CLASS LESSON PLAN Class #5 – The Team Foresight Project Overview Overview: In this class, we will go over the team foresight project assignment details and process. By the end of class, the parameters of the project requirements for this class should be clear. We will also go over the documentation requirements for this (and really all) written work. Finally, we will set the stage to divide into teams, and continue the topic ideation process for the team foresight papers. Also in this class, we will cover the basics of the Foresight process, sufficient to guide students toward quality final projects. It is intended that students develop an understanding and working knowledge of the sequential steps in the foresight process to create a well-planned and smooth team project from beginning to end. Examples of student projects will be highlighted to give the students a glimpse at the final deliverable for their project. Additionally, examples of foresight reports from the business sector will be shown and the links to the student support resources web site will be discussed. Learning Objectives: See examples of foresight work from both a leading Foresight think tank and prior student teams Understand the process and deliverables for the team foresight project assignment for this course Gain an understanding of the costs and rewards of working on teams Form teams and begin team dialogues towards framing project topics Class Preparation: Readings: SKIM: FoodWeb2020: Forces Shaping The Future of Food from Institute for the Future (to gain familiarity with the flow and format of a real world foresight report) “The Team Foresight Project Assignment” Discussion Questions: 1. The FoodWeb2020 report serves as an example of a professional foresight report. Describe the structure of the report and how the sections contribute to an understanding of the future of food? 2. What forces does the Institute for the Future identify as driving change in the food sector? 3. How does the IFTF team support their perspectives on the trajectory and impact of these forces of change? 4. How might your experience completing a foresight project help you as you prepare to enter the work force in the next year or so? © 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved. This document may not be duplicated, distributed or excerpted without the University’s advance written consent. 5. What are the challenges of working in a team setting on a complex project? 6. What are the advantages of working in a team setting on a complex project? Assignments Due: None © 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved. This document may not be duplicated, distributed or excerpted without the University’s advance written consent. INSTRUCTOR GUIDELINES Discussion Launchers: Revisit the question from the prior class regarding whether we are on the verge of a collective awakening of the magnitude of the renaissance. Use polleverywhere to get them to go on record, then start a discussion regarding, not necessarily whether we are but rather how we will know how this is playing out. What will need to change in order for the awakening to be of such magnitude? What will the early indicators be? Allow the students to discuss in triads to create better informed answers. “What do you want to gain from taking Foresight?” Ask the students to consider what they are hoping to gain out of this class. Get a brief discussion going on their perspectives and then transition into how the foresight project can help deliver on some of those expectations. Discussion Questions with Answers: 1. The FoodWeb2020 report serves as an example of a professional foresight report. Describe the structure of the report and how the various sections contribute to an understanding of the future of food? A: The report structure is as follows: Executive summary concisely providing the insights of the report Introduction and systems assessment “Disruptions” section outlining the 8 forces shaping the future of the food “Innovations” outlining the responses from various stakeholders “Forecasts” outlining the projected shifts in the direction of the sector “Implications” on the consequences of the shifts/forecasts “How To Use This Report” which outlines possible response strategies to create resilience Also see the FoodWeb2020 map, which is similar to the poster deliverable for this foresight course 2. What forces does the Institute for the Future identify as driving change in the food sector? A: The report spells out 8 driving forces as follows: 1. New Taste Imperatives, including increasingly luxurious expectations such as mangos in the winter, and increasingly strained resources caused by these expectations 2. Growing Food Fears, including the systemic risks caused by increasing system complexity, and Splintering trust caused by high profile system breakdowns (e.g. e coli) 3. New Attention To Health Impacts, including Problems of Plenty (e.g. obesity), and Augmentation Diets which refers to using diet to achieve a health benefit (e.g. improved digestion) 4. Upsurge In Food Rights Activism, including Local Empowerment for local selfsufficiency, and Remote Land Control which refers to foreign powers buying or leasing control of land from larger, less wealthy countries. © 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved. This document may not be duplicated, distributed or excerpted without the University’s advance written consent. 5. Increasing Cost Volatilities, including Interconnected Volatilities such as the food vs. fuel dilemma, and Uncertain Supplies strained by global forces 6. Cascading Environmental Emergencies, including Perilous World impacted by uncertain climate change events, and Water Rights amid growing water conflict 7. Growing Demand For Sustainability Metrics including Food Footprints that include externalities, and Life-Cycle Labels to better inform consumers at the point of purchase 8. Expanding Push Toward Carbon Neutrality including Community Food Production to reduce transportation impacts, and competing Land Uses as fuel competes with food in terms of land use. 3. How does the IFTF team support their perspectives on these forces of change? A: For each of the forces of change, the IFTF team presents evidence to support their points. On each page they provide data analysis to reinforce the points that they make. Their choice of indicators and analysis is well defined, and the fit with their argument is strong. Take note of the clean flow and format of their report structure, which adds impact to their argument. 