Advancing Marketing Knowledge Kent B. Monroe AMA Winter Educators’ Conference February 12, 2005 Thanks and Acknowledgements American Marketing Association McGraw-Hill/Irwin Selection Committee Madhu Viswanathan Current and former colleagues at Illinois, Richmond, Virginia Tech, Massachusetts Current and former students My family Advancing Marketing Knowledge 2 Three Recommendations 1. Encourage multiple approaches for developing knowledge 2. Reduce use of traditional rules of thumb 3. Endorse ways of accumulating knowledge Researchers, educators, reviewers and editors all play a significant role Advancing Marketing Knowledge 3 Questions of Empirical Research Is there an effect? (Conclusion validity) If so, can we detect it? Have correct statistical analyses been used? Are there rival, plausible hypotheses? (Internal validity) Can we generalize back to theory? (Construct validity) Can we generalize to and across … ? (External validity) Advancing Marketing Knowledge 4 Some Ways to Enhance Discovery Allow for accidents and unexpected observations to occur Determine reasons for variability or error Ease the focus on precision Get out in the field (observe, listen) Tinker around: let the “data” speak to you Advancing Marketing Knowledge 5 Researchers’ Dilemma Maximizing construct validity may reduce conclusion validity (finding an effect) Maximizing internal validity may reduce construct validity of setting, sample, treatments Generalizing effects to different constructs requires multiple, diverse research efforts Advancing Marketing Knowledge 6 Multiple Approaches 1. Theory + Method Substantive 2. Substantive + Method Theory 3. Substantive + Theory Method – (McGrath and Brinberg, (Journal of Consumer Research, June 1983) It is myopic to believe there is only one way to develop knowledge. Advancing Marketing Knowledge 7 Rules of Thumb The fallacy of “statistical significance” Are empirical effects only significant if the statistical test of the null hypothesis achieves a probability level of .05? Is this an appropriate or even the only criterion for accepting new knowledge? Advancing Marketing Knowledge 8 Criteria for Selecting α Select small α if: Greater research control Unsure of direction of effect Large confidence interval needed Large effect expected Select larger α if: Small sample size (Hunter, Journal of Consumer Research, June 2001) Early stages of research Advancing Marketing Knowledge 9 Other Considerations for Selecting α Consequences of type I error vs. type II error Prior evidence against the null hypothesis The convention of p < .05 is popular but of dubious merit. Advancing Marketing Knowledge 10 Accumulating Knowledge The problem of n = 1 – (Wells, Journal of Consumer Research, December 2001) Searching for new knowledge vs. building a “store” of knowledge The need for Replication (Can results be reproduced?) Robustness (Do results hold across concepts, methods, substantive areas?) Boundary conditions (When are results not supported?) Re-search Advancing Marketing Knowledge 11 Accumulating Knowledge Knowledge accrual requires convergence of findings derived from divergent methods. Construct validity requires diversity of methods. Robustness or generalizability requires diversity of populations, occasions, settings, and methods. Neither one study nor a few studies are sufficient to determine knowledge. Advancing Marketing Knowledge 12 Accumulating Knowledge Replication is – – complementary to diversity, generalizability, robustness. necessary to reduce the small sample bias of our research A replicated result represents information about the reliability of a finding. The belief that replication research does not make a significant contribution is a misconception. Advancing Marketing Knowledge 13 Accumulating Knowledge We should encourage a diversity of methods applied to any research domain, by someone. It is not expected that any one researcher be an omnimethod expert. However, we must demand it of the Marketing discipline as a collective. Advancing Marketing Knowledge 14 A Fantastic and Rewarding Journey Discovering and developing new knowledge Writing and communicating this knowledge Teaching and mentoring – Doctoral students (36 dissertations) – Masters students (MBA and MS) – Undergraduate students – New faculty – Editing and reviewing manuscripts Advancing Marketing Knowledge 15 Thank You! I truly appreciate this honor. Best wishes for a enjoyable conference and a productive and happy 2005. Enjoy the journey – it is a very rewarding experience to be an educator. Advancing Marketing Knowledge 16