Overview of Comparative Economics Chapter I How do we compare economies? 1 Criteria for Classifying Economies How do we classify economies? 2 Institutional Mechanisms Allocation Mechanisms Forms of Ownership Role of Planning Types of Incentives The method of Income Redistribution and Social Safety Nets Role of Politics and Ideology 3 I. Allocation Mechanisms What good and services are produced? How goods and services are produced? For whom goods and services are produced? Production → allocating factor inputs Distribution → allocating produced goods and service Three basic kinds of allocation mechanisms: 1. Traditional Economy 2. Market Economy 3. Command Economy 4 II. Forms of Ownership Who owns the means of production? In capitalist economies, land and produced means of production (capital stock) are owned by private individuals or private firms (Market Capitalism) In socialist economies the state owns the land and the capital stock (Command Socialism) 5 II. Other Forms of Ownership Intermediate forms of ownership (like cooperatives or worker ownership) Under socialism: central government vs local government ownership Religious groups’ ownership 6 II. Forms of Ownership Market Capitalism vs Command Socialism United States vs Soviet Union ALSO Market Socialism vs Command Capitalism Yugoslavia and China vs Nazi Germany 7 III. Role of Planning Centrally planned economy → planners’ preferences dominate allocative decisionmaking Market economy → consumers’ sovereignty dominates allocative decision-making 8 III. Role of Planning Centrally planned economy is usually correlated with command socialism (Soviet Union, there are exceptions –command without planning → Soviet Russia during 1910s and 1920s) Market economy is usually correlated with market capitalism (there are exceptions—indicative planning → France and Japan) 9 IV. Types of Incentives Material Incentives → paying people according to their productivity (their marginal product that maximizes profits for competitive firms hiring labor in such a system) Under capitalism → takes the form of rewards for entrepreneurship and capital investment as economic profits Moral Incentives → trying to motivate workers by appealing to some higher collective goal 10 V. Income Redistribution and Social Safety Nets Social Market Economies (or some advanced capitalist countries) → do their income redistribution through social safety nets Command Socialist Economies → did not have to redistribute income → their governments controlled the distribution of income by setting wages and forbidding capital or land income 11 VI. Role of Politics and Ideology Central controversy Is democracy linked with market capitalism??? Is authoritarian regime linked with command economy??? 12 VI. Role of Politics and Ideology Friedman “libertarian” laissez-faire → lack of individual freedom In democracies, social democrat parties exist (like Sweden) They support income redistribution and extensive social safety nets They support nationalization and central planning They do not support dictatorship 13 VI. Role of Politics and Ideology Authoritarian political regimes pursued market capitalism (East Asia and Latin America) Market capitalism is not a guarantee of political democracy Islamic Fundamentalism Imposition of an Islamic code-Shari’a It is not a liberal democracy → individual rights and freedoms are subordinated to a Shari’a and the religious authorities Economically it does not follow neither capitalism nor socialism 14 Overview of Comparative Economics Chapter II Market Capitalism 15 Market Capitalism Form of Ownership → Most of the time land and produced means of production (capital stock) are owned by private individuals or private firms Role of Planning → Market capitalism is usually planned by the market (with demand and supply) Material Incentives → In market capitalism material incentives exist in forms of rewards for entrepreneurship and capital investment as economic profits 16 Market Capitalism Income Redistribution → is usually done through social safety nets in market capitalism Role of politics and ideology → Are market capitalist countries mostly democratic? Social democrat parties exist in market capitalist countries supporting income redistribution, extensive social safety nets, nationalization and central planning 17 Why market capitalism popular? End of communism →most former communist countries are concentrating on market capitalist economic systems Predominantly market capitalist economies are making efforts to move toward a purer version of this system 18 Advantages and Disadvantages of Market Capitalist Economies Experienced enormous technological advances and growth as they underwent the Industrial Revolution in the late 18th century “ability to revolutionize the means of production” Experienced large macroeconomic fluctuations with serious downturns in the 19th century (unequal distribution of income and increasing concentrations of industrial monopoly power) 19 Pure version of market capitalist system Pure version of market capitalist system does not exist Closest to the ideal of pure laissez-faire market capitalism are: Hong Kong Singapore New Zealand 20 Efficiency Static efficiency → no one in society can be made better off without making someone else worse off resources are being utilized to their best potential given the existing technology Dynamic efficiency → allocation of resources over time to maximize long-run sustainable growth technological dynamism destabilizing process of “creative destruction” 21 Theoretical Efficiency of Market Capitalism Efficiency Theorem The general ability of markets to allocate goods and resources efficiently through the law of supply and demand A complete competitive full-information general equilibrium is efficient 22 Theoretical Efficiency of Market Capitalism Complete For any good or service that affects someone’s utility, there is a market Competition There are many buyers and sellers with free entry and exit There are well-defined homogenous goods and services No individual supplier has any control over the price in his or her market 23 Theoretical Efficiency of Market Capitalism Full information All agents in the economy know everything about consumer preferences, production technologies, and prices General equilibrium Every single market is in equilibrium in the sense that the quantity supplied equals the quantity demanded of the good or service If that does not happen: Surplus Shortage Partial equilibrium with a few markets being in equilibrium 24 Theoretical Efficiency of Market Capitalism Efficiency Pareto optimality→ no one in the economy can be made better off without making someone else worse off If someone can be made better off without making someone else worse off, then the economy is not producing as much as possible of what people want 25 Why is a complete, competitive, full-information, general equilibrium efficient? Adam Smith’s invocation of invisible hand of the market working across all sectors to allocate goods in a way that maximizes the “wealth of the nations” He founded classic laissez faire economics He argued that the government should get out of the economy (minimal government intervention) It is at the equilibrium price that the maximum amount will be both produced and sold and thus actually consumed by public 26 Invisible Hand In the free marketplace an “invisible hand” regulates and self-corrects the economy The market itself will regulate the economy Efficient producers will prosper and the inefficient producers will lose The public will get the best product for the lowest price Supply and demand will determine prices better than any government official can 27 Limits to the Efficiency of Laissez-Faire Market Capitalism Monopoly Power Externalities Collective Consumption Goods Imperfect Information 28 Source of Inefficiency: Monopoly Power Monopoly power prohibits competition Monopolist will maximize profits by setting marginal cost equal to marginal revenue Exceptions: Natural monopoly Characterizing an industry with economies of scale (declining LRAC) even at level of output equal to total market demand Technological dynamism More competitive industries will be more technologically progressive 29 Source of Inefficiency: Monopoly Power Intermediate market forms Monopolistic competition Many firms, each having some price setting power as a result of product differentiation Excess capacity theorem Oligopoly Small number of firms in industry with reaction to any action taken by others Perfect collusion Joint-maximizing cartel (OPEC in oil crisis) Longest surviving cartel? 