By Loren Miller THE PRESIDENCY “No man will ever bring out of the Presidency the reputation which carries him into it. To myself, personally, it brings nothing but increasing drudgery and daily loss of friends.” Thomas Jefferson THE PRESIDENCY “As to the presidency, the two happiest days of my life were those of my entrance upon the office and my surrender of it.” Martin Van Buren THE PRESIDENCY “After the White House what is there to do but drink!” Franklin Pierce THE PRESIDENCY After Vice President Truman heard about the death of Franklin D. Roosevelt, he said to a small collection of reporters: “Boys, if you ever pray, pray for me now.” THE PRESIDENCY “All the president is, is a glorified public relations man who spends his time flattering, kissing, and kicking people to get them to do what they are supposed to do anyway.” Harry Truman EVOLUTION OF THE PRESIDENCY Chief Clerk: 1789-1836 • Presidents perform administrative duties that Congress requests. • • Government is best that governs the least. Presidents focused their attention on foreign affairs while Congress focused on domestic matters. • Madison found himself unable to fund the War of 1812 and unable to raise an army. • The Monroe Doctrine • Congress forged key compromises on slavery and paid of most of the national debt. • Andrew Jackson, an outsider, grabs the reins of government and remakes the presidency. • Forced out Cabinet members who disagreed with him. • Introduced the spoils system. EVOLUTION OF THE PRESIDENCY Weakened Presidency: 1837-1900 • Andrew Jackson’s popularity and energetic personality raised the profile of the office. However, those who followed Jackson (with some exceptions) reverted back to “chief clerk.” Exceptions include: • • • James Polk: westward expansion; used his power as commander in chief to instigate war with Mexico; acquired California, Arizona and Oregon Territory. Abraham Lincoln: blockaded southern ports; suspended the writ of habeas corpus; spent money without Congressional approval; raised an army without Congressional approval. Abraham Lincoln reinterpreted Article II into a source of executive authority during emergencies. EVOLUTION OF THE PRESIDENCY The Modern Presidency: 1901-1945 • As the United States industrialized and became a significant player in an interconnected world, the power of the presidency grew accordingly. • Theodore Roosevelt used the office as a “bully pulpit.” He wanted to be “the bride at every wedding and the corpse at every funeral.” • Bold assertions of presidential power: The Stewardship Theory • • • • • Breaks up corporate monopolies Initiates a Panamanian revolution Wins a Nobel Peace Prize (mediating Japan/Russia) settlement Sends fleet around the world First president to travel to a foreign country EVOLUTION OF THE PRESIDENCY The Modern Presidency: 1901-1945 • Woodrow Wilson achieved some significant successes and suffered some great failures. • Achieved industrial reforms • Led the United States into World War I • Led efforts to create a League of Nations • Franklin D. Roosevelt and the New Deal • • • • • • Permanent bureaucracies Social Security and unemployment insurance Use of the media to communicate directly with the public—fireside chats Lend-Lease Program prior to U.S. involvement in WWII (without consent of Congress) Gave Britain 50 destroyers in exchange for rights to build military based on British territory (without consent of Congress) The national government became the focus of power EVOLUTION OF THE PRESIDENCY Imperial Presidency Under Attack: 1945-1980 • By the end of World War II, the presidency had become a very powerful office and emphasis on the “cold war” in the 1950s and 1960s added to the president’s power. • • • The Truman Doctrine Sending troops to Vietnam Watergate, Richard Nixon’s resignation and Jimmy Carter’s inability to resolve the Iranian hostage situation frustrated the public and the presidency came under increasing attacks from