ELECTIONS AND VOTING 1 American Government: Ms. Kirk VOTING BEHAVIOR Conventional political participation (writing letter s to officials, political contributions, voting) Unconventional political participation (protests, boycotts, picketing—think Shays’ Rebellion and the Boston Tea Party) 2 WHO CAN VOTE? Voter Qualifications: “Vary state to state” 1789: Property Owning, White, Males 15th Amendment: African Americans “The right of citizens of the United States to vote shall not be denied or abridged by the United States or by any state on account of race, color, or previous condition of servitude.” (1870) 19th Amendment: Women’s Suffrage “The right of citizens of the United States to vote shall not be denied or abridged by the United States or by any state on account of sex.” (1920) 3 WHO CAN VOTE? 26th Amendment: 18 Year Olds “The right of citizens of the United States, who are 18 years of age or older, to vote, shall not be denied or abridged by the United States or any state on account of age.” (1971) Today: Everyone in each state can vote with a few exceptions. 4 WHO CAN VOTE? Legal Disenfranchisement (See 14th Amendment) Georgia: During probation, parole, incarceration 13 States: entire life Age Citizenship (Naturalized or otherwise) 5 TURNOUT So many people can vote- so why don’t they? (50-60% Presidential election, 30-40% midterm election, 30% or less special election) Who doesn’t vote? Less educated Low income Under 30 Minority groups (may be more income and educational level than race) Interest in politics 6 WHY DON’T THEY VOTE? 2004 -20% of registered non-voters were “too busy” Difficulty of registration (though it is becoming easier to register) Absentee voting is not easy Number of elections Voter attitudes Weakened political parties 7 HOW CAN WE INCREASE THE TURNOUT? Easier registration and absentee voting (some states allow people to register on election day) Another holiday! Election Day (but what if we just use it to sleep in?) Strengthen parties- Get out the vote! Fewer elections (But regular elections hold the government accountable) Mandatory voting Tax credit Weekend voting Week-long voting Internet voting 8 ELECTIONS IN THE US: THE BALLOT OR THE BULLET 9 POPULAR SOVEREIGNTY John Locke Hobbes Social contract theory THIS IS WHY WE HAVE ELECTIONS- popular election gives government legitimacy- political power derived from the consent of the governed Election winners claim a MANDATE from the people (the ELECTORATE) to carry out their platform 10 TYPES OF ELECTIONS: PRIMARIES VOTERS DECIDE WHICH CANDIDATE WITHIN A PARTY WILL REPRESENT THE PARTY IN THE GENERAL ELECTION Closed primary (only party’s registered voters are eligible to vote) Open primary (party members, independents, and sometimes members of the other party can vote) Crossover voting- participation in the primary of a party with which the voter is not affiliated Raiding- organized efforts of the other party to influence the winner of the primary 11 PRIMARIES CONTINUED Runoff primary- A second primary election btwn the two candidates receiving the most votes in the first primary 12 GENERAL ELECTIONS Voters decide which candidates will fill the nation’s elective public offices General elections are between candidates of opposing parties 13 BALLOT MEASURES Initiatives—allows citizens to propose legislation or state constitutional amendments by submitting them directly to the electorate for popular vote (Georgia does not have this) Referendum- An election where the state legislature submits proposed legislation to the state’s voters for approval (effectively gives voters veto power) (all states have this) Recall- an election in which voters can remove an incumbent from office by popular vote (Georgia does have this) 14 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS Presidential candidates determined at party conventions State party organizers determine which delegates go to the conventions to determine who will run in the general election 15 WINNER TAKE ALL PRIMARY Republicans frequently use it- Democrats do not Candidate who wins the most votes gets all delegates to go to the primary 16 PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION PRIMARY Delegates awarded in proportion to the number of popular votes won Makes it harder for one candidate to get a majority of the delegates Democrats use it frequently 17 CAUCUS The electorate does not vote Party members determine which delegates go to the national convention Today, most states use primaries rather than caucuses 18 PREDICTIONS FOR 2012 GEORGIA PRIMARY Tuesday 7 February 2012 (tentative date): All 75 of Georgia's delegates to the Republican National Convention are allocated to presidential contenders in today's Georgia Presidential Primary. 