30 Source of Inefficiency: Externalities These are either costs or benefits that are born by or accrue to an agent other than the agent generating them External costs negative externalities External benefits positive externalities 31 Source of Inefficiency: Externalities External costs are negative externalities, such as environmental pollution If the firm that generates pollution damages another industry but does not reduce that damage → the private marginal cost to the firm does not equal the social marginal cost and too much pollution is produced, resulting in inefficiency 32 Source of Inefficiency: Externalities External benefits are positive externalities, such as technological invention without patent protection for inventors If an inventor has no patent protection, then other firms can steal her invention and she may make no money even if her invention generates great social benefits Private marginal benefit to the inventor does not equal marginal social benefit of the invention and too little inventing will occur, resulting in inefficiency 33 Source of Inefficiency: Collective Consumption Goods Consumption goods=public goods → such as national defense Because of the nature of such goods, it is difficult for private markets to organize themselves to provide these goods in optimal quantities The characteristics of pure public good: Nonexcludability of consumption: It is not possible to exclude this kind of consumption Nondepletability of consumption: Everyone consumes it simultaneously, and no individual’s consumption reduces any other individual’s consumption Free-rider problem 34 Source of Inefficiency: Imperfect Information Unrealistic to have perfect information When one party in a transaction knows more than another, special problems arise causing asymmetric information Akerlof “The market for Lemons” Principal agent problem Sub-optimizing behavior 35 Macroeconomic Instability of Market Capitalism The General picture The major market capitalist economies have been less than perfectly stable over time There was a general increase in unemployment rates after the early1970s in many countries, associated with a general stagnation of economic growth, that appears to have been reduced recently The considerable variation in capital investment can be explained by factors Exogenous fluctuations in new technologies that can serve as the basis for the investment Fluctuations in government monetary policies affecting interest rates Psychological fluctuations due to the “animal spirits” of those making investments 36 Macroeconomic Instability of Market Capitalism QUESTION Why do these variables lead to fluctuations in the unemployment rate, since in a perfectly labor market, wage rates should fall when the demand for labor falls, thereby preventing the emergence of any involuntary unemployment? TWO DIFFERENT ANSWERS Keynesian School Classical School 37 Macroeconomic Instability of Market Capitalism Keynesian School Rigidities of various sorts exist in labor markets and that capital investment can collapse and stay down for extended periods of time, as in the Great Depression The implication is that government intervention through fiscal or monetary policies is advisable to stimulate the economy and to stabilize and smooth out business cycles 38 Macroeconomic Instability of Market Capitalism The Classical School Deriving from 19th century classical political economists such as David Ricardo Market capitalist economies are powerfully selfstabilizing Conscious government intervention merely generates inflation and intensifies fluctuations To minimize unemployment, unions should be broken up and a stable fiscal and monetary environment should be maintained within a laissez-faire environment 39 Laissez-faire Economic Policies Shift toward supporting more laissez-faire economic policies There is a tension between asserting the efficiency of competitive equilibria and recognizing the limits of the applicability of that theorem Chicago School’s (Milton Friedman) argument draws directly from the efficiency theorem and follows by asserting the irrelevance or unimportance of the various exceptions and limits 40 Chicago School Markets are almost always efficient, so government should keep its hands off The most externalities will be resolved by private markets if property rights are properly defined and enforced “free market” Many of the goods provided by the public sector are not really collective consumption goods and could be more efficiently provided privately Information costs are inevitable and cannot be avoided The Chicago School supports the Classical School approach in macroeconomics Friedman is the most prominent advocate of monetarism in the US With respect to distribution of income, people should be allowed to keep what they earn from the free market Inequalities are the necessary outcome of providing sufficient incentives for production, investment and growth 41 Austrian School They reject equilibrium analysis and emphasize dynamic market processes Entrepreneurs are the most important agents in the economy They must be allowed to function freely, without government restriction, so that they can lead the market to evolve in conjunction with the evolution of consumer preferences through process of innovation Static efficiency is relatively unimportant It is the dynamic success of market capitalism that is its most important economic feature 42 Overview of Comparative Economics Chapter III The Theory and History of Marxism and Socialism 43 Command Socialism Form of Ownership → Most of the time the state owns the land and produced means of production (capital stock) Role of Planning → Economy is planned centrally and the planners’ preferences dominate allocative decision-making Incentive Structure → Moral Incentives-trying to motivate workers by appealing to some higher collective goal Income Redistribution → The governments control the distribution of income by setting wages and forbidding capital or land income 44 Command Socialism Role of politics and ideology → Are command socialist economies usually linked with authoritarian regimes? Authoritarian political regimes also pursue market capitalism Command socialism can also support democracy 45 Socialism An economic system characterized by state or collective ownership of the means of product, land and capital Not actually exists as a system until the early 12th century Its emergence based on criticism of feudal and capitalist systems that existed prior to its modern appearance Criticism originated from religious sources favoring egalitarian income distributions and collective sharing Became a secular theory of history and society in the writings of Karl Marx 46 Is Socialism still popular? With the collapse of Soviet Union and end of communism, nowadays many countries that have identified themselves socialist are attempting to move toward market capitalism Why examine the socialist economic system? Many are still socialist in actual practice Frustration with efforts to move toward some form of capitalism have led to a revival of socialist ideology in some of the countries Difficulties experienced in the market capitalist world have stimulated reconsideration of limited elements of socialist model as reformist devices 47 Development of Socialist Ideology: Religious and Philosophical Precursors It is originated in religious and philosophical criticism of inequalities in existing societies and the formulation of ideal alternatives in which collective sharing and equality reign supreme In ancient Greece → philosopher Plato described an ideal society of in his Republic Christianity provided opportunity for socialism expecting the second coming of Christ → when all would be judged and there would be heaven on earth for the saved (millennium) 48 Development of Socialist Ideology Thomas More “Utopia” described an island where everyone shared and was equal Enlightenment of 1700 Secularized version of egalitarianism in French philosophy by Jean-Jacques Rousseau led to French Revolution in 1789 The revolution was against feudal aristocracy and inequality 49 Development of Socialist Ideology In 1796 Francois Gracchus Babeuf is often identified as the founder of modern Communism “Conspiracy of Equals” → abolition of private property and the holding in common land Communism → local units of government in France are called communes The term socialism originated in the early 1830s with the British utopian socialist Robert Owen 50 The Marxian Worldview Marxian → refers to the writings and views of Marx