Costs and Supply © Allen C. Goodman, 2015 1 Production Functions • Thus far we’ve talked about demand. Let’s start looking at supply! • We wish to relate outputs to some measure of inputs. • Consider the police, for example. – What are the outputs? – What are the inputs? 2 Production functions Let: + + + Q = f (L, K, X) L = Labor K = Capital X = Other materials and supplies Presumably, as L, K, or X ↑, what would happen to Q? Why? 3 Another Way to Look at it Let’s let: + + ? +(+ or -) Q = f (L, K, X, E) L = Labor K = Capital X = Other materials and supplies E = Economic environment, including type of population Maybe some people volunteer in schools, maybe individuals patrol their neighborhoods. Maybe some students are easier to teach than others. All of these may have additional impacts on output. 4 Fisher Distinguishes between What goes into utility ftn. Direct Outputs and Consumption Service Fire Protection Inputs Firefighters, Inspectors, Stations, Trucks, Equipment, Water Supply Direct Outputs Stations/sq.mi., FF/station, Trucks/station Hydrants/sq. mi. Consumption Fires suppressed, Property damage prevented, Deaths prevented VERY HARD to MEASURE 5 Two Types of Pictures Output Q • Typically, all else equal, more inputs more output, but at a decreasing rate. • What does this imply about marginal product? ΔQ Δ X Much smaller ΔQ Δ X Average Product Input X 6 Expenditures • To get output, we must spend money on factors of production, or inputs. • Cost of output 1 is: – Cost = wL1 + rK1 + pX1 – w, r, and p might refer to wage rates (cost of labor), rental fees (cost of capital), and other materials prices. 7 Like we Putting them Togetherdid with C1 = wL + rK utility,K/L1 MP/$ is We have talked about Q1 equal for consumption all inputs indifference curves. K Let’s do production If we want C2 < C1 indifference curves, K1* sometimes called isoquants. Pick two inputs C2 = wL + rK L1* L 8 So … when people talk about cutting expenditures … and saving … C1 = wL + rK 1. They are implying that current production is inefficient. What exactly does “efficient” mean? 2. They are saying that they want lower levels of inputs into public services. K/L1 Q1 K K1* C2 = wL + rK L1* L 9 Elasticity of substitution, . K/L1 • = the % change in the factor input ratio, brought about by a 1% change in the factor price ratio. K K/L2 L 10 Elasticity of substitution, . K/L1 • = the % change in the factor input ratio, brought about by a 1% change in the factor price ratio. K K/L2 Elastic big change L 11 Elasticity of substitution, . K/L1 • = the % change in the factor input ratio, brought about by a 1% change in the factor price ratio. K/L3 K K/L2 Inelastic small change L 12 Some Production Functions Several different types of production functions. The typical Cobb-Douglas production function for capital and labor can be written as: or Q = A L K ln Q = ln A + α ln L + β ln K It turns out that there is a property of the Cobb-Douglas function that = 1. What does this mean? This gives an interesting result that factor shares stay constant. Why? s = wL / rK 1% x 1% s = (w/r) (L/K) Increase in (w/r) means that (L/K) should fall. With matching 1% changes, shares stay constant. 13 Production Functions – CD Consider Cobb-Douglas production function with capital and labor. Q = A La Kb If profits are: = pQ - rK - wL, k K / L, Differentiating with respect to L and K, we get: Define: / L = aALa-1 Kb - w= 0 w/ r / K = bALaKb-1 - r= 0 Simplifying, we get: [(a/b] (K/L) = w/r dk (a/b) k = ψ ψ/k = a/b dk k (a/b) dk = dψ dk/dψ = b/a Elas d d k Elas = (dk/dψ)(ψ/k) = (b/a)*(a/b)= 1 ! 14 For 6520 Production Functions Consider C.E.S. production function with capital and labor. Q = A [K + (1-) L] R/. If profits are: = pQ - rK - wL, when we substitute in for the quantity relationship, we get: Differentiating with respect to L and K, we get: / L = A(R/) (1-) L-1[K + (1-) L] (R/)-1 - w= 0 / K = A(R/) K-1 [K + (1-) L] (R/)-1 - r= 0 Simplifying, we get: [(1-)/] (K/L)1- = w/r 15 [(1-)/] k1- = For 6520 [(1-)/] k- = /k Production Functions Redefine k = K/L, and = w/r, so: [(1-)/] k1- = Now, differentiate fully. We get: [(1-)/] (1-) k- dk = d, or: dk/d = [/(1-)] [1/(1-)] k. Multiplying by /k, we get the elasticity of substitution, or: = 1/(1-). What does a Cobb-Douglas function look like? What do others look like? 16 What if workers negotiate a wage K/L hike? 2 Why does line rotate C1 = w1L + rK inward? K What must occur? Either reduce quantity produced or Increase costs! What if capital is a good substitute for C'1 = w2L + rK labor? What if it isn’t? To get back to original production? K/L1 What Happened? L 17 Do Local Governments Minimize Costs? • Model above showed how either output could be maximized, or costs minimized. • In a competitive model, competition will (in theory) lead to minimum cost production. • Will this happen among localities? 18 Baumol’s Cost Hypothesis • Consider two sectors. He calls them – Progressive – subject to productivity improvements. – Traditional – Generally more labor intensive and not subject to productivity improvements. • What happens? 19 Progressive Two Sectors Wage Traditional Wage DP Wages are the same in each sector W1P SP DT ST W1T L1P L1T Labor Labor 20 Progressive Two Sectors Wage Traditional Wage Productivity ↑ DP Wages ↑ But so did productivity DT Wages ↑ but w/o ↑ in productivity W2P W1P W1T L1P L2P Labor L1T Labor 21 Two Sectors Wage Traditional Wage Why is this demand curve Productivity ↑ so steep? Wages ↑ Answer – Elasticity ofBut so did DP productivity substitution is very small (relate to isoquants). P DT Wages ↑ but w/o ↑ in productivity W2 P WWhat 1 happens to wage bill? Answer – Probably increases because L2P is elasticity ofL1Pdemand Labor very small. W1T New wage bill Initial Wage bill Labor 22 Does this apply? • In some cases yes; in others, no. • If you’re doing a woodwind quintet, it’s hard to do much substitution. On the other hand, rock bands can do so much more now with synthesizers than they ever did! • Look at what happened with the DSO! • Bill Clinton thought it applied to health care. I was never sure that it did (or 23 does). Fisher (P. 154-5) – Good summary • Costs of state-local goods seem to have gone up relative to private sector over the last 25 years. • Fiscal pressure on states and localities was somewhat hidden in 1990s because the overall national economy grew quickly and provided lots of revenues. • Real estate values also ↑, providing revenues. • With national recession in 2001, slow growth since then, and “Great Recession” of 2008-2010 we have seen increasing costs for state-local sector and increasing fiscal pressure. • Possible solutions? – Use of new technology – Substitute private production for public production 24