AP Macroeconomics MR. Graham Unit Two Supply and Demand Module 5: Supply and Demand: Introduction and Demand 2 Competitive Market • A market in which there are many buyers and sellers of the same good or service. • No individual’s actions have a noticeable effect on the price at which a good or service is sold. • When a market is competitive, its behavior is well described by supply and demand model. 3 Supply and Demand Model • There are five key elements in this model: • The demand curve • The supply curve • The set of factors that cause the demand curve to shift and the set of factors that cause the supply curve to shift • The market equilibrium, which includes the equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity. • The way the market equilibrium changes when the supply curve or demand curve shifts 4 “Demand” Defined • A schedule of quantities of goods or services that will be purchased at various prices, during a specified time period, other things being constant (“ceteris paribus”). The Demand Schedule and the Demand Curve Law of Demand • Law of Demand – A negative, or inverse, relationship between the price of any good or service and the quantity demanded, holding other factors constant (ceteris paribus) –When the price of a good goes up, people buy less of it, other things being equal. –When the price of a good goes down, people buy more of it, other things being equal. “Quantity Demanded” vs. “Demand” • A change in a good’s price leads to a change in quantity demanded (movement along the demand curve) “Quantity Demanded” vs. “Demand” • Whenever there is a change in a ceteris paribus condition, there will be a change in demand – A shift of the entire demand curve – The only thing that can cause the entire curve to move is a change in determinant other than price “Quantity Demanded” vs. “Demand” “Quantity Demanded” vs. “Demand” Let us review by using viewing “Quantity Demanded and Demand” from Reffonomics. Determinants of Demand (8) 1. Number of consumers 2. Income: Normal Goods 3. Tastes and preferences 4. Income: Inferior Goods 5. The prices of related goods: Substitutes 6. The prices of related goods: Complements 7. Expectations: Future Prices 8. Expectations: Future Income Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Market Size (Number of Consumers) Price Increase in the number of consumers increases demand Decrease in the number of consumers decreases demand D3 D1 D2 Q/Units Determinants of Demand (8) 1. Number of consumers 2. Income: Normal Goods 3. Tastes and preferences 4. Income: Inferior Goods 5. The prices of related goods: Substitutes 6. The prices of related goods: Complements 7. Expectations: Future Prices 8. Expectations: Future Income Normal and Inferior Goods • Normal Goods – Goods for which demand rises as income rises; most goods are normal goods – As Y , then demand for normal goods • In economics, the letter “Y” stands for income Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Income: Normal Good Price Increase in income increases demand Decrease in income decreases demand D3 D1 D2 Q/Units Determinants of Demand (8) 1. Number of consumers 2. Income: Normal Goods 3. Tastes and preferences 4. Income: Inferior Goods 5. The prices of related goods: Substitutes 6. The prices of related goods: Complements 7. Expectations: Future Prices 8. Expectations: Future Income Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Tastes and Preferences Price Hybrid vehicles • Increase in demand SUVs • Decrease in demand D3 D1 D2 Q/Units Determinants of Demand (8) 1. Number of consumers 2. Income: Normal Goods 3. Tastes and preferences 4. Income: Inferior Goods 5. The prices of related goods: Substitutes 6. The prices of related goods: Complements 7. Expectations: Future Prices 8. Expectations: Future Income Normal and Inferior Goods • Inferior Goods – Goods for which demand falls as income rises – As Y , then demand for inferior goods Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Income: Inferior Good Price Decrease in income increases demand Increase in income decreases demand D3 D1 D2 Q/Units Determinants of Demand (8) 1. Number of consumers 2. Income: Normal Goods 3. Tastes and preferences 4. Income: Inferior Goods 5. The prices of related goods: Substitutes 6. The prices of related goods: Complements 7. Expectations: Future Prices 8. Expectations: Future Income Shifts in Demand (cont'd) • Substitutes – Two goods are substitutes when a change in the price of one causes a shift in demand for the other in the same direction as the price change – There are millions of products that have substitutes: • Soap (Ivory v. Dove) • Pizza (Pizza Hut v. Dominos) • Cola (Coke v. Pepsi) Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Price of Related Goods: Substitutes Price Butter and Margarine • Price of both = $2/lb • Price of margarine increases to $3/lb • Demand for butter increases D1 D2 Q/Butter Determinants of Demand (8) 1. Number of consumers 2. Income: Normal Goods 3. Tastes and preferences 4. Income: Inferior Goods 5. The prices of related goods: Substitutes 6. The prices of related goods: Complements 7. Expectations: Future Prices 8. Expectations: Future Income Shifts in Demand (cont'd) • Complements – Two goods are complements when a change in the price of one causes an opposite shift in the demand curve for the other – There are millions of products that complement each other: • Soap and Shampoo • Toothbrush and Toothpaste • Shoes and Socks • Peanut Butter and Jelly Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Price of Related Goods: Complements Price Speakers and Amplifiers • Decrease the relative price of amplifiers • Demand for speakers increases Speakers and Amplifiers • Increase the relative price of amplifiers • Demand for speakers decreases D3 D1 D2 Q/Speakers Determinants of Demand (8) 1. Number of consumers 2. Income: Normal Goods 3. Tastes and preferences 4. Income: Inferior Goods 5. The prices of related goods: Substitutes 6. The prices of related goods: Complements 7. Expectations: Future Prices 8. Expectations: Future Income Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Expectations: Future Prices Price Expectations of a higher future price will increase demand Expectations of a lower future price will decrease demand D3 D1 D2 Q/Units Determinants of Demand (8) 1. Number of consumers 2. Income: Normal Goods 3. Tastes and preferences 4. Income: Inferior Goods 5. The prices of related goods: Substitutes 6. The prices of related goods: Complements 7. Expectations: Future Prices 8. Expectations: Income Shifts in Demand (cont'd) The Determinants of Demand Expectations: Income Price A higher income will increase demand A lower income will decrease demand D3 D1 D2 Q/Units Shifts in Demand Let us review by using viewing the “Demand Interactive Chart” from Reffonomics. Module 6: Supply and Demand: Supply and Equilibrium 34 “Supply” Defined • A schedule of quantities of goods or services that will be supplied at various prices, during a specified time period, other things being constant (“ceteris paribus”) The Supply Schedule and the Supply Curve The Law of Supply • Law of Supply – The higher the price of a good, the more of that good sellers will make available over a specified time period, other things equal • At higher prices, a larger quantity will generally be supplied than at lower prices, all other things held constant. • At lower prices, a smaller quantity will generally be supplied than at higher prices, all other things held constant. “Quantity Supplied” vs. “Supply” What is the difference between Quantity Supplied and Supply? “Quantity Supplied” vs. “Supply” • A change in a good’s own price leads to a change in quantity supplied. “Quantity Supplied” vs. “Supply” • Whenever there is a change in a ceteris paribus condition, there will be a change in supply – A shift of the entire supply curve to the right or to the left – The only thing that can cause the entire curve to move is a change in a determinant other than the good’s own price Determinants of Supply (6) 1. Number of suppliers 2. Cost of inputs 3. Physical availability of resources 4. Technology and productivity (in long run) 5. Taxes and subsidies 6. Price expectations Shifts in Supply (cont'd) The Determinants of Supply Number of Suppliers Price Decrease in the number of firms decreases supply S3 S1 S2 Increase in the number of firms increases supply Q/Units Determinants of Supply (6) 1. Number of suppliers 2. Cost of inputs 3. Physical availability of resources 4. Technology and productivity (in long run) 5. Taxes and subsidies 6. Price expectations Shifts in Supply (cont'd) The Determinants of Supply Cost of Inputs Price Increase in cost decreases supply S3 S1 S2 Decrease in cost increases supply Q/Units Determinants of Supply (6) 1. Number of suppliers 2. Cost of inputs 3. Physical availability of resources 4. Technology and productivity (in long run) 5. Taxes and subsidies 6. Price expectations Shifts in Supply (cont'd) The Determinants of Supply Physical Availability of Resources Price S3 S1 S2 Generally unavailable resources decrease supply Existence or discovery of new deposits of resources increases supply Q/Units Determinants of Supply (6) 1. Number of suppliers 2. Cost of inputs 3. Physical availability of resources 4. Technology and productivity (in long run) 5. Taxes and subsidies 6. Price expectations Shifts in Supply (cont'd) The Determinants of Supply Technology and Productivity Price S3 S1 S2 Decreases in productivity decrease supply Improvements in technology or increases in productivity increase supply Q/Units Determinants of Supply (6) 1. Number of suppliers 2. Cost of inputs 3. Physical availability of resources 4. Technology and productivity (in long run) 5. Taxes and subsidies 6. Price expectations Shifts in Supply (cont'd) The Determinants of Supply Taxes and Subsidies Price S3 S1 S2 Increases in taxes or decreases in subsidies decrease supply Decreases in taxes or increases in subsidies increase supply Q/Units Determinants of Supply (6) 1. Number of suppliers 2. Cost of inputs 3. Physical availability of resources 4. Technology and productivity (in long run) 5. Taxes and subsidies 6. Price expectations Shifts in Supply (cont'd) The Determinants of Supply Price Expectations Price Expectations of higher future prices decrease supply S3 S1 S2 Expectations of lower future prices increase supply Q/Units Determinants of Supply Shifts in Supply Let us review by using viewing the Khan Academy lesson on Factors Affecting Supply and the “Supply Interactive Chart” from Reffonomics. Putting Demand and Supply Together Equilibrium Price (a.k.a. “Market Clearing Price”) The price that clears the market The price at which quantity demanded equals quantity supplied The price where the demand curve intersects the supply curve Market Equilibrium Market Equilibrium Equilibrium is a stable point – any point that is not equilibrium is unstable and will not persist: 1. Why does the market price fall if it is above the equilibrium price? 2. Why does the market price rise if it is below the equilibrium price? Market Equilibrium—Surplus Surplus—The situation when quantity supplied is greater than quantity demanded Market Equilibrium—Shortage Shortage—The situation when quantity demanded is greater than quantity supplied Do Now. • “Thousands in Mexico City protest rising food prices.” So read a recent headline in the New York Times. Specifically, the demonstrators were protesting a sharp rise in the price of tortillas, a staple food of Mexico’s poor, which had gone from 25 cents a pound to between 35 and 45 cents a pound in just a few months. • Why were tortilla prices soaring? Module 7: Supply and Demand: Changes in Supply and Demand 61 What Happens When the Demand Curve Shifts Determinants of Demand (8) • Number of consumers • Income: Normal Goods • Income: Inferior Goods • Tastes and preferences • The prices of related goods: Substitutes • The prices of related goods: Complements • Expectations: Future Prices • Expectations: Future Income What Happens When the Demand Curve Shifts What Happens When the Demand Curve Shifts • Increases in demand increase equilibrium price and quantity • Decreases in demand decrease equilibrium price and quantity What Happens When the Supply Curve Shifts Determinants of Supply (6) • Number of suppliers • Cost of inputs • Physical availability of resources • Technology and productivity (in long run) • Taxes and subsidies • Price expectations What Happens When the Supply Curve Shifts What Happens When the Supply Curve Shifts • Increases in supply decrease equilibrium price and increase equilibrium quantity • Decreases in supply increase equilibrium price and decrease equilibrium quantity Simultaneous Changes in Demand and Supply • If both the supply and demand curves shift simultaneously, the outcome is indeterminate for either equilibrium price or equilibrium quantity • The resulting effect depends upon how much each curve shifts Simultaneous Changes in Demand and Supply • When the curves move in same direction: – Increases in supply and demand increase equilibrium quantity and change in equilibrium price is ambiguous – Decreases in supply and demand decrease equilibrium quantity and change in equilibrium price is ambiguous – Let’s check for ourselves… Simultaneous Changes in Demand and Supply • When the curves move in opposite directions: – Increases in demand and decreases in supply increase equilibrium price and change in equilibrium quantity is ambiguous – Decreases in demand and increases in supply decrease equilibrium price and change in equilibrium quantity is ambiguous – Let’s check for ourselves… Simultaneous Changes in Demand and Supply Changes in Supply and Demand Let us finally review by viewing the Khan Academy lesson on Changes in Equilibrium Module 8: Supply and Demand: Price Controls (Ceilings and Floors) 73 Why Governments Control Prices • Markets move to the level at which the quantity supplied