himself Marxist → refers to any view or idea strongly influenced by Marx 51 The Marxian Worldview Karl Marx (1818-1883) was born in Trier in the German Rhineland Studied philosophy in Berlin Became a radical journalist Participated the uprising of Rhineland Spent most of his life in exile in London Supported financially by his collaborator, Friedrich Engels, who owned a textile mill Together Marx and Engels developed Marxian worldview in writings which influenced socialist thought 52 The Marxian Worldview Marx’s worldview constitutes a holistic system by seeking to explain virtually everything in a unified whole His holistic theory is his integration of three major strands of 19th century European thought: German political philosophy French political sociology British political economy 53 The Marxian Worldview: The Hegelian Dialectic German Political Philosophy Hegel developed the idea of dialectic All phenomena reflect a conflict between pairs of unified opposites whose joint opposition evolves over time to critical breakpoints where reality qualitatively changes These opposites are labeled as thesis and antithesis At the critical breakpoint their opposition generates something brand new, the synthesis 54 The Marxian Worldview: The Hegelian Dialectic The ultimate Hegelian thesis is the Universal Idea → God The antithesis is the individual person The synthesis is the state The idea of emergent powerful and nationalist German state These ideas influenced the movement for German unification that accelerated toward its culmination under Bismarck in 1871 and influenced the ultranationalist Nazi movement in the 20th century 55 The Marxian Worldview: Historical Materialism Marx “materialized” Hegel’s dialectic by using the idea of French Revolution The key to historical materialism → the idea that the driving force of history is the dialectic between conflicting socioeconomic classes The class conflict of the emerging industrial society between the bourgeoisie (capitalists) and the proletariat (worker) The Communist Manifesto starts as “The history of all existing societies has been the history of class struggles” 56 The Marxian Worldview: Historical Materialism The struggle concerns ownership controls of means of production One class owns and controls the means of production and exploits the other class, which does not own and control the means of production The technology of society → forces of production Combines with the structure of classes → relations of production To determine the mode of production → the substructure or base of the society that determines everything else, the superstructure, that is religion, politics, culture and so forth 57 The Marxian Worldview: Historical Materialism The mode of production of ancient Greece and Rome was slavery, characterized by the struggle between master and slave The fall of the Roman Empire was a result of this contradiction → resulting in the mode production transforming from slavery to feudalism In turn, feudalism was driven by the struggle between lord and serf and was transformed into capitalism In capitalism, the struggle is between the capitalist who owns the means of production and the workers who does not 58 The Marxian Worldview: Historical Materialism As this struggle reaches its peak in the most advanced capitalist countries such as England and Germany, there would be a revolutionary transformation into socialism with state ownership of the means of production direction of a production by a common plan, income inequalities and wage payments control by a dictatorship of the proletariat 59 The Marxian Worldview: Historical Materialism Marx claims Once socialism is accomplished, communism would eventually develop All classes and property ownership would disappear The state would wither away 60 The Marxian Worldview: The Labor Theory of Value and the Breakdown of Capitalism Ricardo’s labor theory of value The value of a commodity is determined by the amount of socially necessary labor time it takes to produce it Contradicts the neoclassical economic theory that value is determined by supply and demand, with capital contributing to the supply side 61 The Marxian Worldview: The Labor Theory of Value and the Breakdown of Capitalism Land and capital as productive but not as contributing to value Capital goods as being the product of past labor, indirect labor Core of Marxian doctrine The true reality of capital was not the capital good itself but the social relation of exploitation between the capitalist and the worker 62 The Marxian Worldview: The Labor Theory of Value and the Breakdown of Capitalism The value of commodity (W) = c+v+s Constant capital (c) fixed capital stock as measured in the labor time required to produce it Variable capital (v) the value of labor power used in production that is the amount of socially necessary labor time it takes to reproduce labor, equal to subsistence wage Surplus value (s) value created by the worker but taken by the capitalist, leading to exploitation “Marx’s modification of the labor theory” Marx concentrated on the “surplus value”- profit 63 The Marxian Worldview: The Labor Theory of Value and the Breakdown of Capitalism Capitalist → capital investment → raising the organic composition of capital c rises while s and v are constant → the rate of profit declines The fundamental tendency of capitalism Increase the rate of exploitation → by lowering wages or by working longer The class struggle and the commercial crisis Concentration of capital in fewer hands and proletariat becomes more miserable Eventually the contradiction between the forces of production and the relations of production becomes so intense that the system is overthrown by the revolutionary working class 64 Controversies in Socialism: Theory of Imperialism Capitalism had succeeded in transforming itself into imperialism, expanding overseas into colonies to exploit their raw materials, cheap labor and new markets The domestic market could not absorb what the capitalists produced, so they found overseas markets With the enormous profits capitalist made from their colonies, they started paying off their working class → this changed this class into reformists rather than revolutionaries 65 Controversies in Socialism: Marxism-Leninism Vladimir Illich Ulyanov known as Lenin developed the Imperialism thesis Lenin noted that imperialism was expanding unevenly The revolution would come in capitalism’s weakest link, Russia Industrialized too late to participate in the conquest of Africa Dominated by foreign investment from the leading capitalist powers like Great Britain, France and Germany 66 Controversies in Socialism: Marxism-Leninism Refocusing revolutionary expectations on less developed countries became MarxismLeninism, the official Soviet doctrine after 1917 It also became the guiding light of Marxist revolution in the 20th century in less developed countries from China to Cuba and to Vietnam 67 Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917 Trotskyism Titoism Maoism 68 Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917: Trotskyism Leon Trotsky, founder of the Red Army in the Soviet Union, was Stalin’s chief rival for power after Lenin’s death in 1924 He was exiled in 1927 and founded the Fourth International, which fragmented into factions after his assassination in Mexico in 1940 69 Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917: Trotskyism Trotsky and Stalin agreed about the need for rapid industrialization, but they disagreed whether this should be done in isolation or in an international context Trotsky supported the idea of an international permanent revolution, believing that true socialism could not be achieved in the Soviet Union without an international revolution 70 Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917: Titoism Marshall Tito led Communist partisans in throwing the Nazis out of Yugoslavia during the Second World War, with little assistance from Soviet Red Army A strong Stalinist Tito broke with Stalin in 1948 and declared political independence of Yugoslavia from Soviet influence 71 Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917: Titoism Tito developed a distinctive economic system for Yugoslavia → worker-managed market socialism State-owned enterprises in a one-party state operating with little central planning and with managements appointed by worker selected boards After Tito’s death in 1981, the economic system in Yugoslavia deteriorated and eventually collapsed 72 Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917: Maoism In 1949 a