Congress. EVOLUTION OF THE PRESIDENCY The Contemporary Presidency: 1980- • Following the Vietnam War and Watergate, the powers of the modern presidency has been diminished as the resources for presidential power fall short of the tasks he is expected to perform - divided government became the norm - a high national debt and budget deficits limited the expansion of federal programs • What is required to succeed on the campaign trail is different from what is needed to handle the global demands of a modern president. LEGAL REQUIREMENTS FOR PRESIDENT • at least 35 years of age • have lived in the United States 14 years • be a natural born citizen of the United States PRESIDENTIAL TRIVIA • • • • • • • Only divorced president: Reagan Only bachelor president: Buchanan Shortest Term: Harrison (1 month) Largest President: Taft (350 pounds) Smallest President: Madison (95 pounds) Youngest President: Roosevelt (42) Oldest President: Reagan (77) INFORMAL CRITERIA FOR PRESIDENT • Political Experience • 1868-1956 gubernatorial experience preferred • 1960-1972 senatorial experience preferred • 1972 to the present ??????? • Vice-president?? THE VICE PRESIDENCY If Washington is called “Mr. President,” then you need to call me “Your superfluous excellency.” John Adams, our first Vice President “[The Vice Presidency] is the most insignificant office that ever the invention of man contrived or his imagination conceived.” John Adams THE VICE PRESIDENCY “The Vice Presidency isn’t worth a warm bucket of piss.” John Nance Garner, one of FDR’s Vice Presidents “I do not propose to be buried until I am really dead.” Daniel Webster, on not accepting the Vice Presidency THE VICE PRESIDENCY “A little over a week ago, I took a rather unusual step for a vice president . . . I said something.” Spiro Agnew, Vice President under Richard Nixon “Look at all the Vice Presidents in history. Where are they? They were about as useful as a cow’s fifth teat.” Harry S Truman, one of FDR’s Vice Presidents THE VICE PRESIDENCY “Once the election is over, the Vice President’s usefulness is over. He’s like the second stage of a rocket. He’s damn important going into orbit, but he’s always thrown off to burn up in the atmosphere.” An aide to Vice President Hubert Humphrey “The Job of the Vice President is to go to weddings and funerals.” Harry S Truman THE VICE PRESIDENCY “The person with the best job in the country is the Vice President . . . . All he has to do is get up in the morning and say, “How’s the President?’” Will Rogers THE VICE PRESIDENCY Possibly our worst Vice President was Thomas Marshall (Wilson’s VP) “As vice president, I am responsible for nothing and influential nowhere” “My job is like a monkey cage– except that visitors do not offer me peanuts” In his inaugural address he promised to “acknowledge the insignificant influence of the office” He once told a bodyguard that “his job was pointless as no one every shoots a Vice President” INFORMAL CRITERIA FOR PRESIDENT • • Vice-president?? VPs who became President by election: 1800s – Adams, Jefferson, Van Buren 1900s – T. Roosevelt, Coolidge, Truman, Nixon, Johnson, Bush Military Hero?? INFORMAL CRITERIA FOR PRESIDENT • Executive Ability • • the ability to hire good people Ideology • middle of the road INFORMAL CRITERIA FOR PRESIDENT • Physical Stamina • Mental Stability • Knowledge of the Issues • Nominated by one of the two major parties PRESIDENTIAL OATH “I _____ do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will faithfully execute the office of President of the United States, and will to the best of my ability, preserve, protect, and defend the Constitution of the United States.” -- Washington added “So help me God” and others followed this tradition -- Why do presidents have the choice of “swear or affirm” -- So Quakers could run for the office -- Only Franklin Pierce (1853) “affirmed” OATH OF OFFICE Germany: “Promote the general welfare” and “protect the people from