equals the quantity demanded. • But this equilibrium price does not necessarily please either buyers or sellers – Buyers would like to pay less money for what they buy (e.g. rent in New York City) – Sellers would like to get more money for what they sell (e.g. labor wage rates) 2-74 How Governments Control Prices • There is often a strong political demand for governments to intervene in markets • “Price Controls” – Government-mandated minimum or maximum – Price Ceiling: A legal maximum price – Price Floor: A legal minimum price Modeling a Price Ceiling Modeling a Price Ceiling A price ceiling that is set below the market clearing price creates a shortage. Problems with Price Ceilings 1. Inefficient Allocation to Consumers – People who want the good badly and are willing to pay a high price don’t get it. – People who care relatively little about the good and are only willing to pay a relatively low price do get it. Problems with Price Ceilings 2. Wasted Resources – People expend money, effort, and time to cope with the shortages caused by the price ceiling (e.g. looking for homes). Problems with Price Ceilings 3. Inefficiently Low Quality – Sellers offer low quality goods at a low price even though buyers would prefer a higher quality at a higher price Problems with Price Ceilings 4. Black Markets – Market in which goods or services are bought and sold illegally—either because it is illegal to sell them at all or because the prices charged are legally prohibited by a price ceiling Problems with Price Ceilings 5. Controls Discourage Construction – With a 16% vacancy rate and no controls, Dallas recently built 11,000 new rental units – With a 1.6% vacancy rate and controls, San Francisco recently built 2,000 new rental units So Why Are There Price Ceilings 1. Benefit some influential buyers of a good. 2. Governments do not understand or ignore supply and demand analysis! Modeling a Price Floor Modeling a Price Floor A price floor that is set above the market clearing price creates a surplus. Problems with Price Floors 1. Inefficiently Low Quantity – Because a price floor raises the price of a good to consumers, it reduces the quantity demanded of that good below the market equilibrium quantity. Problems with Price Floors 2. Inefficient Allocation of Sales Among Sellers – Those who would be willing to sell the good at the lowest price are not always those who manage to sell it. Problems with Price Floors 3. Wasted Resources – Create surplus production that is sold at a discount or destroyed (e.g. government purchases of unwanted agriculture) – Also expend money, effort, and time to cope with the shortages caused by the price floor (e.g. looking for jobs). Problems with Price Floors 4. Inefficiently High Quality – Sellers offer high quality goods at a high price even though buyers would prefer a lower quality at a lower price (e.g. airlines before deregulation of 1970s) Problems with Price Floors 5. Illegal Activity – “Black Labor”—working off the books and/or bribing government inspectors So Why Are There Price Floors? 1. Benefit some influential sellers of a good. 2. Governments do not understand or ignore supply and demand analysis! The Effect of Minimum Wages • Minimum Wage – A price floor, legislated by government, setting the lowest hourly wage rate that firms may legally pay their workers The Effect of Minimum Wages Economics USA • http://www.learner.org/series/econusa/unit0 5/ Do Now. Respond to the following: • Thousands of people in the United States are on a waiting list to receive a kidney. Every day, over a dozen people on this waiting list die. Kidneys must be donated, and cannot be sold. In other words, there is a price ceiling of zero on kidneys. Economists believe this is the reason for the severe kidney shortage. Would there be more kidneys (and fewer deaths) if people were allowed to sell their kidney? Price ceilings cause black markets to develop to help alleviate the shortage. • http://www.criticalcommon s.org/Members/economicst ube/clips/svukidneybrighter. wmv Module 9: Supply and Demand: Quanity Controls 96 Quantity Controls • Government Prohibitions and Licensing Requirements – Some commodities cannot be purchased at all legally; others require a license • Import Quota – Supply restriction that prohibits the importation of more than a specified quantity of a particular good Quantity Controls Quantity Controls The Cost of Quantity Controls • Inefficiency – Buyer willing to buy good at a price seller willing to accept, but it doesn’t happen (e.g. “deadweight loss”) • Demand price exceeds supply price. • Buyers and sellers both experience a loss – Encourages illegal activity 2-100