Regional Perspective
Martin Eran-Tasker
Technical Director
Association of Asia Pacific Airlines
Singapore Aviation Academy
29 – 30 August 2013
Overview
• AAPA Global mobility
• Asia Pacific Aviation
• Business conditions
• Growing demand
• Info share
• Closing thoughts
AAPA Association of Asia Pacific Airlines
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Regional trade association
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Open to all scheduled international
airlines based in Asia Pacific region
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Committed to promoting sustainable
growth of the aviation industry serving
both passenger and freight needs
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Permanent secretariat headquartered in
Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
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Representation in Washington and
Brussels
Members include major international
airlines based in Asia Pacific
• Flight Operations Safety WG
• Cabin Safety WG
Serving the community and
always open to new members
Aviation: moving the world
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Air travel delivers global mobility
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2,900 million passengers
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Carries 35% by value of global trade
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Wider social and economic benefits
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Outstanding safety record
Source: ATAG
Asia Pacific
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Diverse geographic region
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Political diversity remains challenging: need for
multilateral cooperation
Home to more than 4 billion people
62% of the world’s population
Generates 30% of global GDP
Wide range of income levels
Dynamic economies delivering global growth
Aviation widely recognised as a key contributor
to economic and social development
Asia Pacific Aviation
US$175 billion revenue
US$5.2 billion net profit
705 million passengers
493 million domestic
212 million international
16 million tonnes of cargo
> 5000 aircraft
Asia Pacific carriers overall market share:
25% of global passenger traffic
40% of global cargo traffic
Data: Financials & Traffic: 2012 Estimates
Source: Combined AAPA + non-AAPA airlines GMT+7 to GMT+12
Growing demand
Aspirational Demand for Air Travel
Trips per
capita
Rising incomes, urbanisation,
social development
GDP per capita US$
The growing middle class
Source: Airbus
Asia Pacific traffic will grow significantly
World Traffic by airline domicile (RPK billions)
Source: Airbus
GMF2012-2031
Asia Pacific fleet expansion
2011 airplanes
Asia Pacific
2012 - 2031 new airplanes
North America
Europe
Latin America
Middle East
CIS
Africa
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Source: Boeing
CMO 2012 - 2031
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000
Info Share
ICAO ASPAC Region
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40 Contracting States and Administrations
1,207 commercial airports
359 airlines
5,090 aircraft in service representing 25% of Global fleet
• Projected to almost triple by 2032
• 40 air navigation service providers
• Air transport supports 6.1 million jobs
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Aviation Safety high priority
Going forward maintaining status quo can only result in
increasing the number of accidents and major incidents
US Commercial Aviation Safety Team (CAST)
• In 1998 CAST committed to the goal to reduce the commercial
aviation fatality rate in the USA by 80% by 2008.
• In 2008 CAST reported it had reduced the fatality rate by 83%
• CAST success the result of the voluntary collaboration between
the FAA and Industry by examining past accident data and
developing and implementing Safety Enhancements (SE)
• CAST approach now is to be proactive and focus on examining
emerging and changing risks to identify prevention strategies
based on the analysis from incident data
• Greater emphasis on acquiring, sharing and analyzing aviation
safety data (FOQA) on a voluntary basis
• CAST now committed to the goal of 50% from 2010 to 2025 and
working with other government and industry partners
Regional activities - COSCAP
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Formed under the umbrella of ICAO’s Technical Co-operation
Programme (TCP)
Primary purpose to enhance flight safety in the region
Ongoing effort to improve aviation safety in Asia through
• Needs assessment
• Supporting the establishment of a national safety
framework
• Sharing of safety practices
• Provision of technical assistance and training for capacity
building
• Implementation of safety enhancement initiatives
Regional activities – ICAO APAC RASG/ RAST
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RASG grouping of the regions regulators
Established to address and implement regionally the Global
Aviation Safety Plan / Global Aviation Safety Roadmap
(GASP/GASR).
Focus on ICAO priorities Runway safety, CFIT, LOC
RAST joint regulator/ industry forum developing safety
enhancements to address ICAO priorities
Focus on the sharing of data and best practices
AAPA FOSWG &CaSWG
• Regional industry safety forum open to Asia Pacific International
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airlines (2X per year)
Data management and analysis
Benchmark airline safety performance
Support capacity building within the region
Promote the sharing of safety data and best practices
Promote the sharing and implementation of best practices to
enhance regional safety
Data driven safety priorities: Wild life hazards, Infrastructure
deficiencies, runway safety, CFIT, LOC, safety outreach efforts
Airline safety compliance approach
• Implemented safety, data management and reporting systems
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to be in compliance with national regulatory requirements that
are based on ICAO Annexes (1,6,8,11,13, 14 and now 19)
Reports safety in accordance with national requirements
Tendency towards a reactive approach
Limited data sharing
Reactive response to incidents
SMS requires a proactive/ interactive approach to addressing
accident/ incidents
Identifying and understanding the main hazards and risks to
the airline operation a challenge
You cannot fix what you cannot measure
• Safety solutions cannot be fixed in isolation or by directive
• It requires the regions regulators and industry to collaborate
and cooperate at national and regional level by:
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Gathering and analysing all types of safety data
Sharing safety data and the information gained from the analysis
Sharing of best practices, data analysis tools and techniques, data
management
• Being data rich is not enough if it lacks direction, clear
objectives and targets
• Assurance of data protection at national and regional level to
avoid misuse
• Data protection critical, requires regional and global
partnerships to realize an effective integrated safety
management system.
Challenges
• Asia Pacific diverse region has varying levels of capability and
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capacity among regulators and airlines
Joint regulatory and industry consultations/ activities not the
norm, although slowly changing
Building “trust” between involved parties (government,
regulator, airport, ANSP, airlines, senior management,
politicians, unions and the travelling)
Agreeing on common models and methodologies, and criteria
for reporting and benchmarking
Identifying an acceptable (independent) gatekeeper
Requires long term investment and commitment in resources
Overcoming, working with the Legal system
Closing Thoughts
• Aviation is a key part of everyday modern life and drives global
economic and social development
• Aviation has an outstanding safety record
• To realize an effective integrated safety management system
requires partnerships based on cooperation and collaboration
• Regional safety needs to be inclusive and requires regional
thinking and regional solutions
• Effective safety management is “data driven”
• Safety outcome is key
Have the confidence and optimism to
share data and best practice in the future
www.aapairlines.org
Association of Asia Pacific Airlines
Unit 27-1, Level 27, Menara Prestige
1 Jalan Pinang
50450 Kuala Lumpur
MALAYSIA
Tel: +60 3 2162 1888
Fax: +60 3 2162 6888