harm.” Philippines: “Do justice to every man.” Taiwan: “Safeguard the security of the State,” Ukraine: “Enhance the prestige of Ukraine in the world.” Iran: “Follow the example of the Prophet of Islam.” Mexico: “Look for the good and prosperity of the union.” THE JOB OF PRESIDENT Act as Commander in Chief Negotiate Treaties Receive Foreign Ambassadors Nominate Top Federal Officials Veto Bills Faithfully Administer Federal Laws Pardon Persons for Federal Offenses Address Congress and the Nation WHAT WE LOOK FOR 1995 2005 Sound Judgment 76% 76% High Ethical Standards 67% 67% Compassion 64% 63% Saying What One Believes 59% 56% Consistent Positions 51% 52% Forcefulness and Decisiveness 50% 49% Willingness to Compromise 34% 38% Experience in Public Office 30% 37% Political Savvy 31% 36% THE BEST & WORST THE BEST THE WORST 1. Abraham Lincoln 1. James Buchanan 2. Franklin D. Roosevelt 2. Franklin Pearce 3. George Washington 3. Warren Harding 4. Theodore Roosevelt 4. William Henry Harrison 5. Thomas Jefferson 5. Andrew Johnson 6. Harry Truman 6. George W. Bush 7. Woodrow Wilson 7. Millard Fillmore 8. Dwight D. Eisenhower 8. John Tyler 9. John F. Kennedy 9. Herbert Hoover 10. Ronald Reagan 10. Benjamin Harrison 2014 GREAT PRESIDENTS ARE: • Blessed with a great crisis • Resolve the crisis in an innovative and creative way • Leave a legacy CONCEPTS OF PRESIDENTIAL POWER • Narrow (Whig Model)-- presidential power is limited to the specific grants of power enumerated in the Constitution • • Pre-TR and Taft, Harding and Coolidge Broad (Stewardship Model) -- presidential power is greater than what is enumerated in the Constitution • the role of precedent PRESIDENTIAL CHARACTER • What should we look for in a president? • • James David Barber, Duke University Presidential Character is the “way a President orients himself toward life.” • Developed mainly during childhood • Self-esteem underlies character. • The better people feel about themselves, the more likely they will be able to accept criticism, think rationally, and learn on the job. PRESIDENTIAL CHARACTER • Based on two dimensions • 1. The amount of energy a person puts into being president • active or passive • Plays the roles of being president aggressively • Rarely plays the roles of being president aggressively except during crisis • 2. How a person feels about being president • positive or negative • Enjoys the job of being president; flexible • Unhappy in the job; anxious; a sense of duty PRESIDENTIAL CHARACTER Positive Active Passive Negative ADAPTIVE: self-confident; COMPULSIVE: power as a flexible; creates opportunities means to self-realization; for action; enjoys the exercise expends great energy on tasks of power, does not take but derives little joy; himself too seriously; preoccupied with whether he optimistic; emphasizes the is failing or succeeding; low "rational mastery" of his self-esteem; inclined to environment; power used as rigidity and pessimism; highly a means to achieve beneficial driven; problem managing results. aggression. COMPLIANT: seek to be loved; WITHDRAWN: responds to a easily manipulated; low self- sense of duty; avoid power; esteem is overcome by low self-esteem compensated ingratiating personality; by service to others; responds reacts rather than initiates; rather than initiates; avoids superficially optimistic. conflict and uncertainty. emphasizes principles and procedures and an aversion to politicking. PRESIDENTIAL CHARACTER Active-Positive Active-Negative Thomas Jefferson Franklin D. Roosevelt Harry S Truman John F. Kennedy Bill Clinton George W. Bush (?) James K. Polk Abraham Lincoln Woodrow Wilson Herbert Hoover Lyndon B. Johnson Jimmy Carter Richard Nixon Passive-Positive Passive-Negative William Howard Taft Warren G. Harding Ronald Reagan George H.W. Bush Calvin Coolidge Dwight D. Eisenhower PRESIDENTIAL STYLE PRESIDENTIAL ROLES LEGISLATIVE LEADER COMMANDER IN CHIEF PARTY LEADER CHIEF DIPLOMAT PUBLIC LEADER DOMESTIC PROVISIONS