Human Geography Unit 2: Population and Migration Created by Daniel L. Eiland | http://www.mreiland.info Overview Population Unit 2 Migration Population Where is Everyone? Overpopulation Sections Why is population increasing at different rates? Where has population increased? Part 1: Where is everyone? The Study of Population Demos (Greek for People) + graphe (Greek for to Describe) = Demography For Your Consideration: In what places on Earth do you expect to find the most people living? What common traits might these places exhibit? What is population distribution? “Population distributions are descriptions of locations on the Earth’s surface where individuals or groups live.” What is ecumene? “Ecumene is the portion of the Earth’s surface occupied by permanent human settlement.” Common Traits of Global Population Almost 90% of all people live north of the equator. More than half of all people live on about 5% of the land, and almost nine-tenths on less than 20%. Most people live in areas close to sea level. About two-thirds of world population is concentrated within 300 miles of the ocean. How do you measure population? “You measure population by looking at Population Density; the number of people occupying an area of land.” Arithmetic Density • The total number of people in an area. • Population divided by Land Area Physiological Density • The number of people supported by a unit area of arable land. • Provides insights into the relationship between the size of a population and the availability of resources in a region. Agricultural Density • The ratio of the number of farmers to the amount of arable land. For Your Consideration: How has the agricultural density of the United States changed over the last 200 years? Why might this be so? How has ecumene changed through time? What do you notice about the uninhabited areas of the earth? For Your Consideration: What inferences can you make by looking at countries with a high percentage of arable land but a low agricultural density? What inferences can you make about a country with a high physiological density but a low arithmetic density? Where do most people live now? Two-thirds of the World’s Population is concentrated in four specific areas. East Asia China, Japan, the Korean Peninsula, and Taiwan South Asia India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka Southeast Asia The islands of Java, Sumatra, Borneo, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Indonesia Europe Largely concentrated in urban areas. Part 2: Where has the World’s population increased? How do you measure population change? “You can measure population change through the Crude Birth Rate, the Crude Death Rate, and the Natural Increase Rate.” The Crude Birth Rate (CBR) is the total number of live births a year for every 1,000 people alive in the society. The Crude Death Rate (CDR) is the total number of deaths a year for every 1,000 people alive in the society. The Natural Increase Rate (NIR) is the percentage by which a population grows in a year. NIR = (Crude birth rate − Crude death rate) / 10 2.992% = (37.89 − 7.97) / 10 The Total Fertility Rate(TFR) is the average number of children a woman will have during her childbearing years. The Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) is the annual number of deaths of infants under 1 year compared with total live births. Life Expectancy measures the average number of years a newborn can expect to live at current morbidity levels. Part 3: Why is population increasing at different rates in different places? For Your Consideration: What allowed the population to grow so quickly from AD 1750 – AD 2000? What is the doubling rate? “The doubling rate is the amount of time it takes to double a population.” Timeline of Population Growth 1750 C.E. • The Industrial Revolution • Doubling Rate decreases because of technology. Start of Human History • Natural Increase close to 0 1950s C.E. • Doubling Rate begins to decrease. 8,000 B.C.E. 1850 C.E. • The Neolithic (Agricultural) Revolution • Doubling Rate decreases because of food. • The Medical Revolution • Doubling Rate decreases because less developed countries begin to get medicines. For Your Consideration: What are some reasons that the doubling rate began to decrease in the 1950s? What is a model? “A model attempts to explain or demonstrate why something exists the way it does. “ What is the demographic transition model? “The demographic transition model explains the transition from high birth and death rates to low birth and death rates as a country develops from a pre-industrial to an industrialized economic system. Stage 1: Low Growth Stage 2: High Growth Stage 3: Moderate Growth Stage 4: Low Growth What is a population pyramid? “A population pyramid is a graphical illustration that shows the distribution of various age groups as well as the sex ratio, the number of males per hundred females and the dependency ratio, the number of people who are too old or too young to work. What are some population characteristics of Sudan’s population? What does this tell you about the country? 1) What city is a college community? 2) What city is a retirement city? 3) What city is a working city? Stage 1: Low Growth 1.People depended on hunting and gathering for food. 2.Most of human history spent during this stage. 3.The NIR is essentially zero. 4.There is no country still in stage 1. Stage 2: High Growth 1. Brought about by the Industrial Revolution. 2. CDR Plummets while the CBR remains the same as in stage 1. 3. Allowed to spread to LDRs by the medical revolution (20th century) Stage 3: Moderate Growth 1. Brought about by cultural changes. 