13e Chapter 34: Transfer Payments: Welfare and Social Security McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Transfer Payments • A transfer payment is paid out by government to people who have been determined to be eligible to receive the payment. – Legislation is passed authorizing these payments. – There is no exchange of goods or services. 34-2 Transfer Payments • The principal recipients of transfer payments are the elderly (Social Security, for example) and the “poor” (welfare payments), although any government subsidy is a transfer payment. 34-3 Transfer Payments • A transfer payment has a built-in incentive for people to become eligible to receive it. It is the “get something for nothing” or “free ride” attitude. 34-4 Learning Objectives • 34-01. Know the major income transfer programs. • 34-02. Know how transfer programs affect labor supply and total output. • 34-03. Know the trade-offs between equity and efficiency. 34-5 Major Transfer Programs • Payments can be in cash or in-kind transfers. – Cash transfer: a direct cash payout. • Social Security and unemployment compensation. – In-kind transfer: a payout of goods and services. • Food stamps, Medicaid, housing subsidies. 34-6 Major Transfer Programs • Programs can be social insurance programs or welfare programs. – Social insurance programs are triggered by events. • Reaching a certain age makes one eligible for Social Security. • Being fired from a job makes one eligible for unemployment compensation. – Welfare programs are means-tested. For eligibility, a family has to prove it has too little income. 34-7 Unintended Consequences • Income transfers often change market behavior and outcomes in unintended ways. – If you get paid for not working, why work? – Income transfers are a disincentive to work. – If fewer people work, labor supply is reduced and total output could shrink. 34-8 Unintended Consequences • Income transfers often change market behavior and outcomes in unintended ways. – Nonwork behavior could be altered. – Welfare payments could encourage women to have more children. – Teens might become mothers to qualify for a welfare payment. – “Free” health care tends to be overused, congesting the waiting rooms of hospitals and doctors. 34-9 Welfare Programs • To identify potential recipients, the poverty threshold was defined, based on how much income is needed for families of different sizes to buy basic necessities. – For a family of four in 2010, the threshold was about $22,000 a year. – Thus a family of four earning $18,000 a year has a poverty gap of $4,000. 34-10 Welfare Programs • One way to “solve” the poverty problem would be to identify all who are eligible and provide a cash sum to eliminate every poverty gap. – Send $4,000 to the family previously mentioned. 34-11 Welfare Programs • Problems: • This provides a strong incentive to be poor. – You make $25,000 working? Quit and get $22,000 without working. • If you are already poor, does the welfare check change your work behavior? – You make $18,000 and get $4,000 in welfare. One of the family members can earn $2,000 by working. If she does, your welfare check drops to $2,000, and your total income is still $22,000. Should she take up this opportunity? 34-12 Welfare Programs • Can these work disincentives be eliminated (or reduced)? – To provide incentives to take on work, welfare payments would not bring the family up to the poverty threshold. – Another incentive is to not reduce welfare dollar for dollar, so added work increases family income. • In the example we just looked at, earn an extra $2,000 and lose $2,000 in welfare. That is the same as a 100% implicit marginal tax rate. 34-13 Welfare Programs • The basic dilemma: – Low implicit marginal tax rates encourage more work effort but make more people eligible for welfare. – High implicit marginal tax rates discourage work effort but make fewer people eligible for welfare. • Welfare costs can be minimized only if we sacrifice welfare eligibility or sacrifice work incentives. • One way to reduce welfare dependence is to limit the amount of time a family will be eligible for welfare. Time runs out? No more welfare payments. 34-14 Social Security • Age is the primary determinant of eligibility. • The formula to calculate Social Security benefits is skewed toward the low-income worker. – A higher-income worker will receive a larger number of dollars in benefits, but, after retirement, the ratio of payout between highand low-income workers will be smaller than when they were working. 34-15 Social Security • As you approach the age of eligibility for Social Security payments, you make a decision similar to a welfare recipient with a job opportunity: – Should I continue to work, or retire and collect Social Security? – Since the 1960s, the labor force participation rate for men over 65 has been reduced by half. 34-16 Social Security • This reveals a major cost of Social Security programs. – When workers retire early, there is a reduction in total output. – To reduce this cost, the practice of heavily taxing Social Security benefits of those who are eligible but still working could be eliminated. Then the cost of working goes down. 34-17