percent, while VTB Group increased 0.8 percent, snapping two days of declines. The dollar-denominated RTS Index (RTSI$) jumped 1.1 percent to 1,487.24. Cyprus agreed to the outlines of an aid package, paving the way for 10 billion euros ($13 billion) of emergency loans to stave off the threat of default. Crude traded up 0.5 percent at $94.16 per barrel in New York. Oil and gas contribute about 50 percent of Russia’s state revenue. (25 March, Bloomberg) UK unemployment rises to 2.52m: Unemployment rose by 7,000 to 2.52 million between November and January, according to official figures. The rise will put extra pressure on Chancellor George Osborne in advance of his lunchtime Budget. 1 – 31 March 2013 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 1 NATIONAL NASIONAL January exports up 3.5%: Higher shipments of electrical and electronic (E&E) as well as refined petroleum products boosted Malaysia’s exports in January, according to the Statistics Department. According to data released by the department, exports rose 3.5% year-on-year in January to RM56.99bil while imports surged 16% to RM53.72bil on an increase in capital and intermediate goods imports. Trade data came in above market consensus, with economists expecting a 1.6% median growth for exports and 2.6% median rise for imports. The manufacturing sector’s sales value rose 7.4% while December's sales value was revised upwards to 7.5% from 6%. (12 March, The Star) Economy set for 5pc-6pc expansion: The Malaysian economy is expected to expand by five per cent to six per cent in 2013, anchored by domestic demand activities and supported by a gradual improvement in the external sector. The economy performed better than expected in 2012, recording a strong growth of 5.6 per cent. The report said private investment is expected to remain robust this year, driven by capacity expansion by domestic-oriented firms and the continued implementation of projects with long gestation periods. Investments by external-oriented businesses are also expected to be higher amid the gradual improvement in external demand, while private consumption is projected to grow at a more moderate rate in the second-half of the year, supported by sustained income growth and positive labour market conditions. (21 March, Business Times) launched by Works Ministry secretary-general Datuk Himmat Singh, yesterday. (26 March, Business Times) Malaysia’s January industrial output up 4.6% on-year: Malaysia’s industrial production index (IPI) rose 4.6% in January 2013, boosted by manufacturing and electricity, but lower than consensus expectations of 5.6%. The Department of Statistics said on Monday the increase in the IPI was due to the increases of manufacturing (up 4.9%), mining (up 2.4%) and electricity (up 9.8%). “The IPI in December 2012 has been revised positive 3.5% year-on-year,” it said. When compared with the December 2012, the IPI fell 0.8%. (11 March, The Star) ‘Efforts to bolster sukuk market will continue’: Malaysia has done well in developing its Islamic capital market and will seek to bolster the sector further. In its annual report 2012, the Securities Commission (SC) said efforts to further innovate and broaden the sukuk market will continue via the introduction of a frame-work for the issuance of AgroSukuk for companies in the agriculture sector. To improve the availability of fund-raising avenues for agriculture activities and agrobased in-dustries, the government has also proposed in the 2013 Budget that expenses for the issuance of AgroSukuk will be entitled to a double deduction for a period of three years, effective from assessment year 2013 to 2015. (15 March, Business Times) ‘Liberalisation measures to boost competitiveness’: Bank Negara Malaysia yesterday announced several liberalisation measures to enhance economic competitiveness and develop the domestic financial market. The measures will include allowing residents to invest in onshore foreign currencydenominated