Communist insurgency led by Mao Zedong took power in mainland China Rural guerilla movement that encouraged egalitarian economic development in zones of revolutionary control Imitated the centrally planned command industrialization model of Stalin More emphasis upon rural agricultural development, egalitarianism, the use of moral incentives 73 Some Divisions of Socialism since 1917: Maoism In the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution (1966-1969), Mao emphasized industrial decentralization complete communalization of agriculture total egalitarianism moral incentives After Mao’s death in 1976, a decline of support in his ideas 74 The Theory of Economic Socialism The Socialist Planning Controversy The Theory of Command Socialist Central Planning The Participatory or Cooperative Alternative 75 Theory of Economic Socialism: Theory of Command Socialist Central Planning Central planning first appeared in Soviet Russia with the 1920 electrification plan Indicative planning instituted for heavy industrial sectors under state ownership such as electricity, steel and cement Long-term planning was on a five-year time horizon 76 Theory of Economic Socialism: Theory of Command Socialist Central Planning Five year plans were broken down into one-year plans from which monthly quotas for individual firms were derived Each firm had a technical-production-financial plan that specified output quantities and prices input quantities and prices including wages levels and kinds of capital investment One year’s overall general plan generally involved minor modifications of the previous year’s plan based in the outcome of that plan 77 Theory of Economic Socialism: Theory of Command Socialist Central Planning For the first five-year plan, the material balances were based on the inherited structure of production Figure out how much of which final goods were to be produced the amounts of all the inputs required to produce those outputs the inputs to produce those inputs If a commodity was in “deficit” then either one of the three previous mechanisms would be drawn on or greater efficiency in its production would be induced or demand for it had been cut back 78 Theory of Economic Socialism: Participatory or Cooperative Alternative Also known as the labor-managed economy-Yugoslavia is the example Market Socialist System → state owns the means of production Characterized by workers’ ownership or workers’ management Combination of capitalism and socialism, constituting a Third Way 79 Theory of Economic Socialism: Participatory or Cooperative Alternative Workers will manage the firms There will be income sharing Productive resources are not owned by the workers → workers enjoy usufruct rights to the fruits of the operation Market economy → Any kind of planning is indicative planning rather than of the command sort Workers can freely choose where to work 80 Transition from Socialism to Capitalism Transition from command socialism to market capitalism requires replacement of command economy with market mechanisms in decision-making privatization of state-owned enterprises to move from socialism to capitalism liberalization of the political system 81 Transition from Socialism to Capitalism In adopting markets rather than command Freeing prices from central control was the easiest thing Macroeconomic stabilization was more difficult to achieve as sudden freeing of prices led to inflationary outburst Total output declined sharply with unemployment rising Establishment of the institutional framework that allows for the open and stable functioning of markets is difficult Developing banking, financial and accounting systems A proper competition policy Laws of corporate governance and bankruptcy Opening to trade and investment Foreign currency convertibility 82 Transition from Socialism to Capitalism Problems of privatization Restructuring of enterprise management is more important than privatization Countries that privatized quickly ran into serious problems (Russia and Czech Republic) compared to those that privatized more gradually (Poland and Slovenia) Privatized firms in transition countries exhibit greater productivity that state-owned ones The emergence of social problems as countries fell into deep recessions with high inflation and institutional instability 83 Varieties of Advanced Market Capitalism Chapter V The United States of America: The Market Capitalist Leader 84 World’s Largest Economy Not only the prime example of market capitalist economy but is technological leader of the world with very high per capita income Its important role in developing distinctive institutions of market capitalism, such as modern corporation From a nearly pure laissez-faire economy in the mid-19th century has become a mixed economy, but still laissez-faire oriented The “darker side” of market capitalism, with relatively high levels of income inequality and poverty 85 World’s Largest Economy Oldest constitution of any nation on earth 1787 Well established private property allowed the market capitalist economy to function flexibly Greatest crisis and conflict was over the slavery system that divided the industrial North from the cotton-growing South Civil War of 1861-1865 86 World’s Largest Economy Leading in technology with the emergence of the American system of interchangeable parts and standardization during the early 1800s Innovator in economic institutional structures and organizational forms The key organization of the modern world economy → industrial corporation whose standard form emerged in the railroads 87 World’s Largest Economy Fordist assembly line production US automobile industry → modern multidivisional corporation → General Motors Corporation Mass production with rapidly rising productivity Institutional foundation of modern American macroeconomic policy established in 1913 Federal income tax and the establishment of the Federal Reserve System Development of a strong financial system 88 World’s Largest Economy After WW I displaced Great Britain as the world’s leading financial power but avoiding a global role Isolationist attitude → refusal to join the League of Nations in 1920 The Great Depression of the 1930s and the presidency of Franklin Roosevelt → expansion of the federal government’s role in economy moving away from pure laissez-faire 89 World’s Largest Economy Change in attitudes with WW II Took the lead at the Bretton Woods Conference (1944) Washington D.C became the headquarters for the new postwar global economic institutions → IMF, World Bank New York City → UN (successor to League of Nations) The General Agreement on Trade and Tariffs (GATT) in 1948 → tariff-reducing negotiations and moves to expand international trade Establishment of World Trade Organization (WTO) 90 World’s Largest Economy 1980s → a period of deregulation of the US economy US leadership of the word economy challenged by other countries, especially Japan The stagnation of Japanese economy after 1990 New Economy high technology development in US in late 1990s, led by the information technology sector → reasserted its primacy position A speculative bubble in the US stock market that peaked in early 2000 and high-tech sector has been in slowdown since Recession of 2001 → terrorist attacks 91 Historical Development of the US Economy: Growth and Reform By the end of the 19th century → the world’s largest aggregate economy with rapid growth and industrialization Major technological innovations Expansion of railroads Development of the new corporate industrial organizational form Light bulb by Thomas Edison → General Electric Corporation Telephone by Alexander Graham Bell → AT&T Establishment of a strong patent system 92 Historical Development of the US Economy: Changing Trends Rapid economic growth in the 1960s and early 1970s dramatically slowed down after the first oil price shock in 1973 US economy only managed to recover in the late 1990s with high-technology boom after inflation was brought under control The Soviet Union, America’s greatest postwar ideological and military rival, ceased to exist in 1991 Japan, America’s greatest economic rival, went into severe economic stagnation after 1990 America’s high-tech sector emerged in the 1990s 93 Basic Ingredients of the American Economy: Natural Resources Labor Manufacturing and Investment 94 Basic Ingredients of the American Economy: Natural Resources Rich in mineral resources Fertile farm soil Fortunate to have a moderate climate Has extensive coastlines on both the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans and Gulf of Mexico