4. How might your experience completing a foresight project help you as you prepare to enter the work force in the next year or so? A: Student intentions will be diverse, so plan to take time to get some perspectives into discussion. Then get more specific in regard to how the deep-dive project can help them achieve their objectives. Here are a few possible talking points: Developing experience in scanning can be useful for helping them to identify which areas of the companies they go to work for are likely to experience the fastest growth, and therefore there most lucrative advancement opportunities Gaining experience in foresight forecasting can be useful in demonstrating strategic analysis skills that are valuable for supporting decision making in business Assessing business implications will demonstrate the ability to generate useful insights from research, which is a key stepping stone into leadership in business This project can serve as a great discussion topic during the interview process, demonstrating the ability to explore uncertain future topics of high complexity and business relevance – in a team situation. 5. What are the challenges of working in a team setting on a complex project? A: Working on teams adds another dimension to the complexity of the project. Specifically, the challenges of working on teams include: Conflict Scheduling and Time Management Prioritization Accountability Some may prefer to just hunker down and do the work themselves, however learning how to overcome these challenges will be an essential survival skill in the business world. © 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved. This document may not be duplicated, distributed or excerpted without the University’s advance written consent. 6. What are the advantages of working in a team setting on a complex project? A: Teams provide better perspective as a result of the diversity of background and knowledge of the team members. Diverse teams lead to better decisions. Teams also allow for the workload to be divided and allow for the outcome of a project to be much more impactful. This division of work can be especially important when team members have varying schedule conflicts – keeping the progress moving more steadily. Finally, accountability across the team drives performance. 7. What are the major components of the foresight paper you will complete for this class? A: This project will progress along several stepping stones towards the final report and presentation. Along the way student teams will be expected to complete the following: Scope of Project Brief (w/ elevator speech) Current Assessment Trend Analysis Strategy (w/ elevator speech) Trend Analysis and Foresight Forecast First Draft Peer review of another team’s first draft Final Draft Final Presentation For the paper itself, the components are as follows: Executive Summary Abstract Introduction Topic in Context Evidence-Based Foresight Forecast Insights and Implications for Business Conclusion Citations 8. There is an emphasis being placed on citations and avoidance of plagiarism on this project. Why is this aspect being emphasized in this class? A: In this class, you are challenged to generate insights based on information that has been created by others. You will do no primary research, and much of the situational assessment you develop will be based on the efforts of others. This is a common practice in business and you are encouraged to include the best information available. However, this challenge puts you directly in harms way to inadvertently imply that the content you are presenting is your own when it is in fact the work of others. For this reason, an emphasis on ensuring that all sources are appropriately cited is critical. In business, there is a secondary value to complete and accurate citations – these will serve as your bread crumbs back to the original report or data source – which you will inevitably need to revisit for follow on analysis. Not being able to retrace your footsteps can cost a lot of time and effort, and reduces the value of your work. © 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved. This document may not be duplicated, distributed or excerpted without the University’s advance written consent. Class Timeline: 5 Minutes – Quote of the Day and Intro 10 minutes: Intro and Discussion of FoodWeb2020 15 Minutes – Overview of the Foresight Project Assignment and Timeline 10 Minutes – Examples from Business and Student Support Resources Web Site 5 Minutes – Team Selections Announced 10 Minutes – Value and Costs of Working on Teams 15 Minutes – Initial Team Discussions 5 Minutes – Wrap Up and Preview of Upcoming Class Classroom Activities / Short Assignments: Once teams are announced, each team will gather and have an introductory discussion to get the ball rolling on building a favorable team dynamic and begin the topic selection process. Have students exchange contact information, schedules, etc. Give the student teams time to get the ball rolling towards their topic definition and aim towards the Scope of Project Brief assignment. There will be another, longer opportunity one week later during the project development workshop in Class 7. Multimedia Supplements: Web video links from prior team projects Cover slides from selected prior team projects Poster samples from prior semester Student Resources Web Portal to highlight additional sample projects Web video on high performing teams (link) © 2013 University of Notre Dame. All rights reserved. This document may not be duplicated, distributed or excerpted without the University’s advance written consent.