assets and anticipatory hedging for both residents and nonresidents involving ringgit with onshore banks. Non-residents will also be permitted to hedge ringgit exposure arising from ringgit investments acquired prior to April 1 2005 with onshore banks. This is in addition to the current flexibility to hedge ringgit investments acquired from April 1 2005, said Bank Negara governor Tan Sri Dr Zeti Akhtar Aziz. (21 March, Business Times) (UAE) maju setapak lagi melalui pemeteraian dua perjanjian bernilai RM39 bilion termasuk persetujuan membina sebuah kemudahan penyimpanan minyak di Tanjung Piai, Johor. Perdana Menteri, Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak berkata, kemudahan penyimpanan minyak mentah dan petroleum berkapasiti 60 juta tong dan bernilai RM21 bilion tersebut dijangka merancakkan lagi pembangunan ekonomi. Selain projek itu, Najib berkata, Abu Dhabi turut melabur dalam Tun Razak Exchange (TRX) dengan membentuk kerjasama strategik antara Aabar Investment dengan 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB) yang bernilai RM18 bilion. (13 Mac, Utusan Malaysia) MAFTA boost to trade with Australia: Malaysia expects doubledigit growth in bilateral trade with Australia this year from RM43.72 billion last year following the extensive implementation of the Malaysia-Australia Free Trade Agreement (MAFTA). Malaysia External Trade Development Corporation (MATRADE) chief executive officer Datuk Dr Wong Lai Sum said Mafta, which came into force in January, will further boost bilateral trade between both countries, which have been posting double-digit growth since 2010. “Malaysia and Australia have proven their resilience despite the lingering gloomy global economic climate. MAFTA will thus further boost our bilateral trade ties. (28 March, Business Times) Palm oil reserves in M’sia drop on falling output: Palm oil stockpiles in Malaysia, the world’s secondlargest producer, contracted for a second month in February as production declined more than expected to a two-year low, according to official data. Inventories shrank 5.2% to 2.44 million tonnes, the Malaysian Palm Oil Board said yesterday, matching the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey published March 5 and 18% higher than a year ago. Output fell 19% to 1.3 million tonnes, the lowest level since February 2011 and more than the 13% drop estimated in the survey. Exports retreated 14% to 1.4 million tonnes, according to data from the board. Prices in Kuala Lumpur have dropped 26% over the past year as stockpiles remain near record levels on rising global oilseed supplies and slowing demand. (12 March, The Star) ETP projects to drive construction growth by 11.2pc: The construction industry is expected to grow by 11.2 per cent this year, driven by various projects under the Economic Transformation Programme (ETP) initiated by the government last year. Master Builders’ Association Malaysia (MBAM) president Matthew Tee said the MY Rapid Transit (MRT) project and other Entry Point Projects (EPPs) will help to boost growth. “We have all these projects initiated by the government and we reckon that if they are implemented this year, we can achieve the number,” he said at the 5th Malaysian Construction Summit Malaysia-UAE meterai perjanjian themed “Challenges Facing the RM39 bilion: Hubungan Malaysia Construction Industry”, which was dengan Emiriyah Arab Bersatu 1 – 31 March 2013 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 2 LOCAL TEMPATAN NKRA helps to improve water supply to rural areas: Deputy Chief Minister Tan Sri Joseph Pairin Kitingan said the National Key Result Areas (NKRA) has helped improve the supply of water in the rural areas in Sabah from 56 per cent in 2010 to 69 per cent by the end of 2012. He said the NKRA which was introduced by Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak has benefited the people in the state. “Since his appointment as Minister of Infrastructure in 2009, I have