Rivers flow from far within the continent Has Great Lakes → provide additional shipping access 95 Basic Ingredients of the American Economy: Labor Steady growth in the labor force → led to constant economic expansion Until shortly after World War I, most workers were immigrants from Europe, or African Americans Beginning in the early 20th century, many Latin Americans immigrated They were followed by large numbers of Asians 96 Basic Ingredients of the American Economy: Manufacturing and Investment In US, the corporation has emerged as an association of owners, known as stockholders, who form a business enterprise governed by a complex set of rules and customs Through the stock market, American banks and investors have grown their economy by investing and withdrawing capital from profitable corporations 97 The American Corporation: Nature of the American Corporate Form America’s most important contribution to the world economy has been its development of the organizational form of the modern corporation Anglo-American Corporate Form that is different from those found in Japan, Germany and other nations Distinct internal hierarchies and divisions Led by strong and highly paid chief executive officers (CEOs) With relatively little control by banks, other firms, workers, and government Ownership is by stockholders Tendency in recent years to make CEOs or other top managers part owners by giving them stock options as part of their compensation Reduces the principal-agent problem arising from the separation of ownership and control in large 98 The American Corporation: Nature of the American Corporate Form In 1819 the doctrine of the juridical identity of the corporation as effectively a legal person distinct from its owners The emergence of the limited liability corporation, whose finances were legally distinct from those of the owners of the corporation 99 The American Corporation: Regulation and Deregulation The rise of American corporations generated a broad movement to restrain their power and perceived excesses This began in 1887 with the establishment of Interstate Commerce Commission (ICC) to regulate the rates charged by railroads Anti-trust regulations started after the passage of Sherman Act of 1890 Federal Reserve System regulated the banking system after 1913 Civil Aeronautics Board regulated airfares and airline routes Federal Communications Commission regulate allocation and the use of the radio spectrum 100 The American Corporation: Regulation and Deregulation Monopolies are allowed in certain industries that were subject to rate regulation AT&T in telephone industry Electric utility industry During 1960s focused on safety and environmental concerns Monitoring food and drug safety Consumer product safety 101 The American Corporation: Regulation and Deregulation As the 1970s proceeded, movements to reduce regulations arose: The first deregulation is to deregulate the airline fares and routes (The CAB was eliminated in 1983) The ICC was eliminated in 1996 In the early 1990s the FCC moved to auctioning of spectrum rights EPA moved to the use of marketable pollution emission permits, notably for sulfur dioxide Long distance telephone industry AT&T The deregulation of the electricity supply industry 102 Prospects and Problems of the American Economy The Problem of Poverty and Inequality The overall time trend of inequality There was a gradual trend toward greater equality from the late 1920s Increased dramatically during WW II Continued until the mid-1970s After the trend reversed and inequality has since tended to increase The role of government in these trends Transfer payments rising Social security for elderly Transfer payments to low income groups have raised 103 Prospects and Problems of the American Economy The Rise of the New Economy Second half of the 1990s A steady decline of the unemployment rate Low inflation Decline in poverty Acceleration in the economic growth rate Increase in rate of productivity The accumulated impact of computerization and the spread of new technologies as the internet 104 Prospects and Problems of the American Economy The Mass Consumption Society and Its Sustainability High levels of consumption Luxury fever “never ending pursuit of more and more expensive luxury goods” Low savings rate and high personal debt/income ratio US become its largest net debtor by the mid-1990s 105 Back and forth: From laissez-faire economy to government’s intervention in economy and back to laissez-faire During much of the 19th century, US was almost a purely laissez-faire economy In the 20th century, role of federal government increased on various stages: Progressive Era Reforms of 1901-1909 New Deal of 1930s Great Society initiatives of the 1960s Since 1960s US economy has experienced deregulation and other moves back to laissez-faire (although 1/3 of the economy is directed by some level of government) US definitely has a mixed economy despite its strong orientation to market capitalism 106 Conclusion: The United States of America: The Market Capitalist Leader The world’s most dynamic and flexible society and economy Immigrants from an increasingly diverse array of nations Established institutions of contract and property Evolving corporate forms, patterns of standardization and mass production A tradition of entrepreneurship Technologically leadership based upon basic science and solid R&D within a financial and institutional framework The darker side of market capitalism with high levels of income and wealth inequality 107 Varieties of Advanced Market Capitalism Chapter VI Japan: A Planned Market Economy with Traditional Elements 108 Japan As a New Traditional Economy? Experienced the most rapid rate of sustained economic growth in the world Maintained low unemployment and inflation rates and a greater degree of income equality Leading many areas of technology 109 Japan As a New Traditional Economy? Have large trade surpluses resulting in the largest accumulation of foreign reserves Number One? → stagflation in 1990s Its conflicts with other nations on trade issues threatened to push the world economy into a trade war and depression 110 Japan As a New Traditional Economy? Debates about the basis of Japanese success Advocates of government economic intervention argue that bureaucratic guidance through indicative planning and industrial policy has been key to its success Advocates of laissez-faire argue that these have been more a hindrance than a help, with the most dynamic sectors ignoring the government bureaucrats 111 Japan As a New Traditional Economy? A mixture of structures and systems unique in the world A market capitalist economy The government engages in indicative planning and exerts significant influence The first society of non-European origin to carry out industrialization and modern economic growth 112 Japan As a New Traditional Economy? Succeeded in adopting foreign technologies and practices without giving up its indigenous culture Late 19th century slogan “Japanese spirit and Western ability” Familistic groupism of Japanese society → a feudalistic holdover Harmonious labor-management relations and government-business relations Planned market capitalism with strong traditional elements 113 The Microeconomic Foundations of The Japanese Economy The “Three Sacred Treasures” of LaborManagement Relations The Japanese Firm and the Keiretsu System Managerial Decision Making Industrial Policy by Government 114 The “Three Sacred Treasures” of LaborManagement Relations Highly educated and well-motivated labor force Many quality-and productivity-improving innovations suggested by workers on site Three sacred treasures: Lifetime employment Seniority-based wages Enterprise unions 115 The “Three Sacred Treasures” of LaborManagement Relations Japanese labor Intra-enterprise job rotation by multifunctional workers On-the-job firm-specific training Bonus payments Compensation flexible Contracts negotiated annually Employment stable Large severance payments at retirement but few pensions Dualism 116 The “Three Sacred Treasures” of LaborManagement Relations: Lifetime Employment The key to stimulating loyalty and drawing forth innovative, productivity-improving suggestions Limited to about 30 % of the labor force, mostly educated men in large firms that must retire at age 55 with large severance payments and assisted in getting other jobs in smaller firms Japanese workers more likely to stay with a single firm for a longer period of time, even in small firms 117 The “Three Sacred Treasures” of LaborManagement Relations: Lifetime Employment