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Today – South Asia

Green Revolution: positive or negative

Natural resources & industry

© T. M. Whitmore

Last time – Questions?

Agriculture & cattle

Green Revolution

Consequences of Green

Revolution

© T. M. Whitmore

South Asia & GR

Per hectare productivity up

 Yet still below world’s best

Poor performance due to

 Uncertain Monsoon and lack too little irrigation

Tenure uneven

 Most small holders are too poor =>

 Cannot afford inputs

But, since late 1960s S Asia has been able to feed itself – but for how long?

© T. M. Whitmore

Globally, Problems & Successes

– critics and advocates

Successes

 Improved productivity

2-3 times as much per hectare

 Far lower prices for main grain crops world wide

 Lower rates of extensification world wide

 Vastly increased food production

 Lower proportions of hunger

and lower absolute numbers

 But regionally variable

© T. M. Whitmore

Yields Are Up, But Growth is Slowing

5

4

3

2

1

0

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980

Wheat Yield Rice Yield

World Resources Institute

1985 1990 1995

Maize Yield

2000

Problems with the GR technology

• Chemical pollution

 Runoff can enter water tables and poison local water sources

 Individual farmers often have very little knowledge of risks using pesticides especially — thus compromising their health

© T. M. Whitmore

Problems with GR technology II

• Soil damage

 Chemicals, especial herbicides and other organic killers, can also kill micro organisms within the soils

 Very “tight” spacing of crops in the field lead to large demands on the soils for nutrients

 Tight spacing and mechanization can lead to soil compaction

 Erosion & salinization

© T. M. Whitmore

Other Problems

• Uneven geographic and cropspecific impacts

 Little improvement in pulses and root crops

 Little improvement in dryland crops - mostly un-irrigated

(barley, millets, and sorghums)

• Regionally uneven

• Recent increases due to increase in fertilizer use not seeds per se

© T. M. Whitmore

Problems continued

• Impacts on large and small holders

 Difficult for poor to afford the

“package”

 Benefits of improved output mostly to the already relatively better off

• Other criticisms

 Genetic loss

 Petroleum dependence (fertilizer)

 Dependence on irrigation

 Does not “solve” the food problem

Natural Resources & Industry

• India dominant for resources and industry

• Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and Pakistan new centers for low-tech assembly

(maquiladora type labor)

• Indian natural resources:

 Iron; coal

 Little petroleum

© T. M. Whitmore

Industry & Economic Development

• Industrial development & British colonial legacy

• New “back office” and hi-tech developments

• Maquiladora-type, export led developments

• Micro-credit :

 Muhammad Yunus & Grameen Bank

Awarded The Nobel Peace Prize for

2006 www.grameen-info.org/

 Also see www.kiva.org

© T. M. Whitmore

Locales of industrial development

• Pakistan: Lahlore

• Bangladesh: Dhaka

• India

 Old colonial cities

 Mumbai/Bombay; Delhi – light industry & finance

 Calcutta & W Bengal – heavy industry

 New “Silicon plateau” Bangalore-

Madras

© T. M. Whitmore

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