42 district delegates are to be allocated to presidential contenders based on the primary results in each of the 14 congressional districts: each congressional district is assigned 3(?) National Convention delegates and the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in that district will receive all 3 of that district's National Convention delegates. 30 at-large delegates (10 base at-large delegates plus 20 bonus delegates) are to be allocated to the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in the primary statewide. In addition, 3 party leaders, the National Committeeman, the National Committeewoman, and the chairman of the Georgia's Republican Party will, by virtue of their position, attend the convention as delegates pledged to the presidential contender receiving the greatest number of votes in the primary statewide. Reference: Rules of the Georgia Republican Party. 7.4 A, 7.4 C. Georgia Code § 21-2-193 requires the Executive Committee of both state parties to submit a list of candidates to appear on the presidential ballot. 19 PRIMARY DATES New Hampshire has the first primary (conservative state) Iowa has the first caucuses Do they have more influence on election outcomes? Media coverage, higher voter turnout Front loading- Tendency of states to choose an early date on the primary calendar- dates get earlier and earlier every year 20 PARTY CONVENTIONS Held in the summer of presidential election years Presidential nominees announced Not as important as they once were 21 THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE Electors equal to number of representation in the House and Senate 435 House + 100 Senate + 3 District of Columbia 538 electoral votes total Possible for candidate to win popular vote but lose election (only 4 times in history) Has changed since Framers first designed it Originally, candidate with most votes was President. Second most, Vice President 22 12TH AMENDMENT President and Vice President elected in separate elections 23 24 25 SHOULD WE CHANGE OR ABOLISH THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE? Through constitutional amendment (change to popular vote) OR the group National Popular Vote is attempting to convince states to give all of their electoral votes to the candidate winning the popular vote OR Congressional District Plan (like Nebraska and Maine) 26 CONGRESSIONAL ELECTIONS Census Apportionment 435 members of Congress (1911) 1:647,000 people (2000 Census) Redistricting (population shifts) Lines drawn by state legislatures Must be apportioned on basis of population (Constitution) District lines must be contiguous Voting rights Act of 1965- purposeful gerrymandering of a congressional district to dilute minority strength is illegal 27 28 VOTING DISTRICTS Malapportionment (refusal to redistrict) Baker v. Carr (1962), urbanization Wesberry v. Sanders (1964), “one man one vote” Gerrymandering (manipulating district lines by the majority party) Elbridge Gerry and the salamander Political or judicial question? (Conservative Supreme Courts usually say it is political) 29 ILLINOIS 17TH DISTRICT 2006 30 31 32 The unusual "earmuff" shape of the 4th Congressional District of Illinois connects two Hispanic neighborhoods while remaining 33 narrowly tracing Interstate 294. INCUMBENTS HAVE ADVANTAGES Staff support Media and Travel (recognition) The “Scare-off Effect” Party protection through redistricting 34 BUT SOMETIMES LOSE… Redistricting (can sometimes punish incumbents in out-of-power parties) Scandals Presidential coattails Midterm elections (Your party messed upnow get out!) 35 WHY DO PEOPLE CHOOSE A PARTICULAR CANDIDATE? Issues and Ideology Candidate Appearance/Personality “style vs. substance” Name Recognition Race and Ethnicity Income level Gender Partisanship Coattail Effect “lack of coattail” Incumbency 36 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION Republican Candidates Herman Cain (Former Godfather Pizza CEO, Navy mathematician, known for business sense rather than as a politician) Mitt Romney (former MA governor, CEO, Harvard Law grad) Rick Perry (Governor of Texas, former Air Force Pilot) Michele Bachmann (Member of the House from MN, business owner) Ron Paul (Member of House from TX, former Air Force Flight surgeon) Rick Santorum (former Senator, attorney) Newt Gingrich (former House member from Georgia, former Speaker of the House, political analyst) Mike Huckabee (former Governor of Arkansas, author, and minister) Mitch Daniels (Governor of Indiana, businessman) 37 STRAW POLL WINNERS 38