Depending on Stability of employment Rapid growth of the economy between 1945 and 1990 Synchronized annual negotiating system Bonus system → a form of profit sharing 118 The “Three Sacred Treasures” of LaborManagement Relations: Lifetime Employment Development of firm-specific human capital by rotating workers from job to job within the firm Workers know all about the firm but lack skills that are transferable to other firms On-the-job training of blue-collar workers → but white collarization in larger firms Greater loyalty to firm → Confucian code Firms more willing to engage in firm-specific training if they believe workers will remain for a long time 119 The “Three Sacred Treasures” of LaborManagement Relations: Seniority Wages Confucian view of respect for elders Steeper age-wage profile for blue-collar Seniority wages reinforcing loyalty to the firm among lifetime employees Expectations of performance-based pay 120 The “Three Sacred Treasures” of LaborManagement Relations: Enterprise Unions If one is committed for life to a specific company One has been working at several different jobs with the company, thus not being tied to a particular skill or craft → it is logical to belong to a union that negotiates directly with that company and only that company Stability of labor-management relations “Happy family of the firm” Critics “Inefficiency” 121 The Japanese Firm and the Keiretsu System The existence of interlocked associations of firms → keiretsu Horizontal keiretsu Revivals of the prewar zaibatsus (single holding companies) Firms in different industries all linked to a common bank and trading company maintaining their formal independence Vertical keiretsu A set of suppliers and distributors linked to a major industrial producer by long-term contracts 122 The Japanese Firm and the Keiretsu System Toshiba Corporation At the center of a vertical keiretsu including distributors, suppliers and suppliers of direct suppliers A member in Mitsui horizontal keiretsu 123 The Japanese Firm and the Keiretsu System Horizontal keiretsus practice three sacred treasures of labor-management relations Peripheral firms in vertical keiretsus tend not to do so Keiretsus → cross-holding of stocks In horizontal form → much stock ownership by the bank and a large proportion of loans from the bank 124 The Japanese Firm and the Keiretsu System Network externalities Group membership may have a negative impact on profitability relative to independents run by founderentrepreneurs Vertical keiretsus may achieve efficiencies because their stable long-term contracts allow for just-in-time delivery, kanban system that minimize inventory costs and encourage superior quality control 125 Managerial Decision Making J-mode depends on both long-term relationships between workers and firms and long-term relationships between banks and firms which tend to hold for keiretsu members with lifetime employment systems Top managers risen from within the firm increase the loyalty Management as the representative of the employees Labor-managed firms 126 Managerial Decision Making Horizontal coordination through processes of consensual decision making Dependence upon workers for suggestions for improving the firm’s performance Seniority-based rank hierarchies Given long-term nature of employee-firm relations and of bank-firm relations, managers use longer time horizon for strategic planning Emphasis upon maximizing market share subject to minimum profit constraint, rather than maximizing short-run profits 127 Industrial Policy by Government Government-business relations labeled industrial policy Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) The state being the driving force of the Japanese economy → supremacy of government bureaucrats High-level bureaucrats to high-level employment in top firms 128 Industrial Policy by Government MITI intervention in markets → product cycles Beginning stage of an industry Infant industry tariffs Subsidies for special capital investments Rationalization cartels that carry out MITI-financed R&D At the end of product cycle To reduce closeout using depression cartels 129 Industrial Policy by Government Overall rapid growth Export success of targeted industries Shipbuilding, steel and computers MITI failed in the late 1950s to cartelize the automobile industry down to two firms Honda → the most technically innovative of the automobile companies and a great export success Sony → rejected to produce transistor radios Both founded and led by strong-willed entrepreneurs operating outside of the planning and keiretsu system 130 Why Japan Failed to Become Number One Macroeconomic Performance High rate of growth High capital investment rate backed by a high savings rate After bursting of the Japanese stock market bubble in 1990 Growth rate fell below those of other leading market capitalist economies with unemployment rate increasing 131 Why Japan Failed to Become Number One High savings rate Confucian ideals High growth rates as consumption increases lag behind income increases Individuals save to make down payments on homes Workers save for old age because of the combination of early retirement with low pensions and low social security payments The lumpiness of large bonuses No capital gains tax except on land Most of the postwar period, a relatively young population But rapidly aging population 132 Why Japan Failed to Become Number One Macroeconomic Planning Policy Market capitalist economy with elements of a traditional economy and indicative planning Sectoral and technological planning → MITI Macroeconomic plans → Economic Planning Agency (EPA) Relatively low levels of government spending and taxation Low level of social transfer payments Low defense spending, due to US demilitarization 133 Why Japan Failed to Become Number One Quality of Life The highest quality of life Top in life expectancy Gender empowerment, (31st) High per capita income and consumption Low crime rate 134 Why Japan Failed to Become Number One One of the more equal income distributions in the world Egalitarian wage structure arising from the labormanagement system Workaholics in rabbit hutches Environmental pollution Problems of discrimination (against women and foreigners) 135 Why Japan Failed to Become Number One The End of the “Economic Miracle” Rising dependency ratios that reduce savings Opening of financial markets caused by deregulation, leading to outflows of capital Technological stagnation Weakness of the non-tradeable goods sector The failure of government spending to stimulate the economy 136 Why Japan Failed to Become Number One Hollowing out of the industrial base as large corporations invest in other countries The emergence of a liquidity trap in financial markets A decline in the rate of return to capital investment owing to overinvestment in the past A credit crunch caused by the accumulation of bad loans in the banking sector 137 Why Japan Failed to Become Number One A general disruption of the financial sector in the aftermath of the collapse of the stock market Deeper cultural arguments involving a breakdown of Confucian values Saving-investment nexus Rapidly aging society, experience rising dependency ratios that tend to depress the savings rate A victim of its own success as a society able to support long life 138 Why Japan Failed to Become Number One In early 1990s, a low rate of return for large corporations resulting from overinvestment After 1997 Asian financial crisis, credit problem The collapse of the bubble economy Technological leadership? 