The New Rules of Saving For Your Future All information sources cited in this presentation are available upon request. Presented by: Martin H. Ruby, FSA Stonewood Financial Solutions 1985 vs. 2015 Meet Jim Things That Were Popular in 1985 Things That Are Popular in 2015 Savings Environment: 1985 vs. 2015 The Stock Market Start of the “Great Bull Market” with high interest rates “The Federal Reserve Bubble” with low interest rates High with Potential Looming Tax Hikes: Debt 102% of GDP Taxes High with Looming Tax Cuts: Debt 40% of GDP Health Care Costs 10.2% of GDP 18%+ of GDP Age 74.7 Age 79.1 Life Expectancy http://articles.latimes.com/1986-01-02/business/fi-23654_1_bull-market; http://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/85inintxr.pdf; https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/GFDEGDQ188S/; http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/09/18/health-care-spending_n_3948568.html; http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/09/18/health-care-spending_n_3948568.html; http://altarum.org/health-policy-blog/u-s-health-spending-as-ashare-of-gdp-where-are-we-headed; http://www.data360.org/dsg.aspx?Data_Set_Group_Id=195 1985: What We Thought Retirement Planning Would Be Retirement 2015: What We Know Retirement Planning To Be Retirement Risks Risks Buckets of Funds in Retirement Living Expenses (Base Income) • • • Pension 401(k)/ IRA Social Security Lifestyle Expenses (Additional Income) • • • • • 401(k) IRA CD Savings Annuities Savings Account Emergency Savings (Rainy Day Fund) • • Savings Account LTC Insurance Legacy Savings (Inheritance) • • • 401(k) Savings Account Life Insurance 1985 What worked: Putting your funds in the market. Earning meaningful returns on more secure vehicles http://articles.latimes.com/1986-01-02/business/fi-23654_1_bull-market Total Return of the Stock Market (including dividends) $280,000 $260,000 $186,428 4.2% average annual return $240,000 $220,000 $200,000 -1% average annual return $180,000 $160,000 13.69% 32.39% $140,000 16.00% $120,000 15.79% 5.49% 15.06% 2.11% $100,000 $80,000 10.88% -9.10% -11.89% $60,000 4.91% 26.46% 28.68% -37.00% -22.10% $40,000 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 Annual Total Return of the S&P 500 Data used to create this chart was obtained from: Yahoo Finance GSPC Historical Prices This example is for illustrative purposes only and should not be deemed a representation of future results, and is no guarantee of return or future performance. This information is not intended to provide any tax, legal or investment advice or provide the basis for any financial decision. Be sure to speak with a qualified professional before making any decisions about your personal situation. Low Interest Rates and Today’s Saver US 10-Year Treasury Rate 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2014 2015 US 10-Year Treasury Rate Source: U.S. Treasury – Treasury Yield Rates Data used to create this chart was obtained from: www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.asp This information is not intended to provide any tax, legal or investment advice or provide the basis for any financial decisions. Be sure to speak with qualified professionals before making any decisions about your personal situation. 2015 What works: Finding ways to achieve meaningful growth while also protecting funds from market fluctuations. 1985 What worked: Assuming you’d be in a lower tax bracket in the future. Not worrying about future tax burden This information is not intended to provide tax, legal or investment advice. Be sure to speak with qualified professionals before making any decisions about your personal situation. Taxation as You Accumulate Funds Taxable • • • • • • Stock accounts Brokerage accounts CDs Money Market Funds Savings Accounts Social Security Tax Deferred • • • • • 401(k)s 403(b)s Traditional IRAs Tax-deferred Annuities Savings Bonds Tax Free • • • • Roth 401(k)s Roth IRAs Life Insurance Municipal Bonds This information is not intended to provide tax, legal or investment advice. Be sure to speak with qualified professionals before making any decisions about your personal situation. Benefits of Your Tax Strategy Tax Status Benefits Drawbacks Taxable May be the only way to access the kind of assets you want You must pay taxes on your earnings every year Tax Deferred No annual taxes on earnings When funds are withdrawn, you must pay taxes on earnings, and in some cases on contributions, too Tax Free No taxes paid on earnings in the account You must use after-tax dollars to fund these assets This hypothetical example does not consider every product or feature of tax-deferred accounts and is for illustrative purposes only. It should not be deemed a representation of past or future results, and is no guarantee of return or future performance. This information is not intended to provide tax, legal or investment advice. Be sure to speak with qualified professionals before making any decisions about your personal situation. Are Taxes Going Up or Down? This information is not intended to provide tax, legal or investment advice. Be sure to speak with qualified professionals before making any decisions about your personal situation. Four Ways You Can End Up Paying More Taxes Than Planned Move Into a Higher Tax Bracket Raise All Tax Rates Lose Tax Deductions Enact “Stealth” Taxes This information is not intended to provide tax, legal or investment advice. Be sure to speak with qualified professionals before making any decisions about your personal situation. 