Constitutional Powers LEGISLATIVE LEADER • When does Congress follow the lead of the president? • The Honeymoon Period • International Crisis NOTHING LIKE A GOOD CRISIS ! President Truman Eisenhower Kennedy Johnson Nixon Carter Bush Clinton Bush Event Korea Invaded Egypt Seizes Suez Canal Cuban Missile Crisis Bombing Halt of N. Vietnam Vietnam Peace Agreement Hostages Seized in Iran Iraq Invasion of Kuwait Invasion of Haiti September 11th Increase in Approval 9 7 13 14 16 28 20 5 38 LEGISLATIVE LEADER • When does Congress follow the lead of the president? • The Honeymoon Period • International Crisis • Luck • Commanding majority in Congress LEGISLATIVE LEADER • When does Congress follow the lead of the president? • The Honeymoon Period • International Crisis • Luck • Commanding majority in Congress • Skilled at manipulation (LBJ Treatment) Presidents Under Unified Government Kennedy,… Johnson, 64-68 Carter, 77-78 Clinton, 93-94 Bush, 01-06 Obama, 09-10 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Presidents Under Divided Government Ford, 74-76 Reagan, 81-8 Bush, 89-92 Clinton, 95-0 Bush, 07-8 Obama, 11-13 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 APPROVAL RATINGS 70 60 50 40 TRUMAN 30 20 10 0 1946 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952 1953 APPROVAL RATINGS 72 70 68 66 64 62 60 58 56 54 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 EISENHOWER APPROVAL RATINGS 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1961 JOHNSON KENNEDY 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 APPROVAL RATINGS 90 80 70 60 50 NIXON 40 30 20 10 0 1969 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 APPROVAL RATINGS 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1975 CARTER FORD 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 90 APPROVAL RATINGS 80 70 60 50 REAGAN 40 30 20 10 0 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 90 APPROVAL RATINGS 80 70 60 50 CLINTON 40 BUSH 30 20 10 0 90 APPROVAL RATINGS 80 70 60 50 BUSH 40 30 20 10 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 70 APPROVAL RATINGS 60 50 40 30 OBAMA 20 10 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Approval Ratings Truman Eisenhower Kennedy Johnson Nixon Ford Carter Reagan H.W. Bush Clinton G.W. Bush Obama Average High Low 45 65 70 55 49 47 45 53 61 55 49 49 87 79 83 79 67 71 75 68 89 73 90 69 23 48 56 35 24 37 28 35 29 27 25 38 2012 Why Approval Ratings Go Down Over Time • • • • Expectations rise in campaigns and are dashed as time limits resources Things get blamed, rightly or wrongly, on the president Major negative events influence how people evaluate presidents Press and media criticism accumulate over time The Buck Stops at the Top PRESIDENTIAL AGENDA 20 New Requests to Congress 15 10 5 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 VETO POWER • • Threat of a Veto Line Item Veto • Only on money bills • Supreme Court declared this unconstitutional in 1997 Do Presidents Veto Many Bills? PRESIDENTIAL VETOES AND OVERRIDES President Years in Office # of Vetoes # of Overrides Roosevelt 13 635 9 Truman 7 250 12 Eisenhower 8 181 2 Kennedy 3 21 0 Johnson 5 30 0 Nixon 6 43 7 PRESIDENTIAL VETOES AND OVERRIDES President Years in Office # of Vetoes # of Overrides Ford 3 66 12 Carter 4 31 2 Reagan 8 78 9 Bush 4 44 1 Clinton 8 37 2 PRESIDENTIAL VETOES AND OVERRIDES President Years in Office # of Vetoes # of Overrides Bush 8 12 1 Obama 6 2 0 Only one two term president did not veto a single bill . . . . Who was he? SIGNING STATEMENTS AND EXECUTIVE ORDERS • Signing Statement (do not have the force of law) • When the president signs a bill into law, he may attach a statement which indicates how the executive branch wants the bureaucracy to interpret the law. • • Most often rhetorical but sometimes contrary to congressional intent Executive Order (they have the force of law but can be overturned by subsequent administrations Proclamation – ceremonial • National Security