139 Variants of Transition among Former Socialist Economies Chapter X The Former Soviet Union: The Myth and Reality of the Command Economy and Russia’s Economic Transition 140 Transformation of Russian economy in 1990s Centrally planned economy was replaced by an economy operating on the basis of market forces and private property Some of the former communist states of Central Europe began their process of economic transition earlier 141 Historical Background of The Soviet Economy: Until December 25, 1991 USSR was the largest country in the world Occupied 1/6th of the earth’s inhabited land 293 million population (third largest in the world) 128 ethnic groups 142 Historical Background of The Soviet Economy: Russian Empire before 1917 Intermediate case compared to underdeveloped Asia and to industrially developed Western and Central Europe Duality between traditional agriculture and military-driven industrial development This duality produced undecided attitudes toward change and reforms: Change is seen as industrialization at the expense of agriculture 143 Command Economy: Launching the Model Several economic subsystems coexist that ranged from Self sufficient communes with mostly barter exchange Individual small-scale proprietorships Medium-sized businesses that produced for markets with the use of hired labor Also publicly owned large-scale enterprises (mostly in heavy industries) that by nature were socialist prototypes using direct administrative allocation of resources and assigned labor 144 Command Economy: Launching the Model This economic pluralism produced political break in the ruling Communist Party Leon Trotsky, founder of the Red Army in the Soviet Union, was Stalin’s chief rival for power Advocated super-industrialization in the Soviet Union that would lead to a worldwide permanent communist revolution Call for liberalization of domestic and international markets 145 Command Economy: Launching the Model Divisions between Trotsky and Stalin Trotsky and Stalin agreed about the need for rapid industrialization, but they disagreed whether this should be done in isolation or in an international context Trotsky supported the idea of an international permanent revolution, believing that true socialism could not be achieved in the Soviet Union without an international revolution 146 Command Economy: Launching the Model Stalin supported an autarkic model of socialism in one country Exterminated his opponents (Trotsky) in the party Established his own cult Reasserted economic traditionalism in the guise of revolutionary socialism 147 Command Economy: Launching the Model Implementing socialism in one country required speedy industrialization For self-sufficiency Military Buildup Social transformation from a relatively backward agro-industrial economy into an urban industrial one ordered by the political center 148 Command Economy: Launching the Model Disallowed market allocation of resources State monopolized foreign relations Closed the economy through restrictions on foreign trade, currency inconvertibility, and limited trade specialization Accelerated industrialization, which favored producer and military goods at the expense of agriculture, assumed unbalanced economic growth 149 Command Economy: Launching the Model Super-industrialization favored the teleologists that asserted the need for longrun plans and opposed market forces First Five-Year Plan in 1928 Central comprehensive planning Ensured political control over the diverse republics Grouping them into economic regions to meet nation-wide production needs 150 Command Economy: Launching the Model Prioritize industry over agriculture for sociopolitical reasons Emphasize on regional specialization Deemphasize republic-level diversification Establish state monopolies in key industries Eliminate the entrepreneurial subsystems alien to socialism 151 Command Economy: Launching the Model Agricultural collectivization Forced collective ownership on peasants as a stepping stone to comprehensive public ownership Success of industrialization program turned out to be a disaster for agriculture An over-industrialized and over-urbanized economy with an inadequate and no longer self-sufficient agricultural sector 152 Command Economy: Soviet Central Planning: The Beginning The goal of First Five-Year Plan was to catch up with capitalist industrial countries Success of the initial industrialization push attributed to central planning accomplished at cost of forced collectivization and a major decline in living standards The share of private consumption declined Concentrated investment in growth-supporting sectors based on domestic savings 153 Soviet Central Planning: Implementation Planning versus market Planning is concerned with expanded reproduction and particular investment, with consumption deemphasized Soviet planning → Prioritized investment to catch up with the West industrially and militarily Ignored static efficiency in favor of high rates of economic growth 154 Soviet Central Planning: Implementation Prices were used by planners to ensure compliance with plans and continuous control over plan implementation Domestic prices were distorted because they reflected planners’ priorities in distribution and production rather than relative scarcities Pricing disabled rational decision making by producers The planners used wholesale prices to balance inter-sectoral outputs and to provide for comparison of alternative production mixes based on different technologies 155 Soviet Central Planning: Implementation In agriculture, government procurement prices designated quotas promoted specific crops, individual regions and financially controlled collective farms Retail prices produced inequality in income distribution Two policies to solve: Free provision of public goods (health care and education) Low prices for mass consumption goods (food, housing, transportation) while raising prices for luxury goods 156 Soviet Central Planning: Implementation The gap between sticky prices and scarcity values increased over time and lowered the effectiveness of planning The planned creation of a socialist market where efficiency of production rose with diminishing inequality in income distribution failed Success in creating a second economy where market forces partially corrected artificial shortages 157 Soviet Central Planning: Agriculture: The Peculiarity of Soviet Model Surviving agricultural producers: State Collective Private farm Stalin’s industrialization was dependent on the mass collectivization of peasants and the elimination of the well-off peasants (kulaks) 158 Soviet Central Planning: Agriculture: The Peculiarity of Soviet Model The collective farm (kolkhoz) A pseudo-cooperative, with elected management ensuring a supply of agricultural goods to the state at minimum cost The income of peasants at subsistence level maintained by household plots and individually owned livestock Exploited by paying low procurement prices and by overcharging for state-owned tractors and machinery Not have guaranteed wages and were paid in labor days Payments were arbitrary and variable depending on regions, seasons and specific farms Consumer goods sold to kolkhozes at high prices 159 Soviet Central Planning: Agriculture: The Peculiarity of Soviet Model The state farm (sovkhoz) Factories in the fields and were run under more favorable policies If underpaid, compensated by subsidies State employees and got a guaranteed wage Have access to better inputs at wholesale prices 160 Soviet Central Planning: Agriculture: The Peculiarity of Soviet Model The individual farmer Found in private sector Land in auxiliary household plots not privately owned and cultivated only by peasants and state employees Livestock was privately owned but usually pastured on collective or state land Individuals worked on these plots for themselves and owned their produce but also worked for collective or state enterprises 161 Soviet Central Planning: Agriculture: The Peculiarity of Soviet Model The collective farm (kolkhoz) versus the state farm (sovkhoz) Their coexistence served the sociopolitical goal of crowding out entrepreneurship A decline in productivity and in absolute production On collective farms because of price discrimination and compulsory deliveries On state farms because of subsidization 162 Soviet Central Planning: Agriculture: The Peculiarity of Soviet Model Agriculture deprioritized resulting in dependence on grain imports The increasing role of imports of agricultural products and other goods inspired reforms in export sector and the overall economy Raising questions about maintaining itself as a closed economy? 