witnessed the rapid development of water supply development in the state, especially in the rural areas which has increased rapidly and beyond expectations. (3 March, New Sabah Times) Alleviating poverty through agropolitan projects in Sabah: Sabah through its Sabah Development Corridor (SDC) development blueprint has identified oil palm planting as a suitable vehicle for the alleviation of poverty in the state. The agropolitan model of agriculture-based projects to be developed at Beluran and Kemabong, which have a high incidence of poverty, is aimed at eradicating hardcore poverty in the rural areas of Sabah. “The site for the agropolitan projects (Beluran and Kemabong) will be owned by the poor by way of communal titles,” a Sabah Economic Development and Investment Authority (Sedia) spokesperson told Bernama. (22 March, New Sabah Times) Penduduk Pulau Sebatik terima Karisma: Sebanyak 115 penduduk luar bandar di Pulau Sebatik di sini, menerima bantuan baucar Program Kebajikan Rakyat 1Malaysia @ Hati Rakyat (Karisma) bernilai RM34,500 yang disampaikan Ahli Parlimen Kalabakan, Datuk Seri Abdul Ghapur Salleh. Abdul Ghapur berkata, pemberian baucar itu menjadi satu lagi bukti keprihatinan kerajaan terhadap rakyat yang berpendapatan rendah, miskin serta tidak bernasib baik di negara ini. Beliau menyeru seluruh rakyat mensyukuri segala nikmat yang diperoleh sekaligus menghargai keprihatinan kerajaan Barisan Nasional (BN) terhadap rakyat di negara ini. (29 Mac, Utusan Malaysia) ‘Cocoa exports hit rm3.7 bln last year’: The country’s exports of cocoa and cocoa products last year totalled about RM3.7 billion, says 1 – 31 March 2013 Plantation Industries and Commodities Minister Tan Sri Bernard Dompok. The main export markets were the United States, Japan and Europe, he said, adding Malaysia is Asia Pacific’s largest cocoa grinding nation and the world’s fifth largest after the Netherlands, Cote d’Ivoire, Germany and the United States. Last year, Malaysia’s cocoa industry ground 299,525 tonnes of cocoa seeds to produce cocoa butter, cocoa paste, cocoa powder and other cocoa products, he said in his speech at the launch of a cocoa cluster farming course and annual general meeting of the Ranau Cocoa Growers Association here in Ranau yesterday. (1 March, The Borneo Post) RM1.3 bln allocation for Sook since 2008 – assemblyman: Sook assemblyman Datuk Alfred Ellron Angin said his constituency had received more than RM1.3 billion in development allocation from the ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) since 2008. “Through the provision, several mega projects have been implemented, including the rural electricity supply, upgrading of rural roads, rural water supply and the latest – the Keningau Livestock Centre,” he said. “In addition, many other special assistance schemes have been received and enjoyed by the people here that allowed them to enjoy a better and comfortable life,” he said when opening the meet-thepeople session at Kampung Rela, Nandagan Sook, on Saturday. (11 March, The Borneo Post) RM66 million to build three schools in Sabah – Mohd Puad: The Education Ministry has allocated about RM66 million to build two secondary schools and a primary school in Sabah under the Tenth Malaysia Plan (10th MP). Its deputy minister, Dato’ Dr Haji Mohd Puad Zarkashi, said the allocation would be distributed to build SMK Kabongan 1 in Semporna, SMK Langkon in Kota Marudu and SK Nanamon. He said SMK Kabongan and SMK Langkon, previously sharing with a primary school building, would soon have their own buildings while the old school building of SK Nanamon would be replaced with a new one. “Besides the construction of SMK Desa Wawasan in Tambunan costing RM40 million which was announced by Deputy Prime Minister and Education Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin recently would be built as soon as the land problem can be solved,” he told reporters after visiting SK Ulu Senagang and SK Gaulan here in