Food Consumption and Marketing in China A perspective on China’s rapidly changing food economy The Traditional Chinese View of Food A meal is composed of two major components: grain (rice—fan) and vegetables (dishes—cai) Grain is the most important ingredient, but a meal without dishes is boring and tasteless, so both should be consumed in moderation. Freshness of vegetables, fruits, and meat is a very important factor for Chinese consumers. There is a strong connection between foods and health, and waste and over-eating are discouraged. Historical Factors Food supplies have not always been abundant Inter-regional transportation was costly and difficult Cold chain systems and household refrigeration were often lacking Diets were influenced by regional availability of foods. Urban and rural diets show significant differences in consumption of grain and livestock products. Implications for Food Marketing Consumers shop daily for fresh ingredients and buy in small quantities Supply chains are short, and consumers may buy directly from producers Quality and food safety attributes of food are determined by experience and reputation Mass media marketing is not important Key Historical Facts In the Qing dynasty and during the first 40 years of communist rule, farmers were “taxed” heavily to provide food for urban residents. Over several decades, the gap between rural and urban incomes and food availability widened. Collectivization of farms in the 1950s reduced incentives for productivity growth in agriculture, and food scarcity increased with population growth Rural diets in the 1970s were largely vegetarian. More than 300 million people in China did not receive adequate nutrition on a regular basis. Recent Trends in Chinese Food Consumption Rapidly growing consumption of livestock products Increased consumption of fruits and higher-quality vegetables Rising consumption of processed food products and food prepared away from home. Declining consumption of rice, potatoes, and other staple grain and starchy foods Rising concern for food quality and food safety. Rise of supermarkets as a major force in food retail Rural Per Capita Food Consumption Kg/Person 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1978 1981 Grain 1984 1987 1990 Vegetables 1993 1996 1999 2002 Rice & Wheat Rural Per Capita Food Consumption Kg/Person 25 20 15 10 5 0 1985 1988 Veg. Oil 1991 Red Meat 1994 1997 2000 2003 Poultry Eggs Aquatic Fruit Urban Per Capita Food Consumption Kg/Person 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1985 1988 Grain 1991 1994 Vegetables 1997 2000 Fruits 2003 Urban Per Capita Food Consumption Kg/Person 25 20 15 10 5 0 1985 1988 Veg. Oil 1991 Pork 1994 1997 Beef/Mutton Poultry 2000 Eggs 2003 Aquatic Per Capita Milk Consumption Kg/Person 25 20 15 10 5 0 1990 1993 Rural 1996 1999 2002 Urban Factors Driving Dietary Change Agricultural and commercial marketing policy changes Income growth Foreign direct investment and the growing role for multi-national firms Urbanization Rapid modernization of food processing, transportation, and retailing systems Reform and Opening With the adoption of the household responsibility system (HRS) in 1981, China’s agricultural production boomed, and the availability of agricultural produce and food greatly increased. The early 1980s and mid- to late 1990s were likely periods of structural change in food consumption in urban China as a result of the introduction of the dualtrack marketing system and the elimination of food rationing. The opening of China’s food processing and retailing sector to foreign direct investment (FDI) has facilitated the rapid modernization of China’s food processing and distribution systems and created an environment that fosters food product innovation Dietary Transformation During income-induced dietary diversification, economic prosperity enables consumers to afford a more varied and balanced diet and to demand nutritionally superior products. A critical implication of globalization is the severing of the link between diets and the local availability of resources and local habits. ─Prabhu Pingali, 2004. Engel’s Law at Work: Rural Households Yuan/Person 2500 Share 0.8 0.7 2000 0.6 0.5 1500 0.4 1000 0.3 0.2 500 0.1 0 0 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 Total Expenditures Food Expenditures Food Exp. Share Engel’s Law at Work: Urban Households Yuan/Person 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 Share 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 Total Expenditures Food Expenditures Food Exp. Share Foreign Direct Investment Million USD Percent 20 60000 50000 15 40000 10 30000 20000 5 10000 0 Source: IMF FDI FDI/GDCF 20 04 20 02 20 00 19 98 19 96 19 94 19 92 19 90 19 88 19 86 19 84 19 82 0 Growth of Supermarkets Percent 25 Number 80000 70000 20 60000 50000 15 40000 10 30000 20000 5 10000 0 0 1994 1996 1998 Stores 2000 Retail Share 2002 Supermarket Sales in Major Cities 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Shanghai Beijing Retail Sales (bil $) Tianjin Chongqing Supermkt Sales (bil $) Qingdao Share Factors Hindering Supermarket Growth Consumer demand for freshness Wet markets still dominate markets for fruit and vegetables and meat Distribution networks are still underdeveloped Consumer shopping patterns still favor more frequent trips with smaller purchase quantities Questions? Annual Production Growth Percent 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Pork Source: CNBS/USDA Beef 1984-1994 Mutton Poultry 1994-2004 Eggs 1999-2004 Milk Rural and Urban Grain Consumption 300.00 kg per capita 250.00 200.00 150.00 100.00 50.00 0.00 1985 1990 1995 rural 2000 urban 2003 2004 Taste Changes Kg/Person 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 1981 1984 Grain Veg 1987 Pork Fruit 1990 Beef Milk 1993 1996 Poultry 1999 Eggs 2002 Fish