163 Soviet Central Planning: Closed Economy: Command Trade Isolationism Its ideological underpinning is an autarkic socialist country encircled by hostile imperialist countries The anarchy of world markets could undermine the effectiveness of central planning Domestic firms were protected from foreign competition and world prices 164 Soviet Central Planning: Closed Economy: Command Trade Isolationism State authority over foreign trade and foreign currency transactions through state monopolies Planners determined imports and exports by balancing domestic inputs with projected outputs and making up for potential discrepancies Export production derived from the need to pay for imports Producers of exportable goods did not have direct relationships with foreign buyers but dealt with foreign trade bureaucracies organized at the industrial level 165 Soviet Central Planning: Closed Economy: Command Trade Isolationism Foreign trade relations bilateral and highly politicized The use of trade for greater integration with the socialist satellites through Council of Mutual Economic Assistance (CMEA or Comecon) founded in 1949 As a multilateral body to persuade these countries to adopt a uniform strategy of communist industrialization with the USSR CMEA membership → USSR, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Poland, East Germany, Romania, Bulgaria, Albania (withdrew in 1961), Mongolia, Cuba and Vietnam joined later, Yugoslavia as an associate member 166 Soviet Central Planning: Closed Economy: Command Trade Isolationism Two principles: Extensive development that prioritized capital goods at the expense of consumer goods An autarkic focus on import substitution and minimal dependence on western markets CMEA countries dependent on soviet energy resources and raw materials The idea of socialist international division of labor suggested intra-industrial rather than inter-industrial specialization A collective isolationism from world markets and a tendency to create a socialist alternative to international capitalist trade 167 Soviet Central Planning: Closed Economy: Command Trade Isolationism Intra-CMEA specialization acknowledged the benefits of trade for economic development The international socialist division of labor was shaped by concentrated planning rather than markets The problems of inefficiency and non-competitiveness of individual national industries increased in the mid-1960s, leading to declining intra-bloc trade Liberalization of trade with the West brought about by technological backwardness in the course of the arms race Decade of trade promotion ended in 1979 with the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan 168 The Reform Cycle: Reluctant Reform Thinking Soviet economy characterize pervasive protectionism Enterprises were shielded against bankruptcy through centralized subsidies No financial discipline and managers’ performance assessed on basis of compliance with the government’s plans People were protected against economic fluctuations and the possibility of unemployment The state monopoly of foreign trade protected domestic firms from external shocks and from competition with foreign goods The network of commodity flows with preset prices and quotas created a sense of certainty in domestic trade THIS ECONOMIC STABILITY LACKED ANY IMPETUS TO CHANGE 169 The Reform Cycle: Reluctant Reform Thinking Reform and reformism unacceptable and interpreted as dangerous Western imports The strengths of Stalin’s economic model → Mobilization of resources for industrial catch-up Development of a military-industrial complex The postwar recovery through extensive growth The weaknesses of Stalin’s economic model → Undervaluation of the opportunity cost of planned priorities absent appropriate criteria to assess economic performance Protectionism downplaying economic incentives Vertical institutional structure producing shortsighted bureaucracies and compartmentalism 170 Legacies of Soviet Economy State-planning for state-owned industries and demand structuring by the state budget State-determined monetary policy with a one-tier banking system State-run monopolistic firms, producing a narrow range of goods at state-administered prices and facing monopolistic suppliers Risk-aversion by managers who were reluctant to innovate Full-employment guarantee and as a consequence, the systemic impossibility of firms going bankrupt- a soft-budget constraint policy State monopoly in foreign trade, administered prices and exchange rates reflecting the inconvertibility of the domestic currency Fiscal revenues generated by turnover taxes and mandatory transfers of profits used to subsidize firms 171 Problems with Legacies of Soviet Economy Monopolistic producers and risk-averse managers lacked the motive to innovate Full-employment guarantees hidden unemployment and favor labor-intensive production processes Domestic production is not exposed to international trade and therefore, becomes non-competitive State provision caused the creation of poor quality of public goods 172 Slowdowns and Stagnations Slowdown in growth rates from the mid 1970s Economic stagnation in 1980s Central planners’ inability to deal with a complex, overindustrialized economy’s need for constant adjustment A succession of reforms failed to improve central planning, was unsuccessful in questioning state ownership Late 1980s → legal recognition of private enterprise ranging from introduction of cooperatives to individual proprietorships 173 Collapse of the USSR Establishment of Russian Federation After the collapse of the USSR in December 1991, the Russian Federation faced the demanding need for moving away from Centrally Planned Economy Boris Yeltsin, the first democratically elected president of Russia, launched the sixth reform to undo the legacies of Soviet model 174 Transition in Post-Soviet Russia: Boris Yeltsin (1991-1999) Destroyed of Communist Party’s monopoly politically and economically Failed to build a new pluralist society Finished off the remnants of command economy system Yeltsin took great steps toward developing a market economy: Price liberalization Mass privatization of state enterprises Foreign trade liberalization Introduction of full convertibility of ruble 175 Transition in Post-Soviet Russia: Problems with Yeltsin’s Reforms Price and foreign trade liberalization created high inflation and decline in domestic production Mass privatization was accompanied by political rhetoric, contrary to the West’s economic emphasis on the fundamental importance of private property for the institution of a market economy Voucher privatization forced negotiations in the regional implementation of privatization Several local elites succeeded in seizing formerly state-owned enterprises Local established elites continued to exercise their power 176 Transition in Post-Soviet Russia: Problems with Mass Privatization By the end of 1995, Russia had completed the privatization of over 120,000 enterprises 55 percent of the large and medium-sized enterprises sold could be classified as non-competitive worker-management buyouts Labeled as destatization officially and grabitization informally This mass privatization failed to improve economic efficiency and induce normal market behavior Instead generated effects of persistent arrears (non-payment of outstanding liabilities) and sliding into a barter (non-money) economy 177 Transition in Post-Soviet Russia: Problems with Barter Economy and Persistent Arrears The emergence of arrears due to the enterprises’ failure to keep pace with collapse of demand in the short-run and to continue to produce The underdevelopment of banking system played an additional role Emergence of risk-free tax arrears and reliance on state subsidies Resurfacing of barter economy 1960-mid 1980s → inefficient planned distribution Late 1980s-early 1990s → general shortages 1992-1994 → enterprises’ financial deficits Starting in 1997 → institutionally built into system and accounted for 90 percent of industrial output 178 Transition in Post-Soviet Russia: Problems with Barter Economy and Persistent Arrears Barter economy and persistent arrears (amount overdue) locked regions into local transactions, hindered competition and corrupted the effectiveness of property rights Privatization and price liberalization created income inequality State revenues, which consisted mostly of profits from state-owned enterprises during the Soviet era dropped as a result of the recession and mass privatization Issuance of short-term state bonds that offered high interest rates crowded out private investment 179 Transition in Post-Soviet Russia: Deep Recession Russian industrial production fell by 55 % Consequently, tax rates were raised creating a shadow economy Budget debt increased The rate of export dropped The fall in oil prices magnified the current account deficit, causing a financial crisis that resulted in the devaluation of ruble in 1998 Severe economic instability and hyperinflation 180 Conclusion: The Soviet Model of a Command Economy Created by a combination of internal economic underdevelopment and international political discontinuity in the aftermath of WW I, when workers’ revolutions threatened many nations Designed to produce a transition from a relatively backward nation to a modern industrial society Central planning that is a superior tool for balancing economic proportions and maximizing the use of resources, produced disproportionate and inflexible economic outcomes Producing many problems, agriculture being a prominent example 181