Keningau yesterday. (19 March, The Borneo Post) MAPENS bantu majukan ekonomi nelayan secara menyeluruh: Persatuan Nelayan Negeri Sabah (Pengasah) bakal mewujudkan Majlis Pembangunan Ekonomi Nelayan Sabah (MAPENS) bagi membantu memajukan kehidupan sosioekonomi golongan nelayan secara menyeluruh di Sabah. Pengerusi Pengasah, Jaini Ating berkata, Mapens akan menumpukan usaha program pemodenan nelayan, kemahiran, usahasama dan pelaburan serta tabung kewangan nelayan. “Mapens dijangka mengundang penyertaan pakar berkaitan teknologi marin seperti Universiti Malaysia Sabah (UMS), agensi perikanan Lembaga Kemajuan Ikan Malaysia (LKIM) dan beberapa lagi termasuk mewakili Pengasah dan Persatuan Nelayan Kawasan (PNK) Sabah,” katanya semasa penyerahan bantuan sara hidup nelayan dalam kawasan PNK Beluran di Dewan Serbaguna di Beluran semalam. (5 Mac, Utusan Malaysia) Naik taraf jalan bermula April: Projek menaik taraf Jalan PutatanLok Kawi yang melibatkan kerja pembesaran dan penambahan satu lagi laluan akan dimulakan pada awal bulan depan. Timbalan Ketua Menteri, Datuk Seri Yahya Hussin berkata, projek bernilai RM136.2 juta itu dijangka siap sepenuhnya pada Oktober 2015. “Penambahan satu lagi lorong sedia ada itu amat penting bagi mengatasi masalah kesesakan jalan raya serius yang berlaku sekarang,” katanya dalam majlis Pemimpin Bersama Rakyat Daerah Mengundi Petagas di Dewan Raya Petagas di Kota Kinabalu, semalam. Menurut Yahya, kesesakan yang berlaku di jalan berkenaan terutama pada waktu puncak disebabkan pengguna jalan raya yang menuju ke bandar raya Kota Kinabalu pada masa ini tidak mempunyai jalan alternatif lain. (26 Mac, Utusan Malaysia) Batu Sapi residents get 20 megawatts power boost: Residents in Batu Sapi here will enjoy better power supply with the addition of a gas turbine generator that has a capacity of 20 megawatts. The generator was launched by Sabah Electricity Sdn Bhd (SESB) with the co-operation of Simebest Corporation. Industrial Development Minister, Datuk Raymond Tan Shu Kiah said since it began operating two weeks ago, the new generator has boosted the previous 70 megawatts of electricity to 90 megawatts. He was speaking to reporters yesterday while on a visit to the Gas Turbine Power Station. (28 March, New Sabah Times) MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 3 SELECTED FACTS AND FIGURES FAKTA MUTAKHIR PRODUCT PRICE INDEX, MALAYSIA (2005=100) Index Percentage change PPI Feb 2012 Jan 2012 Feb 2013 126.1 Jan 2012Feb 2013 1.2 Feb 2012Feb 2013 -2.7 Domestic Economy 129.6 124.6 Local Production 137.6 130.6 132.8 1.7 -3.5 Import 113.7 112.9 112.8 -0.1 -0.8 (Source: 30 March, Department of Statistics Malaysia) GROWTH BY SECTORS, MALAYSIA Sectors % share of GDP (2012) 54.6 24.9 8.4 7.3 3.4 100 Services Manufacturing Mining Agriculture Construction Real GDP Annual change (%) 2012p 2013f 6.4 5.5 4.8 4.9 1.4 5.0 0.8 4.0 18.5 15.9 5.6 5.0-6.0 p = preliminary f = forecast (Source: 21 March, Business Times) KEY ECONOMIC DATA, MALAYSIA (% ANNUAL CHANGE) 2012 preliminary 2013 estimated GDP 5.6 5-6 Headline inflation 1.6 2-3 Aggregate domestic demand 10.6 8.1 Private consumption 7.7 7.1 Private investment 22 15.6 Public consumption 5.0 3.6 Public investment 17.1 7.5 Exports 0.1 1.8 Imports 4.5 3.9 (Source: 21 March, The Star) 1 – 31 March 2013 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 4 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION INDEX, MALAYSIA JANUARY 2013 Sektor IPI Seasonally adjusted index Index % changes Month-on-Month 113.6 -0.8 Original index % changes Year-on-Year 113.9 4.6 Mining index 89.6 -1.0 95.6 2.4 Manufacturing index 122.9 -1.5 120.8 4.9 Electricity index 137.7 9.3 135.3 9.8 Index (Source: 11 March, Department of Statistics Malaysia) PETRONAS total production ('000 BOE per day) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2,038 2,032 2,000 1,987 1,976 1,928 (Source: 8 March, Business Times) 1 – 31 March 2013 MONTHLY NEWS SCAN (Tinjauan Berita Bulanan) 5