Ocean Acidification: The Other CO2 Problem Figures Scott C. Doney,1 Victoria J. Fabry,2 Richard A. Feely,3 and Joan A. Kleypas4 Q. Why is surface ocean PCO2 < atmospheric PCO2? Q.pH measured or calculated? Q. What is GEOSECS? Q. Why is Ω calcite > Ωaragonite? Q. Why is Ω > 1? Q. What would pH be for Ω = 1.0? Annual Reviews Fig. 1. (A) Atmospheric CO2 emission scenario and concentrations based on the Los Alamos National Laboratory general circulation model after Caldeira and Wickett (4) R. A. Feely et al., Science 305, 362 -366 (2004) Published by AAAS Meridional Sections of C* Q. Where is calcite line? Q. Why shoaled? Q. Why in North Pacific? Q. How is this C* calculated? Doney et al (2009) Annual Reviews also Sabine et al (2004) Anthropogenic CO2 = DC* See Gruber (1998) GBC, 12, 165-191 DC* = Cmeas – Ceq (S, T, Alk° ) – r C:O2 (O2 – O2sat) – ½ (Alk - Alk° + r N:O2 (O2-O2sat) Ceq = DIC for PCO2 = 280 matm Alk° = preformed alkalinity Approach: Take measured DIC (Cmeas). Subtract preformed value (amount water had when it sank) Subtract how much DIC has been added by respiration using O2 – O2sat. Subtract how much DIC has been added by CaCO3 dissolution using the change in alkalinity. Correct for alkalinity due to NO3 production. Used to separate anthropogenic CO2 from the large variable background carbon © Fig. 4. Maps of anthropogenic CO2 on the (A) 26.0 and (B) 27.3 potential density surfaces 26.0 is at about 200m 27.3 is at about 1000m C. L. Sabine et al., Science 305, 367 -371 (2004) Published by AAAS Fig. 1. Column inventory of anthropogenic CO2 in the ocean (mol m-2) C. L. Sabine et al., Science 305, 367 -371 (2004) Published by AAAS From: Takahashi (2004) Fig. 3. Map of the 1994 distribution of Revelle factor, ({delta}PCO2/{delta}DIC)/(PCO2/DIC), averaged for the upper 50 m of the water column C. L. Sabine et al., Science 305, 367 -371 (2004) Published by AAAS Revelle Factor The Revelle buffer factor defines how much CO2 can be absorbed by homogeneous reaction with seawater. B = dPCO2/PCO2 / dDIC/ DIC B = CT / PCO2 (∂PCO2/∂CT)alk = CT (∂PCO2/∂H)alk PCO2 (∂CT/∂H)alk After substitution B ≈ CT / (H2CO3 + CO32-) For typical seawater with pH = 8, Alk = 10-2.7 and CT = 10-2.7 H2CO3 = 10-4.7 and CO32- = 10-3.8; then B = 11.2 Field data from GEOSECS Sundquist et al., Science (1979) dPCO2/PCO2 = B dDIC/DIC A value of 10 tells you that a change of 10% in atm CO2 is required to produce a 1% change in total CO2 content of seawater, By this mechanism the oceans can absorb about half of the increase in atmospheric CO2 B↑ as T↓ as CT↑ As B goes up it becomes harder to put CO2 into the ocean Revelle Factor Numerical Example (using CO2Sys) CO2 + CO32- = HCO3- CO2 350ppm + 10% = 385ppm Atm Ocn CO2 → H2CO3 → HCO3- → CO32- at constant alkalinity DIC 11.3 mM 1640.5 mM 183.7 1837 +1.2 (10.6%) +27.7 (1.7%) -11.1 (-6.0%) +17.9 (+0.97%) 12.5 1668.2 174.2 1854.9 The total increase in DIC of +17.9 mM is mostly due to a big change in HCO3- (+27.7 mM) countering a decrease in CO32- (-11.1 mM). Most of the CO2 added to the ocean reacts with CO32- to make HCO3-. The final increase in H2CO3 is a small (+1.2 mM) portion of the total. Values of K’ versus Temperature The values here are for S = 35, T = 25C and P = 1 atm. Constant K’H K’1 K’2 K’w Apparent Seawater Constant (K') 10-1.53 10-6.00 10-9.10 10-13.9 Specific Temperature Example (slightly different constants): As Temp ↓ K1 and K2 get smaller (values here from Millero, 1995) So at T = 25°C pK’1 = 5.847 K’2 = 8.916 0°C pK’1 = 6.101 K’2 = 9.376 As Temp ↓ KH gets larger So at T = 25°C pK’H = 1.547 0°C pK’H = 1.202 How does distribution diagram change? Is CO2 more/less soluble due to these effects? Construct a Distribution Diagram for H2CO3 – Closed System a. First specify the total CO2 (e.g. CT = 2.0 x 10-3 = 10-2.7 M) b. Locate CT on the graph and draw a horizontal line for that value. c. Locate the two system points on that line where pH = pK1 and pH = pK2. d. Make the crossover point, which is 0.3 log units less than CT e. Sketch the lines for the species Annual Reviews Annual Reviews After Zachos et al. (2008) Indicates “fossil fuel” added Published by AAAS J. C. Zachos et al., Science 308, 1611 -1615 (2005) Walvis Ridge PETM Weight % CaCO3 Published by AAAS J. C. Zachos et al., Science 308, 1611 -1615 (2005) Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) ~ 55 Ma Characterized by: • Warming (5-9°C) of tropical and high latitude sea surface temps and deep waters • Mass extinction on sea floor (largest in last 90 m.y.) • Increase in diversity of terrestrial fauna & flora • Significant perturbation to the global carbon cycle involving a large increase in greenhouse gas levels Biogenic [clathrate] methane (Dickens, 1995) 13C: -60‰ methane Sources of “fossil fuel” 2300 GtC www.explorecrete.com Peat or Coal Oxidation Volcanism (Kurtz et al., 2003) 13C: -22‰ (Dickens, 1995; Schmitz et al., 2004; Svensen et al., 2004) 13C: -7‰ or lighter (sediment volatilization) wildfires, no bioturbation > 20,000 PgC European Space Agency www.esa.int 7000 GtC USGS Hawaiian Volcano Observatory hvo.wr.usgs.gov/kilauea Panchuk et al. (2007)