2015 What works: Tax diversification Improving the tax status of each of your assets. 1985 What worked: Relying on Medicare and Social Security for your healthcare needs. Health Costs In Retirement 65 year old healthy couple’s total healthcare costs in retirement: $394,954 55 year old healthy couple’s total healthcare costs in retirement (starting age 65): $463,849 55-year old couple who lives TWO YEARS beyond average life expectancy = additional $57,353 2015 Retirement Health Care Cost Data Report, HealthView Insights, January 2015 Cutting Into Your Social Security Benefit Percent of Social Security Income being used for medical expenses: AGE 80 68% AGE 87 89% Assumptions: 66-year old couple with SSI primary insurance amount of $25,332. Future dollars based on 2% annual COLA Increase. Data obtained from 2015 Retirement Health Care Cost Data Report, HealthView Insights, January 2015 The Cost of Long-Term Care Average cost for assisted living facility: $32,400 a year Average cost for nursing home care: $67,525 a year Chance of a 70-year old couple needing long-term care: 80% https://www.genworth.com/corporate/about-genworth/industry-expertise/cost-of-care.html http://longtermcare.gov/the-basics/who-needs-care/ 2015 What works: Establishing additional resources for long-term care and medical costs. 1985 What worked: Planning to live 15 to 20 years in retirement Percentage of 65-year olds who will live to… 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% Male 40% Female 30% 20% 10% 0% 80 85 90 Data used to create this chart was sourced from: American Academy of Actuaries “Lifetime Income: Risks and Solutions,” Oct. 26, 2011. Based on 75% of Social Security Mortality in 2007. 95 Why It Matters 6.2 times your last working salary in savings 8.6 times your last working salary in savings https://www.fidelity.com/viewpoints/retirement/8X-retirement-savings 2015 What works: Planning to live 20 to 30 years in retirement New Savings Rules for 2015 Have a strategy to grow your funds AND protect them from market fluctuations Improve the tax status of your assets Establish additional funds to cover the medical cost of aging Have a strategy to make your funds last as long as you do Your Four Biggest Risks Market Risk Tax Risk Health Risk Lifespan Risk Are you concerned about these risks? Are you prepared to handle them? Accomplishing Your Goals There are financial strategies that can: Allow you to participate in good markets while protecting you for down markets Deliver additional funds for long-term care from savings assets Completely eliminate the risk of outliving your assets Improve the tax status of your funds Helping Jim Jim had at $50,000 CD but was frustrated it was earning very little. We created a strategy to help those funds: - Grow, with meaningful rates of return - Stay protected and secure - Offer additional funds for long-term care needs - Remain liquid should he need to access them Helping Ann Marie Anne Marie had a 401(k), but she wasn’t sure how to make it last throughout her retirement. We created a strategy to help those funds: - Deliver guaranteed income for as long as she lived - Continue growing - Potentially offer benefits for her spouse Helping Scott Scott was very concerned with his tax liability on his retirement savings. We created a strategy to help those funds: - Grow tax-free - Diversify his tax liability - Offer additional funds for long-term care needs This information is not intended to provide tax, legal or investment advice. Be sure to speak with qualified professionals before making any decisions about your personal situation. Complimentary No-Obligation Risk Review Analyze your current approach Identify areas of exposure or under performance Recommend areas for improvement Stonewood Financial Solutions (502) 588-7155 StonewoodFinancial.com All information sources cited in this presentation are available upon request. This presentation is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to provide legal, tax or investment advice. Be sure to consult a qualified professional about your individual situation. The presenter is licensed to sell insurance. By setting up a meeting with this advisor, you may be offered information about life insurance products..