2. Characterized by a sudden drop in the CBR. 3. There is still growth but not as fast as in Stage 2 Stage 4: Declining Growth 1. The CBR = CDR 2. Brought about by an aging population, education, and family planning 3. Zero Population Growth 4. Low TFR Stage 5: Negative Growth 1.Though not official, some say that there is a Stage Five. 2.In stage five, CDR is greater than CBR largely because of an aging population. 3.The NIR is below Zero. 4. Much of Europe is entering this stage. What stage is it in? Determine what stage of the Demographic Transition Model each of the following countries are in by using the population pyramid. The United States of America Bolivia The Russian Federation Australia Central America Predicting Growth To determine how much a population will grow, geographers use the demographic accounting equation: 𝑃 𝑡+1 = 𝑃 𝑡 + 𝐵 𝑡, 𝑡 + 1 − 𝐷 𝑡, 𝑡 + 1 + 𝐼 𝑡, 𝑡 + 1 − 𝐸 𝑡, 𝑡 + 1 Where P = Population, B = Births, D = Deaths, I = Immigration, E = Emigration, t = Time Now, t + 1 = some time in the future Economic Development Public Policy Education What affects population growth? Cultural Traditions Gender Empowerment Healthcare How does disease affect population? What is the Epidemiologic Transition Model? “The Epidemiologic Transition Model focuses on distinctive causes of death in each stage of the demographic transition.” Stage 1 • The stage of Pestilence and Famine • Example: The Black Death Stage 2 • The stage of receding Pandemics • Example: Cholera Stage 3 • The stage of degenerative and human-created diseases • Examples: Cancer and Cardiovascular Disease Stage 4 • The stage of delayed degenerative diseases • Example: Cancer and disease is slowed or stopped by medical advances. Stage 5 (Possible) • Reemergence of infectious and parasitic diseases. • Reasons: Evolution, Poverty, Improved Travel Part 4: Overpopulation? Are we becoming overpopulated? My theory was that population is growing too rapidly because while population increases geometrically, food supply increases arithmetically. Thomas Malthus Thomas Malthus’ Theory Malthus Supporters (neo-Malthusians) Argue: • The growth of less developed countries are outstripping even Malthus’ predictions. • World population is not just stripping food but a lot of other resources as well. • These argue for continued programs for population limitation such as birth control and family planning. Malthus Critics Argue: • Malthus’ theory is based on a belief that the world’s supply is fixed rather than expanding. – An increase in technology and genetic food production has increased the amount of available food. • A larger population stimulates economic growth to produce greater resources. The Reality of Population Growth Food is increasing more rapidly than predicted by Malthus. Birth rates are declining and NIR is dropping. Why are birth rates declining? For Your Consideration: Do you think that we will ever reach a point of zero-population growth worldwide? Why or why not. The Effects of Governmental Control What is the difference between expansive and restrictive population policies?? “Expansive population policies encourage large families. Restrictive population policies seek to reduce the rate of natural increase.” Case Study: The Russian Federation Russia currently has expansive population policies. They have fewer workers than there are jobs and not enough people are having children. Policies: Paying people to move to their country. Having a “National Conception Day” Case Study: China From 1965 – the late 1970s China had a cultural belief in growing their population. Their leaders eventually recognized that their population was growing too quickly and began instituting restrictive population policies. Policies: “One Child Policy” International Population Belief The UN began to advocate for population control, especially in less developed countries in order to empower women. For Your Consideration: Why would family planning aid in the empowerment of women? Migration Types of Migration Sections Where do people migrate? Reasons for Migration Part 1: Types of Migration? Cyclic Periodic Migration • Involves a journey that begins at our home base and brings us back to it. • These movement’s create activity spaces: which are spaces of daily routines. • Examples: Commuting, Seasonal Movement, Nomadism • Periodic movement involves a longer period of time away from home. • In transhumance, the periodic movement based on the seasons. • Examples: Migrant labor, Out-of-State College, Military Service • Permanent relocation. • International (Transnational) Migration – Movement across country borders. • Internal (Domestic) Migration – Movement within a country borders. • Intraregional and Intraregional Migration Is it Cyclic, Periodic, or Migration 1. Travelling from your house to school each day. 2. A rancher moving his herd from season to season. 3. Taking a vacation in the summer. 4. Moving from Louisiana to California. 5. You attending Southeastern Louisiana University. 6. You attending Harvard. Many Different Scales of Migration Interregional Internal International Intraregional What is the difference between emigration and immigration? “Immigration is migration to a location, emigration is migration from a location.” Part 2: Reasons for Migration Forced Migration • The imposition of power which produces involuntary migration movements that cannot be explained by choice. Voluntary Migration •Occurs after a migrant weighs options and choices (even if desperately and not so rationally). Voluntary Migration can be analyzed as a series of options or choices. Forced Migration Examples of Forced Migration: 1. 2. 3. 