Directive and Presidential Decision Directive – deal with national security and defense matters • • • Emancipation Proclamation Integration of the Armed Forces Signing Statements President Johnson Nixon Ford Carter Reagan Bush Clinton Bush Obama (2012) Total 175 117 137 227 250 228 381 162 23 % with Constitutional Objections 2.9% 3.4% 3.6% 5.7% 34.4% 46.9% 18.4% 72.8% 47.8% # of Executive Orders Per Year OPEN & CLOSED POLITICS Open • State of the Union Message • Special Message • Veto Power • Press Conferences Closed • Personal Contact • Patronage • Pork Barrel Presidential power is the power to persuade State of the Union “The president shall from time to time give to the Congress information on the State of the Union . . . . Article II, Section 3, Clause 1 1790-1934: Known as the “Annual Message” 1st Radio Broadcast: Coolidge, 1923 1st Television Message: Truman, 1947 The Longest: Taft, 1910 (27,651 words) The Shortest: Washington, 1790 (1,089 words) PRESIDENTIAL SPEECHES In Thousands PRESS CONFERENCES COMMANDER IN CHIEF • Lincolnian View -- an expansive view of presidential authority • Wilsonian-FDR View -- an executivelegislative partnership in war leadership; statutes passed giving broad powers to the president COMMANDER IN CHIEF • The president is the ultimate decision maker in military matters Truman’s decision to drop the atomic bomb • Nixon’s invasion of Cambodia • Reagan sent troops to Lebanon and to Grenada • Clinton sent troops to Haiti and to Bosnia • Obama sent special forces to Pakistan to assassinate Osama bin Laden • PARTY LEADER • The President is deprived of the advantage of a strong party organization that other heads of government enjoy • • Federalism has led to fragmentation where we have 50 separate and autonomous state organizations Therefore, Presidents are heavily dependent on their own personal skills State Party Committees County Party Committees Municipal Party Committees Precinct Party Committees Private Clubs and Organizations CHIEF DIPLOMAT • The Two Presidencies Thesis • Receive Ambassadors • Summit Conferences CHIEF DIPLOMAT • Treaties and Executive Agreements • Emergency Powers to be used during time of crisis (Inherent Powers) • Lincoln suspended civil liberties at the start of the Civil War • Lincoln called state militias into national service • Truman seized the steel mills during the Korean War to prevent a strike (overturned by the Supreme Court) DOMESTIC PROVISIONS • . . . he shall take care that the laws be faithfully executed . . . . (Art. II, sec. 3) • Inherent Executive Powers • Presidents have assumed “inherent powers” (not specifically mentioned in the Constitution). Jefferson’s purchase of Louisiana • Bush’s suspension of civil liberties of foreign nationals held in military prison at Guantanamo Bay • DOMESTIC PROVISIONS • . . . and he shall have power to grant reprieves and pardons for offenses against the United States, except in cases of impeachment. (Art. II, sec. 2) -- amnesty (blanket pardon) -- Andrew Johnson gave amnesty to all former Confederate soldiers -- Jimmy Carter gave amnesty to Vietnam era draft resisters PRESIDENTIAL PARDONS • Can a pardon be rejected? -- if you accept a pardon that is an admission of guilt When does a president give most of their pardons? PRESIDENTIAL PARDONS Per Year PUBLIC LEADER With public sentiment, nothing can fail; without it nothing can succeed.” Abraham Lincoln • Presidents are news . . . Even when they do nothing • Presidents keep their eyes on public opinion polls • Trial Balloon IS IT TOO MUCH FOR ONE PERSON? • • • The responsibilities are awesome There is no “vacation” The remuneration is poor IS IT TOO MUCH FOR ONE PERSON? • The president fulfills two roles that, in other nations, are performed by two different people • Head of Government • Chief of State “The office of President is such a bastardized thing, half royalty and half democracy, that nobody knows whether to genuflect or spit.” Jimmy Breslin