ECN 3103 INDUSTRIAL ORGANISATION 8. Regulation Mr. Sydney Armstrong Lecturer 1 The University of Guyana Semester 1, 2015 1 Our Plan 1 Natural Monopoly 2 Sunk Costs and Competition 3 The Why and How of Regulation 4 Optimal Price Regulation 2 1. WHAT IS A NATURAL MONOPOLY? -first mentioned by John Stuart Mill (1848) -Alfred Marshall (1890) discusses role of increasing return in fostering monopoly -Posner (1969) writes that natural monopoly \does not refer to the actual number of sellers in a market but to the relationship between demand and the technology of supply" -Carlton and Perloff (2004): \When total production costs would rise if two or more firms produced instead of one, the single firm in a market is called a natural monopoly.“ -technological definition of natural monopoly 3 Definition (Natural Monopoly Single Product) A firm producing a single homogenous good is a natural monopoly when it is less costly to produce any level of output Q = D(p) within a single firm than with two or more rms. It has to hold that where C(q) is the identical cost function for all firms and That is, the cost function is subadditive for all Q = D(p). -what makes cost functions subadditive? - how does this concept relate to increasing returns? 4 Example 1: C1(q) = F + cq and AC1(q) = F/q + c - AC1(q) decreases as output expands: economies of scale - in single product context: economies scale is sufficient for subadditivity 5 -it follows that in the single product context increasing returns to scale (IRS) are sufficient but not necessary for subadditive cost -subadditive cost function encompass more functions than those that exhibit IRS over entire range -IRS over a range of outputs are necessary but cost function can still be subadditive beyond level where IRS are exhausted whether industry is natural monopoly also depends on demand -if demand grows over time, industry might cease to be a natural monopoly in the long run definition of natural monopoly can be generalized to multiproduct firms 6 Natural Monopoly with multiple products -two products A and B produced at quantities QA and QB -subadditivity: when is it less costly to produce both products in one firm? -two dimensions: economies of scope and economies of scale -economies of scope make it more economical to produce the two products in one firm rather than two (given that all output of a product is produced by a single firm): -economies of scale in one product neither suffcient nor necessary for multi-product subadditivity 7 Is the Electricity Industry as a whole a Natural Monopoly? 8 2. SUNK COSTS AND COMPETITION technological definition of natural monopoly does not include sunk cost - sunk cost is a retrospective (past) cost that has already been incurred and cannot be recovered - for example, capital and technology worthless in alternative uses or locations - sunk cost important to explaining why some industries naturally evolve to a point with only one or few firms -most regulated natural monopoly industries, e.g. railroads, electric power, water networks, cable TV networks, have large share of sunk costs 9 3. TYPES OF REGULATION Rationale for Regulation 1 regulation as a response to market failure (natural monopoly, sunk cost) 1 allocative efficiency: value of marginal buyer equals cost of producing good or service 2 productive efficiency: goods and services are produced at minimum possible cost 3 dynamic efficiency: investment and innovation undertaken at efficient levels 2 political economy rationale (level of regulation driven by demand from firms/consumers and supply from politicians): capture theory 10 3 universal physical and affordable access to essential products or services (e.g. electricity, telephone, clean water) Political Economy of Regulation 1 supply of regulation politicians supply regulation in exchange for votes and money process works because the benefits are large and concentrated and the costs are small and widely distributed 2 demand for regulation from firms to raise their profits imposing taxes on others and using the proceeds to provide subsidies to the firms raising the cost of entry to other firms regulating producers of substitute products regulating prices to eliminate price competition within an industry 3 outcome is inefficient because the benefits to the few are less than the costs to the many Literature: capture theory of regulation (Stigler 1971, Posner 1971, Peltzman 1989) 11 Specific Investment and Regulation -investment in industry-specific assets is large part of sunk costs -specific investment creates commitment problems -can government commit not to regulate the price of activities associated with the public interest? -once investment is sunk, regulator has incentive to regulate price to average variable cost -ex post, firm accepts this rather than shut down -ex ante, firm will not invest -a corollary, but principal reason for regulation is the protection of sunk, specific investment 12 Market Failure Test for Regulation -when should natural monopoly regulation occur? -existence of a monopolist or large sunk costs is not sufficient to justify regulation -test that justifies regulation has three components: 1 existence and magnitude of the inefficiencies 2 feasibility of intervention 3 cost-benefit analysis of regulatory intervention direct costs include administrative and also compliance and monitoring costs indirect costs include all the regulation-induced inefficiencies benefits: three types of efficiency -decide on extent of regulation or intervention 13 Extent of Regulatory Intervention 1 spot markets (no intervention, competition viable) 2 private long-term contracts (no intervention, competition viable but sunk cost, firms are able to write long-term contracts with customers to protect sunk investment) 3 concession contracts (natural monopoly and low sunk cost, private company is given exclusive right to operate, maintain and carry out investment in a public utility) 4 discretionary regulation (natural monopoly and sunk cost, price and other forms of regulation) 5 public enterprise (public provision or production, typically when risks of regulatory failure too high, e.g. national defence, law enforcement, judiciary services distinctions in practice not always clear-cut, e.g.14 schools/universities, road maintenance, transport, prisons Public versus Private Ownership of Enterprise -public enterprises have long history and are still used in many countries (less in US, more in Europe/Australia) -some industries more likely to be in public ownership, e.g. postal services, defence -long-standing debate on optimal ownership in regulated enterprises public ownership allows to support low prices by tax dollars (e.g. public transport) -high prices may be enforced as revenue collection (e.g. liquor stores, gambling) -public ownership also means that government forces taxpayers to become shareholders in public enterprise; what is the opportunity cost of raising/using tax money elsewhere? public ownership creates bureaucracy which is bad at running15 business 4. OPTIMAL PRICE REGULATION - traditional theoretical regulation literature: regulator sets price for natural monopolist maximising social welfare subject to ensuring firm viability -regulator has full information on demand, cost parameter and managerial effort levels - regulated prices that are unable to recover the monopolist's cost require costly subsidies if regulated firm supplies multiple products, optimal price regulation requires common cost allocation across these products -if price discrimination is possible, it can increase efficiency of regulatory schemes 16 -franchise bidding is an alternative to post-entry regulation for natural monopolies with low sunk costs Implementing First-Best Pricing with Subsidies - regulating price to efficient level requires subsidies to compensate the firm for the loss incurred - subsidies are costly as they need to be funded through distortionary taxation 17 Second-Best Pricing without Subsidies - regulating price to lowest possible level that allows firm to cover its fixed cost: pq- cq = F - solving for p yields as zero iso-prot curve: p = c + F=q = AC1(q) 18 the regulator's maximisation problem is as follows this yields lowest price on the demand schedule that guarantees cost coverage for firm -average-cost pricing avoids subsidies but introduces deadweight loss relative to first-best allocation regulated price: c < pR < pm: the closer the best regulated price is to monopoly, the less gains from regulation -algebraic solution: cross inverse demand and zero-iso-prot curve and solve for the lowest price or highest quantity root of19 the resulting quadratic equation