4. The Largest: The Atlantic Slave Trade British relocation of prisoners to Australia US relocation of Native Americans Forced Counter-migration back to a country of origin. The African Slave Trade: What country received the most African Slaves? The Native American Forced Migration: What kind of territory were Native Americans forced to migrate to? A Gray Area – Forced or Voluntary People who leave their homes because they are forced out, but not because they are officially relocated or enslaved are called refugees. A refugee emigrates because of: War Race Political Opinions Religion Fears of Circumstance Fears if Persecution Famine Social Group Membership Nationality Natural Disasters Why aren’t there any noticeable refugee populations in the US? Images from three different refugee camps. Voluntary Migration Why do people choose to migrate from one place to another? “I developed 11 laws of migration. These laws examine the reasons for migration, the distance of migration, and the characteristics of migrants.” E.G. Ravenstein Ravenstein’s Laws (or MODEL) Every migration flow generates a return or counter-migration. The majority of migrants move a short distance (Distance Decay). Migrants who move longer distances tend to choose big-city destinations. Urban residents are less migratory than inhabitants of rural areas. Families are less likely to make international moves than young adults. There exists an inverse relationship between source and destination (The Gravity Model). What is step migration? “Step Migration is the phenomenon in which long distance migration happens in stages. ” What is an intervening obstacle and opportunity?? “An intervening obstacle is a problem that hinders a complete migration path. An intervening opportunity is an opportunity that causes someone to settle before reaching there original destination” For Your Consideration: What would be an example of an intervening opportunity? An intervening obstacle? Characteristics of Migrants: Most long distance migrants are male. Most long-distance migrants are adults. 40% are Young Adults Only 5% are over 65. People with higher levels of education are more likely to make longer moves. People who have friends or relatives who have migrated to other areas are more likely to migrate. For Your Consideration: Which of the following would be most likely to occur. Explain. a) A Chinese family moves from their home in Beijing to a small town in Idaho. b) An American male college student moves from his small Louisiana town to Los Angeles for school. c) A female college professor and her son moves from London, England to a town in Afghanistan. d) A male migrant farmhand moves from his job in Iowa to one in Kentucky. Push Factors Pull Factors • Factors that cause a person to leave an area. • Factors that cause a person to be drawn to an area. Types of Push and Pull Factors: • Armed Conflict • Oppressive Governments • Job Opportunities • Cost of Living • Growth and Recession • Crime/Pollution/Traffic Problems • Weather Political Issues Economic Issues Environmental Issues • Returning to homeland • Moving with a family • (Chain Migration) • Improved transportation allows people to move to new places. Cultural Issues Transportation Issues Part 3: Where do people migrate? Part 1: Migration History Global Migration Time-Line Before 1500 Global scale migration occurred haphazardly. It was largely dependent on spices, fame, or exploration. 1500s- 1800s 1800s – 1900s European Colonization of the America’s, Coast of Africa, and parts of Asia European Colonization of interior Africa and Asia Migration Transition Model Stage 3 and 4: These countries become the primary destinations of other countries. Internal migration is between cities to suburbs. Stage 1: High daily or seasonal mobility in search of food Stage 2: High migration from rural areas to cities. International migration also becomes more prevalent Part 2: World Migration Patterns For Your Consideration: What current migration patterns are visible from the above map? Current Migration Patterns Asia, Latin America, Africa have a net outmigration. North America Europe and Oceana have a net in-migration Asia often migrates to Europe and North America South America often migrates to North America Analyze the map above. What questions could you answer using this map? Part 3: Migration into the US. US Immigration Timeline: Colonial Settlement (Prior to 1776) European Emigration (19th and Early 20th Century) Since 1945 • Mostly from Great Britain. • African Slaves • 1840s-50s Irish escaping economic conditions and Germans escaping political conditions. • Late 1800s – The Industrial Revolution drew Germans, Irish, and Scandinavians • Early 1900s-Italy, Russia, Austria/Hungary came looking for fortune. • After American law was changed, China, Philippines, India, Vietnam, and Latin America began to immigrate in large numbers. What may have caused the spike of African immigration to the US in the 1990s? Which of Ravenstein’s laws can you see by looking at this map? Part 4: US Internal Migration Patterns US Internal Immigration Timeline: Colonial Settlement • Mostly Coastal Locations. Early 1800s 1840s - 90s • Interior Settlement spurred by the building of canals and low priced land between the Appalachians and the Mississippi. • The gold rush prompts quick migration to California – bypassing the Great Plains area. 1890s – 1940s 1940s – Present • Americans begin moving to the Great Plains region for cheap land. • Increasing Southern Migration For Your Consideration: In the early twentieth century, African Americans began moving from the rural South to large cities in the Northeast, Midwest, and West. Why did this occur? Center of US Population Describe the movement of the center of US population from 1790 to 2000. End of Unit 2